ATP Bucharest + ATP Houston + ATP Marrakech Preview/Outrights – 3/29/26 (Ep. 621)

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3:03network is brought to you by Kalish. It'll make real money. You're putting sports accounts available in every state, 10 bucks and free. Resign up with the code, S&PN, that's Kalishy promo code SGPN. And welcome everyone to the tennis game podcast here on of these sports game podcasts. Now we're currently Sunday night March 29th. We're at 9.30 pm Eastern time. I'm also always going to show once again going solo for this pod. Time to get into the breakdown of the three upcoming EP events for the next week. So we've three clay events, officially clay season. So looking forward to, but either way we do have a couple of two fifties that are worth talking about. One in Bucharest, one in Murukic and one in Houston. So we're going to break down all three of those events in a few minutes. Forging into the actual breakdown with three outrights for those events or minus for the show. I like subscribing on YouTube. Also find the podcast and Spotify or Apple. So once again, a couple of ways to actually consume the podcast, but either way, we'll be writing an interview on Spotify and Apple and leave a like to subscribe when YouTube helped the channel grow in both areas. Plus reminder, check out the merch store.

4:07We have a lot of great tennis merchandise on the merch store for SGPN. So check out the website for shirts, sweatshirts, mugs, all that fun stuff. Same as usual. Once again, think you like the selection. Check it out. Plus a reminder, before you actually get into any of the recap of the last episode, which was a bit dated, to be honest, baseball's back. And so is the MLB gambling podcast and show that I'm also on a daily picks podcast, bringing down all the MLB action, get in on the action and a reminder, get it on the SGPN app wherever you get your podcasts, YouTube, Spotify, or of course, the SGPN app free to download. So starting off the recap of the last episode, which was the quarter finals in Miami. So we ended up splitting. For the law, nice and easy, we'll have to team total over 12 and a half minus 140 against Laundaleucci. Never in doubt. I ended up winning 7, 6, 7, 5, but once you won the first set in a breaker, it was really never doubt. So nice, easy win there for the lock. For the dog bit of a hard breaker, but not really to be honest, we'd fizz minus 1.5 games against Paul at even money. Fizz did have

5:11a match point with a second serve for a from Paul. If he converted it, we would have won, but he didn't convert it and eventually did win the match, but he won in the three sets, all tie breaks. So Fizz did win, but unfortunately, he did not cover the spread. However, it's really not that bad of a beat because Paul was up 40 love in that service game before he eventually blew it and gave Fizz a match point. So not really a bad beat, but there was one match point where Fizz would have won it. We would have swept. So it is what it is, but either way, Fizz didn't cover the spread, pick a ball off there for the dog. Now we have to fast forward a bit because that was the quarter finals. The semis ended up happening. We didn't talk about it either. I was away. So apologies I couldn't record an episode. And for the final, I could have recorded an episode, but Sinner was minus 2,000 against Lashka. So no point in talking about it, and what do you know? Sinner did win another 1,000 title without dropping a set. He extends his streak off consecutive matches one in 1,000 events without dropping a set. So he's a complete

6:17machine. And of course, we gave him out to win the event at plus 140. Once again, the same strategy as always, if Sinner and Alcaraz are both in the same event, take Alcaraz take Sinner and take nobody else. I keep repeating the same exact, I'd say quote or same exact speech every time we do this post tournament because one of them always wins. So another win for Sinner, never in doubt, never drop the set. And once again, he was able to win comfortably in the final on a Sunday against Lashka, props to Lashka, who will now be a top 15 player in the world for the first time in his career. Pretty straightforward. Sinner 16464. He only faced three break points, but they were all in one game. So besides one tight service game, Sinner was able to hold comfortably for the rest of the match. And Alashka was just not able to keep up. So once again, Lashka, good job by him, made a good run. But Sinner was going to destroy him pretty much any day of the

