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Krystal and Saagar discuss White House doesn't rule out war draft, Fox coverup of Trump disgrace receiving soldiers, desalination plants struck.
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Hey guys, Saga and Crystal here.
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Morning everybody, happy Monday.
We have a great show for everybody today.
Will we have Crystal?
Indeed we do.
Once again, we're going to be covering the Iran War from every aspect.
Trump outweigh some new comments saying that it will be a neutral decision
between us and Israel when this war ends.
So that's pretty interesting.
We've also got Trump's disrespectful display at the dignified transfer of service member
remains. We'll show you that and how Fox News tried to cover it up.
Water sources are now being attacked.
This is extraordinarily dire for a region that does not have a sufficient
fresh water there locally.
So we'll break down what that means for the war and escalation.
We're also going to have an analyst oil analyst on to take a look
at what skyrocketing oil prices mean for the entire economy.
Extremely dire warnings from a very sober minded analyst.
So you definitely want to listen to that one.
A new supreme leader has been chosen to party is going to join us to
break down what that means and also what happened with Iran's attempted
de-escalation in the region.
Jeffrey Sachs believes we are already in a world war.
We will discuss and debate.
And Lindsey Graham is a psychopathic war hawk and also apparently a traitor
according to new reporting.
So definitely want to know about that one.
Right.
Even the Iranians are like, hey man, if somebody did this over here,
we would just, you know, we would put them on trial for treason.
So there you go.
All right. Thank you to everybody who has been supporting signing up for the show
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find the show, especially if they want to know what's going on with Iran.
But as you said, let's start with these new comments from Donald Trump,
the president on board Air Force One on returning from that dignified transfer
of the fallen American service members.
Here he is talking about boots on the ground,
refusing to rule it out.
Let's take a listen.
Do you think the map of Iran will look the same?
The war is complicated enough without having getting the currency involved.
And do you think the map of Iran looks the same after this is all done?
No, I can't tell.
You're probably not.
Where's the circumstances where you've sent in round troops?
How are you thinking about that?
I don't know.
You want to talk about it now.
I don't think it's an appropriate question.
You know, I'm not going to answer it.
Could there be possible for a very good reason?
I have to be very good reason.
And I would say if we ever did that,
they would be so decimated that they would be able to fight at the ground level.
The negotiating level is maybe maximum,
but we're not looking to settle.
They'd like to settle.
We're not looking to settle.
They're at that third or fourth level of leadership.
And they have leaders right now that nobody even knows who they are.
They're being decimated now.
You know, at some point, I don't think there'll be anybody left to maybe
to say we surrender, but they're being decimated.
Some Iranians are concerned that the Kurds will carve out kind of an autonomous region
as they did in Syria and Iraq.
We're not having, we're not looking to the Kurds going in.
We're very friendly with the Kurds as you know,
but we don't want to make the war any more complex than it already is.
We don't rule that out.
We don't want, yeah, I rule that out.
I don't want the Kurds going in.
I don't want to see the Kurds get hurt, get killed,
and we've had a good relationship.
They will need to go in, but we really,
I've told them I don't want them to go in.
So completely all over the map comments, but the most
noteworthy one is not ruling out boots on the ground saying if we did do,
even you can see, it's probably going to happen now at this point.
But secondary to that are these imperial comments at the very top that we showed you.
Crystal, him saying that the map is not going to look the same.
And even though he is talking there about, quote,
ruling out the Kurds, he didn't rule out the Kurds.
The Kurds ruled it out themselves.
The Iraqi Kurds were like, hey man, we want no part of this.
And I'll say why?
Because they're right in the range of all of the short-range missiles.
The Iranians have already been firing stuff at them,
including the US bases.
They have no appetite for some Iranian Iraq war
redux.
Remember, at one point was that I think the blood,
what are the bloodiest conflicts in human history?
Almost nobody ever pays any attention to it.
But over a million people died in that conflict.
They hit one, nothing to do with any sort of
encouragement, which will put them at risk.
But that doesn't mean that we're not going to be
have all kinds of CIA-sponsored groups inside of the country.
Potentially, the Iranian Kurds were already there,
could be armed.
The Turks obviously would get involved.
But the comment there, I mean, at every turn,
all this man does is make it even more existential
for the people of Iran.
The map is going to look at, what would you do if somebody
said that?
Imperially decided, we're going to redraw your borders
like it's some Pico time, which by the way,
they're talking about in Israel.
In Israel, they're like, hey, it's Pico.
Again, it's an opportunity to redraw the maps of the Middle East.
You will fight to the death, will you not?
I mean, that's, if we're going to burn your oil supplies,
we're going to talk about here in a bit.
