EPL Matchday 31 Predictions: Arsenal-Manchester City, Spurs-Forest, Previews, Best Bets, Odds

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You're listening to Betting Weekly English Premier League on the Betrivers Network.

Welcome to Betting Weekly Premier League, show you with Dan Robock alongside me.

As per usual, Nigel Ceeley and Jack Wright got to thinking boys in midweek.

And I don't know if you do this anyway, Nigel and Jack.

But surely we should start to sort of compartmentalize the Premier League and the Champions League.

I mean, another goal-laden week, Nigel, in Champions League football.

Although you did manage to bet, I think the only unders though there was on the midweek slate.

So well done to you.

But after a load of unders in the Premier League, all those unders in the Bundesliga,

I mean, do you literally separate it out when you're looking at your bets?

I mean, do you just forget the European form when you look at Premier League and vice versa?

Is that what Ponte should do?

Well, I mean, good morning to you guys.

I think you really have to take every competition on its warrants and its levels and state accordingly in terms of statistics.

I think this time of year it's all about the game state for the teams.

You know, we go into this stage of the season where certainly some teams have very little to play for

and you question their motivation and sometimes, you know, that can even reduce goals or not produce goals.

Or you and you go with the teams that were fighting for their life and renegation battles, Champions League spots.

And also as well, I think the exhaustion of playing those higher tempo matches in midweek in the Champions League.

You know, these teams have done it all through the season.

The match is Arsenal playing back to back matches, Liverpool will come on through in a minute.

How many matches are there playing the season?

And fatigue is going to take its toll.

So they might prioritize other matches, other matches in the Premier League.

So I would probably say this time the season is a difficult one in terms of goals.

I mean, towards the end of the season, the goals go up massively.

You'll see that.

But I just think it's more to do the top teams.

And it also being a World Cup year as well.

The team's big top players maybe sort of save himself a little bit for the big one in a couple of months from now.

So it's a strange type of season.

I didn't have the Champions League this season.

It's been incredible and over better.

So I've been getting a lot.

The Premier League, the Underbetters are getting a lot on last season of the last week in the Bundesliga.

The Under has copped a lot as well.

But we have to probably have to wait another 50 of years to find something like that.

So don't.

And usually these things bounce back.

So if everyone gets involved in the under this week, usually they bounce back and go over.

So I wouldn't be looking too much in it.

But I think the game state of the season and the teams in action is the most important factor.

Do you do you separate them out?

Jack, what's your sort of strategy here?

For example, you know, like Liverpool, you know, are you are you going into this weekend looking at Liverpool off the back of the Galatasaray result, which is probably one of their best performances of the season?

Or are you a bit more cautious because they drew with spurs last weekend in the Premier League, you know, which line of form is more useful here?

Are you both first of all and everyone watching listening?

Yeah.

How I tend to go about is pretty much throughout the course of the season really is I'll tend to zoom in on more recent form and in specific competitions.

You look at spurs as form has been really strong in the Champions League as a prime example.

And it's been horrific in the Premier League home form to away form.

And let's just say we're now getting signs that will kind of go on a little run because maybe the necessity in the need for points.

And we say we can zoom into their most recent form and get a read on that.

Things do change of course.

So yeah, I think at this stage now to kind of go right out across the whole campaign can lead you Australia a little bit and separate from another side that we talk about that have had really strong home form and terrible away form.

And it's kind of flip flopped a little bit now. So yeah, keep keep keep keep your finger on a pulse and all those things that Nigel said as well.

Take those into account as those little extras just to make things a little bit trickier.

Yeah, it's not straightforward for betters, but we love the challenge. Now this is the Premier League show, but we are going to start with a game that is not a Premier League game.

It is the League Cup final this weekend on Sunday, 12 30 Eastern. It is Arsenal versus Manchester City.

Arsenal plus 135 to winning 90 minutes here Nigel Manchester City plus 200 the tie plus 230 in 90 minutes Arsenal to lift the trophy minus 139 Man City plus 110.

I mean, obviously, you know, this is a competition itself right, but I think a lot uponters, lot betters, a lot pundits are looking at this game and thinking, well, if Arsenal can win this one, that will give them a lot of confidence to get over the line in the Premier League and in other competitions.

Again, are you just sort of zooming in on this one game or do you think it might matter in terms of mentality when it comes to this game, looking at what's happened with Arsenal with all those runners-up spots in the Premier League recently? Or is this just a one and done? What's your thoughts on the League Cup final?

Well, I think the first thing is I think it's a massive, massive match for Arsenal football club more than Manchester City. Manchester City have done it. They've been there.

I had a Manchester City fan who said to me that they said, I'm not going to this one. We've been there so many times. I've the last four or five years that I can't be bothered to go.

And for Arsenal fans, you know, they will desperately be trying to get a ticket to go to this match. I think Arsenal have a huge, huge following there compared to Manchester City in this match.

And I think at this moment in time, Arsenal are way, way above Manchester City on all levels. If you look at the ratings between the two of them, if you look at the way that Manchester City played across two leagues against Real Madrid or Real Madrid side that met Arsenal beat fairly comfortably last year in the Champions League, I think Arsenal won much, much better.

The other thing I think that Arsenal have the advantage of here is I think that the squad, I mean, we questioned Arsenal squad compared to Manchester City in Liverpool's. At the business end, we thought have they got the players to come in.

I think Arthetta has managed the squad so well in big matches. He rested some key players in midweek in the by-livery losing game.

He can bring in Martin Elly who didn't feature. He can bring in Havots. He didn't feature. He's got the one that the kid maxed down on the bench. You can come on and change the game.

Whereas Manchester City, they, the ones who look tired to me, Harlan looks unfit. I know he's scored in midweek, but I still think there's question marks about him. I'm still convinced once they waved the white flag in the Premier League, you will see Harlan probably rests for the rest of the season for the World Cup.

