MLB & NHL Picks for Thursday, April 16 - Chris Macero's NBA Playoff Bets - UFC Fight Night Winnipeg

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All right, here we go betting weekly live here with you on a Thursday my car for a long week done

Kazarian getting ready for all of tonight's action

We've got a couple baseball games a lot of afternoon games, of course

We've got the final night of the regular season in the NHL and we are looking ahead to the NBA

Chris Miseros going to join us in a moment. Doug. It's great to see you as always. How's it going on a Thursday?

It was going great yesterday until the Clippers completely unraveled

But that's the role the dice you take when you bet against Steph Curry

So I can't seem to hit a best bet lately. You're ripping them off in your sleep and home run

props as well, so

Like I said, if we were doing a studio show, I need oven mitts to sit near you. You're so white hot

Yes, Seager last night. Well, we've gone three for three this week with the one Homer in the show

So we have had a really good week Alonzo trout Seager

And I've got to we're going to try to it's tough and the pressures now

I'm trying to make it for for for tonight. No matter what it's a great week with the homers

And yes, the race will know the Clipper game was unbelievable

Like that is that was typical

Clipper always Clipper like that's what that was last night and I know you got an all-time like classic Steph

Performance to get it done I understand that

But man the Clippers is just never ends for them. It really doesn't well

There's this functional franchise and yes, they were hoping things would change once they got Steve Balmer in but you know

The cheating scandal. Let's call it what it is

He all that all the only difference is he's got they got caught and he might be getting caught in a lie as well

So we'll see how it all plays out

But I mean quite like yes, he had a ridiculous run with the Raptors

But let's not forget that was against a warrior steam that multiple guys out

So a little bit of an asterix. He's a great player in a vacuum

You know he does not belong in any conversation whatsoever. It's the best player in the league any year

I just don't want to hear if because of games like last night. He was pushed out of bounds on an in-bounds pass by Dremont

It's like come on

It's true. It really is there you go chat in the mix car burner heater with the long ball

Thank you Chad. We're gonna try and keep that going

Later tonight. Of course rice judge trout home run parlay hits today all three man

What's to Doug? It feels like there's been like 30 homers the last four days at Yankee stadium between the Yankees of the age

And I might actually be light on that number

It has been

Unbelievable the way the balls flown out of there

Especially this trout versus judge seems like mono a mono each day

And a trout with his fifth homer of the series this afternoon

Against the Yankees. We will do all the baseball in a little bit

Let's start though with the NBA Doug and bring in of course our friend pro-better Chris Miserro getting ready for the NBA

First round this weekend. We'll get to the play-ins too before we say bye to Chris because we got those tomorrow night and see who he likes

But Chris it is great to see you again as always here on bedding weekly live

And I know you're gonna have a lot of good NBA futures lined up for us here

Yeah, there's some good angles some interesting spreads some some numbers. I don't really understand I

I

I'm really I'm really interested in the you know the east east east

The east is a lot more interesting to me based on how everything

Ended on the on the last day of the season for the west

You know me and Doug were talking this weekend about how things were gonna shake out perfectly for me

With the seeding all San Antonio had to do was beat Denver a team that wasn't trying to win the game

They they were gonna play

Joker the first half to get his minutes in for the awards

They were given the game away and they decided not to play Wembee and just completely an egg in first half

And it's it's driving me nuts because all the seedings that I needed I wanted the spurs to be playing

Only okay see if the end not to have to go through Denver in okay see

Now they're gonna have to go through both of them and they're gonna have to play an upstart Portland team now

Which is not that they're gonna lose to Portland

But Portland can throw some bigs out yet. I'd be as having an awesome year

I mean, yeah, the game of his life the other night in the playing game

So that's it to be a tough matchup for the spurs to go through Portland

potentially Denver and then okay see while okay see is sitting back waiting for you know the winner of the lake as rockets

You know maybe Luca and Reeves come back

Even if they do they don't have the defense to shut shut that okay see in the rockets. They've been the biggest fraud

Um, of this of this season

Just a team that doesn't have much hot doesn't play much defense

You know, they're running out the thin man

You know, at least one of the top five in minutes for the year at 38 years old the 37 years old for Durant

That team doesn't pose much of a threat to okay see so I'm just a little upset how it all worked out

I don't know what the spurs were doing not trying to win that game just a knock you know Denver

Down and watch so they wouldn't have to play them

So I'm a little a little upset so the east now I'm turning my attention to the east because I think there's some value there

We can we can get to that in a second

We certainly can let's start there Chris because I don't Doug was telling me yesterday the day before that you do have

Kind of the east cornered a little bit except for one section of the board

Which I'm kind of surprised at considering I know

That there's usually some Boston love

For you and that seems to be the only team you do not have

But the one thing that's kind of been so you know interesting to me and I and I've asked Doug about this and I'll ask you to is

seeing the pistons

At plus 450 right now at bett rivers being the one seed having the home court having the season they've had

And really being the third choice

You know behind Boston and Cleveland and being kind of even with the nicks considering where they've been this year

Okay, I'll give you I'll give you that I kind of screwed up not having anything

I just never thought I just didn't believe it

You know what I mean? I just didn't believe that all these shop shooters from

um, you know some low-key schools you got the shirements of the world you got Hugo coming in from Spain you got

Um just Walsh just guys that you didn't really expect them to actually

Have the whole season like they just they just kept getting better. They've kept shooting it better

They've just improved throughout the year their defense has been

Unbelievable. I mean they really they really defend the whole game

You know Mazula's coached him up

I just didn't think it was sustainable and then they get you got Tatum back and hey great, you know

I never thought he'd be as good as he is back

I don't think he's back to where he was before the injury buddies. He's pretty damn close

I just didn't think it was sustainable. So I kind of screwed up

I did not get the Celtics at any big numbers

Do you have the market cornered for the east? I have plenty of polys close into the pistons

Plenty of clothes into the mix. I do not believe in Cleveland and when I say I don't understand the number

I don't understand how the Cleveland Cavaliers are a smaller price to win the east and there's a Troy pistons

