IRAN MORE THAN READY FOR GROUND WAR /Lt Col Daniel Davis

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All evidence shows that the Americans thought that and the Israelis

that this war would be quick and easy.

That we would go in with a shock and all type of operation,

and that that would decapitate the Iranian leadership,

and that they would submit, and give in to whatever the United States wanted.

That was Plan A. Plan A didn't work.

And now that it looks like we're scrambling for a Plan B,

they're looking to do something on the ground.

A lot of people are talking about this today, President Trump,

is leading that discussion where he's calling on the Kurds to help out.

For anybody who may not know the Kurdish,

that's actually a people group that is spread around Turkey, Iran, and Kuwait.

I'm sorry, in Iraq, especially, there's a number of others in Iran.

They kind of, they crossed over a number of different borders,

and it's a people group that lives there, and it's divided up.

I think that was part of the Pico Sikes thing after World War I that split them up into all different pieces.

And so he's trying to get them to go in to fight for us in Iran.

Now, just a real brief thing on the Kurds, we went in to help the Kurds under the Obama administration

when the ISIS took over, and took over some territory inside of Syria,

and some territory inside of Iraq, especially around Mosul in Iraq.

And we went in there and said, hey, we're going to help you take that back,

and the United States provided basically air power for them to be on the ground.

And over a period of time, and this bled over from the Obama administration

to the Trump administration, he went in there and gave the orders until we finally,

I believe it was in March of 2019, after he took over in January of 2017,

finally had that done.

So about two years, it took to finally succeed, and then they took this territory back

using the Kurds' ground force and our air force.

Now, it looks like Trump goes, hey, that worked so well then, let's do it again.

But man, listen, you've got to understand that the enormity of this task

is just off the scale.

One of the reasons which I said at the time, and I just said this a lot on American television,

wrote about it a lot, and I said that ISIS was always a dead man walking.

They never had a chance. They weren't a state, even though we called them the Islamic state,

it was always a misnomer, because they were just a Ragtag group that didn't even know they were going to have,

they was in an insurgent group basically, a rebel group within,

it was kind of, again, crossed the borders between Syria and Iraq,

and back when they captured Mosul, that was where everything started,

they intended it to be about a 1,000 person raid into the city of Mosul,

where there was, I think, two divisions of Iraqi military in there.

So they thought they were just going to have a demonstration and leave,

but then the Iraqi army at that time was so bad and so poorly led that they actually melted away and fled,

and then the ISIS unexpectedly took over, and then that just kind of spawned the whole spurge,

and then it spurged people joining them, and then they ended up spreading out

and getting a lot of territory, both Iraq and Syria.

Obama went back in and said, he was terrified of that, because Baghdad was asking for help,

and he says, okay, we're going to help you, so we started putting a number of advisors,

whatever, and that ended up being thousands of Americans, and then we ended up physically helping them retake the territory.

I always said, don't do that, that's Baghdad's problem, they're the ones that caused this problem

because of what their policies were against the Sunni Muslims inside their country,

which is what fostered the rise of ISIS, so it was their own fault that it started,

and their own fault that their army disintegrated because they were so poorly led,

and there's so much corruption, and so many political appointees at high military positions,

which needed confidence, which they didn't have.

You started this mess, you got it, you clean it up.

It doesn't affect us, it doesn't threaten anybody else, it definitely doesn't threaten us,

so Obama should not have gone in there, but he panicked because he didn't want to make it look bad

because the claim that the Republicans were making at the time was this is all Obama's fault.

He withdrew the Americans in 2011, and that led to the rise of ISIS they claimed,

and so he gave into the pressure and sent them back in there.

It was never true, and if he had just been smart and said no, we're not going to do this,

good luck to you, we'll give you an intelligence or whatever you want, some supplies,

but you could take care of it.

Instead he didn't, he went in there and now locked us in, and then Trump just doubled down on it when he came into office.

But ISIS was a dead man walking because they never had, they was a band, a group of bandits basically,

and then they ended up, they just had this windfall of territory that they captured

because of the incompetence of the local people, but all they didn't have,

the resources of a state.

