Premier League GW31 Best Bets & Predictions: Fulham, Newcastle, Spurs Picks + EFL Cup Final

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Game week 31 in the Premier League we have a bunch of bets to give everyone we

only have eight games in game 31 because we have the EFL Cup final and we will

be talking about that one towards the end, but Chris, welcome in. Happy Game week 31.

The season is coming to a close here. It's almost the business end of the season. Are

you in your business attire? I, yeah, not quite the business attire yet. I can't believe

it's Game week 31. That feels, that feels insane considering I feel like it was just

yesterday that we started the season. But yeah, I mean, busy, busy week we had

Champions League mid week. We got a Europa League going on right now. I know

Forest is away and I believe S and Bills away too. So that may come into our

purview. But you know, also we got some other MLSs going on. We have League's

Coplasts now. It was locked in on that. But yeah, a little bit of a weird week this week

with the League Cup final on I believe that is that Sunday with Arsenal and Man City.

So won't be maybe we'll talk a little bit about it, but not too much. We'll be covering

some of the eight games, obviously missing the top two teams in the league for that one.

You know, a lot going on. Someone call it March madness. It's interesting. You know, we

are going to have, we're going to put together a bracket of our best, our four best bets.

But we decided that's going to take too much time. So we're going to make it a little easier

on us. Friday's game, it starts up Friday. So this is kind of a weird slate where it's

games are spread across the week. I got the scoreboard up here.

Roderard, I kind of slash betting slash soccer with odds from a few different sports books.

But no game is at the same time on Saturday. We have a game on Friday born with host Manchester

United. It's just spread out. Even though there's only eight games, we got the

you have a cup final. It's spread out here. So the first one, let's talk about we're going

to talk about a lot of relegated teams this week because, you know, we have Arsenal

Man City in the final. So let's talk about the bottom table a little bit. It seems like

we're always talking about Liverpool. It seems like we're always talking about the top

teams. But what about the bottom of the table? Fulham minus 175 home against Burnley.

They are the biggest favorite of game like 31 Burnley plus 500 here, draw plus 310 Burnley

coming off a I guess surprising draw is what we'll call it. Do you think born or Burnley

are going to get relegated coming off Nill Nill score the straw against Bournemouth?

How they're at Fulham. Do you think they can take any more points here?

I, Burnley have been terrible away from home. I think it will be tough for them to take

points here. I guess I'd have to, I mean, who's, I mean, Wolverhampton's probably the

worst side away from home, I think in terms of points gained and then right above them

is Burnley who have nine points away from home. But the notable thing here is they've given

up 35 goals in 15 matches, so they're giving up at least two goals a game. That makes

me bleed to believe like, okay, they're despite Fulham maybe not beating up being the best

attack inside. I think they're probably mid table in terms of goals, but like that just

makes me want to take, you know, you kind of got to sweeten the pot here with the parlay,

but Fulham money line and over one and a half, not the greatest ever odds, but it's minus

130. But what I really think here is Fulham, I could, it will be tough for them to keep

a clean sheet. I like both teams to score an over two and a half plus one 25. I would love

it if, if those odds, you know, went in our favor for the Fulham money line and over one

and a half say I got a little closer to minus one 15. I would go that route, but just

given, I think I got to go a little, make the deal a little sweeter and take that both

teams to score an over two and a half of that plus one 25. So that's where I'm at for

this game. I don't think Fulham lot too much of an issue winning at home, but it's got

to be kind of got to be a little bit of careful after burning. I guess what you would call

a surprise draw last weekend. Yeah, they basically held on for their lives against Bournemouth

and now away from home. They're probably going to be holding on for their lives a little

bit more here. They're last away game to Nilgan's Everton didn't really show much though

you keep scrolling back a little further. They did have the one one result against Chelsea

got that goal late. But overall, this team just really hasn't shown a ton of juice without

Josh column midfield. I think it was, I think it must have been last week where I can't

remember who it was. James Warp Raos got nutmegged. I just saw the highlight yesterday. I can't

remember who it was against, but James Warp Raos, you know, not calling it in the midfield

there. I like what you're going with Fulham money line in Fulham over goals one and a half.

I'm kind of on that. But back to my original point, I'm also going to go on corners here.

They're kind of juiced a little bit here. Olam raised to seven corners. Fulham over

six and a half corners minus one ten adds. Not a number I like, but I think Burnley are

going to be holding on for their lives here. And I think it's going to be all on Fulham

to get something out of it. I was trying to look at some player props. Harry Wilson's

minus one 40 to get a goal or assist, which is pretty. Don't really want to take that route.