The Troy pistons have the number one seed 60 and 22 overall 31 and 9 at home

They have home courts throughout the playoffs in the east

They don't play Boston next

They would play Cleveland and I just don't get how Cleveland without home court advantage would be a lesser price

Since James Hodden's been there the defensive rating has dropped off a cliff. They're like 16 17th in the NBA

We've seen what James Hodden has done

Playoff situations

Especially when it gets to crunch time game five six and seven he disappears

So I just don't get it. I mean cave back. They played this great record with 18 missing him for 18 games

They have that certain toughness which you saw in the Charlotte game a couple games ago

Where they went down there. It was the first game they played in Charlotte since that fight earlier this year

You know the tough guys on the team

Jail and Dern Isaiah Stewart they have this certain

Toughness where they kind of they kind of punt they kind of puncture a little bit and I really don't see Charlotte

I know every Charlotte's the hot team and everyone likes them and the metrics and whatnot since the all star break

One thing it's a terrible match up for Charlotte if that's who they do end up playing obviously if Orlando wins

Excuse me

Detroit's not gonna have a tough time dispatching Orlando

But if Charlotte does get the victory which we all expect on Friday night

It's a terrible match up for them against Detroit Detroit is number one three-point defense

They showed that last week and they held them to nine of 27 shooting

So I don't see I don't see Detroit having a problem with Charlotte

And that leads them to playing Cleveland

And I just don't see it with Cleveland defensively they're not there the home court advantage for Detroit

I really like the fact that Cade's back he's played 76 minutes his return

I got you out of you know slightly punctured long or

Whatever the exact terminology was on the lung

No, he's played more minutes then we'll get to it a second how many minutes?

Anthony I would just play it in another series where I like you know

I liked Denver

I just think Cade's back they have a certain toughness a rebound great a defend the three they have home court throughout

I like I like the pistons at plus 450

For the east coast. I mean eastern conference. You're probably going to get a match up with the Celtics

I guess the Celtics would be favored

um, but still with home court advantage

I think that plus 450 is a really strong price on the pistons

And I think the pistons of who played hard all year that the best record at home best record

You know that their number their number three and uh efficiency and number three in points differential only behind

Okay seeing the spurs and only one tenth of a point behind the spurs

This Detroit team is legit even well even though they miscaped for 18 games

I expect Detroit pistons to come out of the east. I've been saying it all year

And I'm shocked at the I'm shocked at the odds

We should have beat the nits last year in the series couple question recalls team is obviously better this year

Nick seem worse the Celtics still a little bit of a question mark for me with all these young guys

And one fact about the Celtics in the 16 games they played against the teams that I consider

NBA potential champions

Detroit to Troy Cleveland

Nick Santoni of Denver and okay see the Celtics are only six and 10 in those games in the 16 games they played

And um, I look out for Philly I maybe take them not to win the series

But maybe in a plus games price Philly defense of three pretty good top 10 in the NBA and defending the three

We all know that's where the Celtics get their bones

So I expect the Celtics to win the series

But I think it'll be a little tighter than most people expect

Would never lay minus

1115 with the Celtics. I know they'll probably get there, but that that seems like absurd absurd price

Certainly does so far. Let's get into some of these series now

You mentioned before Denver and Minnesota

And and the one theme with all these series Chris Chris. There's there's all there's nothing really close in terms of odds in these series

I think the nicks is the closest one right now in the 200s a lot of these series are very big prices

For the favorite what about Denver and Minnesota west first round

Well a lot of people are saying, you know

This could be the upset Minnesota's had success against Denver in the past, but I just I just don't see it like I mentioned

They need Anthony Edwards more than anything. He's there, you know, he's their alpha guy

And if you remember the last couple playoffs

He seemed to run out of gas and now he's coming in only played he's only played uh 75 minutes

He's been played sparingly came it was came back against Houston

27 minutes 26 minutes against Philly 22 minutes against Dallas also very weird is he hasn't played a home game

Since March 7th

He played three road games in his return before that they had a a long road trip before he got hurt

So it's just a kind of little odd things only played 75 minutes

He was kind of I don't know if he was out of shape, but I remember he kind of hit a wall

I was it last year of the year before in the playoffs. I know they made I they've made the west of comments finals

Two years in a row, but I just feel like this Denver team is on a mission. They're healthy now. They want 12 in a row

I think the price is kind of short on that minus 345

You could play it straight up you could maybe pile it with a couple other big favorites

Maybe you get yourself down to a little more manageable price. I just don't see Minnesota

A team that definitely needs Anthony Edwards to be a plus who's off the big injury the knee

They said it's similar to this what Steph's injury was

Is he even going to be able to play all all seven games that it goes seven games in this series

I just think Denver's on a roll right now. They're as healthy as they've been

Um, and I've heard there's been a lot of talk that Denver wants to go through the toughest path possible

Because when they when they won the title they went through a kind of a weak path

You know, they ended up playing the heat who was a playing team in the finals

So I just feel like Denver's kind of on a mission here. It's why I'm nervous about my first tickets

Because they're gonna have to face them in the second round if they both make it there

I think Denver's a really good. I think the price is a little shorter

That it should be and I think it's a it's a good value taking the nuggets

I just don't see the temple wolves winning this series with Anthony Edwards not up to

Perfect talent and hasn't played enough in my opinion in the last month or so to be ready for this type of war

Chris whether it's this series or another one you mentioned the high money lines and this nuggets price being the lowest

Are there any sort of other ways to attack that has caught your eye whether it's a series spread over under of games

What's caught your eye in terms of that has value right now?

