A Numbers Game | September 4, 2026 | Hour 3

0:005am I'm up with a crisp Celsius energy drink running 12 miles today grab a green juice quick change and head to work meetings workshops one more Celsius no slowing down working late but obviously still meeting the girls for a little dancing Celsius live fit go grab a cold refreshing Celsius at your local retailer or locate now at Celsius dot com that's the sound of lows labor day savings get up to 45% off select major appliances and save up to an additional $100 on select laundry pairs plus get three bags of Miracle Grove 0.75 cubic foot garden soil for just ten dollars labor day deals are on now it lows in store and online valid through nine nine was applies last selection varies by location c-lows dot com for more details soil offer exclusive asking who I the numbers told the story of the swandles idiots believe in the analytics this is a numbers game with kill

1:01i by xander on v sent our number three of the numbers game it is in the sports betting network v sent dot com game plus i hard radio youtube TV of course serious xm channel one eighty nine i'd skill out of the under uh... we'll just read this one tweet here because it's proper segue in a phesic Fridays make a shade to make a are we sure phesic didn't innovate the op-o go at that station that he did it before right-angle sports i'm sure he'll claim it why don't we find out ourselves time for phesic Fridays whether it's at the sports book or anywhere else in the casino he's always helping us find an edge it's time for phesic Fridays star in the only back-to-back winter of the hill super contest back in the day steve phesic you can follow on twitter at your own peril at phesic sports let me just say this i've got more than a few uh... people who have sort of said to me steve by the way good morning sir morning that i have been very tough on you the last couple weeks that's what makes you such a good host because i was up at five a.m. and i'm listening to

2:02some of the other shows and this that the the guest can say the most idiotic thing ever and like golf clap okay i think i'm just happy to have a guest at five a.m. and it just it actually makes me angry like and results don't matter you can have a guest come on week after week and they can be fifteen games below five hundred and say hey can we comp you lunch you know i hope you can keep coming in at some point results have to matter people have to be able to demonstrate they've got some acumen at this otherwise go work for sports reporting company not a sports betting company though the one i know the pet your biggest pet people and that is the stale lines though oh i'm driving this morning and and like somebody likes um a plus three and a half and smooth minus two and a half Wyoming plus three and a half and the lines are painted three they've been painted three on both these games yeah and immediately i think to myself and it was someone who was in the i believe that this gentleman is in um i i don't i don't know that he's selling pics but like don't buy his pics anyone that comes out and just gives you two numbers that don't exist

3:06and doesn't even address hey you know the lines really three but you should try to get three and a half it just says it's plus three and a half my goodness i would like if i was the host i would never have them back i would just be like because my experience has been people that do that do that all the time yeah you are selling pics you have an offer for folks you want to make this juicy for people you know i they're sure so a and g is the code s i c pics is the place to go s i c pics but don't buy my pics today because i got something better for you oh doctor chow and his group have been extremely successful last two years 56 and a half percent in the NFL their model actually the last six years on sides does the best on sides has picked over 56 percent if you played everything the model told you to do they're actually only a 55.4 percent with what they actually released on sides but get this it's a gear untie um so i believe that's gear roll and tear and you can buy there's a guarantee option only 100 people only you buy their pics and if you don't turn a profit all right an actual profit

4:09all right the pics the sides don't turn a profit you get your money refunded first 100 people only so uh that's the best deal going right there so obviously you can buy my pics you can buy my friend Dan the Stettman's pics Dan and i were um business partners we're actuaries we've worked together he would associate in the 90s and some other places and he actually uh he went up to Wendover and he's the one that blew that out of Wendover to the tune of 500,000 basically state line uh red guarder and and rainbow put them all out of business they all became you know luckies or whatever lee roys were you know uh the next year because he he just annihilated them did you just mute yourself and mid sentence right there with a ID. Oh that's very well done. They've got me on the button they know if it's Dr. Bob or Fez if it's Dr. Bob he makes us he will run long and if it's Fez he certainly will cuss. How about the great Dr. Bob what's this? There's no like huge line moves anymore all of a sudden it's 7am because

5:11the great Dr. Bob despite even though he could make half a million dollars selling it it is spending time with his kids kudos to him not in the sports spending hall of fame even though everyone knows he's better than everyone in that he should be. Except for Billy Walters he of course is number one. Dr. Bob will be on the show starting next Friday doing the row football NFL he's pumped to do it we can't wait to have him. Okay real quick before we launch and because you have Steve actually has college football picks for us on the show today and all the other stuff that's on his mind but before we launch into that crack was here yesterday as he always is on Thursdays and we got into a conversation he actually brought it up he quoted you the optimal time to bet games on Sunday mornings was that the conversation I believe yeah so and when is the market the most efficient so great time to bet is like 6am Pacific right it's news is breaking and then injuries etc but an excellent time is also at 10am right opposed no kill how are you going to win when the closing number the whole idea is you got to beat the closer but if you're betting on clothes at the closing time you're betting against the closer

