Quantum Fear Hits Crypto: Bitcoin Breakout or Breakdown? | LIVE

Welcome back to Onchain Revolution. My name is Yago B. and I'm your host for the show. I hope you

guys are having a great and blessed Tuesday morning. Bitcoin is bouncing back and forth doing its

thing. Oil is down and Bitcoin are both down at the same time and that is not normal. But potentially

Bitcoin might be rising up as oil is continually going down. So we'll see how that happens in the

next couple of hours because typically it's the inverse of oil. But I want to welcome back all

of my beautiful audiences, my amazing community. I really do appreciate you guys. It's been an

amazing, you know, past two weeks. You guys have been helping out a ton with the likes on YouTube.

It's been helping a lot with the impressions and I want to thank you guys. We got to our highest

likes yesterday around 25, which, you know, it's not anything to, you know, scream home about,

but it's definitely something I'm proud of and I want to thank you guys for helping out with that.

I want to welcome my abstract audience back. You guys are amazing as well. I picked up another

like 15 followers overnight. So you guys are awesome. I'm going to continually do those

replays for you guys. Zora as well. Welcome back and my TikTok audience as well. I'm not going to

forget about Twitch and rumble, but I'm going to start with asking you guys on the YouTube side.

Smash that like it's working. It's helping. I appreciate you guys. That's how you can support

the show. Also, um, subscribe to the channel. If you like my style and content,

somehow's keeping, um, items here on, uh, the channel I did create the week one episode. So

if you know anybody that is new to crypto, that just need to learn the basics. So they're not

getting wrecked off of beginner mistakes, security stuff, stuff like that. I put out the week one

episode yesterday for the crypto 101 series that we're creating from the channel here.

So you can find that on the channel on YouTube if you're interested and send it to someone that

might need it. You know, a lot of people whenever things get hot, they ask you, hey, I want to learn

about crypto. That's a great way where they can get started. So, um, and then what else do we have

that is newer on the channel? That's about it. So, you know, appreciate all you guys. We're

going to get into the Iran War update. Of course. And then today the big story is quantum.

I absolutely love quantum physics, quantum computing. That type of, you know, those type of topics.

It really gets me going. I love just using my imagination with it because, I mean, let's be honest,

there's a large portion of it that, you know, isn't it here yet, right? But there is a good

amount of progress with it. And that's why Google put out a paper about how we might be closer than

we initially thought or they might be closer than they initially thought in terms of being able to

crack cryptography. So what does that mean? That, you know, threatens Bitcoin crypto. We're going to

get into quantum. I'm going to try to dumb it down. I'm not an expert at all. I'm pretty much on

your all's level, but I do read and listen. So I'll use some buzzwords. And hopefully we can kind of

simplify, you know, the difference between quantum computing and just binary computing, like my laptop,

for example, right? And why people are a little bit worried. But also, maybe put you guys at ease,

because there's some data out there that shows that we still got some time, right? There's a

couple of things I think Google is trying to do here by positioning themselves by putting this

paper out. And we'll get into that as well. We're going to hit down some other topics after we

get through all the quantum stuff, because it's probably be a little a little bit in there. We'll

hit on the UT, the ETF flows, which is interesting. Bitcoin, looking decent. Yesterday, which is

surprising, we'll hit on another massive amount being scammed on essentialize exchange user.

What is going on, guys? You guys got to hit these type of users, too. We're talking about multi-million

dollars, right? I just don't get it. Are they drunk when they're making these decisions? I don't know.

Anybody can have a bad day. I get that. We'll get into some tokens that are coming up with their

vested schedule release. So you got to make sure that you are on top of those investments. If you're

in one of those top seven tokens with the largest unlocks this week, so make sure you're paying

attention to that. And then we'll finish off the show with that story and a couple others that

kind of finished it out with the US dollar and gold towards the end of the year, which

some of these huge firms are projecting, in my opinion, some inflation potentially. We'll get

into that. But continually drop your questions and comments. See a couple of people from the community

in here stands as if quantum cracked BTC, how will Alps fare against an attack? That's the big

question, right? Will the entire space go down along with it? We'll get into that.

For a quick little answer here, I don't think that Bitcoin is going to get cracked by quantum.

Because I think how much time we have, they're going to have things in place. But also the

altcoin sector will be so advanced at that point. I think everything, if it did happen,

everything would take a huge hit, but the industry would survive. Bitcoin, I don't know what,

if it actually took a big hit, I don't think it happens. Glasshopper says, good morning.

And then we got Prime that says GM, GM, YagoB, GM, Glasshopper and Prime.

Continually drop your questions and comments in the chat. And I had a ton of,

there's a huge group of people on an abstract that are TOW and MSTR fans. So we'll add TOW to the

daily price action where I bring it up to the chart. Because I think that makes sense. People

are wondering if TOW is going to continually have a pullback. In my opinion, Overbot will definitely

dive into that. But I want to shout out some of these abstract community members, Solar Phoenix,

22 shout out there. John Harry, we got Greek ABS. He says, I think a short sweep is eminent.

Yeah, I don't know. I mean, there's some stuff that's coming out from this administration too.

We'll get into that here with the Iran update. But it's very interesting stuff. Almost kind of like,

are they ready to retreat just because it's not worth it maybe to them, right?

So we'll get into that. Continually drop your questions and comments on all platforms,

but make sure you guys smash that like. It's helping me so much on YouTube and X. Do it on X as

well. One last comment came in here before we get started. Super fans says, GM, GM,

don't forget tomorrow. We do have big noodle coming in to talk AI. Maybe we'll talk a little

quantum, right? Because I think Dr. Mien is going to be leading that tomorrow. So make sure you guys

are going to join that segment at 1030 Central every single Wednesday we dive into AI. Maybe a

little bit of quantum tomorrow. I fixed my sound. I don't know if you guys noticed, but I listened back

to some of the lives and recordings in my sound is so much better. I can't believe it was so bad

before whenever all I had to do is download this crazy app. I didn't realize that, but hopefully

that is better for you guys. All right, let's get into the Iran war update and see what's happening

because it's pretty interesting. Things are getting a little interesting now. This is a little twist in

what I feel like we've been getting recently, but an article that I've been

staying updated with with CBS comes in and says, Iran war pushes gas prices over $4,

a gallon as Trump mules over dropping the straight of Hormuz efforts. So what does that mean? Trump

is he thinking about retreating out and saying, hey, this is not worth it to extend the war. It's

going to have too much damage on the economy. You know, the end game isn't what we thought it was.

Well, let's get in a little bit deeper. It says, what to know about the Iran war today? President

Trump tells CBS news, Wazha Jean, he's not ready quite yet to abandon efforts to force Iran to

reopen the straight of Hormuz to all shipping traffic. As the Wall Street Journal says, he's come

to the conclusion that a military operation aimed at doing so would likely extend the war beyond

his stated timetable. So he's starting to think, maybe, hey, it's not worth it. And then the

second bullet point comes in says, after Mr. Trump renewed his threat to attack Iran's civilian

energy and water infrastructure, if no deal is reached to end the war, Iranian state media says

a water desalination plant on an island near the straight of Hormuz is out of permission after

being hit in a strike. Oh, I mean, did that happen? You know, I mean, did the US do that? Did

Israeli forces do that? We don't know. That's what the Iranian leadership is saying.

And the third point here says, energy markets continue to convulse over uncertainty about the war

sending the average price of gallon of gas in the US over $4 for the first time in almost four

years. As a massive tanker loaded with crude oil was hit by an Iranian drone

and buys coast, right? Then it goes in with another article or a paragraph that talks about Israeli

forces striking a pharmaceutical site in Iran. Iran saying no, it was, I'm sorry, they said it was

a missile factory, but Iran says it was a pharmaceutical company. So just mixed messages and then

Pete Hagceth comes in 20 minutes ago saying the upcoming days will be decisive in the war against

Iran. So I'm hoping that they're going to close this up, right? So this is a little bit of a different

twist here. Maybe they are going to exit and it's not going to be considered a loss in my opinion. It

would be them saying, hey, you know, from an economic level, it doesn't make sense for our country

and all these things, you know, but you know, the media is what the world is going to get their

information from unfortunately. So we'll see what happens in the next couple of days. Let's check

out the price of crude oil and see what's happening there because it was weird. After that,

you know, I expected oil to shoot up. I mean, it's still pretty high. You're looking at

Brent crude oil, which is the oil that matters when it comes to energy gas are everyday expenses

and living costs, right? So it's it's at 107. So it's about what two two dollars down from where it

was a couple days ago. And you go to crude oil. So this is just regular crude oil and that 104,

right? So this is up a little bit today, right? Let's check out the

markets to see what's happening here and see how they're reacting to maybe the US exiting that

area, right? I don't think it would be a bad thing. I think it would be an okay thing maybe, right?

