Altcoin SUPERCYCLE (How It Begins)

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1:05The idea that altcoins that have been around for cycle after cycle getting lower and lower highs. Seeming to go to the wayside and die forever. Ever coming back is something that nobody can seem to grasp as a possibility. For usual market analysis in the beginning of the week, I like to take a look at Bitcoin. And where Bitcoin is going, but honestly Bitcoin is pretty simple right now. This is on the two week timeframe for Bitcoin showing that we are clearly digging ourselves out of the current bear market. Now should something crazy go on macroeconomically or another war if jump was to start another war short. All bets are off and you could start painting lower price targets, but asking sit right now. Bitcoin is coiling around the 78 to $70,000 range. The more important graph that we need to discuss today is not Bitcoin. It is the altcoin sector. There's a reason why I know you for a hit in the last bull market for a vast majority of the altcoin sector. Bitcoin absolutely had you for a hitting $126,000, but many of the altcoins that people have been holding for cycle over cycle have hit new lows.

2:11I ask of themselves can these projects ever have an escape pump or a glow up back to recent highs. Now the most important chart that I want to show to you on this episode is not Bitcoin. It's the others chart. This will give you a higher scope view of where the markets have been over the last few years. Give you a better understanding of where my mindset's at and why I started laying ring into altcoins a few months ago. Now the other chart is something to admire and we have to take this piece by piece. Now the data you're looking at on the screen is a weekly timeframe chart showing each bull cycle for the altcoin sector. You have two major peaks here in 2018 and a secondary peak here in 2022. Now this February 2022 timeframe on the others chart where it absolutely exploded up to the point five level. When you measure it on Bitcoin's altime high at that time frame Bitcoin hits $68,000 and good times were being had. The problem with the last bull market that we went through for altcoins in particular is that the blow off top for Bitcoin, which was absolutely awesome at the $126,000 mark was mirrored on the others chart by a pitiful walk to the downside and what feels like a road to zero.

3:25Here's your $126,000 Bitcoin price action and this moment on the others chart is actually marking when Bitcoin rose to $74,000 breaching a new altime high early. What's happened to the others chart over the last four years is absolutely breathtaking. This has been a falling wedge pattern that has actually played out to a very very similar measure back here in the 2018 down to 2019 timeframe. But the important part about this chart is the underlying metrics that I see that are matching up perfectly to history rhyming. Looking at this on a weekly timeframe and just measuring and looking how much money is flowing in and out of the market, there's a tell to be told the bear market of 2018 to 2019 is very very clear with this red money flow downturn over the course of the last four years, the money flow downturn on altcoins has been absolutely brutal. Then take it a step further and look at what's happened as recently altcoins and the others chart has just recently popped its head into green money flow for the first time in a long time.

4:27In fact, the last time that we saw a green money flow breach for the others chart was back here in November and December of 2019. As you can see, the first time it pops its head back into the green money flow, there's a hesitation point. And if I'm looking at the structure of this graph with that additional money flow data, this choppy up and down, but slightly higher low system that we are building out for ourselves in the others chart as the money flow is just barely reaching into the green is exactly like this chart looked like in 2019 December of 2019. So if we go ahead and pull a bars pattern from this range right here, just to look at what this chart could look like, you have a similar pattern repeats itself. When the beginning of the breakout of this descending triangle over to the blow off top of January 22 and pulled that over to our current situation, the view is very, very terrifying for people that are expecting else to go to zero. We roll this data out not even looking for a blow up to this trend line of higher highs that is developed over each peak.

5:34We could actually see a breach of all time highs on the others chart over the next few years. This obviously would entail extreme volatility along the way, but so far it does match up to a pretty good degree with a very choppy up and down, but slightly higher low scenario playing itself out. So we're going to find that if this pattern is simply repeating itself or rhyming, there's a likely retest of the zone where we come back down to the point one three level. And if we look at the timeframe of expectation on how long we have to wait to see really good action come back to the alcohol and sectors should history repeat itself. Let's go take a look at the time frames of how long you had to wait to see that action come back to the market. So from the breakout of that original descending wedge back here from 2018 down to 2019, where we broke out of it and started. Building up with momentum, it took around 462 days to see that real beginning of a glow up season for all coins. So let's take a look at what that would look like in terms of our time frame in our current day and age 476 days would bring you to April 26th of 2027 before we see the real moment or all coins that have their chance to shine.

