Ben Darwin: Why coaches get sacked.

Want to know why the “hot coach” from a powerhouse program often struggles at your club? We sit down with Ben Darwin of Gain Line Analytics to unpack the data behind coach hiring, culture, and the compounding power of cohesion. The conversation challenges easy narratives and asks harder questions about why stability, system fit, and patience routinely beat short-term fixes.

We break down a striking contrast from the NRL: assistants leaving the dominant Melbourne Storm win far less elsewhere than the small group of coaches who’ve departed the West Tigers. That flips common wisdom, and it makes sense when you zoom out. Stable teams create deep habits, shared language, and automated trust. Exporting that playbook into a chaotic environment often fails because the receiving club lacks the scaffolding to absorb it. Meanwhile, coaches shaped in turbulence learn to navigate churn and expectation shocks.

From there, we map the real trade-off boards must name: delivery coach or builder coach. One chases immediate wins by importing senior talent and accepts the hidden costs to youth, depth, and future cohesion. The other sets a long horizon, aligns academies to the first team, and lets detail compound across seasons. We show how action bias—doing something to “look active”—can reset hard-won progress and why decisions echo for years. Along the way, we explore surprising performance drags: first-time jersey color changes that dent passing accuracy and attack, venue effects, injuries in the wrong positions, and small tweaks that cause big drops.

This is a practical playbook for smarter reviews and better questions. What are we truly up against? When do we expect to win? Can our players actually play the system we want? What will it cost to change, and who do we lose if we sign one? Move beyond the scoreboard and into the inputs that matter—shared experience, system familiarity, and player-to-player understanding. If you’re ready to replace hiring hype with evidence and build a culture that keeps people long enough to get to the good stuff, this one’s for you. Subscribe, share with a colleague who needs it, and tell us: what would you change first at your club?

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