Final NFL 2026 Predictions + Super Bowl LXI Picks (Ep. 2676)

0:00What's more exciting than two NFL division rivals going head to head in Australia? It's knowing you can watch it live on Netflix. Netflix is expanding its NFL coverage this season and beyond. In addition to the Rams and the Niners kicking off week one, be sure to catch the first ever Thanksgiving Eve matchup and two Christmas Day games on Netflix. Watch week one of the NFL on Netflix. The Los Angeles Rams versus the San Francisco 49ers live on Netflix Thursday September 10th at 8.35 PM Eastern, 5.35 PM Pacific. Soil offer excludes Alaska and Hawaii. This NFL final picks edition of the sports game on podcast is part two by the SGPNM.

1:06Get all of our picks and podcasts for free with the SGPNM. What's up everybody? You're watching SGPN, fuck the Cowboys. Let's go, baby. Oh, welcome everyone to the sports gambling podcast. I'm showing, stacking that money green with my partner and picks, Brian, real money, Kramer. What's happening, Kramer? Fuck. Football back. Football back.

2:07Football is so back. Football's back. So back if you're watching live over on YouTube.com. So I should work to give them a podcast. Apologies for the late start. Oh, incredible sweats in college football. We had a very good night. UMass on the money line. UMass and the points and then the Albany great Danes parlayed with UMass Albany down four points. Get's down to the one yard line. Second and go on the one yard line. They get in. Oh no, wait, they fall start. They fall started. They let them score the touchdown and then they called the fall start. They go back five yards. They lose a couple yards and then they don't get the touchdown. It was, it was just an incredible, incredible sweat that parlay didn't get home, but still a wild ride. It was a very nice night that could have been so much nicer. Still a lot of winners in the early part of the college football picks part one episode. It didn't really matter after I hit a 31 to one money line.

3:07I know. Which I might, I might have had the longest ticket on the internet. I haven't found anyone with a longer ticket than mine. So shout out to me long cock. That's good. I'm my god though Albany. No, to bring us and if for those who didn't watch Albany on the first play of their game, the quarterback goes down, gets injured. Back up quarterback comes in and is a little spunky, but the whole time it's just, it is edge of the seat sweat. They have a real chance to play with this. That final drive, fourth and two in the guy almost breaks it for a touchdown. Oh my god. And yes, Ronnie on their lap, it was like a third and a not or fourth and nine from the or fourth and goal from the nine. They throw a slant where he beat them. They completed it. Got tackle at the one. Oh, I pulled the parachute at the last minute. Kramer cashed out. So enjoy your gardening.

4:08But at the right before the last play, I literally cashed out on the poor. I said, I'm not basically they money lined that play at like plus 400 plus 390 something like that. And I was like, yeah, they kind of have their tricks figured out that, you know, I'll take it. Incredible sweat though. And very good start to the college football season. Colby already in the part one picks podcast, four and oh on his locks. So off to a great start. And one quick update on our college football portfolio. Oh, yes. We have one team to win the Mac in our portfolio that you mean Colby collaborated on. Great work. It is. Yeah, I was the one that braved the William Hill location. 20 plus 20,000. So 200 to one on the UMass to win the Mac. You know what they've dropped down to? No. As of the game. They're as short as 50 to one. Woohoo.

5:09Which is still pretty long for the Mac. Still. They're waiting for the Mac, but yeah, I thought they looked really good. You mess. Yeah. But we're not here to talk amateur football. We're here to talk professional football. Correct. And if you're a Johnny come lately, just getting back for football season, perfect time to hop in. Catch up on the 32 NFL team previews. One for each team and while you're doing it, write down the word. Per team. Thousand dollar NFL future up for grabs sports game of podcast.com slash phrase to submit your entry and also the free roll football contest sports game of podcast.com slash free roll. It's a free pick them contest. You pick all the NFL games against the spread using the spreads that we will be discussing for the show. Three thousand dollars winner take all four thousand. If you're a picture, I remember getting in for free sports game of podcast.com slash free

6:12rolls sports game of pockets.com slash free roll. All one word there. If you have any issues with the screenshots, just submit a photo of a football that will work and appreciate everyone signing up for the contest. You're welcome giving away a ton of cash. I'm Jack Ryan NFL seasons here. Doing our recent show tomorrow night live from the circus. I'm the clock Pacific doing a serious XM 189 YouTube TV. Gonna be a hell of a show. Yeah. We might have to talk about the Albany Buffalo. Okay. Oh my God. I mean, is it a bad beat? It is for me. Yeah. I wrote it to the bitter end. The place I had it didn't have a cash out option. Now, obviously I could have worked up my own cash out option in another shop, but I just white knuckle it. I was and I was too late. And then I was like, you know what, fuck it. They got a shot here. I don't regret anything. It was a fun sweat. Let it ride.

7:12Unfortunately, you know, yeah, just going to save the screenshot of the $24 to win almost 12,000 for a while. That was way too close. That would have been, I mean, that would have caused me to maybe reinvest in some futures in the NFL. Well, perfect time, Ryan, because what we're going to do, we're going to walk through the AFC, walk through the NFC, then we are going to give out our six NFL win, six NFL win total locks. I looked it up. Last year I was four and two, the year before four and two. You are, I think you were three and three last year, five and one, the previous year. So we're on an eight and two run on our win total locks here, four of our favorite futures and then the awards, given out a bunch of different options throughout the team previous, but we'll give out our favorite play. Favorite favorite favorite favorite favorite favorite. Do you want to start with the AFC, Ryan? Sure. Should I do my AFC? Sure.

8:12Both work. Yeah. Why don't you start with your AFC, rattle off how many teams you have winning, how many games? I have seven teams making the playoffs. Okay. Uh, strangely, I landed right on one thirty six and one thirty six for the AFC. Pretty asymmetrical. A charger is get the one seed, Sean. That is diabolical. They are regular season team. Tusses and they tied with the bills, but they somehow have the tie breaker. Bills are the two seed. Bills will be hosting the Broncos who are the seven seed. Remember, they, they go on five, but then they still make the playoffs as the wild card over the chiefs. I haven't sorted out how they get that tie breaker, but they get that tie breaker. We know they lose the first one. Then we have the three seed winners of the South, the Jags taking on the wild card, the Steelers who will get in also over the chiefs at ten and seven. And then the North winner, the Cincinnati Bangles hosting the Houston Texans, the top wild

9:13card team for me. Then advancing, bills get revenge on the revenge. Oh, okay. They beat the Broncos. Correct. It being in Buffalo, I think is the key. Jags take care of the Steelers in a classic McCarthy year. They make the playoffs and then disappoint once they get in there. Plus Liam Cohen, part of the UMass Mojo. He was, he had tied their roommates with Victor Cruz. And then Cincinnati Bangles, Houston Texans, give me the bangles. Okay. Chalk to the second round. Chargers hosting the bangles. Chargers get it done. Bangles into the road. Jags take down the bills in Buffalo. We have a Chargers Jaguars conference final. What? In LA? In LA.

10:14Jim Harbaugh advances to the Super Bowl. So you're going to have a, you're going to have a Harbaugh Super Bowl. Why are you trying to spoil the review? Why don't you talk about your AFC team? Okay. My number one seed is the Houston Texans at 13 and four. I got to be honest. That was super when I was tabulating. That was surprising. I just think that defense is going to be able to carry him. And yeah, CJ Stroud, you don't need a ton at a CJ. I think just enough. Demiko Ryan's very good head coach. So I'll take the Texans to get it done there as the one seed, number two seed, the, you know him. You love him. The Denver Broncos, who I have going, what do I have? The Broncos going 12 and five, 12 and five. Number three seed winning the AFC North. I also have the Steelers going 12 and five and the number four seed, the Buffalo Bills winning the division at 11 and six. My first wild card, I have the Cincinnati Bengals at 10 and seven.

