
NFL Week 1 Survivor & Contest Bombs! | Bottom Line Bombs (Ep. 374)
About this episode
Bottom Line Bombs w/ CJ Sullivan is made possible by:
CJ Sullivan kicks off the NFL season with live Week 1 survivor picks and five Circa Millions spread plays. Contest winner Luke the Young Sharp joins for the season and locks the Jaguars in survivor. From there CJ runs his five best bets against the number, riding the Eagles, Steelers, Buccaneers, Texans and Panthers, plus the Niners plus the points in Melbourne and a Terrence Ferguson reception ladder. Same bits, same bombs, now landing on a Monday and Thursday schedule.
0:00 Free Roll Football Contest Cold Open
1:52 Welcome To Bottom Line Bombs
5:21 Hollywood Boulevard Oil Slick & Free Roll Contest Plug
7:51 Niners-Rams Melbourne Breakdown: CJ Takes Niners +3.5
14:09 Terrence Ferguson Reception Prop Ladder
19:33 Survivor Segment: Luke The Young Sharp Joins From Virginia
22:23 Circa Survivor Strategy: Jaguars Over Browns Locked
34:10 Circa Millions Picks 1-2: Eagles & Steelers
44:00 Circa Millions Picks 3-5: Buccaneers, Texans & Panthers
53:36 Picks Recap & Man In The Box Open
56:19 CFB Show Plug & Monday-Thursday Format Change
57:48 US Open Tennis Rant
1:03:31 Final Wrap & Man In The Box Outro
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Bottom Line Bombs w/ CJ Sullivan — NFL Week 1 Survivor & Contest Bombs! | Bottom Line Bombs (Ep. 374). Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
The NFL week one survivor and circus contest bomb edition of the bottom line bombs on the sports giving podcast network is brought to you by the free roll football contest $3,000 off a grabs enter today sportsgamingpodcast.com backslash free roll and now with that bring me everyone. They mean everyone. Everyone! Bad luck just seeing a thing like that. You lost it all? No. Yeah. Technically. Technically! I am not a fucking loser! You're a crumb creep. I want to fight you. You don't have the courage. You're a real crumbum. Who is that on camera? He's kind of like every one. We never produced on the internet. He can knock us out with his memes and I do have tons of memes. I'll just keep meaming them to death until they just surrender because they just can't do it anymore. They don't have the memes that I have. It was the best guy around.
What about the people he murdered? What murder? I'm Lou Hoke. You're listening to The Man and The Box and the bottom line bomb best. Good luck to you. Welcome to The Bottom Line Bombs, a show that is picked with bits for tobacco use only. Come to your live from Eagle Rock, California here in Hardell, Los Angeles, SGP and studios.
I am your host, The Laddy Daddy, The Bette Detective. Let's come back or vets, The Delin Lama. See they solve and also known as The Man and The Box. That's right. We are here live on Wednesday September 9th, the day that NFL begins in our lives are taking away the car bell or car bell called what call way called out. What was the soap called out take me away. Caled on right. Caled on. Doesn't matter if you're watching over on X chop on over to the YouTube backslash battle line bombs. He can join the chat just like even a did he says here we go bomb it.
You get a bomb and he says CJ Luke are about to win 20 million. And he's telling what is DK survivor. I love it. Love to hear that. That's right. Today is the first actual NFL picks bomb additional the bottom line bombs where I will be giving out the survivor selection. But today of course all season long as long as we run it. I'll be joined by Luke the young sharp winner of surviving CJ. Let me see if I have a graphic in there. I'll pull that up. Calling in from Virginia. Virginia for better. He's going to do the pitch. I can't wait. We're going to talk some survivor. And then after that I will give out my five picks of the week for entering into cirka millions contest. The bett detective style man in the box style. And then of course we'll do a man in the box at the end of the thing. That's it. That's pretty much how we do it. So yeah, it's a great day. Football is back. You can see the desk is cluttered with great great entries from Sean and Ryan's phrase
that pays. They did a they gave away their 11 or $1,000 future thing tech at last night. They do the phrase of pace. It's the one word per team entry and people got creative. Look at this. Three bottles of whiskey. How those guys not win. They said three free bottles of whiskey with a phrase of pace on it. There's mugs. There's helmets. You guys are awesome. Anyway. So yeah, we're excited. This is it. I already broke down to page. Not broke down, but the Patriot game tonight. I'll talk about. I'll talk a little bit about the nine or game any other in. I'm on Romeo dobs. Touchdown ladder. If you like the ladders there. I think it was a lucky day. I don't know. Who knows. Sometimes you look for signs. How's the season is going to go ahead of you? You know. It's today the first day.
The next four or five months. Six since it goes to Super Bowl's on Valentine's Day. I did my morning walk. I live out there in Hollywood. Glamorous Hollywood. As I walked down Hollywood Boulevard early in the mornings. It's extremely humid to hear for no regard. There's not why we live in our life for humidity. Anyway, I go early and you know, I play a little video game in my head. Where if I see a zombie across the street, go different direction. And by zombie, I mean the endless amount of homeless people and burning fires. So I'm like the POV. I'm like the main character in the video game trying to avoid all that. And it keeps the walks fun. You know. And today I walk down the street and then some other stranger we cross street. And there's like this huge puddle and I go around it. I still caught the corner of it and slipped and fell hard. Not like crazy hard, but you know, when you get older, every any fall is hard.
And it turned out to be a goddamn oil slick. I mean, it was oil or Greek. It was like like spy hunter. You know, you drop the oil slick behind the card and make the other one spin out. This is what it was. It was legit and oil puddle on the entire sidewalk of Hollywood Boulevard. So crazy. Oh my god. It's like we're living in the revelations in the Bible. It is. It's the end of the world in Hollywood. It is the worst place on earth and that's where I live. So I don't know if that's good luck or bad luck or just a sign to come. Doesn't matter because we're power and through. I got up. That's for sure. We'll scraped up. But we did it. Anyway, since football is back, you know, the free referral football contest is back. So make sure you pop in that. Why why wouldn't you? You have a free chance to win $3,000 winner take all $4,000 if you're a patriot member. You pick every game you get to spread at sportsgamingpodcast.com backslash free roll.
