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Bloomberg’s Caroline Hyde discusses the ongoing fighting in the Middle East following the US and Israel strikes on Iran over the weekend. Plus, Representative Sam Liccardo, Democrat from California, shares his thoughts on the need for a national AI policy. And fallout from the feud between the Pentagon and Anthropic over deployment of the AI company’s tech continues.
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Bloomberg Tech is alive from coast to coast.
With Caroline Hyde in New York and Ed Lovell in San Francisco.
This is Bloomberg Tech.
I'm Caroline Hyde in New York.
And let's go straight to our top story today.
The war with Iran.
The conflict continues to reverberate across the Middle East today.
This is President Trump says the bombing campaign against Iran could last for weeks.
We are awaiting more updates from the President this hour,
but we want to bring you the latest of Bloomberg's Daniel Williams, who is in Jerusalem.
On the ground there, in Israel down, what is it like?
As you can see, the sun is set on what has been the third day of this extraordinary war,
a war that appears to be widening and gulfing not just the Middle East now,
but even lapping up against southern Europe with Cyprus saying that a British air base on its
soil was apparently targeted by a Hezbollah drone, Hezbollah being the Lebanese militia ally of Iran.
In fact, an ally of Iran in Lebanon, which opened a front from Lebanon with Israel, reopen that
front overnight. And now these really just saying their bombing targets in Lebanon,
pace as they continue their bombing of Iran alongside US forces. So we have several fronts
opening up, a number of Gulf Arab countries that also found themselves in the firing line being
struck by Iranian missiles and drones and not just US bases on that earth, but also hotels
and the like. This is imposing a good deal of economic pain on the region and it would appear
that what the Iranian regime is trying to do even though it's massively outgunned by its enemies
is to wait out this campaign in the hope that the pain and indeed the patience of the American
public that apparently disapproves of this by quite a margin already will wear thin and some members
of the Iranian regime might be able to survive. Talk to us about what remains of the Iranian regime
down. It's very hard to know. The Supreme Leader was killed over the weekend in one of those
opening salvos and almost by the minute we've received updates about other members who have
been killed sometimes as successors of those who were recently killed. However, to judge by the
cycle of fire being maintained by Iran, certainly in Israel, what we've been experiencing
every half hour or about a couple hours sirens and calls to take shelter in the face of missiles
or drones coming in, it would appear that there is still a vestigial cell state functioning,
managing to keep up the fight and presumably domestically managing to deter members of the opposition
from trying to take control of the country. That is of course the vision
are enunciated both by Israel and the United States at the outset. A situation whereby the Iranian
regime is sufficiently degraded, it's initially destroyed to enable the Iranian opposition,
which many in the west would see as the bulk of the Iranian population, certainly the young
population, to take to the streets again as it did only a few weeks ago, but this time not facing
the guns of the state and being able to assume control. We extraordinary day in Jerusalem as you say
a third day Dan Williams, we so appreciate you being with us of Bloomberg. Now let's check out
what is a human story that is affecting markets right now, and that's at 100 off by four tenths
of a percent. Big tech is seeing some significant moves on individual names, of course money moving
into the likes of NVIDIA Palantir, as you're seeing up 6% as a defense-related name in the tech
perspective pushes high. These are your big points contributors on the day, and in video in fact
making a deal, putting money into optical companies, we'll dig into that a little bit later, but
really we're also seeing significant moves in other parts of the market, different industry groups,
different asset classes, Brent Crude, unsurprisingly, up more than 7%, extraordinary moves as we
consider the straightforward moves, an issue about supply chains writ large for the globe to try and
digest. Bitcoin is up by more than 5%, recovering some of its losses as it was one of the main
tradable assets over the course of the weekend, and strategy of microstrategy is currently up 6.8%
on the back of that Bitcoin buying. Let's talk about the market impact wall with IPEC Oscar Desker,
Swiss quote, senior market analyst, and this is a moment of knee-jerk reaction of risk of sentiment,
but interestingly we are still seeing big tech managing to see some flows into it.
Exactly. What we see right now is that as the or the spike in oil prices is being
retraced, technology companies are also finding some breathing room right now, and we also do see
some individual divergences in the technologies phase. The companies that do have exposure,
greater exposures to energy costs like the ones that run data centers or being head more heavily,
then the others that are more or less capital intensive like Nvidia, for example,
the defense related names are also gaining in on the back of the Middle East conflict news.