11:15I also have the number six Jacksonville Jaguars at 10 and seven and just sneaking in to the playoffs is your L.A. Chargers at 10 and seven. We have the same seven playoff teams. I didn't notice that. That is a little, little strange. Uh, Denver Broncos at home against the chargers. They're obviously going to beat him. Chargers getting knocked out of the playoffs. No shock there. Jacksonville goes into Pittsburgh. Oh, does not get the win. Steelers, Steelers get the win. Uh, then after that, the Buffalo Bills, they beat the Cincinnati Bengals. Everyone's super high on the Buffalo Bills. They go into Houston square off against the Texans. Can they knock off the Texas? No, they can't Houston Texans win. And then the Broncos take down the Steelers and it is Broncos Texans in the AFC championship game and your AFC champs are the Denver Broncos. Nice of future price on them as well.

12:1710 to one. Give me the Broncos, baby. Let's go. Can I tell you something? If you like, if you like this concoction, chiefs, Patriots, Ravens all to miss 30 to one. Okay. Interested. I mean, I'm intrigued. Yeah. I've got to have intrigued fire over to the NFC Ryan. What do you got going here? I, I, this, your NFC is very different to my. What do you mean? I guess we don't have the giants as the number one city. I guess we don't see eye to eye on everything. Uh, while the giants have a really, um, tremendous season. A lot of good vibes everywhere, including, uh, I mean, my God, I, I could just sit down and watch Mr. Harboss speak into a microphone for you. Or a New York giant span, Ryan, your, a New York giant. Yeah. You're a New York giant span. Yep. New York giant, very inspiring, uh, speech by Harboss.

13:17What did they cut out of the Harboss speech that that's what they left in? It doesn't matter to me football guy. Yeah, sure. Giants get the one seed bears host the box. Okay. Get the job done, go into the cold weather a little too much for Baker and the box. I wonder what team he'll be on next year. Niners get the three seed winning the West. They'll host the seat, the sea hawks in the first round of the post season and the sea hawks get the job done. Playoff, Sam Darnold upset on the road in the bay. Hmm. Revenge against the referee won't be there because he had been injured week six, I believe, uh, Detroit line. Well, it doesn't seem like he hates the 49ers, right? Like it seems like they're on good terms. Well, I think he credits Shanahan with fixing him. Yeah. That year backing up this, uh, the pretty out there. Detroit Lions get in as the wild card five seed. They take on the winners of the South, the Atlanta Falcons. Wow. So right.

14:18Did he Atlanta? You have two teams. I have no clue how they're going to fucking do it. Two teams making a play at the end of sea south. Yeah, they're both 10 and seven. Who is the quarterback for the Falcons? Uh, it is playoff game. Sean, if you looked up the rookie of the year price for Jack Strand, yeah, I just saw because our money on Vecin Dustin, sweetle, I think it was like a hundred and twenty five to one. Respect, Dustin. Yeah. Should we, we should probably pay for ticket that tomorrow. It's right. It's again, I like any of the long shot course rookie quarterbacks for offensive rookie of the year because Tyler Schuck came in at 200 to one and I want all the long. I want all the long tails on the Falcons. All right, Falcons host Detroit. That's a bad matchup. Goff inside Detroit gets it done. I think there'll be a team better at the end of the year than the beginning. Uh, giants host the lions outside for Jared Goff. It's going to be called. We don't have to do well in the cold. At this point, we've all gotten to know Mr. Reese in the middle.

15:21Giants advance here. Jackson Dart. Wow. The main's undefeated first, the blue tent this year. Will have many times we'll have to face the blue tent. That's the more it's just seen. Hopefully none, but the powers to be definitely have to take our full of shit. He's definitely going to go in the 10 see Hawks bears. What do you set the tent visits for game? One you got to set it a half. And it's probably like minus one 15 over there. They're in there on prime time the first two weeks. So they're going to want to show off the tent. Hey, people we keep we. If you're just tuning in, we are super serious about concussions. You're going to, yeah, I would work that material out a little bit longer. I you don't think he's going into the tent Sunday night football prime time. All right, commissioning it to the show off. It's fancy new tent. I don't think commissioner likes the softness that it's implying. It was like he needs to fix that. Get the blue tent guys out of here. You need to work on your material. That is a week. Come back. What do you mean? He's clearly going into the tent. No, I think I think they've resolved their their

16:24proud of the house. He played one game in the preseason. He got in the tent. Say again, undefeated undefeated versus the tenant. Some point we have to move on. It's old. What do you mean? It's old. The more it happens, the funnier it is. I just hate that the entire world and yourself included is growing soft and enjoying. Oh, I think it's very fun. I think the finer things of modern football, including taking the best players off the field. What is that? What does the best players have to do with Jackson Dart? Well, Sean, I mean, we saw what happened last year. Four and eight was a starter. Very few receivers had no problem defeating the Philadelphia Eagles. Yeah, they got they got one of his four wins. Yeah. So in his rookie year, stay tuned for more. Okay. Seahawks head to Chicago. Yep. There's advance. Oh, wow. Ben Johnson has a psychotic moment on the sidelines. Bears giant, Sean. We love Caleb Williams, but there is that thing called the Madden Curse.

17:28And for the second time in the history of the world, the harbors will face each other in the Super Bowl. We will have a harbore to Justin Ducker and myself. We'll have some sort of special celebration, maybe a dumb and dumber style. Yeah, suit tool. Sean, this is going to be electric. Are you ready for this season? Yeah, I am. Not your scenario, but yes, I'm ready. Oh, you're just going to pencil in my Super Bowl winner without me saying. I was going to say, obviously you're going to say it for the. Well, you don't know that. You know, I like Mike McDaniels and Jim Harbour, Justin Herbert, Maureen Hampton. You did that old guy thing where you put a. Mike McDaniels. You put the S on it. Mike McDaniel. Yeah. So New York Giant Super Bowl champ. What's the score, Ron? 21 17. Okay. Get your Super Bowl squares now.

18:30All right, for me, you want one with that number. Yeah, I did. That was a different. I respect that. That was a different giant, Steve. I had a different giant side coach, Tom Caughlin and his prime. For me, Eagles number one seed at 13 and four number two seed. I'm also buying into the Chicago Bears here at 11 and six three seed. San Francisco 49ers at 11 and six Saints win the division. Thus they are the four seed at 10 and seven five seeds. Your Seattle Seahawks, which is interesting because I'm on there under, but I still haven't going into the playoffs at 10 and seven giving the Seattle Seahawks. Number six seed Detroit Lions. That schedule is just they're going to lose again. I'm also on the under by still have them going into the playoffs at 10 and seven and the number seven seed Baker gets in at nine and eight. First up, we got the Bears versus the bucks in Chicago.

19:34Now I'll give this to the Bears. I think Baker's going to be a little bit banged up by then 49ers Lions in the Bay Area. San Francisco gets it done. Give me San Francisco 49ers to advance. Give me Saints versus Seahawks. I think Saints a little ahead of schedule here. Seahawks get it done. 49ers Bears. I'll say the, I think the 49ers get it done. They played a crazy ass game last year. Yeah, shoot out, which is kind of weird considering. Then the Eagles obviously take down the Seahawks at home. Eagles at home against the 49ers get revenge for last year's playoff game and the Philadelphia Eagles move on to the or become the NFC champion and then they square off against the Denver Broncos and the Super Bowl. And of course, the Philadelphia Eagles bring it home. Go birds. Let's go. Philadelphia Eagles 20 to one Super Bowl champs 20 to one.

20:37I think that's or what's their curse? You're saying the odds. I thought that was the score prediction. A very unique score prediction. No, I'll call it you at I mean, I'll call it 31 23 Eagles. Get it done. 21. All right. High scoring. A little bit. Yeah. Super Bowl. Yeah. So shocking, shocking result here for for many that we have the Eagles winning. Kramer has the giant. Can I make a, a confession? Sure. I made this, this final four was, came to me in a moment when I was bullied by a guy that we know that owns a casino when he asked. Yeah. Finally, after the Super Bowl, what was your, my final four for the following year? I may have had chargers in my final four. That was before the Beattish injury. Oh, so it happened. Yeah. I don't, I don't actually remember what my final four was. I may have had the players there with the Eagles.