We are going to drop bombs all over, collapse the police forces,
kill the Ayatollah, sponsor some third party groups.
And the president says we're going to redraw your map.
What do you think that they're going to do as a result of this?
This is an attack on the polity itself,
not just on the regime, on the entire nation state of an idea of Iran.
So yeah, they're almost certainly going to just continue to use this,
especially Iranian state propaganda.
There's been no widespread protests,
despite the fact that everybody promised it.
And at every turn, all he is doing is turning the switch up for escalation,
which of course is disastrous for them,
disastrous for us and another American service member,
which just confirmed KIA in the operation,
not to mention for the Iranian people,
and especially for everybody else in the region.
It just means wider war is even more like it.
Yeah, and you've had, in addition to those seven officially KIA,
you have two others who have died,
one allegedly of a medical episode,
the other allegedly of an accident,
and then there are a number of injuries.
There's a hospital that's been closed for labor and delivery
to handle the wounded US service members coming out of Iran.
So that's already where we are.
I also have to just say,
for these diaspora Iranian monarchist,
what a fool, you thought that Trump really cared about freedom
for the Iranian people.
The people were the biggest critics of the Iranian regime
are in Tehran,
and now they're having oil rain down on them.
Apocalyptic fires, like it genuinely looks like a literal movie
of a hellscape.
That's your Iranian freedom.
I'm sure the women are really grateful
for their kids breathing in toxic fumes
that are probably going to cause them to have cancer 10 or 20 years in the future.
And meanwhile, you have Trump coming out and saying,
yeah, Iran will probably break apart.
Like, I mean, just absolute, absolute insanity.
And it speaks to the fact that the goal now is Israel's goal.
It's civil war, it's regime collapse, it's chaos.
The only reason, as you said,
the Kurds aren't getting involved also,
is not only are they worried about the danger,
but they're like, listen,
you people have, especially Trump in particular,
have screwed us over multiple times in the past.
Like, how many times are we going to have to get the Felford again award
before we say, you know what,
this battle is yours, go, good luck,
we'll see what happens on the other side of it.
So that's where things stand as of right now.
I want to go ahead and play this next piece,
which is extraordinarily significant.
So it has now been confirmed that it was the US
that struck that girl's school and murdered those 168 children,
mostly girls ages 7 to 12.
There have been multiple analyses.
And now we have actual video of the Tomahawk missile.
Those come from us, not from Israel, not from Iran.
Those come from us.
Okay, Tomahawk missile that was dropped on that school
and recall also there's reporting this was a double tap strike.
So in any case, this is now incontrovertible,
you know, as much as you can learn anything definitively in war.
We now, though, this is the case.
Trump gets asked about it and what do,
what does he do?
He just outright lies.
Let's take a listen.
Did the United States bomb a girl's elementary school
in southern Iran on the first day of the war in 175 people?
I think you did.
Based on what I've seen that was done by Iran.
Is that true?
Mr. Hegseth?
That was Iran.
You did that?
We're certainly investigating it.
Still investigating it.
But the only side that targets civilians is Iran.
We think it was done by Iran.
I think it was very inaccurate, as you know,
with their conditions, they have no accuracy whatsoever.
We're just done by Iran.
Disgusting.
So you saw that Pete Hegseth won't back him up on that.
He said others didn't investigate it.
Once we were investigating it.
Look, I mean, as he said, there's a video.
It's literally a Tomahawk missile.
There's only one person in the entire conflict
that uses a Tomahawk missile.
So last time I checked, that's the only time
that it could happen.
And all of the background on the strike makes sense.
Not to devolve too much, but it shows you the danger.
And also, I've always warned about this
with air campaigns and everything.
I was like, oh, the most sophisticated military.
I'm not denying that.
But also, there's a lot of error.
So let's say you have this IRGC-based,
which has a school attached to it.
And years ago, it was only IRGC and it wasn't a school.
It's very obvious that they didn't update
whatever their strike package was.
And whoever's programming these coordinates
into the Tomahawk, they have no idea.
They're being passed on by the Pentagon.
So whoever it is that put that coordinate
into the strike package, sent it along to the Tomahawk.
They're the ones who are responsible.
In the old times, this is a massive scandal.
I covered the Kunduz Hospital incident in 2015.
That was front page news of every paper in the country.
The military, look, hated Obama and all of that.
But there were still at least some rules
and all that at the time.
And at the Pentagon, I mean, their feet
were held to the fire whenever that hospital
in Afghanistan was struck.
This time around, it's like Tomahawk Missile video.
You've got multiple geolocated pieces of evidence.
By the way, the military themselves
are leaking to Reuters.