6:18one rogue numbers pop up and two betting syndicates don't like to bet right before post because they want to say basically they're saying I want to get like 100,000 on the filly Washington under and then I want to be scrambling the last minute to be able to get their exact portfolios further this is documented in the book Sharp Money Coneck I believe wrote this he was running yeah for Walters and Billy had to make some bets and so he bets like like 10 minutes before 10 o'clock and then goes get a coffee brings it up to his girlfriend you know it comes back to the room and then he phones them into to Mr Walters like 12 minutes later confirming what he got and Billy's like podner we we need to we need to know before the game start so that and I mean that is a headache for for syndicates and that's why not to but the public money keeps coming that backer at player stumbles over he's been up on my playing backer at stumbles over and bets the cowboys for 100,000 you know at the win four minutes before post and so their opportunities pop up at places and that's why the

7:199.45 am all things being equal super balls about to start a great time to bet is one minute before the super ball starts all always you know rogue numbers pop up last second all right so we always talk about circus survivor understandably greatest contest ever circus survivor now what is it a seventh year already good god circummillions obviously we talk about grandissimo we talk about you always are scouring the valley for great contests you have a little story a little tale to tell yeah so I I'm here to report on the best contest that's going to occur all year long and it was last week and the palms the past post TV this is I'll address at the palms had a $20,000 guaranteed contest college only pick 15 games all right $20,000 guaranteed $5 entry fee but it's true William Hill but it's only at the palms location this is why I'm losing on the ground is so important when you're just like crack is great with that he's like go to club fortune to get your $100 he reported that on yesterday if you lose a hundred you get the $100 rebate so you can just sign up and bet a

8:24$5 video poker machine if they have such a thing a club fortune and if and if you lose you get you get refunded but just going to all these casinos you find promotion so what's this I'm just making the normal rounds I'm going into the palms maybe going to the VIP area and getting my free VIP coffee and donuts I can't disclose that or not but I see this and no one's playing it no one is playing this card and so Saturday morning 9am deadline last minute I got my magic marker and I am just bubbling like a you know what wow trying to get it actually don't know what but okay we're trying to and it's you've got to put in 15 selections it's this it's $5 a card they they're the readers jamming it's very difficult to get these things in but the one thing I'm noticing no one else no one else almost no one else playing hardly any volume and there's a 20,000 guaranteed so that contest was as a better contest and you will see all year long I'm sorry I didn't report on it before but I don't think it's fair to say it's a pass post because I actually

9:28participated in the contest and the result somehow by some miracle I had a 15 and 0 so I won the contest you had a 15 and 0 including including I had North Carolina this is contest basic strategy so I'm there Saturday morning and the money's pouring in on the targ hales right so it was 9.5 the night before but now it's down to 7.5 and dropping and I'm like well everyone's going to take TCU so I'm going to play way more in this contest you play totals over under but the sides were just pick the winner so I said all right well the obvious like to me is like I'm going to play some NC state and I'm going to play some Memphis for upsets you know sprinkle back and forth I got I can't just play duplicates and they said but I'm going to play way more North Carolina than I normally because I bet everybody was playing TCU that put this in last night so I did have more North Carolina than I normally should playing game theory and ultimately everything else just the plans just aligned I I played I don't know like a hundred entries I got I was going to have how

10:30many did you play about a hundred okay and not one of them I don't even know if I want 13 and two on the other 15 because I it's not like I'm matching every permutee I'm just like bubble in as fast as I can trying to make them different and playing what I like better and I'm going to total contest wins is this now for you that would make it be seven that's my seventh one but the the number one takeaway from all this and then by the way and they've been very nice with me over there and I love the staff over at the palms love them and the so Todd gets wind of this is I actually witness to this so the odds of going 15 and oh are 32,000 but he didn't know you went 15 no okay okay no I told him he should read my texts okay and he says let me gosh Stevie just played the line moves and they went 15 and oh but think about this I love there is no policing high Todd by the way if you haven't seen that picture of Todd he's got this it's illegal illegal racket heads this is alleged illegal oversized racket that's bigger than

11:33the hard rock guitar and they have a picture of Todd and he looks like like the stave puff marshmallow he looks like he's smaller than then then the hard rock hotel and casino and his picture of holding it grinning as he's making fun of people's back and explains a lot of his tennis prowess but 15 and oh if you know what if that's not going to please Todd you know at some point you just say this this guy is going to be a phasic pater I'm like unbiased people that can evaluate correctly hello will hell how are you he's just a sick of fad of yours though that's the opposite all right a lot more to talk about and see oh I didn't invent op-op right angle sports invented the op-op to keep people from jumping the gun where people would say they they would release a play they say you know Fresno and then set up Fresno and people would bang Fresno plus 22 and they're like oh he knew right angle sports made it up he was just going to see if you were going to aggregate it yes and act like it was yours kind of like that kind of like you said not once but twice last we were like all right made you money no Stevie you facilitated me making money so not like you

12:36had anything make you all you all stop some man tics assisted Gail and making a lot of money I almost got through the segment being nice to you more Stevie next on a numbers game five a.m. I'm up with a crisp Celsius energy drink running 12 miles today grab a green juice quick change and head to work meetings workshops one more Celsius no slowing down working late but obviously still meeting the girls for a little dancing Celsius live fit go grab a cold refreshing Celsius at your local retailer or locate now at Celsius dot com the king is the lord from focus features and be a claimed director of Jason born the kings as work harder you work harder starring Andrew Garfield in a land of kings one man will defy an empire there will be no peace until we are free and ignite a revolution 10,000 ribbons converge on London based on the true story behind the legend of Robin Hood you rule ourselves now be uprising ready to are under 17 out of