21:37Took a picture, maybe. Yeah. I do, we do have a picture somewhere we should, we should dig that up. But officially I got the Eagles winning at all. Kramer's got the giants up. Wow. Obviously go back, check out the team previews if you want to be able to be able to kill you. You're a homeer every year. Oh, Kramer, that's the funniest thing is when people call me a homeer. Have you heard Kramer talk about the giants this year? It is a, you're being a little bit of a homeer. It's wild. Jackson, Dard, I could have naked all day. Yeah. All right. Let's talk, let's talk about people really want to hear our win total locks before we get to that. Let's talk about our lock for predictions. Shout out to the good folks over at Clutch Par Lays. A couple days ago when we were doing the couch football picks week one episode, I highlighted it. Clutch Par Lays had like a 92% edge on UMass. They like spread. Yeah, they like that. So awesome work by the data guys over on Clutch Par Lays and cannot wait till their NFL stuff is live. I've been doing very well. Just playing MLB player props.

22:38I don't know. Shit about the MLB, but happily tailing those Clutch Par Lays hot props that they got for MLB covering you for college football MLB NFL NBA right around the corner. I'm sure it's going to be good for props as well. But get in over on Clutch Par Lays. Try it out. One month free over on Clutch Par Lays. It's Clutch Par Lays promo code S.U.P.N. to get that free month. We're also brought to you by Underdog. Who wants to be a millionaire this season? You download underdog and you jump in to keep your million. You start with a million dollars and then you hedge each bets. You hedge your bets across 20 player projection questions. You can also do team stuff. I had a, I'm sitting on 650,000 now of my million. I got the Colorado Buffalo. A plus six and a half correct. So that was a nice fun win there. Going to keep looking to stack and stack. It's a very fun formula. If you haven't played this bonus, highly recommend it and new customers, you get a 50% deposit

23:38match. We've given out a ton of underdog pickups both season long and week one in the team previews. So go back and check those out. And we're going to be talking about some of our favor props, which underdog doesn't do props. But player, you know, they do the player pick them, which you can do the math on that. Again, new customers, ins like states 50% deposit match and the keep your million and bonus funds underdog promo code S GP N. Kramer time for some win total locks. Love these very fun market and like I said, both on an eight and four run here the past two years. I'm four and two each year, you're three and three last year, five and one the year before. So let's keep giving out some winners here. Fall is the perfect time to refresh and reorganize your space. At the Home Depot, find power tools and tool sets starting at $50 to help tackle DIY projects, home updates and more, whether you're drilling brackets to support new shelving or sharpening

24:41your head trim or blade with an angle grinder. The Home Depot has the tools you need to check projects off your list, shop Labor Day Savings at the Home Depot and gear up for fall projects with the right tools to keep your projects moving. If you like YouTube, you'll love YouTube Premium. It's destroying athlete, creator and YouTube Maxor. YouTube Premium enhances how I use YouTube with awesome features like offline downloads so I can download my favorite training videos before I hit the gym. So no Wi-Fi doesn't turn leg day into loading day. Plus I get ad free videos, background play and so much more. YouTube Premium is like YouTube got some extra gains. Try YouTube Premium for two months free at youtube.com slash premium. Try eligibility varies, terms apply, cancel anytime. What's more exciting than two NFL division rivals going head to head in Australia? It's knowing you can watch it live on Netflix. Netflix is expanding its NFL coverage this season and beyond. In addition to the rams and the Niners kicking off week one, be sure to catch the first ever Thanksgiving Eve matchup and two Christmas Day games on Netflix.

25:45Week one of the NFL on Netflix, the Los Angeles Rams versus the San Francisco 49ers live on Netflix. Thursday, September 10th at 8.35 PM Eastern 5.35 PM Pacific. Would you like to go first? Since you've already, uh, you're stuffing. Give me the Pittsburgh Steelers over eight and a half wins. I sound like a broken record and maybe it was just the Tomlin magic, but I really like this roster. I really like Patrick Kram is the defensive coordinator. I like the addition of pitman. Um, I like their running backs. I think they're offensive lines in a better spot. I think the schedule is pretty manageable. And if, you know, if God forbid, uh, Aaron Rogers gets knocked out. I'm kind of optimistic about the young quarterbacks and Mike McCarthy has been a very good, uh, I mean, you laugh, but you remember Big Ben coming in and taking a decent team and going on a run. I don't think they're going to go that far, but Mike McCarthy does a good job coaching

26:45up the offense. I think Patrick Kram is a very underrated defensive coordinator. So my first NFL win total lock, give me the Pittsburgh Steelers. Number one. Ravens under 11 and a half. Okay. Uh, just, there's just been a lot of, there's a lot being assumed and projected with a bunch of dudes who haven't done it before. And just the icing on top of the, you know, boy, there's a lot of expectation here is the slight subtle conversation about Lamar talking about money, which is always a fun spring. Well, they're optimistic. We like fading them as far as the division play, but with both maybe the bangles, definitely the Steelers. And yeah, 11 and a half is a lot of wins. I think this is crazy. It the whole time we are doing the team previews, it seemed crazy that they were going to be the last one.

27:46So under 11 and a half, smash under and 11 and a half lock it up, fading to Baltimore Ravens. Yeah, with the rookie head coach, Declan Doyle Lamar, taking a little time to take off. He's 30. He's 30. It's pretty young. It's pretty young. Now, young offensive coordinators have had some moments in success, but he's on the younger side. Yeah, but it's not a it's not a rookie head coach. You don't have a veteran DC opposite of him. I'm just saying we've seen we've seen young OCs have success, but it's usually with a strong head coach and or defensive coordinator around him. The problem, the, you know, Declan Doyle is a very young O C Allen and Jesse Minners are rookie head coach. Also very young. Speaking of young coaches, Kellan Moore, young head coach, I like and I'm optimistic about the Saints. I know they've been getting a little bit of hype, but I think the NFC South is wide open, optimistic about Tyler Schuck and the Saints winning eight games.

28:49I got that. I'm very optimistic about that. I liked how they ended the last season. I think they're able to carry some of that momentum over. You look at the spots where their dogs. I think those are winnable games for the Saints. So eight and nine and you're cashing this for the Saints. Very doable in my mind. So give me the Saints over seven and a half wins. Bears over nine and a half wins. Oh, let's go. Appreciate everyone's attempts to regress them based on a lot of regression indicators. Oh, yeah. I get it. Madden cover. I won a lot of close games. Caleb Williams, maybe not a not super efficient. All of it, but the same people love Ben Johnson. They want all of him and they love the idea, the construct of second year in an offense. Colston, Loveland kind of broke into his own Luther burden. There's so much to be excited about with this offense.

29:51So even though the defense has lost some pieces, I'm fine with this team being in a bunch of shootouts and winning those games. You know what? Sometimes when you've run into this before, sometimes team does good coaching leads to teams that look like they need to regress. And so I think we like Ben Johnson as a coach. Nine and a half wins seems a bit low. I like them as a playoff team for sure. I obviously am way over this with 13 and four, but bearers second when I really like. And if you if you're worried a little bit about the wins and losses because of the defense, you're just go play the point total for them. Easy way to take the defense out of it. For me, third win total lock. Give me the Denver Broncos over nine and a half wins. I've been on there over the past couple of years and cashed. I also had them two years ago to make the playoffs at a nice juicy price. No one was a believer. I'm a believer. And to me also, but I don't think Boehnick has to do a ton.

30:53You bring in Jalen Waddle. Jonah Coleman. I think it's a nice piece for them. I think Sean Peyton is a good head coach. I think their defense is pretty good and they have a very good offensive line. So you have a good head coach, very good offensive line, pretty good defense. Maybe not the best in the league, but certainly up there. You have a good home field. I don't know why people aren't higher on this Denver Broncos team. And yeah, similar case with the bears where they won some close games last year. I get that, but there were 14 and three. They can regress a little bit and still get this over pretty comfortably. So even if they're 11, even if they regress three games, you still got them at 11 and six. So I think they're going to be a quality playoff team. And we're going to be hearing from in the playoffs. Thus, I believe they're going to get 10 wins. Thus, I believe in the Denver Broncos. Give me them over nine and a half wins. It's a lock. Sometimes under 11 and a half.