And to everybody else, they're like, yeah, it was probably us, okay?
And now, if they never confirm it,
and Trump is like, oh, it was Iran,
which was some Israeli claim,
just so everybody understands.
That was a claim thrown around by Israel,
literally completely fake.
It's Gaza-level stuff.
Oh, was there a rocket that had to come down from Hamam?
Exactly, it was a misfire that came down and then killed them.
This is like a serious, shameful incident.
Even Laura Ingram is like, hey,
somebody's head needs to roll for this, right?
But this is the Gaza, this is what happens
when we get in bed with the Israelis.
We're going to adopt their tactics
and their talking points.
We're literally eroding our entire national sense of honor.
In the Iraq war, I can tell you this right now.
This might have happened,
but seriously, something actually would have happened
at the military command level.
You think, Hegseth and Trump are going to do anything zero?
Okay, it's disgraceful.
Yeah, the moment that the media stops asking
this question, we'll never hear about it.
No, we'll never hear about it.
That's what's going to happen.
And one last piece on this,
because it's important, something we've been focused on,
very, very possible that AI and Thropics Quad,
in particular, was involved in picking this target.
And so, you know, and I mean,
which opens up a whole other basket of questions,
about the way AI is being utilized.
We know that AI continues to hallucinate.
You know, obviously this begs the question
of who then who was responsible.
If it was AI that picked it,
and there wasn't sufficient human involvement in review.
So just, I mean, just horrifying.
Well, you can easily see how it happens.
You're like, hey, give me a list of IRGC bases.
Here you go.
Yeah.
It just pills from an old data set.
You don't know or whatever.
Right, exactly.
No, no, in there what?
You've got 50 different strike path.
How many they said in the first day of the campaign?
That they did double the amount of strikes
that they didn't shock it on Iraq.
Yeah.
So one strike was bad.
But this is the problem.
This is why you're supposed to have people
with, you know, some actual intelligence
and others looking it over.
Because if Tomahawk missile doesn't just fly somewhere
without a serious level of checks
and in terms of people who are like,
let's do the intelligence.
Here we go.
Here's the picture of it.
This is why it needs to be struck.
Here's its impact.
And this, I mean, seriously,
a massively shameful incident.
You're honestly a huge besmirching
on the entire honor of the United States.
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Let's put A3 up here next on the screen just to show you.
Everything is rolling towards ground troops right now.
I just, I don't see a way out of it.
NBC News, Trump has a privately shown interest
in U.S. ground troops in Iran.
His comments have been focused on the idea
of a small contingent of troops
that we use for specific purposes.
Let's go to the next one just to continue to fill this out.
This is from A4.
There's been a cancellation of an Army exercise
quote fueling speculation
about Middle Eastern troop deployments.
The Elite 82nd Airborne Division
which specializes in ground combat
and other fraught missions
is now awaiting new orders after an unexpected change of plans.
The Army abruptly cancelled
this major training exercise.
This is stationed at Fort Bragg in North Carolina.
Brigade combat team of 4 to 5,000 soldiers
ready to deploy on an 18-hour notice
for missions as varied as seizing airfield
and other critical infrastructure.
So you could see paratroopers
now who are getting involved here.
And in fact, what we see initially
is that some shape of what this strike would look like
or for ground troops.
Let's put A6 please on the screen.
This is from a friend Shelby Talcott
over at Semaphore.
Trump's Iran options include
a special operations raid on nuclear sites.
So what it would do is a special unit mission
has long ready to quote counter WMD mission
where their job is to go in
and get loose nuclear like loose nuclear material,
fissile material,
center fuges, destroy them.
And this is part of the folly of the entire thing.
We're told that this is all about nuclear sites.
Well, we've bombed some of the nuclear sites
but by US intelligence's own admission
it's all now underground
and they can't get to it.
They can't continue to bomb it.
So to go and get it, what do you have to do?
Boots on the ground.
And so in this instance,
you can't just have some special operations team insert
when the Iranians know you're probably coming.
That's why you would have the 82nd Air Morts.
You're going to have to send thousands of troops in.
So the special operation can do it.
Those guys have to provide security to be able to come in.
If anything goes right to airlift them out of here,
you can easily see how much of a disaster
that this could easily be inside.
What do you think that the Iranians don't read the news?
What do you think they're going to do right now?
They're going to surround that thing
and turn it into a death trap.
And I'm not saying that we are not capable
of doing something like this,
but perhaps it would cost a lot of lives.
And what's shocking too is the cavalier nature
that they're already talking about death,
not just of Iranians but of Americans.
With Iranians, I mean, Hegseth, he's a psychopath.
