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Prop Points | September 14, 2026

Prop Points

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In this hour of Prop Points, host John Hansen talks about the NFL. Tom Brolley joins the show and gives his favorite bets for the Broncos vs. Chiefs. John recaps the first Sunday of NFL football. To wrap up, John explains why he likes the over on Kenneth Walker's rushing attempts and shares more prop bets for tonight’s game.

 

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Prop Points | September 14, 2026

Prop Points

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Prop PointsProp Points | September 14, 2026. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

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This is Prop Point on V-Sin, these sports betting network. Now here's your host, the guru himself, John Hansen. Good afternoon and welcome to a Monday edition of Prop Points here on V-Sin. I'm John Hansen of fantasypoints.com, the program per usual being produced by Mr. Michael Cohen, and big program forthcoming Monday Night Football to wrap up week number one, will break down here at the very top, the betting results, a little bit of a frustrating week, but technically we were profitable yesterday. We'll get into it. Of course, we lost a couple by the hairs on our chinny chin chin, unfortunately, but we did do well with the Tutti props. We'll check in on the Denver Broncos and the KC Chiefs to wrap it up in KC tonight. All of the data points, I forgot fantasy points, projections here, to compare to the lines and the like.

And our guy Tom Braali, who was on fire this week over at fantasypoints.com, and also here on the program, had a couple of really great calls like Chris Lave, Don Tavine Wicks, which I kind of totally agreed with him by the way, but I also feel like I'm stealing props. So I actually went under on Devonte Smith, and also went over on my guy, Devon Vélé, but let's, well, make sure you download the prop points podcast, wherever you get your pods, just another reminder here at the top of the program. But let's take a look at the frustration. Well, first of all, on our leans, we were two into a mecca obokia, looked a lot better than I thought. It looked like they played a lot of zone. I didn't see him much on DJ Turner. He got it by like nine yards, so that was pretty comfortable. Rashad White, I mean, everything held true, and he did catch a couple of balls, but it was ugly. I thought it would be ugly. I thought they'd be playing from behind and they were,

but I also did kind of fear that maybe they'd need Rashad to block, which seemed to be the case. Parker Washington, I obviously regret not going all in on that puppy, because that was an easy win. I think he got that by half time. And then the gutsy call, I mean, I wish I did play it as an official prop, but I'm like, I can't really come on here and week one and play the Khalif Rehm and over. But obviously that hit. So we'll get into that as we move along here and recap the top lessons I learned in week five as it relates to really mostly football, but fantasy and of course, that carries on over into the prop world. Let's take a look at the touchdown props, because that's where we had the greatest success. Verse two, one's hit at plus seven thirty. So we are doing pretty well technically on the tuddy props thus far plus four thirty. Malik Willis barely got that rushing prop though, but he did get it and he also got the tuddy, but the best one clearly was my guy,

Devon Vélé, try the Vélé or the Vélé. I don't call him Vélé, but I think it's Vélé. The Chris Rodriguez, tuddy, he was in there for goal line opportunities, and then K-Dot and that inexplicably lost that prop in terms of his yardage. So let's get to it. So four and four, but unfortunately we were what, three yards away from six and two in a big day. So that's very unfortunate. The Malik Willis prop hit, like I said, it was close. Devon Vélé, over thirty eight point five, was really feeling that one. I was on the Veecentale Gate Show in the morning on Sunday, pumping that one up. That was good. Now, Chris Gauw, when we lost that puppy by two yards, and then K-Dot and we lost that by, I think that was another one or two, maybe two. So we lost those both by four total yards, but the analysis held up. I think we're going to talk about that game in a moment.

