Loading...
Loading...

In this hour of Prop Points, hosts Nick Whalen and Jeff Erickson recap last night's NBA playoffs games before FOX Sports NFL Insider Jay Glazer joins the show to preview the NFL Draft. Also on the show, John Hansen, "the Guru," jumps on with his props for the draft before a preview of tonight's NBA games and update on MLB day games.
Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN pro. You can take 17% off an annual subscription when you use promo code: POD26. Click Here to get started.
Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
This is prop point on Vsinn, these sports betting network.
Welcome everybody to prop points, Jeff Erickson and Nick Whalen for RotoR with you here for
the next hour.
Huge massive momentous show.
We're super excited about today's show here.
We're going to be recapping the NBA playoffs, massive, massive injury, playoff shaping injury
from with Victor Wimba and Yama.
We'll talk about that, but we have two amazing guests today.
We got Jay Glazer joining us in about 10 minutes.
Fox Sports is in the NFL insider.
We'll weigh on the NFL draft with us.
Then the guru himself John Hansen joins us at 130, followed by that, we'll do breaking
down baseball's Wednesday's baseball slate, live games going on and my picks for today's
slate.
But Nick, we got to start hoops, kind of a massive, massive day there, starting off a
Victor Wimba and Yama entering the concussion protocol, awful hits, smacking the chin on
the floor like that in the first half.
Yeah, pretty wild night all around in the NBA where we had all 300 dogs winning outright.
Obviously the Lakers finishing that off in the late window, you know, Philly ends up
blowing out the Boston Celtics to begin the night.
But yeah, I think you're right.
We got to start with San Antonio Portland, which is suddenly a series, Jeff, because who
knows how much time we could see Victor Wimba and Yama miss, you know, we haven't gotten
a full report yet on exactly what the injury is, you assume a concussion, you know, could
be some jam damage to that jaw as well with as hard as he hit the floor, really, really
scary situation, not surprised whatsoever.
Of course, that Victor Wimba, Yama did not return to the game, but that opened up the
door for the Portland Trailblazers to rally in the second half, win this game, 106, 103.
We had the under Jeff in the, the decent betting contest.
So thank goodness, eight Devin Vaselle, three, now look pretty good off the hand ended up
rattling out at the last second.
I could have been looking at overtime, but really, really interesting now to look at the
updated series price.
Birds are still heavy favorites.
You know, it's one, one now heading back to Portland, San Antonio minus 550 right now
at draft Kings to win the series, Portland, four to one blazers are still underdogs at
home, four game, three short number at one and a half.
So I personally think it's safe to rule out women, Yama, four game, three.
I would be very, very surprised if he's cleared to play in that game.
I doubt we've seen the last of him in the series.
We'll see, you know, you never really know with a concussion.
You know, there's not really a standard timetable.
That's more of a kind of person to person type of injury.
But the market is not completely overreacted.
Again, Portland's still four to one to win the series.
But this is one, Jeff, that I thought, you know, maybe we would see Portland steal a
game and, you know, this, this certainly now looks, especially if women, Yama misses
multiple games with the series heading back to Portland.
You know, this could be a six or seven gamer, depending on that timetable.
So now, knowing that they have time to prep for game three, knowing they won't have him,
how do you see San Antonio adjusting?
What do they do differently now?
Yeah, well, the nice thing of you're the spurs is that women, Yama did miss a good chunk
of time during the regular season, right?
So it's not like, yeah, when it happens in game like this in a playoff setting, it's
going to be difficult to adjust.
But the spurs have played plenty of games, you know, they played basically a quarter of
their season without Victor, women, Yama.
So, you know, one of one of the strengths of the San Antonio spurs is this is a deep roster,
right?
It's not quite OK, see, deep, but even when they have women, Yama, you know, it's not like
he's playing 38 minutes a night, you know, when they were rolling at the end of the regular
season, it was 27, 28 minutes a night for women, Yama.
And you know, you're winning those minutes handily for the most part, but, you know, guys
like Luke Cornette played plenty of meaningful minutes throughout the season.
You can lean a little bit more heavily on Kelden Johnson, you know, who's going to be
one of the top three guys for six man of the year.
I think this means you need a lot more out of D.R.
Fox.
It means you need a lot more out of those guards and generals to fight Castle who struggled
last night did get to 17 points, but just four of 13 from the field.
And I think that the spurs are going to have to continue to fire away from three.
They had success in that area last night, 15 of 33.
But defensively, I think that that's where you where you have the biggest fall off.
Like offensively, I think the spurs can weather this, not having by far the best defensive
player in the NBA.
That's a really, really tough adjustment.
Yeah, it really is.
Lakers, rockets, speaking of adjustments, the Lakers adjusted LeBron again for the ages.
When you think about his age, the circumstances and how he's leading the team, 28, 7, 8 as
a 41 year old.
You don't see this in the NBA, and even like, you know, even accounting for the fact that
it's LeBron is still was a wild, tremendous performance.
When 101 94.
