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Hello and welcome to the Half Bat podcast of NRL Round 2

I'm your host Tim Williams and we're here to try and win you some more money

The punters some more money across NRL Round 2 this weekend

A full swag of games, the full eight coming out this weekend

Exciting times, here with us, try and find some winners as always

Known for his exploits on Boke Inhabar and the SC public NRL Super Edge podcast

Maddie the Waterboy Maddie

How are you mate?

I'm good finally we're here, eight games, I loved Vegas, I loved the games

But the other six games but there were still time slots missing like you know

Like I was home on Sunday and there was only one game

The Saturday 3pm game wasn't there so not very excited for the full eight games this weekend

Good to have them all back mate

I mean it's straight down to business this week

Winners to find things to do people to see on today's show

We will of course be dropping our Locke value and Hale Mary bets four NRL Round 2

The moral of the week betting it returns for 2026

As we try and learn land a certain thing

Each and every week with a view to donating the winnings back

To grass roots, rugby league back to bush 40

We're also going to draw our head tips for Round 2

But the weekly recap for Round 1 Maddie

Your Locke of the week

I got nervous for you in this one

The closer we got to the game on Sunday

Because it was monsoons predicted for the dolphins

In the rubbados and your Locke of the week because the dolphins vest the rubbos over 43 and half points at a dollar in 90 cents

And it got to game day the rain was around heavy rain everywhere

Did rain throughout the game not as bad as what was around pride of the game and after the game

And I messaged you and I said the rain was coming and you said that's all right

They'll still smash it

Mate 70 points scored you nearly doubled it your Locke of the week absolutely nailed

Yeah, it wasn't really in doubt at all during the game

At half time it was basically already done

I mean there was only like two tries to get and you're like yeah here we go

Yeah now very happy with that one two high scoring teams

Yeah, I think it was like the it's on the leaderboard for the highest

I guess combined score for a round one game

It's like the fifth highest ever or something

I think the highest is like 74

And then it's like equal third or equal fourth or something on 70 so

Yeah, that was a good one

Yeah, for you know if mate you two from two in the profits to start the season which is

Outstanding you're also

I want to say unlucky, but I

I probably can't with your value play because you tipped the upset and you went the pants is one to 12 at $3.60 which

I want to say I'm lucky because I'm like who expected panoreth to go out and wall up the Broncos in round one

Despite you tipping it and saying there'll be an upset

The reality is actually won by 26 points

So probably not unlucky, but nonetheless. I thought it was a good tip for no result. You hate or marry it went no good

Nonetheless as I said two from two problems to start the season for yourself

For me might I mean talk about hard luck stories get the little violin's out get them playing for us

Oh, I found some yeah, I found some winners, but uh and some try scores. I should say I definitely did not find some winners

I just couldn't piece them all together

Cell when cobblers my lock of the week at two dollars and ten cents

70 points scored him that game and cobblers couldn't cross the line taking the you know what

This is where it gets a little bit sad for anyone who followed me into round one

The trail Mitchell into Sam's stone street at four dollars and thirty six trelley mid he got a double

Sam's don't you know what often is how I'm airy

Herbie farm worth try into Tolotale Cola try into kale euro

No try at $13.30

The sharky's maddie put freaking 50 points on the Titans again for the most rookie edge in the NRL just about that edge

I don't even want to say hard luck story really because they didn't look like freaking screwing there's one moment there

Uh a pretty late only in the game an hero got isolated on lucky ilias on one of the steaming lines he runs from center

Two majors in the line and ilias just somehow to a bang hit him stuck took him down

I just went it's not meant to be

So duck eggs from me

Maddie that has put you into the lead with a plus 25% return on investment for the season. I'm in seven percent

How does it fail to for the first time in his shoe path that called podcast for yourself having been on for a few weeks now

You've taken the lead well done. I just I needed a couple early wins because you know when you start on a show like this

You can't start poorly so it's it's good to have started um

Not far so i haven't like jumped out of the blocks, but started

I mean i've started really well, which is good

I just want to go back to the shark thing though

If you told me if like a magic genie or something told me before the game that sharks are scored 50 points

I'm given two tries minimum to stone street and i'm probably given two but dumb death will give him one at euro as well

Yeah, yeah, that's a that's a tough L

Honestly jessie rain in scored three tries in like 21 games or something last year

You know like couldn't stop scoring tries or stone street if that matter when he was playing

ram in scored two on the other edge set one up. I'm like guy has go to the left for god's sake

Pretty sure you read out some tight. Yeah

Pretty sure euro last year you scored that in like 10 games in a row or something

Yeah, he had like 11 tries in 10 games or something

Because if he's not going to score against the titans well

Guess what he didn't so

Anyway a good start for you matter

We asked to both in the green to start the I'd love to have a good little winner again this week and really boost that up to get

comfortably in the green to take a bit of nerves out of it

And we were both pretty as Sam Williams would say bullish going into our plays this weekend

So we get to those shortly um guys. We are on the hunt for a bookmaking partner at sc playbook in

2026 so if you're in the business whether you're large or small

Please do reach out via email at supercoachplaybook at gmail.com that is supercoach the full word if you're interested

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Round two bats time Matty 65% of our back goes to our lock 25% to our value 10% to our hail Mary

I believe you two from two on locks to start the season what have you got to kick off round two?

Yep, I'm hoping to be three from three and my two my two have both been overs

I'm going to get to the overs a bit later, but not for my lock this week

I'm venturing out a tiny bit

So penrith first canala. I know the sharks had a really really good win on the weekend

But you know, I think people have to kind of pump the brakes a little bit because

It's a brand new Titans team and it's the Titans

Whereas penrith, you know, they were absolutely dominant against the Brisbane Broncos

And I've said it. I think I've said it in every show so far. They see they're my absolute premiership favorites

I've got penrith being the sharks, but obviously they're head to head there's a dollar 40

The eight and a half line kind of did scare me off a bit because I'm just I'm unsure

But I went back I went back and had a look at

Penrith and sharks record, you know, this decade pretty much since

Penrith started becoming dominant and like in no shock to anyone penrith have pretty much dominated every team

since 2020 but

Like they have just had the wood over the sharks. They can the sharks cannot get closer them the closest the sharks have got to beating penrith

In I guess the 2020s decade was in 2021 when they did beat them

But like that was an origin week when clear you lie yo, I think Kate well was missing

So the Valley beat them once they got close issue in Vegas

But again, we all know how penrith started last year

So it actually has an age to well for the sharks that's close six point loss

So again, I didn't want to go ahead to head so I found a tiny spit of value here

I've got penrith to win both halves

Paying two doors 30 so there's no number on it. It's just to win the first half and then to win the second half

They've just they've been so dominant over the sharks and I just I don't see that changing anytime soon

Very interesting play. I did not see that one coming at all

I even for it like pardon me, you'll sit there when you start talking about it going or you know

Sharks ultra impressive, you know with the start or something but yeah to do that

That is very confident. I mean talking about their record. I remember going to shark park a couple of years ago

The sharks were in his red hot vein of form penrith were struggling for a little bit of a period and everyone's saying oh

He's the shark his chance to beat them and we're there and I think penrith pumped on like 30 nil something stupid

Nico did his car for around about half time and missed the second half and you just sat there going like they're just so much better

So there you go. I have stayed away from that game

Wouldn't touch with the 50 foot pole punting wise but Maddie is the man with the hot hand at the moment

So up the riff for myself. I have gone

Similar to last week and I've gone to the left edge of the dolphins again

I've gone herbivhan worth any time try scorer getting a dollar 95 against him to score against the Titans

Which seems like a crazy price for me for a bloke who's got 11 tries in these last 13 games of the year

He did start the season this year with the try against the bunnies admittedly it was a bit of a lucky one that came about there

The shark is they attacked that Titans left edge with a ton of success last week

But the rookie ride edge I've mentioned it last week, but I'm doubling down ilius how jojo for feeder fire money

I still think it's a bit of a shambles and I think it could be a blood bath. I think

Like to your point last week. I think it's going to be dry in Queensland in sunk at Suncourt for this one

There's going to be a ton of tries cobo. It's good to score about six

But there wasn't quite enough value for me to go around Selwyn cobo

But yeah, I said again last week 56% of tries the dolphin scored down that left edge last year compared to just 26 down the right

So going in on the dolphins left edge again this week if he doesn't get over herbivore me

And if they don't look that good, I'll sack him for a while, but I'm going back to the well

I'm going herbivodal at 95

Maddie your value play of the week or if you found

So first of all I I love that herbivore play. I think that's I think those odds are crazy

My value played the week. So I've had a lot of luck with the overs and unders in the past two weeks

So I I'd be silly not to keep going with that, but I'm going to I'm going to try and

Kind of I don't know I don't know what the word is, but I'm going to branch out a little bit here

And I'm going to actually multi-tool together. I've found two games where I think the the overs are going to be

definitely in play

the first one is russus souse now

I that might surprise some people and actually in historically the the that game's actually been unders

But this is the first time at a long time that they're playing full strength each other

and

Unfortunately for both teams there are defensive

question marks

Littered in both teams like listen like we don't like obviously souse had a good win last week

They still conceded 30 points like that 30 back they shouldn't be conceding 30 points and the

The russus like jesus they're

Right defensive edge with cherry ovens last week. I know they have made some position change

I think wongs coming in. I know Robert toys coming back, but still like there is so many defensive question marks

In that russus right edge

But not only that both of these teams have attacking weapons everywhere

Obviously that souse left edge, you know no more needs to be said

Cody Walker for feeder trail

AJ AJ going off for that record, but also Campbell Graham

I think he's got a double last week. I think I've picked him to be souse top try scorer

So there's points every on the field for them the russus

um

You know that a poor game last week, but you know they they have a lot of points in that outfit

I actually think this is going to be a high scoring game over 40 under half into

Uh tigers cowboys like I'd over

Started out afternoon. It's 49.5 as well, which I think it's craziness

um

I think that the cowboys are

I don't have a lot of hope for the cowboys this year as I've said before, but I do think they are

Not their attack was pouring Vegas, but I think they'll fix that

The tigers they i say a lot of attacking upside with the tigers as well

I see a high scoring game in that one as well

So I'm gonna multi those two together for three dollar sixty

Uh both of them over 49.5

Yeah, very nice. It is very it's an issue one isn't Maddie that like we saw the amount of points scored in round one

across the competition

One of the last scored was the doggie's dragons game in Vegas like whatever

But the games are back on Aussie soil so many points scored and there are so many

You know six again

Interpretations and the way they're being given this season as well and I think it's pvl doubled down on that a little bit already saying

There's gonna be more of them if the ill discipline is there etc

So it could be one of their minds by around five when the points continue to fuss through and it's just overs overs overs

And you need to beat the bookies to the punching terms of your capitalizing before they are juggling

Their total points line so

Fingers crossed. Yeah, and that's and that's kind of why I'm kind of still get hit these overs ones because yeah

As you said round one

I think it was the second highest round one ever agree at school of all time

Which is just crazy it you're right. It's shade to that 2021 year as for chasing the bookies

I did look at all the games

So I wanted to see the two best and for example titans versus dolphins

That's at 56 and a half that's a bit too much for me even though I do think it will probably

I wouldn't back it but I do think it will go above that

Yeah, I think you're right. I think by around five and six we're going to see these numbers bump up a little bit

When I was looking for my plays my my lock the first one I went to to have a look forwards the line

I had the oversunders for that dolphins titan samson can be so many points and 56 on with you. I was just like

Oh, it's probably just a little bit too many no

I think they're going to smash it anyway, but I was like okay to a little bit too high but yeah

Hopefully beating the bookies to the punch stand mate my value play over the way he's one that'll get you up and about pretty well

I think and I've gone to my boy Cody Walker. You can get him anytime try score up five

Dollars looking around the market. It smells pretty generous odds. I thought for Cody Walker

I think I might have been on Ned's that one the five buck quote

As you said, Maddie the south's attack last week was absolutely elite. They looked unreal

I'm a little surprised. They're not favorites for this game nonetheless big Darby rooster's home game roosters were woeful last week

Toyota in there will you know

pardon me tightens things up defensively a fair bit, but

There's going to be points in this one as you said

And Cody for 30 for a 36-year-old or whatever it is mate. He's running game. Which is good as ever

He was popping up everywhere in that game looked outstanding in the trials scored a good solo

Try as well in the trial against Mamie

There was a hair on his heel. I think it might have been might be in a big toe from scoring a try on the way Kenny

Into the dolphins. He's got the support play to his game

So $5 for Cody Walker. I think that's unreal value and it'll be fired up against the roosters as well in that Darby

Mate, what have you got for your hail mayor with the weight 10% of your play?