31:53Come on, super team. Come on. Well, what was the, Stafford only has what two or three seasons in his career where he got, he's gone over this. Yes. Last year, there was a lot of talk about the fragility of the old guys and the roster is really good at the top, but not a ton of depth. I think that still applies both to the offense and the defense a little bit. And so, you know, there's been some swelling. You know, we haven't heard anything about. No updates on mild gear. Miles Garrett swelling. Neat. No updates on the, the Stafford clone or the back problems or maybe they grew a new Stafford. So yeah, just general fate here on the R&S. Pukin, Nikola suspension, looming does seem like that. There's more stuff that's come out probably if you like the under at least take a, but also it's just 11 and a half wins as a weight in total is just really tough to crack. Take a peek at the misplay off.

32:55It's a three to one ish. So I think even closer to four to one, three 50, you know, three 50. That's what it was. Yeah. I think it worth playing some floor outcomes for the Rams. They, the Seahawks and the Niners are in their division. There are some deep, you know, I think the idea that the West definitely gets three teams. The playoffs again isn't, isn't a lock and so. And I mean, my God, what if Stafford does get hurt? We see a little tie Simpson. Didn't look very good in the preseason. That low eight. No, he, he looked pretty good. I mean, they skimmed up some easy stuff for, but he did four yards. Yeah, but he didn't look bad to be fair to him, right? I look, he looked basic. Well, sets and benets are two. Yeah, he's just got to stay off the bottle. They'll bring in Jimmy GF staff for kids. Sure. Next lock for me. Give me the Houston Texans over nine and a half wins. Kind of similar to the Denver Broncos here.

33:57I mean, the Texans defense is incredibly good. Demiko Rhymes, very good head coach, very high floor at Demiko Rhymes. Somehow one 12 games last year. Yeah. I mean, he was three and I with Davis Mills. Like, yeah, I get it. They didn't play the toughest of competition, but still, you know, if you're worried about CJ Stroud, I would just say don't, you know, Demiko Rhymes. Ten and seven, ten and seven, 12 and five. So I don't think I'm crazy to think they got double digit wins in them. And looking at the NFC South, I don't like the Titans. You know, the Titans under win total six and a half. That's very close to being a lock for me as well. But didn't quite make the cut, but I do like that. And then on top of it, the, the Colts tons of questions there. I'm barely on there over, but I'm not. They could, they have incredibly low floor. And then the Jaguar six legit home games, some offensive line injuries. I know you're higher on them than I am, but I just think there's a great path for the

34:59Texans, given the Texans over nine and a half wins. And I think they go over this by a nice margin. So play the Alts. Well, all right. Well done. It, I think what holds me back is CJ Stroud has just looked so bad at times. That's tricky. Niners. Over nine and a half. Kind of a lot of the same stuff you said about the Texans just now, which is they seem to figure it out regardless. I, I'm okay with like you're giving me a chance to take them to basically be a double to win team. I'll take that bad assuming Brock, Bernie stays healthy. Really? Yeah. San Francisco 49ers over nine and a half wins. I did not think this would be in your lockpile. I didn't think so either, but I certainly like it more than some. How do you feel about Nick Bosa? I mean, it's out of these tries traveling to the game. He's going to be a spectator. I, yes, see how it goes. So we got to, we got to play some Tongue as touchdowns because I know Kittle is traveling

36:00with the team. Kittle is going to play, but the beat reporters are saying if he does play, they're going to limit his snap count. So the, the, and it's probably already priced in, but the Tongue is anytime. It's going to be fun and, and my evidence. And we're going to great price on my cabins. You don't have to be great. Maybe you don't need to, uh, tongue is as well. But first such a, he's like 35 to one. And honestly, as far as the Niners win total, when they come out and win against the Rams, you're, you know, that's a, that's a huge swing for your win totals, right? So next up, lock number five, I've been talking about them all season. Everyone's bearing them. Give me the Miami dolphins. It's down to three and a half. I'll smash that over. I believe in League Willis. I believe in, you know, they're offensive line. Their center is very good. Uh, I think Devon Aachen, the read option stuff with the Malik Willis is going to bust some huge seams for Devon Aachen. Caleb Douglas stay tuned. Like what I've seen out of him, I think he has a very, uh, very nice, uh, chance to

37:04break out. And however, one's talking to Kobe Lane and Dazon Stribbling, but I, I kind of like Caleb Douglas. And I saw a lot of winning stuff from Malik Willis. And I like the fact that he played a little bit early, struggled and then went to Green Bay, got some good coaching from Matla Floor, who I think does a good job developing, uh, quarterbacks, especially when they're not starting. I think he did a lot of work on Jordan love. And I think you're going to see Malik Willis with the chip on his shoulder. Everyone bearing him for dead. They're the worst team. They're complete trash. They only have to win four games to get here and much like the Saints where everyone said, last year, this is going to be the worst team in the league, complete pile of shit. Their win total was five and a half and they got the six wins. And you know, some of that was Tyler Schuck coming in, but we see this all the time where a team with low expectations gets elevated by a good quarterback. And I do think Malik Willis is a good quarterback. I think his running ability is going to surprise people.

38:06Um, and I'm high on the dolphins, especially compared to market. They're not making the playoffs. Then I win the Super Bowl, obviously, but I think they're going to get to four, five. I got them going seven and 10. So the alts are kind of fun. But if you just want to win or dolphins, get to four wins. You're just the bold that's strong. Strong. Have you heard anyone say anything positive about the dolphins? I mean, a couple of people really who? I mean, I, I've definitely heard positive comments about Malik Willis. You've heard people say they like the dolphins over win totals. I, I, I, I'm not saying that is like, look at me. But I just genuinely haven't heard anyone making a case with the dolphins. We, yeah, they're not, they're not very good. And you're just like, you're, you like the senators here. Like, yeah, the whole offensive lines, the offensive lines, very bad. I think a good center can elevate a, a bad line.

39:09And I think a bad line can be helped by a mobile quarterback and Devon Aachen. Yeah. No, I think we're just, we're in a different space when it comes to Malik Willis. That's a quarterback in the national football league. Yeah. I like him. Like you think he's going to be better than Justin Fields. A hundred percent. Yeah. By a wide margin. We've already seen him play better than Justin Fields. Now, now in a great structure with a great offensive. Yeah. I mean, that's a very different situation. All right. I think he'll have a better year than Justin Fields. Well, Justin Fields isn't starting. I'm saying, I'm saying he's going to be more like a Justin Fields in a starting role, which creates some fun games. I've seen stuff throwing the ball and processing from Malik Willis. Again, small sample size that I've never seen from Justin Fields. Yeah. No, I'm not saying there are copies in each other.

40:10Justin Fields, you know, went four and two with the steals five and eight with the bears. So even if he's as bad as Justin Fields, there's a world where he gets over this. Next one for me. Give me the cowboys under nine and a half. Lock. If you've listened to the cowboys episode, it was pretty shocking to everyone. But my model had them coming out with zero wins. So my obviously very huge edge here. Anything to add, I'm sure you're on the cowboys as well. Yeah. That is my final win. Win total. You lost. Cowboys under nine, affluent. What's their records since we started the podcast? Nine and six. Nine and six to the under. Now, as luck would have it, we've been on the under every all 15 years. 15 times. This is the 16. And it's hitting at 60%. Well, why would we stop now, right? Now, you made a case that it's due for regression. So it sounded I was surprised to see that you were on the under because you were making,

41:11it's not like you were making a case for a positive cowboys play. That's not what I said. You said it was due, it sounds like regression. No, I said it's you added the regression part. I said it's due. Like because they've been doing, we were talking about 60% trends. You're taking something horribly out of context. But what I said was, yes, if someone brought you a 60% trend, there would be a certain percentage of the internet that's that would say it's it's too good to be true. And the other part that would say it's it's due. That was the that was the conversation we were having. So I mean, you can try to frame something. No, I thought you were a positive on the count. It sounded like you were making a case for a I put the cowboys higher on the list than you also. So I mean, I don't know what you're talking about right now. I don't like making bacon in the chat. Malik Willis to touchdowns.

