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Today on The Baseball Betting Show Greg recaps Thursday’s results, talks to Mid Major Matt Josephs of ESPN Radio in Richmond about how he finds edges in props with little/no data from this season yet, teams that he is bullish/bearish on entering the season, & Friday’s games, & Greg picks & analyzes EVERY Friday game!
Link To Greg’s Spreadsheet of handicapped lines: https://vsin.com/mlb/greg-petersons-daily-mlb-lines/
Podcast Highlights
2:37-Recap of Thursday’s results
14:33-Interview with Mid Major Matt Josephs
27:51-Start of picks Rockies vs Marlins
30:57-Picks & analysis for Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
33:46-Picks & analysis for Athletics vs Blue Jays
37:00-Picks & analysis for Angels vs Astros
40:33-Picks & analysis for Guardians vs Mariners
43:37-Picks & analysis for Yankees vs Giants
47:02-Picks & analysis for Royals vs Braves
50:23-Picks & analysis for Tigers vs Padres
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Breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show.
Here is your host, Greg Petersen.
A warm up for the low, welcome to the La Viva's Vegas, for the Baseball Betting Show,
with myself, Greg Peters.
And now part of the visa and family podcast, we've got an excellent podcast for you.
We're going to be joined at segment number two by a good friend of ours.
And Major Matt, he does such an excellent job looking at this great game of baseball.
He does a great job on the prop front end.
We're going to chat with him about how he takes a look at props here in the early part
of the season.
Typically, Peters don't go as deep in their first start as they do in start number two,
start number three.
Does he utilize bringing training results, 2025 results?
What's just his general synopsis of how to be of a bett-a-lot of these props, a few
plays that he likes for Friday, and he's a man with a little bit of a affinity for the
fellow Duffy Philly.
So, let's go about that as well in the final segment, get to get you guys picks and
analysis on every game on the betting board.
For this baseball Friday, as we touch them all, if you do have a question, comment, segment
idea, whatever you for this podcast, do have one or two ways to be of far those in.
First one is my Twitter slash X timeline at June at underscore 81.
Keep in mind, Lurzy, I'm the mean does that matter?
So, as per usual, please send these into the timeline, the other way is find an Apple
podcast review.
If you read this podcast 5 stars, it's very much appreciated.
And then from there, you're able to fire and whatever you'd like to hear on this podcast
5, that 5 star view, really didn't get in a lot of Twitter slash X questions today,
but it was a great opening day, I know that a lot of you are focused in on the sweet
16 as well.
So, let's take a look back at everything that we saw on the official opening day on Thursday,
try to find some trends in and try to get to know these things a little bit better.
A game through yesterday is great buzzing about, here is the rowdy recap.
I am from the great state of Wisconsin, so how about if we start with the Milwaukee
birds as they got down 1-0 against the Chicago White Sucks, and that's the only time they
would trail 14-2 all over the self-siders.
Jane Smith was not long for this game, 1-2-3-10-X, gives up 4 runs, 3 of which were earned,
for the burr was only 2 bombs in this game, as you had at Jake Bowers, get his first
home run of the campaign, that comes off of the reliever, and one Mr. Jackson Peas, who
was making his M.O.B. debut, he gave up that home run, 3 runs a total, and 1 and a third
outings, other home run was given up by Pether Gilbert, he gives up 2 runs over the course
of an inning, that went to South Freelik, his first home run of the campaign.
John Dukeham now with the White Sucks, 2 runs a lot in 2 and a third in A.C., White Sucks
really had a burn in this bullpen, Jordan Hicks, he is now on the White Sucks by the way,
3 runs a lot in 2-3rds in A, Jordan Leisure leisurely gave you a scoreless setting, so yay
verily there, but rough there, for Jacob Mizorowski does give up a home run early on in the
game, as Chase Meredith was able to get his first home run of the campaign, that came
in the first setting, would settle down from there, that's the loan run that he gave
up in 5-10, punch it out 11, air-nash B, grand Anderson, DL turned it up all, I'll give
you a scoreless setting in, the Woodford, Jake Woodford does give up a home run as the
international signing, gets his first home run as a Chicago White Sucks, hopefully I get
this correctly, Montenka Mirkami, so congratulations to him, but a little bit too little too late
there, Paul Schienz gets absolutely lit up by the New York Mets 11-7, they were open
to getting runs in this one as Schienz, 2-3rds in any gives up 5 runs now, O'Neil Cruz had
two just terrible plays out there in the field, like, he looks like a little later, but
as we're all earned runs on Paul Schienz, you don't mess with the Yon or Mirrors from
there, 2 and a third ending scoreless, you had from there Mesa Montgomery, go one and
a third ending, he gave up two runs, Justin Lawrence, he gives up back to back, so the
home runs as you had Francisco Alvarez, get his first home run season, and then the
young guy, Carson Benjay, he was able to get his first home run as a member of the New
York Mets throw of Paul Tens, you had also two runs give it up in 2-3rds in any by Isaac
Metson as well, Gregory Soto, now with the Pirates, Dennis A. Dana, they both fund a scoreless
ending and free-paral to, honestly the start he was looking for, gives up 4 runs or the
course of his 5 innings, gives up a pair of bombs as it was Brennan Lau, who would say
it would get loud, home runs number 1 and 2 after he spent the beginning part of his
career with the Tampa Bay race, from there to Bias Myers, gives up a home run over the
course of 3 innings, so lots of relief there as Ryan O'Hern gets his first home run
season from there, you had two runs give it up in an ending by Lewis Garcia, so the Mets
they're able to get off to a 1 and 0 start, also being able to get off to a 1 and 0 start,
the Washington Nationals 10-4 over the Cubs, Cade Cavalli not necessarily long for this
game 3 runs to which were earned in 3-2-3rds ending, how about the both end of the Washington
Nationals though as Clayton Beaters, C&L Perez, PJ Poole, and I'll give you a scoreless
ending, Brad Lorde, a Lorde was able to give you 2 and a 3rd innings gave up a run, and
for the Washington Nationals, they were playing a little bit of long ball in this one, Joy
Weimer, his first home run of the campaign, you had, Mr. Bradley Huskin, his first home
run season, and then also home run number 1 for Jacob Yongas, for the Cubs this was not
what they were hoping for out of Matthew Boyd, 6 runs a lot in 3 and a 3rd innings gave
up just one of those home runs, from there you had 2 runs give it up in 3 and a 3rd innings
out of Ben Brown, he gives up on those bombs, also give it up on those bombs, Mr. Jacob
Webb, he gives up a Ohmeron, but 2 Ohmeron runs as he was hurt by an Alex Pregman fielding
air in his ending of Arcane Hobbymowner, now with the Chicago Cubs, he was able to
end his scoreless ending as well, a little bit of a low scoring game out there in Baltimore
to start the season, 2 to 1, the Orioles, they take down the Minnesota Twins, Trevor Rogers
who was so great last season, got into a little bit of a sticky wicket as for the Twins
they go just 1 to 12 with men in scoring position, but he contains his magic 7th scoreless
settings, from there you had Ryan Hellsley be able to close the door in the ninth inning,
3 punchouts in the ninth, tie their wells, well not necessarily what he was hoping for,
he did not pitch wells giving up a run in an inning, but for the Minnesota Twins, Joe
Ryan he gave them exactly what they were looking for, 5 in a third inning scores, from their
Cody Funderberg, gives up a run in 2-3, Justin Topa, gives up a run in an inning before,
he had another Rogers come in for a scoreless ending, Taylor Rogers, so they were in the
main neighborhood there of getting you an under, so that was one where the Orioles were
able to get the job done in, for the Red Sox, they go on the road to start 1 and out, 3
to 0, they take down the Sensei Reds, Rents had a few opportunities in the middle part
of this game, but they go just 1 to 7 with men in scoring position, and Robert gave a
good start, he did give up 7 hits, but he goes for 6 scoreless settings, from their
peers, Johnson gives up a run in a third inning, Sam Wol was able to come in for a scoreless
ending, Graham Ashcraft, not a load of Ashcraft, scoreless ending, he had a Brock and
Roll Burke give you an out of the bullpen, but Conor Filves he does give up 2 runs in
2-3rds Vananning in the ninth inning, and that really was a difference maker's gear,
Kershe, nice start here, 8 punch outs, 6 scoreless settings, from their Justin Slayton
gear with Laka Roll to Shabbin, all into scoreless settings, so Shabbin went a really
good year last year, he gets saved Nubaro Uno out there, for the All Angels, they will
not go Owen 162, and go on the road, they take it to the Astros by a count of 3-0, might
be another long season for the Astros, as Hunter Brown, he wasn't long for this game, but
wasn't bad, 4-2-3rds Anges Coralists did walk for, so jacked up his pitch count, from
there you add, Bryant King, not Be the King, he gives up a run in a inning, AJ Bluebuff,
some really good long relief, 2-3rd Anges, he does allow a run though, and he gives up
a one run to Mike Draud, his first of the campaign, Nolan Schunel, he was able to put on there
a little bit of injuries in the ninth inning, goes Zepath of Christian Roa, his first home
run of the season, Jose Sodiano, who was really good on the road last year, 6-6 Coralist
settings, he had a 3-0 on the road last season, Jaisil Seth along with Walbert Iorania, they
were able to combine first Coralist settings through Pomeran's, Jordan Romano, both able
and a Coralist setting in for the Astros, O of 7 with Men in scoring position, not necessarily
what they were looking for out there, this is what the San Luis Cardinals were looking
for, 9-7, they were able to take down the Tampa Bay Rays, for the Rays, you're right,
listen, solid serve, 5-10 gives up one run that would be a solo run as going deep off
of them, it was home run number one of the season, and if I'm not mistaken the career
of 1 JJ Weatherhold, so congratulations to him, and then Alex Brilson, he gets all jacks
up off of Griff and jacks, his first home run season, I don't know why they have Griff
and jacks on the roster, by the way, he gives up that solo run in 2-3rd Ang, he can see
more, it was a solid serve, the Rays have a back in the open, and man this did not work
out, he did not get a single out and he gave up 5 runs off, which were earned gear,
from there it gives up 2 runs in a 3rd Ang, the flood gates just open for the San Luis
Cardinals, you did have Yandere Squomas, supply 2 squirrel settings, but for the Cardinals,
they put up an 8 spot in the 6th inning, after the Rays put up a 6 spot in the early part
of the 6th inning, you did have Jonathan Oranda get his first home run of the campaign that
comes off of Matthew Libertor, who is solid, he gives up that solo run over the course of
5 innings, from there the bullfighting is not great, Justin Brule gives up 2 runs, so
the 3rd Ang, Matt has answered, 3 runs allowed in a 3rd Ang, Chris Roycroft gives up a run
in a 3rd Ang, but from there Riley O'Brien, Jojo Romero, they combine for 2 squirrel settings
and Ryan Stannick gave a close at Orhes a former Tampa Bay Rays for a squirrel setting,
for the Walker Texas Rangers, not what they were hoping for out of Nathan of Aldi as, for
the Rangers they fell to the field off, he fill his 5 to 3 to the final end, the under of
8 he got a push because the Rangers got 3 runs in the 9th inning as you don't mess with
the Yandere on, had to come in after Kyle Bockus, gave up 3 runs in a 3rd Ang including
a home run to Jake Berger, his first home run of the season for Avaldi getting him, he
gives up 2 more runs, 5 runs to total end 4 and 2 3rd Ang, Kyle Sforber, Alec Bome, GoDepop
of them, their first of the campaign, from their general beaks 4 out of the bullpen squirrels,
Tyther Alexander was able to lend a squirrel setting in, a little bit of a young young
Carter Bommler, hopefully I got that correct, he in his MLB debut, Lens of Squirrels setting
and Chris of 1st St. Jazz, 10 punch outs at 6 squirrels settings, you had Zach Popp give
you a squirrel setting and Jonathan Bowen was able to give it squirrels setting as well
before, Bockus made a little bit of a mess out of the 9th inning, for the Detroit Tigers
it appears as October 8th, Scoobull is back in peak form, for the Tigers they get an
8-2 win over the Salam Diego Padres, Scoobull and Under Run allowed over the course of 6
settings, Hobby Bias had a throwing here that caused him a little bit there, but still
a really good start, Tyther holding the pair of outs out of the bullpen squirrels after
Drew Anderson, went 1-1 and a 3rd Ang, set a allow Aselm run to Ramon Loriano, takes him
deep for his first home run of the campaign, Will Vest, well he puts a Veston for A Squirrel
setting and Nick Bavetta just absolutely destroyed in this one, he gives up 6 runs over the
course of 3 and he's from their run bet, Anachio has to come in for 2 and he gives
up a home run to Dylan Dingler for Sormar on the campaign, gives up 2 runs to total,
and then you add David Morgan along with Juan de Peralta, Monday Squirrel setting and
Brad Dudley, Rodriguez was able to come in, he gave you 2 Squirrel settings as well.
For the LA Dodgers, they get down early against the Arizona 9-Babaks, that did not last
for long though as they get the job done, they get a nice win by a kind of 8-2 as for
the LA Dodgers, a little bit shaky in the first setting or two out of Yoshinobu Yamamoto,
he's able to do a nice job, get the win as he gives up 2 runs over the course of 6 ending
C, does a lot of home run as you add your Aldo Pardomo, get his first of the campaign,
Zach Allen tried to fill it up but did not do so, 4 runs a lot over the course of 4
earnings, and then you add Taylor Clark give up 4 runs and a third of an ending, you did
have Juan Moreo, Ryan Thompson, both one to Squirrel setting and Andrew Hoffman was able
come in, held down the 4 for 1 and 2 thirds ending Squirrel as for the Dime of X, but both
end of the Dodgers, it was a rock solid, will clientane or scop like trying to all end
Squirrel setting and for Andy Paz, he goes deep off of Zach Allen, that was a 3 run shot
for his first of the campaign at Wolfsmith, Hoffman Clark, he gets jiggy with it, it is for
his home run of the season then in the late game, you add the Cleveland Guardian, take
it to the Seattle Manor, despite kind of 6 of 4 as for the Cleveland Guardian, Stinger
Bible, now what he was looking for, he gives up 3 home runs over the course of 5 ending
all solo shots, you add home run number 1 for Brandon Donovan as a Seattle Manor, you
add Dom Kanzone actually go deep twice, he would also go deep off of Sean Armstrong,
and second home runs of the season Luke Rayleigh, he goes off the railies for his first
home run season, but he also had 2 home runs on the flip side for the Cleveland Guardian,
as it was home runs number 1 and 2 of the season for Chase the Lotter, the Lotter,
he did a nice job with a pair of solo jobs, as one of them comes off of Logan Gilbert,
who gives up 3 runs over the course of 5 and a third angst, he had a little bit of insurance
in the 9th ending off of Cooper Cursewell, who gives up that solo run and is ending
work, Jose Ferrer, a pair of outs out of the bullpen squirrels, Casey Bugumina,
a squirrel sang in the Gabe Spire, while he gives up 2 runs over the course of an ending,
so that did not inspire many, and if you're taking a look at Trendwise, what we're getting
in baseball right now, obviously, very very early on as we've only got 12 games in the books,
but the overs have been hitting in pretty good force thus far, 6 overs, 300s, and we've had
ourselves a, believe a pair of pushes along the way as well as favorites on the Moneyline thus far
at 8 and 3 only one of the favorites was unable to cover the run line, so that's what we're
seeing in baseball right now, and that's what we're all getting, Trendwise, coming in next,
let's chat it up with our good friend Matt Josephs, a.k.a. mid-major man out there,
Right now, new fan duel customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days,
place a tournament bet using the token, and if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in
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parlays for a shot at a bigger payout, fan duel, it's time to dance. 21 plus in
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see terms at sportsbook.fandal.com, gambling problem called 1-800-GAMBLER.