So as soon as the Iraqi forces got their wits back about them, and the same with Syria in there

because it was same up there in the areas that they took, they eventually, well, actually the Syrians would have,

but they didn't because we did it for them by sending in the Syrian Democratic forces into Syria

and then with the Kurdish-Peshmerga in Iraq.

And so we basically provided air power for them on the boots on the ground.

If you're going against a non-state actor, they don't have the resources of a state so they can't maintain anything.

So it took still two years, but they finally got it done.

This is radically different than that.

So now then you have an actual state, not just somebody who's occupying a couple of cities in a couple of different countries,

but the owner of the country and they have a full size military to go with it.

They have an industrial capacity.

They have, you know, an economy, they got a state.

And so all the things that go along with 90 million people, not whatever it was that the ISIS had,

20, 30,000 people, I think at the height of it.

So it was a relatively small militia, is what it was, untrained people that had raffles and stuff.

And in a few rocket launchers, whatever IEDs that they could make and all that kind of stuff.

Iran has a military.

They have an army, they have the IRGC, they have the police forces,

they have plenty of folks that are willing to defend their country.

You're going into an actual country.

You cannot take a handful.

Gary, if you could put that headline back up there, let's highlight something that's important there.

You said hundreds of Kurdish fighters have allegedly been sent into Iran.

Allegedly, this has already happened.

I think this is from yesterday.

Yeah, this is from the Jerusalem Post.

He's been updated today.

But I think it was first but yesterday, hundreds of Kurdish fighters launch ground defensive in Iran.

Really dramatic headline.

And most people think, wow, so this is really getting bad for Iran.

Because now then there's this, okay, hundreds, are you kidding me?

Hundreds.

Now this, and Gary was showing something during our earlier shows.

I don't know if you still have a Gary, where it showed some of the Kurdish fighters.

And they're basically guys, individuals, the infantrymen, if you will,

where military uniform, that's it.

And they're walking around.

But it's just a few people.

You realize that Iran has a military.

They have drones.

They have artillery.

They have armored vehicles.

These guys would stand no chance against that.

And then you have the issue of the terrain.

And I keep showing you that several times.

I'm going to get to it in here in a minute.

But it's like the worst parts of Afghanistan all on that border region.

Are you going to like attack over a mountain range?

So where are you going to go?

If you make an offensive into Iran, where are you going to go?

As a matter of fact, let me, let me just show you where this is.

Probably where this is coming from.

I don't know the exact location.

But this is the area up here.

This is Erbil.

This is kind of the central area to hook.

This area right here is where the main the Kurds in Iraq live.

This is the border between Iraq and Iran.

So if they've started an invasion into Iraq or into Iran, just understand.

You're talking about in this area right here, just this little tiny area here.

And now let me zoom in on that and look at the terrain.

This is what's on the other side of the border folks.

Look at that.

Look at all that.

Let me 3D it.

So here's the here's the border line.

And where are you going to go when you get on the other side?

You're going to attack all of them.

You get into some open fields.

That means artillery can just mow you down.

Drones can mow you down.

Helicopters can just just obliterate you.

You can't bring even if they had them.

You can't bring tanks across this.

See here's the border line again.

And here's this other area.

And then you have these mountains and these are incredible defensive.

This would be defensive positions that all the Iranians would have to do is just man these.

And they would just be a slaughter.

It would be an absolute slaughter if they came across there.

So where what is your plan there to doing this?

And I that's the part that's the big problem that I have.

There's no plan.

Nobody knows what they're doing here.

So the question I've got is what is it?

What does it matter if you have hundreds of troops that are going in there?

Now there's conflicting reports some are saying that the the Kurds have said no we're not going to yeah that's that one I was talking about earlier.

Thanks Gary.

You can see yeah that they look really brave and stuff.

It's a cool picture.

But guys just wearing body armor and and the magazines on their chest.

I mean it looks cool in a picture, but you can't invade a country with that.

I mean look we had 300,000 to invade Iraq.

And you know if you look at the train of Iraq, it's number one.

It's one fourth of the size of Iran and it had a lot of open area where you can wait.

I know I did it in 1991.

I went through that a lot a lot of the part of southern Iraq.

I went through the Saudi deserts in the quaint where they were fighting the time.