So we'll talk about the analysis there. Michael Pittman, that was a little bit of a sweat job. He only had like three or four targets in the game. He caught that twenty one yard early in the game, which made me feel good. We do get the under on Devon Tay Smith, but the biggest failure of the week, you've got to be kidding me. The Chicago Bears, they scored 59 points, and Koleslin, Loveland, didn't get a point. Unbelievable. And I wasn't in on Loveland as a pick. I prefer Tyler Warren to Loveland, although Warren, that was a little worrisome, by the way. He did score, but he was completely inactive. But let's get into the Chicago Bears. My goodness. Caleb Williams is kind of frustrating from an analysis perspective, because he's not a particularly accurate quarterback, but he does make these splashy individual plays. I thought that Ben Johnson would keep his foot on the gas, which I thought would would would would well for Kortlin for our guy,

the tight end, Koleslin, not Kortlin, Koleslin Loveland. He did get a ball thrown to him in the end zone. We took the over, we took the Tutti prop as well, but Cole Komet did steal that touchdown. But Khalif Raymond, I mean, he's not going to lead the team in everything every week, but clearly he's going to be a factor. And shout out to Brad Biggs of the Chicago, I believe it's the Chicago Tribune, been doing a doing that cover in the Bears forever. He told me in the summer that Khalif Raymond was going to be a factor. And that is why I actually picked him up in a couple of fantasy leagues. And that's why we did the lean. Luther Burton looked pretty good, though. I think we're looking good there. Roma Dune's a not a good schematic matchup. We did have a good first day. And this is what happened last year, really good in terms of the preseason calls and the analysis. A lot of the props and the fantasy recommendations. One of them was the Andre Swift in the Viesen bedding guide. I went over his rushing yard for the season. And we're off to a great start with 124 yards.

And he obviously crushed for fantasy real quick on the Panthers. I mean, we'll see if right, young and the Panthers can keep this up. Maybe both of these defense is stink. I did like Chubah Hubbard as a pick, even though Jonathan Brooks was you know coming on that looks pretty good right now. Actually, Jalen Koker was one of my top sleeper wide receivers. And he absolutely balled out in that game. Another lesson learned. The lesson for Chicago, unfortunately is that they're going to spread the ball around a little bit here. There's little little doubt in my mind that we're going to spread the ball around. But let's go to the big game for the New Orleans Saints and the Detroit Lions. Yes, I hope you tried the Valle. But my guy Tyler Schuck looking good. I was very concerned early in the game. We got off to a really bad start. But he came through big time fantasy guy for sure. Travis ETN, I don't know about that one. I wasn't really into him. Shout out to the grinder again.

I did love L'Ava in the game. I should have taken the over. But I felt like I was stealing. Man did he go over 182. And we talked about that. I did on the decent tailgate show. I'm like a L'Ava and Schuck against man coverage is beautiful. And it was. But Valle did his part as well. Seven grabs for 69. I absolutely think he is worth a pickup on the waiver wire. Very underwhelming on J.M.O Williams. I almost played his over. I think Detroit might have some issues there in terms of the depth of their receiving core. Bills at Texans. Now here's another one. I was very high on DJ Moore, but not last week. Not yesterday. I think it's a really, really great sign that DJ Moore did as well as he did up against the tough secondary of the Houston Texans. A little bit of a buzzkill for James Cook. But we might get a breakout season at Adolten, Concaid. I like the matchup. I wrote it up on fantasypoints.com. But I just couldn't go in. I like Calil Shakir too.

Both of those overs hit. But these guys do frustrate you a little bit. The matchup was tougher, but the schematics look good. Great performance by Josh Allen and our guy, David Montgomery. By the way, we were in on a lot of overs on David Montgomery. I was very high on him. We're looking good there. I had a couple of. I know I had one seven and a half tuddies. My man got two. Nico Collins, good game. I was very high on Nico Collins. So feel pretty good there. Vikings Packers. Oh, boy, here we go. Already it's absolutely ugly for the Minnesota Vikings. Not looking good for Kyler Murray, although it's obviously very early in the week. But at the very least Carson Wentz, I think he's pretty terrible. But he did get the ball to Justin Jefferson. So I guess we can't complain all that much. I did like a Jordan Mason prop over the rushing. I didn't have it on the show Friday, but that one did hit. However, the big news here is my number one fantasy pick. My favorite fantasy pick this summer on the board, which we did tease and we did pop it out there.