Well, there was that rumor. I guess I don't know if never got posted that the rockets were gonna remind us what 1200 against the lakers

Obviously, if they were at home, right? Yeah, I just no one

Yeah, no one's really gonna lay 1200 on the rockets

I don't think a lot of people want to I heard that the lakers are getting the most amount of money

Uh in the market now with hopes that lucre and reels would come back

I also think it's because no, I don't think the lakers are gonna win this series

I mean if they do that's just kind of a disgrace for it by the rockets, but

We know the rockets team is just not trustworthy. I mean they've stopped I mean how many times in the last month or so

Do you pop on a rockets game and they're down like 27 and 12 in the first quarter? They're unprepared

To stop these games

They have a really weak rim defense. I don't know what's going on. They have a

That game uh two two Sunday night to go

Against the warriors they ended up winning by one, but I mean just giving up layup that's a layup

Down the stretch in that game. They just don't have that certain toughness that you want in a team

It's gonna have to battle in the playoffs

I don't think the lakers could win this series by any means

But if the rocket is just not a team I would I would trust I mean the rockets are 9-1 their last 10 games

They're only good win as the nicks off a back-to-back

They beat the likes of Memphis twice the warlands the walkie Utah

Golden State Phoenix they they'd be filling without a beat so it's just it's just not a it's just

It's kind of like a you know a little paper tiger that coming in with a great winning streak

9-1 the last 10 but I just I just don't buy it at all and

It's one of those it's one of those ones where

It's just it just seems like a walk in the park for okay see to get to the get to the western carpets final. I just um

I don't know. It's tough to find it's tough to find value in anything in the west

That's why I just think Denver is pretty much a lock to get through. You're not gonna bet okay see at the number

You're not gonna bet the rocket set this big number

um

Right, but there's you can do total games played under over five and a half and the lakers series rocket's minus one and a half

Games two and a half games

Nuggets minus one and a half things like that anything catch your eye um

I would say I would I really wouldn't want to I really wouldn't want to take

Any of the teams plus any of the underdogs plus the plus the plus the games. I just really can't see it. I just

I mean the lakers

You know they're one you know Lebron like tweaks a thing or something. They who they don't have any other players

I mean they could easily get swept. I mean Portland could easily get swept

I just an okay see obviously, you know, it's gonna be a favorite to sweep either um

I have phoenix or golden state. So I wouldn't I wouldn't be trying to get too cute taking

Plus one and a half or two and a half games. I just don't really see the only the only that that's why I just

I'm just kind of upset about the west. I was all excited all year. It's gonna be these great matchups

Now when you kind of look at it, I mean

It just looks like it's gonna be spurs Denver rockets and okay see

I don't I really don't see it any other way

I think that the east is a lot more interesting. I just think that I think the battles will be a lot closer in the east

I think this you know if you wanted to I could definitely see taking Atlanta plus one and a half or plus two and a half

I think next although they're gonna have a big advantage down low, you know

Atlanta one of those teams has just catched five from three

You know the kill out of zander. He's what should 50 but 50 percent from three lately, you know

They got CJ McCall on there's a lot of potential but it's Atlanta team

I don't think they have the size to compete with the next down low

And I think the next will eventually get a ton but I could definitely see that series going seven games

That might be one where I would take the games plus one and a half or plus two and a half games

Maybe you take the maybe you take the hot plus two and a half games

And you put it with Denver, you know minus the minus a three forty five

Produced the odds a little bit. I think that's that's a logical play

I don't I don't see the next um, you know, I don't see the next winning four one

They could but I don't if the hot the hot's been gritty

They've won a bunch of games down the stretch and they had that really close game against the next

Two money nights ago the night of the national championship game heck of a game, you know, walk off shot by the net

So um, I think the east is a lot more interesting the west just seems like a foregone conclusion

I'm with you miss that was when I was gonna ask you

I mean, I think nix hawks is if you want to try to find something with a dog

I think that's it. You just I mean the hawks have been really good since January

This is a traded trade aren't they've been really good?

They won 18 out of 20 at one point and I saw a stat today that

When the nix lose a turnover battle in a game they're 9 and 17 straight up and it land as a very good defensive team

That forces turnovers that could be a problem for the nix

So I don't think that's gonna be a walk in the park for them whatsoever Chris

No, I I agree um, I still think the nix will get the job done

They get a lot, you know, they they get that core unit. They've been playing playing together for a while

They've got a lot of playoff experience. I think they'll be able to you know fall back on that and get the job done

I just I just don't think it's gonna be a sweep by any any means

I think that's gonna be a back and forth series. That's a type of series and I talked to dog about this

I've been coming up with a little bit of a live betting strategy

During these playoff games and I'm definitely gonna be doing it the whole entire playoff especially the first two rounds

When you have these teams especially teams that live and die by the three hawks the Celtics

You got again to involve in live betting

last night

Clippers were up by 12 points

You could you could have got the warriors at plus nine plus ten all the sudden, you know

They go on the big run. We saw what happened. I had I had um warriors plus nine plus ten

I gave it all back on clippers. I bet I meant four and a half

But I you know, it was a free shot. You know, I didn't lose any money on the game

But there's so many opportunities to get these middles

You just got to figure out a number in your head that what number you're gonna go at

I'm I'm thinking it's gonna be between like 12 and 13 points

That's what I'm gonna jump in on the other team. I'm gonna take a little bit of the money line

And I'm gonna take a bigger bet on the spread plus the points and as soon as the run happens

I'm gonna come back

You know you can just watch the betting app

It's tough to do because you want to watch the game the game is so far behind

Sometimes you're just gonna watch the betting app and you you play you place the bet

You get yourself a nice middle for a little bit less than your original bet

And then more often than not the team's gonna come back. You can have a great shot at a big middle where you can get

You know logical logical to hit both

It happened the other night

In the end of playing game

With the clippers port I mean shoot me the uh

Signs portland, you know portland was a big that was shooting lights out from three

You take some signs take some signs money line

They come all the way back you play it back portland the other way you can't lose

So there's a lot of opportunities like that you just have to grin and bear it

You're just gonna say hey, this is my number when one team gets up by 12 or 13 points

You take in the other team and then you just watch that you kind of just

Get yourself away from the TV watch the betting app and as soon as you get your middle back in

Then you can stop watching the game again. It's a great way to have no risk and high reward

You can really nail some of these medals because the swings are just you see it every night

They're huge the three especially teams that live and die by the three. That's their main offense

These games have such a high variance

They certainly do uh before you go Chris uh tomorrow night the other two play in games

