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The Propcast drops a baseball episode as Adam and Scott share their favorite player props for Friday's action. They each share three props before wrapping up the show with their best bets. Adam and Scott also create an Underdog Fantasy entry.
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And welcome everyone to the prop cast here on of the sports game podcast. Now we're currently
Friday afternoon, April 17th, around one PM East from time. I'm Rose Scara, I shell joining
in bad Rose Bird together, we're in breakdown. Baseball place afforded the Friday card.
We took a brief detour to hockey. We hit a nice unrug entry as well.
We hit a nice very nice underdog entry. So yeah, definitely a sweat though. We needed a shot
there at the end from Terry. We added the empty net assist that were needed from Snuggie.
So appreciate that. But either way, once again, nice unrug entry win for us or back.
Good way to close that season. Yeah, good way to close the regular season in a very weird day.
I had a void in hockey, which is just funny because how it ended up not playing. But either way,
a nice unrug win. I went one, one and one, but unrugs all that matters. So a nice win for us.
Adam, how's it going with you? What's up? It's good. You sound great with your new microphone.
Oh, the microphones are the same. I just changed the position. Okay. Well, it sounds great.
I've been busy all morning with an updated tech setup. So hopefully it ends up working out. But
yeah, I got a tripod now. I got a new camera. Yeah, a lot of a lot of stuff this morning.
I'm going to take a nap after the show. So that's it's a big day for big day for you.
Yeah, I'll take a nap. So either way, once again, looking forward to some baseball.
We're going to break down our favorite props in a second before we get into the actual props.
The reminder that the Stanley Cup playoffs are here as they start tomorrow as well,
along with the NBA hockey gambling podcast has you covered tons of podcasts,
picks for those exciting playoffs and sports. Listen on the SGP and app or check it out and
Spotify or Apple. So once again, check it out on wherever really wherever you get your
podcast and reminder, let it slide. So moving on into our actual props that we have for baseball
on Friday. Adam, what's going to be your first prop for the show?
Hang on, I'm adding a talking point to my other ones. But look, well, first one I'm going to go
with is we're going to go with Drake Baldwin over one and a half total bases. It's plus 111.
Taiwan Walker is on the mound for the Phillies. And while he gets better as he pitches more,
he doesn't do well early. So I'd love to target guys early in the lineup. He does not do well
against lefties. Baldwin's been great. He's been very easy about him getting on base.
230 ISO, five home runs, 17% barrel rate, last five games. He has 300 average,
350 OPP 714 OPS, which is lower, but that's still very good.
At seven total bases, 22 played appearance. And again, this is a good split. His last 30 played
appearances against Rides 360 520 slugging and a 1.16 ISO. So he's he's hitting Rides very,
very, very well. And Walker in his last 60 played appearances against lefties, 8.71 ERA,
a whip of 203 and a expected Wobba 435 barrel rate of 10%. So he's given a bow. He's given
a part contact in his last 60 played appearances against Rides. 1.5 is pretty low. I think he should
be able to get this pretty pretty easily. Yeah, but he didn't wet their two in Philly.
What is the price was again? 111. Yeah, I like it. I mean, he's been a wagon all year. He's
been one of the main catalysts for that at Lanta offense. So yeah, of course, I like him as a player.
I gave out his HR a couple of episodes ago and that got there too. So yeah, I like Baldwin.
Good overall player. I've been moving on into my first play. I am going to go with a batter prop as well.
The new owner of the Yankees. I'm going to go with Mike Trout. I'm going to go with this over 1.5
bases at plus 125. He's been an absolute machine lately. He's had at least two bases in six straight,
last five games, 400 batting average, a 452 expected batting average, and a hard hit rate
of 58.8%. He's been an absolute monster. You have Waldron who's returning to the majors after
barely pitching last year because of injury, but so far in his career, really not great knuckleball
pitcher, 4.86 career ERA, 31 homeruns allowed. At the end of the day, I think Trout can make some hard
contact and I think that with his current form, I think it's a great price overall. We know Trout
not the same speed he used to have, but still pretty fast. He ended a double, he ended a home run
again, a couple of singles. But either way, I do think you're looking at a good spot for Trout.
