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That's then I have a good off top
I asked chat gft
What's the for the Dominic Fox show good off top usually has a few qualities a timely sports topic a little contrarian or philosophical
Open room for Dominic to riff ideally ties to culture business and psychology here five strong off tops right now that would spark good conversation
One are we entering the giant athletes era of sports? Why doesn't feel like every sport suddenly has a physically absurd players Victor woman Yama show Hayotani
Signed limbs and this is about training nutrition specialization of use sports
Dominic loves macro sports trends
Play music. This is the Dominic Fox word show
Welcome to the Dominic Fox show. I'm Dominic Fox or that's Charlie Kravitz slash chat gft. I don't trust that they get all
Do you want to hear some of the other off types? Are they even worse? Well, we're gonna get it
We're gonna start with the Max Crosby trade then we're gonna do some free agency talk what else we're gonna do in this show before you um
Embarrass me with what the internet that's about it like that
Well, the Crosby stuff is amazing and we'll we'll be back this week to break down all the free agency stuff, but we're gonna leave with that
Chat Jbt also said what's the most athletic position in sports if aliens get this one's not you at all this one's more me if aliens came down and asked for the most athletic position in sports
Who do we send them this is funny because you said that right before the
You said it would be Cleveland Lebron I think Cleveland Lebron might be if we
Out of all time if we had one guy and then you said show Hey, which is fair, but we don't see show Hey do the type of things that we saw
Cleveland Lebron yeah, but by the way, so chat gft. This is a great transition because speaking of rings not mattering and hypothetical champs
It's time to talk about the Baltimore Ravens
We're starting our glaze early this year because we're we're about to glaze the Baltimore Ravens who traded two first round picks for Max Crosby
Which is a massive transaction and I think it's really interesting to talk about the Ravens and the Raiders this but the Ravens
We should start with because they're your former team in your eyes. They've won the Super Bowl every year since 2018
And now they essentially have a pass rush
So where do you want to start with this trade? I think the best place to start for this trade is just with the impact on the field
Max Crosby's getting up there in years, but he's still incredibly effective
I believe the Ravens have had a trouble with their pass rush for a number of years
They've been trying to get green in the draft last year. They've been trying to address it. They use Van Noy as a pass rush
They had a season where they're super aggressive with the blitzing because they did not have the pass rush help that they needed
Where Kyle Hamilton was like their biggest pressure creator
And I think that adding someone who is
Allows them to not have to distort their defense in order to create pressure
And will get pressure on them. I think it's huge. It opens up not just the abilities of the players that they have
But I think their new defensive coordinator, which I guess in part will be Jesse Mender to hit coach and will be his philosophy
Yeah, it will be his philosophy and Anthony Weaver who was at Miami last year as the actual defensive coordinator
When you go into a game without the ability to create any sort of pass rush
It really limits what you're able to do and makes life a lot harder on the DBs
It forces you to blitz an important situation when you don't have to
So I think that what he's going to do this defense is incredibly impactful
So I'll steal your word
But without taking into the compensation but in a vacuum adding Max Crosby
Assuming he is healthy even though his like production drops some adding him is a win-win for this defense
Yeah, I mean he's one of those guys where I feel like also football guys talk about Max Crosby
And like the way he's able to play how bendy he is how long how weird he is to block
Because of how like crazy long he is I know Brian Baldinger calls him like the condor because of his wing span
What I'm fascinated by is actually comparing it to another trade
Which is the Michael Parsons one which is not one-to-one
Maybe I'm wrong that I viewed Michael Parsons as an asset in a slightly different tier than Crosby when he's traded
Part of that's age part of that's the fact that Parsons like walked in the door as like one of the best pass rushers
Like of his generation
His production was incredibly complete from his first to the last snap in Dallas
Similar to first round pick trade when you looked at what Parsons did for the defense when he was like that A1
Batman pass rusher how much easier it made for it made everyone else's job
Yeah, do you think that came into consideration seeing the fact that when you have someone who can win
It felt like Parsons could win like almost every rep for them
It made the rest of the defensive linemen better in green bays at the point that they're like
All right, well, you know, we're not gonna have quite a walker in that kind of ration
We can replace those guys I probably made their secondary better made made all their off-ball guys better when you see Crosby
Is that someone do you think he has the the capacity with him coming back him coming there Mattabique coming back to make
Kyle Hamilton's life considerably easier because they're basically the entire defense goes as he's gone
Rowquan Smith get more out of Wiggins, you know more like a last gasp out of Humphrey who's not you know they don't have to cover as long
All these things just become simpler. Yeah, I think comparing it to them the
Micro Parsons trade is the obvious one because of the compensation because of the position and because of the potential impact
Obviously, he's not micro Parsons either. I don't think the impact will be as large but I think that's the concept
And I don't think it has to be right as large to help this team
They've been trying I think I made this point but they've been trying to figure this position out
They've been trying to draft it. They've been trying to sign guys to figure this position out
It's the most probably the most sought after position. It's the most important position on defense
Yeah, we talk about the big nickel stuff like I mean tights did this on our show a year ago
And he's like how do you look at the value chart of the NFL? Right start the quarterback who's what makes life most difficult on the quarterback
Dominant past Russia. That's the guy you get the second biggest contract. How do you stop that guy left that and onward and onward
It's all stems from that and like seems like it's become hypervalued in in recent years with how quarterback dominant the league has become
And if you have a guy I think a lot of this is a little bit obvious once you hear it
But you need to be reminded of it when you have a guy that can't be blocked one-on-one
What it does for you defensively is it limits the play calls that you'll see from the offense