7:18week. And that happened again on Sunday. The only drama was the weather because there were a couple of interruptions in the late start because of course it always rains in Florida. But either way, Sinner eventually was able to complete the match in route to a straight set win. So another route right when for us, yeah, I'm not going to victory lap too much. Once again, Sinner Alcaraz strategy is undefeated. And we're going to try to keep it rolling here for the upcoming three events. So nothing else to really talk about moving on into the three outrights. Now I do want to point out, by the way, we do have no quarter odds right now. So we're going to have to skip the quarter's but we do have actual title odds for all three events. So we're going to start off in crunch order with the first event starting on Monday, which is Bucharest. So we're going to go to Bucharest first, recent winners, Koboli, ended up beating Baez in the final last year and Vuxilvix beaten a Voni the year prior. So there was a bit of a gap after those two years. So or before those two years. So I kind of skipped it. But other way, a point is we have a pretty,

8:20I'd say, interesting collection of winners recently. I'd say two guys that are not exactly favorites according to the odds. And maybe we'll see if another long shot is able to win the this event for the third year in a row. Now moving on to the actual outrights to win the event here in Bucharest, starting off with the actual odds. Marosem is the favorite, which is insane to me. He's never won a title, but he's plus 450. Borgis is five to one, second favorite, which I know he did win a title. It was kind of a BS title where he faced off against the Dallas Corpse in the final and he was able to win. And then he injured his eye pouring champagne on himself, which was pretty funny. But other way, a point is Borgis, I think, is fine. He does have a title in his career years ago, but not exactly the most impressive ATP resume. But once again, those are the two favorites. So a pretty open tournament, potentially, which can result in a little bit of, I'd say, shock as the event wears on. But by as it's six to one, Diallo at nine to one, ultimate or 10 to one. I know I know he's a good clay player, but ultmire has been objectively

9:24horrific all season. So 10 to one's pretty funny. A dozen shops at 11 to one. He's never won a title either, a Devonate 12 to one. He's never won a title either. Shivchenko 16 to one. I believe he's never won a title either, Arnaldi. I don't think he's won one either. Go to plus 2000, Busta at plus 2000, Persmonds 25 to one, Zoom or 25 to one, Martinez 25 to one. You know, Manorino, who, by the way, is useless on clay to keep that in mind. You will not be seeing me take Manorino on clay and you get the point. So a couple of interesting faces and a pretty weak overall field, I'd say that it's pretty safe to say that Bucharest has the worst collection of talent for the entire week because a lot of good players in America stayed in Houston, even though it's not really clay, but it counts as clay, I guess. But I'd say that the overall talent in my opinion, is better than the talent here in Bucharest, but I can't result in a couple of long shots who make respectable runs. Now, I said before, you know, a bunch of guys at the top who've never won a

10:27title before, like you're looking at Marozen, who's the favorite, he's never won. Altmeyer, I don't believe he's ever won either. Desan Schultz, never won. Devonate is never won. I don't think Shivchenko's won either. Arnaldi, I don't believe he's won either. So once again, a bunch of, I'd say guys who might be looking to win their first career titles. So you can correct me down below if I am wrong and maybe like Shivchenko or Arnaldi did win one, but I don't think they did. So that's kind of what I'm thinking, but if I'm wrong, you can correct me. But either way point is a relatively weak field that can be open to opportunity. Now, looking at the actual draw, starting with Marozen, who is the favorite, his draw, I'll be honest, is really not that bad. So he has a buy then Choynski or a qualifier, then either Altmeyer or Martinez or Prismich. So that is definitely a very tough collection of players. Altmeyer's 10 to 1. Martinez is doing a lifetime and Martinez is a good clay player. That could be an upset. So I'm definitely

11:29not taking Altmeyer, but do I think Marozen is guaranteed to cruise through the immediate section into the semis? No, Prismich I think has some clay talent still young, but I think that Martinez, if he's on, could beat Marozen, Altmeyer too, but he's been pretty bad this season. Prismich can in theory do it as well. So not really if Anna Marozen's draw, especially for this price at around plus 450, I am not interested in that price. Moving on to board just though, seeing if there's anybody that I think can be a threat to him. I don't think he's an amazing clay player. He's fine. He doesn't have to zoom her in the second round. I think you should win that same immediate section, though, as does Anciolt and Shepchenko. Borg just probably should make it out of that section, but there is a chance that Anciolt, if he's on, can beat him. Top half does have the yellow, who is okay on clay. I'd say he's not exactly amazing on it. Definitely not his best surface. So you can argue that Borg just does have an actual path.