For this price especially, forgot it's been rolling for a week straight. Give me Mike Trout
over 1.5 bases plus 125. Yeah, we talked about it. Trout's like the guy who I would definitely
won the spot. It's a tricky spot for the Angels. They flew back west and didn't have an off day
in between. So generally, when that happens, I like to fade a lineup, but I think you and I talked
about it offline, but Trout's probably the only person that lineup who's seen a knuckleball.
So I'm not as worried about him, but I'm not back in the Angels offense on this one today overall,
but I do like, do you like the plan? Trout looked, Trout's crushing the ball right now.
I'm surprised the price is that long at 125, the fact that he's been measuring.
And I think it's factoring in that they just had like that when you fly, like teams of fly
east to west and don't have off days, like it's it impacts their lineup sometimes. So I think
you're probably getting a little bit of a rub on that. Yeah, but 125, I can't turn that down.
Knuckleball is going to be completely about control and he can easily just walk twice. That's true.
I don't know who's catching for him. I got to check.
Sorry, let me just check that right now. So for the Padres, we're looking at, it's not confirmed,
but for me and is listed as the catcher at the moment. So we'll see. But there you go.
Mike Trout bases at plus 125. Moving on into your second play for Friday. What do you like?
The other one we're going to go to Fenway. I think this is going to be a solid series for the red
socks. I believe it. Hold on. As I as I look at it, yeah, they're at home, aren't they? Did I just
completely talk to her? Yeah, they are at home. Like this is completely true. I have a play in that
game that I'm ever mentioned in a second. So yeah, they're in for me. We're going to go with
Casey Meyers over one and a half walks aloud minus 117. He's got a 9% walk rate on the season.
His walks on the road are he's a night and day person versus when he's at home. He's averaging 1.5
on this, but he's also just, he's the only hitting the zone 47% of the time, which means he's
trying to paint outside anyway, and he doesn't have swing and miss stuff. So I expect red socks to
probably get some more of those calls because they're at home. First pitch strike is only 63%,
which is also low. So he's behind and counts. And he's got a whip of 1.44. So he is giving up those
kind of walks. If you guys are hit rate people, which you guys know, I'm not, because I think that
that's stupid. He is over this in, you know, two of his three starts. The one time he went under it,
no surprise. He was at home, as I was saying. And the red socks, you know, they find they've
been finding ways to be able to draw walks. They drew three against Simeon Woods Richardson,
they drew three against Lady. These are all against Wrighties that have mild, out of their mild
controllers, here's Miz through four. These are, they've been really well drawn walks at home,
you know, two against Woodruff, three against Walker Bueller, three against Burrows when they were
in Houston. So give me Casey Meyers again, who I do not like on the road, averaging, he's like
his averaging to the season period. So give me him over one and a half walks at minus 117.
Yeah, good price. Boston's got guys that work counts. So I definitely like that too.
Yeah, I have a play from the same game before I get into that, though, reminder that we are brought
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Welcome back everyone to the prop test finish going through first cold props of Friday.
Kind of move on into my second play for Friday. So for this one, I'm going to go with the same
game as the Red Sox take on the Tigers. Give me Ranger Suarez under four and a half strikeouts
at plus one-thirteen. His strikeout metrics this season, not very good. 18.3% K-Rate,
8.1% swinging strike rate, and a 17.6% with rate. So once again, we know that Suarez,
in general, pitches the contact, and it has been definitely the theme so far for him this season.
The Tigers also have quite a little bit amazing when it comes to once again avoiding strikeouts
against lefties. The Tigers have a 17.1% K-Rate against lefties, which is the fourth
fullest in the entire league. So based on that, I like the actual spot for the Tigers to make
contact. They can still struggle against them, but I think that you're looking at a good opportunity
for the Tigers to make contact for Suarez to pitch the contact. And based on that, I do think
four and a half at plus money is a good price. Give me the Ranger Suarez under four and a strikeouts
prop at plus one-thirteen. Yeah. Look, they don't walk. They hit a lot of soft contact.