And it also forces the offense to adjust in order to block that guy
So when you're running a blitz per se you know that the line is probably going to be sliding towards your best past Russia
You know to run the blitz the other way to get somebody on the back
Like it just makes everything clearer reduces the flexibility for the offense and it improves your defense
You know we saw last year that there was so much quit game for the um for the Packers like their cornerbacks were sitting on routes
And they look so physical yeah the cornerbacks and look so physical they look so good because they were like look
I know that the opposing quarterback and opposing coach does not feel confident that they can block
Micah Parsons for more than two seconds. So they're gonna throw something short
Or a go like they're not gonna run intermediate complex scheme
So if the Ravens are are able to add that or are able to take those opportunities away from defense
Is just in their concepts alone just as they come into the game. I think that makes a defensive ton better
Of course we have to get into the fact that it was for two first round picks
And it's reasonable to argue that that's an overpay
Which I think in isolation maybe you could say that but it's not an isolation like I see this as a team
That recognizes that it's their time to win now they're going all in it's a bit of dragging your some of your winning
Your super bowl probability from the future to the present which I think is smart given that
That they have Lamar Jackson that we think is still in his prime right now
This is the window that they have to win a championship
So the value that are we sure he says prime? Yeah, I mean I
Think last year you could not you car last year was a different year for Lamar Jackson relative to the other two or the previous
Several years, but he also had injuries last year and the highs were still there
And I guess that's what happens sometimes as you can't hold it more consistently
But I think the worry is that you'll lose Lamar Jackson when you lose that lettuce and that lettuce is still there
Yeah, I mean last year he did not want to run nearly as well, which was a huge part of it
And he had his he had a down years to use under contract for two more years
Do you want to know what chat GPT would sit that you're going to say about this trade? Sure
Two first round pick sounds like a lot, but it's actually the price of certainty
That's GPT is much more concise than I am
And I don't believe it is certainty I think that's where it's wrong
I think my job is safer now because it's not certainty
It's it's increasing your likelihood, which I think is the right move to me
Am I going to be doing the show against chat GPT?
No, no, the last one I just was wondering because you were we look for off top saying I got time
No, no, no, I don't hate it. I'm not argued against it
I just think that it's I was wondering I need to heads up
I make my points a little tighter because I keep looking over and you're a computer like what is he doing?
That's it. I'm done with it. I think that's the argument
And you might call me out for fighting ghosts, but my guess is given the history of the Ravens
They've never traded it made a trade like this in the past. It's not first time pick period.
It's certainly not too. It's not something that they do normally
And they are a model of the top of the league kind of well run organizations
The Ravens are it and if they had never done it before suggested maybe it's not something they should start doing now
But they also have never had a player like Lamar and been in this situation
There's an easy argument against it, but I think the obvious answer is it's the right move
If you believe that it's going to improve your defense the way that I think it will
What do you think it has to be to be a success this trade?
Is it going to be a result of process driven because I think we can go back to the process of it
But like this is a team that's made the AC championship
They've flamed out in the playoffs whether it's by bad performances by Lamar
Drops by Mark Andrews random bad luck et cetera et cetera
They're the team that like even when they lose in the playoffs
Or cohort like they were the best team
Yeah, I mean, I think this is where the friction between process of results
I think really the rubber hits the road because you can't say that
Your process of results person and also
Believe that I guess there's an argument to make that this is the right process
But I think in a in a raw way to look at this the compensation was too high for a player like this at this point
At this age however, I think the results matter and the results that matter to me is does this immediately improve the defense
That's I was I kind of agree with you on that I think it's like
Even if they had like a random bad bounce the Austin division were around again
But if Max Crosby makes the defense so much better and all the guys you feel so much better about the roster about it
I still think like
Back to our vacuum I still in a vacuum that's a successful trade
It's like the rest of stuff around it and the other roster moves the other bad bounces are
I think it's it's about what you're expecting if you get the result that you expect and I think they're expecting the things that we laid out at the top of the show
And if they get those back and they happen to lose in a playoffs for some other reason then
And I think the I think it was a good trade
We think so even if it's like if it's this team that's that
Good wins third I know they didn't win 13 games last year a lot of stuff went wrong
The defense looked really bad the interior office of line which still needs to be fixed by the way
And this trade makes it harder to fix right maybe maybe they could have taken the Penn State Guard at 14 if you want to board
Which is like something a legitimate factual of this draft
That's a resign Rashon Gary draft that guy at 14 see what you can do around or see if you can get even Hendrickson on a sort of
Team friendly one-year deal on who knows that's the counterfactual that makes me second guess my belief that this was the right move to make
Is imagine and I don't think Rashon Gary is that type of player that's going to change your defense
But the assumption is
You're hoping that Max Crosby takes your defense to a top of the league defense. I think Rashon Gary
The hope is that he sustains your defense and gives you some support that you expect to be like
High in middle of the pack topic type of defense
And then you improve the guard play which was a big problem for you and you improve the coaching with mentor
Yeah, that's a yeah, that's a counterfactual that I could understand someone making the argument for
Just making the argument that you shouldn't have signed him and not addressing that issue that's been like
It's been killing him for years now
I think is the problem you present something that sounds like a reasonable facts Emily that's not what they did though and I like what they did
Yeah, I think so
What would you say if like a fan or like send an analysis as a any year?