Mr. Christian Watson. So we're looking good there. Six grabs for a buck 47. I was over on his catch total and also his yardage total on the various preseason guides. So I like that. And then finally, the bucks and the Bengals. I don't know what to make of this game. It's one of these games where, you know, the game script worked out. I thought that Cincinnati would have success. They'd have a big lead. And that baker would be throwing from behind most of the game. And that absolutely happened. But it's just one of these just a weird game where we got a lot of points. We got what 60 points. But nobody really did anything in the game. Bucky Irving looked pretty good. He does score. I mean, Baker only throws for 77 or 217 yards with zero tuddies. He's running all over the place though with the 30, touched the 30 yards rushing. Otherwise, very disappointing for Jamar Chase, of course, and T Higgins. I hope this doesn't continue where we have all these low end

guys like Mike Gisicke and Drew Sample and all that. So a little bit of an ugly start really on both sides. When we return on the other side, those are my lessons. Try the valet. Devon Valle will talk waiver wire tomorrow. DJ Moore. More big games to come from DJ. Winning is elementary with the Packers and Christian Watson. Bears at Panthers. The Bears score swiftly. And then no thrill of the chase for Bucks, Bengals and Jamar Chase. We'll have some data points to pop out on the other side. As it relates to Kansas City hosting the Denver Broncos, but first seasons underway, but there's still plenty of ways to win the edge boost average Joe contest. It's broken into five week quarters. So you don't need a hot start to be in the mix. Finish first in the weekly standings and edge boost will drop $10, $1,000, $1,000 in your account, as long as it's funded with at least $100. When your quarter and you'll get airfare for due to Vegas plus the

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You're watching Prop Points, with the guru, John Hanson, on Vee Sen, Vee Sports Bene Network. Welcome back to this Monday edition of Prop Points here on Vee Sen. We have Monday Night Football tonight in Kansas City as the Chiefs host the Broncos KC last I checked, about 45 minutes ago, minus two with a pretty lame total of 43.5. This game is pretty scary from a props perspective for a variety of reasons. You got two quarterbacks coming off, two serious injuries. You have a very strong defense for Denver. You have Kansas City team a little bit in a state of flux. You've got a divisional matchup. So I'm not expecting fireworks in this puppy. And the lines are a little low here in terms of the passing props. Let's start with Bronex 229.5,

it minus 111 on draft kings. Every all lines here are from draft kings. For what it's worth over at fantasypoints.com, we're projecting 293.2 yards. We do have that lame total. It is not an ideal schematic matchup for Bronex who posted a terrible 5.79 YPA on 380 dropbacks. Big sample against two high coverage, which KC used at a 58% clip last year. Now they did lose their two started corners on the outside, but Steve Spagnolo, the defensive coordinator remains and they took stud Manzor Delane at corner with the six pick of the draft, Paddy Maholms 220.5. We are projecting 256, which is a decent chunk over this. They won't have left tackle Josh Simmons though. That is worrisome for everyone, especially Maholms, who could struggle schematically in this one,

because the Broncos deployed one of the highest rates of man covered. So let's say at that way, top three at least at 36.1%. Just like Bonex with a bad schematic matchup, Paddy Maholms averaged a terrible 5.3 to YPA with a 76.8 pass rating against man coverage last year. We don't know how much he'll be using his legs. Of course, coming off the ACL, he did throw for 276, slash one in his lone game against the Broncos. But again, Denver allowed the 11th fewest passing yards per game, 4th fewest passing touchdowns per game last season. Receiving props next up, new hire, Jalen Waddle opens with a pretty good schematic matchup. Draftkings has got this at 57.5. I have seen a total much lower over on Fandall FYI. We are projecting at fantasy points 62.1.

It's obviously pretty close, but it is a good schematic matchup for Jalen Waddle. The chiefs, like we said, they deployed the third highest rate of two high safety coverage at 58%. That's good for Waddle. He's got a Mr. Zone. He averaged a solid 1.90 yards per route run and 0.23 targets per route run against the look. So I do think he could catch, you know, I think he'll be active. I think I'll have a solid game today. He'll see a bit of the aforementioned top pick, Manzor D'Lane, for what it's worth. He is a rookie starting in his first game. Rayshi Rice, not good vibes this summer on Rayshi Rice. It's also a really bad schematic matchup. The number is 54.5 over at Draftkings. We're at 58.6. That's pretty darn close. So, man coverage is what kills Rayshi. He's Mr. Zone Buster. Obviously, I just mentioned Denver played man 36% of the time.