And you can drive just indefinitely in there.

There's no roads, there's no inhibitions, etc.

And then once we did in 2003, you know, there was we rolled all the way up from the from the border of Kuwait.

Then all the way up into Baghdad and there's a pretty good strefter where it's easy to go.

The terrain is easy to navigate.

None of that is the case here.

There aren't 300,000.

And these guys have ski masks instead of helmets, huh?

Yeah, that's that's I mean that's cool for pictures.

Then do a lot for bullets.

So or for shrapnel or any of the other things why you need a helmet.

So that's that's the issue there.

So now I say all that as a set up here to see that if you're on the Iranian side,

you would almost say, please do send a ground invasion so that I can slaughter them and show how limited your power is.

Well, as it turns out, that's exactly what we saw today.

Here was this interview with the foreign minister of Iraq, who's going to be asked.

And he's I think that the interviewer and watch his facial reaction, by the way,

he's going to ask him, are you ready for an invasion from the United States?

Now, I think he's expecting to see fear or trepidation on his face and watch what happens.

Boots on the ground in Iran.

Are you afraid of a US invasion in your country?

No, we have a team for them.

You are waiting for the US military to invade the ground troops?

Yes, because we are confident that we can confront them.

And that would be a big disaster for them.

So you're saying that Iran is ready and willing to take on the US military if there were to be ground troops?

Well, we were ready for this war even more than the previous war.

So you can see the quality of our resize, how much they are upgraded after the last war,

because we learned lots of lessons.

And we are prepared for any other eventuality, even a ground invasion.

So our soldiers are prepared for any scenario.

You see there, all the advantages would go to the Iranian side.

They have all the terrain advantages that would go to it.

And look, and we've seen this recently, when the Ukrainian side attacked the Russian positions inside Ukraine in the 2023 offensive,

Russia had spent months preparing defensive positions.

So they were ready.

And then when the Ukrainian military came in, they went into these prepared defenses where the defensive side had all the advantages and they were slaughtered.

And then now that when it was reversed, the Ukrainian side had been spending in some cases years, many years,

building up defensive positions.

And ever since that 2023 offensive stalled and the Russians went on the offensive, it has gone very slow.

And people mocked the Russian side for how slow that they've gone.

Now, as I say, it is slow, but they are still going forward, but it is slow because the Ukrainian side in the defensive has the advantages.

It would be even a bigger disparity here because of the mountains.

The Iranian side would have a tremendous advantage because that gives them protection from firepower, give some places to dig into,

and makes it incredibly difficult to come out.

Look back at what happened in the Battle of Casino in the World War II in Italy.

And I have done extensive battle study of that.

I went in and walked the terrain, and a lot of the mountains are very similar to what you see in Iran here.

And it was incredibly bloody for a full-blown, an Allied army.

I mean, the United States, the British, the Australians, I think there was some Indians.

There was a lot of different countries, hundreds of thousands of men that were moving up the peninsula at great cost that was defended by initially the Italians and the Germans.

But because of the terrain, et cetera, it was incredibly costly to go through that.

So if you're Iraqi, if you're the leadership of the Iranians, you're like, dude, are you serious?

You would actually invade into that, bring it on, because that will make it easier for us to kill you.

So our cashews would be through the roof, and there would be virtually no chance to win.

Unfortunately, it doesn't look like anybody paid any attention to World War II or to the Russia Ukraine war because in the White House, we had Caroline Levitt yesterday,

was asked about this, and she seemed kind of confident in herself.

I'm not part of the plan for this operation at this time, but I certainly will never take away military options on behalf of the President of the United States or the Commander-in-Chief, and he wisely does not do the same for himself.

I know there's many leaders in the past who like to take options off of the table without having a full understanding of how things could develop.

So again, it's not part of the current plan, but I'm not going to remove an option for the President. That is on the table.

For somebody with four combat deployments, that is hard for me to watch, because with this mocking tone, she says anybody who doesn't understand things would take an option off the table, but we're not going to do that, and the opposite is true.

Anybody with an understanding would immediately take that off the table.