Yeah, a game that I thought in a lot of ways was kind of a mirror image to what we saw
in game one.
Now, you know, the Lakers did not shoot it as effectively as a team.
They were at 61% from the field in game one down to 46% last night, but still shot
it well from three, 13 of 28 felt like pretty much every open look was getting knocked
down.
You know, there are a couple big runs where LA was able to stretch the lead into double
digits.
We always saw Houston rally back.
Obviously, LeBron is the storyline last night, and you can tell, Jeff, if you watch
it up LeBron over the years, you know, early on, you know, is he going to be fully locked
in like two minutes into this game.
He comes charging down the court and tried to dunk it from basically the free throw line
and ended up getting fouled.
You can kind of see the look on his face, you know, like, oh boy, I almost threw that down.
And from that moment on, you know, you kind of felt like you were going to get this vintage
locked in LeBron James performance.
There was a moment in the first half where, you know, Jay shot Tate of all people was
guarding LeBron and he's kind of giving him the business.
He's pushing him around and you can see LeBron kind of shaking his head, ends up pulling
up for three, draining it on that possession, have some words for the crowd, had some words
for the Houston rockets.
So kind of a don't poke the bear situation.
If you're Houston, look, Kevin Durant played in this game last night.
That is the big difference from game one to game two.
He got his 23 points, he had six rebounds and four assists.
He also turned it over nine times.
This was not a good Kevin Durant game by any means.
A couple of those turnovers were killers late in the game.
I do think we have to take into account the fact that he wasn't at a hundred percent.
You know, it's been a weird start to the series with Durant getting ruled out an hour
before game one.
Again, the market is not really reacted so far, maybe in the way that you think.
Lakers are favored now to win the series up to oh, but the price is just minus 135.
Right now in favor of LA rockets plus 115 to still rally back and win the series.
Yeah, absolutely.
You know, there's some weird things going on on the rockets and the rotation.
You mentioned like, like, rechepper barely playing in this game when they're trailing.
That's the thing that's amazing about it, too, is like, you know that you're going to
need some threes.
And yeah, he was off to a slow start, but still you can't give up on your players that
quickly.
Well, especially when you don't have a point guard, I know having Kevin Durant out there
certainly helps from a facilitation standpoint.
But the Lakers, I thought were great, you know, getting physical with Durant, four six
of turnovers like they had marked a smart hounding him three quarters court earlier in
the game.
And you can just tell Durant was frustrated, right?
Like, man, I don't really want to deal with this right now.
I'm not at a hundred percent.
And the Lakers, I think attacked him in the exact way that they needed to, we've been
talking about this all year.
I mean, they lost Fred Van Vleet before the season even started, never really made an
effort to replace him.
Didn't really do anything at the deadline to remedy that issue.
And you know, the whole idea is the guy that you took with a top five pick last year ends
up playing more.
There was a stretch, you know, kind of middle to late regular season where it felt like
maybe Reed Shepherd had finally earned the trust of Eme Udoka.
And it looks like now we're back to square one, I mean, 11 minutes off the bench last night
for Shepherd.
Granted, he wasn't good.
He was 0 for four from the field.
He was 0 for three from beyond the arc.
But somebody like that with the kind of shooting and scoring upside that the rockets desperately
desperately need right now, I think you have to give him a longer leash.
We also got to give a quick shout out, Jeff, to Luke Connard, who was excellent in game
one, played 42 minutes last night, 23.6 rebounds to assist three steals for noted defensive
base.
Luke Connard, I for one, Emma, join this, this out of nowhere mid career pivot for Luke
Connard, all of a sudden, just turning into Steffi Curry.
Yeah, indeed, good game for Marcus smart to five of seven from three didn't have that
on my bingo card, either as far as that goes.
Are you still using your buddy's gut instinct as a betting strategy?
Come on, you deserve better.
Roto wire gives you the real tools the pros use rankings, projections, breaking updates
and data that never sleeps, whether you're setting fancy lineups, making picks or placing
bets.
Roto wire is award winning insights can give you a real edge.
Get started today at rotowire.com, use promo code visa for 15% off any Roto wire product,
including Roto wire smart money, our new betting tool that we debuted about three weeks ago.
Very excited about that as a separate subscription, but go ahead and check that out, rotowire.com slash
smart dash money.
Get quickly a six or Celtics, sixers are in command the entire game.
Tyrese maxi VGA edge com were brilliant last night.
Yeah, I mean, we expect this out of Tyrese maxi.
I wouldn't say we don't expect it out of edge comb, but he became the youngest player to
ever have 30 and 10 in a playoff game, just at the level of confidence that he plays with
for a rookie.
I mean, we've seen it all season, there were some ups and downs started really hot, but
we knew he was capable of this kind of performance.
I mean, I think he's pretty clearly their second best player right now without Mbid.
I trust him a hell of a lot more than I do, Paul George, just a couple quick things.
I'll say on this game, we talked earlier in the week, Jeff, with regard to this series,
the sixers need to raise their three point volume.
