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1:00
When you want spring break to feel like...
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1:07
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1:27
Hilton for this day.
1:30
The Arizona Wildcats are set for a round of 32 match-up...
1:33
...with 9 seated Utah State as they attempt to reach another sweet 16 under Tommy Lloyd...
1:38
...and avoid complete embarrassment with a huge upset.
1:41
My name is Kevin Thomas of the AZ Wildcats Podcast.
1:43
Here to break down this round of 32 match-up, leave a like and let's break it down.
1:47
For Arizona, they are trying to break a 25 year final for a drought...
1:51
...with maybe the best team they've ever had.
1:53
A win vs Utah State would mean a fourth sweet 16 appearance...
1:56
...in just five seasons for Tommy Lloyd as Arizona's head basketball coach...
2:00
...taking them just one step further towards breaking that drought.
2:02
Arizona picked a part-long island on route to the round of 32.
2:06
There was no question as to who was a better team in that game.
2:09
Unlike Duke and Sienna, Arizona came out locked in from the tip-off...
2:13
...and showed why they were given the one seat.
2:15
Arizona looked strong, confident and skilled, but sure...
2:18
...they were playing a 16 seat, and I get that.
2:20
But as we saw with Duke vs Sienna...
2:22
...or UNC playing a lower-seated VCU...
2:25
...you can get caught if you're not locked in.
2:27
And Arizona clearly took note of those other results...
2:30
...and showed up with their game-face-on against Long Island.
2:33
Brayden Burries, co-apit Yvonne Karchenkov...
2:35
...all starred as that freshman trio in the starting lineup...
2:38
...really was cooking in San Diego.
2:40
Utah State on the other hand, faced off against Villanova and Kevin Willard...
2:43
...and the Aggies are coming off of a five-game win streak...
2:46
...and a Mountain West Conference Tournament Championship.
2:48
In the game against Villanova, Utah State shot the lights out from inside the arc...
2:52
...but only two of 16 from three.
2:54
They outscored Villanova 15 to three over the final six minutes...
2:57
...and the Aggies two most impactful players...
2:59
...MJ Collins, Jr., and Mason Falslev...
3:02
...came through, each dropping 20-plus points on Villanova.
3:05
The last time these two teams faced off was in the 2005 NCAA Tournament...
3:09
...where Arizona took home a 66-53 victory...
3:12
...but this 20-25-26 Arizona team is not the 2005 Arizona team.
3:16
This team batters their opponents.
3:18
17 games of Arizona has won by 20 or more points...
3:22
...that's the largest number in D1...
3:24
...and it doesn't matter if they're playing top 10 teams, bottom 10 teams, Arizona suits up...
3:28
...and plays their best basketball almost every night.
3:31
It's going to take a Herculean effort from Utah State to get a win in this one...
3:34
...but it's not necessarily impossible.
3:36
Utah State is six and two against Kempom top 50 teams...
3:40
...but has not yet faced a team as good as Arizona...
3:43
...or as big as Arizona or as skilled as Arizona.
3:46
The physical brand of basketball that Arizona comes to play with...
3:48
...really could play dividends in this game.
3:50
But let's get to know the Utah State Aggies and what they bring to the table...
3:52
...and if they're even capable of pulling off this upset against Arizona...
3:56
...who seems to be on a complete mission right now.
3:58
So as you can see here, Utah State is incredible at two points scoring...
4:01
...their two-point efficiency is off the charts...
4:03
...twentieth best offensive rating in Division 1 per college basketball analytics...
4:07
...the 14th best effective field goal percentage in D1...
4:10
...they shot 74% on their twos against Villanova...
4:13
...this team is dangerous from inside the arc.
4:16
They get a bunch of points off of turnovers...
4:18
...15th in steals per game, 6th in points off turnovers per game...
4:22
...and 63rd in defensive rating.
4:24
This is a balanced basketball team, a well-coached basketball team...
4:27
...by Jared Calhoun.
4:29
And they get a bunch of paint points as well...
4:31
...38.7 paint points per game, the 14th best mark in Division 1...
4:35
...47% of their points come in the paint.
4:38
That is an area where I think Arizona can take advantage of Utah State in this matchup...
4:42
...despite their high level of efficiency inside the paint.
4:45
Nobody puts up shots against Mocrivas and lives to tell the tale.
4:49
Arizona is a tough team to score in the paint against...
4:52
...they have such inside presence that is so strong, so tall, so skilled.
4:57
It's difficult to get off layups and floaters against this Arizona team...
5:00
...as well as get to your spots in the mid range, right?
5:03
That's not even to mention the perimeter defense of Yvonne Karchenkov...
5:06
...rade of Burys, Jaden Bradley, Twain, Aristotle.
5:09
Arizona makes it hard for you to get 2's.
5:11
Utah State is going to have to hunt those 2's...
5:13
...and they're definitely going to have to make their 3's.
5:15
We're going to see how that math ends up in this game.
5:18
I have a feeling it's going to be really hard for Utah State...
5:20
...to get that same level of efficiency against Arizona.
5:23
Now let's look at some of the areas where Utah State is not the strongest.
5:26
For the record, Utah State does not have a ton of objectively huge weaknesses...
5:31
...this is a very well-coached team, a very efficient basketball team...
5:34
...but if I had to point out 3 that I've identified, these are the 3...
5:39
This Utah State team allows 21 bench points per game...
5:42
...and against an Arizona team that supports 8 starter quality guys...
5:46
...it's going to be tough to keep that number below 21...
5:49
...with the way Tobaya Waka can play...
5:51
...with how Anthony Delorso can get fire from beyond the 3...
5:55
...same thing with Dwayne Aristotle as well.
5:57
Defensive rebounding...