13:39me without parat only in theaters this Thursday discovered at Dolby cinema a numbers game on fee set these sports betting network back on the numbers game life from Circus or casino downtown Las Vegas it's good Alexander Steve Fezick here as well don't forget football's back vason pro gives you everything you need to bet smarter this season become a v-suposed subscriber to take it into access to our updated NFL betting guide featuring post preseason updates week one betting systems contest strategies and fresh best bets from vason's experts you also receive our college football betting guy with previews of all 138 FBS teams power ratings proven betting systems best bets from vason's sharpest minds your vason pro subscription also includes daily best bets real-time betting splits and draft Kings of circa AI power prop tools 24 seven video on the vason watch app get started for just 999 or say 50% with the vason pro annual subscription sign up now at vason.com slash subscribe that's vsin.com

14:39dot com slash subscribe skill Alexander that Steve Fezick right there do you want to bring up what you just brought up no but I'm watching the women's tennis as gal looks very upset I wish I knew who who she was I think I can't even recognize who the women are that is the adorable jasmine palini she's a munchkin palini feels like she has just been wronged because she's very upset about something well she's just upset at herself she's lost the first set six three it's out three three she's trying to get back into this match the little racket mismanagement there she's throwing the racket she's like looks like Todd wish never and things are going poorly for him honestly she's playing a better player right now in seronica stay well there's that there is that all right you want to give your college football plays out now so let's do it so tonight we are going to go sounds a state eastern michigan under 56 i'm actually going to give you a handicap on this one okay I really like the under well whenever there's a competitively price teams so lines picker close to it I always look towards under early in the year because I feel like both teams are like let's not make the big mistake let's kind of there's a sparring early on process I also I watched both these games so

15:45mr. michigan was clobbering sack state and then what's this they threw a stupid pick six at the end of first half to prevent them from just bow racing them and I think they'll be more careful eastern michigan will with the ball san Jose state I was very impressed with their defense against usc usc moved the ball well but it was all like four little yard dink passes and then the out the athleticism of the usc receivers broke a couple tackles and they got 11 yards on the three yard dink pass but eat i'm sure eastern michigan doesn't have receivers like that so 56 is such a high total we're going to go under 56 and now a theme for the next three players neutral site games historically and it makes some sense when both teams are an unfamiliar venue they're playing in a new venue just playing under has been very profitable is that true you run the numbers on it yeah Scott sideberg okay so it's like 50 58 percent over like the last five years I don't have the exact number so we're on failure Auburn under 60 and a half that's in the Mercedes Ben she's got the Mercedes Ben's under we got Wisconsin Notre Dame under 46 and a half in the Lambo and Louisville

16:53Ole Miss that's a Nashville I don't know why we're going to go under 55 and a half okay all right let me pop in some tweets here real quick Paul had done goucho four I'm in a square survivor pool $20 entry max three entries and say there are 400 entries is it positive is it plus a V to use one of my three entries on the cardinals assuming half the pools on the chargers no um but it could be if it was like 70 percent it's complicated you got to run the numbers I'll go back I was listening to this guy named Gill Alexander and he said the north star of survivor is basically not to play the biggest favorite but to play close to the biggest favorite and the more I think about this the more I think that is Polaris indeed the north star shining at in Las Vegas at the 36 parallel or whatever we're at because uh people will overplay the charger so that's a good thought okay people are overpaying the chargers let me maybe look away from that

17:53and maybe I pivot to Jacksonville or Detroit probably Jacksonville but I I would say if you chart a path that you're playing one of the top three favorites but not the biggest favorite the first six weeks of a contest it may not be optimal but it probably won't be far off and it certainly will have a plus EV versus the craziness other people are going to play or you know there's going to be people playing like uh Tennessee and the Jets week one and like you know at the bottom line is if everyone else takes the chargers they're 81 percent to advance if you're taking a pick them game you're 50 percent to advance that's 30 percent you got to overcome against all the other people the rest of the year uh it's going to be very hard to overcome a 31 percent deficit and but I get it if over two thirds of the people took the chargers then you you could have merit playing some of these weird paths but they won't people are too cool for school they're going to be taken raiders they're going to be taken bangles they're going to be doing all kinds of crazy stuff all right this is one of my favorite steveisms uh why you're going to lose listening to the mainstream media oh my

18:58god glasses off I have never heard the last two weeks has been nonstop oh any player props you like and one after another it's like oh I think Matthew Stafford's going to have another great year we're going to go over 3800 and and just like like a lot of love for the Arizona running back he's banged up but I mean look how good he looked in preseason week one you know seven seventy five that's a really low number for a primary back just again and again people are advocating overs and it's like a terrible EV because just because of the injury risk and historically you've hit over 60 percent playing unders and skill position players it's not going to be 60 percent going forward it's probably only going to be 55 percent but you want to avoid overs completely for season long bets and yet everybody is reaching in and they're all I would say 80 percent of the recommendations are overs teasers all the time oh that's a really good tea people all the time oh look at what's this rain bay Minnesota yeah this one never gets mentioned green bay plug oh I love that green