So why wouldn't you pick every game spread free roll? You can win $4,000. We're also a GPN gives back Colby D. His wife mother-in-law from this town of Columbia. They got rocked by an earthquake. So we're just help trying to rebuild Columbia. Go to sportsgamingpodcast.com backslash relief to help out in that town today. We've also got a lot of great donations here. So that is wonderful. Anyway, all right. We are back here. Um. Did I show that thing again? I knew I did. I double clicked at the internet. Of course, is a little rusty and so humidity. It'll jump a little spotty if you will. Um, let's talk about this Niners Rams game in Melbourne, Australia on Thursday night. Why is this not Friday night? You ask. When to make sense of Seattle, New England was on Thursdays. And Niners. Um. Rams will be on Friday since they're in Australia who gives it shit, you know.
Well, sure, that would make too much sense. That would be very logical, you know. Since that's what we always do. But. Because Labor Day was so late. In the calendar year. Um. This is the second Friday of the month. And there's then that would break the old broadcasting act of 1961. Where the NFL is not allowed to have Friday night games. In between like the second Friday of September, all the way to December, because it would, uh, compete with high school football. In college football. So they look at it, they move the Wednesday, which is hilarious. It's hilarious that the NFL still pays a little respect to high school football and college football, only because it's a law. But in meanwhile, NBA, you can, uh, yeah, you can eat my ass as they say. I want to get a file. You had to tell me to give a shit about anyone else.
It's not, it doesn't have a law about it. Oh, NBA, do you have Christmas? Yeah, not anymore. No, we have Christmas. We have everything with everything that's in our path. You should have got it on the books back in the 60s. So we have the game in Melbourne, Australia. Uh, Rams are favored by three and a half. I think the total is 48 and a half. Um, everyone's talking about the travel because they both did it different ways. The Niners did it like normal people. They went out there last week. They got themselves assimilated. They've gone around town. They've enjoyed the sights. They've been ambassadors. The Rams famously tucked in their scientists and say the best ways to go the night before go in, get in there, get out of there and not give a shit about the culture of Australia. Wambam. Thank you. Koala. Ozzy, Ozzy, Ozzy. I enjoyed that.
There was. I was getting into the Australian culture. Um, so who knows they did it with Europe when they fly in the day before play the game and get the hell out of there and they did very well. But obviously the flight to Australia is not the same as the flight to Europe from Baltimore. That's where they took off from. Is it like an 18 hour flight? Which, okay, whatever. Being on a plane for 18 hours, especially for your Matt Stafford. And that back. I broke my back. What do you mean by that? Your back is broken. What a vertebrae or a horse or spinal. That can't be comfortable just being on a plane. I don't know how you see their planes like a goddamn five star hotel in the sky. But they'd left last night. Technically, Tuesday night. So they're traveling all today Wednesday. Thursday is just lost into the vortex.
Because of the time zones are going through seven different time zones. Or maybe Wednesday's lost Wednesday's lost. That's what it is Wednesday's lost because that's what a traveling that's gone. They'll actually arrive on Thursday morning. That's what it is. Sorry. They're confused. So I guess they go to a hotel Thursday night. And then they play Friday at 10 a.m. It's 10 30 local time in Melbourne. Because obviously we're America. And we're going to watch the damn game on our time zone, even though we're playing it on your land. America, come on. Come in again to see the mother of the day. Yeah, Australia. You're welcome. I'll give you a game, but put it on in the morning. We're pleased so we don't have to, you know, so we can watch us at a normal hour. Anyway, so that's what's happening. So we'll say it'll be interesting at the time clock. I mean, I think too much talk is about it. More of the games.
I tell you what's more interesting is that the Niners are still getting injured, even though they're pass electric fields. Alfred Collins are starting to fence attack all the guy punched a ball at a Kyron Leaves his hand last year. For the big fumble, he tore his peck muscle yesterday to practice. Niners, what are you doing at practice? Stop. Jesus Christ. It's not an electrical field. It's your it's you. Niners, it's you. Slow down. We run the tough shenanigans. We run the toughest practice. We go great. Sure. You also run your players into the ground. Jesus Christ. I once again, we apologize for CJ playing. Um, so that being said, the Rams, of course, are the super team. I'm on the Niners plus a three and a half. I'm still going to play a shenanigan. He doesn't own McVeigh, but he does have the advantage. He's 11 and seven against them. Um, it's a, uh, I don't love it. Obviously, it's a divisional rival.
It's going to be packed with nine or fans apparently. The Rams chose this game to be in Australia because they wanted to avoid the nine or fans coming down to LA and the red sea, the red wedding or whatever. They always come down to sofa. So like, oh, we'll go to Australia. Nope. Sorry. There's more idiot nine or fans out there too. Apparently this stadium, which seats a hundred thousand people, it's like this polo stadium or something. It's like really flat. It's gonna be like 90% nine or fans. Plus they've been there a week. They've been put in the effort. Christian and Cafery loves to coffee apparently. All's in the, all's in the, all's in. I enjoyed that. That being said, I do have a ladder for you guys. You know, I wouldn't leave here without giving you a damn ladder. I mean, it is a game.
I gave you, I gave you the Romeo Dobbs ladder tonight for the Patriot to touch down that's a little step ladder. I want to give you a nice juicy one tonight that I gave out on the Veecin show. The Sports Game and Podcast. And that is a reception ladder for Terrence Ferguson. Now, you can go yards or you can go receptions. The receptions is much more juicier. Much more juicier or just juicier, much juicier. The reason why is the Rams have a lot of tight ends. McVeigh loves the tight ends. He's a demon with the 14 formation, 13 formation. You know, and they have five tight ends in a roster, which is insane. You know, they have Parkinson, they have Ferguson, they have Higby, they drafted Max Claire for crying out loud. But Ferguson is the guy who's most talented. He was a second round pick last year and 25. He was a vertical, though. He led like an air yards. He only had like 13 catches on the season. But there's been rumors in his training camp that they're lining him up as like the third option.
You have Puka Devata items, obviously. And they really have no one behind them. I mean, they just traded for two to out well for crying out loud. So there's been rumors that he's going to the X is going to see them moving around. He might get a bunch of catches. So he doesn't get a lot of catches. That's why his number is real low. That's why we can take advantage of it. So this is either going to brick out for nothing or we're going to hit. And we're going to go pretty high with this. The climb this ladder is hard as high as you want to climb it. And how high can you climb? What's the law here? What is the law here? Draft Kings. If you look at draft Kings right now, Tantz Ferguson, two and a half receptions over is plus 180. Bomb that. We're not even starting at the one and a half. If you want to be the ground floor, it's one F two catches. We're going to have to, we're going higher than that. Four catches is plus 461 for Tantz Ferguson. What? Let's go. Five catches plus 1060.
It's over 10 to one for five catches. For maybe the third option in offense. It scored 30 points a game last year. And now, like I said, if you want to get the koala bear out of the tree, put a dingo on the ball, whatever you know, whatever the, whatever the sayings are there, you know. Get a, put a kangaroo in the racist indigenous people. What I, what I, what I, what I, I've got to come get history. Point is, six catches for Tantz Ferguson is 21 to one. The climb this ladder is hard as high as you want to climb it. And how high can you climb? What's the law here? Plus 21 hundred for six catches for Tantz Ferguson. That is the ladder I am giving out. You can also do the yards.
It's a little safer, but I think there's some real value there on the reception ladder. So that's what we're doing with. All right. That was 18 minutes. And now let me see. Is this internet working here for sure? I believe so. Let me do a quick ad read here, and we'll talk a little bit. Hopefully we'll talk a little bit of survivor soon here. But first let me tell you about edge boost. Edge boost is our new sponsor. Bup, bup, bup, bup. I love edge boost. I use it. It's the Visa debit card built for online gambling. Earned with a 0.5% cash back on eligible gaming. Bend. Zero deposit, zero dollar deposit fees. Plus instant 24, 7, 365 access to deposits that clear in minutes. No maintenance charges, minimum balance or hidden costs. If you ever have the trouble or depositing or withdrawing an online gambling site, you know, you need that edge boost card. You know, you ever go to a sports book and like, oh, your bank will clear because it's a shady website.
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The NFL is right around the corner in the sports gambling podcast is back with our 32 NFL team previews. And of course, your chance to win $8,000 NFL future with. All right, we are back and now let me lock in because we are going to bring in. Now it is time to really start the NFL season. We are 20. Wow, we are doing it. It is, I mean, this is it. No going back now. It's 100% ago. It's 100% ago in all analytics and all data. It's 100% ago. Perfect. Anyway, like I said earlier, this is what we've been waiting for. It's time to talk some NFL survivor with the surviving CJ winner. Luke, the young sharp. This is exciting.
This is our first time interacting here for the show. Let's make a big one there. There he is. What's up, Luke? What's up, CJ? How you doing? Good, buddy. I know. I wanted to get a theme song off of theme song for us next week. So definitely don't lose this week. But I do want a nice, like, segment for the surviving CJ just joking with you. Good. How you doing? Going in from a great state of Virginia. Absolutely. Yeah. There's a Jordan Zimmerman. It's beautiful. Now how we feel in coming into the season? First of all, excited. Obviously football starts today. But how we feel in coming into the season overall for survivor and week one? What are your overall thoughts? I wanted to, I wanted to, before you get into anything actually, I wanted to tell you. There's no pressure whatsoever. No, I don't want you to have any like reservations like, you know, we're not, we're playing not to lose. And if you see something aggressive, you want to go for, we, you know, we attack it because they, you know, don't do it. You can't lose.
You can't win a week one, but you can lose another, another, another, you know, we're going to attack. There is no pressure except for we are going against, you know, 25,000 other contestants and all the other contestants are surviving CJ are probably rooting against you because they want to say that they could have done it. But this is why I trust you. I have faith. What are your overall thoughts coming into the season? I feel really good actually. I know a lot of people are going to want us to lose it. I just, I love, I love that feeling being the underdog. Yes. And we have nothing to lose here. I mean, have you ever won the circus? Absolutely not. You're right. This is a free roll. That's why I'm saying like, you're right. We have nothing to lose. Why not us? Why not? I say that all the time. Why not us? I trust myself. I really do. I've been a lot. I've been been for a while. I know how to handicap these games. I love it. I trust you too. So, okay, obviously, the circus survivor is a little bit.
Yeah. Obviously the circus survivor, as everyone knows, a little different than the other survivor where you have to play the holidays. So, it's two extra weeks. Christmas and Thanksgiving. A lot of tough games in the holidays are 12 teams. Six of them have played twice. Eagles Denver, Buffalo Bears, Rams and Packers. But do you think about that at all? Saving holiday games? It seems like a lot. I don't see how people go overboard with the saving holiday teams. I mean, not right now, really. I think. I mean, for what I was looking at, right now. This is also news to me, by the way. Perfect. I should have probably explained that. I should explain. I'm glad I told you this before. Thanksgiving. It's all right. It's so big deal. It's it's a it's just a monkey to rent. The circuit does. One down. So instead of 18 weeks, there's 20 weeks, Luke.
