KSW 116 Betting Guide (A Real Fun Build) | MMA Gambling Podcast (Ep.1039)

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Howdy-ho, DeGenerino is walking up to 1039 of the MMA gambling podcast and sports gambling

podcast network dedicated to Truth3rd 2001 who did a sneaky algorithm comment for us on YouTube.

Thank you, Truth3rd 2001. Everyone, make sure you subscribe to us on YouTube if you're

having already, and you can put some sneaky comments in there as well. It helps us, apparently.

It helps the algorithm. I am the artist from you known as Mr. Perfect. With me, Danny Gummy Reeling,

yes, you're getting two of us today, two episodes of us today, rather. We've got some KSW,

KSW 116, so we're going to have lots of fun names for Jeff to say. Do we have a fun card in

store for us, Gummy? I think so. Despite the fact that there are some pretty wide odds on some

of these fights, like some of these fighters constantly bring entertainment to me, like

Shalato Madara's flameness. That dude, first of all, he looks like somebody stretched out Keith

Jardine, which is a real fun build. Yeah, it's like somebody didn't feed Keith Jardine for a

couple of weeks, and this is what he looks like. He always brings a really fun fight even when he

loses, which is probably how he found himself in this main event, despite being one in two in his

last three, but yeah, like I find a lot of these fighters entertaining. There are a couple of

lines I really like. Yeah, it's a good one. All right, and real fun builds, which is what the

most important. Yeah, it's the KSW thing, right? Is it like, yeah, everybody's weird like he shows.

Every show, the buffus dude you've ever seen or like has hit the gym less than I have, so that's

impressive. It is. All right, we should dive into it, get over to Poland, give you all the info,

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All right, excuse me, you're going to, I assume this isn't Poland, it is. KSW 116,

Bartoszinski versus Flaminas, Garzao, Velkopolski, Poland.

Love when you get to do Polish names. The only thing better than you doing Polish names is when

the boss has to do Brazilian names, when I'm on SGPN on these some lives, like that is,

it's truly great when Sean has to do that. Yep, I found my Achilles heel is Polish names.

I didn't know it until I started doing this show. So Saturday, this card's going down 1 p.m.

start time internet pay-per-view arena, Garzao and Garzao, Velkopolski, Poland. I think that's

better if I said it right. Nine belts, only on the card currently. We're going to break down

five of them in full and we'll have lots of, not lots to use from four to choose from four.

You might remember starting with women's straw weight. Yvelina was Wozniak. She is from Poland.

We have discussed her before. Eva Dorath, I think we talked about her before as well. Yeah, she's

an actor down for a while. Right. She is from France. So three, five

minutes, one, fifteen. Play about, we have odds. Gumby is Cindy odds. So we're not going to play a

game here. We'll just jump into Dorath's first nine and seven with two submissions. She's been

submitted once. She's durable at least. This is her debut in KSW. She lost win loss over her last three,

four and four over her last date. One, two and not done as Gumby said. She's changed sides,

gun in the enemy. Regional champ, O1 in cage worse, use F1 at 25 plus three, 75. Wozniak is the

mad queen, ten and three, two knockouts, five submissions. She's been submitted twice, three

and one in KSW. She's won two straight, four of seven. She went to an O-Nothgun as well. So a couple

of people switch her sides here. Regional champ, use F1 at 25, six years younger than Dorath,

an inch taller, minus six hundred. So a big one with lots of juice to start off here.

Yeah, I had a little bit of trouble with that fact and basically sat there trying to convince myself

to take Ava Dorath and I couldn't, I couldn't even talk myself into it and you know how much I

love a big regional underdog, but I even then I couldn't get behind Dorath because look,

you look back to her fight against Mallory Martin, right? Take down defense holds up a little

bit, but then it falls apart and she's not a particularly good scrambler. I think even when her

take down defense holds up her inability to scramble at a high level, makes her wind up in bad

positions anyway. And so then you're like, well, where does she go to win this fight? And you're like,

well, maybe she could outstrike her, but she's so much slower than Wojniak. The speed difference

here is going to be way too much for me. And Wojniak does keep her chin up a little bit. I was