20:02bay teaser up to plus seven half not a mention that like over the past 10 years yeah what has happened to teaser odds in this town oh it's insane how they've just skyrocketed they're just price they've gone from even money at one point of minus one ten to minus one twenty which was which kind of stop there for a little bit that's right at the point where it's like break even to play a long teaser a long teaser is your teasing six point NFL through the three and through the seven once they went to minus one thirty god you know yeah because because think about when you when you're playing a six point minus one ten teaser that's like each leg each individual leg is minus two sixty I'm rounding here don't kill me on the internet um if you're playing minus one twenty each leg it's like playing minus two eighty but when you go to minus three hundred when you go to minus one thirty on the two team teaser that's like laying minus three hundred on each leg you're not going to win laying minus three hundred with the extra six points so unless you have and there's pphs paperhead books that have you know the the minus one twenty and

21:06even minus one ten pricing that's great play them there but you can't just say tea something without a disclosure fandall draft kings they're charging like minus one thirty five you you're not going to win back to uh... survivor for a second because this just I just reminded of Jason Lisk was in here last week from bet labs he's a big proponent of using some of your entries on the Raiders this week do you like that idea only because obviously the Raiders you're not going to want to use all year long all right so you got to use twenty teams and the Raiders are kind of one of those cusp teams yes they are maybe they're the twenty third best team um i don't think it's optimal however if more than fifty percent took the chargers that's probably a good way to get at anti chargers and you're never going to use the Raiders again so i'm fine with it it's again all this stuff is like you have an entry that you put it in for a thousand dollars i think if you select the chargers your entry will be worth a thousand and twenty dollars if you take the Raiders i think it'll be worth approximately a thousand dollars it's it's too close to call so close it doesn't really matter

22:08i'm curious about this because you said this was your seventh contest you just won at the poem seven this man is one he's also by the way finished very high ever remember what was the year you were like twenty six and circle people like you suck um oh yeah i so i was in in third place on thanks giving and circa millions right this was three years ago and this is the gray Jones year where i was like like what when Greg won the survivor and i piece of a piece of him so i wound up you know we got there to the finish line Greg did and i was a board for the ride for like twenty percent of or whatever it was twenty three percent and i finished twenty first in millions there's five thousand people and people like uh this sucks at this he was in third place and i was like literally like fifty three percent over the last six weeks i mean it's hard to beat five thousand people time is passed and by no so no here's my question though that i want to see you've been in i mean at this point you might even say hundreds plural of contests maybe uh i well yeah it's a great question because people say well he he he's played tens of thousands of concepts and they're just

23:10it's not like poker tournaments no they're they i play the westgate um i tried to play last man standing but i forget to i forgot to put in my pants what happened to me that's what and i play play circa so you just answered my question because that was going to be my question have you ever missed the deadline and for me it was stations you say same thing big deal you did the same because the twenty five dollar entry times four uh and you go one free entry so so basically i took a hundred twenty a hundred dollars and i said it on fire really hundred two probably a hundred fifteen dollars in evee and yeah well it's really two hundred dollars in evee but because people are you know that's that's a really weak field um i'm a huge proponent though that it's a great contest if there's one contest entry it really is a good way and you do college and pro i'm not a big believer in diversification or only and i just should with your best play because you've got to go over there and you're do you can't you can't put your plays in on the app how much is your time worth how much is gas worth total as an example i'm just driving into the strip what's this flat tire fum fum fum fum fum fum fum fum fum fum fum fum fum flat tire it is a nice of a friend Steve Wagner we played code cuda grader whatever they play the mealboard in the card game and whenever and and he'd love to take the flat tire and he's he's like you

24:14got flat tire fum fum fum fum fum what's happening cool foray i said i've got the un and We'll get back to the flat tire after the break. But with millions in survivor, though, do you want to alarm two alarms, three alarms? What do you do? I'm a max. I'm going to do the 10 for the million. No, no, but you're a alarm. You set on the alarm so you get the... Oh, yeah, you got to have two alarms. You have two hours before one hour. All right, more fans will talk about the flat tire. He's got a lot more to talk about. To parade and millborn. No, no, it's happening. Steve Vesik right here on the numbers again. Coming back. A numbers game on FESET. These sports betting network. Think you're better than the experts. Now's your chance to prove it. The Edge Boost average joke contest puts you in the same pick and format as the circuit Friday football invitational, the one that pros play. Top average joke earns a spot. Don't forget, in next year's circuit invitational field, that's the humans invitational. Street of play, you can register anytime during the season. Edge Boost is offering its customers a $1,000 deposit.

25:15If you finish first four of the week, don't have an Edge Boost account yet. Sign up at Edge Boost.io with promo code Vesit and fund. Or I should say, and make sure your account is funded with at least $100. End of the contest today at Vesit.com slash Joe. That's Vesit.com slash Joe. Man, Lila Fernand is giving Jesse Bagoula the business. I beat her in the first set, 6-1. Now it's on serve in the second two, too. So Lila Fernand is trying to pull off an early upset today on the lady side. We get tweets at beating the book, talking to US Open, of course. Chris Heath, oh, the good old pepper mill properties of Wendover. Did you bring that up? I did, my friend Dan, the stat man blew Wendover up. Yes. Let's see. By the way, if you've never been to that town, it's on the Utah border. So you've got Mormons on one side and addicted gamblers on the other. It works. It's a crazy mix. And they live beautifully together in harmony. Al Falfa, we got tweets. When will we start seeing pickleball line for better? So no, please no.