They'll say that he needs some time off. I just, I just think they're so wrong. You saw Bernardo Silver sent off. Foden has completely gone at the game at the moment. Absolutely gone, which is a bad thing for England supporters as well.

And I just think Arsenal squad and the fact that they've come through a fairly comfortable night of Champions League football on Tuesday compared to what Manchester City had as well.

And for the club to win silverware and then go on a run and give them so much confidence, I think the league's done as we've touched on already, but for the Champions League and the FA Cup as well.

I don't think they're scared of Manchester City anymore. I think it's more the Manchester City or more worried about what Arsenal can do. I think that Harlan is the best to two games I've seen Harlan be kept by most wins to Libra and Gabrielle have stopped them in matches.

And I think Arsenal just better in every department. I think plus one 30 on the money line is a big price in 90 minutes for Arsenal. I genuinely do.

I would prefer to back them to win the cup, but it is minus one 39. I think we'll see Arsenal win this match. They haven't won this trophy since 1993, which is sort of like Stagwin against Sheffield Wednesday.

The match is more famous for more. I've fallen off the shoulder. Tell me tell me sounds. Yeah, so it's a big match. They've been in three final since then lost a lot, but I think this is now.

It's a huge match for Arsenal. First bit of silverware the season and then you know, we will see their confidence grow even more.

You see them getting better and better technical rights is getting better and better every match he plays.

Gokres put in a good performance in midweek as well and the Champions League didn't score, but you put probably one of his best performances for Arsenal.

And I just feel at this moment of time they're better, whereas Man City come in leg weary, a manager who's questioning about his future and asked for a young squad getting better and players of the bench that can bring on turn to turn the game around.

So I'm like, I'm like in Arsenal plus one 13 90 minutes, but I think the best bet is Arsenal to win the cup at minus one 39.

Jack, what's your leans and betting angles on this one?

Five of the last seven under two and a half. This is finals 10 of the last seven 10 of last 11 under three and a half.

Both teams to score no six. The last eight to the last four draws for the last 10 draws.

Any sort of betting leans for you when it comes to the league of finding your general sort of Arsenal city angle here.

Yeah, the one I looked at and that appealed most of me was under two and a half goals.

Nigel touched on out there, you look at Harlan, he's still the threat.

We know that he's got it in his lock and he's going to score goals, but he just doesn't seem to be able to get the better of those two players then mentioned Gabrielle and Saliba, who just do seem to raise their game.

There's obviously a little bit of edge needle between Gabrielle and Harlan as well.

We've seen that rumble on for a couple of seasons, which I always adds a little bit of extra spice and bit of entertainment to any occasion.

Yeah, I think this will be tight and cagey. I don't think Arsenal we've set out to go and blow Manchester City away.

They'll know they've got threats. Of course, they'll keep it tight as they kind of go about their business very efficiently.

That's probably been the best way to describe them over the last few weeks.

You know, they bring in the better momentum as we said there 14 games unbeaten, five unbeaten again city as well.

So yeah, I think the outcome probably leans as far as Arsenal at some point in time to lift the trophy.

But yeah, plus money for them on neutral territory. Yeah, I think that's probably a decent price.

But yeah, the under two and a half goals for me would be the one, especially if Arsenal get their noses in front.

I can see them shutting up shop really and shutting this city side out, who are just not quite at it at the moment are they.

But massive for them. Obviously, when you look at the Premier League, nine points are drifted.

I think they need to win this really to put a little bit of doubt in Arsenal's mind thinking, oh, we've got to go to the 80 had.

That would then potentially bring the gap to six points. Manchester City got a game in hand.

They win that. That's three points. Then it gets a little bit nervy.

So I think this has does have quite a lot of underlying influence on what we might see down the stretch for the Premier League.

Yeah, it's going to be an interesting final. Lots of different narratives come into it.

Not least the keepers as well, probably Kepper and Trafford are going to start.

They have been starting these cup game. So a lot of different angles, but I tend to agree with both Nigel and Jack there.

I play the Unders and I play Arsenal at any stage to win it. That is the league of final.

Let us know what you're betting for the good big game at Wembley on Sunday, 12 30 Eastern.

Let's get into the Premier League fair. We usually start with the teams at the top, but they're of course involved in the league cups.

We're going to start with the teams at the bottom here. Spurs forest Sunday, 10 15 this one, Tottenham plus 135, forest plus 200, draw plus 240.

Spurs Nigel are plus 200 to be relegated. Few saw the drawer and feel coming. I certainly didn't.

Then the win against Athlete, even though it wasn't enough for them to get through, but still that's momentum shifting the right way here.

Have they turned the corner? Are they any value at plus 135? What do you think?

Well, two things. First of all, the Liverpool match was away from the top of stadium.

And the second thing that the game against Jessica Madrid was in the Champions League is Jack said at the top of the show.

They have a great record in the Champions League, but it's a woeful at home. There's no team worse at home in the Premier League than Tottenham.

It's only 10 points this season, which is the reason why they are in the position they are.

This match, I mean, chose your opinion. They get a draw against Liverpool and then all of a sudden everyone's seeking well.

They're never right. They're right. But everybody else at the bottom got draws as well.

Nobody else, no one made any ground on anybody. And it was a good result for them.

But that was a Liverpool side that were there for the taking the second off. They didn't play at all well.

And the reaction from the cop tells you how much Liverpool were booed off the pitch, which is someone likely to happen at Amfield.

Where do we go here? I think, first of all, I'm not going to make my excuse now, but I think this is a very, very tricky card.

I have found three angles and bets and stuff, but you know, not high convictions, but we'll come on to them in a minute.

But this one, I found no angle in it whatsoever. The only possible way for me to play this was under two and a half goals at minus 117.

I thought this is going to be very close, very nervous, very cagey.

Not enough for us to produce in so many shots, so many, so many chances, but they're not converting and they're missing.

Then all season, we said it. They're missing Chris Wood more than any other player in the Premier League.

His goals were to kept them away from the mitigation battle, but they've got to make do without him.

