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Hilton, for this day.
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First year of a nine game conference schedule, season win totals are out.
1:15
How many is Georgia going to win in 2026?
1:24
You are Lockdown Bulldogs.
1:26
Your daily podcast on the George of Bulldogs.
1:29
Part of the Lockdown podcast network, your team every day.
1:35
What is up everybody?
1:36
Welcome back to the Lockdown Bulldogs podcast.
1:38
Part of the Lockdown podcast network, your team every day.
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Today's episode brought to you by our friends over at five hour energy,
1:45
more on them in a moment.
1:48
And as I mentioned in the open, we are talking SEC win totals.
1:53
The first batch for the 2026 season has been released.
1:57
It's always fun to sort of think about how at least certain books,
2:03
certain gambling establishments are projecting SEC wins.
2:07
This is by no means a lock predictor of how things are going to go.
2:13
But by and large, we say it all the time.
2:15
There's a reason that these casinos are very big and very expensive.
2:19
And they have the money to keep building them
2:21
because they are right more often than they are wrong.
2:24
And so season win totals come out and Georgia tied at the top of the SEC
2:31
in terms of overall projected wins at nine and a half.
2:39
So Georgia projected nine and a half wins,
2:42
meaning if you want to take the over,
2:43
you're betting on Georgia going 10 and two this year.
2:47
And if you want to take the under,
2:49
you're counting on Georgia to lose three games.
2:52
Texas also sitting at nine and a half,
2:55
notably Alabama, Texas A&M and LSU are at eight and a half.
3:01
I can't imagine that LSU fans will be disappointed
3:05
with being projected right there with Alabama right at the top,
3:10
right near the top of the SEC.
3:11
What could go wrong?
3:13
But that's not what we're here to talk about today.
3:15
Let's talk about Georgia.
3:17
So according to this, nine and a half wins
3:21
at the top of the SEC, along with Texas,
3:24
it would put Georgia back in the SEC title game
3:26
for now fourth year in a row.
3:30
How do we feel about that?
3:33
What do we think that that's reasonable
3:36
in terms of where Georgia is at this point
3:40
where the 2026 season is shaping up
3:42
and what the schedule is laid out?
3:44
Firstly, I mentioned it in the cold,
3:47
the SEC moving to a nine game conference schedule.
3:49
And so that's the big change for Georgia
3:52
and for all these SEC teams this year,
3:54
an extra conference game, a nine game schedule.
3:57
It's gonna mean an unbalanced look
3:59
in terms of numbers of home games and away games.
4:03
Right now, Georgia this year has five home games
4:06
and four away games, but the Jacksonville game,
4:10
which is actually not a Jacksonville game,
4:11
but it's not a home game.
4:14
And so it's not played in Athens.
4:15
It's only four games in Athens,
4:17
four games away from Athens and five games
4:22
and one game on a neutral site.
4:24
So nine game conference schedule this year,
4:27
meaning that Georgia's down to three non-conference games.
4:30
They'll open the season against Tennessee State,
4:33
Western Kentucky on September's fifth and 12th,
4:36
respectively, and then close the season
4:38
as always against Georgia Tech.
4:41
There's not that third non-conference game.
4:44
So there's no marquee conference,
4:46
non-conference game this year for Georgia.
4:48
There's a question about moving forward
4:50
or we're gonna see less and less of those
4:52
marquee conference games
4:53
because of the nine game conference schedules.
4:58
Or we're gonna start seeing the SEC move towards
5:00
what the big 10 does,
5:01
which is basically outside of a very small handful
5:05
of games not played really anybody in the non-conference.
5:09
I for one would be disappointed by that.
5:11
I like those season openers.
5:12
I like those big non-conference games to open the year.
5:15
But that's not always the case
5:16
even with the eight game schedule.
5:17
So Georgia with two non-cons
5:20
at the beginning, two kind of cupcakes to get started.
5:23
But then nine consecutive weeks in the SEC.
5:27
And I guarantee you just,
5:29
I do not recommend playing a drinking game
5:32
where you count the number of times
5:33
that Kirby Smart says something to the effect of
5:37
weekend and week out in this conference is tough.
5:39
Every single team is tough.
5:42
Every single team has our attention.
5:44
You can't sleep on anybody.
5:45
You can't take anybody lightly.
5:47
Nine consecutive weeks in the SEC is brutal.
5:51
It's gonna be a talking point all season long.
5:54
Now of course, there's gonna be by weeks sprinkled in
5:58
notably before the Florida game.
6:01
But the way the schedule breaks down this year,
6:05
that is the only by week in the SEC schedule.
6:08
For the last several years, Georgia,
6:10
all teams across college football
6:12
have had multiple by weeks because of the,
6:16
just the way that the weeks fall after Labor Day,
6:19
I don't wanna get into the calendar.