42:11Bank it. I yeah, it's going to be fun. I hope you're right. You've been very strong. No, you've been rooting against it. You've been very strong with the takes. I hope you're right. Last one. I could go this, you know what, commanders under that's going to be a dumpster fire. Still can't find a first coach fired market. Or seven and a half wins. Yeah, I mean, the firing of both coordinators is a massive red flag. The Laramie Tuncel injury. That was like kind of the nail in the coffin. If they can't protect Jaden Daniels, how is this team going to win game? Tank Wind just needs to be a defensive coordinator. He does strike me as a better coordinator than head coach. He players like him. You can't be you can't be a player side coach. I didn't mind. I think it's better to be a player coordinator. Going back to the Cowboys, you highlighted like they still don't know who their left tackle is. I don't think they figured out their defense. They're still missing a pass for us.

43:13That's the kind of difference. That's the difference between a okay team that can win a few games and a good playoff team that's going to win double digits. First time play collar too. Yeah. Lot of good reasons to pay the Cowboys and the commanders. Commanders the O line. Again, if if Tuncel didn't get hurt, I wouldn't, I wouldn't have been super high on the commanders, but it's way easier to make the case against it now that he's out for the season. Well, and we're not really in the weirdness with Jay Daniels as well. Yeah. I mean, a lot of weirdness there. The like him complaining about the number five. Just a lot of weirdness. Just a lot of weirdness. Just a lot of weirdness. It's a unnecessary distraction. A lot of weirdness. Okay. Next up Ryan, we got some props futures. What are your favorite props here? I'll start off. We just talked about this in the Yan of Cs preview. I love Dallas got it this season. You know, 11 touchdowns last year. I think going over four and a half touchdowns, very reasonable.

44:14So yeah, give me the gottered over four and a half TDs. I kind of like that as well. Abdul Carter to have eight plus sacks plus one 55. Yeah. I'm giving you the. The. The reason I own Abdul Carter. The reasonable stuff I'm giving you right now. Yeah. K. Don over three and a half touchdowns. Again, I've already bet K. Don't have two touchdowns. Week one against the bangles is special. Why is that so funny to you? So it's a good. I like the I like fate. The bangles are horrible against the tight end. I like the bet. I was on. We we we we discussed K dot and all the way back in the summer about how he was going to be a focal point of this offense. K dot over three and a half touchdowns. You're excitement for this bet is is funny. And there's a chance these receivers are banged up. I mean, you know, I. And big boo. They are. Big boo is dealing with stuff. I think he's probably not.

45:15Yeah. Jalen Mcmillan's banged up. He's been dealing with a bunch of injury stuff. Scottwin has a really rough injury history. So I think Kate, we haven't heard much about him though. No, that's true. But I'm just saying him. He's getting older and like he's struggling to stay healthy his whole career. I love the he's a fun receiver Penn State guy. I like him. But I mean, would you bet on him playing 17 games like no, no. And he got destroyed last year. That was a pretty bad injury. So I hope he's out there. But I don't know. It just seems like there's a lot of ways this Kate out and stuff gets home. Pittsburgh Steelers over 350 and a half points. Oh, I have no clue how the Steelers point total is this low. McCarthy has had offenses. They brought in Pittman. They have it. It seems like they're going to be slinging the rock a little bit. There's some excitement around Rico Dattles, Jalen Warren.

46:18And you know, Tomlin, I guess I don't know how I feel about what the defense is going to be. But I don't know if I'm certain it's going to be a great defense. I think that's something where you know, if it does take a small step back now, we have a team that I kind of think is going to be able to score points. And maybe they're not going to be playing in these like low scoring games. So this is a regurgiously low point total. This is 30 points lower than I'm sorry, it's 60 points lower than the Texans, I believe. Yeah, very low number. Next up for me, give me for Nando Bendosa under 2399 and a half passing yards. This is the, this is the number we gave out when we did the Raiders team preview. I know it's gone down a little bit, probably even more so with cousins being named the week one starter. You got an updated prediction on when he plays his first game. I don't know, it's, it's tough, but you know, it's one of those things they always end

47:20up playing these guys earlier than they say, but there's a world where he only plays the last five games. So, and then he has to be really efficient and I don't like the Raiders in general and I don't like the Raiders offense and I don't think they have very good pass catchers outside of Brock Bowers. So to me, even if you come in for like 12 games, you still have to hit 200 yards of game, which as a rookie is a tough ask. I don't think he's playing 12 games, right? So then I like it said, yeah, obviously the less games, the more efficient you have to be and I just think this is going to be a tough nut to crack. I get it. He said, no one picked overall. He had a couple flashes, but he also showed some real signs of, hey, this guy's a rookie. He's throwing interceptions against the twos and threes. He's maybe not there yet. The problem is it is Kurt Cousins who sucks and I'm not optimistic about him long term. I think the Raiders will realize they're not going anywhere and then putting Cousins at

48:23some point or sorry, put him in Doza for Cousins, but no, even if you get 10 games, you got to throw 240 yards per game. I don't know any for Nando, Mendoza, unders. I like it's a big number. They're big numbers. All right. We didn't get the division leaders until late in the process, but I still can't believe that we're able to get a Mike Evans. I do like to tend to one to lead the West in receiving touchdowns. Well, Pook is already dealing with some should obviously Devonte Adams is going to be competition. Obviously, JSN is going to be competition, but is Mike Evans really that different in this Niners offense? Niners do. Shouldn't be 10 to one. For me, yeah. And my head, like I wouldn't just, I wouldn't take Mike Evans overs, right? Because there is a injury issue. He is getting up there in age. This is the over. Well, right. I'm saying I wouldn't, yeah, I wouldn't just take his like season long win total over.

49:25I would play the Alts and you're playing the alt here by taking the lead, the NFC West. I would play any of the ceiling outcomes with Mike Evans and not just because if you, like, are you going to take his over five and a half touchdowns, just play his, play his week one anytime. It's two to one. Yeah. So I would just play his week one anytime every week is out there. It versus playing his basic season long over. If you want to add on top of that by taking alt stuff, which this is obviously an alt on him having a really good season, I think that's a good way to play it as well. Yeah. Certainly. What's him to lead the league? If you look at like if he wins, if he's, if he beats out Devante Adams, Pukediko and JSN, let's see. He's probably not that far from leading the league. Oh, let's see. Mike Evans would be 30 to one.

50:25Okay. Uh, you have guys that, so Devante Adams is second-shocked at Jamar Chase tied with the Mon Ross St. Brown and JSN. So there's the answer to that question. All right. Last prop for me, broken record, but Malik Welles is going to run the ball. Ton over 549 and a half rushing yards. Okay. 549. That is a low number. Yeah. I mean, how many, I guess, whatever you, if you're playing all, all unders, then yeah, fine. There's, there's value to that because of player injury, but Malik Welles, when he's out there, loves running the ball, he's very efficient at doing it. And yeah, I'd like watching this kid run. I mean, he, it's, I think you could have some hundred yard games in there. So 549 and a half, he's going to smash it.

51:25Give me the Malik Welles over 549 and a half. And he's, he's, the other thing is young quarterbacks who can run the ball are willing runners. Look at Lamar Jackson early in his career. Look at, look at Jackson Dart last year, then they get hit a bunch. They, they get paid. They start realizing, oh, I got, I got to win from the pocket. I'm going to be a less willing runner. We see this all the time. Malik Welles is running for his NFL career. And if you think the Dolphin sucked, then the easiest coverage to run against is prevent. But if they're down big and they're just going to sit back and let Malik Welles running garbage time, why would he not take that those, those like two minute drills when you're down three touchdowns as, as some are predicting, why would he not just run all over the place and pass. Yeah. I mean, days passing yards is probably good too, but I, I feel very confident he's going to run the ball bunch. So 549 and a half smash.

52:26Smash Jackson Dart eight plus rushing touchdowns plus two thirty five. Okay. Well, it's crazy to giants. Plus eight rushing touchdowns is what plus two thirty five? Got. Are you worried that came scatterbrains going to beat him? Wow. That's, that's a good name. Are you worried that came scatterbra admitted he considered retiring after his injury? Yeah, I would the full context of that. And he's, he's talked about this before was when his ankle was disconnected from his leg, he considered retiring for a brief moment soft. And then he realized that he's a football player. As you may, may know. And so he, yeah, he's not, I'm not worried about him at all. Yeah. Not worried about. Yeah, I think there, Harboss been pretty deliberate. They plan on using Dart, Dart's legs around the red zone. So easy money right there.