This is, or they don't strike out. They don't, they make tons of soft contact. I think it's a,
I like it, it's funny because it's an understrike outside. I do think it's a good matchup for Ranger,
though. I think that he gets more of an outplay of anything, but that's based on a little
pitch count courtesy of a lot of soft contact. Yeah, that's what he does. I see Joe asking about
the Soriano over 17 and a half outs. I don't hate it. Starters went on trips, road trips, fly ahead
of the team. So he's been back in California at least two days. The fade for me is on the
offense of the Angels, especially after a pretty big output in Yankee Stadium. But I don't,
I don't hit Soriano today. Soriano, I covered this in my pod. Soriano's got a couple really good
starts to come. It's not, there's a Soriano fade spot is coming. He has a first pitch strike
percentage. It's under 60 percent. But not today. But it's not today. It's not the next start,
either. He's got two straight good home starts. Cool. So keep that in mind in the future,
but I'll go with Ranger once again to not strike people out. Like moving on into your last play
for the show. What are you like? What did I like? Where is it? Where is it? Where is it? Where is it?
Oh, okay. So this is again tied to a play that you like. Joe Ryan under three and a half hits
allowed. I got it at plus one 50. It is now plus one 25. But he's got elite contact suppression.
Season expected. Wova is us two 57, which is absurd. Is this your walks? The contact's been fun.
Yeah. Yeah. But he's at home. And he always pitches better at home.
Babip is opposing. Babip is 259. So it's not luck driven. He's obviously not people.
These people are not hitting the ball. Whip under one. And he has a really good strike out pitch.
So it's helping. He's got a 26% K rate dominant against righties. Last 60 played appearances against
righties. He's got a 30% K rate, a 22% hard hit rate, and an expected wova 251. Since the United's
offense has been weak against right into pitching in general. Team WRC plus of 78, an expected wova
287. And it's a neutral park conditions. I mean, there's some vulnerability with some of the
lefties in this lineup. 3.5 is very low. So I just, you know, something could happen. But again,
his pitch counts has to go up sometimes because he does get some walks. I'm going to fade this
sensey lineup. They seem to take advantage of bad pitchers. They don't do a really good job
taking advantage of even moderately decent pitchers. As I'm looking at Joe Ryan, we bring it right up.
Righties against, so righties against for Cincinnati. So they only got one off of land in
Ralph, who you and I are pretty high on. They obviously beat up on Tyler Molly, who you and I
don't like at all. As a storyano, they only got two hits. Class in they had five who you and I
aren't high on. Didn't they want to hit? I mean, you mentioned yesterday against Ralph. Didn't
they have one hit in the entire game? I don't know. I was on the top. I'm pretty sure they had one
hit in the entire game, yesterday. Maybe. But look, this like it's three against Sandy,
three against schemes. This is not a team that does well against good pitchers. So I think
they're a little false there. So give me under three and a half. I'm now seeing yeah, 140, 125,
plus 125. There's some plus money on this. I think it's a great play. So yeah.
Yeah, I basically have the same play, but I did go batter specific for this one. I took
a Reese Hines again because why would I not do that? There's no hits or minus 110, which I think
is a great deal. I mean, you mentioned the under three and a half outs. The three and a half hits
is a viable option. I do not think Hines would get one of those hits. He's been horrible.
He's the top of my, he is the top of my no hit filter. Well, he should because he has zero hits
and 10 point appearances this season. Expected batting average of 0.064, a bad bit of zero and a
K rate of 57.1%. He stinks. Now Joe Ryan's pitching for Minnesota. I'll point out his ERA this season
is okay. 3.8. However, 2.6 expected ERA would suggest that he's definitely pitching better
than the basic numbers suggest. So I do like the fact that Ryan can definitely go well here.
And he's been great. He's so far this season. A righty's 40 played appearances, a 118 batting
average. But Reese Hines is atrocious and you're getting a good price. I know overnight it was
around even money. Now it's minus 110. I still like it. You might get lifted mid game anyway.
