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We track the market’s mixed mood as Bitcoin cools off, miners trade red, and macro pressure pushes crypto to move more like tech stocks. Then we zoom in on the real story: NVIDIA GTC and a wave of miner moves that reposition cheap power and data centers as the foundation layer of the AI economy.
• Bitcoin price pullback tied to broader risk-off markets and oil pressure
• Strategy’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation and the supply implications
• MasterCard’s crypto acquisition as a sign TradFi rails are merging with digital assets
• SEC taxonomy shift toward “digital commodities” and why clarity matters
• Miner heat map read-through and the idea of volatility coming out of the sector
• Hive Digital’s Buzz HPC going live in Paraguay and what tier three hosting enables
• Data center build economics and why capital structure matters for HPC expansion
• ABTC treasury updates plus sats per share versus sats per $1 invested
• IREN’s GPU buildout and the practical swap from ASIC mining to HPC revenue
• NVIDIA GTC takeaways including the “five layers of AI” and why power leads the stack
If you're not already subscribed, McNallie Money, feel free to join and let us know in the comments section below how you're feeling about the AI space currently and your top pick in the sector!
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Hey guys, welcome back to the channel McNally Money, the official home of Power Analysis
an exciting week in the AI sector.
As Nvidia GTC is well underway, we're going to be covering this along with some of the
key takeaways, highlights, and latest press releases in the AI sector.
Before we get into it, take a second, smash the like button, guys, big help to myself
in the channel.
Anthony, absolutely loves it, if you're not already subscribed, McNally Money, feel
free to join and let us know in the comment section below how you're feeling about the
AI space currently and your top pick in the sector.
With that being said, let's get into today's video.
Okay, guys, away we go Wednesday afternoon.
This is going to be an AI-focused episode, an exciting one at that.
We've got a big update in terms of Nvidia GTC major AI conference going on this week.
Many of the miners represented there will talk about that along with some big AI news
out from high digital technologies as well.
Now, before we get into the AI-fun Anthony Bitcoin itself, again, not doing a heck of a
lot today, it's down in the $71,000 range.
It fell off from yesterday in that $74,000 and pretty much given up its gains over the
past five days now.
Yeah, it's now back and back where it was five days ago, whether it's the added pressures
now from the Middle East in terms of the longevity of that conflict.
People are anticipated it being relatively short.
I think the markets were building in a 30-day period to take place, but it potentially
could be longer than that now.
That's affecting oil prices, markets and Bitcoin is not immune to any of those.
So as we've spoken last few podcasts, we're seeing a lot more correlation, Bitcoin
with the NASDAQ and all three major indices in the US are down and I'll imagine the majority
of indices around the world now because this isn't just an earthquake, it affects globally.
Bitcoin, I'm going to pull back today.
Also, there's been a lack of buying in terms of the stretch and we talked yesterday, Brian
Schupe highlighted the fact that the share price had to be $100 before they were able
to issue any more shares and it looks like they still haven't reached that.
You see, it's hovering just under $100, but as soon as it hits that, they can initiate
shares and buy more Bitcoin.
But that hasn't occurred this week.
Remember last week, over 22,000 Bitcoin purchase, which is seven times the normal production
for that period, so incessant buying by strategy when the opportunity arises, and we'll
talk a little bit more of that in a second.
Yeah, I was going to say a nice segue there, Anthony, with the next clip is actually
from Michael Sayler talking about this pursuit to 5%, 7.5%, maybe 10%, talking about if
he has the luck to get there, Bitcoin could be in the neighborhood of $50 million a coin.
So pretty optimistic outlook in terms of both the accumulation and the Bitcoin price,
but to your point, 22,000 Bitcoin just last week, who's going to bet against him at this
point?
Now CNBC, another interesting clip you came on to, Anthony, talking about the convergence
of traditional banking or tradify and defy or crypto, another great example of these
two industries coming together.
First of all, to the strategy though, Brian, if they get that 1 million Bitcoin, and it's
likely that will occur this year, that's effectively 5% of everything that's been mined, if you
take account of the fact that 3.5 million Bitcoin potentially lost, that's probably closer
to 6%, and Sayler's got his eyes on 10%, which potentially could be 12% of the whole Bitcoin
out there.
He's right to highlight the fact, if he does get anywhere near that, then the price of
Bitcoin is just going to extrapolate significantly higher.