Breaking down every game, every day in major league baseball, this is the baseball betting show,
Here is your host, Greg Peterson.
At mid-major, Matt, all together, and Matt, always pleasure, my friend, thank you.
Thank you for having me. If you won on the first day, you're going 162-0, and if you lost,
well, there's always next year. Oh yes, of course, the Washington Nationals, now I'm going to win
the NLEs after they got the job done against the Cubs Day number one, and how much should you
take a look at the first week or two of the season from a proper perspective, because I think
that it might be the hardest one to be able to engage in terms of a lot of these starting pictures,
because you'll have the one or two outlier guys that actually go their normal linemen,
but a lot of these guys, instead of going like 195 pitches, they're going to be limited more
like 80 to 85 pitches. It's both the hardest week, and it's the easiest week in some respects,
and I feel like this is the same for almost every sport, like especially college, basketball,
college football, you're going to have your best wins in the first couple weeks when nobody really
knows anything, but you're also going to have your worst losses. So like if you take an under on
a K-PROP and the guy goes well over, I think that's more often going to happen in the first couple
weeks when nobody knows what's going on. I do my most research in the first week or two, because
I like to look at spring training, see how long these guys are going. I also like to see what
their history is. So like, you know, last year, did somebody start out and they ease the man,
so they're going four or five innings, or are other guys like Christopher Sanchez and some of the
other guys, we're going five, six innings to start out. So do your most research early on,
but I think the books count on you not doing a lot of research, and I think every once in a
while you could find some really bad lines this first week of the season. And I'm glad that you
mentioned looking at spring training as well, because I've asked a few people about that, and
most are of the consensus that maybe you're not going to put a lot in the sets, but what you really
want to take a look at is if a guy is stopped and starts, stop and start, like I need to use an
example from your Philadelphia Phillies Act wheeler over the last few years has been one of those
guys and as a result, struggle for the first two or three games before becoming the
exact wheeler that we all know and love, is that a little bit of the process as well,
looking a little bit beyond the sets, but just looking, are they getting consistent workload and
just a consistent amount of pitches in? And also, how are they treating the spring? There are
some pros who are just treating the spring as I'm throwing pitches and getting ready for the season.
And if you see a guy who consistently is bad in the spring, you don't have to worry as much
if they are bad in the spring once again. Whereas if you read somebody and they're trying to
work on a fourth pitch or a fifth pitch and they're using it, it's getting hit, but they're feeling
good about it. Like this is where you have to do a little bit of research and read some of the
stories that come out of some of these starts. So that's why, like these first couple weeks,
just take a little bit of time because you have to look at all the data and don't forget,
there's also the pre-game manager press conferences where occasionally they'll be like, yeah,
I'm looking at this guy for three or four and, you know, if you're paying attention to it,
maybe you can beat the books to getting to that before they make the change to themselves.
Yep, absolutely. There's a lot of angles to be looking at here in the early part of the season
as our good friend, Matthew, so if they came in, make sure to be right here on the baseball
betting show and it is interesting to take a look at a team that's near and dear to you. The
Philadelphia Phillies says they gave up a few runs in the ninth inning. Having the undrives a little
bit less than pleased about that, but overall was a nice first day with them with Christopher
Sanchez being able to go out there and get the job done. And how do you take a look at the Phillies
coming into the season? Because I noticed last year they were a team that absolutely mesh at home
on the road. The offense was very suspect and I feel like we could be getting a lot more of
the same this season with them too. Well, and I also think it goes, how does Aaron Ola look? He
wasn't bad in the spring. Does that continue? How does Andrew Payner look? And when does Zach
Wheeler come about? You know, when does Zach Wheeler return? And they already started his clock
and so he's going to make a rehab start triple A. I think a lot of people thought he was going to
return in like May or June. He may return in April. And I think that's kind of huge. If you can
line up a Sanchez, a Lazardo and a Wheeler, you're going to win a lot of series. And then you're
not asking for a ton from an Aaron Ola. You're not asking for a ton from an Andrew Payner or
Taiwan Walker. And then the line up, like, look, I'd like to say it's on Bryce Harper, but it's
not really on Bryce Harper as much. It's on Kyle Schwarber. It's on Trey Turner. Bryce and
Stott has continued his, you know, good spring. And that was two for four in that first game.
Crawford was really good. Justin Crawford in the nine hole. So I think their lineup is getting
a little bit better. I don't love Alec Bome in the cleanup spot, despite the fact that he had a
homer on Thursday. But like, you know, I think this is a team that you're going to see a lot of
hot streaks in which they're hitting a lot and they're getting a lot of runs. And you're going
to see some cold streaks where they're not hitting anybody and they're playing a lot of unders.
Yep. Bryce Harper can always be very hit or miss. Sometimes he's the greatest center on the face
of Planned Earth. And sometimes he looks like a minor lawyer. You just don't know what you're
going to get out of him. And that's something to always be gauging as well. And how much early
under in the season, do you want to be comparing the 2025 sets versus a guy that just gets hotter
cold in the first 10 games of the season? Because I mean, it is so true. I think that you mentioned it
in passing the fact that your best wins and your worst losses come this time of year. I think that
it is so interesting to look at a guy that maybe at a career year in 2005, 2025, and whether or not
they're able to duplicate that. That's all about like, you know, what we talk about like in the NFL,
the second year, they've got film on you now. So therefore, you know, are you going to still have
that same success or are they going to change their approach to you? You know, Roman Anthony looks
really good. I think Roman Anthony's going to have a really good season for the red socks this
year. And so like, it's how you make an adjustment to the adjustments that are made to you. So it's
one of those things where small sample sizes. I am the guy that always loves looking at, but it's
not the end all be all is I like looking at, you know, how a hitter done has done historically
against the pitcher. I post at 10 a.m. Eastern time every morning, some guys who have good or bad
statistics against certain pitchers. And in some cases, like a G-man joy against Gary Cole,
you're going to play that every once in a while because he had really good numbers. So that's
something you kind of look at here. But once again, like baseball's one of these things that you
can't rely on once it's a statistic. You have to rely on a whole bunch of statistics. And that's
why this sport is so fun and at times painful to bet on. Yep, it certainly is a man with baseball
betting. You just have so much. Shall we say volatility with this sport? Some day you'd see a
feel like the smartest van alive. Some days you feel like the dumbest van alive. It all depends
upon what you're got. And sometimes you have on your cruise just booting balls out there in the
outfield as well as beat off mattresses. AKA mid-major mattress. And to be right here on the
baseball betting show. And when it comes to Friday, I think that it's an interesting car because
we've got a relatively manageable card. It's only eight games out there and we have a few guys
are coming off of great seasons. And a few guys coming off of awful seasons. How do you take a
look at someone like a San Diego Contours right now? Nearly $2 favorite against Iraqis because
I always look at these guys that are in your number two coming off of major surgery.