Tottenham awful at home. And I think it's all about how the Tottenham fans react in this match.

If Tottenham go behind here, I think it could be all I think Boris could could quite easily get a couple past him, because I think the Tottenham fans will turn them.

I don't think they're going to be behind this side. I think they're going to be negative.

So I was looking at this match here thinking, what do we do? I think it's really, really difficult.

Obviously, not the forest. I've got a bit massive match tonight in the Europa League, which is a hindrance for them.

It's a very finely recorded this before that match, but that could very easily go into extra time.

And that will be a problem for them. So you don't want that.

So it's a quite difficult one to have a judgment on this match here as we stared, but just taking the game state into account.

A relegation battle between two sides. A point.

You know, may not be that bad, because the other thing you remember, they know what's happened to other teams in that battle, because this is a match on Sunday.

So the game state may be here. A point may not be that bad.

And I'm just going to go for under two and half goals as a lean at minus 117.

I just think this is going to be a very nervy afternoon for both sides.

And if you look at the forest, like I say, their shot conversion to goals is absolutely wouful.

It's moment in time. They should have won a lot in mid last week with Neil Newell draw against Fulham.

And they should have won the game before that as well, but they can't score goals.

And that will be a problem for me. Tottenham can't be trusted under two and half goals minus 117.

Can't be trusted yet. No, I think I think you're right with that. Look for us to plus two 25 for the drops.

There's only a point between the two, of course.

We're going to be exposing for 16th, for 16th, 17th, West 10, we'll get on to you in 18th.

Shortly, I mean, Vita Perreira, Jack has said that he has to prioritize the Premier League rather than the Europa League.

So we don't know what sort of team he's going to play tonight against Michelin the way from home.

We might learn quite a bit about how strong he is on that a little bit later today.

What's your take here? What's your lean on spurs for his massive game at the bottom?

Yeah, huge game is certainly going to be an interesting one to watch.

It's going to be a very tense atmosphere at the top of my spare stadium for certain.

And as Nigel says there are an early forest goal, and it could be very, very toxic there.

They'll be very, very worried for certain. But I think we've got so many unanswered questions ahead of this.

As you've already said about the forest European game.

What they do there, what happens there? Can they pick up injuries? We'll get into it extra time.

So certainly for the show, really one for us, really tough to make a proper judgment call and put anything official out there.

My lean is for not an forest time. I bet I'm not going to jump onto the spurs ship just on the back of that point against Liverpool.

As Nigel said Liverpool would really poor that day.

And Affleck and we do it effectively at the tie in the bag.

So it wasn't really a much in it for them, as long as they kept kept it competitive.

That's all they needed to do. And yeah, Spurs picked up the win.

But I think that being at home, I wonder if Spurs actually might prefer this one to be away.

Because I say the fan base there could absolutely make this even tougher fixture for them.

And you look at forest.

How they've not picked up points has been a bit of a strange one.

They have created lots of chances. Obviously we've said about the fact that they haven't got a goal score at the moment.

But you look last week, it was a very marginal VAR call that would deny them a goal there.

Then another call which denied them a penalty, then they hit a cross bar.

So they are certainly banging on the door and you wonder if Spurs is the perfect opponent

that will kind of shoot themselves in the foot, maybe score an own goal to get them away.

But because of those woes in front of goal, I didn't go too bullish on it.

It is only a lean, but forest minus 206.

I know about me in the full refund.

If it does end all square, that's where I ended on.

But yeah, it is a tricky one, but will definitely be a great watch.

Yeah, don't mind any of those plays at all.

Kicking off the same time on Sunday, 10, 15 AM is Villa against West Ham.

We've got an official play from Jack in this one.

Villa minus 107 to win the game. West Ham at plus 175 to be relegated.

The plus 290 to win this game.

They could climb out of the bottom three.

I mean, Jack, you have got to play in this.

Well, I tend to like it.

I mean, you know, first and foremost, no one's betting Villa at the moment.

You look at the just the, you know, the regular form on this.

The basic form.

No one's back in Villa at minus money.

And you look at West Ham's numbers.

You think they could be worth a play here.

Well, exactly.

You know, I looked at the basic numbers.

As you say, they're all basically odds as far as the money line is concerned.

And I just felt West Ham were too big, which therefore means we can have a look into the derivatives.

And say, can we get something else on side?

And we can, for me, in my opinion,

a plus 0.5 Asian handicap means that it's effectively a double chance.

If this game ends in a tie or West Ham win, then we, we cash in full.

It's minus 113.

And I just didn't feel that that was reflective of out of these two sides before, when at the moment.

And again, this is another side asked in Villa that we go into European action tonight in a game that is very much alive.

Yes, they won the first leg, but it's only a single goal.

So we know who I am.

He absolutely loves the competition.

You want to take it seriously.

You want to go win it again, as he has done before.

And that means that pushing out the lights of John McGinn is just come back from injury.

I think his vital for Villa started against Manchester United.

But again, we've seen that they, they just at this moment in time in the Premier League are really, really struggling.

And, you know, there was talk about pressure being on Emory and crisis meetings and so on and so forth.

And they are just, just tanking at the moment.

And I think West Ham are on the opposite trajectory.

They are on the upward curve.

The injury to some of the areas is a, is a, is a blow, but they have got other players around that can come to the party.

We know about Jared Bowen.

We know that Tatties come in and done exceptionally well in those forward areas as far as work rate and link up players concerned.

And they have got other avenues also.

But you look at Villa, as I said, lost the last three league games, only one win in seven.

And this is what we've got a very mind here that we just need West Ham's will void defeat in this one to cash at minus 113.

Only say that one three points in the walls in 2026 of that's in Villa, which puts that into context as far as how poorly they are performing.

And so it's legal that they're playing after record this.

So the pressure is on and say West Ham only two defeats in 12.

They are on the up and the new new no is getting a tune out of them.

And so I think here as far as this is concerned, as long as they can avoid defeat, get a point on board.