Is there anything you like your Charlotte Orlando Phoenix Golden State

Well, I do have a Charlotte to make the playoffs

I also came back and played a Charlotte no, so I'm in a good spot

I'm actually gonna make a little drive uh to Arizona tomorrow

Tomorrow morning. Maybe I can maybe cash out both of them. We'll see what happens

I haven't I haven't fully decided yet. I really think

Charlotte should win this game

But this magic team. I mean what a head scratch and team like that box

I mean the loss of the Celtics on Sunday makes absolutely no sense

You know, they were kind of just

The end of the game. They really don't have a go-to guy. I mean they could not make a basket

The other night last night. They just couldn't make a basket the game just kind of slips away from them

They have wide open threes they're not going in

Bane has been a disappointment. I'm not I'm not sold on Ben Carroll. I'm not sure if he's gonna be there next year

The coach is gonna be gone

It would be it would be hornets or pass. I probably played on the money line

um the other game

You kind of gonna he kind of gonna just ride the Steph Carrier and I know it's crazy

But the Suns don't have that much offense either their offense is

bully ball

With what's his name just charge it into you know the guy could be filed out

Brux he could be filed out in the first quarter if they actually called all the offensive files that he does

He just drops his shoulder and he runs into

They have a they have an interesting offense

Um, it's two teams with not much size. Uh, I guess of course ingus is out there

They got a little bit of size on the warriors

I would probably play warriors plus the points and uh

Shallow on the money line that those would be by two, but I don't have I don't have plays in those games right now

Chris when you say you're going to air as one I said this vision of like Walter white in the desert in a win-a-vego

It's like your your your version of betting bad instead of breaking bad where you so just hopefully no images of you in boots and tidy

In the desert trying to make sure you have the right middles for the weekend

I'll tell you one thing if you're driving from California to the eight the first exit you can get off at is a little is a little sketchy

I'll tell you that so the best exit is the next one with all the fast food restaurants

You get you get yourself Wendy's you have Burger King McDonald's

Chick-fil-A calls you have them all but the first exit where you can actually make legalized bets

I would not advise if you get off that exit you do you turn get right back on drive a little bit farther

It takes it takes an extra five minutes, but your life is a lot safer

Chris

Tremendous job as always and I hope that you're covered more on the Bruins than you are the Celtics as we start

I have a I have a ticket on the Bruins at a hundred to one

Oh for the he's in conference for the years. Wow very excited. I also have the flyers at

500 to once win the cup so what I will be doing I will be doing a

penguins sabers

series pile a you know just in case both from do lose I will be I will get rewarded and make some money on that

You got to find those numbers. I was telling Doug this week next year. I'm definitely going to be

Getting deeper into the NHL because some of these odds are just nuts

I had a ticket on the ducts to win the Pacific

It paid really great. Well, it was with the Patriots to win the AFC

and two and a half weeks ago the ducts were minus 2500 to win the Pacific

You could have got the biggest nights at plus 3,100. I took some hedges on them and the oilers

It's unbelievable now that VGK is going to win the division went on March 28th with plus 3,100 to win the division

There's a lot of opportunities in NHL teams that are supposed to win or have to win or whatever they say

Don't always win and it's every single night in NHL these teams try to the death whether they're still involved in the playoffs or not

So a lot of weird results. I definitely in play for hockey

I'm going to be looking more into it next year

Amazing odds that you can get right up until the end of the season

I know me and Doug were so focused on the sabers that we I'd really lost track of the nonsense that was going on

The Pacific we were we were

I didn't mean Vegas was that price and late March to win that division that

The day they fired their coach. I mean, right

It was before it was before. Yeah, there's a full before they fired him. Yeah, uh Chris

Tremendous job as always enjoy your run to Arizona

In the morning Christmas arrow with us here. I'm betting weekly life. Thank you, Chris. All right. There you go

Where the Chris ready to go Doug. He's ready for the playoffs, which is great

He's I love how he's got it because I love doing those two, you know, you kind of couple

Long future parlays you throw them together. You try Chris. He puts a I know like you say to me last time

There's a lot that go in the garbage pale too. There's a lot to get thrown out but our mutual friends had said that to me about 15 years ago

I had a lot of tickets with value at the bottom of my bet the waist basket. Right, but if you hit a couple

Okay, yeah, if you hit a couple it makes up and more so

300 to one tickets over the last like five years

Couple gained some notoriety. But yeah, I mean, it just you just got to find those needles in a haystack

They exist nobody's perfect and then sometimes the odds like it's funny when Cooper Flagler went in the mavericks one the

Draft lottery a year ago when people were accusing people of fixing

A lot of fans on Twitter who are very loose NBA fans, but poker players were like

I don't get it do any of these people play poker like seven one point seven percent happens. Yeah, it happens one point seven percent of the time like

So these 100 to ones hit once in a blue moon and then sometimes the odds are just off right right sometimes these odds

They're just silly like in the draft and other things like that. Yep. They certainly are all right before we get to

Tonight's action of course make sure that when you open up

Your bet rivers app you are checking out the bet rivers banter if you're looking for a betting angle click

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All right, Doug. Let's do the baseball now. It's limited tonight because we have to

Yeah, I lost the first five unders today in the bottom of the

My goodness

The gnats beat the pirates eight seven and ten

Earlier the giant speed the reds three nothing

Earlier today and the brewers beat the blue chase two to one and that really annoyed me Doug because I

Played a couple guys against Patrick Corbin the at this afternoon

Mm-hmm, and that did not

Go very well of the angels are putting it on the Yankees

11 to four

Right now as they just got a grand slam from Joe Adele after the if she's I mean they are just late in the Yankees

They should have won three out of four dog the Yankees got lucky last night because uh netto couldn't catch a pop-up

And the two of them in parades

Tough couple days for the Yankees at home

Given up a ton of homers and runs

Yeah, remember we thought the Yankees were oh there they're they're a team to beat care Cole's gonna come back

They stormed out of the gates, but not so much. So we'll see what happens. I'm moving forward, but you

Tigers lead the royals six five in Detroit at Comerica that is in the top of the seventh inning

Raising white socks tied at two as they go to the bottom of the seventh there and bottom five two nothing rangers lead the A's

They're a burger sacrifice fly to center just got the second one on the top of the fifth

In that one and that was a lead charge for that over last night, right?