53:26Even though they've been encouraging him to slide, they're still going to use him. Well, running the ball. I think the, again, I know. Probably haven't watched it consumed as much harboh, press conference as me. It's pretty boring. But it's, yeah, the internet and I agree. Harboss very boring. Right. Again, you get the eyes on the product. The, the, they were, he only what I watched was the one that went viral. For, for being incredibly boring. He will be, yeah, he will be part of his legs will be part of the offensive game plan. Okay. So, but no, but all joking aside, you're not worried about scat about getting the goal on stuff. I think they're both going to get go on stuff. Okay. Absolutely. But he had, I mean, he had, he got over this last year. Even with the, but it's, the feds going after him. Blue 10 police is going to get him. Hey, shout out to our good buddies over at the circuit. Get in on the circuit football contest. Super fun survivor, $25 million up for grabs, circuit million, six million guaranteed

54:32NFL pick them contest. Um, I mean, why would you not put your name on it? Put your name on it. You think you can pick games? Get in and just imagine if you won your office survivor pool. I was not going to go guys. But he won his survivor pool with his buddies when, when 18 to know now survivor, you have those bonus weeks, but why would and you're not in any, he said he wasn't, I'll leave his name out of this one. Leave his name on. Said he wasn't going to play circuit survivor. Oh my God. How could you sleep in cheap fuck? How could you sleep at night? Knowing that you're, you know, that coded survivor. And you leave $20 million on the table. It's ridiculous. I never do it. Always going to be playing survivor. It's a great contest. Great experience. Come out to circle Las Vegas. You can also sign up in Reno, shout out to Reno football contest.com is our proxy. Use a promo code SGP and get your $50 off your proxy fees. Great excuse to come out to Vegas. Hang out. Get in on the action football contest.com promo code SGP and get your $50 off your proxy

55:35fees. We're also brought to be I cow she you can trade spreads, money lines, totals, futures, so much more trade $25 and get $25 with their new promo. Use that code SGP and Kramer. They have a great cash out option as you as you learned. Uh, you in trade. Yes. I traded. You traded out of your position on Albany. I traded out nice work turned out to be a pretty. That's a profitable trade. You got I mean, I was sitting watching with Ryan. He's kept announcing five hundred five thousand fifty one hundred. Do I trade I could drink it out of this? I know. Yeah. And he goes, no, no, they're doing it. I thought they're going to score. I sound to it. It's down to $800. It's up to 1200 1700. It's like a live ticker. Uh, it is very fun to just see your Cal she, uh, options on these games go up and down. It adds to the sweat. Very fun and the good part is it's available in a bunch of states.

56:38So if you have a state with limited options, I get out and over on Cal she's a promo code SGPN Cal she promo code S GPN. Yeah, the, um, the wife, uh, really interested in all the trading I've been to. Oh, great. Fall is here and the Home Depot has everything you need for an outdoor refresh. Start with quick gardening projects under $20 like bright mums, planters and mulch that make your yard a standout. Power through leaf cleanup with the real V40 volt HP leaf blower from the Home Depot. They're leaves from driveways, patios and sidewalks with ease so you can get back to enjoying the season. Whether it's a simple weekend DIY or a bigger backyard project, Labor Day savings help you do more for less at the Home Depot. Hey, what's up guys? It's Hayley Bailey. Okay, I need to tell you about something. I just got YouTube premium. It's got tons of awesome features like offline downloads so I can download my favorite videos before I travel and watch them whenever I don't have Wi-Fi because we all know airplane

57:39Wi-Fi is the worst. I get to add free, I get back room play and there's like a ton more in there. You should try it. If you like YouTube, you'll love YouTube premium. Try it now for two months free at youtube.com slash premium. Trial eligibility varies, terms apply, cancel anytime. That's a mouthful. What's more exciting than two NFL division rivals going head to head on Australia? It's knowing you can watch it live on Netflix. It's expanding its NFL coverage this season and beyond. In addition to the Rams and the Niners kicking off week one, be sure to catch the first ever Thanksgiving Eve matchup and two Christmas day games on Netflix. Watch week one of the NFL on Netflix, the Los Angeles Rams versus the San Francisco 49ers live on Netflix Thursday September 10th at 8.35 PM Eastern, 5.35 PM Pacific. And, uh, how do you want to do this, Sean? MVP. What are you doing, Ryan? I got I got some stabs on a couple guys, but for my official play, give me Jackson Dart. Okay. 70 to one.

58:39Really like that price. Uh, my, my, my strategy with these is just give out some of the like longer ones. With the idea of just get one, get home, cover everything. My God. I pukes should have got it last year. Full disclosure, I also have a Caleb Williams ticket. I just want, you know, I was on it. I was going back and forth on Tyler Schuck. I know in the NFC South, I was like, uh, 100 to one, but the, the more I think about it, second year, quarterback, making that jump, uh, that offense really could cook. So, uh, Tyler Schuck, 100 to one. Why not? I'm a little surprised to see the set, but to see his odds going the other way. Well, it was, I think it was like 80 to one at one point. And now maybe even lower, right? I think he's going out. There's probably some places where it's still 80 to one. Chop around. You can find that 100 to one. But I mean, you look at that schedule. There is a real ceiling for the St. Steve. And the more I think about it, um, then after doing the NFC South. So yeah, give me Tyler Schuck, 100 to one.

59:42Offent to player of the year. Yep. Malik neighbors. I'm going to go. Yeah, I'm going to actually take a stab at Malik neighbors this year at 55 to one. Okay. Now if you want to, if you want to win her, Devon Tess Smith, again, I can record on this. We got it at 125 to one at the circuit, 200 bucks to win 25k. Let's go, baby. Any other dart throws that you got? I mean, I think we both might have small pieces of a, a doonsay. Yeah. That's a really fun one. Although he's banged up now as well. It doesn't sound too serious, but something to keep an eye on there. It's that time of year. Yeah. It's that time of year. You say just because of the offense and how just the ceiling case. Sure. If you want to play some of the quarterbacks just in case it's fine. When we did the episode, we both, or I think me and CJ gave out a bokeh, but again,

1:00:43with the injury, I don't like that as much as, you know, right now. Ryan said Malik neighbors wait for better price and it did get better. It was 30 to one. Now it's 55 to one, which is weird because 30 to one. Yeah. It was 30 to one. And now it's 55 to one neighbors. Yeah. When was neighbors 30 to one when we taped the episode when we did the offensive player of the year back right now. Really interesting. And so I don't know when that. Yeah. My, my paper tickets are from pretty early and they're 55 to one. Well, you know, again, these, the futures far out. The price is very a ton. Yeah. What day do we do that? It's got May 18th. Okay. Interesting. I think my tickets are from around then. Well, again, the, the shops are very pretty, anyway, because I feel like he's exceeded expectations. He's totally fine. Ready to go 100% week one. I feel like you're trying to put some bad judo on. No, I, I, I didn't think you would be playing week.

1:01:45Don't have it at the legs. I, I, I didn't think he was going to be playing week one. I know I was here. Hands up. I was wrong. I thought that was a very serious injury, but apparently he's going to be 100% and good to go. So there you go. Very surprising games again with your words. I'm being very clear. Yeah. I'm apologizing for believing the reports I read that he was going to, you know, have a slow start to the season, but he's going to hit the ground running. Okay. That was, that was surprising to me. Okay. Uh, defensive player of the year. This is an interesting one. CJ gave me, uh, Jalen Carter on speed vetting. I got that at 31 to one. That's a fun one. Um, but, you know, going back and looking at some of the stuff we gave out, you know, when we give these out, I'll play a couple, couple of bucks and then get bigger as it gets closer. But Nick Kerbick at 500 to one is, oh wow. It's super fun. He has since signed a deal, right? Yeah. They paid it. Again, I, I like the Steelers offense.