6:20
But if you're a college football fan,
6:21
you've been following for years.
6:22
You know the way that that goes.
6:24
So only one by week on October the 24th
6:30
between Auburn and Florida.
6:32
But I mean, Georgia, Georgia goes at Arkansas,
6:36
Oklahoma, Vandy, Ad Alabama, Auburn, Florida,
6:41
at Ole Miss before finishing the season
6:44
home against Missouri at South Carolina and Georgia Tech.
6:48
We're gonna get into it in the second segment,
6:50
but what a brutal stretch of football that is going to be.
6:55
And so you look at these season wind totals,
6:57
nine and a half, how do we feel like Georgia's gonna shave?
7:01
But do we think that that's fair?
7:03
Do we think that that is a reasonable expectation?
7:06
But I do think generally, nine game conference schedules,
7:10
you're going to see, first of all,
7:12
you're going to see three lost teams
7:14
in the college football playoff.
7:16
So let's just get out in front of this.
7:18
The college football playoff is expanding.
7:21
It's going to continue to expand.
7:22
I don't, we don't have to talk about it,
7:25
but it is going to continue to be a reality.
7:28
But even without expansion,
7:30
you're going to continue to see more and more three lost teams.
7:32
You're going to continue to see more and more teams
7:36
that have quite frankly looked mediocre at times.
7:40
Bad losses in the college football playoff.
7:43
It's a new era, it's a new system.
7:46
Typically, it's like only the teams that have sort of
7:49
cruised through the regular season
7:51
that have looked at lead every step of the way.
7:53
Those are the only teams that have,
7:55
quote unquote, belonged in the college football playoff.
7:57
But that is no longer the case.
7:59
And Georgia, quite frankly, has fallen victim
8:03
to that over the last couple of years.
8:04
Because Georgia's been one of those teams won the SEC,
8:07
finished with the number two overall seed
8:09
in the college football playoff.
8:10
And it's been one of these quote unquote lesser teams,
8:14
Notre Dame, and then old Miss, that has jumped up and beat them.
8:17
I mean, on any given Saturday, we know in college football
8:20
that there's a lot of teams that can beat a lot of teams.
8:24
And so when you're playing a one game season,
8:26
you're going to see more and more things like that happen.
8:28
And it's, again, we keep saying it.
8:30
It's going to come down to not who is the best team,
8:33
but who is the hottest team that's able to go on a run.
8:37
Georgia's fallen victim to that, but that's the reality.
8:40
That's the nature of it.
8:41
And so first of all, let me start by saying,
8:44
Georgia could go under this wind total
8:47
and win the national championship.
8:49
That has never happened before in college football, I would say.
8:55
But right now, I'm looking at, there's no team in the SEC
8:57
with the wind total higher than nine and a half.
9:01
A team could go nine and three
9:03
and have a very realistic shot
9:07
of winning the national championship.
9:09
And so it just goes to show you that there's just a lot more
9:14
to college football than blowing through the regular season
9:20
and dominating all your opponents, which is good.
9:22
Because as I mentioned, there's a lot of brutal games
9:26
And so let's kind of quickly look through it
9:28
and see how we feel like Georgia is going to do.
9:31
If nine and a half is a fair wind total,
9:33
if we think it should be higher, if we think it should be lower.
9:35
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So nine and three win total for Georgia coming into the 2026 season.
12:25
We mentioned the schedule briefly,
12:26
but let's jump into it.
12:27
Do we think that's fair?
12:29
Tennessee State, Western Kentucky,
12:32
those are wins to a no to begin the season.
12:35
Now, let's look at this SEC start to conference play.
12:39
We mentioned it earlier at Arkansas, okay?
12:43
Should be a win for Georgia,
12:46
but to begin conference play on the road
12:49
after not really playing up to any level of competition,
12:54
a bit of a nervy start.
12:55
Home against Oklahoma, obviously,
12:58
they were a college football playoff team last year
13:02
and will be a formidable opponent.
13:03
Home against Vandy, what's Vandy gonna look like this year?
13:06
Is it going to be Jared Curtis at quarterback?
13:10
That could be a very interesting game.
13:12
So home against Vandy and then at this stretch right here,
13:17
at Alabama, home against Auburn, Florida,
13:20
and then at Ole Miss.
13:22
That four game stretch is absolutely brutal.
13:27
Now, I don't know if Auburn's gonna be ranked.
13:29
This year I don't know if Florida's gonna be ranked this year,
13:32
but you'd sprinkle in the rivalry games,
13:35
the intensity of these matchups,
13:37
what the Ole Miss game is gonna feel like
13:40
after how last year ended.