It's the three Thanksgiving games, the one day before and one after one after is black Friday. So I think there's, yeah, I think there's, it might be five Thanksgiving games and three Christmas games, something like that. So it's actually 20 weeks. So just, just keep that in mind as ahead. You want to keep your options open. That's all. Now it's not going to affect our week one game. Or it might not. I don't know. What are you thinking? What do you think of week one? Yeah, I was just going to say it's not going to, I don't think it's going to affect our week one pick. So good. Um, I'm just going to come out and say I, I, I like the Jags. I think that's going to be my go to here. Yep. Obviously, I consider the chargers. I think a lot of people are going to be considering. So I think a lot of people are going to pick the chart. Yes. I think, I think right now they're projecting chargers. Number one, Jags, probably number two. I like the Jags as well. Obviously, they don't really have a lot of future values at the call because the only other
easy game they have is where it's the Titans at home later on season. Other than that, they're all pretty much like toss up games. It seems like. Yeah, I was looking at that as well. I saw the same thing. Like, there's not really a great opportunity for them later in the season. And I don't particularly like to pick divisional games. Not necessarily super high on the Titans, but I think like, Salah and Dable, like there is a chance I mid season like that. They do start to perform a lot better than normal and with injuries and things like that that could pop up. Sure. You know, Hey, by that time, we'll call you by that time. If we take the Jags this week, we'll be rooting for them to lose the Titans down the road because that's when other people will be having them. Yeah. So let's talk about the Jags. All right, let's talk about the what were your other considerations, by the way? So I had chargers. Steelers. Steelers are an option. Yeah. The Steelers, I still feel is like a little bit risky. I mean, Roger's through for four touchdowns last year and week one, even though he doesn't
play in the preseason. Right. But that's still just like a concern of mine. He's, he knows Mike McCarthy's offense. I get there's like familiarity and whatnot, but I don't know. It's just I still find that to be a little bit risky. I was just too is a disaster. I know they'll definitely have them, but I kind of agree with you. I think I think it's a perfect storm for the Jaguars where the number one will be chargers, but the charges played a raiders next week. We can even use them then and like the Jaguars, you know, and they're playing against the Sean Watson and who knows how many opportunities you're going to get the fade to Sean Watson. He looks absolutely horrible. And they're and it's like they're putting them out there to lose on the road and everyone, you know, just hate some. I love I love the pick. I love the Jags. Travert Lawrence is the Prince. We were promised urban Meyer. Yeah, you know, you could have the chargers, the Steelers. Were you thinking about them trying to think is there or was there anything else in there?
I don't even I even realized something or saying to lions isn't a bad play, but they are there are double holiday ones. So we don't want to burn them up, you know, or single holiday, at least the Steelers. That's also in the. Yeah. I mean, the lines that I tend to think the Saints are going to be a scrappy team this year. Yeah, for sure. I don't think that I think that seven point that seven point spread is largely because of like how many points the lines are capable of story, but not necessarily how likely they are to possibly lose that game. Right. That's a good point. You know, because they're going to be more of like a hot variance. Yeah, for sure. They go for a lot and things like that. Good point when they win, they can win big, but they could also lose outright the same situation. But yeah, all right. Let's go. I like it. Luke will lock will lock it in Jaguars first selection. And I. It's 100% ago. It's 100% ago in all analytics and all 100% ago.
Do ball. There we go. We're going to go Liam Cohen do vol Jacksonville Jaguars over Cleveland. All quick just looking ahead this season. Is that going to be a strategy? Do we want to because I like that fading bad teams you fade to Sean Watson. Your failure to is whenever you can because you can say you never know what's going to happen in the future as far as injuries and places and stuff like that. Is that mainly going to go we want to go with attack the week, if you will? Yeah, absolutely. Yeah, I think that's where I stay usually is pick on the weaker teams, but just you know, they are going to win a couple games. So you can't just sit on that all year. I'm afraid to pick a couple pick them to be honest with you. I love it. Yeah, because we're going to need that down the road. Obviously, just looking to future 20 weeks, we're not to pick 20 teams. So there's 12 teams we won't choose, you know, so it's still a lot. That's a lot of mediocre and bad teams. We're eventually going to have to pick. So map it out. Do the whole thing. You got your schedule so you can check it out. Color grid.
Now you know why they color grid into Christmas and Thanksgiving on that schedule. They weren't just they weren't just reminding you to call home, you know. But I love it. All right, Luke, let's do it. Let's start the journey. Do all jacks. Let's go jacks. Let's go. Let's go. Let's do it. 100% ago. I love it. All right, Luke, we're going to survive CJ week one. I'll see you next week with a with a win on next Thursday and it's theme song for us to rock out. Let's go. I'm excited for the theme song. All right, buddy. Luke, the young sharp surviving CJ week one all the way to $20 billion. Here we go. There it is. Oh, put your back on. Take it easy man. Oh, there it was. Luke, the young sharp and that was our surviving CJ entry. We're going with Jacksonville week one. Hey, I mean, I don't mind at all.
I have a couple of other entries. I'm probably going to chop it up between Jacksonville and I might throw a couple of Steelers in there. It is the perfect storm for Jacksonville because they are not a holiday team and the only other time they play, that's a nice easy win for them is verse 10 of C verse and homework easy win, you know, expected win, I should say. So everyone's again, what's going to be on it? Yeah, everyone's going to be on it for a reason. There's a reason why people are going to be on it. It's a good choice. So you can go can sherry and pick some other things and just hope there's Armageddon and Bloodbath. But, you know, we won with it. Listen, like I said, whatever, whatever survival is, CJ partner isn't it is Luke the young sharp. I'm going to follow along because if it loses, I can blame him. All right, let me take a quick guide read here and then I will come back and we will go over the circle of millions. Five picks against the spread. Well, we're going to put in a contest for our other million because I got to get some mill, I also have to win that million dollar contest so I can tip the tellers when we win the survivor.
Oh boy, all right. Let's talk about underdog. Underdogs doing a contest, speaking of millions, you can be a millionaire at his football season. You download the underdog and jump on to keep your million. You start with a million dollars. It's a free game. You head your bets across 20 player projection questions by splitting your cash on higher or lower. Keep whatever lands on the winning slide. But if you hit zero, you're out. Make it through all 20 rounds and you walk away with whatever is left in bonus funds. Trading of all is of course, includes total loss of positions, content is promotional, not a recommendation to trade. New customers and select states now get a 50% deposit, match up to $1,000 in bonus funds with my promo code, bombs. We're also brought to you by Kowshi. Where is Kowshi? Why do I always lose the Kowshi ad? My God. What the heck? There it is. Oh man, I am so bad with the show already.