12:29Novone is in that top quarter. So if he actually gets a good draw, I guess he'll con on the first round. We know that Novone is a former finalist here a couple years ago. So Novone actually could make a decent run, but the point is not exactly a lot of talent in the top half. So Borg just being this cheap, I actually kind of understand, but it's still way too cheap for a guy of Borg just as talent. Or I should say, in my opinion, a lack thereof. And I do think that 5 to 1 is too cheap. So moving on to the guys I will be taking for the event. I got buy as it's 6 to 1. I know that it was not exactly a great clay season for him. It's been kind of, I'd say, Bizarre World for Bias this season, where he was actually good on a hard court. He made a final on a hard court, and then kind of flamed out in the clay events. So a bit of a surprise there, usually it was the reverse. But I think I'll get back on track here. Bias's draw is fine, has galbos in the first round and either a good or droget, same immediate section as Manorino,

13:30who is a free space far as I'm concerned. Manorino getting a biased hilarious because he's basically a walking loss on clay. So a great deal for Bias, even though he doesn't have a buy, he does have Manorino, who's definitely the weakest of the buy players in this event. So based on that, I think Bias should cruise into the semi's in my opinion. He has the same exact half as Morosen. I think Morosen might lose, so we'll see what happens there. But I got to go Bias. He made the final here last year. He did lose to Gaboli. Six to one, I'm shocked. He's not a favorite. I think that he definitely should be the favorite. I get that you're looking at Morosen, and you're looking at Borges, and both of them do have Bias. So there is one less match for both them to play by comparison. But Bias is definitely the best clay player in terms of resume in this field. And for that reason, I'm taking them at six to one. I think it's an insane praise. I think it should be closer to three 50, in my opinion. I'll take them at six to one as my first choice. Now I said before, a bunch of the favorites have never won a title before on the ATP. Borges did

14:33win one in Sweden a couple of years ago, a couple of weird circumstances, but still wins a win. I am going to go to Vona at 13 to one. I still really like his game on clay. Pure clay specialist, he really can't serve. It's a problem. But Buker is according to the actual databases I was researching on. It does say that Buker is the slowest core of the entire ATP season. So you're looking at what should be a serving display that's pretty underwhelming from basically everybody. And rally tolerance is going to be very key to winning. Now I know Bias does have firepower, but he's also a very good clay guy. Caboli solid on clay. He has some firepower too. But Fuxilvix and Vona, Vona made the final here before. So once again, you're looking at Argentinians who've been pretty good in the past making finals. 13 to one is really not that bad. He's in the same half as the same section as Diallo. And Diallo, I don't think it's really a great clay player. And once again, the courts are going to play so slow. I think Diallo's, I'd say, rally tolerance is

15:36going to hurt him in this match. So I actually like Vona in a matchup against Diallo on these courts in Buker. It's the same half as Borges in the Zinshop. I think he could take either of those guys, and I think Vona at 13 to one is a very solid clay player. I know that the clay results on the ATP level have not been amazing. He's also had some really, really tough draws early in clay tournaments recently, which I feel like is annoying. And I've noticed it because I want to take Vona to win quarters, etc. But it feels like he's matched up against like Bias all the time in the first match and he just loses immediately. So I'm happy Vona actually has a pretty decent draw at this time around in a very weak field. But I think he's better than O'Connell on clay. So I think Vona has some value for 13 to one. I think Vona and Bias, I'll go for the Argentinians. I think they're solid rally guys. I think they're obviously clay specialist. But Bias, I do know for a fact, he's comfortable here in Buker. He made the final here last year. And the fact is he should be

16:39pissed off because he had an awful clay slate when we were back in Rio and Buenos Aires, etc. He didn't win anything. So I'm hoping that he has a little bit of a chip on his shoulder to actually win a clay title. But either way, I think that Bias 6 to 1 and Vona at 13 to 1 are the best available in my opinion deals. Now for long shots, I didn't really have any. I don't trust boost to health. A good I think is just too up there a year, especially on clay. Martinez a 25 to 1 would have intrigued me, but Altmeyer and Rowan one is a very tough draw. I think Martinez is actually quite alive to win that match, but the point is Martinez is draws really not great. If you had a better draw, I would have taken him because he is a solid clay player. But with that draw, I can't do it. So I had to really have a long shot. I think that it's going to be, in my opinion, either Bias or Vona, who are 6 to 1 and 13 to 1 respectively. But nothing that's that amazing in terms of long shot price. Moving on to Mara Ketch.

