Markets Haven’t Priced In The End of Fiscal Tailwinds | Andy Constan

In this episode, Founder & CIO of Damped Spring Andy Constan breaks down the three major macro levers shaping markets right now: a cautious Fed at a leadership crossroads, a Treasury issuing cold water via its QRA policy, and a fiscal impulse that looks contractionary once tariffs are factored in. He argues that while markets may be riding “run it hot” narratives, the data suggests we're already slowing. Enjoy! __ Follow Andy: https://x.com/dampedspring Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance __ Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for £100 OFF https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london __ This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): vaneck.com/SMHXFelix — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:03) Debating Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle (04:13) Institutional Adoption & Regulation (04:57) Are Four-Year Cycles Psychological? (08:37) Bitcoin’s Evolving Political Impact (09:48) Ledger Ad (10:38) Bitcoin’s Evolving Political Impact (17:00) Institutions Are Slow & Steady (18:58) Reflecting on Bitcoin's Scarcity (22:20) Crypto Regulation & Institutional Impact (23:38) Ledger Ad (24:25) Retail Investors & the Four-Year Cycle (25:45) Adapting to Bitcoin's Middle Ages (33:28) Can Blockchain Support Incoming Demand? (36:50) Sovereign Adoption & Strategic Reserves (38:28) OG Bitcoin HODLers Cashing Out (41:38) Final Thoughts __ Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance