Iran War: Finishing the Job /Lt Col Daniel Davis

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Finish in the job.

That's what President Trump said we're going to do.

We are not leaving till this job is done.

We started this war, and we will finish this war.

That's what he's saying.

And if you saw the press conference this morning with the Secretary of War, Pete Hexeth,

he said that we are going to drop more ordinance today on Iran than we have at any point.

So I'm pretty sure that this war will be wrapped up very, very soon.

So, you know, don't worry about any of that.

OK, if you're believing that, we got a bridge to sell you from London Bridge.

Listen, this is starting to get into one of those really weird situations where the claims

being made by many of the administration officials by the President himself is so disconnected

from reality that I'm starting to get concerned about some things.

And where this war is starting to take us is leading into some potential really dangerous

directions.

We have started something here that we cannot reasonably finish.

That is the reality.

Whatever words you're going to hear out of the White House, out of the Pentagon, out of

a lot of these supporters on various news networks on the mainstream media, they are not

associated with reality.

And there is a dangerous position that we're in right now, both for the United States,

for Israel and for the Iranian situation, and for the Middle East as a whole that we're

going to get into that today.

Now, I know many of you are looking for Alexander Mercurius.

We're having some connection issues.

I hope we get that resolved very shortly.

Hopefully he'll be joining us in process here.

Gary is working on that right now to try to get that resolved.

In the meantime though, we want to get right into it though.

Here is what we're talking about getting this done and we're going to get it finished.

Let's go to Secretary Hexas talking about Uranium because one of the central points that

has always been a part of this, no matter all these shifting requirements and reasons

for this war that had been going on all the way back to the 12-day war last year, has

always centered around nuclear weapons.

So Secretary Hexas was asked just a couple of hours ago if we don't get that, can we

have success?

Can you conclude this mission successfully without physically taking control of that material?

Or are you counting on diplomatic negotiations to provide some measure of control leading

to its removal?

You've mentioned missiles.

You've mentioned drones, military industry.

We haven't stipulated that taking care of that material is a mission priority.

We've said from the beginning, deny Iran nuclear weapons as a core mission.

We retain options across the spectrum to ensure that they never do.

Well, okay, options across the spectrum, that's not answering the question.

The question is, if you don't get this nuclear material, i.e. take out their nuclear weapons

capacity and possibility, can you consider that a success?

Because we're running into a real problem already, sustainment is going to be a big issue

here.

President Trump clearly entered this war thinking it's going to be a short, sharp, easy

victory.

Bam, we're in.

We kill a bunch of people.

We're out, victory parade, all that kind of stuff, like he had with the material thing.

That's what he thought.

That's what he expected.

He thought this is going to be a big decapitation thing.

We're going to come in with this whole double the size of the shock and awe, according

to the sent-com folks here, we're going to knock all this stuff out.

They're going to collapse.

I think he fed into the narrative that Lindsey Graham was telling him.

The Jack Keen was telling him ad nauseam that Mike Pompeo was telling, of course, the Benjamin

Netanyahu from Israel.

All those folks kept telling him over and over and over, putting in his ear, all the

time that they are as weak as they have ever been.

You remember all that?

You kept showing you all that and the weak leading up to this and the months leading up.

They kept saying that they're weaker now than they've ever been.

Does this look like weak to you?

Did they have what's to it?

Everything we had.

Now, they 14 of the war and they're still not only standing, but they have the straights

of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf locked up.

The only people getting through are the ones that they allow.

They have control of it.

They haven't mined it.

Apparently, there's been some reports of some mines at some point, but the thing hasn't

been mined and shut off.

Instead, it's actually worse from our position.

They have control of it.

So, ships that they want to get out are successful they're able to.

In fact, the Wall Street Journal, I believe it was, it was reporting that up to this point,

since the war started, since the war started, Iran has gotten more oil out and out on the

global market.

And before the war, let that sink in for a second.

Does that sound wobbly?

You assassinated their leader.

Gary was showing some video earlier today that in some of our earlier shows where the

president of Iran is out walking the streets, walking the streets.

Ali Laryzani, they're basically their national security adviser and several other people,

former IRGC commander, leaders out walking the streets, almost daring the US to take them

out.