Don't really want to take or all him and as either because Muneez is coming off the bench.

So him and as is only going like 60 minutes every game. So if there was a prop, I'd take

it probably involve Harry Wilson, maybe Alex. We'll see. But I think I'm on Fulham money line

in corners. That's kind of the way to go because right now there's not too many reasons to bet

on Burnley. Yeah, they're not offering a whole lot, but I think we're on the we're on the goals

and Fulham really dominating. Otherwise on Saturday, we have a couple of interesting ones.

Everton home against Chelsea leads home against Brentford. I think leads money line at plus 145

is interesting. Just because Brentford coming off that, they lost the three points against

Wolverhampton on Monday leads have been better at home. They're also fighting that relegation zone.

But let's move to Sunday and see what kind of matchups we have. Newcastle coming off a beating.

Coming off a little bit of a beating down in Barcelona. Now they're back at home.

Home against Sunderland here. They're minus 150 to win. Sunderland plus 425.

The gloss, the shininess has come off a Sunderland a bit here. They were overperforming in the

first half of the season. We kind of got these last season with 90 and four. It was like

overperforming, somehow getting wins, somehow getting points despite sometimes getting like

reach outs and getting a win or something like that. So they're found back to Earth a little bit

Sunderland. Is that going to show up here at Newcastle at St. Jameson Park?

Yeah, I mean, one win in their last six. I think they got a draw there too. So definitely

towards the bottom of the league table in terms of form. But yeah, anytime you let up, how many

goals was that on Tuesday? I was in seven goals against the Barça side in which you were,

you were like, I'll play them in probably both of the first half and then you just got smoked in

a second half. So yeah, the, and they're sitting with like 13th in the table. It's pretty,

it's pretty much not what you'd want here. The season is, I think they, are they still in the FA cup?

Otherwise, they're mid table in the league. Probably not going to make champions league out of the

champions league. Obviously not in the league cup final. And so their season is like this week.

It feels like it's really coming to, to ahead here. But yeah, they're currently, they're

sitting there. Sorry. And maybe they can get Europa conference league, but I think champions league

will be a bridge too far for them. Do you think, like, I mean, in the Southern than obviously,

poor too, but who are you taking in this game? The minus one 50 is just not, I don't, I don't

prefer it. And especially in a short week for Newcastle. Kind of what you said, just in terms of

what they have to play for Newcastle, knocked out in the EFL cup and FA cup by Manchester City,

knocked out in Champions League by Barcelona. At that point, it's like, what can you do?

What can you do here for Newcastle? So now it comes down to league play and getting some of

those European spots again. And this is one of those big ones. You can't drop three points

at home as a minus one 50 favorite. But Sunderland, we know they're just going to play ugly. You know

they're just going to defend. This is another game where I'm looking at Newcastle corners and

get over similar odds to the full match. You can get about minus 110 odds for over six and a half

corners. Race to seven corners kind of thing. You look at the total goals in these Sunderland matches.

1-0, 1-0, 1-0. 1-1 at Bournemouth. They have the 1-0 against Liverpool, 3-0 at Arsenal.

I think, you know, Newcastle's goal scoring hasn't really been overly efficient this season.

And I am going to be, I do like Newcastle to win. But if we're getting minus 110 odds about

on the under two and half goals, I like that one. I think it's just going to be low scoring.

If you want to throw a Newcastle double chance, I like that as well. So I am on Newcastle,

but I probably like the under two and a half a little more than taking the Newcastle money line.

Yeah, they've got three goals in their last six matches. That doesn't give you a whole lot of

belief to take any sort of over on Sunderland. Yeah, I mean, Newcastle are,

they added Vultamade and Whis in the off season and the last few games, Anthony Gordon has been

their starting striker. They're starting and it's like, okay, this is, I guess this is what we're

doing here, but that's kind of a situation for Newcastle to spend a ton of season with injuries for

them. Yeah. Other game on Sunday, we have Asimville home against West Ham. Asimville are plus

100 to win West Ham or plus 285. What are your thoughts on this game? Yeah, this one, both teams

kind of need it and both teams have been poor as of as of late. Like West Ham's had a little,

I'm sorry, West Ham has had a little bit of a resurgence. Asimville has lost their last

three in the league, although pretty tough matchups. I mean, Wolves, they lost Wolves to go.