With El Contra, I don't know if he's ever going to get back to the Saiyung award winner. But
I feel like it's a very soft landing spot at home against Colorado Rockies. And I feel like he could
be a bet on guy this season after he was a fade by a season. Yeah. And definitely he's somebody
you want to pay attention to the headlines, pay attention to the spring training helmet,
how deep he went in games because I feel like we're going to play a lot of outs overs against
Colorado, especially outside of course field. I mean, Miami is not necessarily a hitter's park,
but like this is an opportunity for him to kind of have that soft start. So he could go five,
six innings. And depending on what his outs are, I might look at the over in this situation. Kyle
Freeland's another one of those guys like I was talking about with my friend Ariel Epstein,
like Jordan Liles was a guy for the longest time who we could always consistently count on five
six innings, even when he's not pitching well because, you know, he was an innings eater.
My guy, Kyle Quantrol, he was another guy. No matter how he was doing, you knew he was going to
give you five or six innings. Well, Kyle Freeland's kind of the same way. And I'll grant
that he's not great or anything. But outside of course, you're getting solid situation. So
depending on how Kyle Freeland looks in past April's and how he's looked early on outside
of course, field, this could be a game where I'm looking at both these starters to go,
potentially five or six innings a piece, a piece. Yep, absolutely. With Kyle Freeland,
he's not a great pitcher, but he does eat innings. He does a good job in terms of not giving up a lot
of walks. And that's always something important to be looking at as well. And coming into the season,
is there perhaps something different that you're going to be doing in comparison to past years?
Or is this going to be relatively sad as, quote, compared to what you've done in the past?
Because we do know that we've got a little bit of replace system, not a ton of replay,
but you know what, Paulson strikes can now be challenged a few times a game. That's something
interesting to look at. And obviously we've got a little bit more of a divide between the haves
and the have nots with regards to spending in the odd season. I think baseball is one of those
things where you have your process and you'll maybe make a small duration or two, but like it,
you know, how I handicap K props or how I handicap K props. I mean, you know, I have a spreadsheet
for it. We'll get more and more data points as the season goes along. So I'm not really going
to change things. Unless I see, you know, I'm having problems or unless I'm seeing that the
the odds makers are adjusting their numbers, in which case I have to adjust myself. So I think
you degree, like you go to your old reliable, you look at X, Y, and Z for every game and you're
going to continue to do that until we can't handicap baseball anymore. Yep. Exactly. And just to
wrap things up, is there anything that you are going to be taking a look at for Friday? Because
I know that we talked a little bit about that. Rockies versus Marlon's game. I am very interested
to see what Sandial Contra is going to be doing. But I think else that might be catching your eye
for this Friday as we do have actually quite a few numbers up because with the first two days of
the season, it feels like the books have a little bit more urgency to get these numbers up overnight.
Yeah. And we're starting to see some of the K props up for the next day and things like that.
Obviously, see what Luis Severino looks like. He saw increased velocity in the world
baseball classic. And so does that mean that he's going to continue to do that? Or was he kind of,
you know, using the crowd and using the excitement of the event to get a little bit more to his
pitches? Plus does this mean he's going to go a little bit deeper? I know he's facing the Toronto
blue jays and I know it's a really tough lineup. But I like to look at this world baseball classic
stuff and see how much some guys did some things and what they kind of did. And so Luis Severino's
a guy I'm going to be really paying attention to on Friday. And then obviously look, I took the over
on the Royals wind total for the coming season. I'm really optimistic for the Royals that if they
do not have any injuries, this is a team that could certainly play really well in this division.
I think they're better than the twins. I think that they can compete with the with Detroit if they
stay healthy. I think Cleveland and them are about the same. So how does Cole Reagan's look against
a very good Atlanta Braves offense? And the other thing we have to touch on real quick that makes it
a little harder to handicap the night before is weather. We are still in certain parts of the
country cold weather wind could be a little bit of a factor in certain places. Obviously Tampa Bay is
no longer at the minor league park. So that's really good for Tampa Bay. So we are in those months
where now you have to pay attention to the weather cold wind stuff like that. So that's something
that certainly comes into the handicap as well for the games that aren't playing at domes.
Oh, absolutely. Looking at the home and road splits for someone like Orion Pepeo down the
rays, which that's just a spitball example, even though he's on the injured list, might want to be
putting a little bit less stock into those home results from a season go. Good point there. And
certainly when it comes to Wrigley field, you saw that total all over the place. It very, very
much short over the total not necessarily because of the weather being the greatest out there. But
I do think that that is so important to be taking a look at this time of year. I'm at you're doing
such an excellent job looking at this great game of baseball and so much more on the college
basketball for you to a great job football and you're covering so many different sports.
So love the good people and I know it's all on tap for you and how people can fall along on
social media and other platforms. Yeah, I've been major mad on Twitter. We had a really good year
last year when it came to MLB props. I posted my record on there. All my plays are posted on
there, tracked on the action network apps. I know one can say I'm cheating or anything like that.
I just posted a lot of my futures. I don't know if they're still up in some of the sports books,
but I posted a lot of my futures. I'm very open with everything. I have good streaks. I have bad
streaks and we just try and figure it out, but I post as much information as they certainly can.
And anytime somebody asks you a question about a player prop or a first three, a first five,
first seven, even, certainly I could try and answer it. I've been major mad on Twitter because
we all have the same goal. We all want to beat the books. Yep, and that is so well said. When
they come to baseball pictures, if you have 30 starts in a year, they always say you're going to
have five really bad starts, five amazing starts. It's what you do in those 20 in between and that
is always so big when it comes to baseball handicapping, but being able to grind out just a little
bit of a profit on those days and that he is one of the best. A big thanks to Matt for joining me
on the baseball betting show now part of the recent family podcast coming next city's
that time to podcast. I give you picks and analysis every game. I'm betting more for this baseball
Friday as we touch them all. Right now, new fan dual customers can get up to $300 back in
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sportsbook.fandal.com gambling problem called 1-800-Gampler. Breaking down every game every day in
major league baseball. This is the baseball betting show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson.
And we're back your lovey boss Vegas for baseball betting show with myself, Greg Peterson.
Now part of the recent family podcast. Always great to be joined by our guy, Matt Joseph,
say caveman, major Matt. Every single time he joins me, one such great insights did so once
again today. So big thanks to Matt for joining me in my segment. Now it is that time the podcast.
I give you picks and analysis and every game I'm the betting board for this baseball Friday as we
touch them all. If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg has a side in a total on it,
so it is time to touch them all. Do note that as per usual, any changes are made to these plays.
We'll be listed up on my Twitter, such X-Feed at gnod underscore 41. It's actually really good
the way that they order it. It goes naturally games first in time order, American league games in
time order, inter league games in time order. That's nice, clean and easy right there. I'm about
if we dive in 965, 966, the Calrad Rockies are on the road against the Miami Marlins as
sending a contra goes for the fish. Kyle Friedland goes for the Rockies. Don's game is 7.5.
The over sending were between minus 1.10 to plus 1.5. Under sending were between minus 1.10 to
a minus 1.25 with the fish. There are any were between minus 1.85 to minus 1.99 favorites.
You're going to be getting about plus 1.60 to plus 1.70 on the Rockies. If you're looking
a layer on half like I am with the Miami Marlins between plus 1.10 to plus 1.20 and pretty much any
sort of plus money was my buy point here on that Marlins run line. Set that at a plus 1.04.
Now saying to y'all contra was just absolutely terrible last year. He was posting up an ERA
that was hovering in the neighborhood of about a 536. But you look at that fielding
independent of a 428. Does speak to the fact that he was a little bit unlucky last season.