They might have gone on with it, but avoid defeat and we can cash it in full.

So plus half a goal start and minus 113, one unit on that for me.

Asian line play for Jack got a goals bet from Nigel as well, official play.

I mean, just before you get into that, you're not you're not tempted by West Ham here Nigel.

This is the annual sort of wheelhouses and it plus 290 against a villa side that are in all full form.

You know, they've I don't know what they're stats are written it down.

So we're only four wins the last 12 in the top flight.

I mean that they get a ball, aren't they?

Yeah, they are. I mean, they can see three against man United.

They can see the four against Chelsea, two against walls.

And they're last primary games and obviously three in the FA Cup against Newcastle at home.

My only worry is that those players are coming back a little bit.

I mean, those were without some key players.

I mentioned I said to you at the time when he went out that he's probably one of their most inferential players.

Despite it doesn't get their headlines that he is the workers in that midfield for us.

The winner makes them all tick is the leaders and natural leader.

He's back.

The game tonight is a crucial one.

I mean, my region of the game tonight is that's the middle will probably win that fairly comfortably.

I mean that they're minus money, but you know, I think they can probably win that one more than one goal.

And they may have the luxury of easy and those players.

So that's a dangerous kind of.

But to have an opinion on the on the match before that map from that match is completed.

Obviously, if that goes to extra time penalties in hearts is the West Sam chance.

For me, though, I've just gone on the goals angle.

I just think this is this is a picture that I've touristy has goals.

If you look at the last 13 matches between these two sides, including this season, which was a three to match.

There's been both teams has called us mean yes in 12 to last 13 when there's something about these two sides.

Whenever there must be the crash a kit or the room.

The colors that they must.

Double Clara.

That get clarity.

I mean, it's incredible really.

But there's goals whenever these two sides take to the pitch West Ham.

It's a better better on the road than our home, which is not really a surprise when you considering how toxic the London stadium was.

A few months ago, but it's now becoming a little bit of a fortress.

West Ham are giving themselves a great opportunity to survive with the way they're playing.

And they're doing it in style.

Not, you know, unlike not in the forest, they were just grinding out draws and leads who were just struggling at the moment to score goals.

West Ham are giving it a right go.

Since the start of the year, they played 16 matches and 15 times they scored in 16 matches, not 15 times.

But in 15 games of school, they scored one or 15 minutes.

And there's only one match and they failed the scores.

Since the turn of the year, that was against wolves.

And I just feel that villain out goals back in them.

Only walking scores as well in recently as well.

He's got a big one.

It's a big end to the season because there's questions about who's going to be the deputy to Harry Kane.

He's got a really giving up itself on opportunity.

He's got a fast end of season fast.

And I think the way these two sides play.

I think there's goals in it.

So I looked at both teams of score, which yes, that was minus 167.

And they'll say that's the, that's one that's cashed many times.

I went to the over two and a half goals, which is minus 134, which I thought was a little bit too short.

So I moved it up to over 2.75 goals, which is half his stake on two and a half and half your stake on three.

As long as there's three goals, we will win.

But we only win half a unit.

There's more than three.

We cash on both.

And I had one unit and minus 106.

I just think this game's got goals in it.

The way West Ham can see goals and the way that's, and they score as well.

I think this could be a very into a match with lots of goals and West Ham aren't doing things unattractive.

They like to play in a style.

And if they're going to go down, they're going to play their way.

And I think they deserve all the products or what they're doing at the moment.

So goals for me over 2.75 minus 106.

I'm liking a lot of the play so far on the show.

Make of that what you will.

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Big game in the Northeast is Newcastle against Sunderland.

Huge for the locality and indeed for the wider world as well.

This is Sunday 8 a.m. Eastern Newcastle are the favorites minus 162.

Sunderland plus 440 here Nigel.

Look, Newcastle battered by Barcelona midweek.

I mean, it was an incredible first half of football.

But they just fell away after the break.

I mean, this is a good game to come back to.

Are you tempting at minus 6162 Sunderland have slipped away?

Or is it a classic Darby game fun book out the window?

Leave alone watch your lane.

I think it's quite a good game for them to come back to.

Because obviously the the atmosphere will be raucous.

They'll be behind and they won't be thinking about what happened.

You know, if you're going to lose 72 to lose at Barcelona.

But the first half they were a better side.

They played really, really well.

And also the what will give me optimism is that the fact that they played

a tough match against Barcelona in the first leg.

1-1 when the time is easily poised.

You've never expected the 7-2.

And then he went to Chelsea on one.

So that's a positive for them.

I actually bet Newcastle to beat Barcelona at 7-2.

I was hoping I'd get the money back because it was the actual correct score.

But anyway, we'll see what happens there.

Well, prior to last night's capitulation in the second half.

I was really strong in Newcastle this match.

And my fantasy football team, which I've dropped away massively,

is very heavily based on Newcastle players.

Because I thought the Newcastle win is because the levels of Sunder

that are just dropping down so much compared to the start of season.

We all know their troubles in front of go.

And I really anticipate Newcastle to win this fairly comfortably.

Maybe three, maybe four.

And I was going to go in as an official play.

But when we watched the defending in that second half against Barcelona.

It made me worry.

It made me nervous.

And Newcastle looked out on their feet.

And they looked absolutely exhausted.

We said before, no teams played more games in Europe than Newcastle.

So Crystal Paddysel, I was sorry.

Newcastle played a lot of games as well in European football as well.

And the same players are playing week in and week out.

So I just talked to myself here.

I wanted to get with them.

But I still think, I still think they'll beat this Sunder

inside. And you know, my lean is Newcastle minus 0.75 at minus 127.

We just know Sunder and no it's called goals.

Six to the last seven.

Sunder and matches under two and a half goals.

Seven of the last two matches.

Both teams just called no.

I couldn't bet Newcastle to win to Neil after what?

So I watched that second half against Barcelona.