Like they got slow they started slow the A's in the Rangers and then it picked up in the middle and late innings

And they got we've been talking to people about you know the overs on the road for the Rangers

Yes, you know, you should probably listen to my own advice and do it as a best bet instead of

You know banking on the Clippers, but yeah, three in the eighth to get over the total

But also two in the seventh two in the sixth two in the seventh two in the sixth last night. All right, let's do

The three we only have three games tonight to get to in baseball

MLB network. I believe has the Mariners and the Padres

So why don't we start there? What a melt by Seattle last night. Oh

Hey, so you three this show me all your your Clipper and Mariner tickets last night

Right six nothing lead

And the Padres come all the way back and win it in the bottom of the ninth on the Merrill walkoff

Just gross that was gross. They have five in the bottom of the ninth

Five in the bottom of the ninth to win it. So Louis Castillo and Walker Bueller

Will finish off this series 840 PM Eastern start so a little late afternoon at Betco

For Castillo and Bueller

Right now at Bet Rivers dug as I just had it up there give me one moment there it is minus 122 for Seattle minus 105 for San Diego in an eight and a half

Yeah, I think Seattle bounces back

because Castillo

bounces back I think

His determination off his last outing and I just don't believe and buy into Walker Bueller

Mariners bats so I had the first five under yesterday and there was one down the line and hit the foul pole

And bounced into fair territory, but it was below the wall. So you know, it was a live ball caromed

You know, those are kind of fluke because it was it was such a sharp inside pitch and it was slicing

It was gonna be way foul, but he hit it he hit it well

um

So I'm I'm just like apprehensive here on the Padres

I know there's some momentum and there's some but I think the Mariners can bounce back

So I think Castillo will have some fires maybe first five Seattle something like that

Maybe a little first five Seattle tonight, but can Louis Castillo give up one run for me, Doug?

I think because yeah, that's where I'm going tonight. This is my home or for this evening and

I was gonna wait until Saturday

But I really don't mind

Going after because Castillo does give up some homers. Oh, I don't mind doing one junior

I'm going Fernando Tati's junior tonight plus 390. I was mentioned in this dog yesterday

So and I if you watch the banter of course on your bet rimmer zap on your top picks today

I talk about this too

He now leads baseball and hard hit balls. I don't mean leads you know most without a homer

He leads period. He has the most hard hit balls over 95

He has the most barrels without a homer barrel percentage without a homer

It's there for Fernando and plus 390 and this is lowered a little bit

He's been in the fours. So that's kind of sniffing into that as well here, Doug with him

His number getting underneath plus four hundred. So we're going to go for Nando Tati's junior tonight at petco plus 390

Yeah, I mean you were basically yesterday pointing to center field

Calling your shot and you decided to take the swing today and not into the weekend. So well

I'll tell everyone now if he doesn't home or tonight

Kakuichi on Saturday in Anaheim

That is the that is the next spot. I'm not going to you play him again. Soriano tomorrow night

Kastoriano's been so good and he's a groundball pitcher

But I will play him against Kakuichi on Saturday. Yeah, I mean, it's not you're right. It's not an either or thing right

Let it rip. We'll look at all the angels hit everything out of the park this weekend or this week

So why not well on the pods like say Doug he could home or tonight and I'm still probably going to play him against Kakuichi on Saturday night

Right his prices may not be as high because he might be like turn the corner

Or you watch some of these guys they catch you know they catch fire you look at trout the last few days

You look at burger the last few days for Texas and Sacramento like

These guys just catch fire and they start rolling and I feel like that's going to happen with Tatees

Once we just get him off the deck with the first one here

So Mariners Padre's MLB network force just after 830 east

This evening just after six o'clock east for the Orioles and the Guardians

In Cleveland tonight start of a four game series for them Guardians minus 129

Orioles plus 104 totals of flat eight chain bars

Against Parker Messick this evening Doug

I'm going to roll with the

Guardians here. I like Messick

Boss I'm okay with so maybe an underplay as well

Although unders just seem to be burning me on this getaway day. I

I don't think much of this Baltimore offense now they did

You know sort of burn me the other day and the fifth inning shockingly a loss to first five in the fifth inning

I I think the Guardians are just kind of a bet on team right to the best bet and baseball so far in this young season

I think Messick has the goods and there's no reason to sort of shy away. I don't think the price is too high or anything

So that's where I am but like I said maybe the under as well, but this Guardians team comes up with timely hits

Kind of like the Miami Heat a heat culture you kind of mock it

But then eventually they're the ones caching all the time

So the Guardians are just a team you just have to kind of bet on

It's tough to go after my I've tried to

Learn my lesson every year. I play their underwind total it seemingly every year and then just every year

They win 87 games and they just fly over the number so it's tough going after the Guardians

That's for sure our third game this evening

Rockies and Astros one more time in Houston

As the Astros are trying to reverse the sweep last week they got swept in Colorado. They're trying to sweep the Rockies tonight

And you will have this was supposed to be because but I think they pushed them back to tomorrow

So another bullpen game now remember

He's asked the Astros bullpen. It's gasoline and this Ryan Weiss

Is going to be the first one out there

Man as he had a nuggle start. He's allowed three homers and eleven innings

He's got a seven and a half year array this may hear for Colorado stinks too. I mean this has to be over or nothing

In this game. Yeah, I mean I that's where I'm going. I mean it was a three one game yesterday

I'm surprisingly a three one

So I would say you know, there's a little regression here. So we're gonna we should get some runs

I agree

This will be tea at high and let it fly

Tonight for this crew

Mejia and Weiss and the rest of the bullpen's in Houston

One more thing. Let's since of course tomorrow. We have the businessman special

At rigley

Before we get on at four p.m. East

Mets in the Cubs Friday afternoon

Seng is going for the Mets Edward Cabrera is going for the Cubs the Mets have lost eight in a row

I mean and they can't score runs. They just

It's been a brutal stretch for them. Yeah, I really don't know what to say like

I kind of want to give the Dodgers credit and no tawny was fantastic last night. It's great

First and third or second and third one out in field back

And he cranks at three straight hundred mile per hour pitches to tawny fan now again tawny fan just called up blah blah blah, but

They couldn't do anything but oh tawny was great, but look no soda right that's massive

And you got guys like tawny fan in the lineup now Melinda's was good. So he was recently called up

I believe but

Not a lot of bats in this lineup. So I have to roll with the cubbies here

I do think they're gonna enjoy getting the hell out of LA

Facing that Dodgers lineup and staff and then a day off. I think all that's gonna help

Um, so I think they're in a good spot here

Well, there's a lot of guys who used to cover the Mets used to tell me back in the day

If there's a city you want to have a day off and to kind of regroup and and have a little fun Chicago would be that city

And they get to spend the day off in Chicago today

I have a little relaxing day off try to get rid of all the bad thoughts the past week and

Come out tomorrow for the businessman special

And see if they can get some things wrong. I was looking at the schedule

Like all of a sudden a bet on team

Well, they take one two out of three and Philly and they scored a ton of runs

Yeah, they didn't they didn't maybe they're coming out of it a little bit here

I wouldn't touch the Mets like team total under like that kind of stuff has just been you know goal mine yesterday

I do not have the early weather report either for terms of an over or an under for this game

So I will have check in the morning see if the wind blowing in or blowing out at rigley

For both of these guys and I was just looking man the Dodgers are going to color auto this weekend dog

We gotta get mookie bat. I mean they gotta get some hey. Hey, yeah, yeah, they have that rushing's got to be in a lineup more

He has been smashing the ball that kid

Dodgers are the only team that can produce hitting catchers. It looks like it's pretty amazing

What they they produce everything the Dodgers

Yeah, I guess their catchers are seeing balls that other catchers don't because the lineup or the protection around them

Amazing, there you go baseball for tonight and tomorrow afternoon of course

Lindor is a complete joke of a 30 million dollar a year player

Well rose pot. I will tell you many people here in New York feel the same way right now

They're not happy strong criticism with Lindor

And what he has done so far this season he has not dug picked up the slack with soda out

Let's just say that he is definitely not

Done any of that

That's for sure complete joke of a player

If you like what you see here on bedding weekly live as you should make sure you subscribe to the bedding weekly studios channel on YouTube

Where you could check us out and all of our other shows including released earlier today

Bedding weekly EPL Dan Roebuck Nigel Ceeley and Jack Wright discuss match day 33

starting with sundays massive

Title altering match between man city and arsenal at the etiode as arsenal are trying to choke away

The premier league title they are trying to do it and Manchester City is going to try to

Further that along so check out Dan Nigel and Jack bedding weekly EPL on the bedding weekly studios channel all right

For the last time in the regular season. It is dug epox time. This is it. We uh six games in the NHL tonight

And then we will get to serious playoff hockey

Starting on saturday

There is an ESPN double header and it's pretty you know, this is amazing to me dug

You know, there's six games tonight ESPN has a double header. It's the last night of the regular season

There's only three games that

Have something of significance towards the playoff picture that are there and none of them are on ESPN

And either of the games it's pretty good

We got to flex these things don't we?

What why are we not have like the duck should be the early ESPN game because they're in Nashville

They should move the time up make it 7 30 instead of eight. It's not that hard to do

And you should have had the you through the kings or the oilers at 10 o'clock on ESPN

I mean, what why is this so hard uh sometimes to do?

What is dog? I mean we could do this right? I mean just for us in charge

Well ESPN is giving you blues mammoths

At 7 30 as Utah is preparing themselves to play vagus in the first round game one on sunday

So I don't know what you're going to get out of Utah tonight dog and the blues have actually been

Taking care of business this week against these teams that are sitting players, right? They beat up the penguins the other night sitting everybody

Um and look there minus 124 in Utah that line tells you I don't have to tell you that Utah is not playing guys tonight

Right pretty much says it all

So I didn't play a whole lot in the third period yesterday. I'll tell you that no

Do that either excuse me that was the crack and I might call it well the crack the crack and oh well they have a vagus clinch in the division

So I mean I we saw a lot of high scoring games yesterday

We did that like a trend at the last couple days of the regular season or just or just can't you know

We can't put that on on this I think if you find if you find a game where maybe you have a couple goalies

Who have been called up from the AHL or you have a couple guys who don't have a lot of experience?

And you have I mean cheese. I mean the panthers laid an aid on Detroit last night so much for the pants

You see that one coming not wanting you know, or well like you said you say this to

The players don't care that they're going to lose their draft pick if they finish 11

And the players don't necessarily care about that you need to try to mean

Management can try to manipulate the lineup only so much to help those things

But if the players go out and win they did I knew the Leafs would lay down though Doug which they did

3-1 to Ottawa yeah

I mean in a way like the players are incentivized as

To jeopardize the draft because they that would hurt their chances of staying on the roster right

For at least the bottom guys at least the end of the bench. So

You can look at it at that one the bench is you know, they're playing for the eye in the sky

Which is the the game film and

Other teams could be claiming them and stuff like that but

um

You just got to be careful with those end of the year situations somebody was trying to talk me out of the the nights

Yesterday just because they just needed to get the game and overtime or something and I said yeah

But guys teams don't approach that at the beginning of the game maybe late

They might pack the box or something if they got to that

But my big thing with the nights yesterday was also the the revenge angle right that they really wanted to kind of payback off

What happened last Saturday and they blew the two two goal leads

West Coast ESPN don't carry you're probably right to far as

They do not care what's the whatever they get the crack it in the avalanche, which is the late game on ESPN

Dog I got I couldn't even tell you what will happen in the crack it in the avalanche tonight

I'm sure the you know you like you said the crack and certainly seemed to not care in the third period last night

Of that game so

Kind of take with that what you want

Uh this evening for that I'm gonna focus Doug on the three games that matter okay for tonight

Ducks are in Nashville against the predators

Ducks need to win to stay in that two three matchup in the Pacific and this is all important Doug because

One of these teams is going to play the avalanche in the first round whoever comes in

You know that second wild card spot if the ducks lose in the king's win the ducks got to play Colorado

Who wants to do that?

So if I'm the ducks

Who even though they haven't been a good road team this year they've lost two in a row going into this game

They've completely folded down the Pacific division

I mean if they got to give you something tonight to avoid Colorado right Doug

You would think but sometimes teams play tight other teams play loose um, I mean look

We talked about it yesterday. I mean panthers hung an eight spot on the red wings

Right, that's why I can't even sit here and say you know all the predator seasons over who cares

You know they better well, you know

I think it's also something to look at when it's their last game of the year at home also

Like Florida was last night right you had that scenario. This is Nash Nashville

They've had a good record at home this year

You know there's a little you know you get the little energy from the crowd

I think the ducks win, but I I really

I don't know how much I could trust them Doug

To take care of their business

It would be really unfortunate if they lost an LA one because I think they have like seven more wins than the kings

But because the kings lost like 30 games and overtime this year

They're going to get to jump over them and finish third into the vision and that's that's the NHL stupid point system that they have

Right, I'm hoping the ducks win because I don't think that that I don't want that to happen to them

The king should have to play Colorado with all the overtime losses if they've had this year. They should have to play them

Yeah

That's why I'm taking the flames tonight against the kings

Uh on the money line. I'm taking the kings to blow it

Tonight and deservedly so finish in the second wild card

I didn't realize this about the flames. They've been really good at home this year

Like you look at these like 10 worst teams in the league flames are like 10 games over 500 at home pretty good

Yeah, well, I remember we've talked about them being I don't know

Sneaky gotta be careful fading them. I think at home. That's the case. I wouldn't do it on the road

But at their place

I'm taking the flames plus 123 tonight. I don't trust the kings

Especially, you know, if anaheim's lose and they're probably gonna look up at the board

They'll blow it. Give me Calgary tonight. That's my dog. Okay. I'm gonna. All right could be the best bet

It could be I'm not sure yet. I haven't decided

Uh, and

Oilers are a silly number

Against the canucks like a really silly number. It was in the 300s this morning on that rivers

You have mentioned how the canucks haven't played poorly that towards the end of this season

No, they haven't what's the draft situation here

They are in the top two without they have the worst

Record by far

So the only way in a row the only way they wouldn't get the top pick is if someone jumps over them in the lottery

That's the only way they wouldn't get the top pick they it they have it by 10 points

They have 58 the next closest is 72 they have it by 14 point. Okay, so it's a night. Doesn't matter

Means nothing for that that situation. I'd be careful. They won three straight

Plus 250. I mean they haven't played the Oilers, but now you know it would be really great and I wouldn't mind if I wouldn't mind if LA one if this happened

There is a scenario where if Anaheim and LA win

and Edmonton loses

Edmontons the team that's got to play Colorado on the first round

And then we'd get the freeway series with LA and Anaheim on the other side

I like that the five freeway the five freeway. Yeah, they're the Anaheim to LA

Freeway series. I hope that happens. So I don't have the

Stones dug to bet the canucks tonight, but I hope they win

I hope they beat the oil. Well, will we have results before this late game

Well, well the ducks are at eight

So they're eight east and both of these games. I think are nine to nine thirty

So they're going to be playing

Little scoreboard watching. There's going to be a little bit of scoreboard watching

But for the most the ducks have like an hour ahead start on everybody else

for the most part

They should all play at the same time they this could have been see that's what ESPN should have did tonight

Doug here you go put me in the chair again all three games should have been at the same time

And they should have did like a red zone style thing and went back and forth between the three games

That's what they should have did

Maybe the NHL networks should figure out how to do that see Doug we're trying

Trying my best to help hockey

So the hero we didn't know we needed

Carver I can't see the show tomorrow. What about the series plays?

I dug was going to give you some series plays. Hold on hold on hold on hold on

Yes, we're on YouTube

Yes, on demand. Oh actually Rose, but that's very true. These games don't start tomorrow night

You should be following the betting weekly studio channel on YouTube and then just go back

I promise you I'm going to give you

Series picks tomorrow, Doug, but we're going to do NBA NHL series. They're all starting Saturday and Sunday

Got a big show tomorrow. Yeah, but if you want a little

Breadcom breadcrumb rose pot will give you something right now

I am taking the flyers over the penguins at plus one for you to say so that is one that I am

That is definitely a dog pick for me

In that one

So I am absolutely the far as and I know the far as a penguin guy and he probably doesn't like

Me I'll say in that, but I like the wave hours playing. I like the smart homes come in and played really well for them

I think the flyers have a little something going right now. So

I'm sorry to far as in advance

There you go. Can I interest you in the sabers minus a dollar 65

Against the Bruins you can interest me in the sabers minus a game and a half you can interest me in the sabers minus

I think the sabers

Are going to get it done

So I am I'm in now. I think tomorrow Doug. We should explore

Maybe getting back on the saber bandwagon for the east. Maybe we'll see what maybe some of those things

Mm-hmm could look like for us

I'm gonna dive into it a little bit deeper tonight Doug and come to the table tomorrow with some of it

for

We gotta have we gotta attach we gotta back someone here for each conference maybe

Uh, for us and in the west Doug. I'll tell you now. It's probably gonna be biggest for me

But I'm probably gonna be back. I think they have a tough first round series

Do you think that the youth the mammoth are gonna give him a hard time and mammoth at home those those three games

They are they have been good at home. I do not deny that the knights have a leaky goalie too

You don't let eight nil you do you can't stand that eight nil

Series the knights are 167 huh minus 167 for the knights in the series

We'll find some new coach shine might wear off

Hmm

How about that do we have a do we have a goalie

Controversy Carter Hart played pretty well yesterday. I'm not gonna lie to you. I would play Carter Hart

Yeah, in game one. I would go to I would that would be my goalie and so it's towards gonna do he has no allegiance

He's no obligation. He has no allegiance to nil

whatsoever

so

We shall see interesting in a situation for the knights there in terms of between the pipes

NHL for us

Here playoff starts saturday very excited about that all right before we get to the best bets in the daily double dug

You have see fight night this week. Did I see there in the in the great white north there and you win a peg on saturday for fight night

Yeah, first time to art with with our neighbors to the north in six plus months. I believe how about that

Who do we got who's fighting well?

