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It's March 1st, JLD here.
0:33
And welcome to MSTR today in the Treasury Titans.
0:35
Nothing in this video is financial advice.
0:38
But listen, Michael Sailor is here for the long haul.
0:41
He is here for the marathon.
0:43
He is here for 21 million Bitcoin.
0:47
He wants all of them.
0:48
Of course, we'll never get all of them,
0:49
because a lot of them are lost and locked up in Satoshi's Wallet.
0:52
But you get the picture.
0:54
He is number 21 for a reason.
0:56
Michael Sailor is a long-term thinker.
1:00
And by the way, the mode is already built.
1:02
The game is already one.
1:04
We're just waiting for the thesis to play out.
1:07
And by the way, I did wait around to see
1:09
if Michael Sailor gave a dot-day announcement.
1:11
He definitely bought some Bitcoin last week
1:13
because the stretch ATM did go burr a little bit.
1:16
Probably wasn't much, but we'll see.
1:18
But nothing happens by this time.
1:20
So I figured I got to get the video out
1:22
because I know a lot of you are looking
1:25
for great content as you're going for your walks
1:28
or your runs or your drives or whatever.
1:30
So thank you again for your comments, for your likes.
1:33
They're all very meaningful as we continue
1:36
to, I would just say, crab through these crabby times,
1:40
which is this sideways market we're in.
1:42
Although, I mean, come on, how bullish is it
1:45
that we had a war breakouts in the Middle East.
1:49
And Bitcoin did drop a few percent,
1:51
but then immediately recovered.
1:52
And as we're speaking today,
1:53
it's actually at 66,000 in change.
1:55
You got up to 68,000 last night.
1:58
We'll see what happens this coming week.
2:00
But to me, man, looking pretty good for a weekend situation.
2:05
And Michael Sailor says stretch dividend rate
2:07
increased by 25 bips to 11.5 for March of 2026.
2:11
And again, I call this yesterday and the day before I said,
2:15
he is going to make this announcement.
2:17
That is my thoughts.
2:18
That is my belief because what Michael Sailor wants
2:21
is to keep raising this 0.25 bips every single month
2:25
until stretch goes burr for at least 10 to 15
2:30
to eventually, hopefully, 20 trading days every single month.
2:35
And believe me, he's going to keep on raising
2:37
raise until we get there.
2:38
Rob says, we are about to witness the most epic short squeeze
2:42
off one of the most, most oversold, excessive
2:45
fear positions in Bitcoin's history.
2:48
Rob, I agree with you 100%.
2:51
And Brian says, hire.
2:52
My guess is stretch tops out at 12 to 13%
2:54
before the Bitcoin bear market ends.
2:56
Like I think he's going to keep raising it over the next few months
2:59
because there's just opportunity that's being lost.
3:03
And there's opportunity cost.
3:05
Every single day, the stretch ATM is not burying at 100
3:09
to 150 to 200 million in volume.
3:12
The stretch should be burying.
3:13
The stretch ATM should be burying every single day possible.
3:17
So Michael seller, his keger, his base case is 30% Bitcoin.
3:21
That's, you know, over the next 10 years.
3:24
What's 11% to 12% to 13% these are all rounding errors.
3:27
We just want the stretch ATM to go burr.
3:30
Hunter says, people are going to be stunned this year.
3:33
The world's largest institutions and corporates
3:35
are coming fully into crypto buckle up.
3:38
And this is from the Bitcoin magazine who said,
3:40
Justin Morgan suddenly applies for national trust big charter
3:43
to allow the Wall Street bank to custody Bitcoin and crypto assets.
3:46
And that's from Bloomberg.
3:49
Mike says March through mid July.
3:52
Happy March everybody.
3:53
So we're March March through mid July is setting up to be one
3:56
of the most bullish periods for risk assets of this cycle.
4:00
And possibly one of the most bullish periods in our lifetimes.
4:03
I want this to be true.
4:04
I believe this could be true.
4:06
You know, Mike Alfred is the permabull.
4:09
He is the ultimate bull.
4:11
But he's also a very sharp guy.
4:14
I guess we'll see if Mike's right.
4:16
James says over the last 24 hours,
4:18
Bitcoin is up on bad news.
4:20
This environment is nothing like 2022.
4:23
I think that's what happened in 2023 and 2024.