thinking maybe that's an avenue, but it's not like Dorath is like toasted people at all. Wojniak's

got a good double. She's got excellent control when she's down there. She could be a touch risky

from time to time, but again, if Dorath is not like a good scrambler, then she'd manipulate,

because that can help her at all. You know, like Wojniak is the type of person who I would worry

about if she was fighting Mallory Martin, but she's not, you know, she's putting no person

that Mallory Martin will easily. And instead like, you know, in the other thing about Wojniak too,

she's like physical. And she can hurt you on the feet. Like I went back and I watched she

fought Petrovich, right? From the one who's in the scene. So yeah, she's trapped her with an elbow.

And like Petrovich is like a not a throwaway. She's a 25 or a 35 or dependent on the day. And so

for her to like go up and deal with the physicality of somebody who is so much bigger than her.

Now she's fighting somebody who likes struggles with that avenue of the game. I think it's just

going to be easy for Wojniak. So as much as I think she has flaws in her game, I don't think

dors is the right kind of person to exploit any of them. So I'll take Wojniak here.

Okay. Wojniak is the play of the Mad Queen. We're going to men's light headlights. It's a Bartos show

off, show down here. Bartos Lesko versus Bartos. Choo, Choo Shek. Is that how we

say? Choo Shek. They're both Bartos. They're both Polish. They're both 205. We'll tell you about

Choo Shek first, nine, four and one, six knockouts, one submission. He's been knocked out twice,

a minute once, one and one in KSW, one, two over his last three, four and two over his last six.

He did win his last belt, though. He went one, oh, one on companionships, because who do you lose to?

D.R. Knog Shek. Actually, they corrected our pronunciation there. The ZH is like the

shot in Chalka Shumagulof. So it's Nurgosh Shek. We're going to talk about him. We're going to talk

with him for probably at least one more about, because he actually won. All right. We picked against him.

Choo Shek, a regional champ. He's fight that heavyweight. A year younger than Lesko, two inches

taller, plus 200. So a little closer. Lesko, 15, six and two, two knockouts, seven submissions.

He's been knocked out three times, a minute once, four and four in KSW, one, two and three,

four of nine. He loses last belt. He's spied at 185. 2015 program may debut six inch reach

advantage, minus 275. Yeah, but he got no idea how to use it, which is why I'm in and choose it

here. Lesko for a guy who is so weirdly long, because he's short and then she said,

but he has a sense of reach advantage. Such a weird shape has no idea how to use that length

in his arms, back pedals all the time, winds up back against the cage. I was actually kind of

surprised to see him as a favorite here. I guess that weird win over Dominic Umburger,

where I can't explain why that would ever happen, but Lesko backs up a lot, tires,

quickly. There are spots where he's good, and he's clearly got some power and can grab a little

bit. I guess he was on top of Umburger a little bit in that fight, but Shusek is pretty damn sharp

on the feet. You go back and you watch that fight with Nurgose, and we're knocking to go,

Shay, but we knocked him because he has terrible grappling. He's really not a good grappling.

But on the feet, he's pretty respectable. He's a UFC level fighter on the feet, and Shusek

hung with him on the feet, right up until he got head kicked in the late second round. But like

before that, he was trading, and he looked really, really solid. And so for that reason,

I think he should just back Lesko up and just kind of beat him up. And then the other thing I

really like about Shusek is when he gets you in a position he likes to exchange,

he's really hitting you from different angles. He's not a fighter who relies on the same

combination six or seven or eight times. He just doesn't throw the one two and then hook to the

body, one two and hook to the body, and then do one other thing and come back to it. Instead,

he's a guy who he really likes to mix it up. You see him working in combinations with upper cuts

in there. Sometimes it'll just rip to the body on a multi-foot punch combo. I really like the

way that he strikes. And so with all of that being said, Lesko on his back leg getting picked

apart here by Shusek, I think it's a real possibility. And it plus 200, I love that.

Excellent. Like to get a regional dog in here. All right, lock that one in.

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October 2025. Let's go back to Poland for some more fun. Another Bartosh for real.

This is like this is like Cody week last week. It's Bartosh week.

It's Bartosh week. Everyone in this car get excited. Bartosh week. Tomas Romanoski, Bartosh

Kurek. They're fighting at 185. They're both Polish. Tell you about this. The other

Bartosh Kurek is 5.0. Two knockouts. One submission. He's 3.0 on KSW. He's 1.2 straight via TKL.

He's about 179 and 205. Three inches. Tyler and Romanoski. Nine inches. Reach advantage. Wow.

Plus 170. Tommy. Romanoski. 19 and 11 with one no condes. Seven knockouts. One submission. He's

been knocked out four times minute twice. Ten and four in KSW. One of four. He is one.

Six of nine. He is one as well. One is last but you sped up 170. 2009 pro and made

debut minus 200. Yeah, you mentioned really fun builds. Romanoski is a really fun build.

This dude is absolutely rich. I'm going to pick Romanoski here. I think the

line is probably only as close as it is because Kurek is coming off of like a very vicious knockout

in his last fight. But like this is a guy with a lot of power in like very little in the way

of fundamentals in my opinion. Throws punches really wide. Kind of sprints when he wants stuff and

doesn't really have much in the way of defense when he's doing all that. He just strikes me as a guy

who's got a lot of power and has gotten away with a lot of mistakes because of it. And I don't

think that will work against Romanoski because you know, Romanoski's biggest flaw in my opinion is

sometimes when people push for the clinch or push for a takedown he freaks out a little bit

and then his takedown defense goes at the window or striking defense goes at the window.

I don't think Kurek is going to shoot on him though. I think he just wants a brawl. And when it comes

to a brawl, Romanoski much tighter with his defense, much smarter with his defense. He does

like to really load up on a big right hand. But like at the end of the day, like I think that's

way less problematic than a dude who's just throwing like windmill punches. A lot of Todd Duffy

back in the day. Todd Duffy Frank Meir remember that fight? You know, the good old days. Yeah,

everybody's talking about heavy weights trash now. And I'm thinking back to like watching that or

watching who is the big fat fireman who knocked out Todd Duffy. Do you remember what I'm talking

about? No. You went on to fight for free. You see over Doom in the next fight because he knocked

out Todd Duffy. And he's just like a big, oh, not a fire policeman. He's either a policeman

or a fireman, but he's a big old chunky guy. He had the hammer fist to doom. I can't think of it.

Do you remember the hammer fist to doom? No, I don't. If you are listening in this episode,

particularly on YouTube, and you remember the hammer fist to doom and or you're shouting at the

screen. As I know, Denise is right now of what that guy's name was. Let me know that you

had figured it out before Jeff finds it on top of all. Mike Russo. Yes, Mark Russo. Nice

Russo. Yes. I'm rule. You have a great physique for MMA. Great physical. Anyway, Romanowski, not a microso,

physique. He's got the exact opposite. Is going to take advantage of the guy throwing the

Todd Duffy with no punches. Is going to be able to load up on a punch and absolutely counter this

guy on the way in. And if not, like, I think he's going to be stronger in the clinch and probably

can point fight him here too. So I'll take Romanowski here as a decent favorite.

All right. No baritages. The rest of the way sadly. We have Damien though. Damien, people were sick.

Pivo were sick. How do you say it? Come here. People were sick. People were sick. Yeah, I was close.

Sir Jewish J. J. Jack. They're both Polish, obviously. They're funny. Two or five. They're

fighting in the Copenhagen event. Zej Jack is nine and one with eight knockouts. He's been

submitted once. He owes his rounds, for sure. Three on KSW. He's won nine straight since dropping his

pro debut in November 2020. Four straight via TKL. He has fought at 194 and 216 pounds. So he

likes the weird way classes, apparently. He's a year younger than people were sick. Plus 135. You

can call him Damien for a Pivo were sick though. Ten and four, five knockouts, four submissions.

He's been knocked out once, submitted once. Seven and four in KSW. He's won two straight before

that. He lost two straight. He's won five of seven past two wins, both via finish. He's fought at

214 pounds, two inches tall in Zej Jack, four inch reach advantage minus 175. Yeah, I'm going to go

with, I'm going to go with another underdog here. I'm going to take Zej Jack. You know, if you look

at the recent wins for Pivo were sick and you could look at his tapology picture. If you want,

I don't want to make this an attitude. But for tapology, the dude loves jumping. People

were sick is like a decent enough fighter on the feet. Like he's got really good basics. So throw

a jab. Start to string together combinations. Do you leave your leg out there? He'll kick it.

You know, nothing to write home about the very standard light heavyweight regional scenes striking.

And then anytime anybody tries to grab on me, jumps, Gilly. And he's won a bunch of fights that way.

You know, get a given props. He beat Lishima that last fight. I think he's got two or three other,

you know, Galatine wins on his record. Like he's a guy who can jump a Galatine in that way.

I don't think he's going to get there here again, Zej Jack. Zej Jack wants to strike with him.

And on the feet, I think he's much better. And people of our shake is not even a guy who like

really knows the right way to initiate the grappling and a lot of these instances because he wants,

he wants you to shoot first. He wants you to be the guy who sticks his neck out there.

And Zej Jack is like a guy who, first of all, I think is much faster on the feet when you watch

his striking really crisp gets after it. And it's like, you know, with way less load up than

people of our shake. And then in addition to that, too, Zej Jack, it's got some really good stuff

in the clinch. So even if if people of our sick is going to force the clinch and try to find

some takedowns there and to work into those sort of situations, he's going to eat some knees.

He's going to eat some elbows. He's going to eat some body shots. He's going to get worn down

that way. Can Zej Jack do that the whole fight and stave off a takedown if that's the case?

Maybe, maybe not, you know, like he might have to work his way back to the feet and pride

protect his neck doing so. But like ultimately, he's going to be the guy doing the damage in my

opinion. It's going to be like a control situation for people of our shake versus like a guy who's

much more dangerous on the feet and Zej Jack. I'll take the dangerous guy. Give me Zej Jack.

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All right, back to Poland. We got a main event for the KSW-1-2-8 championship agent Bartoszinski.

He's the champion from Poland. Matters, Flamina's, the challenger from Latvia,

five five minutes around 170. The Latvian Express is the challenger. He's 14 and seven.

Seven knockouts, one submission. He's been submitted three times. Two and three in KSW. He's been one

of three, two of five, four of eight. He did win his last belt though. That's all it takes to get

him a title shot here. I think all three of his last three fights are split decisions. I think

that's part of why they were like, oh, he's good enough. Yep. Seven and four in cage worse,

regional champ, one no as a pro kickboxer, three inches taller than Bartoszinski, four inch

reach advantage, plus 500. Bartosz is 18 and one, 12 knockouts, two submissions. He's been

submitted once. He owes us some rounds. 11 and one KSW. He's the champion successfully defended

his title four times already. He's won two straight TKO wins in his last belt. He used to fight at 185.

Seven years younger than Flamina has minus 900. Yeah, his only loss is that like 4A up into 185.

He tested out if he was getting up to do that and caught in a weird arm bar too. No shame in

that loss. It's part of Zenski all day here. As you mentioned, Flamina is not barely beating anybody

in KSW and he's going to beat their 18 and 0 at welterweight champ. I don't see it. If you're

looking for a stylistic breakdown here so that I'm not just like, obviously take the negative 900

guy because I'm willing to go out on a limb once in a while. Flamina is a guy who's like real

janky on the feet. He's bringing weird angles and moving in ways that fighters don't typically move.