Now, obviously you're right to mention this announcement today, that MasterCard has just
purchased a Bitcoin and crypto company for $1.8 billion, and now the card itself will integrate
digital assets, and this is what we've been saying for quite a while now.
You either join in and get on board, or you get off the bus, and one of the largest companies
out there in the financial sector, 500 billion value MasterCard, they just got done exactly
what we're hoping for, join in.
Actually, they'll be able to come up with products now to deliver revenues for them from
the crypto side of the markets.
MasterCard and Visa have both been in front of the SEC for potentially having them monopoly
over fees for those particular cards.
I'm sure they're going to be looking at alternative revenue streams once they start utilizing
the crypto world in terms of transactions, in terms of products that they could come up
with. Remember, there's not that many products around the Bitcoin month, these companies
will be probably ingenious in bringing up some really unique ways of getting customers
to come and buy through their facilities.
This is a tick in the box in terms of another positive story in the Bitcoin space.
That is one of the interesting ones I saw stake and shake.
They're actually paying each employee 21 cents an hour bonus in Bitcoin, so that's a great
example to your point of that adoption, but we expect a lot more M&A in this space.
I actually saw it post recently that stablecoin volume surpassed Visa and MasterCard in
a one month period, so to that end, these companies definitely want to get involved in the
action.
Now, the SEC also came out with an update today, now classifying 16 additional crypto coins
in the same fashion as we've seen with Bitcoin.
Yeah, they've classified these assets now as digital commodities rather than securities
in their new crypto asset taxonomy, and again, this is a really big new story.
We've also pulled a slide just to show you there was an interview this morning with
Andrew Ross Sorkin, one of the presenters from SquatBox on CNBC.
He was there interviewing Chairman Atkins of the SEC to get his view on how we interpret
these crypto assets, and it was very clear from that conversation the way the SEC is going
and this has just been highlighted in various tweets on social media.
So positive again, today we want that clarification and Chair Atkins and his team have been providing
that.
Speaking of Atkins and team, DC Blockchain Summit also going on right now in Washington.
So that's a big step for the industry, obviously a lot of politicians there, along with some
of the miners and CEOs that we're more familiar with on the channel.
Now bit Fufu, they threw in some comments on this policy activity as well.
We see Fred Thiel listed as one of the speakers here.
Now we're going to come on to Nvidia GTC in a second on the AI side.
But simultaneously we also have policy makers in Washington DC working hard on the crypto
side.
Now as we move over to the miners, you can see pretty red across the board today.
We've got one standout, a core scientific.
They're also at GTC, we'll talk about that in a second, but other than them, looking
pretty red out there.
It's looking red, but actually if you think that bitcoins down, you know, over three
and a half percent and not too many of the miners are down, that amount.
And bear in mind, Bitcoin is less volatile than the mining stock.
So we might be seeing some volatile industry movement here, especially for those companies
looking to utilize their power towards high performance computers in the future, a more
stabilized industry in terms of predictability of revenues, predictability of costs, predictability
of margins, and therefore more predictability when it comes to value in companies.
A lot easier to do that than the challenges that face banks and the market.
It rhymes to value Bitcoin mining companies.
So as we see there, the core scientific, the only one to actually effectively just have
its head above the walls there in green territory, only fractionally above there by about
0.85 percent.
At the bottom it's in salooner, but we know that salooner's share price does have this
sort of volaties.
These swings up and down on a daily basis and we're hoping to get the CEO on again shortly
for a podcast, give us some more updates from the company as to what's happening going
forward there.
So not too much share to look forward to it today's prices, but still halfway through
the week.
A bit more to go to the end of the week and hopefully some improvement.
Yeah, hopefully we will and maybe a buying opportunity.
You're right.
We're looking forward to hosting John soon on the channel.
We also lined up Ben Gagnon for Bitfarm's earnings.
This is year end earnings.
They're coming out on March 31st.
We've actually got them on the podcast the very next day, April 1st, which happens to
be the official launch of the new keel infrastructure rebrand as well.
So that's going to be a big interview, big podcast to maybe put in your calendars there.
Moving over to the heat map again, mixed bag looks similar to yesterday with the exception
of iron.
You can see that one year percentage continuing to climb.