26:15But James, the James Lloyd, did you see the Lombardi news? I did. Would you have me say something about it? That's what what is there to say? Winning streak. Did Fesik just use boat racing in his take? Oh, and he's quoting, he's quoting something from you on Twitter. Yeah, I never, I never liked the boat race term. Oh, we boat race that, that's right. Because it's like you're you're you're rowing. You're a crew team. That's right. Boat racing doesn't seem like I'm pretty much if I much rather maybe accent smash you demolish somebody in a wrestling match or something. It seems a poor analogy to we boat race them like you dominated them. Iowa Hawkeyes, why do I listen? Is it the information on the show? Of course, but I'm an avid listener because it sounds like conversations from my friends. Look squirrel. That's right. Well, thank you, Iowa Hawkeyes. It's very nice of you. Chris of St. Bards, would you auto play every NFL Wong teasers at minus 110? Yes, yes, simple answer. Uh, but recognize a road favorite, a seven half point road favorite

27:15is not a Wong teaser because road favorites get upset more than home favorites. Oh, by the way, on the upset side, you guys missed the most relevant upset at the Pittsburgh one was excellent against West Virginia. Yeah, but the most relevant one, in my opinion, 2011, Daniel Snyder, Kansas State, number two in the country, rolling toward the national title game. You mean Bill Snyder? Bill Snyder goes to goes to little aims. Iowa November 18th, devastating, just devastating loss and Kansas State undefeated. They finally got past Nebraska and they lose, I think 28 point food call. Steve physics. Don't ever say Daniel Snyder on the show ever again, please. David Donnelly, Gil Astive that if you don't want the Chargers in week one for Survivor, how about the Steelers? No, because the Steelers could lose, although having said that, you know, the Steelers might actually be a sneaky pick because I think Atlanta's bad, very bad. And I think the Steelers are going to be pretty awful themselves for an eight and a half win team. I don't like the Pittsburgh at all.

28:16So I could make a case for let's get that win for Pittsburgh and get out of Dodge. Having said that Pittsburgh still gets the host Cleveland later on and that might be the time to use them. I haven't looked at the whole schedule. I'm okay if you want to use Pittsburgh. Listener Lance Monday night football ESPN bet segment. The hosts were given out one play each for a three team parlay. It gets Jason Kelsey and he says they're telling me in my ear and they need to pick Hertz over one and a half passing touchdowns. Look on everyone else's face in the desk was horrified. It confirmed for me. This is listener Lance talking that they purposely give out bad picks. I could not believe he said it either could ESPN. I recorded it. I'll have to try to find the clip. I don't know if that means they purposely gave out a bad pick. You know, you're bearing the lead here. The whole idea of the and this is an epidemic. Oh, let's have our parlay segment where we give out a free best bet. Guys, that's beyond stupid. Stop doing that. You know, the whole point we're here to win, right? It's supposed to be a serious show. Not a big joke. It's like we want to shop for the very best number on each individual bet. Why would we go to one book and bet Hertz over one and a half touchdown passes and take, you know, even money when we could get plus one 15 somewhere else,

29:20you want to shop for each one of the bets individually and you're bet sizing ridiculous. It's a joke. You want to bet 2% of a bank or one or 1% right on every play. But when you play a three team parlay, then magically your third leg is quadruple the size for your bet sizing. I mean, no one bets like that in terms of pros other than people trying to circumvent the limits and sneak in plays. That's why you play parlay or correlations of everything's correlated. You got a storm coming up, a nor Easter's blowing and you play North Carolina under and you play North Carolina State under. But don't play these silly parlay. That's that I don't want to be the answer. I don't want to be the fun police. It's fun to play $5 parlay. But serious betters come on. I love when you throw down your glass. I love when you get angry. So angry that you throw them down one day they'll break. This one is from Sean Fox was sure that Kelly's love for a coach that hasn't one more than five games will have more wins than his alma mater Florida State talking about Colorado and prime versus a Florida state. Norgo fired it. Not yet. Sunday night will let you know.

30:21Yeah. Props profit. You care what you wish for angels fans. Dan will move the team. Stan Krocki will move the team. If he doesn't get the real estate deal, the sale of the angels was a leverage play on the coveted 133 acres around the stadium. The lease ends in 2032. The real estate vision used an angle. Yes, it is about the real estate for sure. Michael Houston did Gillard Kelly give time. Oh, give a time for Dr. Bob next week. Friday for sure. But when we think it is going to be right before Fezig 845 Pacific 1145 AM Eastern. You see what they're doing here is they're trying to keep me from betting the doctor Bob play. Oh, is that what he says is on route? He won't be able to like it. It's hard for him to bet at the red lights. Okay, before you go, by the way, let's just repeat your baseball plays. Again, the tennis plays are just a boob look up the men's side for me today and towns and on the lady side Steve Vesik's unders in college football bear Baylor Auburn under 60 and a half. These are all the neutral side ones. The first three are Wisconsin Notre Dame under 46 and a half and Louisville Ole Miss under 55 and a half.