If I were thrust into the White House right now, and through a stroke of the pen or an active God, they said, by the way, your President of the United States, can you please get up to the street to Washington DC, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, if you don't know the address, you could take an Uber, whatever.

You're the President, can you make the call? I would not even consider such an ill-fated idea, because for the reasons I just pointed out to you, it simply can't be done in a cost-effective way.

You would have to have an army of 750,000, a million, maybe, to try and take that on, and even then you wouldn't be guaranteed of success, because there's every reason to think that the Iranian people, the more you push them, the more firm that they get behind their government, and the more solid and stoic they get in the fight.

They've done it before. There's history on this, too, with the Iran Iraq War.

Starting in the 1980, it went bad for the Iranian side for months before they finally got their bearings, and then they were able to reestablish the border at great cost, hundreds of thousands of people they lost.

I think I've seen some estimates that said there was over a million Iranians that were killed. It's a process of all this stuff.

Of course, the war lasted almost 10 years. I think it was nine years. Until I'm the 80, 89, I think is how far that went.

It was terrible. They never buckled. They never buckled, and they continued to pay the price. There's every reason to think they would do that again.

So unless we're willing to sacrifice hundreds of thousands of troops and may not succeed either, because that terrain is so bad.

By the way, I've been on some of those battlefields. When I was on active duty, I went to Iraq in 2009 to train an Iraqi border battalion, and it happened to be on the Iraq Iran border, and it was on where one of the battles had actually been fought.

I still saw it. Even that day, when I went in 2009, you could still see all kinds of shrapnel from all the artillery rounds that went through there.

So they said it was a tremendous bloody affair, and there was lots of landmines that were still trying to get them out, even all these years later.

But that shows you, and you can see terrain wise, how hard that would be, and there's no reason to do it. Why would we even want to? Why is that on the table at all?

Well, now some, some generals and some other people are aware of some of the problems, but then they want to try and find like so many things here, folks.

We keep looking for an easy way out. What this tells you, by the way, what Caroline Levitt's admission there, and I'm sure she doesn't realize this, but they're admitting that we had no plan V.

Our plan was to see the Iranian regime collapse because they were a house of cards, which we convinced ourselves was true and apparently believed it.

And so when we assassinated the IOTO, right away, and had all these bombs going on in this air superiority, we thought, well, they'll just give up, but they didn't.

And so now then we're left going, what now? Because Secretary Hegseth and the Chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff Cain have given these enormous and expansive military objectives that we have to accomplish to be successful, but we don't have the resources to accomplish it.

It can't be done at a cost effective way. It probably can't be done at all, but there's with the resources we have, it's not going to be done. If they don't collapse, there's no plan B.

So now they're trying to find a plan B. Well, General Keith Kellogg says, okay, well, in this clip you're going to see here, he, first of all, acknowledges how big Iran is and says, you know, people may not understand, but I sure do.

For a second, I was fooled into thinking, well, maybe he's going to say something here that's going to acknowledge that this is not something we should do. And steady tries to find an offer emphasis.

Here's an easier way we can do this. Let's try this.

You know, Iran's a huge country. People don't realize how big it is. I do. When you take Iran, it's as big as Spain, France, the United Kingdom and Germany combined.

And when I was in the military, we obviously had war plans. One of them was Iran, and we know how hard it would be if you look at geography.

What I would hope they would do would would really go take Carg Island. Carg Island is in northern Persian Gulf. It is in Ireland. It's offshore by 18 miles.

And if you take that out that island, that's 80% and 90% of the petroleum usage that the Iranians have. You basically shut them off economically.

They cannot support China. They cannot support Russia as well. And sooner or later, the other side is going to realize this is just a bad news thing.

So he's looking for an easy answer. He goes, I know. We'll just take Carg Island. And then that'll just take care of 89% of there. Basically, we can we can choke them off economically.

It goes back to what we wanted to do to Russia. We'll we'll put all these sanctions on them and we'll we'll connect their economy collapse. And then they'll fall apart and then we can win.

So of course, that would take hitting even talk about that. But even if his his operation there was successful, it would take probably months, months of time because they're they have continued to reinforce their capacities.

They could store and stuff up underground and certainly in other places to them. I mean, they can go along, along with many, many, many months.