And yet, they're showing their population that they have not been cowed.

They have not been defeated and that they're still fully in control.

Not something that we're trying to, you know, that's not matching up our narrative.

Because we're saying that they're basically, you know, and the last throws here and that

any day now, they're going to be knocked down.

Secretary Hexeth mentioned this morning that today, on day 14, just going to be the big

of the other, some of the video right there.

Thanks, Gary.

The Secretary Hexeth said today is going to be the biggest bombardment, the impression

being that we're going to bomb these guys into the stone age very soon.

They're going to capitulate.

But the problem is none of that has happened so far and we don't have an unlimited amount

of firepower.

Now, you wouldn't know that.

In fact, you would think the opposite based on what the president of the United States

said in a, in a true social, a little after midnight last night here, if you can put

that true social up there from the president, because he's claiming, you know, we're,

we're ready to go.

We're going to continue to dominate this.

We're going to bring more firepower, and I think we're going to get that up here just

a second.

I want to show you what he said last night, because that's, that shows you where his mentality

is.

He is still thinking that we have this advantage in military firepower.

We have this advantage in bombs, air force, navy and all this and that's going to translate

into success.

So this is what he said just last night.

We are totally destroying the terrorist regime of rent.

I mean, that's interesting.

That was a midnight.

Okay, let that sink in for a second.

That was a midnight.

And what Gary was showing you was just hours ago today.

The president walking around, a roggy walking around, a rijani walking around, Trump continues

on militarily, economically and otherwise, we have destroyed them yet.

If you read the failing New York Times, you would incorrectly think that we are not winning,

or if you believe your own eyes, what it sees, Iran's navy has gone.

Their air force is no longer missiles, drones, everything else is, are being decimated.

Their leaders have been wiped from the face of the earth, except, of course, for their

president who's walking the street.

Do you understand how that his statements here are undermined by what is visible with

your eyes?

That's what you need to understand here.

That's why when you read these kinds of statements and he's focused on, you know, their

navy has gone, their air force has gone.

And yet that doesn't matter.

Because it, and by the way, go back when you get a chance and watch our show from earlier

day with former British diplomat, Alistair Crook, because he explained that the Iranians

understand that the balance of traditional power is unequivocally on our side.

So they have gone to an asymmetric thing to where the traditional navy and the traditional

air force are almost irrelevant.

That's why you saw all those scenes and Gary has been showing those over the last few

days, from Central Command, where they have video after video of big planes on the, on

the tarmacs being destroyed.

You have fighter jets on the tarmac being destroyed, all kinds of aircraft, all kinds of

navy ships that are at port, some are out in the water, et cetera, just being just wiped

out.

Because that's not what Iran is counting on.

But President Trump also sees those same videos and he thinks in a conventional sense,

if you get rid of my navy, if you get rid of my air force, then what do we have?

We don't have anything to project power.

So we'll just be destroyed and we assassinated their initial leader anyway.

And so it's only a matter of time before they fall apart.

And yet you see that's not happening at all.

Gary, if you could put the rest of that full screen back up there again with President

Trump's statement, I want to continue on going down with the rest of what he said, because

that's also indicative of a problem on our side, which he's trying to project as a success.

He said their leaders have been wiped from the face of the earth.

We have unparalleled firepower, unlimited ammunition, and plenty of time.

That is one of the biggest errors we can have.

We do not have unlimited ammunition and we most assuredly do not have unlimited time.

In fact, there is a time clock that is keep ticking, keep mentioning that is the price

of oil.

Right now, I think it is, what is the current one here?

We have a lot of ticker.

It is $95.95, it continues to tick up.

It is not coming back down.

That's a big ticking time bomb because the straight of Hormuz has closed and that oil has

already gone from $67, where it wasn't the start of this, up to almost $30 higher now.

Even though we tried to bring it down by releasing some of the strategic petroleum reserve,

other countries have to try and bring the global price down, but you see it only had limited

effect.

It was up over $100 and they brought it temporarily down under that.

If you don't get that straight opened up, there is going to be some real problems.

And finishing this job, that is not going to happen if you can't get that waterway open.

Well, let's look at some of the things that at least being recognized and addressed

by some of President Trump supporters, not in entirely helpful ways though.