Is that an automatic buying that you think will see the likes of Palantir hold on to gains,
going forward, is there something that is sticky about this demand for such defense tech?
Yes, we believe that globally the defense stocks have been in demand due to the rapid shift and
the significant shift in global geopolitics, and we have seen a couple of times since last year
that the geopolitical tensions are not ready to ease from the actual level, so the risk
are being quite high and technology companies are technology and defense companies are benefiting
granted from it. It's not only in the US, but we also think that the defense stocks in Europe will
also continue to benefit from deriving geopolitical tensions and risk across the globe.
I mean, what's notable is benchmarks are actually trying to turn around. I'm looking at the
NASDAQ more broadly, only off by about a tenth of a percent now. The S&P in the US currently
off by three tenths percent, even though we still market falls over in Asia and European trading
epoch. Just the macro picture for someone who is in the audience right now trying to understand where
to be navigating if they're exposed to technology names. Well, exactly. I mean, the big picture
of today was the rapid rise that we saw in energy prices at the beginning of today's session,
so the Asian and European stocks were heavily hit, but as we move on towards the US session,
we see that these gains have been raised. So some of the hawkish expectations regarding
the major central banks that would be lifted, that that would be that that was coming actually
from the fact that the energy prices would lift inflation expectations are also being
trimmed right now as oil prices are coming back down. And I think that that is the global macro
economic picture that investors should understand. It is really today about the energy prices,
the inflation expectations and the impact on central bank decisions. As energy prices move
lower, we are getting back to the levels of risk that we saw in the beginning of the session.
Now we are still higher in terms of energy prices and the risk of another upside potential move
and sustain again in energy prices due process, but at the moment it's quite interesting to see how
fast the early gains are being retraced and the global markets are immediately re-adjusting
that retracement. What is Bitcoin acting as in this moment?
Well it's interesting because Bitcoin has not necessarily been a risk haven or a safe haven
asset over the past few weeks. It was very much in line with technology companies and was
hit along with detectors to sell off that we saw across the technologist space. So what we see
today is that the Bitcoin is actually acting as a safe haven asset and we suspect that the regional
conflict could eventually bring some capital into Bitcoin regarding maybe the detentious or
or the fact that the gold has been overly valued and investors may be looking for other safe
haven. But to be perfectly honest with you, the mood that we see in Bitcoin and the coupling of
the correlation with the technologist is quite interesting right now even more so as the higher
energy prices should normally also have a negative impact on Bitcoin.
Impact is great to catch up with you. Thank you very much indeed.
Thank you.
Impact, Oscar Deschkeis, with us from Swiss Quote. We appreciate it meanwhile coming up.
We'll speak with representative Sam Lakado, a congressman from Silicon Valley about the conflict
in the Middle East and AI policy. Meanwhile, check out shares of Apple. There is other news happening
of course, the concerns in the Middle East were almost two tenths of percent. As Apple is
unveiling the iPhone 17 E. It's the latest version of its lower end smartphone, faster version of
an iPad Air also coming out with the iPhone 17 E including a faster processor new in-house wireless
chips. This is Bloomberg Tech.
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We are awaiting remarks from President Trump in Washington who is about to participate in a public
event and we anticipate there might be some commentary regarding the war with Iran.
We will bring you up to the moment breaking news on that subject, but within the context of
Middle East anthropic, it's been saying that there's been an outage that impacted thousands
of Claude users, but it's now been resolved. Reports of the issues with the chatbot came,
as the AI provider experiences a surge in demand driven by the company's feud with the Pentagon,
over the potential use of its technology for mass surveillance in the development of autonomous
weaponry. Now, Seth Vigvin, a Bloomberg News employee,
says joins us to set the context first, because while a feud is erupted between anthropic,
we've actually seen open AI complete a contract with the Pentagon in the use of its own AI
technology. Just take us through the weekend, Seth.
Yeah, I think this has to be the most dramatic weekend we've seen in AI lands since the
ouster of Sam Altman a couple of years ago, but to your point, Carolyn, yes, OpenAI swooped in
hours after anthropic was effectively blacklisted by the defense department, and so I think
to deal with the defense department for classified AI work. Now, OpenAI is not saying of this
replaces anthropics work, but they are signaling that they are comfortable with the contractual
safeguards to make sure that their technology is not used for domestic surveillance or for
autonomous weaponry, which were the two red lines that anthropic really centered on, and which led
to this fierce standoff with the Pentagon. It's been a standoff that has erupted online with many
people calling to stop using chat GPT to instead shift one's attention to anthropics consumer apps.