5:58
...they are 267th and defensive rebound per cent.
6:01
They're overall not a terrible rebounding team...
6:03
...but you never want to have a weakness in rebounding against this Arizona side...
6:08
...they will expose it even if you're average.
6:11
And then committing fouls.
6:12
This team commits a ton of personal fouls 19 personal fouls per game...
6:16
...that's 301st in Division 1.
6:18
And if you're going to face off against Arizona...
6:20
...you certainly cannot be forfeiting fouls to crevice.
6:23
Waka Pete sending them to the line.
6:25
Burries on his drives.
6:27
Cardchenkov on his drives.
6:28
This Arizona team is very good at drawing contact...
6:31
...and they will get to the free throw line if you let them.
6:34
Now if Arizona is going to advance to yet another sweet 16...
6:36
...they have to do certain things like execute, stay healthy...
6:40
...make sure they don't let Utah State get out ahead of them...
6:43
...which is all obvious.
6:44
But let's get to my keys to the game for this matchup...
6:46
...between the one-seeded Arizona Wildcats...
6:48
...and the nine-seeded Utah State Aggies.
6:52
It rots wood and tears docks apart...
6:54
...unless you build with treks.
6:56
Treks marine grade decking is 100% submersible...
6:59
...built to resist rod and salt and fresh water.
7:01
Water has met its match.
7:04
Visit treks.com slash docks.
7:06
Get in the game with the college branded Venmo debit card.
7:10
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7:12
...and earn up to 5% cash back with Venmo stash...
7:14
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7:16
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7:19
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7:22
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7:24
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7:27
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7:29
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7:30
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7:33
Max $100 cash back per month.
7:36
When you want spring break to feel like...
7:39
...and a moment away from the kids to feel like...
7:43
...and your reward status to feel like...
7:46
Thank you for being a Hilton Honors Gold member.
7:48
Enjoy your daily food and beverage credit.
7:50
And now that nightcap in the lounge can feel like...
7:54
...it matters where you stay.
7:56
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7:59
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8:03
Hilton for this day.
8:20
Lager, Layup, Drive Attempts that they can...
8:23
...desert every guy getting into the paint that they can...
8:25
...because Utah State to their credit...
8:27
...does have a really strong paint presence on offense...
8:29
...so it's incumbent upon Arizona to remove all the good looks...
8:32
...that Utah State has been used to getting all season long...
8:35
...from inside the paint.
8:37
All those mid-range looks that Utah State...
8:39
...so used to getting removed those.
8:41
Shut the water off, make them make threes.
8:43
They can make threes, but they cannot make enough threes...
8:46
...to beat an Arizona team without their twos.
8:48
So Arizona is going to have to shut the water off in this game.
8:50
Key number two, Arizona is going to have to play efficient hoops.
8:53
This is kind of like telling you the sky is blue...
8:55
...but against an efficient basketball team like Utah State...
8:57
...you cannot afford turnovers.
8:59
You cannot afford silly fouls.
9:01
You cannot afford to play inefficient basketball.
9:04
You're going to have to bring your smartest play against Utah State...
9:08
...if you want to avoid getting upset and shocking fashion.
9:11
Key number three, you got to limit their runs.
9:13
Even with a strong Arizona contingent in San Diego...
9:16
...everybody is rooting for the underdog.
9:19
You have to keep these runs to five to six points.
9:22
Don't let it get to eight to nine to ten points...
9:25
...where Utah State can really take a chunk out of your lead...
9:28
...or get a lead themselves.
9:30
Arizona has to make sure they get out and stay out ahead in this game.
9:33
They've done an okay job at playing with leads this year.
9:36
They've been a little bit up and down...
9:38
...but they feel like they're focused.
9:40
And I'd be shocked if they get a lead and forfeit it to Utah State...
9:43
...mostly because of the mental focus that this team has showcased...
9:47
...through that long island game...
9:49
...but more importantly throughout the whole course of this regular season.
9:52
So there you have it.
9:53
Arizona versus Utah State...
9:55
...we're going to have more pre-game coverage for you on the AZ Wildcats Podcast...
9:58
...where my guy Damon Farrell and myself Kevin Thomas...
10:01
...make sure to tune into that.
10:02
Follow us at PHNX underscore wildcats...
10:04
...for all your Arizona Wildcats coverage.
10:06
And until next time, peace out, bear down and go cats.
10:09
Water usually wins.
10:11
It rots wood and tears docks apart...
10:13
...unless you build with treks.
10:15
Treks marine grade decking is 100% submersible...
10:17
...built to resist rod and salt and fresh water.
10:20
Water has met its match.
10:23
Visit treks.com slash docks.
10:25
Get in the game with the college branded Venmo debit card.
10:29
Record your team with every tap...
10:31
...and earn up to 5% cash back with Venmo stash...
10:33
...a new rewards program from Venmo.
10:35
No monthly fee, no minimum balance.
10:38
Just school pride and spending power.
10:40
Get in the game and sign up for the Venmo debit card...
10:43
...at Venmo.com slash college card.
10:45
The Venmo master card is issued by the bank court bank NA...
10:48
...select schools available.
10:49
Venmo stash terms and exclusions apply at Venmo.me slash stash terms.
10:52
Max $100 cash back per month.
10:54
When you want spring break to feel like...
10:57
...and a moment away from the kids to feel like...
11:01
...and your reward status to feel like...
11:05
Thank you for being a Hilton Honors Gold member.
11:07
Enjoy your daily food and beverage credit.
11:09
Now that nightcap in the lounge can feel like...
11:12
...it matters where you stay.
11:15
With Hilton Honors, earn the most valuable gold status faster...
11:18
...and unlock benefits at over 9,000 locations worldwide.
11:22
Hilton, for this day...