17:41Forging into the preview of that event, a reminder that we're all to you by our sponsor, which is Kalshi, a real money picture market available in a ton of states, tons of options for trading on your favorite sports, including tennis. So once again, check out the platform. If you're new, get 10 bucks when you sign up and use the code SBM, that's Kalshi promo code SGPM. We're also brought to you by our McFinish team to be covered with pickment trees from us every sport, including tennis. They also increased their pads recently to pick injuries at a 3.5x and 3 pick injuries. I had a 6.5x to check that out. And our reminder, if you are new to the platform, play $5.50 bonus funds. We sign up at our log with promo code SGPM. Fund their own infrastructure, saving taxpayers billions while powering the economy forward, from reducing highway congestion to delivering goods safely and efficiently.

18:42Freight rail keeps America moving. Learn more at ar.org slash America's engine. From the creators of Jury Duty comes a new installment full of high jinx hilarity and hot sauce. This season, we're taking the comedy out of the courthouse and into the mountains for an annual company retreat. The catch? Everyone but the new guy is an actor. Oh yeah, and the company is fake. Season 2 arrives with bigger laughs, higher stakes, and the same heart that made season 1 a cultural phenomenon. Watch Jury Duty presents company retreat, streaming on Prime Video March 20th. Few things are as uplifting as the greatest moments in sports. And nothing brings us together quite like Team USA at the Olympic Winter Games. From NBC Universal's iconic story telling to the innovative technology across Xfinity and Peacock, Comcast brings the Olympic Games home to America, sharing every moment with millions. When Team USA steps onto the world stage, we're not just watching. We're cheering together. This winter, we're all on the same team. Comcast,

19:47proud partner of Team USA. Your home holds the story of your life, renewal by Anderson Windows, are built to weather every season with you. They frame the little moments, and the big ones, from first steps to graduation, to new beginnings. While life keeps moving, our windows stand strong through every chapter. Let renewal by Anderson be part of your story. Windows built to last. Visit renewalbyandersonhome.com to learn more. This time of year, the school calendar really starts to fill up, spring activities, testing season, and that final push toward the end of the year. It's a great moment for kids to stay focused and build confidence in what they're learning. That's where IXL comes in. IXL is an award-winning online learning platform that helps kids truly understand their schoolwork, from math and reading to writing and science. It's designed for pre-K through 12th grade, with personalized interactive content that adapts to each child's level and pace. IXL makes it easy to stay on track with instant feedback and clear explanations,

20:51skills organized by grade level, and simple progress tracking. It fits into even the busiest spring schedules. It's also trusted nationwide. In fact, IXL is used in 96 of the top 100 school districts in the US. Make an impact on your child's learning. Get IXL now. Listeners can get an exclusive 20% off IXL membership when they sign up today at IXL.com forward slash today. Visit IXL.com forward slash today to get the most effective learning program out there at the best price. Welcome back everyone to the tennis game podcast. Finish going through the hour. It's in Bucharest time to move on into Marrakech. For this one, a recent winner is Darderry, a big Greek sport last year in two tie breaks, as he had a great run there. I remember we had Greek sport in the whole thing, and he lost in the final, but it turns out Darderry is actually insane on clay. I guess that lost aged well for Greek sport. At the time we were annoyed, but either way, Darderry did win the event last year in two breakers. Baratini did beat Baena. Our minor, that was the year that we backed Baratini blindly and backed to back clay