1:02:48Nick Kerbick at 500 to one. I'm going to, I got to get a paper ticket on that AS, ASAP, uh, couple of other guys. I mean, Hutchinson's the only interesting chalk, but at 11 to one, I don't know. And the more I think that's a four to one now. Hutchinson down to seven to one at the circus. Yeah. And so like when we gave it out to 11 to one, fine. Um, but the more I think about it without Joseph and branch, the defense is going to get off to slow start off. The defense isn't doing good as a whole. I think it's hard to win defense of player of the year. Like a lot, you got to be on a really good defense. Now, maybe he gets insane sacks and whatever, but I don't know. Now that's seven to one. It's, I'll just go for the long shot. Her big 500 to one. Yeah. I mean, I, I was kind of surprised to see some of the fluctuation like to see Michael Parsons at 50 to one. I know he's missing time and all that. The C T.J. I don't know if you saw this T.J. What at the circus out to 35 to one, Sean.

1:03:49Is that interesting to you? Sorry. T.J. What 35 to one? Listener sent that, uh, send a T.J. What ticket to me. And yeah, I, I don't mind that one as well. I was debating, I was debating T.J. What ordnic her big. Should I go, I mean, to me, it's wake. I, I both think T.J. What at 35 to one is a good price, but also they shouldn't be that different in price. It's, and maybe, maybe Nick Herbig's, obviously he suffers from not being as big of a name to the voters. And maybe if Steelers have a good defense, they'll just default and give it to T.J. What at 35 to one, but the fact that it's 500 to one for Herbig. Yeah, I, I guess, you know, he's the third guy on the team or whatever. Yeah. But, you know, C, C.J. Is excellent at finding those. I was great fine by the man. Who's your defensive player of the year? I'm going to go with the dual Carter.

1:04:51Oh, shocking. I'm going to go with that dual Carter. I like the prices I have riding it down the, the bank. I was actually trying to look up. Oh, here we get. This isn't right. What? I'm not sure. Circa has, um, Abdul Carter listed at 15 to one. That has to be a mistake, right? That's probably all your bets. Oh, that's some CLV, Sean. That's not a real price. So I got 75 to one, 70 to one 65 to one. Oh, just cash the ticket already. Not cash in any tickets. I'm just pointing out when I got in my pocket, 65 to one is the biggest bet, though. So you just write that one down offensive rookie of the year. 15 to one on circus. Uh, that's crazy offensive rookie of the year. I'd like the long shot quarterback, um, true hour, 100 to ones fine. Uh, that's a fun way to attack it. Carson back. Carson back the, the price is back to like 30 to one, right?

1:05:54Okay. Let me, let me look, I'll pull up the latest market. Let's see. So right now at the circle, Jeremiah love 550. Tate, six to one price five to one, Mendoza plus eight 50 back is to, I know, 20 to one now. Yeah. Yeah. Hmm. I don't know. Uh, Drew Allers a little more interesting at 100 to one. Gisari and price, I guess is fine. A chalk there, but Sean, you like the Saints. Yeah. So let's just say Jordan Tyson need a little bit more time to get back. And when he comes back, he's a hundred to one. What? The circa has him at a hundred to one right now. Hmm. Really? Oh, no, Becca missed the first four games when he was a rookie and came out and lit the world on fire. They were, I'm not that Jordan Tyson is on that level, but they were talking, you know, there was, there were some pretty high levels of hype around him.

1:06:55It seems like a very long price, considering which guy do you like? Who's in the cat bird seat? You know, yeah, I'll go, I'll go with Caleb Douglas, but I, um, that is, that is certainly tempting. Caleb Douglas 45 to one. I'm still buying Caleb black at 60 to one. Oh, yeah. I mean, we have a long shot ticket on one. We have him at 120 or why I have 150 to one. That's the longest ticket I have on him. Write that down. 150 to one guy. I'll bet it, but I'll bet it right now at 60 to one. No problem. Uh, I. The environment will be good. If he gets the, we just need him to get the job. Sean's already predicted that McCaffrey will go down this year. Seems like there's some funny business and training camp already. If he goes down, Caleb black immediately dips into the low double digits after he has a hunter yard game for the 49ers, bottom line. Billy Ray Kairas. He likes a Daniel Hunter 28 to one for defensive player.

1:07:59Yeah. I don't mind that. Yeah. I saw a lot of people wanting. So, um, I was, I looked at that price. And in the time when we were there for signup, we can, it went from 30 to one to under 20 to one at the circa. I think people were reacting to the fact that he was very highly, very chalky in the most sax market, but fall further behind in the defensive player of the year market. So yeah, don't. He also threw out Nick Benito at 14 to one. I don't mind that. It felt like Nick Benito's defensive player of the year. That was like lash lost a little respect for him when he just avoided lining up against Andrew Thomas. That's kind of a bitch move. So they won the game though, right? Kind of a bitch move. Uh, defensive rookie of the year for your loss. Actually, before, sorry, before you, I'm just going to say it out loud because tailing green is 250 to one. Yeah. The quarterback situation in Cleveland is a disaster. Yeah.

1:09:00I just needed to say that out loud. Okay, carry on. Devence of rookie of the year, a keen mezzador for me. Uh, the Chargers kid. If the Chargers end up being a good regular season team, which I think they will be, I think mezzador, there's a lot of opportunities to get some sex there. So yeah, give me a keen mezzador. Um, yeah. And so basically Ruben Bayon and David Balear now like the chalk. Yeah. I got to be honest. My guy, uh, Arvall Reese gets the tackles. He's going to get some sacks as well. What's that at? His prices all the way out to 10 to one. This, I mean, so the, the NFL award show will just be a giant swalking the red car. Well, they're going to have to take them to go because it's also the, the Super Bowl will be the next weekend. Yeah. Yeah. So I, I, I just, again, the price has gotten out too far. We're getting a little ridiculous now. Did you not see Baldi rock hard, rock hard when discussing the, the heavy hands and the violence

1:10:03that Reese plays with? Do you want to go back and add Malachi Fields offensive rookie of the year? I mean, just to make it a clean suite. CJ did give me that ticket in the last rookie of the year ticket. CJ gave me for the giants was a very nice CLV ride. If you, yeah, Malachi Jackson, Dirty got second place among quarterbacks. Again, there's a place over. So to hold the down. What was this official place? I don't, it doesn't matter. We're moving forward. The chips on the shoulder and good luck. Uh, come back player of the year. I hate this award. I want no part of it. Do we want to boycott it? I'll let you cross your name off. I mean, don't have to play. My home is going to win it at two to one. Is that what? I mean, the circus not even offering it. Yeah. What does that tell you about this award? It's a Fugazie award. Kramer already done. What about how does my home's not win it? Yes, they're not finished the season or not. I guess if they don't make the playoffs, it opens it up. And I'm not high on the chief.

1:11:04So I don't know. If you like the chiefs to make the playoffs, you should just play my homes, come back, play the year. Does that's a better price? The way that I, all right. So the dark horse way that I would play this award, Fred Warner. I was going to say, Boasa. Fred Warner. And bet Boasa has some views that not everyone agrees with. Fred Warner is the guy that everyone wants to root for. What is price? 25 to one. Sure. That's a bit solid, right? Yeah, I'll go. I'll switch mine to Fred War. No, Gina. Just say what's the office? No, come on. What about back of 75 to one? What's he coming back? Well, is he the, he's the number two receiver and for Jeff? Probably the number four we'll see. I feel like you were pretty far off with your receiver predictions. What do you mean? Well, you thought like Mooney was going to be a part of the offense. What do you mean? Is he not going to be, is he going to be a part of the offense? Yeah.

1:12:05Oh, okay. I don't understand what you're saying right now. Is Darnell Mooney going to be a big part of the giants offense? Darnell Mooney is, yeah, made the team and will be one of the receivers in the rotation. Okay. With neighbors fields and Beckham. There's talk that Slate and could be a healthy scratch week one. Really? Yes. Okay. That's happened before and he's, he killed Kroll his way back. Tough to kill. Tough, very tough to kill. This is one of my favorite ones. Lane Johnson, protector of the year 18 to one. Anything double digits. I think it's a good play here. It's, he announced that he was retiring. He has a chip on his shoulder. He's healthy coming into the season is one of his friends. Jason Kelsey is one of the voters. I think the offensive line, I mean, why would you not handi-cat? There's five guys voting. We know who the five guys are. Jason Kelsey's got a pretty good moral compass. I don't think he would allow his personal relationships to affect his voting on this very serious

1:13:08order. Well, Ty, Erasini hurt. She showed no bias according to the athletic report. Are you saying that Jason Kelsey's a filthy whore? No. No. Okay. But I am saying that I can't help but think that these offensive linemen, if this is Lane's Johnson's last year, like he announced, they would, if it was close, they would want to give him the benefit of the doubt and be like, oh, hey, let's, let's make sure Lane gets one of these awards before he retires. I think that this is a lifetime achievement award for Lane Johnson. And I love it in the awards market. So you like it more than you were really high on that Aaron Brewer angle. You're backing off that a little bit. What do you mean I was really high? I thought you're really high on the center for the dolphins winning the award. I think he's good. He came in second place last year. He's very good. Okay. But I think the fact that Lane Johnson announced this is his last year, like I said, it's going to be close. They'll give it to Lane. Okay. Who's your protector of the year award?