Let's start off looking at, first of all, with Stephen Miller last night on Sean Hannity.

When he sees this straight close and oil price is going to 100, what does the President

feel about that?

It underscores above all else, Jesse, how this was the last chance the United States had

to take action against the regime that was planning and plotting to kill Americans and

that had the ability to strangle, if it wished, global commerce in the future backed by

long-range missiles, backed by nuclear weapons.

So just again, as a thought expert, imagine if this regime, that right now, weaker than

ever before, imagine if that regime instead had nuclear weapons, instead had long-range

missiles that could reach an American city, instead was rich with cash.

Remember, Obama put them on a path to enrich them with tens of billions of dollars and

have a nuclear weapon right now.

A rich regime that controls commerce through the Strait of Hormuz and has nuclear weapons,

has long-range weapons, think about what a tear that would be to global commerce into

the world.

So he did not answer the question.

Jesse Waters, I said, hey, I meant Jesse Waters, he asked the right question.

Okay, if the Strait of Hormuz is closed and we already have oil $30 a prior from when

the war started, and every prospect that if it doesn't get open pretty soon, you're

going to have bigger issues and that process is going to go up.

Bear in mind also, something I mentioned several days ago that Kuwait and I think Oman

and some others, some other oil producers were admitting that by the way, they had stopped

producing because they ran out of storage space.

You saw the, Oman, the country of Oman, some of their oil storage tanks were hit, i.e.

Now they know what they had been able to store has now been burned up and they've lost

the capacity to do more.

There is also damage to the production capability, even if the growth opened up tomorrow, it's

going to be hard to unwind, but that hasn't started yet.

And so you see Miller here, instead of answering the right question, was what are we going

to do?

He said, does the classic thing that politicians do in America all the time?

And that's answer a different question than what was asking.

He's trying to say, oh, well, we had to do this because they were going to do all these

nefarious things, et cetera, and they were going to just imagine he said, what would happen

if we lost the, the future, we lost his war and then in the future, they had long-range

missiles, they had nuclear weapons and control of the, the straits, et cetera.

We had to act now 47 years, they never had it.

They did not have the, the leverage that they have now, only they have it because we chose

a war and handed it, literally handed it to Tehran.

That's what we have purchased so far with the loss of, well, I guess we lost at least

four more and probably six more last nights.

So I guess now the numbers around 10 confirmed dead, somewhere around 170 and now that's

actually closer to 180 wounded in action so far that we've caused.

And for the loss of those troops and the loss of about a billion dollars a day or sort

of Murphy's going to tell us in a minute here, some estimates have it at about two billion

per day so far, we have given all of the leverage to Iran that they never had before and would

never have had, had we not go into this.

And then one of the other things that Miller said there, which I think is deserving of

exposure is because he's repeating this old canard that President Trump himself keeps

laying out there that if that hadn't been for the Obama deal in 2015, they would already

have a nuclear weapon, which is the exact antithetical opposite of reality.

That was the one thing that would have prevented a nuclear weapon and only President Trump's

exit from it started the groundwork that led to where we are today.

Understand that.

This war started in 2018, May the 6th, I think if we're being specific, when President

Trump announced that he was getting out of the JCP away, that started a time clock at a

series of events that have led to where the war is today.

So we started with an unforced error by getting out of something that had severe constraints

on the nuclear program in Iran and had significant external observation in there with the

IEA inspectors and limited everything they could do, reprocessing capabilities, reprocessing

percentages, storage, everything that we would want.

It limited them and put serious checks on them, but instead we got rid of that.

And then when we came into that, now it comes into this deal here instead of just saying,

hey, they're in a box here and they don't have the capacity to do much, we start a war.

And now then we're trying to finish the job because President Trump realizes, I think,

behind the scenes that we're in real trouble and he's not sure how to get out of this.

So he's trying to double down by saying we'll just do more.

And he's telling the Secretary of War, more firepower, more firepower, shoot more missiles,

drop more bombs, kill more people, whatever it takes, let's get this over with.

The problem is that Iran was prepared for this for decades.

And especially after the 12-day war last year, there was more things that they prepared for.