21:54events. Anyone. Baratini was on the warpath, and he was able to beat Baena in the final. Baena did beat more in a battle of Cinderella's the year before that, and Gotham beat Malkan very dated before that. So a bit of balance between overall firepower and consistency with Darderry, Greek sport and Baratini making the final, and two of the winning. But then you had Baena who won, more made a final, Malkan made a final. So once again, kind of a balance between power and consistency. But I will point out Marrakech does play faster than Bucharest on television, and based on just actually watching the events in Marrakech, it does feel like the court has a little bit of extra kick on some of the shots. So watch out for some top spin. But the point is Marrakech, I do think will be played at a faster pace than Bucharest by comparison. Now for the actual odds to win the event here in Bucharest, starting off with the favorites, you have what is of course the defending champion who is back to Darderry at around 260,

22:56Greek sport, if any runner-ups at five to one, Humphon is at 10 to one. He didn't make a very good run in a clay event a couple of weeks ago. Then he lost to Darderry in the final, but still a Humphon we know can be dangerous on clay. Malkic is at 11 to one, not really known for being an amazing clay player, but he has some firepower. They're a teeny forward champion 12 to one. Do I trust his, do I trust his durability? Not really, but he is very good on these courts and we'll see how he looks. Joder, young Spanish guy is 14 to one, might check 14 to one. I believe he made the semis last year. Mogenovic is at 14 to one, Muten is at 15 to one, Hallis is at 16 to one, Carabelli, 25 to one, Caprivo, who is quite good at McClaselate, back in Rio, etc. Has kind of struggled a bit lately in challengers, but he is at 25 to one, who is at 25 to one, you kind of get the point. So for the actual outright, first of all, do I think Darderry should be the favorite? Hell yeah, he should be the favorite. Defending champion,

23:58he is a clay machine. I know he lost in the final to Serundalo in Buenos Aires, but then we saw him bounce back, and he won a clay title after that. So we know Darderry is a clay monster. His game translates well. The serve and the forehand are very dangerous here, and I think that he has a good path. He's in the same quarter as Hoffman, so maybe that could be a bit tricky. That's why I'm not taking Hoffman to win this event. But once again, Darderry, I just think is the guy to be here, and it's quite a resume I speak for itself over the last couple of years. So Darderry, I think will be obviously my first choice here. I will pick him to go back-to-back. He's one of my favorite guys to back on clay. It just seems like he knows exactly how to play the surface, and I do think that has a certain edge that he possesses compared to others, where there's a certain comfort level on the courts here, winning last year, and I do think that he'll be able to do it again. I'll go for him. I found three to one, so I'll take him there as my first choice. Moving on to the others. Greaksport, I will not take. Greaksport, I know, kind of found his

25:02rhythm again late in the hard court slate, but still not exactly a great season for him. He's in the same quarter as Baratini. Baratini is on point, and I think that he could definitely lose that matchup. The draw is not that bad, but five to one's too cheap for Greaksport. For a guy that we know can mentally check out at a moment's notice. So I'm going to pass on Greaksport, not interested at that price point. I'll pass on Hoffman, attend the one same quarter as Darderry, Mockich at 11 to 1, not really known for being a great clay player. So I will pass on him as well. Baratini, I thought about to be honest, because I do think there's upside, but I really don't trust the durability. He'll look good in Miami, though. He'd be bootleg in straight sets. He want a couple of matches, so I understand that when he's healthy, he still looks good, but I don't trust him physically to hold up over the course of an entire tournament when you're playing back days on clay. So I'm going to pass on Baratini. If you want to back him, I get it, not a great draw,

26:04though. Has Boose in the first round, has Kerrbelli in the second round, who can be tricky on clay, Greaksport in the third. So once again, not exactly a favorable draw for Baratini. I'm going to pass. If he won, I wouldn't be shocked, but 12 to 1's too cheap. I'm going to pass on him there. A joder thing's good. I don't trust him enough. Not enough sample. I'll pass it 14 to 1. A mock at your things pretty good on clay. I don't think he should be 14 to 1. I think he should be longer, but Jettavitch has some firepower, but not interested at that price of 14 to 1. I will take a guy who has never won before, completely different playstyle than a Darderry, but he is in the same half of the draw, which is not ideal, but he's crafty. And I do think that Mootet could be interesting at 16 to 1. Will he win it? Probably not. But I think Mootet does have a very unique game. He has a lot of great feel on the courts here. He can hit with Topspin. He can frustrate his