I believe it was Chelsea and Man United. They did say I want to win in the Europa League

and they're, and I believe they are playing in France right now. West Ham on the other side of

that, they beat, they beat Fulham a couple weeks ago and then they just won in the FA Cup. So

maybe a little bit more, I guess confidence, maybe not a ton, but one thing that I found interesting

was when you look at the cheat sheet, West Ham is giving up the most amount of corners in the league

and they've been pre-consistently doing that all season. They're giving up over six and a half

corners per 90 and then even more away from home, which is what typically happens. Asimville

is over six and a half corners on this game, this one minus one 15. I feel like, although West

Ham have a slightly bit more rest, I do feel like Villa will be able to attack a slight bit more.

I kind of like the over six and a half corners at minus one 15, although I mean, they'll be on

three days rest, two days rest, Friday, Saturday and then back home. So good play role, but I do,

I just like think you look at the body of work of West Ham considering a ton of corners and

I'm just going to target that and continue to target it.

Yeah, Asimville home against Lil on Thursday. I just think they're tired. I mean, we looked at

all these Premier League games. It just seems like they don't have enough left in them,

enough in the tank here. And I probably look at, you know, West Ham double chance, both teams

of scores, minus one 65 throw that in with some other things. If you look at, if you look at the

recent games between West Ham and Asimville, there hasn't been a clean sheet in their last seven

matches against each other. Last time there's a clean sheet in this matchup was August 2022. So

both teams of score, West Ham double chance. That kind of thing. I just think Asimville

are tired. Wally Watkins taken out of the starting 11 on Thursday against Lil. And I mean,

a bunch of other guys though are playing again, came back from injury. Now he's starting back to

back games as he can be in the 11 in this one on another short week. We'll see another game on

Sunday, relegation battle. Today's show is sponsored by strawberry dot me. Let me ask you something.

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subject to availability restrictions apply. You had another team in relegation tied home against

Nadia and forest. This is a pretty massive game here. Tottenham plus 130 to win some interesting

odds. Nadia forest plus 220 to win a couple of weeks ago. This is plus 150 for Tottenham. Now it's

plus 130. Notably, Nadia and forest are in a game away from home on Thursday. They're in a battle

against Michieland. Is that Norway? Yeah, we're talking. We're talking while this game is going on

and Michieland actually got a goal back. So this may go into extra time. So we're talking before

possible extra minutes for notting it for us on Thursday, which isn't going to help in this one.

Do you think Tottenham have any kind of life here? Maybe getting a little bit after their

LED game? Yeah, I mean, they're coming off. They got a waypoint, a pretty vital waypoint last

weekend against Liverpool. And then, yeah, I mean, what is this tie out right now? Is it at 22?

Yeah, it's at 22. So yeah, if that pushes extra time, you got to feel like you kind of got to

feel like maybe I, although Tottenham haven't won in 2026 in a league. So it's tough to be like,

yeah, let me go smash that. Let's take money line. Yeah, that's like I got zero coffees of that.

Also, I mean, well, I guess, let me take that back. They did win against Athletico on Wednesday.

They won three two, but they haven't won in the Premier League. Yeah. So like a lot of a couple

of different things going on there. But yeah, if this one goes extra time with Forest, I just think

it becomes a lot harder. Tottenham having an extra day of rest also coming off a win.

But I just feel like maybe I got to steer clear of any money line best between these two teams.

It's also just straight up relegation battle. Like this is a, this, we're in March,

we're March 19th. And this is a six pointer for both teams. Like not what I expected.

Probably for your other one, considering they're both in your Champions League and Europa League.

But sit down 30 points and 29 points. What I like for this one is over two and a half.

It's minus one 15. And then if you, if you don't like minus one 15, I would honestly look at

not in forest over one and a half. It's plus one 55. And this has more to do with Tottenham than

has to do with Forest. Tottenham will have hit the over two and a half and six out of last seven

games with the one being that one, one draw against Liverpool on Sunday. And then the other part

about that is they've given up two goals in each of those six games. So it's not like it's like

them filling it up. It's like they're facing any opponent and walk through. So that's kind of,

I think over two and a half is interesting. And then kind of some of their previous results to

have had a fair few three O earlier this season two one. There was a one O where Tottenham was

red carded in there, but the previous result was three one. So I think we do see a fair bit of

goals here. And I like the over two and a half. That's exactly what I was going to say as well.

We're getting minus one 15 odds. And like there's guaranteed to be some kind of defense

of mistake on Tottenham's part. And they're going to allow at least one goal off a mistake.