He's like, anybody's still alive.
They may not be alive.
I mean, he's literally like a video game character.
And actually, I do think it's worth meditating here
on the White House's propaganda.
Everything is like Iron Man, Tropic Thunder.
Like they're trying to meme this into existence.
It's some of the worst aspects of like 2003,
Ra Ra, Americanism, which South Park
used to do such a good job of parroting.
But to show how insane things are in the White House,
they will not even rule out a draft, okay?
So A5, let's take a listen.
Mother's out there are worried
that we're going to have a draft,
that they're going to see their sons get in
and daughters get involved in this.
What do you want to say about the president's plans
for troops on the ground?
As we know, it's been largely an air campaign up until now.
It has been and it will continue to be
and President Trump wisely does not remove options
off of the table.
I know a lot of politicians like to do that quickly,
but the president as Commander-in-Chief
wants to continue to assess the success
of this military operation.
It's not part of the current plan right now,
but the president again,
wisely keeps his options on the table.
Wisely keeping his options on the table for a draft.
I mean, it's, first of all, politics-wise,
think about that.
That's going to rocket to every mom of a 17-year-old
in the entire country.
All these young men who voted for Trump.
All these young men, who voted for Trump.
I mean, I have no words.
By the way, I mean, I've given you my counter to it to take.
I supported draft for the exact same reason.
I'm like, hey, if you want to,
you know, if you want to send America's sons and daughters
to the war, the whole population better be bought in
or people should riot over the-
Send Baron first, then that will follow.
Yeah, listen.
In the first red war, the prime minister of the UK,
his son was killed on the front line.
The entire, like, highest echelon of society,
all of their sons were killed.
I'm like, actually thrown into combat,
not some, you know, rear action.
And that showed that the society as a whole
was actually in to the war.
And I'm saying the war was good,
but that's the last time that we've ever seen
anything like that.
From that point forward, the elite of the elite,
they always get in the rear echelon.
And of course, since Vietnam, in particular,
the way we got around that one is all poor, young and black,
what we young black and white men are the people who went
and fought and died in the war.
Same thing, unfortunately happened with the war in Iraq.
And Afghanistan, they all volunteer military force.
They are primarily targeted.
I mean, look, there's a military culture in the South
and a lot of these working class communities
literally across America.
And they're the ones who predominantly suffered
while the people like me, you know, got to go to college
is shameful, actually, that they're allowed
to perpetuate something like this.
Yeah, I mean, my daughter's a senior in high school.
Their curators are at the high school all the time,
you know, and who is interested in that.
The people who, yeah, they're not on the college track.
They're looking at the economy.
They're, you know, this is a way to be able
to have a stable job.
And next thing, you know, you're being set not,
set off to fight some war for Israel in the Middle East.
Just to, I just want to drill down a little bit
on why there is increasing likelihood,
if not certainty that US ground troops
are going to be on the ground.
Because, you know, I think part of why we're in this place
at this point, and Robert Pave, Professor Pave,
has been doing a lot of this analysis
and predicting this for a while,
which is why it's worth listening what he says,
is, you know, you are not going to be able
to accomplish either a regime change
or destroying the nuclear material from the air.
So, you know, in Iraq, it took a year of searching the country
to figure out there were no WMD, okay?
So, you are not going to be able to figure out where it is.
You are not going to be able to bomb it into oblivion
or have confidence that you've bombed it into oblivion
without being there on the ground.
So, option number one is you fail, right?
Trump Tacos, that's what I'm hoping for.
Trump Tacos said, you know, bomb something
or kills the next supreme leader.
And it's like, okay, we're done.
Great job, everybody, let's go home.
In that scenario, number one Israel, of course,
I'm not going to be satisfied with that.
Number two, it's not clear that Iran would accept that
at this point because they're looking at this.
Their new supreme leader just had his father, mother, wife,
and son murdered by the US and Israel.
So, I don't think he's going to be in, like,
a really conciliatory mood here.
Number one, number two, their strategic calculus now
is that they have to hit us hard.
They have to make us pay and suffer
so that we don't do this again.
So, even if Trump tacos at this point,
it is no guarantee that the thing is going to be over.
So, that's option number one.
And of course, Trump, you know, he wants to save face, et cetera.
So, you've got a lot of forces from Israel
that are continuing to push in this direction.
Number two is that you have some sort of ground invasion
to try to obtain and destroy this nuclear material
so that you can have your mission accomplished moment there.
Number three, I guess, is that you like deploy a nuke
or something completely insane like that,
which we're going to talk about a little bit more
of the possibility of that in World War Three,
which, frankly, at this point, you can't put anything
with Netanyahu and Trump in charge.