It was so slow. We're brought to you by Kowshi. You can trade spreads, money, land, total futures and much more. The great price for college and pro football. Trade $25 gets $25 over on Kowshi. Use promo code SGPN as Kowshi KAL, S H I, promo code SGPN. All right, we are back here on the bottom line, bombs. I am your host, the Lattie Daddy. CJ Solvets come back, vets, men in the box. Thank you everyone for listening. Make sure you hit the thumbs up on the YouTube, support the algorithms. I reached over 1,000 YouTube subscribers. I think that means money. No, it does not. I'm not Mr. Beast over here. I'm Mr. Box. But yeah, hit the thumbs up. Help me out. Give me a follow. Make sure you subscribe.
Of course, I know you're subscribed. Bob, my bombs anywhere. Listen to your positive Spotify iTunes. Leave a five star review. Leave a comment. I love you to see the comments. I'll comment back. I should put a poll. I should give you a reason to two comment. You can't just say leave a comment. But yeah, go ahead and do that. So I know you're out there. It's just not me. The man in the box talking crazy to himself, which I've been doing for years now. This is starting to get weird. Anyway, let's talk some millions. Steve and I in the chat. He says he just signed up with Edge. Got his $100 match last night in time for college and I fell this weekend. Thank you. Well, yes, sir. You got a bomb for that. Jackson Reddick. Welcome to the chat. He says, yes, sir. Week one. Baby. Right. It is week one, baby. And I would play some football music, but they come after you now. These lawsuits. Good. God.
You can't play a half of a second. I'll play half a second. I'm a football. That's it. That's all you get. Olson J. You guys footballs. I got to say it's going to fucking burn. We apologize for that. That's right. Started off with go F and birds. Because we don't have five, five picks against the spread using the circa millions point spreads. It came out this morning. We're going to do this every Thursday. Survivor with Luke and then the circa millions five against the spread. We'll start off with that Eagles. Eagles Washington. Fly Eagles fly. The line for this game is Eagles minus four and a half at home versus Washington. The line was five. But then Jaden Daniels threatened to sue all the sports books for using that number. So they dropped it down to four and a half.
All right. You happy Jaden? Eagles at home minus four and a half. I don't get to. I mean, I do get to line. It's a divisional rival. We just talked about it. I hate divisional rival games to open up the season. We don't need it. We don't need to come out this hard NFL. We'll take anything you got at this point. Let's wet our beak. Don't give us this shit in the upfront. So anything can happen, which I don't like. Now I am. We are going to take Philadelphia minus four and a half. Week one is always tough. We should speak over general. You don't really, you don't really know too much information. You see what you see in the preseason. You don't know what's real. What's what's alive? They love the lie to you in these preseason, specialist stats who plays, blah, blah, blah. But I will say the vibes in Washington are not good. You can get vibes from it. And they look like a dead team walking already coming into the season.
A couple of weeks ago they had joint practice with Baltimore and preseason, blah, blah, blah. And a Washington beat reporter who's there been there 30 years said after the Lamex tonsil injury, their offense is inoperable. That's not a good word. That's not a word you want to hear about your football team two weeks before the season starts. He's not a weird offseason where he's threatening to sue anyone wearing number five or he's putting out cease and to cease. He's telling LSU that, you know, he was the best. Now they're no else. He was booing him at the sight of him. That's great, great call there. Jane Daniels talk about thinking about nothing about your post career. My God, you could have been a legend forever. But now you won nine games and opted out of a bowl game. Come to you. Anyway, point is he is great and he's coming back from injury. Their offense line is bad. Their skill players are bad.
Jacobi, Maskeet, Merritt Bill or whatever, they're running back and then they also have Rashad white. What? Okay. Terry McCollum's very good. Starting to get up there. Stefan Diggs has already been up there. He's or two. Okay. They're professional wide receivers. Fine. They brought in Chica, no, what? Now the tight end from Tennessee. I broke this down the team preview. There were a lot of the teams are going bring that were in shotgun the entire time are now going under center because they fired Cliff Kling's bar and they brought in David Block. Blaw. That's an offense coordinator who was a quarterback like last year. He's like just as old as Jane Daniels. It's kind of a weird situation. I mean, it's interesting, but they have talent to be in the shotgun. So this is going to be weird for the matter. So I think with this line, it's just going to be a pretty simple handicap. Yes. The Eagles are good. They have a new offense as well.
And I might take a while for them to get clicking. But this is a good matchup for them. Normally Washington has fillies with tough matchup, but the Eagles defense is going to be dominant. The floor with Philly, they're going to be able to carry them for as long as it takes for this offense going going, which they'll be fine. They'll be run the ball. Safe ones to line up for a big game. The offensive lines to be blocked when we shot on Marin, the new offensive coordinator reinstalling it. But it's just going to be this defensive line and pretty much overwhelming and destroying this offensive line. I think when we look back this game like, oh, yeah, this was easy and easy handicap. You don't think it too schematic. Like Washington's path to victory is just Daniels being Superman, which he can be. I mean, he showed it as rookie here and took his team all the way to the championship game, which he got killed with Philly. But when we look back at this, I mean, this defensive Philly is getting better.