Now, it might be said that Claude for Enterprise hasn't been affected by the outages today.
It's interesting that Treasury Secretary Scott Besson has been saying that he's following President
Trump's direction on anthropic and in the Treasury Department is terminating all use of anthropic
products, but there's reporting to show that it's of course still being used at the moment and
was over the course of the weekend with Iran. Yeah, I think to step back, let's just say that what
seems clear is that the federal government is moving forward with rethinking its use of Claude.
What's less clear is what the broader impact than blast radius will be on anthropic from the many
other businesses and companies that work with the government to take pick the headsets tweet
literally, he's implying that any business that does commercial business with anthropic must stop
that if they also work with the military, but Dario Mede at the CEO of Anthropics over the weekend,
he thinks it's much more limited in scope. It will just be if they do military work with anthropic,
so that remains to be seen how it's interpreted. Still a lot of work to be done by the likes of
Palantir, for example, Bluemeg Seffigman across the story. Thank you very much indeed. Now look,
U.S. lawmakers, they're gearing up for a vote on a war power's resolution following the strikes in
Iran. This is unfolding as the debate over AI use by the military continues. We're pleased to say
we're joined by representative Sam Nacardo. His district includes parts of Silicon Valley.
There is drama in Washington where you've just got the train to us from. There is drama in where
you represent as well. Can I just ask you first and foremost, what do you think the relationship
or some of the companies that within your district is like evolving with the Pentagon? How do you
observe what occurred over the last few days? I think Silicon Valley, there's a strong libertarian
district. And so there are many who are cheering to see Anthropic step up as it had. And look,
there's a free market here and the Defense Department has many competitors to choose from,
and it has a right to choose whoever it wants. But it seems to me that at the end of the day,
when we're talking about AI safeguards, these ought to be decisions that are not confined
to back room negotiations between lawyers at the Pentagon and individual companies. These ought
to be very public discussions. The administration should be setting rules. Congress should be setting
rules. And the way this all went down now with retribution against Anthropic and the way that
Secretary Hegseth and others have articulated, I think, is very damaging to Silicon Valley and
frankly to the country. In many ways, Anthropic and Daria Amadeh have tried to make it a public
discussion, brought it into the light. What's interesting is Daria has also said that the law has
not yet caught up with AI's ability. Therein lies your role in Congress. How can Congress keep
up at this moment to ensure that there aren't these blurred red lines that everyone's trying to
digest from OpenAI's contract and from Anthropics? This isn't the first time someone has said Congress
is not moving at the pace of technology. We've been waiting 30 years for a day to privacy bill
for protections against, for protections for children online, etc. But the reality is this is an
area where both Congress needs to act and the administration needs to act. There should be
clear lines. I don't think a lot of folks argue with the lines that Anthropic articulated. In fact,
OpenAI seemed to have embraced them, so why not, rather than punching the company, hold these
up as examples. This is an opportunity where the industry can inform the government and we
ought to be taking those cues. You say OpenAI has embraced the red lines that Anthropic put forth.
There's reporting to suggest that there's cynicism around that. Yes, well, that is to be
determined. I guess I'm simply relying on what I'm hearing publicly, now obviously I understand
why there might be cynicism. Look, the bottom line is this shouldn't be enforced by one
particular CEO at one company. There's a reason why there ought to be a public discussion because
this is going to impact all of us and certainly when we talk about issues like public surveillance.
I mean, realistically, are you able to have the time, the insight, the focus at the moment when
we've got an erupting war with Iran and indeed, well, government shut down. How effective can
you be at this moment, Congress? Well, I'm not going to speak for Congress because, frankly, as you
know, if you ever made a bet on Congress not getting anything done, you win 99 times out of 100.
Diction's markets are for that. Well, yeah, they're doing pretty well. But I will say this week,
I'll be introducing a provision in what's called the Defense Productions Act, really to prevent
any federal agency from retaliating against companies like Anthropic when they propose reasonable
limits on the deployment of their technology. Technology is obviously a wonderful thing.
We know it has enormous risks. We ought to take the cues from industry when industry tells us
these risks are too great. Let's draw lines. What do you think will be the support of that bill
across both aisles? We'll be discussing it this week in the House Financial Services Committee
where we're having a markup. I'm still having those conversations with my colleagues.