27:04opponents with his variety. I think 16 to 1's not bad for a guy with definite upside. He has a buy then either Vukitsch. It probably Vukitsch in the second round, who's not good on clay. Same immediate half as a mychic in Surundalo. That's Jem Surundalo. They play against each other in the first round. So I do like the fact that Mootet could potentially feast on the scraps there in the quarterfinals, but I understand Darderry probably beats him, but I do think Mootet with that quarters actually not really looking that bad with this draw. I think 16 to 1 for a guy when he's clicking can be quite dangerous on clay. So for that reason, give me Mootet at 16 to 1 as my second choice for this tournament. But same as that game plan as Bucharest, basically taking one favorite and one medium long shot and we'll go from there. I'm moving on to Houston, which is the, in my opinion, dumbest clay event of the entire year. Because it's really not clay. I know it technically counts as clay, but it's really, it doesn't play like it. I'll put

28:10it that way. So for recent winners, Brooks B1 against Tiafo. Just listen to these finalists on clay or on clay and you'll see what I mean. Brooks Bb Tiafo on clay. Brooks B is not known for being a good clay player. A Shelton B Tiafo. Shelton is not known for being an amazing clay player. Digiv Elkers run for his money in the French Open, but not exactly known for his clay success. He won a title here. Tiafo beat Etcher Berry. Etcher Berry would know who's good on clay. But Tiafo's made the final three straight years in Houston. And the final before Tiafo Etcher Berry was Opelka versus Isner. Once again, Houston is not real clay. Keep that in mind. So if you see a clay specialist, I remember, I think it was Olavera played against, I forgot to be played against. Was it Blanche? I think it was a Blanche in qualifying? It was Blanche. Blanche beat Olavera in qualifying in three sets. Olavera is a full clay guy and Blanche is basically never played clay in his entire

29:13career and Blanche won in three. So once again, it's not really clay. So don't blindly take the clay specialist here that has not worked out historically speaking. Brooks Bb was really no clay success, won a title here. Tiafo made the final three straight years. Opelka played Isner in the final here. Treated like a semi-hard corn. That's my advice. Treated like a small hard corn. That's the advice I go with here. But moving on to the actual outrids to win the event, a lot of Americans in the draw to keep that in mind. Sheldon at 250, Paula 350 off the brutal loss to fees in the quarters in Miami. Tiafo 8 to 1, three time defending finalists. You have Nakashima at 10 to 1, Nicholson 11 to 1, Tiana 12 to 1, Etcher Berry 12 to 1, Brooks Bb and 18 to 1, Popper into 22 to 1, you have Vallejo or Vallejo at 25 to 1, who's a very solid underrated clay player in the challenger circuit. But once again, this is not real clay. So I'm not going to take him. COVID-7 to 28 to 1, boss of already 35 to 1, he got the point. So four of the actual outrids here

30:18should Sheldon be the favorite. I would say yes. Sheldon did win the title here a couple of years ago. He draws favorable as a buy, then pivoting Jones or Zhang. Same a quarter as Brooks B, so that could be a bit tricky there because Brooks B is proven that he is dangerous on these Houston courts. I will take Sheldon, though. I think the draw is fine. I think it's several play while here and I think he's the best player in the field in terms of talent. So I'll go for Sheldon former champion at 333 as the best price I found as my first choice for the event here in Houston. Moving on to Paul, I will not take him here. I don't trust him enough. We saw it against fees. We saw it last year against Brooks B in this event. He's just a serial choker. I just don't trust him to ever win matches. He should win and it seems like he always falls apart. So for that reason, I'm going to pass on Paul. I don't like the odds enough. Is the draw good? It's fine. Same quarters at Chivari, but I don't trust Paul mentally to win these tough matches on a regular basis.

