2196: Grayscale: Bitcoin's 4-Year Cycle Is Ending — New ATH in 2026

Grayscale says the traditional four-year Bitcoin cycle is ending, replaced by a structurally different market driven by politics, liquidity, and institutional adoption. In their view, Bitcoin is likely to reach a new all-time high in early 2026, marking a decisive break from legacy cycle theory.

On-chain data supports the shift: Bitcoin sharks are accumulating at the fastest pace in 13 years, even as volatility shakes out short-term traders. At the same time, Gemini rolls out prediction markets across all 50 U.S. states, and Japan advances plans for a regulated yen stablecoin, signaling deeper integration between crypto and traditional finance.

This episode breaks down why old models may no longer apply, what's driving the next phase of Bitcoin's evolution, and how to think about positioning ahead of a potential new ATH.

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