4:28
my time horizon is 10 times longer than yours.
4:31
And my volatility tolerance is 100 times higher than yours.
4:34
I prefer my Bitcoin amplified in my income digital.
4:37
We are not the same.
4:38
And of course, he's referring to MSTR and stretch.
4:41
Joe, your time horizon is not 10 times longer than mine.
4:45
It's probably the same as mine because mine is basically forever.
4:49
You know, maybe your tolerance to volatility is a little higher than mine.
4:52
I mean, 100x is pretty crazy.
4:55
Maybe you're two or three X.
4:56
But we're pretty close, Joe.
4:58
But you know, for most people, obviously, Joe is right.
5:02
With 10-year treasuries dropping and sub 4% yield,
5:06
stretch is 7.5% greater than the risk rate.
5:09
And it's return of capital dividends.
5:11
So no, not capital gains.
5:14
Not paying taxes for the next 10 years.
5:18
Sailor is ruthless raising the dividend with stretch and closing the month
5:22
He doesn't want to stretch sometimes at par.
5:24
He wants it there permanently.
5:25
And that's what I'm saying this whole time.
5:26
Michael still doesn't care that he's going to be paying 0.25%, 0.5%,
5:33
He wants people to be winning at the highest level.
5:35
He wants to be taking all of their
5:37
money, all their fiat, and turn in Bitcoin.
5:40
That's what Michael still wants.
5:43
He sees the field clearly.
5:45
And Joe says, it's okay if you don't see it yet.
5:47
But one day you will.
5:49
And of course, what he's referring to is that this is the chart.
5:53
But this is where we're going.
5:58
Obviously, it's just a matter of when, not if.
6:00
Rob says Bitcoin only down 1% on the Rammword development
6:03
is striking pun intended.
6:06
Sellers appear to be exhausted.
6:07
It shows how little leverage is left in Bitcoin
6:09
and shifted to hotlers.
6:10
After five months of down only endless liquidations
6:12
is anyone left to sell relief rallying sites, WDWT.
6:20
And by the way, at the time of me writing this,
6:22
Bitcoin is actually up a little bit on the news,
6:24
which is pretty nuts.
6:25
So Chris says, literally what a time to be a lover now.
6:28
You get front row seats to the greatest technological
6:30
transformation in human history.
6:32
Thank you, Michael Seller, turning Dirty Fiat
6:35
into digital gold into Bitcoin.
6:38
MSGR has now gone eight consecutive months
6:40
with negative performance.
6:41
Can you just say brutal, brutal, brutal, brutal?
6:44
A one, a two, a three, a four, a five, a six, a seven,
6:49
What's it going to look like for this stretch here?
6:52
Only time will tell.
6:56
But I think we're due for some green.
6:58
And by the way, we're due for some green.
7:00
We're also due for a great clip from Michael Seller.
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And that takes us to the question of,
8:26
well, what's the performance of this stuff anyway?
8:30
Well, since the all-time high, four and a half months ago,
8:33
Bitcoin's fallen 45%.
8:35
That's the capital investment.
8:37
If you're a capital investor, you got no dividends
8:39
and you lost 45% of your wealth.
8:42
Just wait for 10 years, you'll be fine.
8:46
I'm okay with it, but your three-year-olds not okay with it.
8:51
On the other hand, look at STRC, right?
8:54
STRC is for everybody else.
8:56
It's actually lost 0% of its value.
8:59
It's paid 4.5% in dividends
9:02
through a very bad big capital market drawdown.
9:09
Since the beginning of the year, same story.
9:12
STRC holds its value and pays a dividend,
9:19
The people want this stuff?
9:20
Well, it's trading 130X more liquid
9:24
than the average preferred stock,
9:26
and 1,000 times more liquid
9:29
than the over-the-counter preferred.
9:31
This is, in fact, the most successful,
9:33
most liquid preferred stock,
9:34
probably in the entire century.
9:38
This is six months old, right?
9:41
And I would love to tell you we know what we were doing,
9:43
but what I just showed you was,
9:45
we were running from risk, from credit risk,
9:48
until we got to press,
9:49
and then we were chasing after the ideal product
9:52
until we got to stretch.
9:53
And so at the end of our journey
9:55
after trying 10 different things,
9:57
we found the 11th thing,
9:59
and then the market told us they liked this.