31:21Separate from that, which he gave an actual spiel on San Jose State Eastern Michigan was it again? Yes. That's the game's tonight, three o'clock. Don't get shut out. Okay. Before we go, we were just having a conversation. Well, there's two things I want to get to. The first one was we were just having a conversation, all fair about football IQ. So the North Carolina guy is from, I know TCU guys from Harvard, maybe not. Maybe I'm mixing up my quarterbacks, but TCU loses to North Carolina and they have fourth and two and the quarterback clearly can run for the first. Clearly. Clearly, and he decides, let me throw across my body into double coverage to try to throw a touchdown pass with a slick football. With a slick football and a raining in Dublin. And maybe the freezing, what's the probability that passes complete? Maybe 20%. And it's like a sharp, if I was an intramurals, right? I'm playing and I'm the quarterback on an intramural team and I made that decision. They benched me immediately. Like, clearly this guy has no football IQ whatsoever. Jaden Craig used to play at Harvard yet. I mean, like, it just makes no sense to me and I get it.

32:24You want your players to be involved in it. It's the first quarter and you make that wrong decision. You know, you're trying to get all the rest of the players involved. You don't want to just do it on yourself, but on the highly leveraged. That's where like my home is so smart. It's like third and two. Let me get the first down. Let me get the chains to move. And that's when he picks it up in runs. Also more for a handicap, me say it well because when you were talking about your handicap on the on the last game we just talked about this. It reminded me of when I had all college football people on this week and they were saying, oh, what did you learn from week zero? And a bunch of them were like, oh, I thought North Carolina's defense looked really good. And I was like, but didn't you like in addition to that play, there's like three huge chunky artich plays that he just completely missed the one. And just he sees just a dumb team all the way around, you know, with with stupid penalties. And like, you know, baseball for me is unwatchable because I think every outfielder gets like a huge million dollar bonus if they get an assist for throwing a runner out at the plate. So how many times go do you see a a ground ball base hit the center? Men on first and second. And the center field or his job is to let the guy in first go to third by air mailing

33:26the ball home. He never throws the player out at home. They always go for that play and they let the bat when they let the batter go to second. That drives me crazy. Like man on second two outs, line drive base hit. It's always going to score the run. Mike Rouse's Fesmiss spoke about case state. They lost a bail or not. I was state the game you were talking about. I'm pretty sure 2011 was Iowa State. Okay. I think it was 2011. I don't think I'm wrong there. I lied. Two more things. I'm not saying that is how how to get it at Caesars. Oh real important. So there's 10 times tier credit points this week only Caesars, palace, Harris. If you always have always wanted to be a diamond. So you can cut the line, not pay resort fees. There's lots of advantages for being a diamond. Now is the time to do it because because you get the 10 times tier credits. Normally you would have to put it 150,000 in coin and on a video poker machine. Now you only have to put it in 15,000 in one day. That sounds like a lot. But it really isn't because think about 15,000. If you were at a 1% disadvantage, that would be $150 in expected loss. Let's say you run terrible.

34:27All right. And you lose 5%. Don't play slots. Play video poker. Then you should lose 750. Well, the benefits of being a diamond member far exceed that because you've got status matches, other properties to like. So this week play video poker, play nine five. Jacks are better. They've got it at valleys and at the nine six machines don't exist at the dollar level. You become a diamond in the day. Can we do this in 30 seconds? This is not what you think, but you had a conversation with a cocktail waitress that I thought was pretty insightful. Unbelievable. So I'm playing some advantage video poker and she's aware of it. Okay. She just says, just to let you know, you really can't just go for machine to machine to machine. And I said, oh, you know about us. And she's like, absolutely. And I said, oh, well, you and your girlfriends, it's nice looking lady. I said, you know, you probably go out like on the weekend and go to the strip and take advantage of this. And she said to me, and my jaw drops, oh, I could never do that. I'm in the industry. I'm in the industry. I can't win it. Try to win against the casinos. I can't do anything like where I might have an advantage. Interesting.

35:27I mean, it's like they've got all these employees brainwashed like these advantage players are evil like like people that are like cheating the system somehow just by trying to get an edge. Thank you, Steve. Prop points is next with John Hansen. Enjoy from Visa. These sports betting network. My day kicks off with the refreshing Celsius energy drink. Then straight to the gym. Pre-camp pickup, back home to meal prep. Time for my fire session shift. One more Celsius gotta keep the lights on. When the three alarm hits, I'm ready. Celsius, live, fit, go. Grab a cold refreshing Celsius at your local retailer or locate now at Celsius.com. The King is the Lord. From focus features and be a claim director of Jason Bourne. The King says work harder. You work harder. Starring Andrew Garfield. We're set off. We're giving you. Hit it off. In a land of kings, one man will defy an empire. There will be no peace until we are free. And ignite a revolution.

36:2810,000 rebels converge on London based on the true story behind the legend of Robinhood. We rule ourselves now. The uprising, ready to die under 17 enemy without parat, only impetus this Thursday. Discover that Dolby cinema.

