It's a Numbers Game: The Numbers Behind Texas Going Blue in 2026: Cornyn’s Poll Slide, Paxton Factor & GOP Turnout Alert

Is Texas actually in play for 2026 — or is the “Texas is turning blue” storyline getting ahead of the data?

In this episode of The Numbers Game, Ryan Girdusky starts with a look at the left’s escalating race-and-identity rhetoric, breaking down viral clips and why mainstream media outlets keep running interference when inflammatory language is aimed at “acceptable targets.” Ryan argues this isn’t random: today’s rhetoric becomes tomorrow’s policy.

Then we move to the Lone Star State. After a high-profile special election sparks fresh “Texas is flipping” headlines, Ryan sits down with Kellen Jones, senior investigative reporter at The Dallas Express, to unpack what actually happened on the ground — including weather disruptions, turnout dynamics, local personality politics, and how suburban fault lines can distort national narratives.

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