They accomplished that last night, took 39 threes after taking only 24 in game one, and we
talked about the Celtics three point volatility because they do take so many that does open
them up to variance.
This was one of those games where they shot it horribly from three left the door open
for Philly, and the sixers took advantage, Boston 13 of 50 from beyond the arc as a team.
Yeah, shades of the Boston, New York series before Tatum got hurt last year, you know,
it was like, you gotta remember that they were already struggling in that series before
the Tatum injury.
It wasn't just the Tatum injury is a problem there.
We're going to be talking a lot more about the two games tonight, spend a little bit of
time on that.
We got Magic Pistons, we got Suns Thunder as well.
In baseball, the Mets have now lost 12 games in a row.
They blew it in horrendous fashion last night.
The good news for them is a, the Phillies are struggling as well, seven in a row, and
B, they get one soda back today, so that's a pretty big deal there.
I got to ask you, Jeff, you're the baseball guys, is this rock bottom for the Mets?
Can it get worse than this, you know, you were on Mets money line yesterday that looked
like the smart play until of course they they blow it in the night thinning.
I think the fans have hit rock bottom.
That was a horrible environment at the end of that game at City Field.
I mean, we talked about the odds yesterday for the Mets to make the playoffs.
We can't rule a team out 23 games into the year, but they are the worst team in baseball
right now, Jeff, with the Royals winning last night.
That's sitting at seven and 16, and like you said, the Phillies who've lost seven in
a row in their own right at eight and 15.
Yeah, you know, it's, you asked me yesterday about the playoff chances that making the
playoffs there.
I thought there was still a pretty decent price, well, you still get that price.
You know, at the same time, I was early to doubt the braves.
And maybe that was the right analysis here as well.
Maybe it's just, sometimes it's tough to dig the thing about the Mets, those we've seen
them dig out of holes before just a couple of years ago to make the playoffs there.
They get soda back today.
They're going to have Christian Scott go into the rotation ahead of David, you know, push
David Fearson back a couple of days.
There's help coming along the way.
And that's why I think maybe something is in some hope.
All right.
Huge massive guests coming up next.
Jay Glazer joins us to help talk NFL draft.
This is prop points.
So you're listening to this podcast because you want an edge, but what if I told you you're
only halfway there?
You've got the mindset.
Now it's time to get the toolkit to match.
Here's the thing.
You better spend thousands on data and tools.
But what they don't want you to know is that you can get the same edge for a fraction of
the cost with decent pro with decent pro.
You'll get access to expert picks, public betting data, prop projections, powerful tools,
analytics, and more.
Just tap the link in the description and see why thousands of bettors are already using
decent pro to cash more bets.
You're watching prop points on V-SIM, the sports betting network.
Nickweil, Jeff Erick, say back with you.
It's the Wednesday edition of prop points here on V-SIM, the sports betting network.
We welcome in those streaming along live on serious XM, channel 158 as well.
We're going heavy NFL draft, the rest of the way here on prop points about $138 away from
round one starting up on Thursday night.
We're going to head out to the progressive guest slide, bring on a very special guest.
You of course know him from his work over at Fox Sports, Jake Glazer, NFL insider.
You can find him on Twitter at Jay Glazer.
He'll be hosted in the first round of the draft over on Fox Sports Radio.
Get here their coverage on all Fox Sports Radio affiliates and on the iHard app to make
sure you tune into that.
Jay, I know this is a crazy, busy week for you.
We appreciate you giving us some of your time, so we'll get right to it.
Now for months, we have been hearing that this is not a great draft, comparatively speaking.
Teams are already looking ahead to 2027 and that's led to this idea that some of the traditional
positional value norms, if you will, maybe thrown out the window.
Teams more willing to draft for need.
Just take the best player available, regardless of position.
Is that the sense you're still getting heading into tomorrow night?
Well, there's two parts to this yet and thanks for having me on, guys.
I appreciate it.
Yeah, there's two parts to it.
Yeah, it's not it's not a great deep draft, but there is value as far as it's different
the last year and the last year, I remember, you know, putting out something that usually
when you, you're great, these players is usually two reasons.
The players off the team is bored with either character or injury and last year, there
was a third category and it was, doesn't love football and I think that, you know, we
were trying to figure out why maybe because the NIL's money and things like that.
This year, there's nobody like that.
It's like there's tons of great character guys, maybe because of the NIL, now that people
stayed in more than matured more, not sure what it is.
We can't figure that out, but so you're going to get, you get great kids.
There's not a lot of question marks there, but as far as talent, yeah, people think that
next year's draft is better than this this year, but the last couple of years, that's
what I've heard last year or fifth year's drafts better year before that.
The next year's drafts better, that keeps coming up, but I said, why is it so much better
this year?
That's probably just the next year's the most better quarterback drafts, a lot of times
that's how drafts are kind of, you know, braided out on what the strength is based on the
quarterbacks.
Jay, what are you hearing in terms of trades right now?
I know Jeremiah Love is a hot button guy, you know, some people, I think teams will want
to trade up for him.