You cannot put anything off the table
because the level of death and destruction
that these men are comfortable with is completely insane.
I think Trump thinking about his legacy,
I don't think he cares whether that legacy is, like,
as a good leader or as a notoriously evil leader.
I think he's just more interested in leaving
a gigantic mark on the world and wanting to be remembered.
And so, listen, if you're going in that direction,
being the first president since World War Two
to drop a nuke, again, I'm not saying that's what's going to happen,
but I don't think that you can put it off the table.
I wouldn't rule it out.
I actually wouldn't rule it out,
not just because of Trump, but really because of BB.
Let's put A7 up there on the screen.
Trump says to the times of Israel,
it'll be a mutual decision with Netanyahu
regarding when the war ran.
So, America literally, you know,
we're giving up all of our sovereignty.
It's a mutual decision with BB Netanyahu,
literally a client state, not exactly somebody
who's an equal ally slash partner in this entire thing,
but he's the one who's gone all in.
We're going to talk later about those oil strikes.
It was Israel, apparently, and they're saying,
oh, the US, they were very upset about the strike fake,
whatever.
If you're not going to do anything about it,
don't leak it to Baroque Revee,
just like Joe Biden's entire presidency did,
but their level of barbarism, which we all saw.
Remember, it's not just Gaza,
because Gaza was barbarism at a humanitarian level.
But their barbarism in terms of their gangster action
in the whole region is really what showed.
It's like, oh, these fuckers will do anything.
Like Doha Katar, Jordan, or it's our Lebanon.
Like, all over the entire Middle East.
Syria, Lebanon right now.
Literally, I mean, they're saying,
we're going to turn Dahia, area of Beirut, into communists.
This is Smotr, they say this stuff out loud,
how they're going to level.
I've seen hotels, buildings just completely collapsing
in the middle of that city.
So that is why I actually wouldn't rule out anything,
because you never know where Israel will force you.
Well, and especially when you layer on
the number of religious fanatics
who are wanting to bring about the end times,
like how can you rule anything out?
And that's in Israel and that's here too.
So again, I sort of feel like I had a blind spot
for how much that ideology is significant,
both in terms of the, some of the base of the Republican party,
but more importantly, in terms of leadership,
I mean, you think about Huckabee, you think about Hegseth,
you think about the, you know,
Trump's spiritual advisor,
and then he has this messianic vision of himself.
This is scary stuff that we're playing with,
very scary stuff that they're playing with.
Let's turn now to Donald Trump here.
This should be a national scandal, you know.
I thought that the, remember what the Tansuit,
Latte, Salute, all that stuff under Obama,
that was Fox News fair.
Here was Trump at the dignified transfer,
literally dead American servicemen
where he's supposed to be saluting
and he's wearing a baseball cap.
Take a look at this.
I mean, every other person is not wearing a baseball cap
because that's not what you're supposed to do
in this type of situation.
The USA cap, apparently it's the exact same USA cap
that was worn whenever he announced the war.
Remember, in the middle of the night,
literally at what 2 a.m.,
and then we didn't hear from him for like 24 hours
on what the hell was going on there.
What's even crazier is this Fox News
and the way that they covered it,
where they actually played old footage
of the dignified transfer,
apparently to cover up the baseball cap.
Let's go ahead and put this up here on the screen.
So as you guys can see all here,
they use old footage of a previous dignified transfer,
apparently to mislead the audience
about the fact that he did wear a baseball cap during,
that's right.
I mean, that is so crazy.
Now, Fox News, I guess to their credit,
did eventually apologize after this was pointed out.
Let's take a listen.
Before we move on,
we want to acknowledge a mistake made earlier
on our program during our coverage
of yesterday's dignified transfer.
We inadvertently aired video
from an older dignified transfer
instead of the ceremony that took place yesterday.
We deeply regret the error
and extend our respect and condolences
to the service members' families.
We honor the sacrifice of those six American heroes.
Yeah, sure.
I'm sure they're just a little oopsie
editing together a clip
with a previous dignified transfer.
I mean, especially, here's why I actually don't believe it
because none of the hosts,
like everyone saw the pictures
and then they played that immediately
if you and I were doing that,
I'd be like,
hey, that's the wrong side.
But how did something like this happen?
Nobody in the control room, nothing?
Yeah, not buying it.
That only happened because it got leaked out there.
But what's even worse, look,
I mean, as people know,
I'm a dress code fanatic,
but you know, it's not just about that.
It's also about what it represents,
which is about, it's called a dignified transfer.
It's about respect for the people who were dead.
What's even more disrespectful
is Trump basically saying,
yeah, this is probably gonna be the first of many.