Yeah, as I indicated there, some of these percentages now in the one year change are going
to get better as we go into ward April where stocks last year at this point in time were
dropping and quicker than they're dropping at the moment.
But if you look at the four other time intervals there, you've now got three of them in negative
territory from an average position there.
So today average down 3% and the one month and year to date change are also down 1% there.
The five day change showing a little bit of green shoots there, stocks averaging 1%
up.
Just thanks to the likes of BitFooFoo, up 14% and BitDeer up 15% remember those two have
significant assets on the management in terms of mining machines.
So BitDeer having the best parts of 79 exerhash of which 68 of that is self mining and
FooFoo having a large amount of the cloud hash rates which is driving good profits and
margins for that company and we're going to hopefully get Charlie on the podcast when
their rooms come out later this month and we'll get an update from him.
But previously periods they've all been effectively green and we talked about this in the previous
podcast.
Yeah, we sure did and BitDeer to your point put out a nice visual talking about that
growth in exerhash also about the power under management.
So a real behemoth and we saw a big jump in BitDeer share price earlier in the week here.
Now moving over to the minor specific news, I said this episode is going to be focused
on AI kicking things off as high digital technologies.
BuzzHPC is their AI subsidiary.
We got a big announcement out today in terms of a partnership with Columbia University.
But even more exciting Anthony is the potential door this opens for Hive in South America
and that huge access to power that they have.
Yeah, so the announcement today highlights that buzz AI cloud is now live in as soon as
the on Paraguay with operational GPU compute nodes.
The first GPU cluster in phased AIHC rollout on existing renewable energy footprint and
it's currently been hosted in a tier 3 data center by Paraguay's largest telecom provider.
Now remember, Hive already have 300 megawatts of power in their site in Paraguay which
should be done to use now for Bitcoin mining.
They have another potential 100 megawatts coming online over this year and that will give
them 400 megawatts to determine how they use that.
Now this is looking likely to be a proof of concept for them for low latency air compute
between New York and Asuncion there and they are planning now for maybe utilizing some
of the power at the Iguazu site there for a large tier 3 capacity data center targeted
for 2027.
Now, of that 400 megawatts there, it doesn't necessarily mean they're going to be looking
at all 400 megawatts initially but it wouldn't surprise if they've got their eyes on maybe
40 or 50 megawatts of compute power there.
Remember we talked yesterday about the cost of delivering a HP tier 3 data center.
You're looking between 9 and 11 million dollars that's using average of 10 million dollars
per megawatt.
40 megawatts site would be 450 megawatts site would be 500 million dollars.
That's going to take some raising, unless you land a significant client that can open
the door for you.
But even if you do open the door to potential borrowings and leave us to utilize, you've
got to have raised significant capital through your own means first.
I mean you came up with the comment yesterday Bryce about having the 7030 split there.
That's what the banks like to see that you're putting part of the effect of the deposit
in there.
So your money is equally at risk as is theirs.
And it's similar to probably when people buy properties.
Banks since 2008 have been far more requiring people to have some sort of a deposit.
I'm going back to when I bought my first property, it could borrow 100% of the value there
and they were giving 100%, in fact some banks were giving more than 100%.
If you were saying you needed some money to actually refurbish it nowadays, there's
a lot more challenging banks want to deposit there and it's usually quite a significant
deposit.
It could be 10, 15, 20%.
And if you have the bigger deposit below the interest rate will be because you're providing
some of that de-risking yourself by putting your own investment into it.
So this will be interesting as we go forward.
It gives them a real opportunity not just to utilize their HPC strategy in Sweden and
in Canada but also in South America and really put them on the map.
We'll see how this one plays out in 2026 and in 2027.
One thing I thought was interesting about this, we just covered this week Buzz HPC, they
have a partnership with Bell Canada which is one of the biggest ISP or telecom companies
in Canada, they expanded into BC or essentially 4X the size of that partnership, interesting
to see their hosting this in a tier 3 facility for Paraguay's largest telecom company.
So potentially some synergies there or opportunity to expand that relationship as well.
But congratulations to Hive and another big step in the right direction.
Now pivoting back to the Bitcoin side for a second here, ABTC, another great update,
really enjoying the social media, the team has put together but you can see they've
now passed Mike Novigratz and Galaxy taking another step up that leader board.
Yeah, it looks like they've purchased around about 400 Bitcoin and that takes their
huddle amount to 6,899.