Even if you took all that out, but let's take a look at what it that even means because the question is, you probably don't know where Carg Island is.

I didn't either until I had a map. So let's look at this. So this is the the Strait of Hormuz. We keep talking about here. And that's where a lot of the focus is.

This is the the Gulf of Oman and our ships are somewhere off here out in a safe distance. Well, to get to Carg Island, we would have to go through the Gulf of Oman. We would have to send ships with the troops and other invasion forces through the the Hormuz come all the way at the Persian Gulf.

And then you can look in here and here is Carg Island. We call it Carg on this map here. And so you see that sits at the mouth of this. So that says, yeah, so these these basically these naval bases that they have in the ports that the Iranian side has to where they would get their fuel in and out and where they would get their oil in and out and have their economic prosperity go and through their path to make money.

So the idea is if you have this, then you've choked it off. And now that if you control here, then you control all the ships and poof just like that you cut off all their oil. That means Russia get their old cut off. That means China gets its oil shut off.

Okay, how are you going to get there, man? Did you think about that? The fact that it's right off the shore of Iran means that you're in artillery range. Not even you don't even have to have drones. You don't have to have missiles, although they have all of those.

But just artillery, they can bring them in from a lot and they can hide them. And there's a lot of firing positions where they can get into some of this terrain up here. You can see, you know, there's plenty of places that you can hide these things and make it very difficult. And of course, because a lot of artillery is kind of a high angle fire for the high angle fire.

You can get it up in the middle of this makes it really hard to get at. But then the shells will go, especially if they have rocket artillery, then they can get to this island here without a whole lot of difficulty.

So how are you going to get American troops there? How are you going to keep them sustained because once you keep them on there, you've got to have them with enough firepower that's going to keep this part closed here that the Iranians don't want cut off.

So you're going to have to keep these troops supplied here. So you're just looking for an easy way because you thought, well, let's just small island wouldn't take that much and then we'll have, you know, the ability to knock it off here. But you don't say what, what kind of ordinance are you going to have? How are you going to keep it resupplied?

How are you going to keep missiles? Because this would require lots of missile fire. How are you going to keep missiles keep coming back here when you're right off the bloody coast of Iran?

See this, this is what passes for elite thinking in the United States. And it's just bereft of I'll call it second lieutenant level analysis.

Any, any officer can look at that and say, look, this doesn't make any sense either. So this is not an attainable military objective either.

But they're just looking for any outlet. So he's, he's, he come, he comes to the first conclusion, right? There's, you can't make an invasion here.

He said he had seen the battle plans in the past. We got all kinds of plans for anything whether it makes a good idea or not that it makes sense to have some kind of contingency plan drawn up so that you don't do anything from scratch.

Well, he knows how hard it would be to actually have an invasion because again, if it was 300,000 or so to go into a rack under a relatively permissive environment, you can only imagine what it would be take to go into Iran.

And that's, of course, if you could find those troops and where would you stay from? This is a whole slew of other problems that would go along with that.

We're not going to solve it. That's just not going to happen. I mean, you can just, I don't care what Caroline Levitt says. That's not a legitimate option. There's not going to be an army, an American army or an allied army that's going to go into Iran.

It would take many, many months to get. And then the Iranians have conclusively proven that they have long range missiles and that wherever you would start your buildup process, it would be constantly under fire and missile fire.

They're already doing it throughout the entire region. Why do you think that they wouldn't be able to do it if we were building up? See, that was one of Saddam Hussein's huge, huge mistakes in 2000, both 2003 and in 1991, is that we were allowed to build up in the region at our leisure.

I mean, I was part of that force. I know exactly what it was that we came in through. I think it was the algebra port is where our ships came in.

Well, Saddam Hussein should never have done it. I don't know that he had a missile force. They had a lot of older scuds. He may not have could do it anyway.

Iran definitely can. We come in through that same port again, even if Saudi Arabia gave us. Now they said, no ships come in. They started loading. There's going to be missile fire coming in and you're seeing it. We showed you some earlier today, two day.

The show we did with Ted Postal, highly recommend you go and watch that by the way. So that's not going to happen. So you can take it off the porch of the question is, what are you going to do then?

