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April 20-23 | Ledger Recap

About this episode

It is Friday, April 24, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

In this episode of Ledger Recap, we go deep into the film room to analyze our recent positions across hockey, baseball, and basketball. We break down why the Philadelphia Flyers' defensive structure created a massive edge and how rookie Sal Stewart provided a high-value return on his home run odds.

Key discussion points include:

  • NHL Analysis: The "Pennsylvania Sweep" and how to reprice favorites in real-time.
  • MLB Value: Exploiting the information gap on breakout rookies like Sal Stewart.
  • NBA Process: Learning from the James Harden "bad beat" and the importance of trading out of positions on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.
  • Bankroll Management: Sizing your bets relative to conviction and avoiding redundant hedges.

Whether you are trading contracts or looking for the best sports odds, understanding implied probability is the key to long-term success.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly. [email protected]

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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April 20-23 | Ledger Recap

Prediction Markets HQ: Daily Sports

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