That would explain how he only got six grabs for 38 in his loan game against Denver last year. Now, the good news is that Denver did allow the 14th most receiving yards and the 15th. They were middle of the pack receptions. Basically, they are a little more vulnerable inside. Basically, you're avoiding those two corners in terms of Riley Moss. And Mr. Pat Cirtan, next up, it is Travis Kelsey. Unfortunately, the number is 41.5 at minus 112. We are projecting 50.5. But again, not a good schematic matchup as the Broncos. Now, it's kind of a mixed bag. They did allow the ninth most receiving yards per game and the 12th most receiving receptions per game to tie it in. So, they are generally vulnerable in that area of the field, the middle and the field. Kelsey did have a nine catch game for 91 and a touchdown in the first time out.

They also had a five for 36 game against Denver. Denver used man coverage again, 36.1% of the time last year. And poor old Travis, the old man, he's not creating against man coverage at this point. Only 1.16 yards per run without a lot of targets against man. So, I think he's a lot easier to cover now. He'll probably have to score to come through Cortland Sutton. Another bad schematic matchup, unfortunately. 41.5 is the number on a draft Kings at minus 110. We are projecting 51.6, which is somewhat comfortably over this. But once again, KC, two high coverage last year, they ran it a lot, 58%. And his number in terms of yards per run is not good. 1.41 and not a lot of targets 0.18. He did have two decent games, but he didn't go off at all. Four for 59 and four for 40. It does seem like Pat Bryant is coming on like gangbusters.

So, I wasn't in the Cortland Sutton this year. Mr Xavier worthy. Now, he actually has the best man schematic matchup against the man defense at 36.5 at minus 111. We are projecting 41.9 against the man coverage, which they use again, 36% of the time. He averaged. Now, this is not a good number, but it's fairly promising. 1.61 yards per run. Certainly a lot more than Rishi Rice and Travis Kelsey. Of course, worthy only had three slash 25, three grabs for 25 on eight targets in the two games. And he is based on the alignment numbers. Going to probably see a lot of Pat's or TAN. So, I'm not going to go there. Spoiler alert, Mr. Pat Bryant. And here's the problem. Sean Payton is a super spreader. He loves to spread the ball around to multiple receivers, multiple tight ends. So, I can't really trust anyone.

Pat Bryant does seem to be coming on though. 24.9 is the number for Pat Bryant. The second year, third round pick. Minus 1.12. Decent schematic. We're projecting 29.2 against the two high coverage. He averaged 1.68 yards per round run. The chiefs have blitzed the second most of any team in the NFL. And Bryant has been targeted on 29% of his routes against the blitz. He sees a 56% boost. So, I'm not in on him because these Denver receivers kind of drive me nuts, but just FYI. Evan Ingram, we're not going there. He won the job by default. They cut Justin Jolly, which surprised me. 23.5 KC last year gave up the fewest targets, the eighth fewest receptions, and the 11th fewest yards. And tied for the second fewest touchdowns. We're projecting 26.8, which is very close to this line. Now, Taekwondo Thornton, it's tempting

because he'll be the shot play guy. And it's a lot of man coverage. He did. He had one catch on two targets in this matchup. It was for 61 yards. So, I am tempted to go over here, but I'm not going to touch it because, well, again, it's, you're relying on one catch. It's a little scary. Let's take a look at Ken Walker, 18.5. We're projecting 19.4. Denver gave up the second fewest receiving yards per game to run it back. Next last year, RJ Harvey, 16.5 is a receiving total. We're projecting 21.8. Marvin Mims, 12.5. We're projecting 12.2. And we're not going to go into no regret. But let's take a look at the rushing props. Ken Walker, at 63.5, at minus 113. We're projecting 67.7, which is pretty close. Denver gave up the second fewest adjusted yards before contact, second fewest rushing yards per game. But should be a closer, low scoring game.