That's a couple of big movements since we had Matt Prusac on less than a couple of weeks
ago.
And so we know what their objective is, it's clearly to accumulate more Bitcoin and accumulate
it faster than everybody else in the space.
And it's interesting, you look at the metrics that they like to use, they talk about the
SATs per share, that SATs per share based on today's treasury position based on the number
of shares in issue there.
They're now showing 744 SATs per share, remember when we had Matt on, I think it was closer
to 508 to nearly 600 so that's increased nicely there and will continue to increase as they
add more Bitcoin.
Mara's still looking in positive territory there but remember, you look at the differences
in SATs per share, you've also got to think about, you know, every company will have a
different share price and that is sort of like, you can't look at it from a common view
then because Mara share price is around $10 and ABT share price is a lot lower than that.
And so Mara's huddle obviously being, you know, the best part of 54,000, it doesn't give
you a level playing field.
So what we decided to do is to look at it from a level playing field and if you then
look at the number of SATs per $1 invested in the company, it gives you a whole different
view and also creates this level playing field.
Remember the mining analysis, we look at the amount of Bitcoin mined not by each company
but by per exa hatch because once you look at the Bitcoin per exa hatch, you've got a total
level playing field for all the mining companies and you can see then who's operating that
a little bit better than their peers.
In terms of $1 invested in each of the companies that we talked about, we thought we'd highlight
those that have a huddle so we haven't included likes of TerraWolf and Iron and Salooner and
BitDir because they haven't got a Bitcoin huddle currently but we did include Bitcoin itself
and we've included the largest holder of Bitcoin, we've included strategy.
So if you look at investing $1 in each of these companies, it comes with some interesting
reading and you can see Mara is still the highest at $1,576 for every dollar you invest
in the company.
The reason it's showing that there and it's showing higher than actual BTC is because
when we highlighted the Bitcoin huddle per market capitalisation only yesterday, Mara was
over 100%, so effectively you are getting more Bitcoin leverage on your $1 investment
than you are in Bitcoin because Mara's huddle is worth more than the company at the
moment and that gives you that sort of impression there.
If you look at strategy who are the largest holder of Bitcoin by a public company in a Treasury
with over 761,000 Bitcoin, you've only got 700 sets for every $1 you invest in the company
so that's like less than half the amount for Mara.
Interestingly enough, ABTC, we've talked about those, they're the one that used this metric.
If you look at a $1 invested in ABTC, you're getting 729.
So maybe Matt Prussack and the rest of the team there are certainly focused on growing
that particular set there because it looks to be one that shows them in a prominent position.
If you're able to get more sets per dollar invested than the likes of my strategy, you
must be doing something right, Brice.
I think you are doing something right and I like that, that's per $1 invested as it's
kind of the lowest common denominator or Apple to Apple comparison.
Now a nice little segue here from Bitcoin mining to AI, moving over to Iran, a post from
friends, Bakker, talking about the decline in Bitcoin output.
So this is basically one of the online wallet trackers.
They've noted that Bitcoin per day has dropped from around 15 to 11 or around 25% this month
and it reminded me of a comment you made a few weeks back based on their earnings Anthony.
We noticed hash rates starting to come offline and if you think about their locations, the
fact they just announced that massive GPU purchase, it makes sense they're going to have
to start swapping ASICs for GPUs.
Yeah, I mean, you've got to remember, go back 12 months ago and I was still in this position
where they were growing hash rates, it gets that target or 50X hash by the end of Q2,
which was the end of June 2025.
And they reach that target with days in hand, so achieve that target, like they've done
every target for the last couple of years.
Obviously with their mindset on growing the HPC strategy at children through horizons
1, 2, 3 and 4, that's going to utilize up all the spare capacity of power that they have
there and they just purchase 50,000 GPUs for additional installation at British Columbia
and at Childress.
The question now is what's going to happen to mining machines and it looks like with
sweet water not going to be hosting mining machines in the near future, it may be that
they're going to start drawing down the Bitcoin mining and effectively start using that power
for high performance computes.
Even though iron are probably the one miner who have the best efficiency and have some
of the lowest power, not the lowest, but some of the lowest power in their site at Childress,
the margins at the moment with Bitcoin are just proving probably a step too far for everybody
and even iron are probably feeling the pinch and feel that they can deliver better results
utilizing HPC strategy going forward, whether it be CSP or Infair Docks on some of a co-location
deal.
But they've got 99,900 GPUs already installed as at the end of December 31st and that's
going to grow significantly as they start installing GPUs at Childress, remember the
76,000 going into Childress and they just ordered another 50,000 that will be split across
Childress and British Columbia.
So I think we'll see this gradually start to come down as more and more HPC strategies
being delivered.
They've got 31 buildings at Childress accommodating about just over 40 exerhash, so the indication
there will be as soon as they're sort of like near completion of Horizon 4, we've already
seen the blueprints to show that Childress could have Horizon 1 to 10 and that really takes
all the power available there.
If they go from 4 to 10, you know that the machines will either actually be sold on or they'll
have to come up with an alternative site and that could be a challenge, especially when
they want to utilize all 4.5 gigawatts of power in the future towards HPC.
I think they'll continue to mine until needed and then they'll switch off and probably start
to sell those machines and utilize the power then for a better return on investment.
I expect we'll see the same strategy with most of the miners going into this next having.
Now speaking of AI HPC, Iron making a big splash at NVIDIA GTC, so this is the GPU technology
conference, the largest one in the world put on by NVIDIA, headlined by the CEO, Jensen
Wang himself, Iron's booth, just phenomenal here.
We've seen a few of these at the Bitcoin conferences really stepping it up in a big way
and obviously wanting to associate their brand heavily with the AI market.
Yeah, absolutely. It looks impressive. It's a shame we weren't there for it.
You can now watch this conference, it's going live at the moment now you can watch over the
next four days. Apart from Jensen being the keynote speaker, we also have Kent Draper,
the chief commercial officer of Iron. He's going to be on the panel later today.
That's four o'clock Pacific time and so you have the opportunity to tune into that
set virtually. I'm assuming that all the speaker parts will be probably recorded.
So if it's you're in a location where that time is an ideal to listen live, you should
be able to get listen to a recording. If not, I would check social media because I'm
assuming there's enough Iron fans out there that will probably put some of that information
on social media for people to access. So I'll certainly be trying to listen to Kent.
He's always quite a bit to say in terms of the development and we might hear some new things
since the earnings call on direction from Iron. So pay attention to that when it comes out.
Yeah, I'm looking forward to that and to your point, I was able to access the keynote speech here
by Jensen himself over two hour keynote. Obviously a lot of multimedia incorporated. They had
Olaf on stage. So incorporating some AI robotics in the presentation itself. But this clip was
interesting. I'll play it for you guys quickly here talking about the five layers of AI.
A thousand technical sessions, 2000 speakers. This is this conference is going to cover every
single layer of the five layer cake of artificial intelligence from land power and shell, the
infrastructure to chips to the platforms, the models and of course the most important and ultimately
what's going to take get this industry taken off is all of the applications.
Now Anthony, he mentioned the land, the power, the data centers as the first layer of this cake
really on which the other four layers are built. We know Iron, a great example core scientific
also at GTC representing in the AI space. We know the miners have the power. It appears they're now
got the talent and ability to build the data centers and the clients are just continuing to pile in.
Absolutely. And we've already seen a number of really good contracts being signed in 2024, 2025.
And we're hoping there'll be a lot more signing in 2026 as the majority of miners now,
pretty much all the miners we discussed on a regular basis are focusing attention towards HPC
over this next couple of years. And it'd be great to hear Ben Gagnon when he comes on the
podcast on the 1st of April to give us an update of where they are now. Remember they've got
that facility in Washington, which has got the go ahead and the funding. So that's one that's
certainly going to be delivering service this year. But we want to hear some more updates about
Panther Creek, Sharon and Skruggrass, three great sites in Pennsylvania surrounded by
some of these hyperscalers we talked about on a regular basis.
Yeah, you're definitely right there. Proximity is key and looking very forward to that interview.
So let us know your thoughts in the comment section below you guys. A lot of discussion on AI
and video's conference and what this means for this sector. We also wanted to do a quick
reminder for the newsletter that's going to be going out on Friday this week. We're currently
working on some website enhancements again, shifting the focus towards HPC and AI. So stay
tuned. There you guys will be back here for a regular update tomorrow. Thanks so much for watching.
We'll see you back here then.