Okay, so maybe we can find some support that it shouldn't be down. There shouldn't be retribution.
There shouldn't be sort of unprecedented moves where you deem a company, a homegrown domestic
champion, as a supply risk in some way. But when you think more broadly about AI regulation
in the hands of Congress, or in the hands of the executive right now, are you comfortable with
the amount of executive orders that have been deemed around AI, the way in which the administration
has had to take maybe the steps necessary if the Congress void is still there?
Well, I know this president is not unique in using executive orders where Congress is failing to act.
The way in which these executive orders have been deployed are deeply problematic. And certainly,
we've seen, in many cases, quite unconstitutional, Congress needs a step up. And that requires the
majority party to do its job. That is to defend the progress under Article 1 of the Constitution
where Congress has authority. And we've seen a host of areas from tariffs, certainly to AI,
where Congress has simply not been stepping up and allowing this president to take too much
of the turf. There's a reason why we want Congress to be deciding this. These are issues that
have massive impacts in many communities that are diverse communities that are simply not benefiting
from AI as much as my community, so okay, Valley might be. That's why you need to have a national
conversation. You were having a national conversation before the conversation became much more
more in the Middle East and more with Iran. You were talking about how we shouldn't see Congress
just slam the brakes on AI innovation. But equally, they shouldn't accelerate. There should be a way
of grabbing the steering wheel as the way you wrote it and op ed. Can we get some sort of bipartisan
approach to grabbing a steering wheel? And when you say so many states are affected in different ways
by AI? I'd like to think we can. Look, there's a lot of fears right now around AI, around
lots of jobs, around impacts on utility bills. There are opportunities for us to move together.
For example, we know these hyperscalers need speed. Let's give them federal permits and enable them
to accelerate if they're keeping rate pairs whole and protecting them from these utility
at the risk of higher prices on their utility bills and investing in batteries and the kinds of
technology we know that will be sustainable rather than simply pulling more natural gas and
coal in. For example, on jobs, there are things that we can do that are bipartisan that can
incentivize companies to invest in community colleges and local state universities to upskill and
reskill. These are not necessarily partisan notions. This is a time for us to be thinking more
creatively across the aisle on these kinds of solutions. We don't have the kind of administration
now in office that is particularly bipartisan and so it's really going to have to come from
ground up. You mentioned social media and I think in many ways people have felt that there's
been a void of law-making around social media because there is so much nuance to much of this.
Is there sometimes too much nuance when it comes to the likes of impact by the Pentagon's
decisions on mass surveillance, on issues of autonomous weaponry that really laws can't be made
that can keep up with? It's fair to say this is incredibly complex and you can't simply declare
amateur hour and start to announce, eat, et cetera, going to apply broadly across multiple
industries where the impact may be very different. What I have been proposing and we'll be coming
out of legislation soon is how, for example, on AI, we can essentially enable industry experts,
academic experts to be able to establish what those best practices are in an industry, allow
industry to reach those best practices rather than having some kind of monolithic edict come from
Congress or the administration. Government is not going to get it right. We have to acknowledge
that. This is moving too fast. We need to rely on the best thinking in the industry to establish
what the best practices are and then mandate that if folks can reach those, they can have the
benefits, for example, of preemption. If they don't, then they're subjected to the edicts of 50
different states. We appreciate you stopping by. It's great to be with you. I'm Lucy,
here in New York, representative Sam Nakado, who represents the heart of Silicon Valley and much
more in California. Now coming up, Bitcoin, it shakes off investor caution as Middle East
tensions, they rattle global markets. We'll bring you more market impact next. This is Bremberg Tech.
So there's a lot of noise about AI, but times too tight for more promises. So let's talk about
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Bitcoin staging a comeback,
nearing $70,000 levels after the US and Israeli attacks on Iran shook investor confidence over
the weekend. Here with the latest is Bloomberg Cross asset reporter Isabel Lee.
They shake people with thinking of a world of war that is not something to take lightly,
but we think about the assets impacted. How is Bitcoin managed to rally through this?
Definitely behaving like a risk asset. I feel like, I mean, when you see a big pullback
like that, it's eventually going to bounce back. It's now higher by around 6% after dropping
as much as 63%, 63,000 over the weekend. Other less liquid smaller coins are also
in degree in higher by 6%, like Ether. The thing I love about cryptocurrency is it trades 24,
seven and you really can see and use it as a risk sentiment when markets are closed.