Some mistakes that they that exposed that their 20-year planning was insufficient in some regards

that exposed them. So now when they sit about fixing them and that eight months in between,

they got even more prepared. And now then, things are working out according to what they expected.

They expected to take losses. They expected to be, have a lot of facilities on the surface blown

up, but they also prepared under the ground and under the water. They have all kinds of capabilities

that right now are all conspiring to keep that Gulf closed.

And that's not lost on some of President Trump's political opponents either,

as Senator Chris Murphy says here.

The Strait has now been closed for effectively 10 days.

There is no plan to reopen it. It's getting worse, not better, as news broke today

that Iran is now, for the first time, mining the Strait.

We all know that once that mining begins, it is very hard, if not impossible, in the short run

to counteract. If the Strait is closed for weeks more or months more, that is a global economic catastrophe.

Already, my constituents are paying through the nose for this war. It gets infinitely worse if

that Strait doesn't open up. And the administration has no plan to open it up.

There is no plan to open it up because there is no path to open it up militarily.

Gary, if we have that full screen, if we still have it from earlier about the Gulf,

I want to show you the real nature of the problem for that. As you see, all those,

the icons there for missile batteries, it shows, be able to shoot into the Gulf.

In order to get that unblocked, you have got to take all of those out.

And that strip of land there is hundreds of kilometers long in all along the coast.

It's not just that those few islands there in the middle of it, just around where the word

blocked is, that X, you see that little island, a couple little dots. Some people suggest,

hey, just take those and you can get it open. No, that's not it at all. That does nothing for you.

If you take those, that doesn't help you at all because their issue is under the water,

the Iranians say they have new categories and classes of something like a maneuverables torpedoes,

they call them underwater missiles because they travel through the water very fast.

And then all these missile batteries that are all around the edges of that.

And this just like about the size of the country of Vietnam.

And there's a depth behind all these. So you can see that in that graphic there.

It's a long way off the coast as well. So it's not just that one area there.

You've got to neutralize everything along the coast and all of that territory.

Like I said, about the size of Vietnam, everything under the water,

as well as their other anti-ship ballistic missiles, the anti-ship cruise missiles that they have.

You've got to neutralize all of that before you can get that thing back open again.

Because these countries are not going to start sending their tankers through there unless they

have a very high probability that they can get through safely. Insurance doesn't make any difference.

Right now, insurance is worthless right now because nobody's going to send their ship in there when

you've seen over the last few knots that the tankers keep getting destroyed by some of the boats

that you're seeing on the screen here. This is what Iran has done right now.

In fact, some of these have been using the underwater, I'm sorry, the above water drone.

So there's underwater unpolluted vehicles and there's on the surface unpolluted vehicles on top

of the man's speedboats. That's the new navy that Iran has because their primary objective is

not like ours is to expand our power elsewhere, to project power anywhere, to move troops

or whatever, and to move missile power, et cetera. They don't have a navy for that because that's

not their needs. Their needs is to be able to control the straight-of-war moves, which now then

because we started war, they are executing. There is no observable path. I don't know what we're

going to do. The fact that it's now day 14 and we haven't opened it yet because we can't.

Our navy recognizes we can't. And the longer this goes is Senator Murphy said right there,

it's already causing problems with our gas prices already going up quite a bit since this war

started and there's no prospect that's going down anytime soon. Well, as Murphy continued on

in that same speech, there are other costs that are mounting. This war is costing us at least

$2 billion a day. There are no achievable war aims. The goals shift from day to day. There is no plan

to manage the consequences for American citizens or citizens of the Gulf. You saw stories today

of additional new missiles raining down on our Gulf allies. You probably know that they,

much faster than us, are running out of the interceptors that stop those missiles. There will be

increased deaths in the region very soon because we did not have the adequate supplies ready for

our allies in the region to protect themselves against an onslaught of Iranian aerial attacks.

It's just incompetence. And listen, I mean, it's it's he's a political opponent. So you understand

that some of the language they're going to use against the ruling party is always going to be

like that. But don't dismiss what he says just because he's of the opposition party. His his

fundamental points are accurate. This is costing an enormous amount. And there's no pathway to get

there. This is one of the things that I find the most maddening is the absence of planning. Now I

can I can accept it. I can accept it. I can understand it a little bit more from President Trump.