37:38I'm going to California. I'm going to San Francisco. And oftentimes they will send a text and they'll say, Hey, your flight is delayed. I brought the supplements before. This to me is the most egregious thing an airlines does. Hey, your flight's delayed. Instead of being 1124, let's say it's a half hour. I said 1154. So immediately as the traveler, you become a little more lax, right? Instead of shooting as quickly as possible over to the airport, I'm like, I know. Sweet. I got 30 minutes more. Hey, you're going to take my time. No problem. No sweat. The airlines though will then send you not always, but sometimes a subsequent text, Oh, actually we're leaving earlier time change. And you're not at the airport because you've been conditioned to the delay. And they are pulling a fast one. So there's been many times where I'm on my way and they're like, we're boarding. I'm like, what do you mean we're born? So like, like it just logistically, it makes no sense. Well, right? There are the planes in the air. They're position on this. The airline's position on this and why it is, and by the way, this should be outlawed.

38:39I'm surprised about like, this should be banned. But their position is you should be at the airport already based on your original time. So that's why we're allowed to do that. And that is some. Okay. Okay. Just to confirm with you, because I don't, we have talked about this before, but I don't know if we've gotten this far. Like if they send that delay message, like you're, you're, you're good. Fine. You're allowed to flights get delayed. We understand it. But that's when I'm leaving. Yeah. No, that's how it should, if you delay your flight, you cannot then arbitrarily say, oh, guess what? We were wrong. We're going to be leaving early. Yeah. So the other part to this, the second part, like it's, I agree with you. That's the worst. The other one though, that it's where your flight keeps getting delayed by like 45 minutes. Trust me. That's where I mean, I had a 10 hour delay to go visit my mom on the last. Right. No, but I'm like, like, I actually, no, I think the one you brought up is worse. Because like, you told me to be later. And now you're leaving early on me. But like the most of the time these planes are in the air. What I don't understand is like, what did the pilot all of a sudden like, let's go a lot faster than we were before.

39:39Also, be honest with you, there's a coffee bean at an internal three here guy. No, I forgot. And coffee beans is engaged. You all don't know. It's phenomenal. And so I already have what? For what, Gil? For a, thank you for asking. For a, uh, drink for you. Regular no whip, caramel, ice blended. Um, I am so looking forward to it. And when I get the text, I'm still in the Uber. Like, oh, your flight's board. I'm like, Oh, no coffee bean. Let alone. I'm not going to get to my flight. Yeah. No, there's that. Yeah. Anyway, that's my pet peeve. Germany plus six and a half not looking great, Chris Foster. Sorry. That's just right in front of my school, though he does have Jesse Pagula in a parlay. And Jesse Jesse is showing life here. She is up a break now in the second set, trying to even things up with Lila Fernandez. We got to get this home. A lot of us have bets. A lot of us have her in a parlay today. And I mean, you just, you can't go out in the third round of the US open. We're trying to build up money here for a career, for a family. And just you got to be able to make more in a tournament than this.

40:40Yeah. You're worried about her. I'm always worried about the bagoules. Arena, Sabileika world number one has already won this morning. Her third round match against Camila, Rockamova, Bartek Kostjeck is through straights that went over. It catch arena, Alexia, Drova, Kerstea, Serrana Kerstea. It does beat Jasmine Paul Lenean straights that. So a lot of a lot of easy work on the lady side this morning. Men have not started, but our man, Daniel Medvedev. He's got a tough one today against our tour Rinder Knetsch. But we get through this one. That'll be three out of the necessary five to get Medvedev to cash our quarter bet at seven to one. So let's go to Daniel Medvedev. That should start here momentarily on the men's side. As far as the actual bets today, I'm on Alexander Bublik. Otherwise known as Sasha Bublik plus one 48 versus Tommy Paul. Not only on the American Taylor Townsend. She's won us a lot of matches this year plus one 44 versus Deanna Schneider. I'm with I tailed you on Townsend. There's Schneider money's coming in man. I got a I got a one 55. Good for you. Good for you. Oh, that's coming back down.

41:40It's coming back down. Taylor Townsend's getting bet. There we go. Same plus one 35 now. Month of September. Remember in and again, there's adjusted prices on these that are available. But these were the pre flop numbers. Red Sox 28 to one. Most wins September. They're one in two. Got a win yesterday. Blue Jays are two and one though. Most wins September. They're plus 23 25. Let's go. Also Caleb Williams passing yards. Leader 20 to one Nick Benito defense player. That you're 14 to one. You sir NFL week one. I've got Taylor Townsend today. I'm telling Gillon, but nothing else for me right now. Besides NFL week one Jags Jets teaser. Jags Texans teaser. Buckingeers bangles under 51 and a half in the Broncos plus three minus 120. The Auburnist. I was telling my girlfriend about the plane time move to earlier after a delay was announced. She didn't believe me. Glad I got back up now. Oh man. It's happened to me multiple times. Raced. I mean, it's happened to you multiple times, right? Oh yeah. Elite. Well, two or three. Not that. No, no, me too. But he's made it. She's never heard of that before. Well, I definitely.