So I would imagine he'd get some volume. JK Dobbins, 49.5. We're projecting 54. KC gave up, they were middle of the pack, but they gave up the eighth fewest rushing yards per game to run it back. RJ Harvey, 18.5. We're not going to go there. We're projecting 21.8. He had only 24 carries. Well, 24 carries is good, but only 73 yards, three yards per carry in that match. But then Bo Nex, 17.5. But he's coming off the injury. He only had three carries for eight yards in the first meeting. And then the homes Denver did give up a decent number of rushing yards, but he is coming off that ACL. So we're not going to go there. We're going to go to Tom Braali on the other side. And we'll get what he is cooking for Monday night football. But first, if you're serious about betting, you need edge boost, the financial platform built specifically for players. A Visa debit card with no usage fees, no more decline deposits, no waiting on bank transfers. Edge boost gives you real time access to your funds 24, 7, 365.

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from fantasy points, betting Maven, Mr. Tom Broly, writer and owner, co-owner over at fantasypoints.com. You better give them a follow on the X-Machine at Tom Broly. Big week last week, Tom, I know you went three and a half on this show. I know you had the Cardinals getting the points way back in May. On that one, but otherwise another big week for you, right? Yeah, it was a great weekend. Nine and three overall on the Player Props, up over five units on just the Player Props, and also gave out some ATS bets and did fairly well on those three, you know, on my plays with a play to go tonight. So off to a strong start here, up over seven units, all to get seven units, I think it is all together. So really strong start. So yeah, get over to fantasy points. Use the code grinder for 70% off.

I think we still have that up for the rest of the month. So come join the fun. It was a good first weekend over at fantasy points. We weren't scared away from the week one betting and we ended up doing pretty well this week. Well, before we get into your loan prop, I know again, you mentioned you had a good week. I did get my norway in st. plus seven correct, but I thought the Viking Packer game would go under. It actually had a chance to actually hit until the very end when greenbait turned the ball over way in their own territory. The Vikings scored another touchdown, but that's neither here nor there. I see that you are into Denver tonight with the points. So what do you see there? Yeah, I just think this is a good spot here for Denver. If you would ask them coming into the season, when do you want to play Patrick Mahomes in the Kansas City Chiefs? I'm sure they would have chosen week one. I mean, Patrick Mahomes, I coming off an ACL injury.

Maybe there's a little bit of rust factor. So I think this is a good spot for the Broncos. I got this when I was at plus three. Looks like it has mostly moved to plus two and a half. And it looks like it's even juiced towards the two and a half. So it might even get down to two in some spots. But I still like the Broncos side. Maybe a sprinkle a little bit on the the money line. I think this could be a very tough matchup for the Kansas City Chiefs passing game. Broncos love to run a lot of man coverage. And we kind of saw that last year that these Chiefs wide receivers aren't very good against man coverage. Might have to be like a tight one, Thornton doing some of the damage here. They've got a lot of zone beaters in this offense right now. So we'll see about Denver's offense. I have higher expectations for them. They did bring in Jaylen Waddle, who I think is going to help this passing game overall. JK Dobbins is back in the mix.

He's, I mean, anytime he is healthy, he's look good. Jonah Coleman had a really strong training camp and preseason. So I think there should be a good game here. I kind of like the under two. But I think it's going to be a tight one. And just having a few points in your back pocket could come in handy. And honestly, I have the Broncos as the better team heading into the season. So I have this closer to like a pick them type of game. So let's take the two and a half that are still out there. I did get a plus three. But I think the Broncos are the better side here tonight. We'll see if the magic is back for Patrick Mahomes. He can make us look foolish, of course. But maybe I think, you know, we saw it even yesterday with Daniel Jones, some of these quarterbacks and some of these players coming back from major injuries. There's definitely a chance that there could be a rust factor. So maybe Patrick Mahomes isn't the Patrick Mahomes that we know until October or so. So give me the points here tonight with the Denver Broncos.

And in that obviously same game, you do like, no, this has been either bent down or you got this real early. But Ray Chi Rice under 61.5, we mentioned earlier how he averages a pitiful 0.82 yards per run against man coverage. The only thing I'm concerned about and I'm full disclosure, not going to do it is because of how Denver is a little bit of inside funnel because of those outstanding corners on the outside. But rice, the vibes are not good. What are you seeing with Ray Chi Rice tonight? Yeah, we got this one at 61.5 on Friday afternoon over at Draft King. So our fantasy point subscribers, I put it out in our discord and they certainly pounded it and they, you know, moved the line in just about five or 10 minutes. And it was down to like 59.5 and like five minutes after we gave this out. It's continued to go down here the last couple of days