But at least we would get some calmness for the markets and maybe some stability here, right?

Looks like my chart here is a little frozen. But all right, well, I'll just read what I can see

here. The VIX is pulled back 8.04%. You get the DXY pulling back 0.34%. The Russell 3000 is actually

up 1.96%. Right? So risk on index is up. The mag 7 is pushed up here 2.43%. You got Nvidia coming

in up 3.07% Google up 3.05%. Then you got Apple coming in 0.56% to the upside Tesla up 2.78%

Netflix up 1.93%. And then we got crypto. Bitcoin was read earlier. Now it's bounced back some,

right? It is up 0.51%. And you got Ethereum up 2.22%. So it is looking pretty decent today.

Precious metals joined in the party with crypto. In fact, leading the party. Gold is up 2.32%

sitting above 4,600 here sitting at 4,618. Then you have silver at up 5.16% with oil pulling back a

full point point 1.2% here. And then S&P is up 1.5% NASDAQ is up 1.7% Dow Jones is up 1.2%. So

man, just so bipolar these markets are. But hey, at least all three markets are trying to

have a party together, right? You have the tradfice stock market, you have crypto and you have

the Precious metals all joining the party. So is this kind of forecast or at least the markets

trying to put out there that they think maybe this administration is going to come out of that

region. We shall see. Everybody seems to be happy, right? Everybody seems to be happy.

All right, let's get into the main topic here. We're going to be talking quantum computing.

And quantum fear actually of how quantum fear hits crypto Bitcoin breakout or breakdown,

we'll get into that part later into the price action part of the show. But quantum fear,

that has been the main topic of today for crypto. It's pretty much everywhere you've looked

later half of yesterday and early this morning. But why is everybody all sudden bringing this

back up? Because it comes up every couple of months after like maybe every month and a half or so.

It's because Google came out with a paper, right? And said, hey, we thought we were a lot

further away from being able to solve cryptography. But I think we're

closer than you initially thought. They put out a paper last week, which I think is really

funny because last week they said 2029. Crypto Twitter didn't really...

The basics, though, of why quantum computing could even, you know, solve something like decrypting

these old Bitcoin wallets and getting old Bitcoin that we all thought was lost forever and selling

it down potentially. That's the biggest scare, right? Well, first of all, regular computers,

like my laptop, that is extremely slow right now and lagging a bit. They use a binary approach,

right? So they have to handle every task. So binary approaches zero and one. That's how they...

That's the language, right? Approach every task sequentially one by one.

With quantum computing, you have two different terms, superposition, which is it's a simple idea,

right? So basically you can be in a zero and one position at the same time, right? So you don't have

to kind of approach one thing. You can be in two states at one time simultaneously, right?

And then you have entanglement, right? So entanglement happens when multiple qubits. So the first

superposition position is a qubit that can be in zero and one at the same time. The second term

entanglement is having multiple qubits becoming linked together. So now you're not only able to have

a qubit being two position simultaneously. Now you can have these two qubits linked together. So

if you're changing the state of one qubit, it can be on one end of the universe, the other qubit on

the other end of the universe. You change one state of this qubit, it's sex this one automatically,

like simultaneously, right then and there. So why is that matter? It's because now you don't have

to do a task one by one in sequential order or this, you can do them at the same time and find

the solution all at one time. So that cuts time down tremendously, right? And so now when you're

trying to decrypt something like an old Bitcoin wallet, it doesn't take very long or many attempts to

do it. Now that sounds scary, right? Well, just to put you guys at ease here a little bit,

where we currently are, and I'm talking about Google here, so Google IBM, those are the leaders

in quantum computing. We have the capability to have around anywhere between 100 to 1000 noisy qubits

working, right? These qubits are very sensitive to be in superposition consistently.