And now that we see US darks open, you see worries about an inflation resurgence.
For instance, bonds are slumping, traders are trimming their fed rate cuts.
Haven assets are surging, dollar, gold, oil. Of course, an interesting higher oil
prices will actually weigh on crypto prices because crypto prices are behaving like
tech stocks and risk assets. And of course, those are sensitive to fed rate moves.
So everything is just interconnected and I find that very interesting in a top of all of this.
It's a busy week for US eco data. We have non-farm payrolls. We also have unemployment rate.
And now for now, we have more questions than answers. We have President Trump saying that
the attacks could last a few weeks. So I think investors are just really preparing themselves
for the Taylorist events and preparing for a worse case outcomes. But at least for now,
Bitcoin is nearing 70,000. You keep us prepared as well. We appreciate it.
On all things of the market's reaction to a story that continues because coming up,
we will be joined by American Enterprise Institute senior fellow Corey Shockey.
On all things, defense tech, geopolitics, so much more. This is Bloomberg Tech.
Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. We take a look at these markets, markets that are currently
reacting to the news over the course of the weekend, war in the Middle East, war with Iran.
We're currently down on the Nasdaq 100 by some 5.5%. Coming back into lows, having tried to
bounce into the green on the border indices, Nvidia is actually up more than 2%.
Because deals are still getting done from an MNA perspective or from an investment perspective.
This is, as we see in video, making $4 billion investment in data center optics companies
that's coherent and momentum. Their stocks surge. Palantir defense tech. There is buying of this
name for obvious reasons on the day. We're up almost 6%. But crowd strike is also interesting. Look,
our great colleagues at Bloomberg Intelligence, like Manning Singh, putting out really great notes
talking about how Palantir, of course, is going to see buying amid geopolitical tensions.
We'll also see tailwinds for security spending with the larger companies such as CrowdStrike,
Palo Alto, likely to see some focus amid concerns about cyber attacks. We'll get into that in
a little bit. But let's head back now to DC, where it's notable that the Pentagon is shifting
AI providers after reaching a deal with OpenAI to deploy its models within the department's
classified network. Remember senior tech editor, Mike Shepherd joins us on what is an extraordinary
story that intertwines with a geopolitical story? How significant is this move that Sam
Altman goes where Daria Amade won't? Well, it's not just significant that it happened. It's also
carried that it happened so quickly after the Pentagon decided that it would walk away
from its relationship with Anthropic, which had been in place for roughly a year. And Anthropic
had really worked itself into the classified space that is crucial for the Pentagon. Being able
to deploy artificial intelligence in some fashion during critical operations, including combat.
And Anthropics products have been used by Palantir as part of this so-called Maven system that
colloquially might be thought of as Windows for War, where battlefield commanders can have access
to information and have it interpreted and processed and analyzed and assessed in a much faster
fashion and presented to them. Now, what this means is that within six months, the Pentagon must
transition to a new provider, an OpenAI and Archrival to Anthropic is stepping in. And what they are
saying also is that they are willing to take the terms that Anthropic thought were unacceptable.
Terms that OpenAI says still respects its own guidelines when it comes to two key areas,
and that is mass surveillance of Americans and also deployment of fully autonomous weapons.
OpenAI says that the contract and the relationship with the Pentagon are strong enough that those two
requirements by the firm are respected. Anthropic from its standpoint did not see the same in
the contract language. And it'll be interesting to see how this unfolds, Carol, because the U.S.
government is declared Anthropica supply chain risk and also ordered it off U.S. government
agency networks elsewhere. And Treasury Secretary Scott Besant talking this morning saying that
the Treasury Department is terminating all use of Anthropic products. He's following President
Trump's direction on Anthropic, but of course this is as the consumer moves in a different direction
Mike. We've actually seen Anthropic in many ways knocked off line for consumers because so many
people were demanding the product and downloading it. And maybe as some sort of pushback to OpenAI
there's calls to cancel GPT on the internet. Well that's right, Carol. We are seeing some of
this popular sentiment swell in Anthropic's favor. Certainly online there is a lot of applause
in favor of Dario Amade and what has seen as a principled stance by many against the Pentagon,
against the administration that look if you thought that you couldn't do business with Anthropic,
why not just cancel the contract declaring them a supply chain risk was seen by many as going
step too far and being vindictive. It's also important to remember that Claude's products are
gaining popularity because many see them as quite good. And we have talked on this in this space
about how much Claude is threatening to disrupt other industries such as law, such as financial
services, wealth management, you name it. And the tools that Claude offers really have some
benefits and that is yet another reason in addition to perhaps this popular sentiment swing.
Mike Shepard, always on the news, we appreciate it so much from DC that let's bring in Corey Schrocke,
Senior Fellow and Director of Foreign and Defense Policy Studies at the American Enterprise Institute.
You've been thinking about really the Pentagon's reaction to this, just talk us through your
thinking as to whether the step of banning Anthropic from the supply chain in this way is the right step.
It's a petulant reaction by the Secretary of Defense that's likely to turn out to be
advantageous to Anthropic but it's going to be bad for the Defense Department and bad for
the security of the United States. The idea that you could either nationalize or blacklist
a leading American company is outrageous and it's going to discourage other leading edge tech firms
from being willing to expose their business by participating in the defense ecosystem.
Okay, there's going to be immediate shock as you say from those in the space and their reaction
function of the Pentagon. But more broadly, how transparent should these sorts of conversations
become at this moment? Very difficult ethical questions that seem to be shown a significant
public light on by Daria Amade, the leader of Anthropic himself. Yeah, I think that's exactly
right. I mean, this is a frontier technology that we are still understanding what its consequences
are going to be and to suggest that we have less transparency or that a firm has no right to set
standards on how a cutting edge technology will be utilized by the Defense Department. I think
is probably a losing proposition for DOD. What should be forced? What could be forced by Congress?
We just had a representative of California to start the show talking about wanting to bring
law to bear that companies are pushed off of any sort of national supply chain in any retribution act.
But what more broadly can't be done by Congress at this moment to make clearer the lives?
Well, Congress really runs defense policy and they can legislate in this space and DOD will be
required to be compliant with it. It's actually shocking to think that the Defense Department
blacklisted an American company. That's the kind of thing we do to Chinese firms,
not to patriotic American firms who are already participating in classified DOD activity.
Can you give us some guiding principles on then how open AI and Sam Altman
might be able to find appeasement in a contract? Do you think extra steps had been taken?
Is there really a need at this moment for companies to see the law as it stands
as where the line should be rather than trying to insert their own language into certain contracts?
Well, it's an open question, but I do think that open AI is saying yes, we trust the government
that they won't use our product in a way they say they won't. And anthropic is saying
we actually need proof and we need indemnification that our product is being used as we are
advertising our product. I think given the low level of trust in the Trump Department of Defense,
this is likely to be advantageous marketing for anthropic and very difficult for DOD to be able to
say you need to trust that we will abide by the law when so much of their behavior,
including blacklisting an American company, looks to be a bending of the law or at least an
aggressive and predatory use of the law. Cory, it's interesting open AI defended saying that it
built a number of safeguards into the contract with a Pentagon and said the Pentagon actually
agrees with these principles and reflects them in law and policy. When we're thinking about
where AI's role now is in defense, in law as we're currently seeing it unfold, can you just
educate our audience as to how integral AI has now become? Yes, what AI is already proving
incredibly valuable for in the defense space is serving enormous amounts of data and for example,
identifying threat portfolios and the ability to see patterns in large amounts of data.
But what anthropic is saying is we do not want it to be used for domestic surveillance of the US
or for decisions about the use of lethal force before we have higher confidence in the model.
And those are not unreasonable standards and provide the basis for what Congress
perhaps ought to put into law until we have better transparency and better understanding of what
these models are capable of in future iterations. Cory is shocking. Great to speak with you
of the American Enterprise Institute. We appreciate your time and expertise today. Look as the conflict
where they run intensifies cyber security experts. Their warning of a rise in Iranian linked
cyber threats targeting critical networks and infrastructure. Joining us to discuss Cynthia
Kaiser, SVP senior vice president of ransomware research center at Halcyon and former deputy
director of the FBI cyber division, Cynthia, are those threats real? They are. We're already seeing
Iran have real threats and conduct cyber activity against organizations in the Middle East
and we anticipate that they could follow on with operations here in the United States.
And we said infrastructure in particular, where are the vulnerabilities likely to be targeting?