and it is, it is bent down. But I still, my expectations are kind of low for him. Obviously he had the jail sentence for 30 days this off season. Was rehabbing his knee to work that time. So and then we saw some of the videos coming out of camp where he looked a little sluggish and the route running wasn't very sharp. And so I'm expecting him to maybe get off to a slow start and then we have the match up itself. This is a very, very tough match up for him. Much better against zone coverage. But the Denver Broncos, they play a lot of man coverage and I think, you know, some Peyton knows that the chiefs would much rather have the opposing defenses play zone coverage against them. So 36% last year they played man. Wouldn't be surprised if it's a little bit even higher than that tonight against the Kansas City Chiefs. Kind of daring them to throw over the top and beat them with their receivers.

So I think Denver's pretty confident in what they have on defense. So expecting a lot of man coverage against Rashee Rice and maybe some of that rust coming back from the knee injury this summer. So I'm looking at him to go under his yardage. Eight games last year he finished 51 or fewer yards and in half of those games, including against Denver, the Denver Broncos. He had a six catch, 38 yard performance against them in the middle of last season. So looking for Rashee Rice, maybe, you know, he'll probably have some better days in the near future, especially once Patrick Mahomes gets back to his regular form, but could be a little slow going tonight for Rashee Rice. Tom Braley, aka the grinder of fantasypoints.com on the line with the seer. And you are Mr. Early Bird gets the worm. You'd mentioned an early pick on Rashee Rice and the line has moved in your favor if you took it. Let's take a look at something from a one or two from week two

that you're already in on. The jets that was a pretty complete performance granted against a terrible offense here. But you like the jets in week two plus four. Yeah, I was impressed by the jets yesterday. You know, it was against the Tennessee Titans. So you got to take it with a little bit of a grain of salt, but the offense looked pretty good. And I think it's a little bit of an underrated unit here. Geno Smith still a competent quarterback. And that's something they didn't have last year with Tyrod Taylor and Justin Fields and the in Brady cook at quarterback. It was a terrible situation for Geno in Las Vegas last year. Terrible coaching, terrible play calling, terrible weapons. Brock Fowler's got hurt and he had no one to really throw to the offense of line was miserable out in Las Vegas. So it gets the New York, the offensive line gave him a lot of time to throw yesterday. I think this offensive line is kind of an, yeah, an underrated group out there in New York.

So I love the skill players they have too. Garrett Wilson and Breeze Hall, guys that we were drafting in the third and fourth round in our fantasy drafts. AD Mitchell is I think quietly kind of coming into his own. We hit a prop on him over the weekend. I think he could be developing into a star here in the near future. Kenan Sidik we even saw him. No basically no summer, no training camp. And they made him a factor in the first game. So I like what I've saw from the New York Jets offense and that Green Bay Packers defense continues to be an absolute train wreck without Mike Parsons. So they've lost six straight games quite frankly. I've dropped them down there in the bottom half the league for me and my power rankings, power ratings. And I just don't think they're a very strong team right now. So the Jets I've moved them up. And I have them, yeah, I still have the Packers as the favorites in this game, but I have this under a field goal. So give me the plus four and a half of the Jets.

Great stuff there from the grinder Tom Braille and we'll follow you on the X machine. Tom, thanks again, awesome job as always. And we'll catch you on Thursday for Thursday and I football, sir. Oh, I'm looking forward to it already. It should be a fun one lines and in the bills. That should be a very exciting game after watching both of those offenses in the opening week. You got it. And when we return, we'll take a look at my official picks for Monday night football. But first football is back. Don't head into another football season without Veecent Pro. Become a Veecent Pro subscriber today. Instant access to our updated NFL betting guide. College football, betting guide. The same betting tools, the pros use your subscription. You includes every best bet from Veecent's experts in one place. Plus the expert leaderboard real time betting Swiss and draft Kings and circuit and power prop projections matchup tools proven betting systems. 24 seven video on the visa watch app. It started today for this 999, say 50% with a recent pro annual subscription at a visa.com slash subscribe. Now that's V S I N dot com slash subscribe.