I mentioned before, he looks like a stretched out Keith Jardine. No joke. If you took Keith Jardine

and didn't feed him for a while, he kind of has that stance where he's hunched over and

has bad posture, but throw stuff in ways that make people really uncomfortable. He's pretty much

made a career out of making people uncomfortable with his style. Given props to that, he also works

really well in the clinch. That's kind of always been his thing where you can make it dirty in

there, but the bottom line is is every time he steps up in skill level and he fights somebody who's

either also good in the clinch or way stronger than him, he's screwed. He really struggles in those

instances. In part, Zenski, another one of those guys we were talking about it earlier, he's just

got that huge physique and he knows how to use it, too. We watch his big double legs and a lot

of his fights. I mean, they're vicious. I pick you up and slam you and Flaminas is coming off

that win over Lopichick, but he got taken down really in that fight too. It didn't look pretty

early on for Flaminas in that one. For me, Bartoszinski has so many past victory. The first one just

being blasted double and beat the hell out of him on the mat. I think he could do that pretty much

anytime he wants, but even if this stays on the feet, Bartoszinski is a guy who really loads up on

a big overhand ride or a big hook. And with the way that Flaminas moves forward in kind of like

awkward manner, he is there to be countered pretty much all the time. I think Bartoszinski just

finds one of those punches and florism. So Bartoszinski, lots of different ways he can win,

but I like him and pretty much all of them. All right. He's got Bartoszinski. He has got Zajak. He

has got Rovanowski. He has got Shushik. He has got Wolznyak. And he's probably got a lightning

roundplays for his Zatban Boombow. Let her rip. Yeah. And we got odds on the lightning roundplays too,

which make them a little bit extra fun to dig into. The first one I want to take Casper Famella.

Casper Famella just barely kicking over plus or minus 200 rather. But this is a guy who despite having

you know, a record with some some things in it has fought like such a high level of competition.

Pretty much his entire time in KSW and even you know, going even further back to

he's fought such a high level of competition. This seems like a step down for him in this fight.

So like getting him at negative 200 to me just makes him like such a fun parlay option, right? Like,

he's a great guy. You could just throw into a parlay here and feel pretty good about afterwards.

And then the other one I'm going to take to I'm going to take Vostek Kawa for two reasons. Number one,

love the nickname. His nickname is coffee. Vostek Kawa or coffee Kawa.

And he's like a slight dog here. He's like a plus 120 guy. But the thing I really like about him

because I manage to get my eyes on some footage on him, which I don't always do with the light in

rounds a lot of times. Those are the ones that I'm just like, oh, you know, I remember this guy.

That was fun. This one's fun. But I went and got some footage on him. This dude loves to hurt

your body more than almost every fighter I've ever watched. Like, and I think if you go back in

your record, his record too, like he's got like three or four stoppages by body shots.

Which like, I just like love that as a concept here for him in terms of the way that he attacks.

But yeah, so that's Vostek Kawa and Casper from Ella as my two lightning round plays.

All right. He gave you the plays. He gave you the odds. He gave you the fun nick names.

You are set for KSW 116. If you want to chat with us, sportsgamingpogas.com slash discord.

Of course, M&B Gaming Pogas on YouTube. Make sure you give us some comments. Help the algorithm.

And of course, subscribe SGPN M&A at the old Twitter acts. He's at Gummy Relin. I'm at Jeff Fox

writer at Jeff Fox writer on Instagram. Money M&A.substak.com is my substak. Check it out.

Gummy has another podcast called Top Turtle. And it sounds like he's going to have a fun episode

of this week if you haven't listened yet. Yeah, we got three fighters from the UFC in the Apex this

weekend. Actually, all of them are on the main card too, which makes it a little bit extra awesome.

We've got Hoja Miguel Delgado, who's getting ready to fight Andre Feely this weekend.

We got Harry Hardwick, who is talking about his fight on that card as well as his cats.

It's so good. Like, if you haven't listened already or maybe it's not even now yet, I don't know.

It depends on when we drop it, but he gives like a scouting report on his cats. It's really good.

So make sure you tune into that. And then of course, we've got a show favorite too. Steven Concrete

Aspen is going to be on as well. So absolutely loaded up show. Make sure you check it out.

Top Turtle, where we get your podcasts. And we can be found at sportsgemanpogas.com.

Sportsgemanpogas.com slash store. Remember, Mark, choose your checkout code.

Sportsgemanpogas.com slash Patreon for Simone's content. We'll be back tomorrow. We have another

regional event to cover. We got some theory FC coming up for you. It'll be the Latvian Express,

Jeff Fox, the Mad Queen, Gummy Reath. I'm going to talk to you tomorrow.

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