We've seen him maybe go as high as three, maybe people will trade from whatever you,
what are you hearing on that market?
Yeah, you know, listen, last draft broke the story of the draft was 100, Jaguar was trying
to thread up, and it was like draft, say, maybe noon, something like that, where it was
like, all right, this is solidified, but they just want to make sure that they're
there's a couple, there's a couple things that could have been a hiccup, but there's
not a, you know, look, there's, I think a lot of team, there was a report, a couple
of us are like, oh, they said, if you got more trades in this draft than ever before,
and it kind of lends into what you guys just said, I don't know if that's going to be the
case, because not a lot of people want to, let's say, add capital for this year's draft,
now if they get to add capital for next draft, that's the case.
The one, we talked about Jeremiah Love, and you know, right now, a lot of people have
that kind of to their cardinals of three, and you know, I talked to them in the cardinals
to get, be great, but it's a little too high for a runner back, the salary would make
them, you know, one of the highest paid runner backs, the league ran out of the gate.
There, I think you'll see some trades later, maybe for, you know, offensive linemen, if
there's a runoff, offensive linemen, but it's an interesting draft, you don't have,
you have like one tight end, maybe two, you have one, you know, safety, I mean, a corner
back corner that everybody's like, okay, and delaying, the second corner back corner
back from Tennessee, everybody loves, probably be a top 10 pick if there was an injury concerns,
but there's not like a ton of those guys, you have, you know, probably three offensive
tackles, and that guard from Penn State, whichever whoever was the lowest, then there's
a drop off there, and then receivers, you have a couple, you have like three receivers
in the top tier, and then after that, there's like a, at next level, there were, I think
you have a run on them also, probably in the 20s.
Talk about Jay Glazer and a fellow insider at Foxboards joining us on the progressive
gas line. Jay, we have a unique situation this year for just the second time since 2016,
the LA Rams are in possession of a first round pick, of course, originally belonged
to the Atlanta Falcons. Do you have any insights as to where less need and Sean McVey, what
they might want to do with that pick at 13.
I do, but I can't, I can't, you got to listen to show tomorrow night. I can't, can't
give it up here. Okay. Hey, Jay, don't Ravens have a stunning off season? People, but
people think that, hey, are they going to trade the pick? No, they're not going to trade
the pick. There's been talks about them trade, no, I don't see that per se happening, but
yeah, I don't see them trade the pick for, for a player at this corner or something along
with us.
Hey, Jay, the Ravens have had a stunning off season. First, you know, parting ways with
Sean Harbaugh, then trading for Max Crosby, then backing out of that trade in equally shocking
fashion, signing Trey Hendrickson. What do you anticipate them doing next? Do you see them going big
at a tight end, for instance, at the 14th pick? Are there any any any other big moves that they'll do?
Yeah, I, well, I've just tried and said the need for them. And, you know, he's a really good player,
a very dynamic player. And, you know, we'll block you. He's not just a receiving tight end.
That's a decent, good, really good prospect. I think if the Penn State Guard is there,
if somebody they would jump on as well. But I think, look, they're in a position that most
of the teams are kind of around there. They talked to team up yesterday around them and they said,
look, you know, there's probably like, you know, 10 10 guys in this draft, you're like, oh man,
those are, you know, kind of our blue chip prospects. And after that, it's like, we're going to take
the best available. I know it sounds cliche, but they're going to take best available because
after that, there's just, you know, there was a drop off from that talent.
Jay, let's talk about the top of the draft. We obviously expect Fernando Mendoza to be the
number one pick to the Las Vegas Raiders, but they brought in Kirk Cousins likely to at least
begin the season as the starter curious to get your thoughts on Mendoza's fit in Vegas. And
is there an expectation behind the scenes that Tom Brady will have more of a hands-on influence
with Mendoza's development? I love Mendoza. He's one of the guys that you look and say he's a sure
fighter. He'll have downs. And again, I own from, I think I own from Penn State, but I love
Mendoza, Matt. He is like, you know what I love about him is that if you make some mistake,
he's going to make you pay for it. He doesn't get his own head about it. He doesn't fold,
doesn't get, teammates absolutely love him. I know Raiders love him. They love his work ethic.
They're getting a guy who, you know, everything you want to quarterback, he's going to,
it's interesting because what you're looking for, you're not right now, we're talking about the
older's being. And he's talking about, you know, now that he's in his business, what are you
looking for? I mean, Jay, you know, what do you got to kind of look for, see who's up, who's
going to come and be a gangster? You know, I said to him, I think the first thing is when,
you know, these players have four hours they can work on their craft every day in college.
Now you get 24 hours. Which ones are going to use 24 hours? Which ones are going to do what Tom
already did? Which ones are going to sit there and go, man, I'm going to outwork the world.
I would say like, the blueprint for greatness, it's not a secret. Finally, the best isn't
do more than them. I think Mendoza is that guy, right? He's going to now come in here and have
a different level of resources that he could use to develop. And Tom Brady is one of the resources.