But I do think they'll they'll they'll they'll edge it because of Sunder

and drop a form.

And you know, Newcastle now have all they've got to go at is the Premier League.

And they've got to get as high as they possibly can.

Sunder and average overachieved what they expected at the season.

And anything is a bonus.

But I just feel they might have a drop off.

And despite that defeat, I think it's a perfect match to bounce back.

Anyhow, we'll get the team up for it.

They can make changes.

There was still players on the bench who can come in and change his match around.

And I still think Newcastle win it.

So Newcastle minus 0.75 at minus 127.

It was all going to be a very hard way to lads.

The hitman would have been happy with me.

But unfortunately that second half put me off a little bit.

So yeah, Newcastle still win it, but not an official play.

What's your lean here?

Jackie, you anti Sunderland just four wins.

The last 17 lost the last two.

What's the play?

Yeah, I am anti Sunderland.

I'm going to fade them.

But again, how to get Newcastle and smiling after that.

So I've gone with one of their better players and more consistent players at the moment.

Anthony Gordon the score or sister minus 106.

I think this is now a massive game for Newcastle, isn't it?

You know, we've seen them get absolutely thrashed in the Champions League.

Their league campaign this season has been poor.

Eddie Howard admitted to that and they absolutely got a repaid our fan base.

And it will go a long way to do it by getting a win by ever whatever means against their local rival Sunderland.

So yeah, a massive atmosphere here and a big, big game for them.

Sunderland do look leaky.

You know, they've done incredibly well to guarantee their survival already.

But Regis Lebris has come out and said that they are suffering from those injuries that they're a small group of players.

And they're struggling with the relentless nature of the Premier League.

And it will be really relentless in this, this, this fixture as well.

So I just feel that yeah, Newcastle, legit and Anthony Gordon is now playing as a center forward as well.

So it's one of those things we look for as far as if you're betting on the player props markets is.

Is he still being priced to that kind of wide or midfield player?

Now he's playing down the middle as a striker.

So we're getting better odds on that respect as well.

He's also on penalties for them too.

So that's another avenue to him getting on the score sheet.

And say as far as last week is concerned, he led the way across the Premier League with his expected goals total.

So scored in his last two Premier League games as well.

And he's had a goal or an assist in four of his last six and he's played at least 78 minutes in all of them,

which is another key factor as far as putting him forward.

So Gordon to score assists for me minus 106 in a game.

I think Newcastle will edge it.

I need some quick leans for you in Bournemouth, Man United Friday night, 4 p.m. Eastern United Nigel Plus 110,

Bournemouth Plus 220, Bournemouth had drawn 14 games.

This is in the Premier League.

Please tell me you're leaning bet the draw.

What you got?

Exactly what I've got down.

Lean the draw.

Plus 28, the biggest price of all three Bournemouth are on beaten in 11 matches.

Man United have only lost one in their last nine.

Seven draws in that period of the 11 matches are on beaten six of the last seven under two and a half.

Over two and a half cashed in just one of Bournemouth's last seven matches.

The goals are dried up for them.

Without some men you've been upscoring goals, but defensive they're still strong.

It's a difficult fixture.

Man United have been drawing in eight matches at halftime this season.

It's plus 145 for the draw at halftime.

But leaning on the draw at plus 280, the biggest price of all three.

Four four last time.

That was the draw.

But it might be four four this time.

I don't know.

I think it'll be a draw. Jack, what do you think?

Yeah, I agree.

I fancy the draw, but on that basis, I've gone with Bournemouth to get a bit extra cover on it at plus 0.25 Asian handicap,

because it's minus 103.

And again, I think they've been a little bit undervalued.

They do tie a lot of games.

And Man United, we know, yeah, they've got great firepower.

They've got some decent options in those forward areas.

They're kind of a line on those moments.

So those players connecting to get them the wins.

But yeah, I think if I can take Bournemouth here and basically get some kind of profit

if they avoid defeat, which are done so often regularly, then I'll take it.

I could put Bruno Fernandez forward again.

Like I did last week will be cashed with that.

Again, minus 104 for a man that's still fired in so many assists.

He's only four off the joint record now with Henri and Kevin De Bruyne.

So keep an eye on that as he looks to set players up rather than maybe score himself.

So still a good price to score.

But I don't want to repeat myself.

So let's go with the Bournemouth plus quarter goal.

Minus 103, couple of smart leans from the boys in the game featuring Bournemouth and Manchester United.

A little bit more time on Brighton Liverpool because we have got an official play from Nigel Saturday 830.

As we mentioned at the top of the show Nigel, Liverpool are impressive midweek.

Which formline do we take into this when what's the angle in with Liverpool's trip to the South Coast?

I think that's obviously Liverpool at home in European football or a different beast.

That's what they are usually in the Premier League and away from home.

But at home obviously in the European night, Samfield is absolutely rocking.

I was looking at this match and I think it's probably one of the trickiest matches on the card.

And I was trying to find an angle plus 120 Liverpool looks about right plus 210 Brighton.

No new will value.

I went through the previous headteds in this match.

Over two and a half goals has cashed in nine of the last 10 in this fixture.

But Liverpool, this will be Liverpool's fifth match in two weeks.

They plan an awful lot for what they need to break.

I forgive them in the second half against Tottenham.

They look leaky.

But then they put in that brilliant performance.

So I would expect a little bit of a come down in this match here.

But I was going through the statistics and I was trying to find some angles.

And I just come across I'll leave which absolutely I couldn't believe actually.

Liverpool played in 15 road matches this season in the Premier League.

How many goals do you reckon have scored?

If you know it, Jake, don't see.

Away from half.

Away from in the first half.

How many goals do you reckon Liverpool scored in the first half in 15 matches this season?

Let's go.

10.

It's called three goals in the first half this season.

Close.

And two of them were in one match.

So out of 15 road matches this season, Liverpool haven't scored in the first half in 13 of 15 matches this season.

And I was trying to find an angle.