Like assuming there's not some other crazy move or it's not like you know a contender that is
We don't realize yet has just like emerged and it's considered really better never in the AFC
We should get to the AFC big picture stuff at some point but like
Success their failure this team loses in the first or second round again
How it like even like it doesn't actually really change the outcome of this
But a fan is like this was stupid. This was never the problem to begin with so I they won't be wrong
Like if they don't win if they lose in the first round
It's gonna be a failure
They're gonna think they would have thought as a failure with or without Max Krosby
It's a bigger failure if you pay two first round picks and you lose in the first round
But what I have a problem with is and this is where the process result friction comes up is I get how the result is
Ultimately what matters in this league and in this sport and I'm not a process only type of guy because I do believe the results matter
But you have to kind of evaluate it in the situation and you're gonna make fun of me because I like to do probabilities
But I already brought it into the conversation once
I think you have to evaluate it that way is like how much of you increased your chances right now
That's all we can do how much of you increased your chances of winning a Super Bowl
And since the the future with Lamar in particular might be a little bit grey
Like right now is it's their window or at least the end of a particular
What's that you think this is like we're towards the end of the Lamar window
I think we're towards the end of this particular core window
I think other people believe more than me that maybe there's a different I see Lamar agent just fine as a quarterback
Obviously he's not going to be this MVP level forever in the last two years before this year
We're as you played as well as anyone's ever played
I don't see a clip of the season I don't see him falling off a cliff and the amount of running that he's done
Athleticism is always going to be part of his game even if it's not long runs down the field
Which he doesn't do those nearly as much unless they really need him when that fades his game is going to change
We even saw it with like last year
But I just mean other quarterbacks like Aaron Rogers athleticism seems to be gone
And it's really made it more difficult his arm talent seems to still be there
But I think his willingness to take a hit in his ability to escape the pocket
And create like second plays and within one play is gone
And that's killed a lot of what Aaron Rogers productivity is so that'll happen to Lamar
So that's interesting then so you you'd be cool with the reset of him in his early 30s
Rather than trying to like continue not like only reason I said that is because if you feel really good about him aging well
You're giving up to first for two year window at the past russia that like is sort of going in all all in now
So to me that I just wondered if that was something about how the Ravens viewed their window and how the Ravens viewed their roster
You have to start that with Lamar yeah, I think you have to combine so I think there's two things that you need to add this conversation
And make it a little bit different as it's not just about his physical
Deterioration which is going to happen every player. I think you have to look at how last season went
Yeah, and how the end of last season went where it felt like and maybe
Getting a new coach and all that was all that needed to happen
We didn't even know if he's gonna be on the team right there was a time when that was out there like that was a real thing
And so like I think that is what I'd be that's more why I'm like yeah, we got to go in now interesting
That'll be interesting like that to me seems more like a personal possibility than him being a bad quarterback
That didn't cross my mind. I just thought that like it was like last year
He was worse
Yeah, considerably worse his social media behavior behavior as of late suggests that he's really happy with the things that are happening
With the Ravens right now so like I think that he's probably in a better place
He never really said that he wasn't in a good place. It was all the reporting around that was like they were happy with them
They're talking about him not showing up to stuff and not being completely bought in in a way and that would be the Baltimore son article by then people
Refuted it being like this guy just has done hatch jobs in the past and then all the it seemed like all of his teammates took his side
Once hard I got fired and we're like this is you know start of a new thing. Yeah, right so that may not be a problem going forward
But that is what was in the back of my mind is like they don't know how many more years they have left and they know that whatever the decisions that they've made it feels like
Consistent with things that he wants and right now you go in and so is he like the most powerful player in the league now where it's like I was gonna
Harbour and then I was thinking that I was saying that back when he got rid of Harbour but then Josh Allen popped up and I was like oh he seems like it felt more
Josh like he was he's crushing into the joke where he's press conference. Yeah, like that felt more and it's all speculative
But that felt more like always going back to Josh Allen and Lamar. I mean that is that's the core of this league is
It's Apollo Creed and Rocky. Yeah, except Josh is the big strong one
Um, yeah
Those two seem I mean this is it is gonna be big for both of them right and big for
Both of their GM's in front offices because they both been really aggressive with the decisions that they've made and they both see this as
An all-in moment whether my homes are healthier or not I think they all go in but I think it doesn't hurt that my homes is not gonna be in for at least early portion
Like what do you think about I mean like it seems like the chiefs I my greed on this side is it feels like gap year for them like Duffy trade what
Homes coming off an a sale in LCL like we talked about this last show and I agree it feels like gap year
But we last time we thought it was got year they won a Super Bowl last year last time we thought it was a gap year for the Celtics now they might win the NBA championship
Who knows
But like the reason I said is like if if I'm looking around at the AFC like you can talk about when it's right to go all in
In in a team's life cycle is this the right time for the Ravens or have they have they done it perfectly or the bills who like with their with their desperation DJ more trade but like
Genuinely you're looking at the AFC and you're like holy
Drake may play this worst three games and made the Super Bowl with this really flawed team because of the schedule and he be Jared
Stidem in the AFC championship game like if it was ever more open if it was ever more like of a black box of a conference
Where if you make your roster really good you can go to the Super Bowl. It's now right again. We thought like two years ago
We're like oh my god. You have to get through Alan Jackson Mahomes and burrow. It's gonna be one of those four every single year and it's like well now
It seems like burrows team is pretty far away. It seemed like the bills were further broke bills and Ravens were further away last year
And Mahomes is maybe maybe on the shelf free you're not in the homes like the homes and the chiefs and maybe on the shelf for a year
Sorry, I'm gonna go I would never intimate that that Mahomes isn't playing next year
Relax how
Yeah, it's interesting because you're asking these questions and you're having a good time
You made fun of me before the show about the glazons and all and how and you're right like I think I'm assuming that like the betting odds swing in the Ravens