Now what we should do, what makes the most sense what's logical is say, we bid off more than we can chew. We shouldn't have done this in the first place because any normal assessment would have shown you that the costs were too high across the board.

But whatever they said, no, we're going to we're going to roll the dice and see if we can get the government to collapse. All right, you tried that. It didn't work. So now that what the now the thing that makes the most sense is to to put whatever face you want on this.

And oh, will we destroyed, you know, whatever the bunch of their missile launchers. We destroyed more of their nuclear facilities. So we've set them back decades or whatever. Say whatever you want.

You know, now that they're not going to be a threat to anybody in the region for for a long period of time and if they ever do it again, we'll come back and finish the job. Say whatever you want to say and then say we're going to have.

We're going to now stop fighting and we're going to go back to our bases send our troops home and we're going to stop fighting as long as Iran stopped shooting at us. We won't shoot at them in a happy day. You can claim victory. That's what we should do.

But earlier today, we had General Jack Keen go on advocate the opposite.

The Gulf states themselves with the Europeans with others to put pressure on Israel and the United States to end the war. Let's go let's negotiate. Let's go to a ceasefire and just stop this.

What the Iranians are interested is preserve the regime. That is their objective here. Any kind of negotiations they'll take it in a heartbeat because that preserves the regime.

We're done negotiating unless it's a surrender. We'll negotiate over the times of surrender. That makes sense.

Does it though? Does that make sense? I've just shown you graphically the military challenges to all these whether it's a Kurdish invasion of hundreds of Kurds.

I just showed you the near impossibility of that going anywhere. I've shown you the difficulties if you have a full on invasion force, why that would be just undoable.

It's just not something. It's not a legitimate military path that has any chance of success. I've shown you how the the small version of taking Carlisle and for example, the huge problems that go along with that, even that almost certainly would not work.

But it would be incredibly costly. At least it wouldn't it would be a smaller footprint, but it's very unlikely to win. So the only thing that's logical is to bring this to an end the very thing that he mock at the beginning of that segment.

He said that's what a lot of the unit governments in the region are pressuring both Israel and the United States to do for good reason because that is something that can succeed.

None of these other things can. So he's still talking theoretically. We don't want to do that because that's going to lead the government in place.

Now I showed you a bunch of videos in the weeks heading up to this war in the last couple of months. He's been saying that a lot.

He said, even successful negotiations would be bad because it would lead the government in place, which is true.

But now he's saying, no, we can't do that. So we can't have a negotiation on anything except their surrender. There's no reason for them to surrender.

There's there's not even any thought in their mind of surrender.

And since we can't go in with a proxy force, since we can't go in with a force of our own, since we can't do it on the cheap and trying to get it with his car guy or whatever else that would have any prospect militarily, depending on them, there's no path.

General keen, there's no path. It doesn't matter what you want. It doesn't matter what you think. It doesn't matter that you don't like their government.

They don't want it to stay in power. You don't have the resources and the wherewithal to change it.

At some point, our so-called elite have to come to acknowledgment that there is a ground truth reality.

And so far, we haven't. This is day six. So it's going to take a lot more bloodshed and a lot more failure. I guess before we're going to get that through their heads, sober analysis doesn't seem to do it.

We've been providing that since before this thing started. We're going to continue to do it. But you see that they're just going down a path and he even admitted to this others in the region.

See it. This is one of the hidden dangers about what we're doing right now is that a lot of the stuff is probably a revocal. It's probably already going to cause us damage once this is over by whatever means.

There's a lot of damage that's going to be done to the United States. We have yet to see how bad it's going to be on the international level, on the financial level.

The damage that this could do to the dollar when people get it after they're, you know, the missiles are stopped firing the burden, the fires are gone out.

And the death has stopped that they're going to stop and taking their resource and the inventory of things and they're going to start saying.

Do we really want to go back to the status quo ante? Do we want to go back to the way things were?

Doubt that very seriously. You see, they're already putting pressure on us to stop because they are doing what makes sense. They are doing rational calculations.

They understand that this is an unattainable objective. So they're putting pressure on us to do what's rational.