1:14:09I mean, Andrew Tyne only want to play it because I had 135 to one last year. It's only 25 to one last year. What did he get to? What, what place did he get last year? Didn't get any, you know what? I'm not going to play Andrew Tyne. Oh, really? Wow. I'm not going to play Andrew Thomas. I'm not going to play. It gave me, it gave me Andrew Thomas, 25 to one. I liked your Aaron Brewer take, but I don't think he wins the award. And I know clue what they're going to do here. So I'm just going to take a guy from the giants. And that is, I just told you. Andrew Tyne. Pay attention. 25 to one. Well, you said you weren't going to go with Andrew Tyne. I wasn't, but there's no one else really on the board. So this is, I mean, we got one. Come back, player of the area. Show you don't want to put in scataboom. A couple of million neighbors.

1:15:11I have multiple players in it. Well, I don't know your, I don't see what's going on here. Coach of the year. For me, Jeff Haffley, 41. Oh, really? Yeah. Rookiehead coaches have a good angle on this. The expectations are comically low for the dolphins. I mean, their playoff price is 15 to one. Why would you take that when you can take Haffley coach of the year at 40 to one? Mr. Harbaugh plus 800. Got a, a number of pieces of the pie there. The man in the box, I think you're going to take this awards market seriously, right? These are all my bets. Okay. But you don't think my bets are serious. No, they are. Okay. But it's just every one of them is a giant. I, well, I have, so I have multiple plays in some of these markets, but I wanted to share the one that I liked the most. And when I look it up, when I lay the tickets out on the table at night, these are the ones that I liked the most. Thanks for asking. Anything else you'd like to say about my, my picks?

1:16:14What, very giant's heavy ride. I can't, are you worried? What if like the giants aren't super bowl champs or don't quite get there? This is a lot of giant exposure. What if you're the angles that you laid out are wrong, then you'll be wrong? That's true. Come on. So I'm waiting to look at it. My guy, you're the negative energy with you this season. That I control. I got the, I got the eyes on the product. I can tell this is your nervous about Sean Manion. We just need Sean Manion. Yeah, this is a Sean Manion problem. All your negativity. I'm not negative at all. I was just highlighting the, highlighting the comical amount of giants plays you took in the awards market. That's an opinion. No, it's a fact. You took a very large amount of giants per your opinion. But this would be a, why, why do you not play giant 17 and L? Because if, if, oh, that's a little, that's a bit aggressive, Sean. But the same is no ghost.

1:17:15Well, if a team and 17, no, they would probably have the MVP, the defensive player of the year, the offensive player of the year, the defensive rookie of the year, the, the protector of the year and the coach of the year. We know that prices on those bets aren't very good. We got to stick to the plus EV stuff. What is your, what is your least favor? What's your, what, what giants award are you most concerned about? I'd say I'm a little bit probably, I think Jackson, Jackson Dart getting the MVP would be a pretty big step in year two. But the rest of them, it kind of seems like there's just really bad prices. I mean, obviously the Abdul Carter price was horrible. We've seen that already. The markets reacted. Malik neighbors market will react pretty quickly. So I think we have a combination of just terrible pricing. And then, you know, a little bit of optimism by me on the dart market. Okay. Good times. Those are our final 2026 NFL predictions.

1:18:18That's it, Ryan. We're done. 32 NFL team previews, eight division previews. Our final picks preview here. Just to be clear, you are taking the Eagles when the Super Bowl. Yeah. Yeah. Like they did to you. We're going to kill you. We're going to kill you. Tell they are. They're going to crush you. Hey, reminder. Tuesday night live on YouTube. Spinning a wheel. Giant wheel. We'll put it in like super, super slow boss. So just tick, tick, tick. This is spent. We'll kill everyone. Yes. Get in sportsgamingpakas.com. Sush phrase. Send in your entries. Get in. Let's beat last year. I know we can do it. So if someone said, Sean, I want you to choose what to put the $1,000 phrase that pays bets on. Oh, it'd be fun. What would it be? Eagle Super Bowl. Really? You would, you would do that to them. Yeah. Yeah. It's a great sweat. That's the best, that's the best thing you can bet on this year.

1:19:19I mean, I don't know if they would take a $1,000 divide to Smith, the offensive player of the year. Why wasn't it fun? They might. They took that. I mean, how much do we put on? We'll love us that year. That was almost a thousand. But you're right. Maybe they will take that. I think they'll take it. Is rule 11 is not a team yet? No, he's still, he's still available. So get in on the phrase that pays live drawing. And of course, the free rule football contest. Sportsgamingpakas.com. Sush free rule. Get in $3,000 winner take all $4,000 if your patreon members. Sportsgamingpakas.com. Sush free rule. Kramer. We got our Vs and show tomorrow night live from the circuit downtown Las Vegas seven o'clock Pacific. And then Ladi daddy's going to be on there. I'm sure we're going to be talking college football with Colby Dan, a K pick done D. Then we got that should be a very fun show YouTube TV as well.

1:20:21And then Sunday night bonus week one NFL DFS picks episode Monday night live. Work it on Labor Day for week two college football picks. And then Tuesday week one NFL picks. It's upon us Wednesday. We got the college props with CJ maybe even a bonus props episode with CJ. College props. What did I say? College props. No. Regga NFL props. CJ has sure would talk college. He's at his limit for college in a week. Yeah. Put him do it. Put him on a forever show. I don't know if you said that. They legit went four hours. Yeah. TC guys are getting crazy going after it. What are we doing? Check out our college football picks week one part one and part two. Part one. There's still the Friday games. If you're watching this live or part two, cover Saturday, Sunday and Monday. Lot of college football here for the Labor Day. We can appreciate everyone tuning in. Love hearing from you guys.

1:21:21Answer all your questions and comments over on Spotify. I hear you for participating in the sports game in Pakistan. Fall! The sports game in Pakistan. Sean's second in the money. Greeny's Ryan. No. Homer. Cramer. Let it ride. Fall is here. And the Home Depot has everything you need for an outdoor refresh. Start with quick gardening projects under $20. Like bright mums, planters and mulch that make your yard a standout. Power through leaf cleanup with the ReoV40Volt HP leaf blower from the Home Depot. Clear leaves from driveways, paddios and sidewalks with ease. So you can get back to enjoying the season. Whether it's a simple weekend DIY or a bigger backyard project, Labor Day savings help you do more for less at the Home Depot. If you like YouTube, you'll love YouTube Premium. Hi, I'm Sean Evans from Hot Ones.

1:22:23And I want to tell you about YouTube Premium. It has offline downloads, so you can watch without Wi-Fi. Background play. So you can lock your phone and it still plays, baby. Oh, and it is completely ad-free. Yes, I said it ad-free. Try YouTube Premium for two months free at youtube.com slash premium. Trial eligibility varies, terms apply, cancel anytime. What's more exciting than two NFL division rifles going head to head on Australia? It's knowing you can watch it live on Netflix. Netflix is expanding its NFL coverage this season and beyond. In addition to the Rams and the Niners kicking off week one, be sure to catch the first ever Thanksgiving Eve matchup and two Christmas Day games on Netflix. Watch week one of the NFL on Netflix, the Los Angeles Rams versus the San Francisco 49ers live on Netflix. Thursday September 10th at 8.35 PM Eastern, 5.35 PM Pacific. Fall is the perfect time to refresh and reorganize your space.

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