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everyone bends the knee to Bitcoin in the end because you can ignore Bitcoin, but you can't ignore
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the consequences of ignoring Bitcoin. So last year when the Bitcoin ETFs were launched,
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the second largest asset manager in the world, Vanguard, I think they managed something like $11
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trillion, they chose not to launch their own Bitcoin ETF to compete with nine other competitors
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like BlackRock, but Vanguard also went a step further than that when they refused to even list other
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Bitcoin ETFs on their platform, meaning Vanguard clients could not buy them at all. They said
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it's too volatile, it's too speculative, some paternalistic BS like that, which of course was
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not surprising at all. It was basically a PR stance, a virtue signal, if you will, because Vanguard is
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known for being stuffy and conservative, which is fine for many, many people, and they thought
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their stuffy and conservative investor base would appreciate they were sticking to their values
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and being very stuffy and conservative about Bitcoin. Personally, I have nothing against Vanguard.
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Long-term low-risk, low-expense ratio index fund investing is perfectly good for a lot of people,
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and they are probably the best in the business at that kind of thing, but they clearly made a large
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miscalculation. Because as we know, you can't ban Bitcoin, you can only ban yourself from Bitcoin,
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and the problem with that is banning yourself from Bitcoin is a very, very stupid idea,
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and sooner or later, everyone who tries it comes to that realization eventually.
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So several years ago, the Vanguard CEO said they would never consider Bitcoin product,
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and then last year, they said, we don't plan to, and we're not going to change our minds around this.
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And to me, very ironically, some of the reasoning was it's too speculative and it doesn't
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belong in a long-term portfolio, which, in my opinion, is quite literally the opposite of reality.
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Bitcoin is only speculative and too volatile over the short term, and the only time period in which
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it's ever gone down is the short term. But over the long term, Bitcoin has only ever gone up.
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So no person who's ever consistently botaneled this highly-volatile speculative asset has actually lost
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any money or purchasing power miraculously over the long term. So the Vanguard CEO said,
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we're not going to change our minds around this unless the asset class changes.
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Fast forward one year, and guess what? Big time shocker, Vanguard's benthani, and they've changed
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their mind. They're now listing Bitcoin and other crypto ETFs on their trading platform.
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So did the asset class change or something about Bitcoin changed? Clearly not, but do you know what
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has changed? Vanguard's biggest competitor, which is BlackRock, they launched a Bitcoin ETF,
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and it became the fastest-growing ETF in history, and within less than two years, it became BlackRock's
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most profitable product. 13 trillion dollar asset managers, largest in the world, and Bitcoin ETF
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is their most profitable product. So Vanguard tried to take their moral stand against Bitcoin,
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and they ended up just cutting off their nose despite their face, giving their biggest competitor
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a huge advantage, and of course, BlackRock stole Vanguard's lunch money and gave them
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a swirly in the cafeteria bathroom. And this Vanguard move was so bad, they didn't just pivot
3:02
to reverse it to allow Bitcoin ETFs. They are now allowing customers to buy dog **** like Ethereum
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and XRP and Solana ETFs. But I thought they were in the business of protecting investors from
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highly volatile speculative assets with no intrinsic value, but clearly not anymore.
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Just one year later, and they're practically going full-on coinbase **** and casino.
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So they are a perfect example of why everyone eventually bends the knee. To Bitcoin, I'm going to
3:26
explain why that's going to happen to everyone else in just a second. Real quick, you're watching
3:30
this SadStacker show, a Bitcoin show for people who think deeper about money. My name is John,
3:34
I'm your host, aka the SadStacker. So if you're interested in learning how to stack smarter and
3:38
grow your conviction in Bitcoin, hit the subscribe button, and we'll get into the rest of the video.
3:42
So what actually happened with SolVanguard thing? Well, it's simple game theory, really.
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Everyone bends the knee to Bitcoin in the end, and the longer you fight or resist Bitcoin,
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the more you just let your competitors eat you for lunch. Vanguard clearly never actually had
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a principled stance on this. They just tried to check with the way the wind was blowing,
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and they clearly got it wrong, and they didn't realize how badly they'd get their buck kicked
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by miscalculating this. They tried to ignore Bitcoin, but they can't ignore the consequences of
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ignoring Bitcoin. And that is how Bitcoin wins. In the end, pure economic gravity. This whole
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entire thing reminds me of a quote from Safedinemous, the author of the Bitcoin Standard,
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when he said that Bitcoin is financial gunpowder. When I talk about Bitcoin adoption,
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people think of it as being like, say, Apple iPhone adoption. It's very nice and very cute,
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and then people will buy it. But I think that's not the model for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is more like
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gunpowder adoption. Did the French army have a choice whether they should adopt gunpowder or not?