Yeah, so my hail mayor this week is also coming from that game

I actually I narrowed it down to two options, but I thought I would go just a little bit safer

David for feeder now I hit in school last week

But he

Obviously is a huge asset to this rabbit os team. They're going to go left all day

But don't forget he backflip on the roosters there. There is still that storyline there

And I remember when he came back last year

For the Titans the Titans smoked him and for feeder had a good game and the roosters

They were like too emotionally invested in and this roosters team like

Trent Robinson being such a calm headed coach

They lose the plot way too often like we saw that symbin game where sourced like that symbin game in 2020

So I know it was four years ago

But like the best player on the field was Cody Walker

They had four triceps that day because he's the only one that didn't lose his head

And he's the one to think would lose his head. I think the roosters

I think the roosters um kind of losing the plot goes unnoticed a little bit

I think they'll be trying to get for feeder but I think for feeder we're trying to get back to them and

Him and score a double is paying 13 bucks. So I'm all over that

Yeah, also running at Cherry Evans. Yeah, as you said sort of mentioned around that edge in the yes

That's how poor they were last week. It's it's a good match up because chairs defensively

Not the best. He's decent in contact. I will say

But some of his reads in the pressure he puts on his outside blocs very questionable at times

So fee fee to cross the stripe there for myself

I've gone to the eels and broncos game now. I will say that

As a straight head tip

I think the broncos is the play and the quote is very short

And that's why I've sort of gone in the opposite direction

I've gone the eels to win this one to 12

Into Isaiah on you to score and reach wild to score that is 27 dollars and 73 cents

So huge value there. I'll be home and host if that gets up in round two

I just I'm looking at that market and you can get four dollars plus for the eels to win it the broncos

They look a bit valuable. They've been terrible in the first two games of the year

Whether that's complacency whether that's a few cobwebs from last year and their premiership hangover

Whatever you call it. I don't know but they have not looked good at all to me

Paramount it would dreadfully and for storm then not a bad football team

We saw how good they were in the back end of last year. They actually beat the broncos at Suncourt 22

20 in July. I think it was so I think we wake up call for him down in Melbourne

I think Riles gets a response and I think he's going to be a much tighter game than the market is certainly suggesting

Reese Walsh is also $1.85 any time try scorer which

It was very close to being my lover for the week as well

Eongi in that loss last week. He was really impressive

Despite that's well at times despite the score and so Eongi

Walsh and the eels to win one to 12 at 27 dollars and 73

Cent I think the eels are a big chance this week. I think the eels are big chance. Yeah, I really do like

I can't believe I can't believe the the market because you know broncos won the comp last year

But they were dreadful and I think honestly, I know the eels end up give it up

Which was which is horrendous in the second half but the

Harry Grant and just manipulating the rock and all the six against they got they were just they were just out on their feet

They did it. They will not show up like that this week. There is absolutely no way

Yeah, I'm with you mate. I think they are looking for big performance

All right

The moral of the week is back the part of the show we try and raise some cash for country rugber league

Each week one of us tries to find what we think is a certainty to win

If it does so we roll the winnings from that back into the following week

The aim is to get to $1,000 which will then be donated to a bush footy club back to grass roots growth

That's what we're trying to do here on the half fat podcast as well

Of course as trying to find some winners for the punters

This week I have gone to

In no shock to anyone selling Cobb over $1.60. He could score six tries this week

I'm also going to double down on my season long top try score about you get a bit extra value because he didn't score last week

As well on top of that one

So sell one Cobb over $1.60 any time try scorer

Hope you that can love and then put a bit of pressure on Maddie to follow it up next week with money in the bank

All right, Maddie head to head tips for round two and whilst my punting tips did not go terrific

I did tip six from six in this on the show last week and there was some ups sets in there

So if you followed me into that I'm glad I did something right and got some winners

I just wish it impacted my ROI which it does not unfortunately Maddie the Broncos and the eels we both said we like paramount at the value there

But the Broncos $1.25 the eels for dollars the line there is 12 and a half who do you like?

Just as a tip for head to head I'm I'm just going to go the Broncos but everything else like I love the line

I love the value play

But if I'm having a head to head tip I'm going blocks

I'm with you mate the value with the eels but head to head I'm going the Broncos

Friday over in Auckland the Warriors and the Raiders this is going to be a cracker both teams started well last week

Warriors a dollar 80 on favorites at home against the Raiders at two dollars and four cents

If you got here

I'm having the most trouble with this game out of any game. I can't pick a winner

I can't pick a shy scorer. I can't pick it over zunders. I don't know what's going to happen in this game

I'm going to tip the Raiders just because it's a fragled. They were last year

But if I'm going off last week's form you should probably go the Warriors plus her at home

It's so it's hard. It's a hard game, but I'm going to go the Raiders

Yeah again from a punting perspective. I did not go anywhere near when I was looking at my plays

I'm going to go the Raiders in a tight one, but honestly to be of a coin to a situation despite only when you're in golden point

It's mainly who you know not many expectations for them this year

I thought that really good last week the Raiders so I think that takes a lot from that

I'm going to go the Raiders in a very very tight one perhaps another golden point

Mate the roosters end the rabbit. As you'll be out at this one the roosters are a dollar eighty three the rabbit is two dollars and one cent

I think that he's possibly a bit harsh on the rabbit. Oh is then again

We do I think expect to bounce back from the roosters

Who do you like?

