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NFL Win Totals Are Out | Futures Best Bets with CJ Sullivan | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 205)
About this Episode
The NFL Win Totals are officially out and Stephie Smalls is wasting no time attacking the board. CJ Sullivan (Bottom Line Bombs, SGPN) joins the show to break down next season’s numbers before free agency, the draft, and the schedule release shake everything up.
They start at the bottom of the board in the 4.5 win tier, where CJ locks in Cardinals over 4.5 as an early position, expecting that number to rise once offseason optimism kicks in. From there, they move through the 5.5 and 6.5 ranges, debating teams like the Jets, Raiders, Titans, and Browns. CJ makes a strong case for Browns under, pointing to concerns with the roster and offensive line issues heading into the year.
Stephie shows love to Carolina over 6.5, banking on Bryce Young’s development and a manageable division. They also dig into mid-tier teams with tricky numbers and discuss how market perception can create early value before the public jumps in.
As they climb higher up the board, they break down playoff hopefuls, division contenders, and potential regression candidates. The conversation covers strategy, timing, and how to approach futures before major roster moves are finalized.
After the win total breakdown, Producer Ryan joins for Extra Holes with the weekly funny lists and announcements about new offseason segments, including Ask Smalls Anything, where fans can leave voicemails for future Spotify exclusives.
If you’re betting NFL futures, this is your early roadmap.
0:00 - Intro
0:50 - Welcome CJ Sullivan on
2:33 - Explaining win totals approach
5:34 - Cardinals early over bet
8:09 - Jets Raiders debate begins
10:20 - Panthers optimism discussion starts
11:18 - Browns Titans under conversation
13:45 - Offensive line concerns Cleveland
15:33 - Falcons Saints Giants breakdown
18:10 - Mid tier regression candidates
22:05 - Playoff hopefuls ceiling talk
26:40 - Division futures strategy segment
31:15 - Timing market movement angles
36:50 - Producer Ryan joins
39:30 - Extra Holes funny lists
44:10 - Announcing offseason show schedule
47:25 - Ask Smalls Anything launch
50:00 - Final thoughts futures recap
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No transcript available for this episode.