I hate to do it, but that's part of war.
Whatever, right?
Literally the Lord Farquad meme,
let's take a listen.
I'm gonna end up coming back to Dover
for more of these such dignified transfers.
I'm sure I hate to do it,
but it's a part of war, isn't it?
Who are you with?
The Washington Post.
What do you say it's a part of war?
I don't think the deaths are a part of war, yeah.
It's a part of war.
It's a sad part of war.
It's the bad part of war.
Sad part of war, bad part of war.
I mean, it's just so comfortable
with the deaths of American servicemen.
You know, another thing,
and we shouldn't let this one go,
and notice anyone noticed Tulsi Gabber there
in full uniform doing her salute?
How many times, how do her on the program
talking about, oh, I never want to see Americans come back?
You know, my time as a medic really informed my views.
There she is sitting in front of coffins coming back
from this now war with Iran.
Again, one of them literally a 20 year old kid
born four to five years after 9-11.
It's so disgusting.
She and JD have been very quiet having these very quiet.
I mean, it is utterly shameful and insane.
I mean, we're now at a point
where they're actively floating out.
We can't rule a draft out where it's almost certain
that we're going to have boots on the ground
where they're so cavalier about the death
that is going to come to US service members
and additional injuries and casualties,
just really wild stuff.
And then in terms of, you know,
the cost for everyday Americans,
we're going to talk more extensively
about the price at the pump.
What that's going to mean, not only there,
but we all live through COVID.
We know the way this ripples around the economy,
that we know the level of disruption
and how much ordinary people suffer
when you have these kinds of supply shocks.
So Trump got asked,
hey, are you worried about gas prices
and so cavalier about this as well?
They're easy when you're a billionaire, I guess.
Let's take a listen to that.
What about gas prices right now?
No, this is a short excursion into something
that should have been done for 47 years.
47 years, it's taken to do this.
And no president had the guts to do it.
Short excursion, no big deal.
There's a new talking point from his lackeys,
his administration lackeys,
which is like short term pain for long term gain.
That's what they're selling to the American people.
Long term gain them now.
What for some fake threat from Iran?
Exactly.
Exactly.
And also the pain,
what they're projecting is not going to be short term either.
Let's be clear about that too.
Even then, I mean, people spent like $200 million
more on gas last week than they would have previously.
That's a lot of money last time I checked.
I mean, look,
just we're going to talk to Rory here in a bit.
This just came across the wire, $4.99 a gallon today for diesel.
$5 a gallon.
I mean, does anybody else know how many segments
we do here on this show about diesel and trucking
and food inflation?
This is where it all comes from.
And apparently they don't give it.
They do not care at all about us.
Okay, let's get to water desalination
because that's very important
and a major escalation in the war.
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Text lift to 323232, text lift to 323232,
we have now had multiple attacks on regional
desalination plants,
including a strike on a significant one within Iran.
This is obviously a work crime,
but it's also opened up a new escalatory front,
that's actually some of Professor Zhang talked to us about,
how vulnerable this entire region is,
and actually the GCC countries outside of Iran,
they're the ones who are more reliant
on these desalination plants,
because they let us know
that we're going to be able to do
all these desalination plants,
because they lack fresh water sources within their own countries.
Let's go ahead and take a listen to Trump,
getting asked about US attack on an Iranian desalination plant.
Iran today accused US of getting a desalination plant
in, and they said,
no, that might open the door to other strikes
on infrastructure, not really.
It must also open the door to other strikes against them.
Look, it's going to be an allegation
that the US had to deal with.
They are among the most evil people
ever ordered.
They cut babies heads off,
they chop women in half,
when they did take a look at October 7th,
take a look at what they've done
over the last 47 years.
So I know nothing about a desalination plant,
other than to say,
if they're complaining about a desalination plant,
we can plan about the fact
that they shouldn't be chopping babies heads off, okay?
So complete deflection there,
and then just uses some of the Israeli,
like atrocity propaganda.
But what is he even talking about?
What's the reference?
What's the reference?
Yes, and he's claiming that Iran is now behind,
which, you know,
all of the reporting suggests Iran had nothing to do
with October 7th outside of Hamas,
obviously being, you know, allies of theirs.
But, yeah, just complete deflection,
uses all of this debunked atrocity propaganda,
tries to make it so that Iran is directly responsible
for October 7th, et cetera.
And we're already seeing the consequences
of this new escalatory front.
Let's put B2 up on the screen.
We now have Iran struck cause material damage
to a desalination plant in Bahrain.
First time they say an Arab country
has reported Iran striking a desalination plant.