He's a businessman. He's a marketing genius. He's a PR guy. Love's television. Really good at,

you know, projecting things and making people listen to him, etc. Those are things he's good at.

He has almost no knowledge about strategy, no knowledge about foreign policy or any of those

kinds of things. So he relies on having people around him that are supposed to. Now,

part of his problem is that he's surrounded himself with people who don't have those kind of things

on the policy level, like a Steven Miller, like a Scott Besson. These guys have no understanding

of that stuff at all as Scott Besson exposes on a near daily basis. But there are people in the

military, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Cain, the general Cooper. I mean, these are the

kind of people that are on active duty, even the CIA director. They're supposed to know this kind

of stuff inside and out. And they should have been the ones telling President Trump that, listen,

before you fired the first missile, you have to have a plan. You can't assume that plan A is

going to work. You've got to have a resource plan B, or you're in exactly where we're at now

with no observable exit. There is no off ramp here that's observable that's cost free,

or that's even at an affordable cost, even something that would be expensive, but it's doable.

I don't see anything like that. This whole thing about the Gulf, there is nothing in the

foreseeable future that will allow you militarily to compel compliance, to force it open,

that's going to get it back in so that the oil processing can come back down and the flow

oil can be flowing. There is no path for that right now. And now that they're in it, and President

Trump is just trying to double down with more firepower because he just wants to bomb the place

a little bit more and create more pain to make them do it, except they're prepared for that.

And they already mentally understand that's what's coming. And in a country that big, I keep saying

this over and over, but it just has to be understood. It is so big, and they have so many facilities,

and they're so spread out that you just can't bomb the place, just to smithom it. You can blow up

all kinds of things in a building, and all the containers, airports, all kinds of things that

have been hit already. That doesn't compel them to do anything. If you can't get to the underground

bunkers, if you can't get to their missile silos underground, or their storage facilities,

if you can't knock out their drones, and if you can't take care of the underwater capability,

they have, or their boats, which are still underground, and haven't been brought out into the

open yet, the ones that matter, it doesn't matter what you blow up on the surface. And in a country

of 90 million people, you simply don't have enough ordinance to knock them out. You just don't have it.

But that's what President Trump's trying to do, and he's going to be disappointed when that happens.

Now, somebody else who's disappointed, let me just talk about this, we talked about who is the

biggest cheerleader for a war with Iran, not Netanyahu is shocking, is that maybe? He was on the list,

but he was not the chief cheerleader. That was Lindsey Graham. And one of the things he

said the other day, and I regret that I didn't pull this sound, but off when he first said it,

but he was actually bragging about sending his sons and daughters in the state of South Carolina,

where he's a senator, and said, yeah, he was, he was lamenting that the Saudi Arabia wasn't

supporting enough. And he said, well, I'm telling our own people here in South Carolina that they

ought to go over there and die for their country, for the war he loves. And I thought that was so

absurd that he was asking to do that. I don't know why anybody in South Carolina would vote for him.

But he was asking the Senate Chamber by an intrepid reporter who put a microphone in his face and

said about this comment about the people of South Carolina.

You're commenting about sending sons and daughters of South Carolina to the Middle East.

Well, I think they just cut it off. The point I was making, we are sending our sons and donors

to the Minis that are there. They've been there for a while and they're in a fight. And we've

lost seven. And my point was the Arabs should be in the fight too. And I was trying to tell people,

I'm going to South Carolina supporting this effort to protect the American homeland.

When I hear of Arab country, we're not going to get involved. It really pisses me off.

So to all those who wonder about sending sons and daughters, they're there. They've been there.

They're there protecting you. And how can you be for the Trumps war and not be for the troops

who are finding it? That was really illustrative at the end. He reveals something there that is

unexperienced. He does sometimes mistakes and tells the truth for Trump's war.