6:44And I know most of the concentration for the markets this week is going to be on is the Federal Reserve going to raise interest rates or hold interest rates or lower them. Can we go to the moon really the underlying factor of why all coins and risk assets go ballistic is when the Federal Reserve begins to do any form of quantitative easing be it treasury buyback balance sheet expansion. All of these different ways that the US government and its monetary system can do quantitative easing can come into play in a very fast manner. It's exactly what we saw the type of environment that we're in right now as the balance sheet is getting ready to expand in a very big way here in the United States is very similar to the time frame leading up to 2019 2020. As I said the balance sheet expanding and quantitative easing coming into fixed macro economic issues going on in the US sector were playing in heavily leading up to COVID we have all those same canary in the coal mines going on in our current environment. But the problem is so much bigger now here's why the unrealized losses on investment securities held by the banking infrastructure.

7:51At a moment where it was digging itself out of one of the deepest and most painful downturns in losses now the unrealized losses on investment securities held by the banking sector has been an absolute shit show for the last few years this little blip in the map here in 2018 and 2019 caused that balance sheet expansion which led to flush pocket books for banks money was easy and all over the place now what's happened recently is investment securities have gone deep underwater reach the US. Underwater reaching their peak of about 700 billion dollars in losses for the banking sector at these two notes here fun part about this is they actually just recently changed this chart to make it look not as bad but history remembers peppered from remembers and drew remembers now this is also the great financial crisis highlighted here this little tiny nub. And our current situation and how deep these losses are looks like it was going to be fixed a few quarters ago we have the trajectory to make it back into the green but something's gone wrong and now this is actually angling back towards the downside as the losses are holding on to where they're at and banks need that quantitative easing to come in to rescue the banking sector now when the fed in the treasury blink this way this is where risk assets go absolutely ballistic.

9:09We have all the same makings that we had in 2019 leading up to 2020 in our current environment this seeing these metrics along with how long Ethereum has been beat down gave me the inclination to move into the market this is the ETH dominance chart and we have not even breached into the green with conviction on this as of yet. At a deep swooping pattern moving back to the green but ETH is getting ready to blast back up into exciting times and a vast majority of people that are expecting a massive downturn on the market are going to be sideline this will be one of the most hated rallies in investing history positioned accordingly and interested in your thoughts are we going to be rhyming with what happened in 2019 to 2020 or is this just a fake out to sucker more people in before the final rug poll. Let me know what you think down in the comments and if you're interested in mapping out the altcoin sector we've actually developed a tool that's made it very very easy for me to navigate great projects from terrible projects with saving me massive amounts of time sifting through the tens of thousands millions of altcoins it's almost undubable as a singular person but with the power of our AI analysis and scorecard system I've been able to we through a lot of different projects and I will tell you that this system has already proven to give me some more time.

10:31I've been able to identify some great gains identifying the projects that are fundamentally strong a few months ago and even now that I'm using to make sure that my investment portfolio is on the right track. If you want go check it out for free inside of our school you will get access to the DC data hub. This is where you can get dashboards of up to date news all of the information you need from even trading build your own watch list dashboards use your own scorecard system to keep track of your own projects see how they match up again. The DC data hub in the scorecard does the live analysis of what the tokenomics structure the problem in use case narrative fit everything about an altcoin can be consolidated and aggregated quickly for you to keep track of. As an altcoin and crypto researcher this helps me out a lot when I navigate the 90 million plus projects that are out there to make sure I'm positioned the right way. Look forward to your thoughts on it and I will see you on the next one. Who says Halloween only last one day with way fair one night of Halloween becomes a whole season at home from larger than life yard decor and moody lighting to festive accents for every room in the house.

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