42:41Well, the first time is within the last year, I was like, you can't do this. Really? Yeah. Paul Cars premier league bets two tomorrow. Brighton over leads. Brighton, even money versus leads. And then asked in Villa Hall city, he thought about fading whole city, but he didn't have the onions in the end. He went under this game at two and a half. And then Sunday, Arsenal Chelsea over two and a half. By the way, a tweet from Danny Bermett. You don't remember who that is? Oh, yeah. He says, I like. I like conveniently, I'll give for God to mention that car had a reverse sweep last week. Two and four car got to pick it up. Danny, you're the guy who tweeted after the Red Sox lost their first game in July before they went 24. And what was it? Again, 24 and three the rest of the way or whatever it was, I can't remember. Maybe you should pack it up for a couple of years. Final match day for the premier league this season, Gil, May 30th of 2027. Oh my God. Kind of a long way to go. Oh my God. A long way. 38 matches at a season. Chris Velika the bear, five packed college football plays. Miami lay in the wood, lay in 24 and a half versus Stanford, Oregon lay in 24 and a half

43:44versus boy C state, Cal plus two versus UCLA. Florida international plus 14 and a half versus South Florida, Texas lay in the wood minus 29 and a half versus Texas state. The classic SEC versus pack 12 battle. It's just incredible. How about Cal UCLA? Cal UCLA is the worst. ACC versus Big 10. Oh God. Good call. That is worse. Matthew Stafford under to physics point. Matthew Stafford season long under 38 99 and a half passing yards, 3899 and a half passing yards from Chris Velika. He also had Taylor Fritz mid mid tournament future on Taylor Fritz to win the US open at 11 to one. All right. We shall see. Remember, no American, no American male has won a grand slam singles title since Andy Roddick won one in 2003. Did you hear me bring up that price to flee earlier? Plus 260 at draft gigs for an American men to win. No interest. I'm assuming.

44:45I mean, no, because I'm Carlitos. You have you do get Fritz and you do get Shelton and you do get Big foe. Yep. Two and more right. Who am I? Tommy Paul. Tommy Paul. Scott C. I was leaving Vegas and at the check in when I got a message that my flight was boarding. It had been moved up without my knowledge. I thought I was going to have to stay with you. Really? You're going to call me be like, Hey, can I stay over? Stevie Fesick. Not to be outdone. How about Stevie with some plays? The first three here are his neutral field under theory plays. Taylor Auburn under 60 and a half Wisconsin noted Dame under 46 and a half. Louisville Ole Miss under 55 and a half. And then he's also on the San Jose San Jose state Spartans versus Eastern Michigan under 56 in college football. So there's all that. Have you signed up for the contest? Yes, man? Nope. Bro. Dude, next week. Are you doing the physics strategy of waiting to see? But there's the Wednesday and Thursday games don't apply to the physics strategy. No, they don't. I'll do it sometime. The only thing I did was I checked in because I do split classic Casey, right?

45:46My buddy Casey. We do split one million. Everybody's got a Casey. Everybody's got a Casey. One million's one survivor. We always split. So I just called him yesterday. I was like, by the way, I'm not really rushing to sign up for these unless he really think we're playing these first two days. And he was like, I don't really care. Sign up whatever. So I don't get to it sometime next week. Tony Hernandez is a 40 year charger season ticket holder. It's nice to see a huge following of survivor betters behind the bolts. Who knows? Maybe they'll make some noise this year. I'd like to everyone this season. Well, that's not exactly why they're picking the charges for survivor, but yeah. Yeah, right. Yeah. Yeah. But you know, you're sure, Tony Kelly, before we leave, your thoughts on Justin Herbert. Would you like to share before the season starts? Uh, I mean, look, he's a really good quarterback. I just think he needs to be criticized a little bit more when we all love to pile on guys like Dak Prescott. Actually, you know what? Dak's not even the good company. You know who is? Jalen Hertz. It was Jalen Hertz is one of super bad. I know. Everybody talks about him. He sucks. Well, he's lost the step of the half, I think. It's just, I just, I love that we love to criticize guys who want a Super Bowl.

46:48Oh, I see. That's what I'm saying, but the guy who can't want to play off game, we don't criticize at all. All right. And Danny Higgins is listening right now. Yeah, I know Josh Allen hasn't done all that well either. Okay. This is the year. All right. Monday on the show for Labor Day, we might do a water taste test. We also have the great Justin Emory joining us to talk about his strikeout prop success. I'm looking forward to that. Join us in studio, classic Greg Peterson, classic West Reynolds, water taste testing, big Monday. And now prop points is next. And now you should enjoy John Henson right here at Visa, these sports betting network. Every game day you show up for your team. Now it's your time. We go. We go. We go. We go. We go. Ask your prescriber about We Gov. Some Maglatide Injection 2.4 milligrams, a GLP one.

47:49Call 1-8334 We Gov or visit We Gov.com to view the Medication Guide and to learn more about We Gov. Why wait? We go. We go. We go. 5 AM. I'm up with a crisp, Celsius energy drink running 12 miles today. Grab a green juice, quick change and head to work. Meetings, workshops. One more Celsius, no slowing down. Working late but obviously still meeting the girls for a little dancing. Celsius, live, fit, go. Grab a cold refreshing Celsius at your local retailer or locate now at Celsius.com.