They could have traded two first round picture of manual Forbes even like missing feasts. We got him
You why do you pick on my man of manual Forbes is small corner. I like him as a play well though
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I see but anyway, you were going to say that but I I'd like to hear your position on it
You think this was a good decision or nah, I
You just want to make one of my my opinions. No, no, I think I think it I mean, I don't think it's
Clear necessarily like I think it was a good decision. I think I'll make the team better
Okay, but I don't think like the value is like clear. I don't think it's like a slam dunk
Okay, I think you could you could argue both sides
I think it was a slam dunk for the Raiders right I think it was a better decision for the Raiders than it was for the Ravens
I think they're in the wilderness and now they have
Potentially a franchise quarterback coming in Mendoza. They have a second first round pick each of the next two years and like
We thought that was going to be one of the worst organizations in football and and now at least they have a chance
They have a pathway. They have a door and the Ravens I think is like it's much more complicated
Yeah, I think the Raiders yeah, it's in arguable that the Raiders had no use for Max Crosby. They have a direction now
Yeah, so that that I think is is less to talk about there
We'll see how it works out with the decisions that they made, but I want to take it back to the Ravens
To evaluating the Ravens playing the result here. They win the Super Bowl
Like I want to take I want to like pin you down and it's not just you. It's just the general public
I feel like this is the the conversation where this
People are happy for Max Crosby to be there and think that is a good fit. It's gonna work out
But it does so much that's personality too. Yeah, it's a perfect rate
He is he he fits right in but it does feel like there's a
segment of like the
The football smart guys that are like oh you pay too much and I think you made in our pre show
You made a good argument for why you should stick to your like
Whatever your draft value chart is is like that's where analytics actually pays with the student
It's what I think is like the most interesting thing about analytics and football is just that there are more roster decisions
than there are in like basketball and I mean I know baseball is the minor leaks up
But you have right considerations about the 40 man who you're gonna keep prospect etc etc etc
But like in football with without guaranteed contracts the 50 with 53 players in the roster and assuming you have one carry over year to year with the quarterback
And like a couple franchise players you have more room to win on the margins of football year after year making the right decision
That's sort of how how he roseman has made a lot of decisions if he wins 2% on each transaction eventually builds up and they have
You know a roster that we look at in the 2024 Eagles and like that's one of the best rosters we've seen in the last two decades and
So like if you were to say to me don't like the all-in and making continue to make smart good choices eventually
That's the that's the way to win or that's the way to build a roster like I totally understand it
I think that is the analytics advantage and like the risk that how he would take is with like he trades right
I know but I mean the risk that he does take our kind of low
Like low costs high reward risk. Yes, like moving a pass or moving an edge rusher to off the ball linebacker
Like it might turn out to be incredibly good using a second round pick on a quarterback
Which is a higher amount of trade the first-round pick for AJ Brown
Yeah, that's it. It's just a really good thing when it was basically the value of the I think it was the 18th pick
It was the trail on Berks pick right because they didn't want to pay because I guess the Titans didn't want to pay him
But and I think that's the point for me at least is
At some point if you're going you can just have a robot making these decisions
I think that there are like over the course of your time your tenure as a general manager running a team
I think you're right like make the smart value decisions every time you can
But there's some you're not going to like financially win every trade
There's sometimes where you have to overpay. I think about it like buying concert tickets. It's like yeah
This this aftermarket is gonna cost me more than the face value of of this concert
But I really like this artist more than whoever is selling the tickets. It's worth doing and I think
That I feel the same way about some of these trades, which is why it kind of runs me the wrong way when we use the same
Analysis like the same draft value analysis chart to evaluate a trade and say you lost this trade because you actually
Based on this chart you paid more than you should have. Yeah. No, no
I get that and I think that like discipline like you the Ravens could have been disciplined in one
Games for the next decade and like there's there's times to take risk and
Like good gamblers make big bets when I think that they have perceived odds that they're in their favor
And that might say more about the conference
They might more say about where they think they are in the life cycle this team or how they want to count out to them
I mean, there's a we don't know that's sort of a black box for us of how I've what went into making this decision for them
And it's not no for pay if they if they end up winning, but I think you know, I don't know this one's it's it's complicated
It's definitely it's it's complicated. He's a huge impact player and like I actually think that like
Their defense is going to be way way better with him
Which is how I would have evaluated it
But then it's also like you like we should look at some of the other
Multiple pick big trades like the sauce gardener trade last year. We were like whoa
Bad trade, but I think immediately that one is easier because again
The reason why I say that trade was bad was not because of how much it cost although that was part of it
Was because I didn't think that team was as close as that team thought they were. Yeah, like I don't hate that
That trade if if they are like on the verge and they feel like they need sauce gardener to give them that defensive flexibility
Get over the top. I didn't think they were that close
So I didn't think it was a great trade. I love paying big money or big compensation for cornerbacks
But and also sauce gardener is very good. Yeah, he's not Patrick Sartane
Yeah, he's not locked down. We can turn all our attention away from him
And I you know, I do think that like you know the Micah trade even though he tore his ACL like I still think that was great trade
Great trade
In process and results even they didn't win the Super like they you know, I we saw it
It was totally transformative to the defense
But also I don't think anyone thought that two first rounds was two first round picks for too much for
Possibly the best like pure pass rusher and the league and his early door in his mid 20s like 26
Yeah, no one thinks that that was too much, but you you've really managed to dodge all of the question
No, I don't know. That's why I'm gonna hit you with this question. I'll answer it
I was my initial reactions like damn. That's a lot. Yeah, I thought about it more and if I were
Erick DeCosta would I make that trade is the question that I'll ask to make sure that you cannot wiggle out this anymore
They call you and they say two first round picks do you say yes or do you say no? I would say yes
I
Think I would say no. Yeah
I'd say have a one in a three. Okay. No, it's not a negotiation. You don't get you don't get to walk away with
Max Crosby the point is either you get a boy you don't and you're saying no and I'd say like how about how about one in a three Tom?