13:43
Florida in a new stadium, Auburn,
13:47
and then at Bryan Denney in Tuscaloosa,
13:50
always going to be an incredibly difficult matchup.
13:55
That's a brutal four game stretch.
13:57
Then they closed the season home against Mizzou
14:00
on the road to South Carolina and then Georgia Tech
14:04
at home to close the season.
14:05
A game that you know as a Georgia fan
14:09
has not been a cakewalk for Georgia,
14:12
either of the last two seasons.
14:14
Brent Key, it's the Super Bowl for Brent Key.
14:16
And one of these years, he's gonna win it.
14:19
One of these years,
14:21
Brent Key is gonna win this game, Georgia fans.
14:23
It's just, it is what it is.
14:25
You gotta accept it.
14:27
So what do we think about this schedule?
14:30
Nine conference games,
14:33
even if you give Georgia 3 and 0 in the non-conference,
14:37
can they escape with only two conference losses?
14:39
You look at the road games at Arkansas,
14:41
at Alabama, at Ole Miss, at South Carolina.
14:46
So you could give them at South Carolina
14:50
and at Arkansas to open and close the SEC schedule.
14:54
So they could lose at Alabama and at Ole Miss.
14:57
Can they win all of the home games?
14:59
Oklahoma, Vandy, Auburn, Florida on the neutral site?
15:04
I think to go 10 and 2 this year,
15:07
you gotta, you're gonna have to beat Georgia Tech.
15:10
Cause I do think there's two conference losses
15:13
on this slate for Georgia.
15:16
I think 10 and 2 is probably my most likely outcome
15:20
for this Georgia team,
15:22
just based on some of the uncertainties
15:24
that we know about and the overall strength of this schedule.
15:28
I just don't see an 11 and 1 season again
15:33
for the Georgia Bulldogs.
15:34
And so I think 10 and 2 would be my most likely outcome,
15:38
although I wouldn't necessarily feel overly confident
15:42
about that, could definitely be 9 and 3.
15:44
And again, could be a college football playoff team
15:47
with a chance to win the national championship at 9 and 3.
15:52
I certainly don't see this team on this schedule going 8 and 4.
15:55
I certainly don't see this team
15:56
with this schedule going 12 and I'll absolutely,
16:00
Not at this point of the season.
16:02
You're going to have to do some serious work
16:05
talking to me about some of the deficiencies
16:07
that I've seen on this football team.
16:11
I'm going to need to see a crazy pass rush.
16:13
I'm going to need to see development at corner.
16:15
I'm going to need to see development at what receiver.
16:17
I'm going to see a lot of things.
16:18
And even then this schedule, 9 conference games,
16:22
one by week, brutal weekend, week out.
16:25
The attrition that you're going to have
16:26
in a regular season, 12 and 0 would be unthinkable.
16:30
There will not be an undefeated SEC team
16:34
for the next 10 years.
16:35
That's my prediction.
16:36
10 years, there will not be, maybe never again.
16:40
There will not be an undefeated 12 and 0 regular season
16:44
I just don't see it happening, like period.
16:47
I mean, it could happen for sure.
16:49
And the consumables change so much.
16:51
It could continue to change.
16:53
I just don't see it.
16:55
I do think 10 and 2 slightly is the lean here.
16:58
I think 9.5 is a really fair win total for Georgia.
17:03
And again, you hear 9.5 and you're
17:06
used to as a Georgia fan, the win total being 10.5.
17:09
There have been years where the win total was 11.5 for Georgia.
17:13
But those days are done.
17:16
9.5 still tied with Texas for the most wins
17:19
across the conference.
17:20
And Alabama won below that at 8.5, like LSU below that.
17:26
All missed 7.5, even though I've heard they had turned
17:30
It's coming back for a 20th year.
17:31
And so there won't be any drop off at all because they obviously
17:35
have a better coach now than they did.
17:37
They didn't even want Lane Kiffin, which is interesting.
17:41
So you look at the other teams in the SEC.
17:44
Georgia's still right there at the top.
17:45
It's just right there at the top.
17:46
Doesn't mean what it used to mean in college football.
17:50
We got more that we're going to discuss a little bit of unfortunate
17:55
basketball situation that we're going to have to talk through.
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All right, friends, what happened with the Georgia basketball team last night?
20:39
I'd honestly like to know what happened to the Georgia basketball team.
20:46
They fought valiantly in the second half and played really well, closed that game, really
20:52
flirted with how to chance to win the game.
20:55
The way they came out in that first half was just as bad as you have ever seen as you
21:01
could possibly ever see a basketball team come out and play.
21:07
The shots were abysmal.
21:10
The turnovers were prolific.
21:13
It didn't help that Ole Miss came out hitting literally everything.
21:17
I mean, like throwing out prayers at the beginning of the game.
21:21
Georgia, I thought in the half court actually played pretty decent defense in the first half.
21:27
But it didn't matter because they were one of 11 at one point from three and the shooting,
21:33
the hot shooting that we have seen from Smurf Millender, from Blue Kane, from Canon Catchings,
21:38
from Jeremiah Wilkinson, from Karim Stagg.
21:41
That shooting was gone completely and totally gone and not only that, but Georgia was absolutely
21:47
getting pumped at the rim.
21:49
They were consistently driving to the basket, which is good because the shots weren't going
21:54
down, but they just weren't tough enough.
21:56
They did not seem physically ready to play.
22:00
It's concerning because that's it now before the NCAA tournament.
22:04
That's the last tune up.
22:05
That's the last time you're going to see this Georgia team before they're matched up in
22:08
a bracket in the NCAA tournament in a one game season where you've got one shot to
22:14
do something that this program hasn't done in 20 plus years, which is win a game in the
22:23
You got one game and this is the game you're coming off of, which has got to be a pretty
22:28
bad taste in this team's mouth.
22:32
It's definitely a bad taste in my mouth.
22:35
I think we crapped away the possibility of the 7C last night and that hurts, but again,
22:44
the 7C was all about the possibility of winning two games.
22:48
Let me just tell you right now.
22:51
The four one-seeds in this tournament are going to be Duke and Arizona and Florida and who's
22:59
the fourth one-seed?
23:02
Duke, Michigan, Florida, Arizona.
23:04
Those are going to be the four one-seeds.
23:06
Georgia has a 0.0% chance of beating any of those teams.
23:13
They're not doing it.
23:15
So, Georgia's going to be an eight or a nine seed, probably an eight, but maybe a nine.
23:21
Georgia's going to be an eight or a nine seed, meaning they are not making the sweet 16.
23:25
There's a 0.0% chance that they're making the sweet 16.
23:30
So you can just forget about it.
23:33
But Georgia doesn't need to make the sweet 16 for this season to be a tremendous, and
23:37
I say the word legitimately, tremendous success.
23:40
This is not me settling.
23:43
This is not me trying to make something out of nothing, trying to sweeten up, you know,
23:52
Like this is the like honest facts.
23:55
When you do something you haven't done in 25 years, and by the way, that one was expunged
24:00
from the record books, and so technically speaking, they haven't done it in much longer
24:06
But they did it 25 years ago when I was in college.
24:11
When you do something you haven't done in 25 years, which is win a game in the NCAA tournament,
24:17
and you don't call that season a tremendous success, like you're delusional.
24:23
You're full blown delusional.
24:26
So Georgia needs to win a game in this tournament.
24:29
They will still have a tremendous opportunity to win a game in this tournament.
24:33
They will be matched up against a team that has a similar resume to them.
24:39
In a one game season, they have to win that game.
24:44
They're not winning the next one.
24:45
They're not going to the sweet 16.
24:46
They're not playing on the second weekend.
24:49
One game season, they have to win that game.
24:53
But that's all we needed from this Georgia team.
24:56
The night has done nothing at Georgia but make progress.
25:00
First year, he rebuilt the dumpster fire that was Tom Kreme, and he did it miraculously.
25:08
Then he hit the portal.
25:09
The next year makes the NIT and goes on a run, and he did that incredibly, and then he
25:17
hits the portal even better.
25:21
The next year makes the NCAA tournament has a lottery pick in the NBA.
25:27
And then he hits the portal even harder and brings in his best portal class yet.
25:31
And now he makes the NCAA tournament again, he needs to win this game in the NCAA tournament.
25:38
Proof of concept, continued elevation and ascension of the program.
25:42
That's what Georgia needs from Mike White and this team this year.
25:47
It was a disappointed, I thought they had a shot to win a couple of games in the SEC tournaments,
25:52
solidify a seven seed and really prove that they were a lot better than we thought.
26:00
Right now, I think that that ship is sailed.
26:02
Because again, they're not winning multiple games in the NCAA tournament.
26:08
They got to win the one.
26:09
We got to win this one game.
26:13
That will depend on whether or not the season was okay.
26:17
And not a regression, at least we've stayed put where we are and didn't
26:24
regress or whether the season is a success, a unmitigated success if we win a game in the NCAA tournament.
26:36
So when selection Sunday happens, Clinton, I will be here with you.
26:40
We'll be here that night breaking down where Georgia is in the bracket.
26:43
So if you're a basketball fan, make sure you're tuned in for that Sunday night episode.
26:47
And then we'll be with you every step of the way up until the game, whether it's on Thursday
26:52
And so excited to have you along for the ride.
26:55
And we will talk to you guys next time.
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