They look better. They look great. Vic Fangio. I mean, Jaylen Carter got paid. He lost some weight. Jordan Davis. If Jaylux, huh? We went over this. If you're going against an inoperable offensive line, this is not the defensive line you want to see as you're trying to patch things together. So we'll start off first pick, bomb Philadelphia minus four and a half. Fly Eagles fly. Selection number two. Luke, the young shark brought it up. He almost took him for the survivor. I like him in the couple of survivors. I'm going to lay to three and a half. This is short number Pittsburgh, the insers at home versus Atlanta. Stars. It was three and a half because this is the other preseason story that came out. Atlanta yesterday, mind you yesterday, and now it's just starting quarterback is going
to be to a and to a tag ovale. Yeah. The quarterback. They announced what an exciting great press conference that was, hey, everybody, two is our starting quarterback. Great. Great. Yeah. What were your other options? None. We had no other options. Michael Penex says he doesn't want the job. So it's up to two. Penex basically said, yeah, and I don't like where I'm at. I checked out the knee. Yeah, it wasn't feeling great. So I don't coach yet. Not knowing the Pittsburgh that's for sure. And two of his looks awful. Now I know in the offseason, I told anyone that would listen to bet two or come back player of the year at 40 to one. I still have some belief in it. I don't think he's going to be such a disaster that he looked bad. He looks like a boxer that got knocked out a couple fights ago and he just been shell, shocked ever since and he's just protecting himself.
He's dropping the ball. He's almost all preseason. I do, but he does. I mean, he just knows that he came and they had a quarterback race. And it was just between him. Everyone else was either in the hospital or unsigned or off the street and he lost it. I mean, he won it now by default because there's no other people to put in there, but they're signing division to unsigned, you know, undrafted free agents. And they might play over to in a couple of weeks, but they're not playing this week. So this is the opportunity we have to take advantage. And I did like to in the dome and Southern cities this year. He's no longer having to go to Buffalo and New England, but this is a Pittsburgh. Not great. It's early. It's hot. It's a Pittsburgh, but two on the road is not good to it in general does not look good. Stealers at home. Yes, it's Aaron Rogers and he's been doing his victory lap all off season because of coward Fouchy pleading the fifth. That means I am right about all conspiracies and article doesn't exist.
The world is flat. Vaccines murdered people. What? Okay. God, he's insufferable. And now people like him. This world is just getting crazier. But point is he can still play quarterback a little bit if he's not under pressure. If he's under pressure, that's a problem. He's just dumping the ball. That's the other thing. Not only is Atlanta starting to a quarterback, their defensive, their defensive ends are gone. Now for like five, six years straight, they were the last in the league in sacks and pressures. So they finally fixed it with peers and he tore his ACL or the other one tore his ACL. Peers should be in jail. One of them, one of them tore to your ACL. The other one should be in jail. Suspended for eight games. So they hit were in a replacement with nothing. They have no depth. His Falcons team, like I said, yesterday in my future is there a candidate for me to have the worst record football.
They're not a bad sprinkle. I think things go bad in a hurry. Kevin Stafansky returns to Pittsburgh. He was a coach in the Browns for a little while. So he's very familiar with it. Mike McCarthy, new coach. There's two new coaches, but there's still old coaches. I don't give a shit if I'm laying three and a half. Let's go stillers. Bomb it. So that's my first two picks. Philly and Pittsburgh, who will play later on the season against each other. I think around Thanksgiving week before and that week you're going to see so many references to when they formed together during World War II because it wasn't enough men in the country. So they call themselves the steeagles. But for now, we want to both the win at home. Philly has won six openers in a row, by the way. Philly, minus four and a half stillers minus three and a half. Those are our two favorites. We're locking in the other three are dogs. Week one big spreads are usually you want the dog there.
You don't know what's information, but awesome. Who knows? All right. Game number three. Tampa Bay at Cincinnati. Bengals are favored by three and a half. The Bengals notorious slow starters Tampa Bay hot starters hot start. Hot start. Now Tampa Bay is coming in and limping in. That's a problem. Ega Buka, the wet receiver. Sounded by for him too. He's got turf tell. So that's not good. He probably will not be playing in this game. They traded away Mike Evans or really let Mike Evans go to San Francisco. Hard win. I haven't heard a report about him. I don't know if he's alive. So receivers might be a trouble. Well, if KDOT and out there, I don't know, Jaylen McMillan kind of gain well, sneaky. I think he'll be playing. I said, I trust Tampa Bay to come up with some kind of receiver combination.
Baker Mayfield just got paid. I'm big on Tampa Bay this year. Are my favorite divisional play. As I said yesterday in the future play. So are the Bengals too. Actually, I have a big parlay of Tampa Bay and the Bengals. So I wouldn't mind if they tied this game, for example. What I'm going to win. But the Bengals start off slow. It's just what they do. There are another team putting Burrow under center. The offense is a little chase has been banged up. I mean, Jemart Chase, they're going to play great. Bengals will be fine. It's in the jungle there. But they famously lost it home to the Patriots. It's like 10 point favorites wiped everyone out of survivor. The year before they lost another one at home. That's a big favorite. They're like, all right, that's it. No more starting slow. We're playing everyone in a preseason. We got to come out of fire. So they did. They played Burrow and chasing all these guys in a preseason. All right, we're coming in guns of blazing. They go to Cleveland and they get out gained by 220 yards.
And they somehow win because the Browns browned it up and missed a field at the end. It was like 17 16. And they're like, we won. Yeah, you won, but you were still awful. So that being said, Baker may feel just signed this contract. I like to more of the chip on his shoulder, but we'll take it. A lot of orange in this game, orange Bengals orange crushed Tampa Bay. As long as our offensive line is fine. Bucky Irving game. Well, she have a big game. I know the Bengals improve their defense with Dexter Lawrence. And I do believe in that. I believe he will help the entire team, but it's still not good. 52, I believe is the total. We're going to take Tampa Bay plus three and a half here. So we affiliate minus four and a half Pittsburgh, my three and a half, Tampa Bay plus three and a half. How about?
How about my other Super Bowl pick? We have Tampa Bay since I have my two favorite divisional picks. As far as plus money. And the Eagles and the Super Bowl playing the Houston Texans and the Houston Texans have a great opening game versus the Buffalo Bills. Everyone else is Super Bowl pick. Josh Allen, of course, goes down to Houston. The line is a pick them or half plus half the Texans on according to the circus press or plus a half a point. Now, how does that? How do you cover a plus half a point? That means if the game ties, which, it's the NFL. Who knows? If it ties, then you get the win with the Texans. So I like having that my pocket. I'm taking these Texans at home as a slightest of slight home dog. A Buffalo, Josh Allen is going for in Houston. You remember last year they lost in that Thursday night game, Houston defense smacked them around, smacked them and Josh Allen. Played like Superman really just to get themselves in an opportunity to win.
They did almost win it, but only because Josh Allen was being being Superman just taking the entire team on his leg. Now they come, they changed their, they changed coaches. They got his buddy Brady, Joe Brady in there. New defensive coordinator, Jim Leonard, who's good. He's aggressive, but I don't think the talents there that Buffalo's defense is not good. And it's still, it did barely improved. Now they added DJ Moore. Congratulations. Fantastic. The Texans come in. The defense is absolutely nasty. They are elite. I think they're like the early 2000 Ravens. They had a David Montgomery who I don't know if he's going to hold up all year, but he's good now. Week one CJ Stroud last we saw him. Nat Gid. CJ, Nat Gid. I wanted to play another CJ soundtrack. They dropped the other day. I think I don't have it. But if they has improved, he just turned down $50 million. So okay. All right, CJ Stroud.
You just turned down $50 million. You want to bet on yourself? Yeah. Sometimes you got to bet on yourself. Yeah. Okay. You know, one thing about betting on yourself is you can lose too. You know, you can lose. But hopefully you don't lose this week. I love the Texans this week. Couple of games ago, uh, bills, adhesion, they scored like nine points. And just beat them down. This defense is absolutely nasty. I the bills will be fine. They can lose this game and still win 13 games, which are 12 games, which I expect them to do. They're a team. They're a veteran team, much like Houston, that doesn't need to come out and be like, we need something to prove like they know what they know what their goal is. Their goals get to the Super Bowl and win the Super Bowl. It should be a great game. I mean, Josh Allen's the best. I get it. By the way, Texans is a much better overall team at home. Give me a little hook. Houston Texans plus a half.
Now the fifth game, those were my four. I felt pretty most confident about C. Jenner. It's not going to lie. Those were my Insta card, Insta card plays, Stealers, Eagles, Houston were my first three. Then I had a Tampa as a duck deeper. The fifth one that was having a little trouble with. I couldn't decide between the chargers, which is now down to eight and a half. You get to their zone. Everyone love their zone when they're getting 10. I'm not down to eight and a half. I think that line came down a little too much, but I still don't want to deal the huge line. You know, I do think the chargers smoke them. Raiders dolphins. All right. Raiders are favored by three and a half. All right. I can see it. I see why this dolphins roster might be a mess, but that's it's getting a little too cute. I just want to see what happens there. Obviously Tennessee jets aren't that's a game that's happening. Why can't why ugly myself up with that one? Then there's this one. Occasionally, I don't I have a strategy this year.
I'm going to chop looking on the things online Twitter, what people have to say. Stay focused on my own shit. I hate when people are 90% of the publics are niche, but because they're police stats out of the rest. But I will say the Chicago Bears do seem like a very public team and a very public side this week. And this is not the only reason I'm handicapping it. The Bears go to Carolina bears are laying three. Carolina. I don't know what they're going to do this year. No one knows what they're going to do this year, but they are both division champions. Carolina improved in the off season. Added Jalen Phillips added Devon Lloyd under defense. The receivers co-cure with go. Tent Mcmillan Jonathan Brooks. I'm not sure if he's healthy about him and Hubbard. They got good. They got a good vibes down there and the Bears got good vibes. Now the Bears. Course had her magical season where they won every one possession game. They won like five games when they're trailing after two minutes.
Caleb Williams who just pull his yellow balls. But he learned to Ben Johnson's offense and they got better as a season one long. But they got also got very lucky. They are up for regression. People like to say and Ben Johnson, the coach even said it, which is great. When you hear a coach acknowledge that they go, yeah, we're number one. Teever regression, right? Ha ha. Like putting out there known he's in he's in on it, which is great. But then you look at what they did in the off season. They didn't do anything to address it. They got worse. Their defense is worse. They're much more hurt. I mean, they added they added Kobe Bryant. But then he got hurt. I mean, this is not going to be good. Their defense is going to be a disaster. I do love the over in this game too, by the way, 47. But Carolina at home, this is what they do. They play well against good teams at home. They lose the bad teams. And sometimes they got blown out by great teams.
But the last we saw the Panthers, they were at home hosting a playoff game in the first of Rams and they almost stand well, beat them. And they did beat the Rams at home. In the middle of the season, they can win home games. They can also lose by 50 to see how. But they're playing the Bears. I just don't like the Bears going on the road here laying three. I'll take the three points. I wish I was getting the hook. I hope this isn't a push. Give me Carolina as a home dog plus three. No, all right. Now to sum it up the Circa Million Contest, the Circa Survivor Contest with Luke surviving CJ. I play the survivor. I'll play some surviving CJ music. This is fucking internet is so bad. Like, yeah, you could be the lucky one.
Luke, the young Sharp came on here. He was confident, which I love. He tricked the board. He didn't quite know the rules of the contest that there's a holiday pick. So I'm glad he came home. Sub-alvin CJ. So we got that. We got that out of the way before we can get tripped up. Doesn't affect this pick now anyway, but now it'll help him want to see. Sub-alvin CJ. And he came in. Yeah, stop all right. Jesus Christ. And he said Jacksonville Jaguars. Duval. And I said I agree. It's 100% ago. It's 100% ago in all analytics and all data. It's 100% ago. To that's a surviving pick me and Luke, surviving CJ pick. Jacksonville Jaguars week one. Go, jacks.