I think Mendoza is going to shot. Jay, what do you think about Tyson Simpson? Will he go
in the first round? Will we see some team trade up to go get him in the first round like we saw
with the giants and Jackson Dart last year? I do think there'll be two quarterbacks taking
the first round. I think Tyson Simpson will be the second one down. I think he'll be in there.
And then after that, there's a method drop off between those two quarterbacks. And so I don't see
anybody trade enough for another quarterback. I don't see that happen. No, but Tyson Simpson has a lot
of love in this league. The problem with that. Jay, we got about a minute left to draw one more.
Well, we're going to go ahead with Tyson Simpson. Probably we've been a higher prospect,
but the talent around him wasn't as good as like Alabama's used to have him.
The scene wasn't great for him. He doesn't have a lot of experience. But if you had like those,
you know, Nick Sabin-Rosser at Alabama, I think he would have been pushed way higher up on these draft
boards. Jay, we appreciate the time, man. I know, like you said, this is a very, very busy week for
you. We'll make sure to catch your coverage over on Fox Sports Radio throughout round one
of the NFL draft tomorrow night. And of course, you could follow Jay on Twitter on X at Jay Glazer.
Appreciate the time, man. Enjoy it tomorrow night.
Jay Glazer, everybody NFL insider for Fox Sports. Again, he'll be hosting the first round
of the NFL draft on Fox Sports Radio tomorrow night. You can hear that coverage on all Fox Sports
Radio affiliates as well as on the iHearts app. Make sure you tune in to that. We got John Hansen,
the fantasy football guru joining us on the other side. We'll talk some fantasy implications
from the NFL draft. We get a whole lot of props for him. He's got some tight end props to share
with us on the other side. You'll watch the prop points here on VCIN.
Talking more NFL draft here on prop points, Dick Whalen, Jeff Erickson hanging out with you.
And we are going right back out to the progressive guest line to bring in our guy, John Hansen,
the fantasy guru himself at fantasy underscore guru on Twitter. And of course, the host of this
very program during football season. John, appreciate you giving us some of your time. I know you have
a bunch of props you want to run through heading into tomorrow night. And we'll start off with
the Carolina Panthers. I know there are a couple of here that that correlate. So you are looking at
the Panthers to take a tight end with their first selection. Get that at three to one right now.
Now, I assume that player would be Kenyan Sedeek. And there's a way you could tether these together
looking at his draft position problem. Yeah, yeah, this is up to plus 350. So that's not great.
Now, tight end is the third best favorite for the Panthers first pick behind offensive line
and wide receiver. But you know, I try and put myself in Dan Morgan's position in Dave
Canalis's position. And you know, what would I do? You know, been doing this for 30 years.
I'm looking at the depth chart. They have two good tackles. I don't know if we want to take an
interior alignment at 19. I think the best one is going to go to the Ravens before we'll get to
that. They have drafted and second favorite pick would be wide receiver. Well, that would be
three years of row. They take a wide receiver in round number one. I'm just looking at the quarterback
Bryce Young. And one thing I've learned about quarterbacks, if you're not Josh Allen, if you're not
Patrick Maholms, if you're not physically gifted, oftentimes the team needs to surround you with
a lot of talent to maximize the offense. And I think that really applies with Carolina and
Bryce Young. I'm sick and tired of Tommy Tremble, no offense. Uh, Jettavian Sanders hasn't done
anything. Uh, Kenyan Cedique is also arguably the best blocking tight end in this class. He's got
position versatility. He's a quick, uh, quick Twitch athlete. And that's what they need. You know,
he'll win quickly for Bryce Young. And then he'll be a great athlete after the catch and rack up
the yardage. So I'm, uh, I'm kind of feeling it. I'm putting myself in the carolata panthers position
here. And I think at 19, if Cedique is still on the board, which I do believe he will, I think
is a slam dunk, no brainer. I think the risk for you and your bet here is the Baltimore
Ravens at 14 because I think they could possibly be a Cedique team having lost Isaiah likely. But
they also have some, some, some needs on the offensive line. And I know you like them going
offensive line with that first pick at 14. Yeah. Yeah. They also did just sign Mark Andrews
to an extension. I know he's getting up there. I think he's what 30 might, might even be an old 30.
But, you know, they did lose center Tyler Linderbaum. Uh, this is the odds on favorite by the way
with the 14th pick. So with plus money at plus 130 with Tyler Linderbaum being a big time loss
for the interior of that offensive line, we all know what their identity needs to be.
They're a run heavy team. So I think they're going to go with the Penn State Guard and get him.
He's a mallard. Dude's huge. And he's also really good in past protection. Uh, they can get a wide
receiver or even a tight end. Pretty deep class if they have designs on that at 45 or even 80.
But, you know, you look at it's Debra Kenry. You got to block it up a little bit for Debra Kenry.
