Liquidity Incoming?📈Technical Analysis with Evan Aldo

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1:00It's the easiest way to stack rewards on your daily spending. Download the upholed app for more and get started. Let's kind of start off first with a clip because this gets into the potential of where this could be going with it. Especially on the S&P over the next 18 months. Take a look. We're going to 10,000 or beyond by the end of the decade. The roaring 20s and full effect. Why? Because earnings are amazing. Evercore this morning. Long-term stock market trend continues to be higher. We have the potential for a FOMO-driven overshoot. SPX 9,000 is attainable in the next 12 months. I think you get to 10,000 in the next 18 months. I think really what's happening is you move towards the end of the blog. This is markets becoming more tactical. The market is identifying opportunities. That is not a reason to sell. That's actually indicative of a market that is waiting to re-accelerate as we move into the fall and broaden out once again. Listen, guys.

2:00I'm a permabull. I look at this in a reality. I just say, okay, yes, the earnings seasons have continued to perform. At some point, though, I think we are going to run into a challenge with what's going on in the AI stock. Let's bring one of our traders in. How are you, Evan? Doing a well. Great to be on, Paul. Man, that's a lot of hope with the S&B. There you go. What do you think about that? That's quite a target, right? It's coming from CNBC. Yeah, my main view. That's interesting. My main view has always been that towards the end of this decade, we top somewhere between 8 to 10K. It kind of aligns with that, but 10K that quickly is kind of 18 months. That's a little over. Yeah, that's a little bit. That's like a third-wood 30% gain or 25% gain in that time. That might be the best performing period ever, I think. Now, Grant, there's a lot happening in the markets. By the way, I didn't want to cut you short, but I do want to make sure everybody knows where to follow you.

3:01That is over on Evan Aldo on YouTube. You guys can catch Evan out there. Doing everything on trading. He also does a great live stream, which teaches you how to use some of these market tools. Check it out over there. One thing, though, Evan, I want to lead off with, you know, beyond that. You look at the US economy, 162,000 jobs in August. This, of course, expectation for our 55K. This was crazy. Way over performance. Were you expecting jobs to come in this hot? No. No, it was high. Unemployment is going down. I mean, we'll see if that can last. But, you know, no, it looked unexpected. But the thing is, Bitcoin's still kind of going down. So the market's kind of already factored that in. So that, it's kind of, you know, it doesn't make me change my mind about potentially seeing a correction between now and midterms, which makes sense for seasonality. You kind of want a healthy correction. September and October are going to be more of your bearish months typically right now. And in addition to that, if we look at the chart here on Bitcoin versus the S&P 500,

4:05you know, obviously last time 74% correction downward. This time 61% correction downward in this brand market. I mean, the old one was 83. So you know it's the pattern here. It gets less catastrophic every time. I do think when you look at some of these time frames here, your momentum wave is starting to clip down. And it would align with potentially a very healthy correction. And this is Bitcoin against S&P 500. Or maybe a 10% drop down between now and midterms. And if also if you look at Bitcoin itself, it would align for a very healthy correction around, you know, 15% down. I'm looking at between now and midterms potentially. You are losing a little bit of steam. I think it's a little bit early to say if this rally is completely over. You could see some more, you know, wicks upward. But I think a lot of it is over. And when you do get this next view up coming down, momentum shifts on the daily. That's a bullish divergence potentially forming. That could be a correction down about 15% down to some of these areas. Maybe even down to 65 between now and midterms. But that's how the correction. Wow. Okay. So that's with the correction.

5:05We had Tom Lee on earlier this week talking about September could be a bullish month. You're telling me the September October most likely bearish. I don't know which one you guys believe out there. Let me know in the comments, you know, down below if you believe Evans writer or Tom Lee is right. One thing is for sure the system's broken. You know the system's broken when stocks are falling after the U.S. unexpectedly added this much job growth. And of course, that's the whole point. Why would we see that if we're continuing to see the job market tripling? Yes, you are missing something. Actually, is that did you see the tweak or the throat through social Trump is now threatening wash trying to negotiate or threaten him if he doesn't cut rates? So how does war should agree to that? This is going to some issue. Well, I think the issue is is that because I agree with him, I don't think Trump actually understands how the Fed works. If this is actually what he's trying to do saying, hey, we're going to actually threaten to be able to go into countries out there.