So just to be clear,
U.S. strikes an Iranian desalination plant.
And then they say, okay, all right.
Game on.
Let's go.
Two can play this game as well.
Let's put B3 up on the screen
just so we can take a measure of how impactful this is.
So these are the countries
in the region listed out here
by their level of dependency
on these desalination plants,
which of course convert salt water into fresh water.
Okay, the most dependent with 90% of their water
coming from desalination plants is Kuwait.
Then at 86% Oman,
then at 75% Israel,
then at 70% Saudi,
at 60% Bahrain,
which was just struck,
50% Qatar,
42% the UAE,
and Iran,
now they have some water issues,
but it is not nearly the level of the GCC or Israel,
only 2%.
Iran is the tweet here.
It says 3% dependent on desalination.
The chart says 2% U.S. allies in the region
at 40% to 90%.
Think about that.
Think about that.
If you are whole,
like Kuwait is basically wholly dependent
on these plants,
which are vulnerable,
and the U.S.
running out of interceptors
and not doing a good job
of defending these allies anyway,
and your move is to attack
an Iranian desalination plant
just completely opening up that front.
Yeah, this is extremely dire for these countries.
Well, I'll also raise another one.
Are we sure it was us?
Are we sure it wasn't the Israelis?
Because this is something that they love, right?
To see the broadened war,
and then immediately the strike
that happened back on the GCC countries,
as we've been talking about,
they don't care at all about the GCC.
They would be happy to see them collapse.
Also, if you know it's funny,
and when I lived in Qatar,
all of the Americans,
we would always joke
because gas was literally cheaper than water,
than water.
So gas would be like 89 cents a gallon,
whereas water would be a dollar a gallon
if you wanted to buy it from CBS
or like some sort of grocery store.
That is how different,
like things actually are over there,
especially for fresh water.
So you can think and just talk about
how you've got only a certain amount of runway
whenever it comes to water desalination.
But the bigger point is about civilian infrastructure.
So this strike on the water desalination plant
and the closure of the Straits of Hormuz,
literally is a choke point
for every single person who lives in the Gulf,
because think about it.
Everyone talks about the Straits of Hormuz
just for oil,
but it's not.
Remember, they have huge food,
like all their food comes in from there.
Everything,
if you've ever been to these countries,
everything is imported.
There's nothing out there.
It's a desert.
Yeah.
For fresh food.
Not food sufficient.
Nothing.
Not water sufficient.
Everything.
Everything is either flown in or shipped in.
And if you,
two weeks is all they have for runway
whenever it comes to food or water,
I mean, it is a disastrous situation,
especially for the civilian populations
of a lot of not to mention what,
a million plus Americans
who are all living in the country,
good luck getting out right now.
Look at Dubai Airport,
you know, we're going to show you
some of that stuff later on.
I mean, the civilian infrastructure attacks,
you know, it's designed to inflict maximum damage
on all of the population.
So it's really dangerous.
And to your point about who did this,
so be sick's up on the screen.
The Israelis blamed UAE.
Okay.
UAE is completely denying this
that they struck this desalination facility.
And they also hit back at,
what they described as inappropriate
is really conduct.
So, you know,
you know, it definitely see,
there is a full scale
disinformation campaign
coming from the Israelis.
Why?
Because they don't want this
to be a limited conflict.
Their incentives are all in the direction
of dragging as many countries
into this thing as they possibly can.
So, you know, I think,
given the breadcrumbs here,
I think you're probably right,
the most likely suspect here is Israel.
But ultimately,
it doesn't matter from a,
you know, whether it's the US
or Israel,
because certainly the Iranians blame us
for everything that's being done to them right now.
And you already had,
we're going to talk to Trita more about this.
But you've already had, you know,
the Iranians made this sort of outreach,
like, okay,
regional Arab countries,
if you don't attack us,
we're not going to attack you back.
Trump immediately comes in and undermines that.
And now, you know,
that very fragile sort of accord
to limit this and contain the conflict
and step back from escalation chain
that has already been completely destroyed
and clearly Israel here trying to keep that regional escalation
going by saying,
oh, it was UAE,
they're denying it and saying, you know,
basically, you all are outrageous
for the, you know,
the disinformation that you're spreading.
We can put B7 up on the screen here as well
to see, you know,
this analysis senior analyst on Israel,
the crisis group says,
Israel, Israeli media is reporting
and Gulf States' disinformation appears to be part of an effort to escalate
the war further between Gulf and Iran.
And the, you know,
I think that's just like undeniable
at this point what they are up to.
But last thing here,
put before up on the screen,
you can see the way that the Iranians are reacting.
So this is the foreign minister of Iran.