No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, you still you still are trying to find a way to avoid
Make it the firm decision. It's not the question isn't a one or three the question is you take this trade or do you like the
The trade that you propose or the other avenue you propose is signage on Gary
We don't know what he's gonna get but he's probably gonna get a good amount of money in drafting a guard
That's the those are the choices sign Gary draft a guard or don't sign it in draft a guard and make the trade for
Max Crosby you don't get to pretend like you're gonna negotiate them down
Future hair transplants a thousand units of Botox and a first and a third fine. All right, he says yes
No trade no trade you're not getting it no trade. I just want to take the other side
I mean, I'm honestly unsure because like I you don't have to take that aside. We explored it all everything's on the table
I just was wondering which would actually do it's like right on the line
That's one of the most interesting. I know that's why you got to make a choice. You're refusing to make the choice
I'm I'm trying the ESPN model. I'll stand or I'll stand by it when if it goes all the right
I'll be like damn I blew that trade, but you gonna be like not see I told you and if it works out
You say see I would have got it for a one in a three. I'm a discipline coward
Oh gosh, so what do you think about the time they did this like getting to the
Waiting towards the end of the life cycle because I
Was I root for a team that quote-unquote went all in in Washington at the quote at the beginning of a lifestyle and did it
Life cycle and they didn't a really dumb way for a window
But like would you have liked to see this move when Lamar was 26 or 27 because he's already won like a bunch MVP
Isn't was the best one of the three best players in football and they were so close. No
No, I don't I mean, I think that they had super we've said like this was this is the joke like they've had superbow caliber teams for
Much of Lamar's career and they haven't won so like I think had they gone all in
earlier when they were
13 and four I would have been like why are you trading this first round picks like this team was good enough to win the superbow
Just had bad luck. They didn't get across the line
And you're trading these future picks. You're shortening your window like I would have been surprised and disappointed in those in that trade at that time
This feels like more of a time where the trade makes sense where it feels like all right
We're gonna have to sign an extension at some point
We're gonna have to make some new decisions at some point right now. This is our chance to go all in
I like it as a move now. I don't like it earlier. I agree. I asked uh, oh god. I asked Chatchy PT what I would say
And uh
They said that I would talk about it in the real question isn't the picks. It's the window. It's about yeah
They know that you would hide from it and not make a choice. Yeah
This is scary. I was where we first started show. I was gonna say my job is safe
The job is less safe now. Wow. How are we different yet? I saw if I got to go wild curveball now
Yeah, we're gonna have to really
Re-evaluate our opinions and yours that you're you're supposed to say too late round first is the price of certainty
And I am supposed to say too first and a lot and then we move on
So I guess it's time. It's uh, I guess it's time to ask the final questions about this for sure
When you've looked before you go to the rest of the agency stuff is
When you've looked around the league
About teams that have gone all in or haven't gone all in and have missed windows
Is there like a lesson you've learned from that because I think right now we're an interesting spot
We just talked about the dip in the ASC, but we've also seen
The Rams
Go
Afterwards and then revealed but they went all in they want a Super Bowl and they might be doing it again where they are
Made this McDuffy trade and I'm sure they're gonna continue to make moves to improve
Already one of the complete rosters. Do you think about
Team like the Cowboys do you think about Cowboys come to mind as a team that has like
Statistically, they've been really good for a long period of time
But never really had any playoff success which I think you would argue that over that period of time
One of these times they would have gotten lucky and gone on a run or things were broken in their favor
And you would say like hey, don't have to go all in
But the windows are so small the opportunities is so short looking back on it
I think that's the way that
Sometimes I think I've said this to you before is sometimes the way that I try to make decisions is like
What bad result would I be comfortable with like and I think
I would be a lot more comfortable having gone all in and things not working out then
Thinking that like I have I got a state of course, which may be the wrong instinct
But believing like
Trust the process stay the course like I understand and agree with that
But I think the difference is that ability at some point or that confidence or security at some point to be like you know what
This doesn't add up exactly the way it's supposed to add up
But I know we need this and this will put us over the top where this will give us a chance
I'd be much happier having made the move
And it cost me then not make the move and it cost me assuming you don't win a Super Bowl on either out
I rather not win a Super Bowl
Having tried some
Yeah, I mean we saw that like how close the 49ers were are they traded from a cafe they
Traded up to get trade lance it didn't work out, but like I like that as a strategy
Because I think one of the things that we talk about is organizational stability and why the Ravens are so good is because they don't do
Like this often, but I don't I think the problem is you get into a place where you're like no
I have to be computer man. I can never do that. That's how computer guys
That's not what I think like good leadership is. I think good leadership is being whatever the Ravens do
It's well played. I lose this around
This one's for you. I hope they win Super Bowl
Hey, I'm gonna remember this because you don't get the Max Crosby gets 15 sacks
And it's the best defensive football you don't get to come back around and give me any credit that I
Not allowed
I know but that that was funny I heard my feelings because it was good
It's not whatever the Ravens do. So whatever Aussie does. Yeah, simple. So whatever Aussie does
I earned the cost that gave Aussie a call to most like hey Aussie was about this Aussie was walking on the treadmill
