How a Macro Trader Actually Reads Markets

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EPISODE

In this episode, Alfie Kerswell shares his first principles approach to macro trading, focusing on growth, inflation, liquidity, and cross-asset correlations. Discover how to analyze market drivers and identify mispricings to gain an edge in trading.

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CHAPTERS

00:00 Intro

01:40 Understanding Market Dynamics: Growth, Inflation, and Liquidity

04:28 Building a Framework: First Principles in Market Analysis

09:00 Data-Driven Insights: Assessing Growth and Inflation

14:46 Liquidity's Role: Connecting Economic Data to Asset Markets

19:51 Navigating Real Rates: The Key to Understanding Liquidity

21:54 FX Markets: The Complexity of Currency Dynamics

23:49 Currency Dynamics and Equity Markets

28:57 Daily Market Analysis and Cross-Asset Correlations

35:22 Identifying Marginal Drivers of Asset Prices

43:39 Finding Alpha in Mispriced Assets

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