I will never tip the roosters to feed south. I don't know. I don't care. I'm biased or biased. I am for anything

That will never happen, but I do genuinely south. I do generally think we'll win and also with these games you can

South roosters any game any time any place you throw the form away at the window. It's um

Yeah, it's it's

It's one of those it's just a grudge game, but yeah, I'm gone south

Yeah, a little bit clunky last week the roosters obviously a new

Spine there Sammy Walker and Daly Cherry Evans but I you L.U. played a bit last year

But yeah, just look a little bit clunky for me and the rabbit. It's just to most boxes aside from when we did fence there

Of course, but I like the rabbit. Oh's in that one let's hope Matty does not cop a five and a half thousand dollar fine

For storm in the field when AJ scores and double breaks the try scoom record

Saturday 3 p.m. The Tigers their first game of the season against the Cowboys looking to bounce back from Vegas

Tigers $1.54 cows at 249. Who do you like here?

Yeah, Tigers afternoon like heart. Don't really rate the Cowboys. Pretty easy one for me Tigers

boom me too West Tigers

Dragon's and storm five 30 this one is down at the lovely winstead in the drags $0.16 storm $1.38

The line is eight and a half. What do you like here?

Yeah, I'm so tempted to pick the dragons if this if storm weren't so impressive last week like so impressive

I'm just I just have to tip storm but in the same fictional last year I'm pretty sure it was around three maybe

The dragons beat him down here. It was torrential rain

Dragons just they're good at the start of the year, but um, I'm just gonna fall for it again. I'm gonna go storm

I think it was a Cogra and it was like eight or something stupid. Yeah, and it bucketed down rain or so wet and

I'm with you. I think like just Melbourne was just so good last week that you kind of go oh

Probably have to go them. I'm going to tip them head to head

Yeah, I do like the drains with the eight and a half start from the punty perspective though

I think they will bounce back and they won't too bad over in Vegas either

So I drove with the line be ahead to head. I'm gonna go to the storm make the penny panthers any sharks

Panthers dollar 38 sharks three dollars seven you've already spoken about this one in your place

So you're all in on the panthers. Yeah, I will tip the panthers head to head for short

With a seven and a half start they're punting lives. I don't mind the sharkies

With a big start

Despite you probably don't take too much from the Titans last week with the sharkies

They couldn't have done anymore for what it's worth. That Sunday afternoon

Manly and a new castle at Brookie oval manly dollar 58 new castle two dollars 39 whoever you're here

All day, I've been thinking nights and that's what I was thinking throughout my beds

And then I just remembered that sharks not playing and that's changed everything for me. So just push sharps out

I'm pretty happy with manly at Brookie

Yeah, look, I wasn't convinced about the nights coming into the season and beating the cowboys in Vegas as good as they did

Look, I must admit

Doesn't change much for me as you said Maddie especially the fledger sharp out of this game

So manly we got against the Raiders last week most importantly Tommy turbo who I really wanted to factor into my plays

You can get pretty good value for him anytime try score this week. I've got about

There's about a dollar eight. You're a dollar 90 sort of thing which I like

I'm gonna go manly. I think they win this game despite the loss of C.O. C. I take you oh

Mate Sunday evening 16 p.m. The dolphins and the Titans dolphins dollar 40 times two dollars 97 the line eight and a half

Who do you like this would be a fun watch

Hopefully it's high scoring, but yeah

I'm gonna I'm gonna go the dolphins there just too much attack too many tacky weapons in that team

Yeah, I mean if you same game molting this weekend

And you want to find the game with points to flow

Suncorp Sunday evening

This one. I think the dolphins will probably smash them

Cash in hopefully on the left edge and herbie farm where

Dolphin to me and they'll cover the line comfortably

Maddie that'll do us for the half back podcast for round two

Thank you mate as always good luck out there on Friday against your mortal enemies the roosters

And good luck going through from three on new locks

Thank you very much. Good luck to you too

Cheers guys. Thanks for training in good luck this weekend

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