My official picks for Monday night football coming at you next here on prop points. Every game day you show up for your team. Now it's your time. We go. We go. Ask your prescriber about we go V some magla tied injection 2.4 milligrams, a G. L P 1 call 1 8 3 3 4 week OV or visit we go V dot com to view the medication guide and to learn more about we go V. Why wait? Summer still going strong. So I always stop by total wine and more of this time of the year, whether I'm bringing a bottle of wine to dinner, filling the cooler with beer or grabbing tequila for the weekend. If I'm looking for something new, the total wine team is always happy to point me in the right direction.

And it's nice knowing I'm getting the lowest prices make the most of the end of summer with great finds waiting at total wine and more spirits are not sold in Virginia or North Carolina. Drink responsibly be 21. You're watching prop points with the guru John Hansen on V. And these sportsmen in work. Welcome back to the final segment of this Monday edition of prop points here on V. And Kansas City hosting Denver, not a not a great matchup for fantasy, let's say in terms of production, it really wasn't last year Kansas City minus two, the total not great 43.5. We've certainly seen worse. So whenever I see a matchup like this, you know, we get weird basically we get a little

weird. So let's take a look at a couple of leans that I have that are not going to be official, but we are keeping track of the leans. And I will go with a interception for bow necks over 0.5 interceptions at minus 114 on DK. Again, I'm looking at the game locks from last year, you had a solid game where through for a good amount of yards at 8.0 YPA, but he had zero tuddies in that game. And then next to last, the only through for 182 with a very, very poor YPA of 4.8. And he did throw a pick versus only one touchdown. So we only through two tuddies total and up against the two high safety looks that Kansas City runs 58% of the time. It's a pretty terrible 5.79 YPA. So I do think that will throw an interception, even though Casey did lose their two corners,

but Steve's Magnolo remains and delaying the number one pick was a six pick of the draft. So they're at least solid on one side of the field. We'll also will also go under on court and Sutton. I would like to make an official official official pick, but it's a pretty heavy lean. We are projecting 51.6 and the number is 41.5, not the best schematic matchup for court and Sutton. It also feels like we're kind of being phased out a little bit here with Pat Bryant emerging, not a good schematic. As I said, too high coverage last year, which the chiefs deployed at a very high rate of 58%. He was only at 1.41 yards per round run. Doesn't get a lot of targets as well against the look. He had four catches in both games, but only four. One for 40. So he would have missed the prop by a couple of yards and then he did get 59. But certainly not feeling warm and fuzzy about court and Sutton.

We're not going to take a touchdown prop, but we do have something relating to touchdowns coming at us for the Monday night special. But those are my two leans. Bownex will throw an interception. So over 0.5 interceptions at minus 114 on draft games. And court and Sutton under 41.5 receiving yards at minus 114 on DK. A little scary. That's why it's only a lean because you never know. You can catch one ball for 25 yards and then he's more than halfway home. But I'm not feeling a warm and fuzzy about it. I do think Pat Bryant could or should maybe will be a factor in the game tonight. Those are my two leans. It is now time to pop out my top props for Monday night football. You've heard the analytics. You've heard the stats. Now it's time for what you've really been waiting for the gurus top props. And as I mentioned, this happens, you know, you know, a little bit of a tough week with the props.

We did well in the touchdown props, but you know, when that typically happens, and then I'm looking at a game that's a little scary. I'm like, well, if we want to win, we, we got to get a little weird. Now there's a player who is yet to be on the board on on draft kicks. Looking all morning, and this player is, is not on the board. However, when I look at the Kansas City Chiefs backfield, obviously Ken Walker is the free agent, Siney, and he's going to get probably 20 opportunities in this game. So that we're going to get to that in a moment. But the backup running back is Emmett Johnson, who is undersized. He is a rookie playing in his first game against a nasty defense in Denver. So I don't think that, you know, they're going to put Emmett Johnson out there tonight. Who else do they have? I mean, I almost need to check the practice squad, quite frankly. And they have Jaden Ott on the practice squad.