2.8 walks of 1.1 homeruns allowed per 9.10. And that was your number one coming off a major
surgery. And your number two typically guys find their form prior to last season in games
which he was actually starting or seasons in which he was an actual starter. Never post it
above a 414 ERA and he's not going to be some sort of a strikeout artist or anything like that.
But it's a relatively okay swing him as guy. And he gets to go up against a Colorado
Rockies scene that they average about 2.7 runs per game away from online season.
Dead Stink and Lias in the big leagues. Now I think that they're going to be a little bit
better at the plate. Honored Goodman was actually very good for them. He had 31 homeruns.
He had a 275. He actually had OK on the road. They were looking to someone like a Kyle Karros.
He was able to hit a few homeruns late last season. Aziki Otovar was someone that was not
with the team to begin the year last year. He was able to come on strong. A little bit more
towards the back half of the season as he was able to get some at bats. But I mean it's still
really really rough with regards to the team and for the Colorado Rockies. Boopin is a massive
issue for them. 29 out of 30 teams with regards to boopin here. They do bring him Bren and Bernadino.
I actually really liked over with the Boston Red Sox Lices. And he should be able to give you
something while he is at Cognos. These are guys that are very untrustworthy. Victor Vodnic,
the Closer out of three R.A. He's actually relatively rocks off. But for Kyle Friedland,
just never a guy that I've really been able to trust in. 490 80 R.A. Feeling independent was
lower than that. He just doesn't get a lot of strikeouts. 6.9 very nice strikeouts.
Per 9 nettings. When he was on the road, I was here that he already did drop to a 437. You're
going to find a lot of funky home and road splits in games played away from Coors Field. But
still gave up 1.5 homeruns. Per 9 nettings when he was away from home. And for the Miami
Mounds, I actually think that the boopin is going to be OK this season. I don't think that
it's going to be amazing, but I have someone like an Anthony Bender who I like fly a season. He
was able to spy some to 50 A.R.A. Calvin Foshe, P. Fairbanks. These guys are able to be relatively
locked down towards back half of games. And John King, he was the King a few years ago when he was
with the St. Louis Cardinals. Down your last year, I think that he's going to be able to find
that form as well. And for the Miami Mounds, this is a team that's going to be looking to move the
line a little bit more with singles as you've got Kyle Sowers currently on the end of the list,
but save your Edwards. It does a nice job giving you about a 2.85 average. No power whatsoever,
but he moves the line. I've got center mirrors. He was able to fly 21 home runs at the catcher spot.
That was pretty soft for the seam. I like how to low pass. It's for a little bit of average. It's
for a little bit of power. And Jacob Marcy looked really good in the world baseball class. So I think
that the Marlins get the job done on the run line. I think that the Rockies continue to struggle with
their offense away from home. Somebody told us some point to like the under and the Marlins on the
run line, 9, 67, 9, 68. It is the Arizona Diamondbacks. They're going to be on the right against the L.A. Dodgers
as Emmett Sheen is on the bump for the Dodgers. And Ryan Nelson goes for these things. John
scheme is 8.5. Over is between minus 1.10 to a minus 1.20. Under is between even a minus 1.10.
Between minus 1.90 to minus 2.10. That number on the Dodgers. Between plus 1.60 to a plus 1.75.
That number on the B-backs. They're looking to lay run-off right now with the Dodgers.
Mostly about minus 1.05 to minus 1.10. And I'd be willing to lay up to a minus 1.05 in this
Friday. Did some of my run line price at a minus 1.06. As for Emmett Sheen, he was quite solid
last season. Especially in the post season, he was sort of that dude, all sort of gadget guy
coming out of the bullpen for them. If you need a start, he'll be able to give you a start.
And he's got a really good swing and missoff. He was coming off a major surgery last season
and still supplied the team with 11 strikeouts and 0.9 arm runs per 9.9.
It's 282 ERA 293 fielding dependent in a total of 15 appearances. I really think that he's
going to be a star here for the L.A. Dodgers moving forward if they don't trade him. Meanwhile,
for Ryan Nelson, very serviceable for the Diamondbacks. Lies here, 3.39 ERA.
Not a strikeout artist. Some points have to strikeouts per 9.9. He's going to keep seeing his own
front of a 1 over on a lot per 9.9. So in half walks per 9.9. So promise, this is a
air and sun at Diamondbacks bullpen that I really don't have a lot of faith in whatsoever.
I mean, they were trying when they had Paul Sewell to feed season to go to patch that up. But
I like to have Kevin Ginkgo right and Thompson. These are not necessarily great guys. They saw
Paul Sewell then. He saw something great for the scene. One video is a guy that was able to come
on a little bit okay towards back out of season last year, but still sliding north for four
years. Jonathan and Liesga, they're picking him up and they're kicking the tires on him. But with
Arizona, I do think that they're going to be a top 10 offense this season. Can tell Marte of the
Marte part day. 28 home runs. It's over a 280 last season. You've got a young guy
and Jordan Lawler, who he was a little bit of a disappointment last year, but I think that
there's some upside with him. Corbin Carroll has been able to form himself as one of the more
reliable hitters in all baseball. And then Alex Thomas out there in the off-field as well.
Not going to have for a ton of power, but does a good job move behind. He'll steal a few bags,
Gabriel Moreno is another guy that's good for a few singles and for the LA Dodgers. It's the
death star lineup. You've got yourself show your tiny give you 40 plus home runs pitching as well.
I mean, it's just absolutely insane, but next Muncie, when he's out there in the lineup last season,
the team scored over a run per game more when he was out there rather than when he was. He doesn't
do anything amazing. He's a good but not great power iter. He gives you like at 245 average,
a solid on base, but I mean, he really serves a drink for someone like a wool smith to be able to
get jiggy with it. Freddie Freeman will give you 25 plus home runs and he pops who had a rough
postseason, but he's able to do a nice job, mashing, task Hernandez. Not going to give you a lot of
on base, but he's going to hit some bombs as well. And then for this bullpen, you've got Nwindias
now at the Closer Spot, Tanner Scott. My season was a talent season for him two years ago. He was
absolutely dominant with Miami, Marlon said in the Padres. I think that he returns a form. So I'm
going to be willing to lay it with the Dodgers on line up to a minus 105 and did set a total of an
8.7. I do like this total to the over as well. 969, 970 on the card. The Toronto Blue Jays,
Playhouse to the Athletics says Louis 780 goes for the Athletics and Kevin Gossvin goes for the
Blue Jays. Blue Jays do find themselves any between a minus 155 to a minus 165 favorites plus 135 to
plus 145. Then I'm around the Athletics. The total is a half over as minus 122 minus 110,
under as between minus 110 to even money for the Blue Jays. I set them as a minus 177 money line
favorite. If you're looking to lay around after you're getting right around about a plus 125,
and I'm willing to take it. I set my run line price at a plus 18 for Kevin Gossman a little bit of
a shaky year last season, but he found it towards back after the season after just a little bit of
up down all around campaigning. Kevin Gossman, just year in and year out, it always feels like it's
fielding independent. It's lower than his ERA. He does a nice job not really issuing a lot of
walks. He does a pretty good job in terms of keeping the ball in the yard last year. It was a
little bit more of an exception to that. He wants to give it up 1-0 and run for 9-8s. But still,
it's giving up 1-0 and run for 9-8s or fewer since COVID-2020 season. So Rock's all there,
about 9-8s right. That's a 2.3 box for 9-8s. I like what he's able to supply. Now for the Blue Jays,
have a little bit of question marks still with the bullpen. They've been trying out a lot of different
pieces over the last few years in general. I so remember 2 years ago when they completely tried
to revamp that bullpen, but now you do have Jeff Hoffman at the Closer's role. He was miserable during
the regular season, better during the post season. They're going to be dealt with the Amiga Garcia
being on the injured list, but they pick up Tyler Rogers in the off season, Louis-Louis-Varlin.