The longer we go down the path of doing the irrational and the illogical, the deeper is our damage that we're doing to ourselves going forward even after this is over.

And that's not just me saying this. There are others that recognize it too.

Vladimir Putin yesterday took advantage of the opportunity to make an address.

And he's saying exactly the things that are resonating for the Gulf Arab regimes right now.

That from your own wallet you have to pay for the price of the smithy Russian threat.

All this is a lie.

And the truth is that those problems that become millions of people in the West,

have become the result of many years of the actions of the right elites of the states.

Their mistakes, their obligations and ambitions.

These elites are not thinking about how to improve their citizens in the West countries.

They are supporting their current interests and their interests in the United States.

I mean, there was a short period of time after the fall of the Soviet Union,

where we were kind of relatively friendly.

Up through, I would say really the 2007 unit conference right up until that point,

there was some, maybe we could work together, etc.

But kind of after that, especially after the invasion of, or not the invasion really,

it was the short war, the limited war with Georgia in 2008.

Really, since that point forward, things started going down and then they just completely collapsed in 2014.

With the Maidan issue and the coup that we helped facilitate, etc.

Since that time, things have been bad.

So Russia has just been mocked the whole time.

And obviously, all during this four years of the war with Ukraine,

we keep saying how, you know, he's just this bloodthirsty kind of terrible person

that he just wants to conquer everybody.

He wants to come West.

I've told you how that's nonsense.

They don't have the wherewithal to do it.

They've never demonstrated.

They've never articulated even a desire to do.

They have expressly said the opposite.

They have no intention.

And they have done what they said.

They did say they had an intention to keep Georgia out of NATO.

They did say they had an intention to keep Ukraine out of NATO.

They did say they would use military force to prevent it from happening.

Military technical means, as they said, before that happened.

So they signal that.

They did it.

And the other things they say they don't have an interest in.

And there's, and they don't have the wherewithal.

So it doesn't matter if you agree with them or trust them or believe anything.

They say the evidence shows that they don't.

But now then, when you start to say, especially of the rest of the world,

what makes more sense?

Who's making more sense right now?

Because now some people are going to start to listen to going,

is he really that crazy?

Putin being.

Because what he says there,

they're seeing play out right before their eyes.

They're seeing the United States.

We're blowing up a bunch of drug boats last year.

And claiming that it was to keep us safe.

There was no justification for it.

Everybody in the world was just said, trust me.

Trust my intelligence, which I'm not going to share with you.

But they were all bad guys, and they all deserve death.

Even though there's no law that would ever,

even if they were convicted, and proven in a court of law,

no law says you can be executed for that.

No law, not even in America.

But much less that you can just unilaterally assassinate people

who are alleged to be drug boats.

That we don't care about that.

We don't care about what the rule of law says.

We just took another country's leader, took him out,

put him into our prison, and now we're stealing their oil.

We went into Iran, sorry, in 2025.

No legal basis for that.

We were not attacked.

We were not threatened.

We just went in and did it.

And then now, of course, we're here where we are today.

And then when people hear Vladimir Putin saying that,

you can even take the countries in the region.

You already see their evidence is saying they recognized

the futility of what we're doing here.

And when they see guys like General Kellogg, General Keen,

stay in just disconnected from reality of the failure

of what's happened here.

The fact that they're already you wanted the regime to fall.

And you claim that it was wobbling, and yet you see it stronger

than ever, even with all these bombs,

and the people are supporting their government.

They're not protesting against it.

They're protesting for it, demanding more action from it.

And then these regimes and the Arab regimes in the area.

They're saying, stop this.

This doesn't make any sense.

We're looking for something that's rational and logic.

And then you hear Vladimir Putin say what he just did there.

In terms of who's connected to reality

and who has the best interest at heart in the region, especially.

I think you have to admit that what President Putin there says

is more rational and logical.

Even if you hate him, even if you just despise everything he's doing

in Ukraine right now, you've got to just take it at face value here.

Who's to take the bit?

And so now that people are going to start listening to that a little bit more.

And they're going to say, yeah, he's kind of right.

I mean, a lot of this is the Western elite.

It's just that kept this war in Ukraine going.

It could have been over in two months.