If you're for Trump's war, he said, how can you not support this? That's what he exposed the

truth there. Earlier in that soundbite there, he said, you know, this is a war to defend America's

homeland. No, it's not. No, it's not in no way shape or form. Is there any truth to that? This

is 100% a war of choice that never needed to be fought. That Lindsey Graham has been

lusting for for years. Finally got President Trump to do it. You remember when there wasn't a war

and we didn't start this on the night of 1314 January. Remember that one? And I showed you

the soundbite in this clip of Lindsey Graham the next day. And I said, he looks like that he just

lost his girlfriend. He looks like that he just lost a football game or something and his side

is just lost. It was a terrible sacrifice and they lost. And he thought he was going to cry.

He was so sad because he was so excited about it. He thought the war he was going to get

then. And well, of course, he went on and got it. Well, now he has it. And so

strip away the idea that it was for America's homeland. It was never about that. And now that

the home is in far worse shape because of this as Senator Murphy laid out is we've been talking

about the price of oil and therefore the price of everything else gasoline groceries everything is

going to go up as a result of that. And he calls it Trump's war. That's the one area he accidentally

told the truth. This is Trump's war right out of the mouth of Lindsey Graham. And he wants you to

send your sons and your daughters. And he is willing. And the eager to send South Carolina

kids to go and die in a war for Trump's war. He said, how can you support Trump's war? Not send

them in there. I won't. I won't sacrifice one South Carolina service member. Oh, it's South

go one American at all for Trump's war. It's a bad gamble. It's unnecessary. Nobody signed up

to go and and to die for Trump's personal war, especially one pushed by Lindsey Graham

personally. I think it is absurd. It's obscene. It's immoral. And we need to bring this thing to an

end as soon as possible. Now, if Lindsey Graham was the chief cheerleader, he's he's only he's

only a head by one because the next one, of course, has been Benjamin Netanyahu has been trying

to get this done since at least 1986. We showed you that clip recently. I mean, he's been to the

United Nations so many times over the years and talking about how wrong was just moments away

from a bomb. And they're this bit, you know, had that picture there of a bomb and they're the

weeks away or whatever. Jared Kushner and Steve Whitkopf claimed here a week or so ago, two weeks

ago. Now, you know, they were just a week away from getting a bomb echoing what Netanyahu had

been saying. Of course, they were in close cooperation with him. Well, if Lindsey Graham was happy

and he's okay still with sending South Carolinians to die for Trump's war, Netanyahu is even more

shitty because he wants to be a superpower. Citizens of Israel, my brothers and sisters,

we are in historic days, days that will be written in the analysis of Israel and operation

line. Our war is going and intensifying. We are pummeling the Islamic regime in Tehran.

We are pummeling its emissaries, hisbalan, lemonan. There's unprecedented coordination between

Israel and the US and achieve substantial achievements that are changing the reality in the

West Bank, in the Middle East and beyond. These achievements are increasing the status of Israel as

superpower more than ever of a superpower. So I told you when this war started that Netanyahu had

convinced Trump to effectively hand the United States Armed Forces into his hand as an extension

of the Israeli Defense Forces. And now you see he thinks he's a superpower because of everything

behind him that says United States Armed Forces on it. That's what he, you're not a superpower

on your own. Your industrial capacity won't allow it. Your Armed Forces are for defense only.

They're not big enough to do anything else. And without us and our transport and our flying

gasoline stations with the tankers, the KC-135s, without the aircraft carriers where have

he's nothing. He can defend his territory. But now here he's boasting about being a superpower.

Now where do you think he's going to get that resources from? He thinks he could keep it from

the United States. He thinks that this money they paid out over all this time, over all these years,

through APAC and everything else that he's done. And all of these, we've shown you how he was trying

to implement, not trying to how he was instructing American kids to use social media for his benefit

in our country to send out these messages to make sure that people support him so that he can take

possession of our Armed Forces and be a superpower. And you heard him. He's talking about he wants

the certainly the Gaza Strip. He wants the West Bank, other region there. He has taken territory in

Syria. He's trying to take territory in Lebanon. He's trying to expand his footprint all over the

place. Now he's trying to destroy Iran all supported by the United States Armed Forces, by the United