6:05And this has nothing to do, especially on the trading side, has nothing to do with what's happening with the Fed. So I think you're right. But again, don't you think the market has seen enough of his rhetoric to not trade it? Well, I think a lot of people, there's that seasonality to that September October. The betting odds are in favor on Calcoun, probably market for actually a hike right now. So it's close. So it's not really factored in when it's like 51, 50, 50 kind of generally. So, oh, man, I think that seasonality is going to get the best of us here. And you're going to see a healthy kind of pullback between now and midterms. And if you just back test that in your S&P 500, basically every single time, since the 70s, you generally always see that. So, healthy correction. Let's go with that, healthy correction. All right. Well, and there you have it right now on the no change at 49. Now we have a 52% because of what the jobs came in. That's up quite a bit because this was trending down at around 40% just yesterday.

7:07And then of course, the bump up on jobs on now or wash has to kind of deal with the data that everybody was concerned about. And now it's here. You've got also ETFs pouring in right now. And it's coming in in a big way. They recorded $863.2 million in net inflows. This was on September 3rd. This is for Bitcoin products. $723 million of that. When you look at ETH funds, 140 million in capital, previous week, 447, 440 million. And then the current quarter remains down, 340 million. All right. So I want to go into the news really that kind of, I think, shook some of this. This is Clarity Act now before midterms is essentially dead. They're canceling the September sessions. This is only four days left until and after the until the elections for midterm. So this changes everything around it. But does the market really need it when you look at Bitcoin and even some of these other all coins trading where they are right now? Evan, is this important or not?

8:09I don't think it's too important, but I don't have much hopes given that I saw there was a whale bet put $500,000 on the clear, not passing between now and the end of the year. But I don't think we need it just yet. So it's not that big deal. I think the main thing is that we're going to keep going up. We probably will, you know, for ETH, for example, we're going to see probably some type of correction down to 2000. I mean, it's tough to say you could have a little bit more legs on you, maybe come up to 2700 before that happens. But in all likelihood, you see a healthy correction between now and midterms. But I mean, obviously I wouldn't try to time the market. I wouldn't sell my ETH for this. ETH is still in a very good holding position. And your quarter one goal for this is probably going to be around 30, 100, 3000. I think it's a little bit too optimistic to say 3000 by the end of this year. But quarter one quarter two 3000, absolutely in the cards here. Look and go. Okay. All right. So you like 3K in early 27. What about Solana? How would you play that right now with what's happening with clarity? Very similar to ETH. It's been following ETH a lot. You know, you got your kind of momentum shift right here. And all likelihood, you're going to see some type of healthy correction, maybe down 15%, maybe 20.

9:10I like 90 bucks for this. And then after that, your quarter one goal probably is going to be around 120. And then hopefully sometime next year, you know, sky's the limit 150. We'll see what happens. We'll play it by year. But you do have you do have a nice technical target. Okay. It's only at 130. But you do, I mean, some people would even argue you could be a little bit more lenient with your technical target. So we've got a lot of people going forward. You can't really just do that. So if you're not in a state of poverty, you can just do that. And then you can do that. So if you're in a state of poverty, you can do that. You can do that. So you can do that. You can do that. Okay. I think it's a good goal for middle of next year. And then maybe in the middle of next year, 150, you know, swap another one of my picks going forward. What do you think it has been climbing here in the last few weeks? Or is this stand end of year? So I think like a lot of other things in all likelihood, you're getting kind of on your last legs of this jump up. I don't know exactly where, maybe down to like five bucks, somewhere in the fours maybe, and then Andy Year, hopefully kind of recovering, and then getting up to that $78 mark in quarter one,

10:10and then Skies the limit for this, it's tough to say Paul, obviously, for something like this, but I could see 12 bucks eventually, why not? Yeah, I could see 12 bucks eventually. All right, so you're still more on the camp that this next real major next move is gonna happen in early 2027. Nothing really toward end of year. I mean, every analyst, almost every analyst, including, I mean, I think Tom has, Tom Lee's been the most vocal, that his thesis is that this is an end of year bull run catalyst as opposed to an early quarter one catalyst in 27 year. You're almost free of hand. All right. Yeah, I don't think Tom Lee really is, it cares about seasonality and cares about these other things. He's more of a price cheerleader, you know, a different situation. Different situation. So Evan, let's go to a clip real quick. This is Matt Hogan, he's talking about why Bitcoin could be a little bit more resilient around what we're seeing in the markets right now.

