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A murder-for-hire requires a network. Communication. Agreement. Multiple people who knew something and either chose to be part of it or chose not to interrupt it. Every one of those people was an interruption point. Every one of those points was passed through without the chain breaking.
Part 5 — the final episode of One Mile From Home — examines those interruption points, and the psychology that keeps them from being used. Tony Brueski breaks down probability discounting — the documented cognitive bias that causes the brain to systematically underweight the likelihood that someone it knows will commit violence. The specific social calculus that almost always favors waiting over naming. The way "it probably won't go that far" wins the internal argument right up until the moment it shouldn't.
He examines Henry Tenon — the final link — not as a monster but as the endpoint of a chain that had multiple human beings attached to it above him. And he asks the question this entire series has been building toward: where were the moments when this could have been stopped, what kept those moments from being used, and what does the research tell us about what we should do differently when we see someone escalating?
95% of the time, you feel foolish for saying something. 5% of the time, it's the only thing that would have mattered.
There is no reliable way to know which situation you're in.
Hidden Killers. The series finale.
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Somewhere in the monster years before February 16th of 2022, someone knew something was wrong.
Maybe not the whole picture, maybe not the specific plan of the specific night,
the specific road. But somewhere in the circle of people around this situation and the extended
family and the friendships and the day-to-day orbit of the people allegedly involved,
someone had a feeling they couldn't entirely justify. Something that sat wrong,
something that made them wonder briefly, whether this was going somewhere bad and then they
told themselves, yeah, it's probably nothing. I'm not saying that to assign blame beyond the people
who have been charged. I'm saying it because it's almost certainly true because it's almost
always true in cases like this and because it's the piece we talk about the least. We are very
good as a culture at examining the people who did something terrible. We are considerably less
good at sitting with the experience of the people who were close enough to see something
building, had a feeling they couldn't name and didn't know what to do with it. This episode
is about those people and I want to be honest with you, it's about you. It's about me because
most of us have been in that position at some point in our lives watching someone we know escalating
ways that made us uncomfortable telling ourselves, it's probably fine waiting for a clearer
sign before we said or did anything telling ourselves it probably wouldn't go that far.
Does it sound familiar? Good. This will be for you and for me. Your thoughts as we work
through it in the comment section on substack and YouTube links are in the description. What I
want to examine today is why we do that. Why that response is so consistent, so human, so
understandable and what it costs when we're wrong. This is our final episode and our five part
series about the murder of Jared Brightigan. And before I get into it, I want to take a breath
and acknowledge where we've been for episodes this week, for distinct psychological angles on
the same case. Three are the years of custody, conflict. You know, allegedly consume someone's
entire identity and made a man's existence feel like a problem to be solved. The husband with
no personal reason who allegedly absorbed someone else's war so completely that he made it his own,
the children who were inside it from the beginning and will carry the weight of all of it,
the rest of their lives, the woman who refused completely relentlessly at enormous personal cost
to let her husband's murder become another cold case. All four of those episodes were in different
ways about how people respond to the situations they find themselves in. This one asks something
different, not what happened, not who did it, but where were the moments in the arc of this case
when someone could have interrupted it? Where were the points in the chain above the road,
above the tire, above the night of February 16th when a different choice by a person in the orbit
of this situation produces a completely different outcome because those moments existed. They almost
always do. And understanding why they go unused is I think the only genuinely useful thing,
a case like this leaves us. Henry Tenan has fled guilty to second degree murder in the killing
of Jared Brightigan. So the situation has had its complexity. They've been reports of a possible
desire in his part to withdraw that plea, which has not happened as of this recording. His
admission that he was on the road as part of the public record. He's agreed to testify against
Shanna Gardner and Maria Fernandez at the trial currently scheduled for August of 26.
He was the last link in a chain and chains have more than one link and every link above the last
one is a person who made a decision or didn't make one and kept the chain intact.
The kept it moving towards that road. A murder for hire doesn't happen between two people in
isolation. It requires communication, agreement at minimum one additional person beyond the two who
allegedly wanted the outcome. And in this case, an additional person which someone already inside
the orbit Fernandez own tenant, the man who was paying him rent. Someone Fernandez have been
in proximity too long enough to form a specific assessment of. You don't approach your tenant
with a proposition like this unless you've been watching him,
unless you've been over time and from close quarters, forming a judgment about what he might do
have asked. That judgment doesn't happen in a moment of desperation. It happens in accumulation
of proximity. It is in its own cold way a careful calculation, which means there was a period
during which all of this was being sought thought through, during which people in proximity to
the situation, to the household, to the relationship, to the planning were potentially close enough
to observe something even if they didn't have the full picture. Every one of those people was a potential
interruption point. Every one of those interruption points led to that road without breaking.
Let me explain something about how the human brain handles this kind of situation because I think
it's important. And I think it's the reason this pattern shows up in case after case after case.
We are terrible at treating a future danger as a present emergency. We are wired at a pretty
fundamental level to respond to what is directly in front of us. Something is actively happening
right now. We react. Something is an immediate danger. We step in. That instinct is strong and it works
well for a lot of situations. But pre-violence, the theory before something terrible happens when
the warning signs are present, but the act hasn't occurred. Ask something completely different from
us. It asks us to treat a probability as though it were already a fact to respond to what might
happen with the same urgency. We bring to what is happening. And we are genuinely not built for that.
