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Will Trump’s ultimatum trigger a decisive strike on Iran—or force a last-minute deal?
As the clock ticks toward a U.S. deadline, Dan is joined by Nadav Eyal and Amit Segal to break down what comes next: a widening war, a strategic endgame, or something in between. They unpack competing military options, the role of Iran’s energy sector, the risks of escalation across the region, and whether regime change is a realistic outcome—or a dangerous illusion.
In this episode:
02:45 - Trump’s Ultimatum: What It Actually Means
05:45 - Extend, Escalate, or Strike: The U.S. Decision Tree
06:42 - Targeting Iran’s Energy Sector: Pressure vs. Shock
11:03 - Ground Forces on the Table? Risks and Realities
17:00 - No Deal, No Deterrence: Can This War End Cleanly?
18:00 - Iran’s Leverage: Hormuz and Regional Retaliation
21:30 - Endgames: Regime Change, Containment, or End
This episode was sponsored by Hadassah. Please go to Hadassah.org to make a gift that helps Hadassah continue its longstanding, life-changing support for the people in Israel.
More Ark Media:
Link to Javad Zarif article on Foreign Affairs: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/middle-east/how-iran-should-end-war-javad-zarif
Credits: Ilan Benatar, Adaam James Levin-Areddy, Brittany Cohen, Ava Weiner, Martin Huergo, Mariangeles Burgos, and Yuval Semo
No transcript available for this episode.
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