11:11Take a look. You look the big whale of a story is the $40 trillion of debt going to $50 trillion, going to $100 trillion. The traditional portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% bonds is a 100% fiat currency. You're completely exposed to that. What Besson has said is he'll grow his way out of this thanks to the AI boom. He may be right. We may get that one in a million chance that it plays out exactly perfectly. So own AI stocks. If he's right, you get that. If he's wrong, the other way governments get out of this is by inflating away the debt. In that case, Bitcoin is the fastest horse. So you want to own that. All right, Bitcoin fastest horse. That's the debatement trade we've all been working on. Probably really since Bitcoin hit $59.K. When you look at that and the fact that we have Bitcoin ETFs now showing massive strength, where do you call Bitcoin toward the end of the year, Evan? So yeah, great question. Let's tell you what I think is going to happen. We get a healthy correction, maybe down to $69, maybe down to $65.

12:13And then end of year, probably after that, you get a little crab-ish bearish as the economy kind of shuts down for a little bit around the holidays. But end of year, maybe back to 80, maybe back to some of these areas. I would say the highest I could see end of year is maybe 90. If all goes well after the correction, but my guess would be around 82. And then your 90 is going to be your quarter one. That's going to be somewhere between January to March. And all likelihood. So something like this is my main prognosis to here. Okay. So you've got a 90 toward the end of your early January. January to March would be 90. And a year if I'd a guess a number between 70 to 80, probably around where we are right now. So kind of flat for the rest of the year. All right. So other things happening, of course, one catalyst that hit the market was Robinhood. It jumped almost 17% in overnight best session of the year. Wall Street quite a bit bullish here. And of course, Robinhood doing a lot in terms of really making this a market run.

13:15And now they're having a little bit of a challenge, at least with Robinhood training that I paused today. There are also some other issues happening around tokenized securities that could challenge this as well. But when you look at the Robinhood stock, is this one that you would continue to invest in longterm or is this more of a trade and kind of just do swing trading on it? Where would you stand on this one? Yeah. So Robinhood, to answer that question, it's a long-term hold, I think. I think this is going to do well for next few years. I think it's generally going to follow some type of trajectory like this and hit at least 200 somewhere between two to 300, you know, within the next two, three years. Now, shorter term, I think seasonality, you will probably see some type of healthy correction pullback between now and midterms. But after that, I do think you will continue forward and in 2027 potentially by the end of 207, 200 is a good goal. So I think Robinhood's pretty good. Does this not perform Bitcoin tough to say? I think it will perform similar to Bitcoin. I think it will perform similar to Bitcoin.

14:17I like it. I want to go on the opposite side of ETH. Look at BM and R. If you look at the big players out there, you could say BM and R, microstrategy circle. Those are plays, I think, that many people who are looking at crypto, but don't want direct exposure are doing right now. Where would you put BM and R? Obviously, like ETH for first quarter, would you follow up with that with BM and R? Yeah, it's a good hold right now. It's definitely a good hold. The thing I like, I mean, obviously hitting a speed bump, this is big resistance around 27 right here. You're probably going to see some type of healthy correction. You're going to form one of my favorite long-term bullish patterns, which is going to be a nice reverse head and shoulders. And then after that, you're probably going to break up order to a nice technical target, which is going to be, yeah, I mean, you got to take a little target probably around at least at 40, at least 3940, which could be a good quarter, one goal of 40 bucks. This could run, man. Evan, I want to go to your watch list for the end of the year. So if we get this dip, this technical dip

15:19that you're mentioning right now, and almost all the assets, you believe there's a retracement coming for this, where would you deploy capital if you weren't in the market right now? Top three tokens. So I would definitely be looking at hyper-liquid on a dip. I think there's definitely going to be a future of the tokenized assets that could have a good run for the next few years. Absolutely would be looking at chain link is one. I'm keeping my eye on it. Took some profits on that, but that could be a kind of a sleeper hit. And like we mentioned, there's a few things like uniswap that could be one that I'm definitely keeping my eyes on right now too for potentially lower risk high reward. You need to stop loss max, though. You need to look at your Bitcoin evaluations, but, yeah. Hyper-liquid had a pullback off of its all time high again yesterday, was up at 87, back down to 85. Where would be your entry if you were going on hyper-liquid? Where would you be? Would you look at this? Yeah, at least 20% down, which is going to be

16:20six low 60s I would hope for. I would hope for. I'm not 60s. Hopefully. All right. I like that list. There's a handful of others we'll probably try to get to. We definitely have to get. Another one to it have. We got to do a buy list for the audience, especially if this plays out based on what your thesis is, because there could be some other good tokens for shopping list toward the end of the year, good Christmas shopping or holiday shopping list for tokens. So, hey, Evan, thanks so much for coming in today. We'll definitely have you back. Yeah, thanks so much, Paul. It was an honor. If you liked this video, hit like and subscribe, drop a comment down below, and also join our free private member group, the link is in the description.