These are two guys. I think they're going to be pretty rock solid in that bullpen as they picked
up Varlin from the twins. Last, shall we say, trade deadline. And for the Blue Jays, I think this is
the team that's going to be able to match. Don't call Zayn Mollion or Kirk. Let's say,
I'll wait for a 2-8E last season. Fly girl, just 23 home runs are in the regular season,
but went into infertile mode during the post season. I think that he's good for about 35 plus
home runs. They pick up a Su-Sanchez. I got that at a little bit of a down season last year,
but I think that he's going to be able to find it a little bit more as with the Houston Astros
in the back part of the season. He was just what's not a good fit in that lineup, but was pretty
solved with Miami Mones. A very difficult place to be able to end. Kazuma Okamoto is a guy that I think
is really going to be able to help this team out as well. Don't know if he's going to be able to give
you quick the power that you did over at Japan, but a guy that I think is going to do a solid
job moving line. You still have Addison Barger and company, and then on the flip side for the
athletics, they're going to try to slug the rate of victory. Now, I will say for Luis Severino,
big time home in Rhodes, but Slasier, he was absolutely terrible out there in Sacramento last
season as in Sacramento, 6-0-1E or a, he only a lot about 1.1 home runs per nine eggs, but
away from home 0.7 bombs, a lot of per nine eggs, away from home about 2.3 to 2.4,
walks per nine NX302 ERA. So, he was three points better with his ERA when he was away from home,
rather than at home. And then you've got Shay Lengelair, Shay Bang for 31 home runs last season,
and he got his batting average up to about 2.70. Nick Kurtz is a guy that gave you 30 plus home runs.
He does a good job moving line. Jacob Wilson doesn't draw a lot of walks, but he hits above
a 300. He's got some functional power, Brent Rooker is able to give you 25 plus home runs,
Lawrence Butler is able to give you 20 plus bombs. Didn't it for the world's greatest average
last year, but I think that he's going to be able to pick that up Tyler Sodders from. He looked
amazing towards being in part of the season last year. We ain't a little bit in the back half,
but this is an asser scene that I think is going to be able to put us for runs. That said,
I do think that Kevin Gosman gives you a good start here to be able to get the job done.
I do like the run line here of the Blue Jays end. For the ace, I do think that their offense
is going to take a bit of a fall away from home semi-toll and at 8.4. So, I like the Blue Jays
run line and the under 9.71, 9.72. The estros are playing goes to the angels. You say,
thank you, Gucci. I say he's starting for the angels and Mike Burrows goes for the assers.
Assers are between minus 1.62 minus 1.70 favorites and between plus 1.40, seeing his eyes
a plus 1.50 out there on the angels as well. So, on this game, you're going to be getting at an
8.5 over and under anywhere between minus 1.5 to a minus 1.15. If you're looking to lay around
half right now with the astros eyes between a plus 1.25 to a plus 1.35. And for the angels,
I made them as more of a plus 1.44 underdog. I'm going to be one big shot on the angels on the
buddy line because this is an angel scene that I do think that they're going to be rough this
season. No offense or fuss about it. The bullpen has always been. Yeah, not great to say the least,
but for you say, Kikuchi, he's a functional pitcher for the same. You say, Kikuchi,
he last season was able to do a pretty solid job with his swing and miss stuff. He did have
overall a 390.90 or an he was posting up right in the neighborhood of about nine strikeouts,
Bernani and 90. So, walks were up from he needs to work on those walks. I still remember when he
was with the Seattle Manners a few seasons ago. That was just a big issue for him, but that said,
this is a guy in Yusaki Kikuchi that turns back after the season lies here. It felt like he was
just really waning after a really good start to the season. I think that he can start out the
season relatively strong here as you take a look at what he was able to do a season ago. Through
the first three months of the season, he was supplying less than a three 50-year a as a matter of fact,
the first four months all the way through June. And then things just really fell off the rails after
the y'all saw break. So, that's going to be key for him, but this is just not the same master's
lineup that we've seen in the past. Jose Al-Tuve is still very reliable up top. He had a little bit of
a rough game number one, but you know what you're going to be able to get out of him. He sucked parades.
I thought that that was a very nice pick-up. He was very rock-solid in terms of hitting home runs.
When he was out there last season, he was doing some ailments. You've got Carlos Correa back,
which I just feel like this is a good fit in general. Never really. It was a fit with a few minutes
out of twins, but need to see it to believe it a little bit more as he's getting up there in years.
You just have a lot of guys for the Asteris. They do a nice job in terms of not breaking out,
but they don't draw a lot of walks. You need your Diaz, listen to the 300 on-base slice,
he's a Christian Walker, just barely a 300 on-base. When I had a season came Smith,
he had a season-wise guy that just didn't do a great job in terms of drawing walks at 3-12 on-base,
only about nine home runs. So you need a bit more there, and for the Angels, very much
an all-or-nothing team. You've got Mike Drowd, who's already got a home run on the board. So,
yay, barely to him. Sack Netto is probably one of your best guys in terms of just finding a way on-base.
He was able to give the team about a 320 on-base slice, and with some functional power,
no one should always able to find a way to be able to move the line as well. And for Ores,
last year was not great for him to say the least. He has really had a fall,
if ever since he was so great. For the Braves in terms of the World Series, Ron and
got a lot of guys, like as Waldo, Paraza, at the bottom of the fold, that I just don't think
are going to be very functional, well going to be happy. Very happy about the fact that he gave
you 20 home runs last year. Not so well happy about the about 260 on-base, and for the
L Angels, obviously a rough bullpen to say the least, but they pick up Drew Pomeran's,
he only threw 12 pitches yesterday, Jordan Romano is absolutely terrible. He had an 80 or a
last season, I don't have any faith in him whatsoever, but they seem to have found something
a little bit more chase still stuff, and then the Brian's on the flipside for the Astros,
Brian King, Brian Rayu, they're going to be big because Josh Hader is right now deal with a
little bit of a injury, that's going to be hurting them a lot in Benet Sosa, but still some good
death, they didn't utilize Stephen O'Curt yesterday, so I do think that both of these starters
are going to be able to give you a relatively good start, and for Mike Burles comes over after
he was with the Pittsburgh Pirates last season, and a little bit of a wobbly first season
at the big league level, but I do think that there's quite a bit of upside with him.
With Mr. Burles, he's a guy that is a solid swing miss guy, but not necessarily an amazing
swing miss guy, last season about 9 straight cuts at 3 walks per 9, 9, 3, 94, you're right,
about a 4 fielding independent, I do think that there's some upside here, so I did set a total
cure of an 8.3, I'm going to be one, I take a shout out on the underhand, for the Angels plus
145 are better, I like that money line, 973, 974, it is the Guardian, so you're going to be on
the road against the Seattle Mariners, George Kirby is on the bump for Seattle, Gavin Williams goes
for Cleveland, Cleveland is an underdog hero between plus 139 and plus 152, minus 150,
282, minus 180, then number on Seattle with a total between 7 and 7 half, on the 7 overs,
minus 115, on the minus 105, on the 7 half, on the minus 120, over is even an, for the Guardians,
I need at least a plus 175 to take a shot, no looking to lay a runoff with the Seattle Mariners,
ever to be plus 125 to a plus 135, needed at least a plus 128, so I'm in there,
for Gavin Williams, it just was very shaky and inconsistent for him, this past season now,
I will say for the Cleveland Guardians, that five teammates are both Penny Ray, last season,
so many guys are able to come in there, like Eric Sobrowski, along with Hunter Gattis,
who seems to be dealing with a little bit of injury, to begin this season, but oh no,
you have a really good depth there, and for Williams, he did post up a 306 area,
439 fielding, depending on how he did give up 4.5 flocks per nine nights,
I think that that's going to be costly moving forward, and he faces a Mariners lineup that,
while they play out there in the most picture-friendly ballpark, in all baseball,
if you look at the metrics, you've got a big jumper-cow rally, even despite that,
he was able to put up 60 home runs, they did lose a few guys in the off season,
no longer do they have Oriapalanco out there, but Josh Naylor, obviously, he's a guy that is
going to be really big for this game, still quite a few bases, he's got some good functional power,
obviously coming over from the Cleveland Guardians, JP Crawford right now, starting the year on the
Ender List, so I'll probably be looking to a little bit more of Leo Rivas, Pratt's Brandon Donovan,
in the infield and Donovan, when he was with the St. Louis Cardinal, just yearning a year out
over a 340 on base, honestly, a great power hitter, but a guy that's able to do a nice job,
moving the line, and then for the Mariners, this is one of the most dominant bullpencer you're
going to find, in all baseball, Cardinal's Vargas Lyos season was really rock solid, he was
able to give you some good endings, Cape Spire, he posted up a sub-275-aray map rash under
his Munoz, both of these guys is sub-250-aray, in the 8th and 9th outings, even a handword
Prasardo, is able to come in there, give you some good relief, and then for Mr. George Kirby,
he's always been much better when he's been at home rather than away from him, the overall
ERA Lyos era was not amazing, 420-aray that goes down to a 338 at home, at home he gave up less
at home run, Pranay and Endings, always good with the command, didn't give up a few more walks
last season, but still at home he was posting up just a hair over two walks, Pranay and Endings,
he had a little bit of russert to the season, first few starts coming off the interlisks,
were not great, after that he was really able to find a C-like, so that's a little bit of a
warp number, and for the Cleveland Guardians, just a team that time and time again,
has that but he will find it with his offense, now they no longer have Josh Taylor.
Obviously, Jose Ramirez, you know what you're able to get out of him, 25 plus home runs,
will move the line, and Stephen Kwan is a very nice functional bat, he's able hit above 8 270,
sometimes gets a little bit too power happy, so would like to see him just hone in, try to be
able to get those singles, David Schneeman, he was able to give you a little bit of power last year,
by likes of he, Brian Roqueo, Gabriel Urias, hitting a 220 or lower, need a little bit more there,
like the pickup of Rees Hoskins, a little bit of power, but again, not a guy that does the most
amazing job of getting on base, so do think that the Mariners do find a way to be able to get
the job done at home and Kirby is going to be at his best, so by tall as some point two,
personally, would rather have a 7F under rather than a 7 overs, so looking at that under
and the run line of the Seattle Manners, of anything of a plus 138 greater, 975, 976, you've got the
New York Yankees on the right against the San Francisco Giants, Robbie Rae is as if a parade to
another, sir, game Shinlit Lear is on the bump for the Yankees, Yankees who find themselves as
minus 122 to minus 136 favors, between plus 104 to plus 115, then number on San Francisco,
7F is a total over, is anywhere to be minus 110 to a minus 120, under is between even a minus 110,
and so by tall as some point one, I like the under Cam Schletler was just so good in the
start that he got last season, this is not including the playoffs, just regular season, but 14
regular season starts 296, he already had 10.4 strikeouts for 9.9nings, Robbie Rae, I know it's
hip-hop Rae in the first start of the season, hip-hip boo in the second half of the season,
554 Rae had the second half of the season with a strikeout to walk ratio of two, and that's a big
thing for Rae, he got it down to about 3.6 walks for 9.9nings, but when he is wild, he is wild,
only gave up 1.1 on runs for 9.9nings last season, that was actually his best since the 2015
campaign, but so you now have to go up against a New York Yankees team that we saw that they were
able to do night number one, and I don't think that you're going to have Aaron Judge go for over
4.9nings, strikeouts or anything like that, so they're only going to be able to get better moving
for, I do think that they're a little bit more of a functional team in terms of moving the line,
I'd like the pickup of Cody Bellinger, he's going to be able to give you power, but just a nice
job ending for singles, John Carlson is a little bit more all-or-nothing, but he had to his,
in that opening day game, Jess Shism, he's able to get Jessy with some power, he's got good
wheels out there, as well, and Jose Calabrio, I think it's just a really nice piece in the infield
in general, Ryan McBank getting him out of Colorado, I think he's going to help him out,
moving forward in for the Yankees, I have high expectations for this bullpen, I know that they don't
have CF, like the stunning guys, they don't longer have Luke Weaver out there, but guys like Fernando
Cruz, Camille Univolo, used to be a giant, David Bunnar, these are nice rocks, all of pieces,
Jake Bird, he was able to give the bird to the Colorado Rockies, and I do think that getting him out
of Colorado, because his career ERA is 475, but pretty much all that was in Colorado, I think
they actually get to be a good fit here, and for the giants, they were a tough team,
in terms of bullpen, ERA Lyos season, but that went downward after they did trade away the likes
of Camille Univolo, and company, they are going to be looking a lot more now to Eric Miller and
Ryan Walker, a pair of guys that were wobbly Lyos season to save these, for Eric Miller,
he was the main stabilizing force, he posted up about a 150 ERA, Ryan Walker, he was north of
a 40 ERA, so wasn't necessarily great out of him, Sam Entages is right now on the endless
and Ryan Brookie, they are kicking the tires on him after it was a less than tremendous season,
between the pirates and the blue jays, he posted up an ERA well above a five, so that's a little
bit less than amazing, and for the giants, it was very hit or miss with the lineup Lyos season,
because this is one of the most butch-friendly ball parks in all of baseball, I think that they're
going to do a better job than they did night number one, because well, they scored as many runs
as myself, but getting in Luis Ryes, who's consistently hitting a 300, jungle Lee, he had a season
cut short Lyos season, but I think that there's a lot of upside out of him, and he's a guy that's
able to give you functional power, he's able to give you about a 330 on base, not necessarily
going to hit a bunch of bombs, but he'll give you like doubles power, Oloy Ramos, is a guy that
I like as well with Ramos, he was the guy that last season was able to go off for 20 plus bombs,
and it has done so and back to back here, it's about a 330 on base, so I mean you've got
relatively solid pieces there, but match up, what are you going to be able to get out of him?