Caught in yeah, that was Aussie out. I'm a start doing that walking uphill. Yeah, that's how Aussie every morning would be
With all his papers on the treadmill limping uphill cuz yeah, it's some knee surgeries and that's the key as the secret key to be
Is it like the thing like it's like that's way better than you for you than you lift a color running on the treadmill doing like 30 minutes uphill
It's so boring. Not if you bring your work with you. I like Mina watches all of her reality TV on the treadmill
Yeah, and I'm like I tried I've tried to do like the walk uphill and like watch love is blind only dogs only dogs like Aussie and Mina can do it
Yeah, I just like I don't have that dog in
I'm not a super achiever
Not like them. It's like I just think we just found out that
Mina kind of is the Aussie decent
That's not good ahead of ourselves. She's good. Yeah, but can I take the team that I wish had gone all in and like I know
They're so close, but it feels like they're at the end. It's kind of it's for me
It's the Lions and I know they made like a million right decisions
But just I was thinking about that with Montgomery trade and like
How close they were to winning a Super Bowl and like the stuff that Dan Campbell said about it and maybe the the offensive line will be
As improved next year and Tislaw will break out none of this matter and it'll seem stupid, but like
That offense was so fun to watch an aesthetic for like the last like three or four years and they were
They finished fourth in an incredible AFC North this year and it just feels like that window
If they could have found a past rush or if Aden rushes
It didn't get hurt and they had a past rush or next to him could have been
Like a Super Bowl team
They never were able to make that big final swing to get there. Yeah, I mean
The decisions that Brad Holmes made up into this point were good and I think one of the keys to
A really good front office and coaching staff is like the flexibility
I think they were setting up for a rebuild when they got Jared golf and like the flexibility to be able to shift into like going after it
Because I assume that they didn't think that
Jared golf was going to be their long-term answer at quarterback
But they did and they shifted into a pretty fast rebuild and you're right like looking back on that
I think it would have been nice. I don't know what the exact move is
I think you're right like another end to improve that defense. That was like a man heavy defense would have been
Nice, but they tried so many things around around the edges of finding that and then obviously the Hutchinson broken leg
Effected a lot of the plans too and they were so injured on defense the year that
They never had the benefit of a quarterback on a rookie deal
Yeah, which is like it's funny that we have so many quarterbacks on rookie deals in the league right now
I'm not sure it's the advantage that
It used to be where you have quarterbacks playing well on rookie on rookie deals, but
Every team I think wants to have that move that they feel like swings their odds and max crossby well
I think does swing the odds
I'm looking forward to seeing who has those opportunities going forward. They're the favorite now in the UFC
They are yeah, I'm not surprised. I mean
Everybody loves the Ravens except for you
I just I get appropriately excited about the Ravens. That's it
You're not appropriately excited about this trade you're acting like there's two ways to think about it
Now you're right. There's two ways to think about it. It's like it's so right on the line
Like I wonder if you had a value chart and it was like this is like directly on
I think we're there ones when you win the trade and you're like this is in the green we're called in
Caught like called in this idiot GM has called me like, but I think that all the stuff that we talked about at the top of the show
Is what puts it over the line is you're not just paying for this plan of course
You're paying for what this player means to the rest of the players on your defense and how it improves your team
But whatever you know what effort I'm in
All right, good. You can come to the parade and no party
I think if any team won the Super Bowl what I get to invite to the party
I feel like the Ravens is the only team that I might actually the Broncos
I don't think I get to invite the whole regime is different now the Ravens might be the only team
That's still has the same regime from when I play so we got a room for the Ravens. We got to go to the after party
I'm in a room for the commanders, but
I know when you begin Ravens vs commander. There's the after party whether you win or lose. There's always after party
I've gotten to plenty of commanders laws after
I'm talking about the Super Bowl
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Let's talk about
A couple teams that we're on the Eva free agency when you hear this free agency will be starting today in the monday
You're we're recording this on Sunday and so we don't know all the deals they're gonna happen
We'll update you as this happen as as they come in but
I think an interesting way to look at this is teams that can swing the upcoming season
Based on how free agency in the draft and offseason goes of teams like you know
So there's going to be a team that surprises. It's not just all playoff teams
But a lot of them are somewhat predictable and so I have
Three teams you have three teams and who are who are teams that you think could leave the offseason and really swing the outcome of the NFL season
We'll go one for one right. I think the the Texans are to top my list of teams that could swing offseason
And part because they're defense. They're not really losing anybody
I think they they might resign a tackle
But that's the only like a interior defensive alignment is the only person only thing they need to address on their defense that was
Perfect last year that defense going to keep them in a bunch of best unit on either side of the ball in the NFL
And I know the sea hawks have historically great defense. Oh, yeah, superball
I agree wholeheartedly with you and I think that defense is going to be back
Of course, this is injury sliders off. We can't predict how that's going to
Turn out, but they have a good receiving core. They added Montgomery to the backfield, which I think helps
But there's one big issue. Well, I guess two issues depending on how you view it
But it's the offensive line in particular the interior of that offensive line needs to be addressed
Which also is tied to the quarterback and see I was wondering if you're going to mention that yeah
The last time we saw him play football like
It was something that
My perception of him as a quarterback has changed because of that day seeing him play that game against that Patriots team where
Drag may kept fumbling the Patriots couldn't do anything against that Texan's defense the only way the Patriots
We're going to score was if CJ Stroud was going to turn the ball over and like
He he looked
McCarthy in well, let me remind you look McCarthy in I'll help your argument
Steelers gave me was bad in that too. I because I remember distinctly
Picking the Texans to beat the Patriots in part because it's like CJ Stroud can't play that bad in two games in a row
Like then he went out and played worse. So it's fair
However, I think that we have enough good
Tape to be like he's not bad. I think there's a little party that thinks he might suck because of that game
No, that he could never he couldn't have regressed and that there was a knockback. He's cut really come down to earth
Yeah, I mean, I think that there's an easy story to believe that he regressed and a lot of times a regression for quarterbacks in particular
It's tied to like insecurity in the pocket around offensive line and he's yet to have a good offensive line
So yes, he could have regressed it could be a result of the offensive line
I guess none of it matters all that's true
But I do believe that he's still as a talent you can look back at his tape last year
And see a bunch of really impressive plays and throws the problem is he was in situations where he had really ugly ones too
So I think we
We probably anchored ourselves to the first season which honestly going back which I said last year wasn't as good as we remembered it
Because it was like a really surprising good season him and Anderson were surprisingly really good early on Anderson
Of course, I think is on a Hall of Fame trajectory
But I think CJ Stroud is like
A high middle quarterback is interesting to one if you read draft that draft. Oh, yeah
No, maybe not who else is in that draft is Bryson
It was Bryson. I'm sure it's Stroud. There were no good quarterbacks there. We're like late in that draft
I mean, I think the way Anderson impacts the game is incredible. So yeah, it's I think you take Anderson over Bryson Stroud right now
Which probably wouldn't have last year to take Stroud because the quarter was great draft because that was then it went
Anthony Richardson joy still out
Devon Devon withers wins that draft B. John Jalen Carter Jamira Gibbs Christian Gonzalez Jack Campbell JSN
How'd you suck me into a red draft? We're not doing a red draft. We're not a little eventually
Well, we'll never do a red draft. I mean, it's they are a fascinating team because they're defensive
Like if it gets figured out if he if Stroud can play well if that offensive line can
Can like change things and like yeah, maybe some of that scar tissue goes away that that game was just crazy because obviously the weather was
Oh, no, I think the Broncos game with the weather so bad to like I know the weather was bad in that game too
It was it was wet in that game also
But it honestly felt like if they threw the ball zero times they would have had a better offense like zero
Yeah, the defense was put in a mean shape or put in a mean good
Like if they just run for consecutive push pushes or three in punting and see if the
Let's get some first down my first ones the Vikings. Yeah
Brian Flores is back
They have excellent coaching on both sides of the ball with KSC
They obviously have Justin Jefferson. They are able to manufacture offense
They have one big question. It's the same as the Texans which is the quarterback and
Maybe they're the team when you're listening to this that sign Kyler Murray and the whole Kyler Murray discussion
Like I understand that they're flosses. It's gotten so weird given the given the quarterback situation
The idea of him on like a one million dollar deal where he cuts like one million dollars against your cap
Or like having that or JJ McCarthy is crazy the upgrade that could be there and it's like
Are they just like hiding in plain sight that we're going to look up and it's like oh
There are 12 win team again and Flores is coaching this defense to be crazy and Kyler's
The comeback player of the year or they trained for Mac Jones who we know can play in a system like that and he's like very
competent in that and like it's just a huge upgrade and the team is immediately like very very good again
Yeah, I don't think they're hiding though. I mean I think
I think we all expect that they are the team
They were last year and they are this year that we feel like it's a quarterback away
And I mean with Daryshaw hopefully fully healthy and playing well like they have a good offensive line and
That's that's a huge thing because I think that gives you more flexibility with what you do offensively
But yeah, that the defense is gonna be good assuming Brian Flores will be able to coach him up
He doesn't really put bad defenses on the field so
Yeah, I think that's it's not a whole bunch of
They just
You might have changed some he might have softened after his time in Miami
Did I opinion of that because I felt like at that time we all were like hey coaches don't be
But things have fallen apart in Miami sense and I felt like maybe people going back like hey
Maybe they need an asshole. That was the funniest thing that Stephen Ross is like we need a disciplinary
kind of
Mike McDaniel and then you had like Raheem Mostard being like he didn't command enough respect
That was that wasn't fair though. Well, whatever
All right, my other team is is a bit of a cheat though
I guess it's the bills if you get away with the Vikings I can say the bills. Oh, yeah
I mean the bills they have Jim Leonard taken over the defense and he's coming from the Broncos
Obviously the defense is where they need more help considering the fact that they re-sign my government
Maybe they'll sign the guard Edwards to or they'll find someone else like Isaac say my little there their guards available
I'm less concerned about them addressing that position for the great offensive line
They traded a second-round pick for DJ Moore, which I'd like to move
Would it happen now when I'm looking at these other holes? I'm thinking like hey sure would have been nice to have a second-around pick
To address some of these defensive um shortcomings, but yeah, we're trying Johnson
Yeah, but the the defensive issues are interesting to me because assuming Jim Leonard is trying to run something similar to what they did with the Broncos
Like it's a 3-4 with good pass rushers and a lot of man coverage
So like that's the big difference is they didn't have the greatest man corners
I think heristin will be fine in that situation
We'll see whoever else taking sign. So I think
Signing free agents at corner and through the draft will really help me feel more confident about this defense
I wonder if they feel secure with their receiving court now. I hope they do like you don't trade away that second-round pick
And then still think you have to sign a big free agent receiver, but maybe they do
Go get Mike Evans get another one sign bring back digs
Yeah, that's not happening sign Alec Pierce
Yeah, I mean Rashichi he has has Alec Pierce become the most underrated and overrated receiver
Coming into this. I mean, I think Alec Pierce. I love him. Yeah, he's great. He's got to be a commander
That'd be I would love that. Yeah, that would be awesome. We'll see. Oh
I mean, I'm underrated then it'll work perfectly like the deep ball throwing of
Jane Daniels and Alec Pierce
Taking a root off the defense Alec on one side scary Terry on other. Yeah, super bowl championship
I mean, I just want to get offence
I just want to get offence. Yeah, that's my next team the commanders where we're gonna
Swing the out. I'm just yeah. Okay, so a lot of locks you lost a lot of holes. Yeah, not a quarterback. No
um
You know what this isn't really interesting one
The Seahawks now they handled their offense
Because obviously they're a funnel to JSN to begin with but they have they didn't franchise tag
Kenneth Walker
It's a really weird running back draft really weird not saying that that's everything but
The I think there's a world where if they don't
Handle this off season and find another pass catching option shaheeds gone Kenneth Walker is gone
Where despite the fact that they're incredibly well-coated to the Super Bowl champions we have
So much more faith in Darnold and JSN
I'm particularly done on what we did last year and the demons are gonna be excellent where
If I kind of think if they don't nail the the offseason offensively they could be a considerably
Less special team next year. I mean they're gonna lose mafia and like job and reek no kubiak
Yeah, mafia to the the past Russia job and reek are the corners that I mean
I know that reek will and was like on the outs, but like he's still a good player
They their team is gonna change is gonna look different. I think the
this is
Long story short their quarterback is
Is not a top of the league quarterback. Yeah, and this is why the
Marginor aerosol slim for teams that win how much less faith do you have in them without kubiak there?
I don't know. I'm not sure that my faith in him
Because I don't think they yeah
I
Wasn't all that high on him. Yeah, so like I don't
I don't think the kubiak thing matters as much like he's showing that he could play well under kubiak
He played well with koc and with the weapons there
I think the running game is the most important part. I think he needs that that helps him out a great deal
So that's why the margin is so slim for them is a great quarterback allows you
To get away with a lot more and he's not great
And I don't think anybody would argue that he's great even though he's a super bowl champion
That's why it's interesting is to your point about making a bunch of little decisions right
They can't afford to make too many wrong decisions like you could you could blow a bunch of decisions
If you have a top of the league quarterback which which they don't yeah
If you want to hear someone just talk about sam d'arnal being a top of the league quarterback
Listen to the right time with bomani john's all he all he does is talk about how sam d'arnal is the is the best
Check out his super bowl. Oh
That's not true
You're gonna have somebody disappointed when they go there. He starts calling them same
Do you have anymore? Oh, I mean, I think I want it
I felt like those are a little bit easy. So I threw the giants in there too. I think the giants was fascinating
Yeah, I think that you assume that they've had upgraded the coaching staff
Assume that all their young you a job grade right horrible. Yeah, right
But I mean all this is win and run a program in a professional manner
And all their young players get a year older they have
One really good offensive lineman and this feels like the quarterback who's
Turns his brain into mashed potatoes on a weekly basis a running back who was
Uh as fun as it gets, but had his ankle go the wrong way
They have muleek neighbors who was walking with a cane two months after ACL surgery
But when he played was probably a top five receiver in the NFL over his first 20 games
It's a really and they can get after the quarter back. Yeah, they have a lot of the difficult the hardest things
They already have the
The only problem with them is the quarterbacks young and
They need the same thing that everyone else needs
O lineman
And so like they have a left tackle which is hard to find
But it feels like this year a lot of the teams and I'm like hey if they could just fix this
All of them is like guards and centers and you add the bears in there also and that's the same thing that I think
the the giants need but
How fun were they when they were healthy before it like it got like real old at the yeah
Just seeing the dark dark going to the blue tent a lot but like
It was really fun when him and scatibu were playing dar was good even all the way through like he's
He can clearly play um yeah, and I think it's it all is built around taking the pressure off of him
And so he doesn't feel like he has to like make all these plays and the defense
I think has a really good foundation with that front four so
That if I'm picking one team that comes out and nowhere
I'm not sure yeah, the things that they have to do in the offseason and through the draft and free agency is gonna be solidify that offensive line
I think add another weapon to for for neighbors, but
That's that
So we agree on the Ravens trade. Yeah, we agree great trade
You're gonna pretend like you were joking if it doesn't work out. I'm like no you made me do it anyway
You can check back the table. I don't know. I don't know Jim
It's really close when we do the end of the deer
End of the year show when we embarrass ourselves with all the things we got wrong
You're gonna cut out the portion of this conversation where you were like nah
I don't know it's right on the line and if it works out you cut out the portion where you're all in
I know your game of course you and Brian trying to make me look bad anyway
Thank you so much Charlie for joining us. Thanks to all the great producers. Thank everybody for watching and listening
That's it. I love you part that we out. This is the Dominique Fox worth show
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