He was like, what, 32 years old plus Lamar. So I think the Ravens might be a little boring,
but I think, uh, middle around one, I think it's addressing a need and just makes too much sense to
me. Talk with John Hansen, the fantasy football guru joining us on the progressive
guest line. John, I know you have some thoughts on what the Vikings might do at 18. You look at
the odds right now over at draft Kings. First player selected for the Vikings a safety at plus 130,
but you're looking a little bit further down the board. Yeah. And everyone is obviously looking at
Dylan Thinamann at a Purdue and then out of Oregon. Everyone is just assuming that Harris is
Smith is going to write off into the sunset. Well, I'm not because he has not yet filed his
retirement papers. I thought he was still very effective last year. It was a nightmare season
for the Vikings, but they won five in a row down the stretch. If they had the same quarterback room
at they do now, they would have made the playoffs. And who knows? I mean, Seattle came out of nowhere.
So if I'm, if I'm, you know, Harris and Smith, one of the all-time great Vikings still playing at
a high level, still in football shape, I believe, for the off season, he just did the flag football
thing. I'm, I'm, I have a desire to come back and give it one more shot. And then now if that's
the case, then let's look at the Vikings main deficiency. They addressed the offensive line
last year with Donovan Jackson. Corners certainly a possibility, but they, they collected, they,
they traded away a detackle before the season started and they collected a bunch of free agent
types like Jonathan Allen. And they were terrible against the run. So I'm, I'm thinking that
plus two 10 first play drafted D line or edge, which also could work if they trade away Jonathan
Grenard. I think that's a pretty good bet. It's the second best odds at it with the 18th pick. So
I'm not ready to quit and give up on Harris and Smith. And I think he's going to be a Viking again
this year. John, let's talk Rams. They got a rare early first round pick because early for them
at least at 13 as a result of the James Pierce trade. They can do go anywhere this visit with this
pick. You think that maybe they'll go wide receiver. Yeah, it's the odds on favorite. And the odds,
these are the worst odds here on my little board for this drafted minus 135. But I just think
you look at the roster. It's one of the best rosters in the league. They're out there poaching
corners left and right in free agency. So we're good on the back end. We've got a, we got a past
rush here with Jared verse, the offensive line. You could always add to that. But it's always been
solidified here in the last three, four years. And they still have some good players there on the
offensive line. I just look at this roster and they did lose two two at well, not a big loss.
But I have no confidence in Devonte Adams and his ability to make it through a whole season with
those tricky hamstrings. It's going to be 33 years old. Not to mention Pukin Akua's colorful law of
season. He also has a pretty physical running style. So are playing style that leads to injury. So
if I'm the Rams, I'm like, if we don't get a wide receiver here and Devonte goes down, now we
might be in trouble. But if we do get a wide receiver, we might have a tremendous trio to go along
with those tight ends. And it's just a really good insurance program, if you will, for 2026. And it
also could put them over the top offensively because of Adams and Puka are on the field with a guy
like Jordan Tyson plus those tight ends. It's like lights out for Matt Stafford and MVP candidate
last year. So it's a slam dunk again. I think the Rams have almost have to take a wide receiver.
Well, I'm more from John Hansen in just a moment. But folks, the sharps invitational is a season
long NFL bankroll tournament. Think poker meets football. You start with 10,000 chips, put them to
work on spreads, totals, parlays, even props, runs NFL week one through the Super Bowl, stack your
chips, climb the leaderboard, compete for real money, three tiers, three champions, three prize
pools worth playing for. You can sign up today at join the sharps.com. That's join the sharps.com.
You got John Hansen, the guru joining us on the progressive guest lineup. But it's breakdown.
The NFL draft round one starting up tomorrow night. Let's go back to tight ends.
John, we talked about Kenyans to Deek. You're looking at him as a possibility to the Carolina
Panthers. But you think another tight end could go in round one. Presumably, Eli Stowers from
Vanderbilt. Where's the landing spot for him if that's the case? Yeah, it would have to be Eli
Stowers. I think it would be a real stretch for anybody else. But I mean, you're looking at the
John Mackey award winner. You're looking at a needle moving freak athlete who can be a big time
mismatch in the passing game. There are a lot of possibilities. I mean, Miami's got the two number
one picks Seattle. I mean, and with the last pick of round number one in New England,
I'm sure they would love to get an infusion of talent. Kansas City has picked number 29.
Houston, San Fran, Philly, with Dallas Goddard getting up there. I'm not even ruling out
Jacksonville. I know Brenton Strange is solid, but he's not a quick twitch athlete like Stowers
Pittsburgh or even Carolina, if said, Deak is gone. So we can also get a team trading back up
in the round one. Tennessee, Kansas City, New Orleans, the aforementioned Baltimore Ravens.
It's a long shot, but it's a, I think it's a very calculated long shot at plus 850. I mean,
that's unbelievable. John, awesome stuff, man. Once again, appreciate you giving us some of your time.
Always great to get your insights. Get your plays for the NFL draft.
Again, make sure you follow John on Twitter at the fantasy underscore guru. You could catch him
as the host of this program during NFL season. Enjoy the draft, man. We'll chat soon.
You got it. These are, by the way, the least confident picks of the entire season after this.