And just if you use that basis in the back, there might be a little bit leaky from the bride.

They might take them a little bit time to get going.

They scored an awful lot of goals late.

You look at the goals in the 90s, minute, 75 minute.

They come good in the second half.

So maybe look at second half against first half.

All these kind of options as well.

But for my official play here, I've gone for Liverpool not to score in the first half.

Which is incredibly minus 110.

So it's under Liverpool first half goals under half a goal is minus 110.

And that would have cast in 13 of 15 matches this season.

It's called two in one game and one in another.

13 times with a cast.

So that's about an 85% chance or something like that to happen.

And you are now getting minus 110, which is about a 55% chance of happening.

So that's my one you bet Liverpool not to score.

Be a bit weary off the Galatasaray.

Not scoring this first half under half a goal minus 110.

I love that.

That space place that works out.

All the numbers work out.

But there's that little bit of, you know, Liverpool off the back of European game

that might not be factored into it as well.

Jack, would you like in Brighton Liverpool just a lean for you?

Yeah.

I've gone under two and a half goals plus 120.

I think it's a big price because I think you look at it on paper

and you go, oh, Brighton Liverpool, that's a goalsy game.

But when you dig into the detail, Brighton, I come very much an under's team.

Under Herzlou in recent weeks.

So I put them up as a lean last week.

They cashed under's in that as well in a 1-0 win.

And that was with a lucky goal there.

It wasn't even an intended goal.

They scored.

They said they controlled that particular game.

Defended well scored a lucky goal.

So all the elements of a sign that will generally give you a good run for your money for under's.

In a Premier League, seven of the last eight at home have gone under two and a half goals.

Nine of the last 11 across all venues.

And I agree Liverpool are aside at score goals at home, especially in Europe.

In the league, not so much on the road.

And say I'm happy to say that we should see some rotation in some description.

Obviously, Eckertake had his little bit of an issue a couple of weeks ago.

Salah as well, we've seen.

They'll be interested to see how they go about that quick turnaround.

Because of course, they've played on a Wednesday evening.

And how they go into an early kickoff.

Jürgen Klopp would have been great if he was still at football club.

He loved this turnaround.

But it's not going to be ideal for them.

And I say do expect a slow start.

And I just want to go on for those incredible stats.

And I expect that to go throughout the course of the game.

So three of the last five away in the league on under.

And I say as for all those reasons, I'll pack and say down to plus 120.

You can obviously water that down if you want to go for my plus under 2.75 or under three.

But going more aggressive under two and a half for Malin plus 120.

Just one thing we'll add to that stats down.

Just one thing.

Liverpool, you know, I said,

I've only scored three goals in the first half on the road this season.

And there's only that's the second worst in the Premier League.

The only team who's worse than it is, who's scored two.

So that's how bad Liverpool are.

And the second worst team for scoring away goals in the first half.

Yeah, throwing that early kickoff as well.

That's another factor, isn't it?

Although Klopp used to complain.

A slots Liverpool in the Premier League.

A play 313 at 1230.

Anyway, we move on.

Everton Chelsea, which is a 530 game.

Oh, I must have got that one.

I said 1230.

I've still got me English times on this.

Talk amongst yourselves.

Everton plus 235.

Have been bet here, Nigel.

I was going to say no one's betting Chelsea at minus money.

But they're plus money now.

I mean, a Chelsea done and dusted after that awful result against Paris.

And you man, Liam Rossini is still taking notes, isn't he?

I think as to how to come back from an 8-2 deficit.

What you got for us here?

Well, I think Liam Rossini's antics may have seen the market change

and knew after the end of Fernandez comments after the match as well.

I want to get out.

It just doesn't look a happy ship again.

And I think once you lose that dressing room at Chelsea, you're in trouble.

Some bigger names have gone in there and lost that dressing room.

And I suppose people looking around the looking at Liam Rossini

and thinking like, what on earth is going on here?

I was very skeptical of his appointment at the beginning.

I thought he did all right.

But now there's a crisis.

The only one won in the last seven.

And to be beaten in that manner by the Champions of Europe.

But to lose 8-2 when you're, you know,

across two matches is bad.

Very bad for Chelsea.

Chelsea do well on the road.

They get a lot of goals.

Eight of their last 10 matches have seen over three and a half goals on the road.

Big, big negative.

And there's those Reese James is out.

Big, big negative.

I mean, he's their best players.

They're captain.

They're best different.

And the most creative player going forward as well.

I think that's a huge loss.

And also, he's staggeringly at the age of 27.

He's the oldest player in the Chelsea squad.

So they have a very, very, very young squad.

And when it goes wrong, they've got no experience players to turn to and try to get through.

And the managers got no experience in the situation as well.

Flip yourself over to Everton.

You've got one of the wildly old managers in the Premier League.

And David Moist would register some opportunity.

The only thing that puts me off them slightly is their home record.

Their home record is so, so, so poor.

But I think it's a perfect time to face Chelsea.

Not surprised to see money for Everton here.

I would probably be leaning towards Everton on the Asian handicap.

But I just feel that the value's gone a little bit now.

So no bet for me on the match.

But I do think that one other thing I said,

you Chelsea, after this match, they've got Champions League aspirations.

Their next three matches are Port Vale and their FA Cup.

So they've got a great chance to get to the semi-finals.

Matches to City at home and matches tonight at home.

So they maybe look at those three matches.

That will determine their season rather than this match here.

I think Everton might get something, but I think Chelsea are in a bit of trouble at the moment.

Yeah, I completely agree.

Everton haven't been back, but then there's this sort of cloud of their home form Jack.

That's what sort of put me off a little bit here.

What do you think?

Yeah, I've had the same bet.

It's plus half a goal.

Asian handicap, meaning Everton avoided defeat at home.

And with a cash, it was minus one to anyone.

I'm going to put it for the last night.

Obviously money's coming for it.

So that changes things a little bit.

But they're up a bit unfortunate last week against Arsenal,

held on right to the death and then conceded late.