So throughout infrastructure in the Middle East and in the US, we see Iran target what they can get
into. So it doesn't really matter the sector. It matters how the specific organization has done
with their cyber security has been able to fix those vulnerabilities because what Iran does,
they go on, they try to exploit something, get into something, and then they go out in the media
and they say, we've done more. So I've gotten under one machine and an organization,
but I'm going to say that we've gotten onto the entire facility and say a water treatment facility
is down. So it's really a mix within critical infrastructure of getting onto something,
but then moving on and lying and exaggerating to try to stoke fear and chaos.
How sophisticated is their ability to get onto something?
So they are one of the world's most malicious and capable cyber actors. In critical infrastructure
overall, there are many, many devices that are connected to the internet and haven't been
hatched for vulnerabilities that Iran is exploiting just late last year. FBI put out a warning
about Iranian state-sponsored actors who are targeting critical infrastructure in the United
States through these types of vulnerabilities. From the perspective that we see the market, as always,
trying to get ahead of any sort of concerns and indeed, well, move money on the back of it,
we've seen CrowdStrike on the higher side, seen Palo Alto Networks in the green.
Are we seeing really a desire to be far the infrastructure of resistance to be see our companies
having the right place, the right sort of restraints and, well, use cases in place in the moment?
Absolutely. We've seen a lot of movement chores being able to practice incident response plans.
Know what you're going to do if you are hit, including what you're going to do in the media to say
if something's being exaggerated, to hatch devices that maybe were on some type of schedule to be
patched later doing that today and conducting a lot of engagement across industry as well as with
the FBI to be able to know the latest on what might be coming down and what threats that they're
facing. On the threats of all AI in many ways, I'm sure Cynthia. They are. We've seen a lot of AI
enabled threats and really where we see the biggest risk with AI enabled threats is in kind of want to be
or very low level actors, but that's who I ran might use. I ran uses proxies to be able to conduct
their activity. There's one group our healthy on intel team had identified who named Sikari who
is currently telling its members to conduct activity, conduct attacks in the Middle East,
but they've used AI to make their bad software. They're what they're deploying and it doesn't
work very well, but what it actually means is it destroys networks when it gets on instead of
being this kind of ransom you're going to pay to try to get back online. Oh, so like collateral
damage when actually just tried to exert financial damage. Cynthia, from the perspective of AI,
we just come off the beat back of a couple of weeks where software names were pummeled where
particularly cyber companies were under pressure because people thought generative AI companies
were going to be able to take their business. A plug-in from Anthropic would be the answer to
all our ransomware and cyber concerns. How are you seeing that evolve? How are you seeing companies
actually wanting to use and build from within or still dependent on external offerings?
Being able to build within is really important in a way to consistently know what's going on
your network, be able to fix those vulnerabilities I talked about in real time and then be able to
identify other errors or things that might be going on that are malicious across a network.
But it's only going to know what's plugged into it. It's not going to have a lot of these
additional information. What a threat group might be saying in a dark web forum?
What's the new zero day that might be coming down the pike? Figuring out that aspect being able
to plug the really sensitive grade information the private sector has into some of these new
processes organized to just being cybersecurity is going to be better. It doesn't mean there's
a replacement on either side. Can you take us to allies? Can you take us just to how strong that
defences on? Across the close allies the United States has there are lots of sharing things
implemented as well as these sharing mechanisms where we're sitting inside different governments.
They're sitting with us to be able to counter cyber threats because this has been practiced for
years. Cyber threats just don't have any boundaries. They're going across the entire world. That's
especially true with our European allies, with Australian allies, with Israel. And so we have
really identified ways to share quickly, share in real time these threats that are facing all of us.
And we all face the same challenges, but we all can come up with the same solutions and really
counter these adversaries together. And look, Cynthia, from just an audience perspective,
is this likely to be an attack that is focused in the enterprise, in one's work environment?
Or could this be something that you're navigating as a consumer right now?
It's mostly going to be focused within the enterprise environment, especially within the United
States. We have seen Middle Eastern countries and organizations in those countries being
targeted by Iranian state-sponsored groups in the last few days. For some of the data, they might
have on people, whether that's patients, customers, parts and employees of that organization.
We do see Iran going out trying to identify personal information for people they perceive,
maybe dissidents or enemies of the Iranian regime. And that's something to watch out for there.
But we haven't necessarily seen that come over to the United States or to our European allies.
Cynthia Kaiser, of House in, I'm former FBI Deputy Director. We appreciate your time.
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