But we both think Ryan goes well. We think Hines is a minor league player cosplaying as a major league
player right now. Give me Hines. No hits minus 110. Yep. Nope. Cool sign. Are you on to move on
into bonus bets? Sure. So only bonus bet for me. There's two right now. One is a bow. I like
a bow nailer to have a single plus 139. I think it's a great price. Yep.
So Joe, there's also literally there's a there is a thing on handy. And that says no.
Top no hit targets. He is the number one there. Yeah, bow nailer plus 139. I think it's a great price.
He's got an expected batting average last five games of 435. So like and he's not striking out
and it's bass it. So and then I also you and I both were wanting to find a way to back
camp slitler. We both like this market that's on DK camp slitler under seven and a half hits
runs and walks. If you look at like the royals, the royals just are not able to do this against
any pitchers that have worth a damn and camp slitler is very, very good. The case is a little bit
too high, a little too pricey, but he doesn't walk anybody either. So this is just a really good
opportunity to kind of create a floor on it. So yeah, I was trying to think of stuff I wanted to
do. I saw somebody was asking if I had a separate play for Alex. I'll say New York because I made
a I made a Bingbong reference on the mother ship show because of the next. I'll put it this way.
I was actually considering an Aaron judge fade, which is very dangerous, but Michael Walker owns
his soul. And we talk about this every year. Walker's been so damn good against Aaron judge in
the head to head meetings that you can argue maybe for a judge under basis, like one and a half,
which isn't, which isn't really a Bingbong play because that implies that I'm fading New York and
that's more of a pro New York, I'd say slogan, but you look at the numbers that Walker has against
a judge and they are absolutely filthy. And I think that could be a potential option. But to read
off the actual numbers that judge has against Walker, judge has had 28 played appearances. He has
three hits, four walks and 12 strikeouts. So Walker just destroys him every time. So he might
walk him intentionally at one point. Who knows? I didn't mind judge under basis potentially for Yankee's
game play. I didn't take it because judge has been incredible lately, but once again,
Walker's been good against them. Maybe a first played appearance strikeout could be intriguing,
but I think that judge might struggle against Walker again. Anything else you want to mention?
No, I like it. I was just looking at some other no hit targets. Tyler Heinemann looks like one
that we might want to do. That's fine. I was trying to look into Joey Bart. I didn't see any
lines on him anyway, but yeah, I noticed the same thing you did, but I thought about fading
Bart, too, but there were no. Yeah, I've seen I see Bart. The baby. I didn't want to take an
early game thing, but baby is on there. I mean, I avoided the early game, too, because we're
recording late, but yeah. Oh, our guy. We'll see our guy Tristan Peters. So you told me was a
fake player is on here, too. I do. I think I think Tyler Heinemann is a good one because his
average is 200, but it's expecting bad average is 0.64, which means that he is like supposed to
be even worse than he is. Does he actually have a barrel? No, he doesn't. You wish. Yeah, you
wish. He is terrible. He's also, he's a switchator, batting ninth could get lifted. Jays on the
road. Yeah, let's take this. Let's do that. I'm in for it. I want to also mention if we were
going to mention blue Jays guys. I mean, we got to mention a reliable right. If there's a line
post, uh, what is Luke's for no hits? What's Luke is that? Uh, plus one 90. I'm not going to
do that. I know. He's not. He's not. He's making. He's starting to make. I know, I know. He's
bad. Plus one 90, though, has been intriguing price. But yes, uh, that is another option for Toronto.
If you want to run that back as well, I don't know. Yeah, I'm just going to take this one. I mean,
he's the one. So just so that I mean, we'll give it. I'll give I'll show people what it is.
What we got here's who here's who is like, official no hit targets are, um, these are guys that
have an average of less than 22, 22 K rate greater than 25. So they're getting themselves out.