And then obviously once they've committed their goalkeeper forward

for a set piece, conceded again to that great goal.

And Chelsea, only one winning seven, so there's no confidence there.

They lost the last three or admittedly to PSG twice in Newcastle,

but boot off at half time, boot off at full time,

substitutions getting booted as well.

It's all very toxic.

So yeah, and this is the sort of game, as Nigel said there,

David Moise will be up for to just go and show his experience and his worth.

So you look at the problems with Chelsea is that they just can't keep a clean sheet.

So if they concede to Everton, then they're in trouble because we know Everton can be very doggy.

No clean sheet in the Premier League in eight, only one in 14,

as a horrendous record for side looking for Champions League soccer qualification.

And Everton lost just one of the last eight in the Premier League at home games against Chelsea,

one, five drawn two.

So I'm going on a plus handicap on the Asian handicap side and with Everton.

Yeah, I don't mind that anyone who watched Everton against Arsenal

will think they've got a punches chassis just that home record,

but I'll probably end up playing Everton plus a half two more games to look at

before we depart.

And we've got official plays in both Nigel's first up for Leeds Brentford,

which is Saturday 4 p.m.

That Everton game we should point out is 130 Eastern on the Saturday.

This one a little bit later.

Leeds Brentford Nigel.

Leeds plus 138.

Look, I'm getting beach vibes from Brentford a little bit.

I think this is a good opportunity for Leeds.

Do I want to bet them up?

Plus 138.

What's the angle?

Well, they still got an outside chance of making European football.

That shouldn't just put these shorts on just yet.

With teams above from dropping points, Liverpool are dropping points,

Chelsea are dropping points, Villa are dropping points.

Man, you're not any consistent.

So don't put their mess per drills on just yet.

Wait a minute, wait a minute, wait a minute.

It sums out drills out.

Well, I suppose the thing, I mean, to turn to lose a 2-0 lead against Wolves

and hang on at the end there was an alarm, in fact, for me.

Obviously, all eyes are going to be on Tiago.

I mentioned last week, I thought it was a bet to be the top goal school

in the Premier League.

Close the gaps of three now.

This is an opportunity for me, but I just think this is a real negative for goals.

I can't see many goals at all.

Under 2.5 goals is minus 115.

I think that's a play here.

Leeds very much, unlike West Ham, are trying to stay in the Premier League

by being boring and grinding out drills.

Draw, draw, draw, nil, nil, one, nil, one, one.

You know, this has had it.

Farcas set his saw up and West Ham are trying to give it everything.

And their danger here leads have been drawn into a real...

They're in a relegation battle.

But if they slip up at home where they've been so good,

then they're in a real trouble here.

And this is the time and match that they, you know,

the all eyes will be on it.

But, you know, if you thought West Ham a Brentford run on the beach,

then you wouldn't be getting plus 138 Leeds.

You'll be getting minus 110 Leeds.

And I don't think the market thinks that Brentford are on the beach here.

I like it under 2.5 goals.

At both teams of score, yes.

As cashed in the last...

Survival last six between them.

But the last four leads, Premier League games,

all under 2.5 goals.

These haven't been scored in their last three Premier League games.

We know how a Lightning on Calvin Lewis.

He hasn't scored.

He missed a penalty as well.

Ellen Rode.

Well, the last two matches have lost their Brentford draw in the last three.

Back to back two twos as well as a nail nail in there as well.

I think this is going to be cagey.

I think this is going to be low scoring.

And my ankle here is a draw at half time at plus 118.

It's a plus money bet.

But I think the first half could be pretty pretty cagey.

Nothing really much going on.

Leads are drawn 13 matches in the Premier League this season at half time.

And at the Ellen Rode, they've drawn eight only one teams

have drawn more than them at home.

They're the second highest team to be drawing at half time.

Which is a 53.3% chance of happening.

And now you're getting about 45%.

There's 8% sort of edge in your favor in terms of what the price you're getting and the realization.

And also taking the state that the way Leads are playing now.

It's dull.

It's boring.

It's just get another point on the board.

Another point on the board.

And if we can draw every single game now, we're going to stay in the Premier League.

It's nerve at Leads.

And I think this will be a low scoring game.

On my best angle, instead of taking the minus one 15 on the under two and half goals,

it's to bet the draw at half time.

Catched eight times in the Leads matches at Ellen Rode.

And I think it will catch a night.

Yeah, bump it up to plus 118.

Jack, what's your angle for Leads Brentford here?

Sat down, aren't you?

Yeah.

Again, I just think the odds are slightly wrong.

I've gone Brentford's Heiner bet at minus 107.

Again, at the top of the show, I said about Brentford.

They did it last season as well.

Started off as a home side.

Could only pick up points on home soil.

Then had a little wobble there and then flipped it around.

So they were winning lots of games on the road.

And they've done the same thing this season.

You look at their recent road form.

The one five lost one and tied one.

And that loss was at Chelsea.

On an off day for them.

Yeah, they were disappointed against that Wolves one and Wolves throwing it away.

But they are still in the hunt for the top six, certainly.

And they've also only lost one of their last 13 in the Premier League against newly promoted sides, which of course leads are.

And we talk about home fans, home support being a real boost and an extra edge for these sides.

When it gets a bit nervy, it can also flip it the other way around.

So it's vital for Leads to get off to a decent start.

And certainly keep Brentford out.

But if they don't, then the Leads fans we know will get very, very nervous and that will translate onto the pitch.

So they are struggling to the loss that I was capable at home.

No winning five and they're failing to score goals and say as they've done the last three.

So I just think with the time I bet Ty gets a refund.

I'll take the minus one as seven about Brentford side.

I think it's still got a little bit to play for.

Fallen Burnley saturday 11 a.m. Jack has got an official plate in this one.

So we get Mr rights for you first off.

Fallen and nearly minus two dollars here.

The without winning three.

I don't really bet them at that price.

Don't know what's a wake up early at the minute.