We're good. All right. There we have it. Thanks, John Hansen. Everybody,
again, check about on Twitter at fantasy underscore guru. We'll give you some picks and plays
for the two NBA playoff games tonight, but we come back a little bit of a scoreboard. Check
three games ongoing in Major League Baseball. Then we'll get to Jeff's best bets for the rest
of the MLB slate on the other side. You're watching it. You're on these sports betting network.
You're watching prop points on V7. These sports betting network.
Welcome back to prop points, Jeff Erickson and Nick Wayland here from rotawire.com.
The NHL and NBA playoffs are here, and this is one of the best stretches of the sports betting
calendar. If you're betting right now, having the right information makes all the difference.
Sign up for a spring special and get full access through August 1st for a one-time payment of
just $59. That takes you through the NBA and NHL finals, the World Cup, the Kentucky Derby,
the US Open, Wimbledon and more. Sign up today and get instant access to daily best bets,
real-time betting splits from draft kings and circa AI-powered prop tools, plus 24-7 video
and replays on the Visa and Watch app. And at just $59, that's 50% off the regular monthly
price. Visit Beeson.com slash subscribe. That's vseion.com slash subscribe.
Let's get you quickly caught up on the three-day baseball games going on so far,
more coming up in the next hour. Miami, Marlon's up for nothing on the Cardinals. They're
in the bottom of the six in that one there. Janssen and Junk with five shut-out innings that
way for the Cardinals. Tampa Bay rays have gone out to a three-nothing lead on the reds,
trying to break the reds winning streak. Reds won big yesterday, a huge day for
early daily crews yesterday, three-nothing rays after two. And finally, Houston Astros are up to
nothing on the Cleveland Guardians. Two-nothing there, Jordan Alvarez with two-run Homer, his 11th
of the season. Let's talk a little bit about tonight's NBA slate, two games on that slate tonight.
Starting off with Magic Pistons, game two, Pistons got upset in game one by the Magic,
Magic really were a control all game long. This open at nine and a half in favor of the Pistons,
it's now down to eight and a half Nick. What do you like in this game?
I don't necessarily love the sides in either of the games tonight, Jeff. Now, I would certainly
expect Detroit to play better than it did in game one. I think if you just watched that game with
no context, you would wonder how that team was the one seed. I thought they didn't bring the same
level of physicality, the same level of defensive intensity that came to define this team during
the regular season. But I also think when you have a game like that at home in game one,
it acts as somewhat of a wake up call. So I do expect to see a much better
reference, especially defensively from the Pistons tonight. So I do lean under on the total
more so than having a play on the side. 218 and a half is the number right now at draft
kings. Now, the concern there is that you get a better overall offensive effort from the
Pistons, who had only two players scored double figures in game one. They got almost nothing
out of jail and during. I think you absolutely have to get him more involved, but
I think they can lock down a bit defensively. Magic. We're getting a ton of looks at the rim.
You know, they dramatically outscored Detroit in the paint. That was really not how the Pistons
have played whatsoever during the regular season. So again, I think game one was kind of the wake
up call. I think the Pistons reset. I do expect them to win this game. Can they win it by at least
nine? That I'm not sure about, but I will play the under 218 and a half here.
All right. Very good. What about the night cap? We got suns at thunder.
Thunder won comfortably in the first game. They are a 17 and a half point favorite.
I know you don't have a ton of hope on a ton of read on the sides necessarily.
What what do you dig into this on this game?
Yeah, I do think we'll see a closer game than we then we got in game one, but that's not saying a
lot because that was a 35 point win for the OKC Thunder. Now they they did the exact same thing
to Memphis in round one last year. And as the series went along, the games got progressively
closer. So we'll see maybe a Phoenix can follow that same script. But like you said, I just don't
have a whole lot of hope for the suns playing significantly better on offense. They'll likely be
better than they were in game one where they didn't even get to 90 points. But it's just a really
difficult series, a really difficult matchup for the suns to rely on their scoring guards.
Devon Booker and Jalen Green, primarily against an OKC team that has excellent defenders all over
the court, especially on the wing and especially at guard. Jalen Williams, SGA, Caruso,
Cason Wallace, all of these guys are first, second, third team, all NBA, all defense. I
should say caliber players. You look at what the suns did with Devon Booker off the court.
In game one, Jeff, they had a 78.6 offensive rating. That is horrible. That is completely
unacceptable. They were 16.8 points better per 100 with Booker on the floor. And it's not like Booker
lit it up by any means. You know, it's it's tough for him. Every basket he gets, he has to work
extremely hard. So I don't think a whole lot changes as far as the defensive game plan for OKC.
This is another spot where I would lean toward the under at 216 and a half. You know,
you do worry about just one of those games where OKC goes crazy and they put up 120 plus.