Hard hit rate less than 30 and an outside swing greater than 32. So like, look, there are lots of
guys that you can possibly say for no hits, but these are guys that are like not making it easier
for themselves. Um, Reese Hines, Brett Beatty, Tyler Hynerman, David Hamilton. Yeah, Joey
Bartz on there too. Um, Jonathan Miranda, Otto Camp is, uh, is an interesting one too. Um, uh,
but his split. He's such a platoon. His splits are so weird. Coastal Montgomery, but I don't
really want to do anything in in Sutter. Uh, Walner, but I don't want more liability in that game.
Brady House, but I'm not crazy about a no hit against, uh, Logan Webb, um, no early game. And then
again, this was another one of the Sutter health ones. Let me just see when I extend the, the, the
bigger no hit. So the larger no hit universe, if you extended to the last 10, which I sometimes do,
there's some other guys there like Nolan Gorman's in there. David Hamilton's in there. Nolan Gorman
might be interested. Well, you want to take a no hit against the Astros? I guess I don't really
want to do that. Yeah, I think I'm good. Yeah, I think I'm good too. But I do like the, um,
I do like Heinemann. So I am going to do Heinemann. Cool. There you go. Anyway, that's going to wrap
it up for bonus bets. Before we get into our best bets, a reminder that we are brought to you by
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are quickly looking at what they like. They are fans of, uh, they like JP Crawford single
at plus 167. So double check it. Should we look at that singles filter? Sure, but they like Crawford
at plus 167. He is, um, big bucks, big bucks. No, Amy, no, Amy, no, Amy. He's not on the filter,
but that doesn't mean it's not wrong. Uh, they've been pretty good at those. Oh, you know,
what? They're going against the Grom. Yeah, I like that. Yeah. So they like Crawford once again,
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Welcome back, everyone. To the prop cast, finished going through our props for Friday.
Time to move on into our best bets. Adam, what is your best bet for the show?
I did not love this Joe Ryan under three and a half hits allowed.
Yeah, I think we're just going to tell you that. It feels like a really good Joe Ryan.
We're doubling down. His K-Rate, his K-Rate, his, uh,
K-ZR at eight. Yeah. It's a massive number, but I understand it.
Yeah, we're going to double down. I got Hines. No hits of minus 110.
I can't really turn it down if I'm terribly losing it. He's no, it's all season.
So I'll take it. I like Ryan as well. Give me the first plate.
Why don't you do some first plate appearances later?
We can do that too. But I'll go with Hines. No hits here at minus 110 as my best bet.
Moving on to underdog, no pressure. We just won one yesterday. So where do you want to start?
Uh, love that Hines place. Why don't we just do it?
Yeah, let's do it. Let's do a Hines again.
So we'll start there. Do you want to throw in Hines again?
Because I could be an option.
Do you want Hines, uh, under hits runs RBI's of zero for five?
Yeah. 1.04 versus his under hits, which is
uh, not that.
Okay. Sure. That's fine. We think he does nothing.
So I'm fine with that. That's okay. That's where there's that.
Um, sorry. What did you say?
I'll say and you want all of us to throw in Heinemann here or you want to skip Heinemann further?
No, we don't need to get, we don't need to be, we don't need to be excessive.
That's fine. Let's see, uh, what we think on, uh, here, let's just go to, I'll just go to.
I mean, it's a bit juicy on real books, but you want to just use short or strikeouts at five and a
yeah, that's fine. Mine is a lot of use because it's already juiced on actual books.
Yeah, and we like them. Yeah. So I'll go to or five and a half. It's higher here. It's six and a half.
Oh, okay. Eh, uh, fantasy points? Yeah, that works.
Do we think the Yankees are going to win the game?
Yes. Okay. Then sure.
Who's starting tomorrow for them? Uh, for the Yankees, let me check who's starting for the Yankees tomorrow.
Uh, I noticed, I noticed this pitch count has not really been that high lately.
Hey, but that's, that's expected. It's war and going tomorrow.
Which is expected. We're going to need them to wear because we want.
Yeah. So then let's do over, yeah, 34 and a half.
Sure. That works. I like that.
Uh, I'm over the higher there and then we need one more.
Do you want to throw an NBA thing in?
On, uh, we could. I don't know if you really want to.
I don't, that's your sport.
I think we just think the baseball, baseball, baseball.