He says the U.S. committed a blatant and desperate crime
by attacking a freshwater desalination plant on Kashm Island.
Water supply in 30 villages has been impacted,
attacking Iran's infrastructure's dangerous move
with grave consequences.
The U.S. set this precedent not Iran.
Yeah, and that's why,
that's why they already attacked in,
what is it in Bahrain?
Bahrain.
And just, I mean,
Bahrain, remember,
where are all those Americans who are in the Gulf?
In Bahrain.
Like, in Kuwait and all of these countries are massively dependent
on these water desalination.
So I actually think,
look, this is a broader war theory.
Like, what do you do?
Let's go back to the history of all warfare.
It starts out just troop on troop.
Then, it's like, well,
when you get gridlocked, what do you do?
Oh, well, now we have to wage war
on the enemy's ability to sustain the front.
So what do you do?
You no longer care as much about that.
Air power is going to go and attack.
Remember, ball bearing factories.
And all of these places of infrastructure
that sustain the war effort.
This is what, if you think back to World War I,
what do they do?
Why did they have unrestricted suburb or U-Bo bombing?
Back then.
To literally make sure that the Britons
couldn't continue the war effort on their home island
so that they couldn't continue to send food or any supplies
to the people who were on the front.
The same things that the allies did to the Germans.
We would attack their food supplies
and all these other things.
Again, same thing.
We wanted to cause mass famine to make sure
that the population would stop supporting the war.
This is what total war looks like.
The Civil War. How did it end?
We had to go through Atlanta,
burn everything to the ground.
This is the problem with sustaining these types of conflicts
and it's literally a fight literally to the death.
And then you have to say,
who has the ability and the will,
or at the very least the will,
to want to fight to the death?
I don't want to, I don't even want to pay $0.50 more per gallon.
The number of American dead for me is already,
it's seven to high, who are confirmed,
who knows what the real number is.
So for the rest of us, we're out here being like,
oh, diesel, $5 a gallon.
Huge disruption to our light.
Jet fuel is going up.
Anybody who wants to fly.
By the way, our Asian allies are getting hammered.
You know the South Korean,
and the South Korean index is down 15% over the last five days.
They're getting destroyed because all their oil comes
from the Straits of Hormuz.
The Japanese 90% of their oil comes from the Middle East.
The Nikkei 225,
I checked this morning,
is down like 9% over the last five days.
They're getting hammered the entire world for what?
For literally nothing.
And then you've got interceptor stocks
that are all falling civilian infrastructure.
This is textbook for how a war,
for any war,
which doesn't initially find smashing success.
In the first couple of days,
it doesn't have a choice by strategic logic.
I mean, theoretically you do,
which is to say, oh, my God,
this was a horrible idea.
Trump's not going to do that.
And even if he wanted to do that,
Israel's not going to let him.
At this point,
and even if they did,
then what are the Iranians just going to say, yeah, okay,
they're like, no, no, no, no, no, no.
We're not done with you yet.
And normalizing those attacks on civilian infrastructure,
that is to Iran's benefit.
Because this is sort of stuff that's very easy to attack
with the drone, right?
And, you know, so this,
this is a game they can play all day long.
And so what have you accomplished so far in this war?
You have a, you know,
decapitated the head of the regime.
Now you've got a harder line person
who has been named as this prem leader,
the son of the previous Ayatollah,
who just had his whole family murdered by you.
So congratulations.
You've got another company
who is more hardline than the previous one,
who's now in charge, okay?
You've likely unified actually the Iranian people
behind this government,
given that they are under siege and under attack.
You have now your economy being destroyed in real time.
I mean, true threat of like a global depression situation already,
just with the closure of the straight-of-war news.
You are now in, you have failed to accomplish
whatever the goals are,
not that you've been real clear about what those goals even are.
So it kind of makes them unaccomplishable.
But you have not collapsed the regime.
There isn't civil war.
There is not certainly a regime change.
You do not have control of the nuclear materials.
They continue to be able to, you know,
to strike within Israel.
I'm seeing lots of reports this morning about attacks from Iran
in Israel and also on a GCC member states as well.
So, and now you're in sort of this bind
where you're very likely to end up sending ground troops in
and having many, many more Americans dead.
That is what's been accomplished, quote-unquote,
so far in this war, it could not be more of a cluster.
Like, it's just an absolute disaster and very hard to see
how we get out of this anytime soon because Trump, you know,
there are no good options for Trump to walk away.
And as I said before, even if Trump tried to walk away,
not at all clear that the Iranians would be like,
okay, good, let's go back to the way things were
because they know that they would just be courting
another attack yet again in the future.
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