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Did they decide, no, you know what? We like to keep it real with sticks and stones and swords,
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and we're not going to use gunpowder. If any army that decided to do this didn't matter,
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because then another army with gunpowder would come and take over France. So eventually,
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everywhere in the world ended up with gunpowder, either because people adopted it or because
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it was used against them. And I think Bitcoin is like that. Bitcoin is like financial gunpowder.
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It's the safest way of sending money halfway around the world, the most secure way.
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And it's the hardest money that we've ever invented. At the end of the day, this is economic
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reality. It's not optional. You will either move there or you will watch your wealth lose its value
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as the people who put their money there appreciate. The harder money will win, you know. Gold
5:31
beat silver. Not because, you know, there was better marketing for gold or there was better
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propaganda for gold. Beat silver because of economic reality. Gold grew at a much slower rate than
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silver. The value of silver declined. This is really the case with Bitcoin, I think, in the long run.
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The invention of gunpowder was a superior technology in warfare. So you could try to ignore
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gunpowder, but you couldn't ignore the consequences of ignoring it. Money works in the same way.
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Money is a technology and history shows us that there is such thing as superior monetary
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technology. Namely, that comes in the form of harder money. If one group of people or society
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stores their value in a harder money and another group stores their value in a weaker money,
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the outcome is inevitable. The harder money out competes and eventually demonetizes the weaker
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money. Over time, the purchasing power of the weaker money erodes towards zero as the harder
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money absorbs its value. In simple terms, hard money sucks the value out of the weaker money
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over time. Look up the history of Native American Wampum or the Rye Stones on Yap Island,
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or even China and India remaining on the silver standard while the West adopted the gold standard
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in the late 1800s or early 1900s. The key to remember in all these situations is that holding
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the weaker money is actually economically devastating. Every time this happens in history,
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the story is the same. Those holding the weaker money see their purchasing power vanish
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while those who adopt the harder money see their relative wealth explode. By the way,
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quick tangent, this actually is what I believe people who call Bitcoin a Ponzi scheme,
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fundamentally misunderstand. They think it's some scheme where early adopters only profit by
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recruiting and dumping on new entrants. But that's not what's happening. The purchasing power gains
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of a harder money come from weaker monies losing their purchasing power and the value migrating
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from one to the other. It's the same thing as gold and foreign currencies demonetizing the German
7:33
mark during hyperinflation in Y-Mart Germany in the 1920s. But of course, nobody said gold is
7:38
a Ponzi scheme because the mark is hyperinflating. That would make no sense. It's not a Ponzi or
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a pyramid scheme. It's a monetary transition. And the next evolution in the technology of money
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is Bitcoin. Again, hard for people to see because we haven't had a real innovation in the technology
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of money in most of our lifetimes. But Bitcoin is a superior monetary technology. It's monetary
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gunpowder. So if you're holding a weaker money or a weaker store of value like dollars or bonds
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or even real estate, which is all inflated by fiat and debt, over time, the value and more specifically
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the monetary premium of those monies or those assets leaks out and gets absorbed in to Bitcoin.
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And I'd argue this analogy extends to anyone else who attempts to ignore Bitcoin. If you're a
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financial firm that refuses to offer Bitcoin products, your competitors who do will eat your lunch.
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If you're a financial advisor who won't talk about Bitcoin to your clients, well, your clients
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will ultimately leave you for an advisor who will because they're outperforming you. And eventually,
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if you're a corporation without Bitcoin on your balance sheet or you're a merchant who doesn't
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accept Bitcoin payments or a government without Bitcoin as part of your reserves or even worse,
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a country that tries to ban Bitcoin, ignoring Bitcoin can't protect you. It just guarantees
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you get left behind. Call it monetary Darwinism. Every system or institution that tries to ignore
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Bitcoin ends up bending the knee or they will choose catastrophic failure instead. And Vanguard is
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just the latest example. BlackRock didn't embrace Bitcoin because they love Austrian economics.
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They did it because of incentives and profit motives. They did it to make money. Vanguard didn't
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reverse course because they suddenly believe in the principles of sound money. They did it because
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not offering Bitcoin was costing them money. That's how Bitcoin wins. One capitulation at a time.
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You can try to ignore Bitcoin, but you can't ignore what happens to you when everyone else doesn't.
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So don't be surprised when you see the next institution or country than the knee to Bitcoin.
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Those who are paying attention know that the opportunity cost of ignoring Bitcoin is paid
9:46
in purchasing power. So remember, it's just about incentives and incentives as we know are
9:51
undefeated. If you want to keep learning to sex smarter and grow your conviction in Bitcoin,
9:55
you hit subscribe button. You watch one of my other videos right here. And as always, you never
9:58
forget quit slacking and start stacking. Quit slacking and start stacking. Quit slacking and start stacking.