Clearly. We're not. You, me. I think some of us are better than others that are identifying it.
But when it comes to actual acting, yeah. But we also have lots that exist, that prevent action
most of the time as well. When someone in our lives is escalating, getting darker, more obsessive,
more organized and their hatred of a specific person, the brain runs a quick calculation. Okay.
But what are the actual chances? People I know don't actually do things like this. This is
probably just a really hard period. It'll probably settle down soon. And here's the maddening truth.
That calculation is statistically defensible. The overwhelming majority of people who exhibit
escalating anger, consuming obsession, or alarming patterns in the context of a personal conflict
do not commit violence. Most difficult situations don't become dangerous ones. So the person who
tells themselves it probably won't go that far is making a reasonable assessment of probability
most of the time, most of the time. But here's the second layer to this that goes beyond the statistics.
And I think this, this one is actually harder. Saying something has a cost. If you look at someone
in your life and decide that what you're seeing is genuinely dangerous, and you say something about
it, you make a call, you raise a flag, you create a record somewhere, and you turn out to be wrong.
There are real consequences for that. Relationships gets complicated, damaged,
destroyed. You become the person who overreacted, made false claims, who was dramatic, who made
something out of nothing. You carry the social weight of having named something that didn't materialize.
That cost is real. And the rational internal voice, the one that's always doing a quiet cost
benefit calculation on your behalf almost always decides based on that cost to wait.
To hold on for a clearer sign. To keep the observation private for now, and to see if it gets
worse before doing anything about it. Most of the time that voice is giving us
reasonable advice, but it cannot account for the times when waiting is the thing that makes it
too late. It cannot factor in the specific cases where the thing you were waiting for is a clearer
sign. It cannot tell you in the moment whether the situation you're watching is the 95 percent
that doesn't escalate, or the 5 percent that does. And that's the part that stays with people.
The 5 percent, the situation where the instinct to wait to not overreact, to not create conflict,
to see if it gets worse before doing anything turns out to have been the choice that made the worst
outcome possible. Let me connect this directly to the bride again case. Not to name anyone beyond the
people who have been charged, but to be honest about the structure of what the chain required.
Murder for higher of this kind contracted plan carried out through an existing relationship
does not stay entirely invisible in the people around it. There are conversations. There is
behavior. There are things said and unsaid that exist in the daily world of the people allegedly
involved. None of that raises to the level of evidence in a legal sense. Most of it probably
looked to anyone who encountered it like nothing more than a unhappy household with an ongoing
conflict. But the research on targeted violence is consistent. In retrospect, in case after case,
the people closest to the situation had pieces, maybe not the whole picture, usually not in anything
that would have produced an arrest, but pieces, observations, moments where something
felt often away. They couldn't entirely articulate. And the thing that keeps those pieces from being
acted on is the same thing that keeps them from being acted on in almost every case. The calculation
that is probably not as serious as it feels probably won't go that far. That you're not sure enough
to say something that the social cost of being wrong is too high. I want to close this series with
something direct, not a summary, not a bow on the package, just just something true.
Most of the people listening to this at some point watch someone escalate, watch to friends
anger, become their whole personality, watch to family members obsession with a conflict,
get darker and more consuming over time. Watch someone they know move from, I hate him
to something that felt in your gut like it had become more than that. And most of us told
ourselves some version of the same thing. I'm not sure enough. It probably won't go that far.
If it gets worth worse, I'll say something. The research and people who do eventually
intervene, who make the call, name the thing, tell someone, create the record shows that about 95%
of the time they feel foolish because most of the time they were right that it wasn't going to go
that far. Most escalating situations don't. The intervention feels disproportionate because the
outcome it was trying to prevent doesn't happen. 95% of the time you feel you overreact. 5% of the time
it was the only thing that would have mattered. And for me, inside a specific moment,
watching a specific person, there is no reliable way to know which situation you are in. Jared
Bridegan was a father of four, a Microsoft executive, a man who had coached his kids and built a real
second life and tried. Every available channel to communicate that something was wrong with the
situation he was in. He was one mile from home on a road. He'd driven a hundred times when the
chain reached him. Every link in that chain had a person attached to it. Somewhere above the last
link, there was a moment when someone could have broken it. We'll never know with certainty whether
anyone was close enough, whether the information was there in a form that made action possible.
I don't know. Someone accepting the order of carrying out a hit might have figured that out.
We know what the research tells us about what happens when it is. We know what we tend to do. We
know what we tell ourselves. That knowledge is the only genuinely useful thing this case leaves us
with. Be a waste not to use it. Your thoughts in the comments section on Substack and YouTube.
We'll keep watching this story and we will cover the trial when it comes up later this year.
Looking forward to getting your thoughts. Hope we gave you a little
window into this world, into this case. If you're not familiar with it, there's a lot to come.
In the coming months. All right. Comments, discussion, YouTube, Substack, link in the description.
We'll continue with there. Until next time I'm Tony Bursky. We'll talk again real soon.
Want more on this case and others? Then press subscribe now and don't miss a moment of true crime
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Hidden Killers With Tony Brueski | True Crime News & Commentary

Hidden Killers With Tony Brueski | True Crime News & Commentary

Hidden Killers With Tony Brueski | True Crime News & Commentary