States budget. He can't afford any of this. My friend, he can't produce these missiles. He can't

pay for them. He can't fire the missiles without us. He can't fire the interceptors. He can't

do the defense any of it without us. And yet he wants to brag in Hebrew to his people. He's

certainly not going to say this on Fox News or MSNBC or anything else here in America. He won't say

that in English because he knows that even the supporters are going to recoil at that. Well, that's

why we're showing you this. This is what he's saying to his domestic audience. So he's bragging at

home basically about how he's just stolen the US Armed Forces to wage his war. But now here we

are. We're stuck. There's no way out of this. The the Iranians have had this long strategy

that they would not go to war and they tried hard not to go to war last year. They tried not

hard to not to go to war with just the year before that despite all these attacks that Israel kept

doing it against Iran trying to spark a real war until they finally got the one and one. It will

now then we're stuck. The straight of Hormuz is shut down. We don't have an unlimited amount of

money. We don't have an unlimited amount of weapons, whatever President Trump says in his

truth, the social. And so we're stuck. We're in a bad place. There's no obvious way out. We are in

a real pain because President Trump, even if he keeps throwing bombs and missiles, even if this

Israel keeps bragging about being a superpower and throwing more missiles, that's not open in the

Gulf. And if you don't open the Gulf with 20% of the global supply not going out day after day,

that price of oil was going to keep going up higher and higher. And as I told you the other day,

everybody's focused on oil for understandable reasons, but less, less noticed is the amount of

urea that's going up. 35% of the global urea, which is necessary for agricultural all over the

planet, comes out of there. 35. If you take that much off and it gets into a number of months,

there's going to be a real real problem of crisis around the world because you can't produce the

amount of food that we eat every day without that urea because that's what goes into the fertilizers.

So there are a lot of it. There's some things that are up front. The oil price and because of

that has immediate effects, that's just near term problem. And then the urea stuff is a secondary

problem. So it could cause catastrophic global implications. The pressure is going to continue to

mount on President Trump, not just at the price, not just at the pump, not just from the United

States internally, but from externally because the longer this gets drawn out and the longer that

stays shut, it's going to start causing food issues and insecurity across the globe. And that

is going to put more and more pressure on us. So I don't want to hear anymore about Netanyahu

bragging about being a global superpower. You're not. You're nothing without us. So just just

be clear on this. And by the way, we don't have the power that you think we do that you have stolen

for the moment, but it's not as inexhaustible as you think. And you are getting out over your

skis, as they say. And pretty soon, you're probably going to do a face plant when reality starts to

strive. Now, there is another danger here. If what I've described there starts to happen

and enough of these pain points start rising up high enough, it's going to put pressure on Trump

and Netanyahu to go, oh snap, this is not working out the way I thought. And it's going to make

you both to think about doing other things and to take other matters into their hands that might

try and reconcile the situation as our friend John Mirshammer says here, I think this is a remarkably

dangerous situation. If the Israelis lose in Iran, they will be fully aware that they lost.

They will be fully aware that they will have enraged the Iranian body populace.

Right. They will be fully aware that in Iran with nuclear weapons will be very, very dangerous

from Israel's perspective. And they will go to Great Lakes to prevent that. And if they can't

prevent it through conventional means, then we get to a scenario where they think about using nuclear

weapons. Now, that's from the Israeli perspective. He didn't talk about it in that clip there.

And I don't know if he did in that whole interview. I have concerns that President Trump may come

under similar pressure. He has, he has signaled a couple of times now in the last two days that he

could take action against Iran that could in a day eliminate a lot of their capabilities. Now,

maybe he meant conventional stuff, maybe he's thinking that whatever's coming today,

probably tonight, our time, there's going to be another barrage from the United States.

Maybe that's what he's talking about. But what if that's not what he's talking about? Because a lot

of the things he says you can eliminate them in a day, conventional weapons aren't going to do that.

You can degrade things and they can keep getting degraded over time, especially if you're talking

about their, their power grids, they didn't move those underground. So if you're going to keep power

going on to the, to the countryside, you're going to have, you can take saying those things out on

the surface. If you want to go more after their oil facilities, which we've done partially, but not

still many of them we've left on touch, maybe he means those, but that's again, that's not a day.