31:23So I'm going to pass on Paul. Don't like that price. So moving on to Tiafo 8-1, it's going to be a bit of a joke because I understand that Tiafo has been a very overrated player in my eyes over the last couple of years, arguably his entire career. I'm very anti Tiafo. I don't think he's as good as people think he is, but he's been quite good this season, made the final in Acapoco, didn't lose in the final to Caboli, but still good wrong there. I do think that Tiafo should be worth taking it 8-1 when he's made the final in three straight years. Former champion made the final in three straight. I think his draw is really not that bad. Copa Savage or Jakarta in the second round, Michelson Wong, Popperin or Kipson would be his opponent in the quarterfinals. It's really not that bad of a draw. Same half as Paul as well, but I do think that Tiafo has some value with 8-1. It sounds disgusting, especially coming from me, but I do think for

32:24three-time finals to be 8-1, I think it's a good price. So I'm going to Tiafo 8-1, even though I expect the blow up in my face at some point over the course of the event. And I will go with Etcheverry at 14-1. He did win a title, so the streak of the drought is over. Etcheverry is finally an ADP champion, deserved. I always thought that he was the best player on tour to never win an ADP title, not counting Fakina, because Fakina is a generational case of a talented guy, top 15 caliber, who's never won a title. So Fakina is in his own category. Etcheverry was always number two in the world in terms of never winning a title, but being very good. And now I want a title. So now that the monk is off his back, I do think that Etcheverry should have looked good here. He did make the final here a couple years ago, losing to Tiafo in the final, but he's comfortable here. He's good on clay. And most importantly, he finally got the mental block out

33:24over the way. He did win a title. I think 14-1 is a good price. Do I think Paul would beat him in a head to head matchup? Maybe. But I think Etcheverry has more than a fighter's chance in that matchup. And I think that he could beat Tiafo as well in a rematch of the final that we saw a couple of years ago. 14-1 is a good price. I think that he can play well here. We've seen it. He's got a good serve as well. Give me Etcheverry 14-1 as my third choice for Houston. So once again, my outright picks for the three events for the upcoming week in Bucharest. We are going to go with Bias at 6-1 and Navone at 13-1. For Marrakech, we have a pretty similar game plan, one favorite and one medium-long shot. Dardari, defending champion and Mutet at 16-1. So Dardari 3-1, Mutet at 16-1, and last but not least for Houston. We did go with three outright choices, and not two. So a bit different here. We have Shelton, former champion at 3-33. We have Tiafo,

34:25former champion at 8-1, and we have Etcheverry at 14-1 as a former finalist, and a very recent clay ATP champion. But a reminder once again, Houston is not real clay. Don't treat it that way. Houston's going to piss you off if you treat a leg real clay. So keep that in mind. But either way, those are my outright picks for the upcoming events. Time to move on into the lock-and-dog picks for matches in the first round. Forged into the actual picks for the lock-and-dog, or mind of the brought-to-buy response to rhythm, official data tool for dominating the madness of college hoops. Realty continues to crush in college hoops, plus you can also check them out for baseball, a lot of MLB projections, for sides, holes, and props. If you want to check that out, premium version, go to the app. Use the Codashman25, read down on the app for a nice discount, get a quarter of first month. If you use the Codashpn25, check our rhythm, promo code SGPN25. Reminder also brought to my Novig, America's Number 1 Prodigy Markets Sports. So check out the great prices they have, lots of reduced juice, and down on the app. Great side of the deal, get 50 bucks in the spend just five bucks. If you use the Codashpn, check our Novig,

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36:31from math and reading to writing and science. It's designed for pre-K through 12th grade, with personalized interactive content that adapts to each child's level and pace. IXL makes it easy to stay on track with instant feedback and clear explanations, skills organized by grade level and simple progress tracking. It fits into even the busiest spring schedules. It's also trusted nationwide. In fact, IXL is used in 96 of the top 100 school districts in the US. Make an impact on your child's learning. Get IXL now. Listeners can get an exclusive 20% off IXL membership when they sign up today at IXL.com forward slash today. Visit IXL.com forward slash today to get the most effective learning program out there at the best price. Hey, have you guys signed up over on cut yet? If not, what are you waiting for? Cut is great. It's awesome. You can bet your bodies. That's right. Cut is a peer to peer betting platform that allows friends and strangers to bet directly against each other on the outcome sports politics, pop culture and more. Cut is