There's a lot on the car a lot of Canadians on the card and the only ones that aren't are like saved for the White House

Card so just because it'd be too quick of a turnaround

So this is the main event Gilbert Burns is used to be amazing, okay

39 now

You lost four straight

fights, but

They've come against some pretty impressive

The upper echelon of the weight class. So is it burns is done or

You know, maybe he's just not the upper echelon, but he's right there in the next year and

Malo or Malat here. He's a contender series

Product

We don't know if he can go five rounds

Burns gonna extend it now this fight is not supposed to go the distance. It's like minus 500 on to not go five rounds

I

I don't know like burns

Burns

By decision, maybe if he can just hang on the last two rounds

plus 850 burns by

To get a finish is plus 380

That's tempting as well. So that's either knockout or submission

I don't want to lay it with the favorite

Burns would be a play because I just think the you know

We talk about a lot with injuries and like the lakers right now in the playoffs

The odds makers in the market don't really know

How to power rate Gilbert Burns right now because of those four straight losses because he used to be a guy who relied on quick twitching and everything that's it he's lost a step but

What against the best guys right is he lost a step against everyone else

I don't know some of these guys also train that much more

Intensive intensely with you know, they have all four straight losses

And there's gonna be a little shell shop of the young younger guy looking up to burn so to speak

I think you have to play the dog, but I'd even get greedy. I wouldn't do plus two 45

I would do plus 380 finish inside the distance wow because he can catch him. I think he can catch him here

Gilbert Burns man, he's still going right right? So yeah, I even

Yeah, from from years ago he's still he hasn't won in three years, right? So it's been three years

But they keep running him out there, Doug. So that means they must like them again

He's you know, he lost a ball all like okay, so did everyone right anyway. That's that's true. Everybody has done that

UFC fight night

Saturday night in Winnipeg

For us Gilbert Burns getting involved against Malat

They're on that card to win by finish

There also plus 380

Okay, let's get to the best bets unless you got anything else like just that fight in that card. I'm sorry

I mean it's

I haven't got any intel from my people. So that's most important with these sort of lesser cards

You know sometimes I mean the market's gotten a lot tighter over the years, right? So I know a guy who did a study

If

Basically the straddle right the gap between the favorite and the underdog on the money line

If there were any way classes that anything that you know betting just underdog

It's all been right like the house the houses went made money. Let's just put it that way

So there's been no blinds, but that was not the case early on and

You know, let's not force it, but I do think there's some line value there with the inside the distance with Burns

There you go. You have to see fight night saturday night in Winnipeg burns has pride

But could be your retirement fight

The far says there could be a retirement fight had one of the last cards last week in the fight for long enough

It's got to be getting close to him at retirement fight. That's for sure

All right, let's do it the best bets and the daily double

For Thursday night here. Yeah, you gotta gotta find one to get one in the pot here Doug

I am going to it's tough baseball and hockey for Doug that you know what's nothing to do with the baseball

It's the last night of the hockey. I'm interested to see what Doug's got for me. So I'll go first

I'm going to this Colorado Houston game

Tonight

Mejia Ryan wise out of the bullpen the whole astro bullpen stinks

They got a great performance from arugetti last night. So guys will be fresh, but still

They are just lighter fluid this astro bullpen over eight and a half

Rockies and Astros for me tonight in baseball

Well, that was going to be the one I was going to grab. Oh, I'm sorry. What would you

So I have so let's collab

I'm gonna have you pick both. What will be your second one? Let's well, you know what you go with you go with that one

No, no, I think guardians. I think we do the guardians are the mariners you pick dealers choice

You don't want to take you don't want to take the hot hand. I mean this curry is going off and

Fourth quarter. I'm gonna feed them. You don't want to run with the hockey tonight, right? We don't want

It's really nothing in the hockey. I don't think we should do

I'd prefer the guardians over the mariners

Yeah, it's just demoralizing. I think it's also that I'm rooting so hard for tattis to Homer that I don't want to

But it doesn't matter who wins the game as long as tattis omers, but still

I don't particularly trust Castillo as much as you do. All right guardians. It is

Okay, so guardians money line. This is for the game or first fight. We're going game minus 130. Yeah guardians game

With Colorado and Houston over eight and a half that is the daily double four tonight

And it is plus two thirty five that bet rivers

We got like an hour here. So I know

Plus two third that's true six o'clock game get moving Colorado Houston over eight and a half guardians money line

Plus two thirty five that bet rivers tonight

Great job as always Doug

The show flew by. I guess the miseros appearance did it. But I thought I couldn't believe it was best bets time

So I apologize to the staff and our audience for being a little lagging, but

It's not like uh, it's not like there's anything going on that I loved and I overlooked

Yeah, gosh, well, I know you're gonna be looking forward to back and curry tomorrow with the warriors in Phoenix against the sun

So I know you're gonna be also going to meet friends and stuff for like

Food and like why are we going? There's like two games left and I guess hockey tonight. I don't know why why tonight

Yeah, there's really not much on tonight now tomorrow, Doug

We will see you at four p.m. East one p.m. Pacific for a Friday betting we go out and tomorrow we do have

A lot to do

Obviously, there's a full slate of baseball on a Friday night

But we have all the NBA including the two play in games tomorrow night and all the game ones

For Saturday and Sunday

We have all the NHL game ones for Saturday and Sunday and maybe some

Series or full playoff futures that we want to throw in for both of those two

So super busy tomorrow, Doug. Get yourself ready. We'll stay out too late with everybody. You gotta get some sleep good for tomorrow

We got a big show tomorrow. Oh, no, these are all we're gonna be old old people tonight

um, so yeah

All right, Doug my carver duck is here in betting weekly live make sure you subscribe to the betting weekly studios channel on YouTube

Enjoy the game tonight and we will see you back here tomorrow

Thanks for listening to betting weekly live on the bet rivers network