But with Grayson Allen questionable with Mark Williams questionable, there's just not a lot
of options. Phoenix runs out of options really, really quickly in that rotation and they need
Grayson Allen shooting. I mean, he was one of only 15 players in the NBA this season to make more
than three threes per game. One prop that I will give you here. I like the over two and a half
assists tonight for Isaiah Horton's time. Jeff, let's talk about some of your plays on the
Major League baseball card for tonight. And we do have a fair amount of day games. But let's talk
about one of those O's on the road at the Royals this afternoon. Chris Bassett taking on Michael
Waka. Here's to get your thoughts on this pitching matchup specifically. Yeah,
that's unraveled the mystery that is Michael Waka. He's two and O somehow with the one ERA and a
0.78 with a solid pitcher, but not an ace. The thing I'm worried about with Waka though is that
the supporting stats don't support, you know, the component stats don't support what he's done so far.
His 172 Babbit, for instance, is a huge outlier. He's not inducing that much weak contact.
Average x of velocity is up to 90.4%. That's 90.4 miles per hour. That's up from 87 and a half
last year. So higher, higher hard hit percentage also 34.6 to 47.0 mile percent there. I don't
understand how he's inducing such weak contact. The fastball velocity is the same. The regression
monster is lurking around the corner here on Michael Waka. And why not today when the wind
is blowing out at 70 degrees, 13 mile an hour wind blowing out, went over last night. I think
it might go over again here. And I particularly like the Orioles team total over over four and a half.
You get a plus 10, 110 price over a draft. Kings on that.
Let's head out west to athletics Mariners in Seattle. This is a four 10 PM Eastern first pitch.
Seattle. Heavy favorite at home on the money line minus 194. Your price there. Seven and a half
is the total for Aaron Savale going up against Logan Gilbert. As of one, the first two games
of the series, Jeff, turning things around a bit after a very rough start.
Yeah. And that's why I like seeing that price at minus 194. It's pretty stark, pretty startling
just because the A's have been the better team so far in this series. But it reflects the pitching
matchup here. Aaron Savale versus Logan Gilbert. I know Logan Gilbert's off to a little bit of a
slow start. 403 R a 117 whip. K percentage is down a little bit. But it's down to 27%, which is
still really good. He's got an over 20 K percentage minus walk percentage is usually good rule of
thumb. If you hit anywhere on the 20% mark, that's great. He's well above that. He's also been
unlucky with his batting average in balls and play. 351 Babba. He's been really unlucky.
I'm going to go the strikeout way with Gilbert at over six and a half strikeouts minus 122 at
Fandall. Part of the things some of the other things I might possibly like better like as a prop.
I don't like the price. And so kind of at the mill price versus prop. In fact, today I thought the
lines were pretty tight. It's been a tougher day to find good props.
Milwaukee Brewers continue their series in Detroit tonight. Chad Patrick taking the hill going
up against Casey Myes. Big win for the Brewers last night. Jeff 12 to 4 at the final score.
Milwaukee starting to get back on the right track despite missing three of their best hitters.
Yeah, absolutely. They took advantage of you know,
Kyter Montero kind of falling back to Earth a little bit in the bullpen, letting him down as well.
We're going to the other side here a little bit and just focus on Chad Patrick who's kind of 095
year. But there's some regression risks here. Pretty big. Cape percentage has been shaved in half by
more than half dropping from 25.2 to an minuscule 12%. That is not great. It means more base runners
are going to be on board. I don't know if the Brewers lose this game, but I do like more runs
being scored as a whole. I'll go the over it on the seven and a half total minus 120 over at MGM.
All right, Jeff, we got to get a play for twins. Mets before we get to our best bets of the night.
Again, Mets extended their losing streak to 12 in a row last night. Are you back in the Mets again
tonight, Jeff? How are you playing this one? I'm kind of caught sort of going back to the well.
One total comes back tonight from that cap strain. He's projected return. We haven't seen that official
move yet. I'm going to go to the team total who met over four and a half runs. It's an alternate
team total so we can get the plus one 25 price. If you want to pay a minus 140 minus 150 for the
three and a half, you can do that as well over at draft games. That's best of the nights to
finish out the show. Jeff, you have something for Dodgers Giants. Shohei Otoni on the mound tonight.
Shohei Otoni is allowed one run all year. I'll take the under one and a half run runs tonight
against the Giants. You have to pay a minus price for under one and a half. Every other
starting pitchers at two and a half, Otoni. It's under one and a half minus 121 at Caesars.
There we have it. I thought we might get another NBA money line shot from you, Jeff. After jumping
on the Lakers at a nice plus money. That's tonight last night. Only two games. Not
yeah. Yeah. Fair enough. Like you got to pick your spots in the NBA playoffs. Like we talked
about earlier, Isaiah Hardenstein over two and a half assists minus 128 at Fandall. Like that one
quite a bit. So only had two assists. I believe it was in game one, but I don't think we see quite
as stark of a blowout tonight in game two and we were locked in that under in Magic Pistons.
Got to see a better defensive effort from Detroit tonight. That's going to wrap the Wednesday edition
of Prop Points. We'll be back with you previewing more of the NFL draft tomorrow. We'll have
reactions coming your way on Friday. Keep it right here on Beast said money moves,
stormy and JVT coming up next.