10:01
We didn't know that they liked this.
10:04
Stretch is seasoning.
10:05
The health keeps improving.
10:06
Here, what you can see is that each month that goes by,
10:09
it spends more and more time in its target range.
10:12
The volatility strips off.
10:14
It holds its principal value much higher.
10:17
And so what are we competing against here?
10:20
You're competing against a multi-trillion-dollar
10:22
universe of credit instruments.
10:24
Most of them yield three, four percent.
10:28
Most of them have long duration.
10:30
The world of credit hasn't changed much in 50 years.
10:34
You're trapped in the 20th century.
10:36
Most credit instruments are created by issuers.
10:39
Whose objective is to pay you the least amount they can
10:43
with the worst tax treatment, right?
10:46
When a conventional credit issuers use credit,
10:48
they're keeping the tax benefit to themself.
10:50
They're minimizing what they pay you.
10:53
And the irony is when it's over the counter,
10:55
it's illegal for you to buy it.
11:01
It's manufactured to be awful, very taxed and efficient,
11:05
and it's illegal for you to buy it.
11:07
Why does that even happen?
11:09
That's just the way the world was 30, 40, 50 years ago.
11:13
What we've done is flipped it's on his head.
11:16
And our view is, well, we actually
11:17
want to pay you the highest possible dividend,
11:20
make it tax deferred, and make it easy for you to buy it, right?
11:25
That is the credit revolution.
11:27
So why do you have to wait 10 years
11:29
to find out if you could pay back?
11:30
I mean, you strip the duration down
11:32
to a much shorter amount, increase the dividend,
11:36
and then make it easy for the individual.
11:39
So what's the tax equivalent yield on this?
11:43
If you're a company, well, let's just start with the number.
11:49
If you're a company, that's the same as getting paid 14.3%
11:54
because you don't have to pay corporate income tax on this.
11:58
If you're an individual in Miami,
12:01
and you are able to defer the 37% federal income tax rate,
12:04
it's like a tax equivalent yield of almost 18%.
12:09
How does it compare to everything else?
12:10
Well, you can see it's anywhere from 50% to four times better
12:15
than all the other credit in the world, right?
12:19
The next best thing is like private credit,
12:21
which is sort of illiquid,
12:23
and it's half as good for a taxpayer,
12:26
and it's 60% as good for a non-tax payer
12:29
just on the basis of yield.
12:32
What if you're lucky enough to be an individual
12:34
living in New York City?
12:36
Okay, digital credit is like a bank,
12:38
the page you 23.3%.
12:42
If you live in San Francisco,
12:44
it's like a bank account, the page you 22.6%.
12:48
Okay, so as you can see, this is four or five times better.
12:56
Okay, what else did we discover?
12:58
Well, when you create an instrument like this,
13:01
it's return a capital, it means that you collect a dividend,
13:05
you defer the tax on the dividend,
13:08
you reduce your basis in the instrument,
13:10
and after 10 years, you've reduced your basis
13:12
from $100 down to zero.
13:15
If then you die and pass this on to your heir,
13:18
they get a step up in the basis,
13:19
and it steps up to $100,
13:20
and they can start the same depreciation again.
13:23
So you actually get the benefit of shielding
13:26
your 10 years of dividends,
13:28
and then your heir gets to shield
13:30
another 10 years of dividends.
13:33
Now, I'm not suggesting that you run this on 10-year cycles.
13:39
But what I am suggesting,
13:42
more to the point is the difference
13:45
between investing $100 in a T-bill
13:49
and holding at 20 years,
13:50
versus investing $100 in stretch
13:52
and giving it to your heir and them holding at 20 years,
13:55
is at the end of the 20 years,
13:57
your heir has $922 of stretch,
13:59
and their income each year is a hundred bucks,
14:06
You literally have 25 times as much income after 20 years.
14:11
If you're interested in generational wealth transfer,
14:14
this is an incredibly powerful vehicle, right?
14:18
It's so powerful, it kind of makes you sick
14:20
to think you might pursue the alternative.
14:24
And if you're a company, you can see that your choices
14:28
collect 3.6% from a money market,
14:31
or the equivalent of a digital bank,
14:33
the page of 17% in New York City.
14:36
What's the second best?
14:37
There is no second best.