They keep on throwing punches as we mentioned last week.

And every now and then they get some positive results.

But they are going to go down.

We know that you've gone to the prop markets for an official play here, Jack.

Yeah, I was kind of concerned with Fallen.

We've talked about and being on the beach.

And they more or less are about that.

There's still got a few games to go in the home games.

They want to give something for the supporters that are there.

Obviously want to come back next season.

So I'm going with a guy who wants to go into the well cup in good form.

I've got some international break coming up now.

Harry Wilson has been full of his main man.

So to score or assist at minus 109 against still one of the worst sides in the Premier League.

That's the root untaken here.

I'm going to have him to get involved in some respect.

Basically full and generally do score, even if they are having a little bit of a stickier time.

They've only failed score twice in at home in the league this season.

And so they've got up against the Bernie side that have considered the most goals.

They have got the worst expected goals.

And look, they are going to have to try and do something.

You know, they're not going to just go down.

And look to go down by tying games nil nil every week.

So I think that they have got to open up a little bit and full and can take advantage of that.

With Wilson, I say, is the absolute top man for the full and at this moment in time.

The first fixture was three, two.

Wilson was involved in all three of those goals as well.

He scored ones and he assisted twice.

Nine goals and eight assists across the season so far.

So I really consistent in both aspects of what we need him for here.

He's also on set pieces and Bernie have got the worst record as far as defend and set pieces are concerned as well.

So that's another area of attack for him.

He's also the deputy penalty taker behind the Al Jimenez.

And Jimenez is sharing a bit of game time now.

They've got minutes back from injury.

So that's the reason I'm going with Wilson here.

I expect for them to score and therefore I expect Wilson to be involved in it in some respects.

He obviously showed he was back from that injury last week.

We weren't sure he'd play but he played virtually the full game last week.

So we expect him to start here.

Get a good amount of minutes and get involved in the goals.

Nigel, what do you think for this one? This is the only game, isn't it?

Sort of Saturday 3 p.m. in the UK.

It's the only traditional slot in the Premier League.

Any plays at all? Any leans? Any angles in here?

Well, going back to Jack's point of view.

If Harry Wilson scores in his match, he becomes only the second British player to score 10 or more goals for full him in the Premier League.

So that's an incentive for him in that match as well.

You're talking about teams on the beach.

I think there's two teams on the beach.

I think they're done for the year.

Obviously, they've got a massive match against Newcastle.

Next week, they'll be done.

But full him, I think, of very high second.

Some of the levels of the fuller matches in recent weeks have been absolutely awful.

How I didn't cash would not refer us last week for the reason we said hitting the bar goes full him of there for taking.

They haven't scored in three games.

West Ham performance at home was awful.

The cup loss against South Hampton was awful.

And I worry, I just think that they're done.

You know, I just just think that there's no way in a million years.

I could be betting full him almost minus two dollars.

You're going to remember as well that Scott Parker is the manager at Burnley.

He got sacked at full him where he's harshly fair.

So I think he'll be right up for it.

The match in the previous match was a bit of a 5-3-1-3-2 defeat and narrow defeat there.

So I still think Burnley are playing with pride.

And also, you've got to remember that Burnley have won the last three matches at Craven College

and haven't considered the goal against full him in the last three matches.

Well, they seem to do well against full him.

Burnley's story and their last eight road matches, only three of them.

They've won by more than one goal margin.

And they were against teams you would expect them to lose by one goal margin.

And I've got a feeling they put up a fight here.

I like Burnley plus one goal.

It's minus 110.

As long as they don't lose by more than two, you win.

And I think this is a perfect time to take on full him at this moment in time.

The dropoff is quite incredible in the last three matches.

And I think Burnley a little bit underrated here.

I know they're going to go down, but they're going down with a fight.

They've got a proud manager against a former club that he's done well on the pitch.

You know, off the pitch, he felt he was a bit shouldn't have been fired.

But I think that some Burnley markets are making it plus one at minus 110 would be a close to official play.

But that's a link for me.

Yeah, don't mind that one at all.

Nigel Jack, thanks for your company.

Good luck to one and all.

That's a wrap for Betty Weekly Premier League show.

Let us know your thoughts in the comments section on YouTube.

Tell us who you're betting and why the EPL show will be back in three weeks.

Time.

Ninth of April, Nigel.

What, I mean, what are you going to do with your time?

I mean, this, you know, is it?

Are you Dubai bound?

Is there a guy nearby?

It's just booked up.

It's just booked up a nice two soon inclusive in Terram.

That's very nice.

No, no, I'm.

It's my son's 21st birthday.

So we are, we are getting this week and he's birthdays tomorrow Friday.

And we are going to the Cup Final on Sunday.

And in Monday, we're going to the Algarve to play a bit of golf before they.

Wonderful stuff.

Jack, what you up to?

South World for a weekend, for a week, for the four, three weeks.

Yeah, I've taken you a lead there.

It looks very nice for us to have you there.

So yeah, I'll have a lot around the North Norfolk and into the Suffolk coastline.

Why not?

Yeah, play it safe out there.

Brilliant stuff.

Well, as I say, yeah, ninth of April is going to be the next Premier League show.

There is, of course, plenty of content still to enjoy recovering all of the internet.

You don't know where I'm going to be on the night of April.

Where are you going to be on the night of April?

Monte Carlo.

Monaco.

Are you really?

Yeah.

I'm running out for a day.

Just a day.

Flying tennis back.

Monte Carlo, boss for Nigel on the night.

I hope you, I ain't got it.

Are you going?

Are you going to have to record on a different day?

Do it early.

We'll do it early on the night.

We'll do it early.

We'll do it from e-throw.

Brilliant stuff.

Many thanks to Nigel and Jack.

Have a good betting weekend.

Hopefully we'll cash some tickets.

And as far as this show is concerned, we'll see you early April.

Thanks for listening to Betting Weekly English Premier League on the Bet Rivers Network.