They're just weak stretches where he's like one of the top five hitters in all baseball,
and then he just absolutely stinks, you just don't know what you're going to be able to get out of
him night and night out, he started out there a little bit rough, William Amos, it did not work out
for him last season, I think that he's going to be a bit better at Rafael Levers, second half of
the season, he was really able to find it with his bunch as well, so I do think that for the giants,
the offense has a little bit of upside, but so, very picture friendly ballpark, loves Schlotler as
a pitcher, something he said in my iPhone 40, I'm taking them on the money line, I like the under,
somebody told me I had a 7.1, 977, 978, it's the Royals on the road against the Baravos,
as Chris Sale looks to not sell for the Atlanta Braves line, got Cool Regans on the bum for Ken City,
the total on-scam is between 7 to 7.5, on the 7.5, the overs finds 120, the under is even,
on the 7.5, under is minus 120, and the overs even, and between minus 137 to minus 150, that
number on the Baravos line, between plus 119 to plus 125, that number on Ken City,
set the braves at a minus 174 on the money line, I played a conservative on the money line just
because I do think that Cool Regans is going to have a really nice season, for Cool Regans,
that ERA of a 450 last year is a big giant Medusa, his fielding independent was a 250, his ERA,
was almost 2 points higher than his fielding independent end, he was able to get 14 strikeouts
at 2.9, walks for 9.9s, limited with only 13 starts, Lyos season, Chris Sale, he was a bit
limited Lyos season as well, he was the awesome injuries, when he was out there, he was getting
10 plus strikeouts for 9.9s, he looked like the Chris Sale, that one aside on the word 250, 80,
or A267 fielding independent, so I think that you got two aces out there, and then the question
becomes, what are you going to be able to get out of these two bow pens, as for the Atlanta Braves,
it's been a little bit hot and cold in terms of bow pen, they had pierced Johnson to a really
nice shop for them Lyos season, he is not back with the team this season, so that's a little bit
interesting, and for the Royals, they did let go of Anel Zerpa in the off season, but they made
some nice additions, Lucas Ursage was really good with the athletics, over the last few seasons,
John Shriver, as a guy with that Lyos here at a 380 or A, he's a little bit hot and cold, but
I think that there's some upside there, Cuggles of Sevens is a really good closer, I would say a
top 10 close or a Daniel Lynch, was pretty formidable as well, but with the Royals, the offense
was just terrible Lyos here, they were about him 10 team and turns of runs scoring, I think that
there's upside here, you know what you're going to get out of Bobby with your 25 plus home runs,
he's going to be an ender and you're a 380, I can't believe he's almost miserable,
like I think that he's going to be better this year, but do we have to question whether or not he's
going to be able to put it together, I think that is very fair to ask, Isaac Collins, he's a guy
that's able to move line at about a 265 Lyos here with the old Milwaukee Brewers, Jonathan India,
he's a guy that's able to reach base as well, but ever since getting to the Royals,
just has not been able to be what he was with the same Cincinnati Reds, and then himself
in our Paris, feels like he's on the back end of his career as well, had 30 home runs last year,
but he really doesn't draw a lot of walks, what have you and for the online embrace,
I mean a few seasons ago, that 2023 campaign, they were averaging 5.75 runs per game,
just all sorts of injuries over the last few seasons, Drake Baldwin was really rock solid
as a rookie Lyos in hitting about a 270 double figure amount of formers, Ozzy Ozzy Ozzy,
all these hobbies, all these hobbies, he's a rock solid guy that's able to give you a 15 plus
home runs, I think that he improves on that 240 average from the season ago, Austin Riley was
dealing with injury, when he's at peak form, I'm not saying he's dominant, but he's a role to be
rock solid, but Mikey Strumsky was able to find it, ironically enough Lyos season with the Royals,
Ronald Acunia Jr., I mean this is a MVP candidate right here, a guy that's able to give you 35 plus
bombs, a guy that's able to throw a 400 on base, he's such a different spaker, and for Racial Glaciest,
they need him to figure it out at the coasters, but he was miserable last season for the online
embrace, but I mean the other guys are not necessarily bad, I'm not going to call them amazing,
but Dylan Lee is up 350 year A, Aaron Bummer, sometimes those are bummer, but he was able to spy like
a 385 Tyler Kimley actually really found it with this team as well, like Tyler Kimley has had some
really bad years with the Royals, but that said, after the trade deadline, he was posting up a sub two
year A for this online embrace, so do think that there's some upside here, I think they get two
aces on the mountain, so between a sub two and a sub two and a sub two and a sub two are either
the seven half under as I did, so my told sub two, I do think that sale gets a job done,
I'm going to lay it with the brace, made them on 34 favor, right things up with 9-7-9-9-80,
the Tigers are on the road against the Padres, as Michael King looks to be the king for the pods,
and if you've got a frumble of all this on the bum for Detroit, the total is between 7-7-7-5,
on the 7-5, under as minus 115, the over as minus 105, on the 7, the over as minus 115,
the under as minus 105, the Padres are anywhere between minus 112 to minus 127 favorites,
between even money to plus 110, that number on the Tigers, I really don't understand this line,
I did set the Padres at a minus 148, I'm going to be one to lay it, from revolved as in his last
10 starts last year was terrible, he gave up 4 plus runs at 8 on last 10 starts, that's 6-5
year A, with the use and answers, now he's looking for a new home mirror with the Detroit Tigers,
and the strike cut stuff wasn't bad, he was getting about 8-8 in that strike cut,
Burn-i-9-10, he really doesn't give up a lot of walks, he's a workhorse in terms of the pitches
that he's able to throw, but man, it was all sorts of brutal, I'm for Michael King, 344 ERA
last season, but that comes with a little bit of an answers, was limited to 15 starts,
last season a lot of the issues that he had giving up 1.5 on runs, Burn-i-9-10 was soon coming
off of injury, when he's at full force, he's much better at each other last 4 seasons,
prior to last year, had given up less than 1 home run, Burn-i-9-10-10, he's in a very
picture-friendly ballpark, going against a Detroit Tigers scene that obviously, day number 1,
they looked really good, Spencer Torkos in, was able to give you 30 plus bombs,
Lion-C's in, looks like he's going to be in, for a relatively nice season, you've got a guy
in the laboratory who, he's not going to hit for like a ridiculous amount of power, but
does a good job moving Lion, he'll give you some power, Kerry Carpenter, I think, is the
most underrated guy, for this scene, he had an 0-5 yesterday, but so a guy that was able to hit
for about a 250 with 26 home runs, Lion-C's in, he's sort of the straw that serves the drink,
at the top of Lion-Up for this scene, he's got to love what you're able to get out of cold
Keef, you just don't have a lot of easy outs for this scene, I'm just juries out with
Guards of Kevin Mechanical, he's a young guy that got his first start yesterday, that could be
a little bit of an issue, but even a hobby bias, was able to move the Lion, and then for the San Diego
batteries, you've got Fernando Tati's Jr. Long-Banney-Bachado, big guys are good for 25 plus home runs,
even in this ballpark, they're going to hit for 275 plus, I like the pickup of Miguel Nr,
he was able to hit above a 275 with the athletic life season, and then we've got Jackson Merrill
Ed, that incredible rookie season, Lion-C here was a little bit of disappointment, 16 home runs,
about a 320 on base, I think that he improves upon that, a little bit more of this season,
Zander Bogarts has been a waste of money, that's not great, and now they've got Nick Cassianos
as sort of a platooner with Gavin Cheats, I really like that, and they finally stabilize the
catcher spot with Freddy for me, but a big reason why I do like the under is that you've got
for the Padres, the number one bullpen, in terms of ERA and the big leagues, now they are
deothindries to Jason Adam, a long Yuki Matsui, but Lottery and more to home was a sub three-year
guy, Jeremiah Strodd has rock saw, Misa Miller had a little bit of a rough go of it to begin the
season with the athletics, here in San Diego, he was just absolutely tremendous, David Morgan is a
guy that's able to give you some good addings, and I recognize that Nick Pavetta got run very early
in the serve, but Brad Dougley Ramirez was able to fill quite a few endings, he was able to pick
up the loads, so they utilize more of the longer leavers, Ron Manonatio is a guy that I like in
this bullpen, I always like them with the Yankees, and do think that for the Padres after a rough
night number one, it's going to be a little bit better year night number two, so I might tell
my toll at some point two, I do like the under-and with Lottery's won a life of minus 148 on the
money line, now write things up, for the Friday edition of the baseball betting show, now part of
the recent family podcast, big thanks to Mimie Major Manek, aka Matt Joseph, for joining me in
the last segment, if you do like Jeremy from this fine podcast baseball betting show,
you're able to subscribe wherever you're podcast, Apple Podcast, Google Play, Spotify,
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every game, so I'll be back with you once again about, thank you.
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