But if even whatever he's going to do today, conventionally, if that doesn't solve the problem,

and now we start getting not in today's, but into weeks plural, and then it starts getting to months

plural, and none of this stuff is opening up and he doesn't risk the US Navy and a suicide mission

to try and do the unattainable and then lose our ships in the process or God forbid if he tries

anyway, and says no, we'll try that and it starts going south and we try to have some sort of

land force that gets patched together real quick to try and take out some of these shore batteries

to give them room. And then they suffer lots of casualties, it doesn't work, we can't open it.

President Trump is going to be the one who's tempted to say, maybe it's time for a little nuke,

just a tactical nuclear weapon, not a thermal, you know, a big one, one of the A-bombs,

or the, you know, the theater nuclear weapons or something like that, not like these, you know,

multi-megaton, but some of the smaller ones in his mind, he can go, yeah, that would be okay,

because that's just, that's just bigger than a conventional. Once you cross that threshold,

everything's over and you understand, Trump has no patience, he locks things that are quick and

easy, and when that doesn't happen, then he locks the trot, he's already threatened, he told the

Iran right away, you don't get to select your supreme leader, I'm going to select it. Well,

they said, Pound Sam, we're going to do whatever we want, we did it. And then he says, if you try

to do this, you try to, if you don't open the Gulf, we were going to hit you as never before,

and they just, they yawned, and he hit them like never before, and they yawned again, it didn't

happen. And so now Trump is frustrated, he's not used to someone telling him, no, he's not used

to people standing up to him, and the pressure will build if he gets far enough in, and now then

the pressure I'll talk to you about from around the world and inside our country, not just from

the opposition party, but from his own party and his own supporters. If they start turning against him

and saying, you've got to get this deal off the table one way or the other, then he's going to

have, he's going to be tempted to use a tactical nuclear weapon. And as Professor Meershamer said

there, Netanyahu may also come under the temptation to use nuclear weapons. This is a really dangerous

point. This is a much greater risk and danger than I think many people in America realize,

and of course, if you're only watching the mainstream news, you think that everything's going fine,

and we're doing great, and pretty soon this is all going to be over and all that,

it's not going to be over anytime soon. I don't see militarily how, with what Iran has done and

how they are prepared, and the capabilities they have, and what we have, and our capabilities to

undo that or unwind it or work against it, it's just not there. There's nothing that's going to

solve this in the near-term absent of a political decision of some sort, absent some sort of

negotiated agreement to stop the fighting. That's our best hope right now, and the best hope for

something quick, but that will come at a very high cost for us. Because we started this war of

choice, and we have caused so much death and destruction on the Iranian side, they're not going

to stand down. They're not going to give away just leverage that we put into their hands, folks,

without a very high price. And even then, they're not going to give it away. They're going to,

they're going to soften it a little bit, but they are going to keep what we put in there. They now

have control of 20% of the global oil production. It doesn't matter if they're Saudi Arabia,

UAE, Qatar, they control all of it because now that they have control of the hormones and they

have demonstrated that they can shut it down when they want, and now that people understand that

any time in the future they can do it again, and that's going to give the leverage that they're

not going to give up, understand that. So when you get desperate people who are used to

getting their way and have tactical weapons, tactical nuclear weapons, the threat is going to

be there to use them. We're going to continue to illuminate that and make sure everybody's

unaware of that so that we never get to that point because mankind and human history will

irrevocably change the first time any either one of those two parties uses a nuclear weapon,

everything that we've known about deterrence and about stability in the world will be

upset and no one knows where it goes from there, but it will be bad. I can tell you that for sure.

Well, listen folks, we've got a couple of other shows coming up for you here. We've got some other

ones back to back here in about 10 minutes, 10, 15 minutes, and we have Larry Johnson back,

because I'm talking about some of the problems that we have externally. We also have some

internal issues that have been risen up here recently. A lot of news about things that may happen

in California, other things that have already happened elsewhere in Texas and some other places.

What is the nature of the sleeper cell risk, what are these lone wolves and how vulnerable

are we to internal threats of terrorism in our country? Larry Johnson is going to give you the

truth on that in about 10 minutes and then later this afternoon with Robert Barnes. We're going

to look at Trump's defining legacy and it's not going in a good direction about there. He's got

some very interesting things to say from his insider comments in just his own analysis. You

don't miss that. That is 2 p.m. We will see you then on the Daniel Davis deep dive.

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