37:31the ultimate. Put your money where your mouth is platform. All these people talking trash on our first halfunders. Get your first halfovers on cut. Go head to head against sports gambling podcasts, play your own plays, play your buddies. You could do it all over on cut plus cut. Gives you cash back on every single bet you make plus cut is available in 40 plus states. Love me some cut. You can get cut in the app store. That's K U T T or you can go to play. Cut.com. Use our promo code SGPN to receive a 15% deposit bonus. That's K U T T promo code SGPN cut. Put your money where your mouth is. Welcome back everyone to the tennis and podcast finish going through the preview of Bucharest Houston and market time to move on into the lock and dog picks for the log going to market. I am going to go with the magic between Buse and Baratini a rematch actually of a match that we saw a couple of weeks ago. We're going to go with Baratini team total over 12 and a half and minus 140. Now for this one Baratini has been

38:38good in market in the past. Last time he was here, he won the entire thing, but he was a bit of a tie break. It's in five magnet over the course of that title run. He's gone over this team total in four straight in market. So reminder, if you actually were listening to this podcast a few years ago, we were blindly taking Baratini over 12 and a half games in every single match and it kept winning in straight sets while going over. So I do like the history here. Baratini's proven that he can definitely serve well while also hitting crazy forehands but not a great returner on these courts and that should result in what could be at least one long set against Buse. Now Buse is also a marathon man. Eight of his last 10 matches have not ended in straight sets. So Buse can also force a third set and we saw that happen as he beat Baratini in three sets a month ago or so in Rio. So I do think that Buse is a marathon guy who can definitely I'd say catch Baratini's

39:38sleeping in a set or always for a few games and make Baratini work for a set to in 75 or 76. But the fact is Baratini in this event which he won, he did have a bunch of long sets in that title run even against bad server. So Baratini's return games not great. The server's very good. The forehand's great. I think he'll win but I'm using that Buse can keep in at least one set close. Give me Baratini team total over 12 and a half minus 140 as my lock for the show. For the dog I am going to go I'm going to actually stay in market. I'm going to go at the match between Serundalo and my chick. I'm going to go with the over 22 and a half games at plus 102. I see a very very competitive battle. A four of my chicks will last five matches at this event. Had a seven five or seven six. So I said before we made the semis last year lost to Greeceport and a competitive straight set lost there. But still the point is we've seen a bunch of long sets from in this event and I do think that it's an overall I'd say common theme here in

40:44market. It is a little bit more fast pace than other play events and there was a lot of tops been a lot of kicks. So keep that in mind but my chicks had a bunch of long sets here and Serundalo has been a marathon man as well. Kind of like Busei who I just mentioned a second ago. Five is last six matches at least 23 games. Serundalo and my chick have a lot of rally tolerance, a lot of variety. Serundalo can at the top spend with the forehand of course being a lefty and my chick has the variety but I think you're looking at what could be a very competitive matchup. They maybe goes three sets but I don't see much separating these guys. I think that Serundalo is alive to win it but I do think that it will be competitive either way. So I'm going to go with the over instead as they say for option is my dog for the show. So once again the lock and dog picks the locks and it will be on Baratini team total over 12 and a half at minus 140 against Busei and for the dog give me Serundalo and my chick once again that's James Serundalo again it's my chick over 22 and a half games of plus 102 as my dog for the show. I know I was going to wrap up for

41:46the show but once again for the quarter finals in Bucharest and in Marikic Houston we might have to punt because there will be some night matches since it is in America. So there's a chance we're going to have to punt on Houston. We'll see but either way we'll back definitely for Bucharest and for Marikic. Until next time good luck to all of you and I'll all of your bets. Bye everyone. Few things are as uplifting as the greatest moments in sports and nothing brings us together quite like Team USA at the Olympic Winter Games from NBC Universal's iconic storytelling to the innovative technology across Xfinity and Peacock. Comcast brings the Olympic Games home to America sharing every moment with millions. When Team USA steps onto the world stage we're not just watching we're cheering together. This winter we're all on the same team Comcast proud partner of Team USA. This time of year the school calendar really starts to fill up. Spring activities,

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