I'm not very familiar with Jaden Ott, but I am familiar with Breshard Smith, who is the second year running back for Kansas City out of SMU. I think he caught like 26 balls. He is a little bit more of a receiving specialist. So this is sneaky, but I found it over at Bet MGM at minus 105. Breshard Smith over 6.5 receiving yards. I got to think that he's going to get some snaps tonight. And a target or three, quite frankly, because Kenneth Walker, massive upside in the passing game. But I think he'll be very busy running the rock. And he also is a little suspect in terms of past protection. So I do envision the second year player, Breshard Smith, who did look good this summer, by the way, moves pretty well. I do expect him to get a couple of opportunities here in the passing game only. All we need to do is get 70 yards on one grab.

I think he'll catch two balls. He actually caught a ball in both games last year, one time in this matchup, one time it was two, one time it was one, minimal yardage, but all we need is seven yards. So throw us a bone here, football gods, and give us seven yards for Breshard Smith. Now, I do like Ken Walker to get the ball tonight, for sure. Obviously, he's kind of like their only chance. We are projecting 67.7 rushing yards for Ken Walker, which is just four yards over this total. So again, to be a little sneaky, and I did win a Ken Walker over his rushing total prop last year in the Super Bowl. So I'm gonna go right back to that well, and figure it's gonna be a close game with a total of only 43 points, and with KC at home, and only favored by the two points. So again, close game, they should be able to feed Kenneth Walker the ball, stay committed to it, and stay patient with it. So we will, in fact, go over 15.5 rushing attempts

for Ken Walker. Now, my favorite type of prop in the odds aren't great, it minus 128, but we're trying to get some dubs over here. And I do think he, unless we're gonna give Emma Johnson, who did look good this summer, the rookie meaningful carries, or Breshard Smith, who doesn't carry the football for the Kansas City Chiefs, other than a handful, then I think Ken Walker is gonna get to 16 carries in this game. Last one we're gonna go with here, and it does scare me a little bit, because Sean Payton loves to spread that ball around, but he does have a new Shiny toy and it's Jalen Waddle. And I did find a line that, you know, I wasn't gonna play the Jalen Waddle on DraftKings line, over 57.5, but I did find it over at Fandall, at over 53.5, at minus 113. So I do think Jalen Waddle will get four or five grabs in this game. It's a pretty good schematic matchup for Jalen Waddle. He has Mr. Zone, Mr. Zone, he could be man coverage,

but he's actually better against a zone. KC deployed the third highest rate of two high safety coverage, as we've mentioned last year, at 58%. That's good for Jalen Waddle. He gets a solid 1.90 yards per round run against the look. So I do believe again, he'll catch a good number of passes against that zone. He could see a bit of Manzor Delain for what it's worth, but he is just a rookie. I say get the ball out quickly, those crossing routes, those in-breakers for a Jalen Waddle up against that zone, and we could be in solid shape. Last item of business would be our Monday night special. Remember the rule for the Monday night special, is it must be at least plus 200. We are 0 for 2 so far on the special, although I believe one of them came relatively close. Actually the McCaffrey one, seven plus grabs came very close. He dropped a couple of balls. He also had a ball taken off the board, by the way.

Don't go anywhere. Money moves with Stormy Bonnetoni, and Jonathan Vontobl is next, then at four Eastern. It is Mitch Moss and Pauli Howard, taken over on Follow the Money, then at 7 p.m. Tim Murray and Matt Humans break down all the evenings in game opportunities on Vison Primetime, all right here on Vison the sports betting network. Once again, Slim Pickens out there, we're looking for a special that's at least plus 200, and what we came up with is an anytime touchdown for Mr. Travis Kelsey. At plus 220, he did score in one of the games last year, did have a really nice game. Actually nine grabs for 91 with a touch. He also had only five for 36, not expecting much here from Kelsey. It's not a good schematic matchup for him whatsoever against the man coverage, 1.16, but I do think there is a correlation with Eric B.

Enemy back that that's one of the main reasons why I was actually optimistic on Travis Kelsey between running the rock and a big commitment to the run and open up play action opportunities, perhaps in the red zone for a guy like Travis Kelsey. No Travis Kelsey is love and life that Eric B. Enemy is back and I do think their commitment to the run will make the offense more effective and a little healthier. So there it is, the Monday night special, good luck with all the plays. We'll catch you, Mannyanna, for another edition of Prop Points right here on Vison.

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