I think that's almost guaranteed. I feel like, I feel like if it was someone else, maybe it'd be

different odds, but maybe Nadiamp Forest involved, V Tor Pereira. You kind of get the vibes of

you know, low scoring one one type of game because of V Tor Pereira, but busy week for Nadiamp Forest,

they could have some different players in the lineup as well. But I think if you throw in some goals

in this being almost, this just being a massive game in terms of if one of these teams has three

points, it's massive to stay up and you know, get out of the relegation zone just a little bit.

So I think that kind of tends to lead to a little more goals. So I'm on that side as well, minus

one 15 is over two and a half goals. Four we go here, EFL final, arsenal, man,

Chester City. I have the cheat sheet up on the screen if you're watching. We got the FPL cheat sheet.

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and you can plug in whatever, soccer league you want to plug in and see if there's any big bets coming

in. But arsenal plus one 30 to win, Manchester City plus 200 to draw plus two 15. What side are you

on in this game? Both coming off Champions League, Arsenal coming off a home game,

if they won, Manchester City coming off a home game that they can't even remember.

They got smoked again. I mean, they Bernardo did go out in the world.

Yeah, that's right. The elbow red card. Red card, handball penalty. That's a tough one.

But yeah, four, one lost real Madrid. We're a season for PEP in City, Arsenal obviously

doing quite well in advance. They have a really good outlook in the Champions League,

now that they'll face sporting. Top of the table by, is it 10 points currently and then

have with a couple games in hand? They'll face men. I forget who they got in the FA Cup next,

but pretty manageable. It's hard for me to take Arsenal, just given they have no trophy

pedigree. Maybe this is what breaks it for them here, but it's been a while since I won something,

so I think it's hard to get there even harder to break that systemic performance.

And then the other part about that is Manchester City. They're just regular time. Money line is

plus 200. Man City, just to win the Cup, so this could be in extra time. It could be on penalties.

It's plus one or five. So I just like those odds a little bit more. I two teams that I don't

love rooting for are betting on, but I think if I had to do it, I would take City.

City Money line to win. Yeah, I think you can look at it like this. This might be the last chance

that Manchester City have. Okay, outside of the FA Cup, I guess. Four title, four cup. I mean,

you look at it. You said 10 points behind. It seems like it's Arsenal's here. Arsenal kind of

riding heavy, riding high right now with how they're playing in Champions League and in the league.

So maybe if you want to go base it off of that, but if you just base it off of confidence,

how these teams are playing, how Manchester City has looked against better teams,

I would still be on the Arsenal side, but I probably like a little more just looking at the

goal total here. And the last time these teams played, this was a while ago. This was in September.

That one was one one. Neither team really had many great opportunities. Neither team was over one

XG, but you throw in that this is a cup and how these teams have looked lately, how these teams play

overall, how Arsenal plays. And we're getting, we're getting under two and a half goals is minus

120. I just saw minus 115. I don't know if that just won up on me or what, but

minus 120, I guess. So depends where you look. Maybe you can get some better odds elsewhere. But

under two and a half goals, it just feels like one of these teams is going to win one deal or it's

going to be one one and we're getting extra minutes. Kind of a thing. And I just don't think

there's going to be a ton of opportunities. It's probably going to be pretty, pretty, pretty basic.

I don't expect this to be one of those Manchester City vs Liverpool kind of games where it's like,

okay, two, two, three, three kind of thing. I don't think there's going to be that many opportunities

in this game. Yeah. And you've, we've seen Arsenal play this way. Not only in like big games,

but just across all, like anytime they play at top six opponents, it's, it's a very conservative,

it's very defensive. They're not like pressing hard. They're not, it's like kind of sit back

possess, not making a huge overly scoring game out of it. Yeah. There we go. That is game week 23.

Thank you, Chris. Let's win some bets. Rotawire.com slash soccer. We got already all our usual

FBL content up, even though there's only eight games. We got news as well as you can see the top

news on the right hand side of the screen. But we got a little bit of international break. We got,

we got to find out who these final World Cup teams are going to be. We got to see what,

you know, the United States looks like here in these, in these upcoming friendlies, but,

you know, about 90 days. I think it's less than 90 days until the World Cup, Chris. So,

the clock is ticking for us. But game week 31 ahead in the Premier League.

Let's go. It's crazy that we're this close to the World Cup.

It's crazy, but not too crazy because pretty soon it's going to be 10 days from the World Cup.

Let's do it. We'll see everyone on the next show.