Gary Hui on shorting A2 Milk, why narratives lie & building deep research edge at Geometrica

In this Australian Investors Podcast episode, your host Mitchell Sneddon is joined by Gary Hui, portfolio manager at Geometrica Fund, a Sydney-based global long-short hedge fund. Gary doesn’t follow market narratives — he follows hard data. In this episode, Mitchell and Gary discuss: – Why narratives like founder-led businesses are often misleading – How Geometrica surveyed thousands of WeChat users & port data to short A2 Milk – Why ResMed’s fall was wrongly blamed on GLP-1s like Ozempic – The process of building a deep research edge using alternative data Topics Covered – Gary’s career journey: from JP Morgan to founding Geometrica – Why “good management” and “founder-led” are useless investing shortcuts – How Geometrica defines edge through logic, maths & raw data – Dissecting the A2 Milk short: port data, WeChat bots & channel stuffing – ResMed’s misunderstood GLP-1 narrative vs actual gross margin drivers – Building deep logic models and rejecting conventional wisdom – How the team finds asymmetric bets with massive skew – The role of volatility, balance sheet turnarounds & crowd psychology – Why some of the best shorts started as long ideas – How Gary views valuation as a proxy for popularity, not truth Episode Resources: Geometrica Fund case studies Ask a question (select the Investors podcast) Visit TermPlus to learn more Rask Resources All services Financial Planning Invest with us Access Show Notes Ask a question We love feedback! Follow us on social media: Instagram: @rask.invest TikTok: @rask.invest Instagram: @rask.invest TikTok: @rask.invest DISCLAIMER: This podcast contains general financial information only. That means the information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Because of that, you should consider if the information is appropriate to you and your needs, before acting on it. If you’re confused about what that means or what your needs are, you should always consult a licensed and trusted financial planner. Unfortunately, we cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information in this podcast, including any financial, taxation, and/or legal information. Remember, past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The Rask Group is NOT a qualified tax accountant, financial (tax) adviser, or financial adviser. Access The Rask Group's Financial Services Guide (FSG): Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices