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It's Tuesday, the 17th of March.
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Welcome to the PDB afternoon bulletin.
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Your eyes and ears on the world stage.
0:52
First up, there are preliminary reports that Israel has killed one of Iran's most senior
0:57
leaders, Ali Laranjani, in a major overnight strike.
1:02
Will break down who he was, why he mattered, and what his reported death if confirmed means
1:07
for the regime's grip on power.
1:10
Later in the show, Ecuador launches a massive U.S.-backed crackdown on drug cartels, deploying
1:15
tens of thousands of troops, and locking down key coastal regions.
1:20
At first, today's afternoon spotlight.
1:22
We're getting new and still unconfirmed reports that one of the most powerful men in Iran
1:27
may have been killed in an Israeli strike.
1:30
According to Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz, overnight air strikes killed Ali Laranjani,
1:35
the regime's top national security figure, and effectively the man running the country
1:40
since the death of Ayatollah Ali Hamani at the outset of the war.
1:44
Now as of this hour, Iran has not confirmed Laranjani's death and complicating things
1:49
further, a message attributed to him surfaced on social media Tuesday morning.
1:54
Of course, that doesn't mean he's alive, as he likely has a team running as social media.
1:59
It does, however, create confusion.
2:02
But if the early reports are confirmed, it would mark one of the most significant decapitation
2:07
strikes since the start of the war, second only to the one that took out Supreme Leader
2:11
Hamani and dozens of other senior officials in the opening day.
2:16
As Laranjani wasn't just another senior official over the past several months, he's emerged
2:21
as a central figure of power inside Iran.
2:24
Back in January, with the regime under pressure from protests at home and the threat of a
2:29
U.S. military action abroad, Hamani turned to Laranjani, a longtime loyalist former revolutionary
2:35
guard commander and seasoned political operator to try and steady the ship.
2:40
And from that moment on, Laranjani's role expanded dramatically.
2:44
He wasn't just advising, he was running things.
2:48
He oversaw the regime's brutal crackdown on protests, the killing of thousands of Iranian
2:53
citizens and detention of tens of thousands more.
2:56
He coordinated with allies like Russia, engaged regional players like Qatar and Oman, and
3:02
even took part in nuclear negotiations, such as they were, with Washington.
3:07
At the same time, Iran's elected president, Masood Bezeshkin, was largely sidelined at
3:13
one point even admitting publicly that major decisions had to go through Laranjani.
3:18
Behind the scenes, he was also tasked with preparing Iran for exactly this scenario, war
3:23
with the U.S. and Israel.
3:25
That included contingency planning for leadership's succession, maintaining internal control
3:30
through security forces, and ensuring the regime could survive even if top leadership,
3:35
including Khamenei himself, were killed.
3:37
So to say Laranjani was powerful might be an understatement.
3:40
He was central to the system.
3:43
At the same time, Israeli strikes appear to have dealt a major blow to one of the regime's
3:47
most important enforcement arms, that would be the besieged militia.
3:51
Also reportedly killed last night was General Golam Reza Soleimani.
3:55
Now he was a senior officer in the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the IRGC, and
4:01
the commander of the paramilitary besiege forces.
4:04
The Iranian regime has now confirmed Soleimani's death.
4:08
In addition to the killing of Soleimani overnight strikes may have inflicted heavy losses
4:11
on the force itself, with as many as 300 besiege members, including senior commanders and
4:17
operational leaders, killed in coordinated attacks on command centers and infrastructure
4:23
Among the targets, logistics hubs, vehicle depots used for street patrols and key security
4:28
units tied to the Revolutionary Guard in Turfran.
4:32
For some context, besiege is the regime's internal muscle.
4:36
The force used to put down protests to enforce control and maintain order in moments of unrest.
4:43
And if these reports hold, their command and control structure may have taken a significant
4:48
So stepping back, what does all this mean?
4:50
Well, if Laranjani is in fact dead, that raises serious questions about continuity of
4:55
command, decision making during wartime, and whether factions inside the regime begin
5:01
competing for control.
5:03
At the same time, degrading the besiege militia could weaken the regime's ability to suppress
5:09
But there's also a flip side.
5:11
History shows that leadership decapitation doesn't always lead to collapse.