Okay. Okay. Um, handicrafts likes.
Uh, so the nats are back at home.
Yeah. Nice win in the series finale.
Yeah. They, they look, they look, it's a fun lie.
It's a really fun line up. Um, uh, you know, let's go with Lyle.
See what I was looking at? I was looking at Lyle two hits to be totally honest.
Okay. I mean, it's excessive, but just to be clear, single's minus 150, which is expensive.
Right. I would, I, I, I kind of want him to just ask, do you prefer maybe
a Logan Webb or lower, like 18 and a half outs?
17 because he's a workhorse.
I don't want to be. Um, um, what about?
And I'm trying to think of you on, you want to do something with balled one?
Um, we like that. I don't want to double down on it.
But let me just see, let me see if there's, um, let me just look in here.
Hold on. Do you like Matt Olson bases or something?
No, no, no, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't like love some, I actually like
the fill, like the fillies to do some stuff in that game too. Um, but let me just see who, uh,
okay. So what about, what about, so, okay, do we think, uh, do we think, I think this is it,
we think it's a good Logan, Logan Gilbert spot against this, um,
Rangers lineup. He's trying to outsword seven and a half, which suggests that he's going to
shove tonight. So, okay, so why don't you want, you want to do his, so he comes up in my, um,
my, what is it? Uh, my other filter, by the way, everybody on the Rangers is like a low
contact hitter. Um, but he comes up in my, I have this hits runs walks under filter,
which is basically like K minus BB greater than 15 expected ERA less than 3.75 and a whip less
than 1.25. Why don't we take Logan Gilbert over fantasy points over 38 F fantasy points?
Sure. Never get out. That works. Yeah.
Dead total in this game is 6.5. There's six. It's going to be a rock fight. That's fine. Yeah.
So let's do that. And then, okay, so Cam Schletler higher 34 and F fantasy points,
Reese Hines lowers 0.5 hits runs RBI's Logan Gilbert higher 38 and a half fantasy points,
6.76 multiplier. I'm going to add a 40% boost for us.
50 dollars is allegedly winning us $453. Cool. There you go. That's going to wrap it up for
underdog and for the show. Adam, can you just recap or three plays one more time?
Drake Baldwin over one and a half total bases. Casey Meis over one and a half walks and Joe Ryan
under three and a half hits aloud. Cool. And once again, my three plays, I'm going to go with
Mike Trout over one and a half bases of plus 125 Reese Hines. He stinks. No hits at minus 110.
And Ranger Suarez under four and a half strikeouts at plus 113.
Anyway, hold on. I see someone get a team total over MLB play. Let me look. Okay. Let me help him out.
I mean, this is easy. Whatever the Dodgers is over. It's a guy. It's a Gano and it's gotten
in their course. In course. The total is only 9.5. I don't care if it's 6.5. I don't care.
Okay. There you go. Anyway, that's going to wrap it up for the show and the week for the
prop cast back once again on Monday. Until next time. We promised. We promised people a couple
on. Should we give a couple NHL please? Oh, yeah. We did promise people that. Okay. We like,
we like Dan Vlodard 180 to one for Consmouth. Okay. I was meant to tell you this too. I put
in Nick Suzuki for Consmouth at 100 to one. Okay. That's fun. Yeah. By the way,
everybody keep in mind. We have Tampa. We have a Tampa ticket. We have a Dallas ticket.
And we had a free bet on Vegas. So we're not really jumping into a bunch of the series.
The only one that you and I aren't aligned on is I think Boston wins. Yeah. I bought
full on seven seven. I have I have Boston seven. I put it this way for for series on Vegas minus
one and a half games. Oh, yeah. Yeah. We do like that. We like Vegas to fuck up to fuck up the
mammoth. Yeah. Two and a half is actually what we want to do. It's two and a half. Yeah. We
think Vegas. We think they like dominates that team. Yeah. Yeah. There you go.
Anyone that's gonna wrap it up for the week of the prop cast back once again on Monday.
Till next time. Good old tall of you and all of your bets. Bye everyone.
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