Two months.

It could have been over.

Nobody asked the Ukraine side to surrender.

They were not given surrender terms.

They were talking about just the Don Bosch.

Just I think Lohansk and Donetsk initially.

That's it.

Then later on, it expanded to four Oblos

because every time we refuse to have negotiations,

every time we refuse to be rational

and stuff that was politically attainable,

the conditions kept getting worse.

And people around the world are seeing that.

And they go, man, you guys don't want peace anywhere.

And you just, you want maximalist objectives everywhere

and you're refusing to be sane.

And people everywhere else are paying the price for it.

And now even our allies in the goal for paying the price

for our arrogance and our unwillingness to acknowledge reality.

That's the truth of it, folks.

And so if you hate Vladimir Putin,

if you don't like anything, you stands for don't help him out.

Americans, policymakers by doing things that don't make sense

that get other people killed,

they get other countries economically ruined.

We've got to stop doing that.

I don't know where this is going, folks.

Right now, I'll just tell you,

I think that we're in a position right now

that this war is no longer about military anything.

This is exclusively about one individual.

It's not Benjamin Netanyahu, even.

It's about one.

It's Donald Trump.

Military veins won't decide this war.

Donald Trump will.

If he sees the light, if he sees the realities

that we've talked about here, he'll realize there is no value

in carrying this on one more day.

He'll come up with whatever he wants to

and create this fiction about how he succeeded

and he harmed and whatever.

He can say whatever he wants in the war can be over.

And then we can get back into trying to mitigate the damage

any further and see if we can avoid getting into worse situations.

But this, the dying and the destruction can stop there

and we won't take it any further.

Or he can say, I'm going to listen to Jack Keen.

I'm going to listen to Lindsey Graham, the elite,

the Western elite.

I'm going to listen to them and I'm going to keep going.

And then maybe I'm going to try and double down

and maybe I am going to try that ground invasion.

Maybe we're going to try that.

That would be a political suicide in my view.

And it would be death of Americans.

Already, we're still wondering,

is he going to make good on his claim

that we're going to use military naval assets

to escort ships through the straight-of-war moves

which would give all the advantages to the Ukrainian,

or the Iranian side?

I don't know if he's going to do that enough.

That'll be a good indication.

If you see him do that,

then the chances of him doing the right thing

and getting this war over with are all been eliminated

for some other period of time.

So that's the first thing we're going to watch for.

But this is all about a political issue right now.

This could, this work could be over in a couple of days

or it could drag on indefinitely.

It not only knows how many months it could go

before the casualties just get too high.

I think it's forced for other reasons to take action.

So you can count on us.

We're going to continue to give you the un-intimidated

and uncompromised truth of this.

You will have the truth whether you like it or not.

That's what we're going to keep doing.

So I'm sorry.

One more thing.

Thanks for reminding me, Gary.

We've shown you this clip several times

about these underground facilities that they have.

And Gary's shown you these where they have the inside

of the bunkers where there's just cabrons

and miles of territory, whatever.

The Pentagon has said that they've been knocking these things out.

But we had the first indication today of some success.

This video was released here that apparently,

at least since rumor to show,

in one of these underground missile bases being attacked.

And you can see that these just firing out into the middle

of what it looks like.

You just on the side of a mountain,

but you see these enormous explosions coming underneath,

which gives evidence that there was something underneath here,

which is very combustible and explosible.

So the expectation is,

and the belief is that this is one of those underground bunkers.

How many they have?

How much damage was done here?

Because some of these images that Gary has shown that was released

by the IRGC shows it.

You can literally drive hundreds of meters.

Yeah.

So even if like one of these areas was compromised here,

that doesn't mean all of it's taken out,

but it certainly could be a lot of damage done.

So apparently there is some success,

and there are definite losses on the Iranian side.

I wanted to bring that to you,

because we've shown that to you a lot of times.

This is apparently one of those going up in smoke.

Anyway, thank you very much, folks.

That's another long day of broadcasting

for the Daniel Davis deep dive Gary.

And I thank you guys for being with us.

And stick with us,

because we look forward we've got some good shows for you tomorrow too.

See you then on the Daniel Davis deep dive.

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