5:15
In some cases, it hardens resolve, accelerates retaliation, and pushes regimes into even more
5:21
aggressive postures.
5:23
And we're already seeing some signs of that.
5:26
Laran has continued targeting energy and transport infrastructure in the region, in the
5:30
Gulf, raising fears of a prolonged conflict with global consequences, particularly as
5:36
we know for oil markets and shipping through the state of Hormuz.
5:40
Okay, next up, 75,000 troops hit the streets in Ecuador as part of a U.S.-backed campaign
5:47
targeting cartel strongholds.
5:50
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My day kicks off with a refreshing Celsius energy drink, then straight to the gym.
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Pre-K pick up, back on to meal prep, time for my fire session shift.
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One more Celsius gotta keep the lights on.
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Welcome back to the PDB afternoon bulletin.
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There's a new operation unfolding in Ecuador's fight against drug traffickers, where authorities
9:54
have begun two weeks of intensified U.S.-backed operations, building on a coordinated push
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unveiled earlier this month between Washington and Keto.
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The operations are tied to President Trump's broader regional push, which was announced
10:08
at the Shield of America's summit just a couple weeks back.
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The initiative consists of a 17 country counter cartel coalition, assembled to coordinate
10:17
military operations, share intelligence, and directly target NARCO terror networks.
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Ecuadorian authorities have now pushed roughly 75,000 soldiers and police officers into
10:28
some of the country's most dangerous provinces, all of which are on the coast.
10:33
These are areas that have effectively become strongholds for cartels and essential corridors
10:39
And the Ecuadorian government isn't just flooding those areas with manpower, they're essentially
10:45
As of this week, strict curfews are in place in four coastal provinces, from 11 p.m.
10:50
to 5 a.m., and officials in Keto say over 250 people have already been arrested,
10:56
pervulating those restrictions.
10:57
In other words, authorities are actively trying to assert control over territory that's
11:03
long been in the hands of criminal networks.
11:05
Ecuador's interior minister, John Reimberg, made the operations primary objective clear
11:11
in blunt terms, declaring, quote, we are at war, warning civilians not to obstruct government
11:17
forces and to stay home during curfew.
11:20
But the message to the cartels is even more direct.
11:22
Reimberg wrote in a social media post, quote, to the mafia's, your time is up, nothing
11:27
can stop us, end quote.
11:29
As for the crackdown, it's being carried out under emergency powers recently extended
11:34
by Ecuadorian president Daniel Maboa, giving the military authority to conduct joint patrols
11:39
with police and even enter homes without a warrant.
11:42
The U.S. is playing a key supporting role, providing intelligence, logistical support
11:46
and coordination, though it remains unclear whether American forces will directly participate
11:52
on Ecuadorian soil during these next two weeks.
11:55
That move would not be unprecedented.
11:58
Earlier this month, we discussed U.S. and Ecuadorian forces carrying out joint military operations
12:03
against organized crime groups, which U.S. Southern Command described as a, quote, powerful
12:08
example of regional cooperation against narcoterrorism.
12:13
And Washington's footprint may expand even further.
12:16
Last week, the FBI announced it will open an office in Ecuador to investigate organized
12:20
crime, money laundering and corruption, another signal of how deeply Washington is becoming
12:26
involved in Quito's anti-Cartel campaign.
12:29
So you ask why now, why this level of force?
12:33
Well, it's because Ecuador is facing a surge in violence driven by rival cartels battling
12:38
for control of key coastal ports used to move cocaine toward the U.S. Despite no
12:44
boas aggressive security policies, violence tied to cartels and or drug-related murders
12:51
Last year, Ecuador recorded a homicide rate of roughly 50 per 100,000 residents, which
12:56
was its highest in decades.
12:59
Officials say the homicide rate has quintupled, as we know that's five times, since the
13:03
COVID-19 pandemic, as cartels from Colombia and Mexico fight over trafficking routes and
13:09
partner with local gangs.
13:12
And that, my friends, is the PDB afternoon bulletin for Tuesday, the 17th of March.
13:16
Now, if you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me at PDB at thefirsttv.com.
13:22
And to listen to the show at free, well, you can do that.
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Just become a premium member of the president's daily brief by visiting PDB premium.com.
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I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back tomorrow.
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Until then, stay informed, stay safe, stay cool.
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