And there's circa millions picks on you can tell a long or top, whatever you want to do. We're going Pittsburgh minus three and a half over Atlanta. Eagles minus four and a half over Washington, Tampa Bay plus three and a half at Cincinnati, Houston plus the hook at home versus Buffalo and Carolina, the home dog plus three versus the bears. Those are the five for the circa millions. Now let's get into box. Yes. Thank you, everybody who did join me here today on the opening day of the NFL season. Don't forget Ted Ferguson ladder for that San Fran Rams game in Australia. Um, all the all the all the all the I enjoyed that. Of course, we have the on the college football show with with picks,
Dundee and Moneyline Mac, Ryan Mac, we will be picking all the games for this weekend, the Saturday, Slate, Lisa and Sunday, Slate and all that. That'll be tonight live. Make sure you subscribe to the college experience. I joined them every Wednesday night to do those picks. Last show was a four hour telephone. I hope it's a little shorter today, but who knows with Kobe? He's a, he's a not ball. He's a, you know, he's a ball number. He's a college ball number. So whatever, it's great show. It's fun that in the chat there is lit. Um, other things going on before I get into my man in the box. This is the probably the last Wednesday show I do. Like I said, for the football season, starting next week, I transitioned to the Monday, Thursday format that you are accustomed to during the football season. So Monday, I'll be doing a recap and all that and some Monday night preview. Thursday, I will do the survivor with Luke and a
circa millions five against the spread because that's when the spreads come out for the contest. Thursday morning. Yeah. And then I do the prop show, which I'll be doing a prop show today. After this, Sean and Ryan are going to Vegas tomorrow. It's, it's, it's crossed this way because of the Wednesday Thursday games. But anyway, next week, it starts off Monday and Thursday of the end of sports world. I also like how the US open the tennis US open over there and flushing meadows. New York goes on and if it usually wraps up concludes on the first Sunday of the NFL season. And it is into the heart of it right now in New York. It's been eventful. There's been complaints about influencers is going to complaints about weed smoke. Out in the open and people are like, you got to have decorum. Wait a minute. It's like it's the US open. It's got a long history of being rowdy in New York. This isn't wimble. And it gets, it gets nuts. It's, it's, it's it's own breathing thing to crowd.
And you get to get on your side of Jimmy Connors and Macaroni. You're come on. You suck light up and lay some fireworks. Shoot shoot somebody. It's New York. Anyway, last night was a great match. The greatest match of the tournament probably Carlos Alcaraz versus Ben Shelton. Shelton won in a fifth set tiebreaker. So it was like four and a half hours long. And another thing with the US open is it was late and people are complaining how late it was. It didn't start to 11 o'clock Eastern at night and it finished at like 3 30 AM Eastern. I watched pretty much all of it. Now granted I'm in LA. So it wrapped up at 12 30, which is still pretty late for me to be honest with you. My age, I was like, oh, this is going to late. But I can see why people were mad out of Eastern. We're finishing 3 30 and am, but they complain are so loud. A tennis is so stupid. What are you doing?
Put this match on Elena in their furious, which okay, I get it. But I mean, we as a society already, bend over and bow to the nine to five day workers, day people, day livers in every facet of life. Everything is catered to around people that work during the day. God forbid us night owls us co-cans us people up at night work at night that don't have your schedule has something for us. God forbid we get a treat. All right, we got one goddamn we got one little treat. A tennis match in the middle of the night. For us people that are up till 6 a.m. Doing God knows what or maybe, you know, we work at night. Can we watch something at work at night?
No, you're not normal as it's nine to five. Get around me. Close everything down at six. Fuck you. You don't get everything. We get to Ben Shelton tennis match. We get to watch Alcharez the timebreaker. God damn it. You're not better than us because you're tired. Did you get up and hate to be sure job that you hate? I get it. You hate your life. We hate our lives too. We just hate it with different scot different colors at different times of the day. You hate your life. I get it. So you want everything for you to be good and centered around you. Just because we're open at night doesn't mean we like ours. No. Yeah, we work. We can work at night. We work at clubs blah, blah, blah. We get bars. We still don't like our lives. We still don't like our jobs. God forbid there's something on TV to entertain us.
And it was great. There's great tennis match. Which I take by the way. I wish I went back to wouldn't rack it. I mean, it was a great match. Not going to deny that. It was awesome. But like sometimes I mean, they just serve them all so hard. And they blast it like some half the shots. That's a point. Okay. I guess it was a little volley, huh? A little penache. A little drop check. A little bit do a little back, back, back, back. It's just like boom, serve, boom. That's a serve like, all right. I mean, I get it. I get they're good. I understand that. I'd like to watch the ball go back and forth a little bit though. Anyway, that's at the point. Point is boohoo. Day trippers, nine to fiveers. Sorry, you felt sorry, you slept through a great tennis match. Sorry, one thing wasn't catered to your schedule of normal people.
Everything else in the world is let us have one damn thing. It's a tennis match. Shut up. Watch the finals. Rage, oh, welcome to the chat. He says, bomb over Baghdad, LFG. Well, Virgil, just in time, because the show's over. That was the box. But that's all right, Virgil. You can start this from the beginning and see everything you saw. You get, see everything you saw, see everything, everything else saw or listen to. Anyway, like I said, I'll be doing a prop show with Sean and Ryan in about an hour and a half or so. On the main show, sports gun podcast, and then we have the games tonight. I'll be doing a college show tonight. And then we'll see you all weekend. I'm not, and people are going to Vegas. Go to Vegas. Say hi to everyone there for NFL week one. Let's do it. Football's here. Let's wrap it up.
Let's go. We're going to wrap. We're going to do it. We're going to, I don't know when I'm talking about anymore. Am I already out of things? Just kidding. You guys are the best. Let's do it. Surviving CJ. Go Jaguars. Stop. Drop a snippet out. That's what the back detective is all about. Skull back of his. Watch out for them bottom line bombs. The man in the boxes putting it on. Jotting down lines on the clip. But he's telling.
He's going to crack the case wide open. Letty day up in your face.
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