Getting there's not hard. You have to be at the right temperature. You know, can't be in

error state for too long. You'll come out of superposition. And so noisy qubits means that

the error state is very high. So that's where we are right now with the willow chip that Google came

out with, where we need to be to be able to decrypt Bitcoin is at 10,000 logical qubits, right? So

there is a place in between noisy qubits and logical qubits, right? I forgot what it was what

it's called, but that area to where it's in between is basically you are cutting down the error rate

like quite a bit, right? So it's just something qubits. It's not the noisy qubits or the logical,

it's in between level, right? That's where we're trying to get to next, right? So you need like a

million of those that are in that middle threshold to equal 10,000 logical qubits. So we're very far

away from that, but I think what Google is doing here is they have two goals, right? By putting

this paper up. The first goal is to warn the, you know, industries, crypto, the banking system. They

specifically put Bitcoin RSA in here, you know, so they're trying to catch attention for sure,

but the second part of this goal is to let everybody know that they're leading the way, right? So

it's in my opinion, this is much more of a strategic approach to position themselves, right? More than

hey, this is something that is right around the corner, but you know, you don't know how fast that,

you know, you can have a breakthrough. Now, the fact that we've gotten to this point where they've

been able to create a chip, even if they are noisy qubits, that's big progress, right? This was

something that what many people thought 10 years ago, 15 years ago, for the most part was unattainable.

So let's jump into a quick article from coin telegraph to, you know, talk about, well, before we do

that, this is the statement from Google, or from coin telegraph about Google. It says Google

research shows, Google research shows a future quantum computer could crack Bitcoin's

private keys in just nine minutes, right? So one minute short of Bitcoin's average block time.

These are all strategically, like, I feel like statements put together to really get people's

attention. It says the research warns memorable attacks could become a real threat, urging immediate

migration to post quantum cryptography. So I think that Bitcoin core should be focusing on this

absolutely because you want to be ready for when, even if it is 15 years, you know, the fact that

how powerful it could be, you want to be ready for it. But me being selfish, it also can change

the way that Bitcoin governance works because that is a big problem in my opinion right now with how

changes are made to Bitcoin. And I get like, we don't want to make too many drastic changes to

Bitcoin's state, right? Because it's the oldest chain. It's the one that has the most market cap

value of Bitcoin goes down then we're in trouble. But I do feel like it's gotten to a point where

Bitcoin governance is just so slow moving and the communication is horrible that this is something

that can make the core contributors more active with communication, right? And maybe there's some

changes that will make some of the assets on Bitcoin's blockchain more usable, right? So for me,

selfishly, yeah, sure, you know, I'm this kind of excites me because I feel like it can push the

kind of ball moving a little bit quicker for things that need to be addressed for Bitcoin's

governance. So that is one thing here. And then we'll get into the article as well here.

And this is an article that is directly about, so we'll get more details in here. But hopefully

I broke that down in a kind of dumbed down way because that's how I understood it, which is dumbed

down. But this article is from coin telegraph. It says quantum computers need fewer qubits

to crack crypto than thought per Google. New research from Google shows that quantum computers

could require far less, so could is a big key word here, require far less resources than previously

thought to break the cryptography that secures crypto currencies blockchain. Google's new research

released on Monday estimates a quantum computer could crack the cryptography protecting Bitcoin

and Ethereum using fewer than 500,000 physical qubits. Okay, so physical qubits, that's the medium

area, right? I forgot the term. So you have noisy, you have physical, and you have logical, right?

So you need 500,000. So whenever you hear other statements, so that's a true statement there,

right? When you hear people saying, oh, we they're coming out saying we only need 10,000 qubits to be

able to crack Bitcoin, that's logical qubits. We need 500,000 physical qubits. Imagine how many

noisy qubits we need, right? Just multiply that by a ton. We're right now at a state to where the

will chip can, you know, consistently manage and keep in noisy qubit state where super, super

position doesn't come out between 100 and a thousand noisy qubits. So unless there's this huge

breakthrough in the next year, I think we have some time here, right? It's very, very hard. All right,

so a qubit is the basic unit of a quantum computer kind of went over that and it says researchers

compiled two quantum circuits to test on a superconducting qubit cryptographically relevant quantum

computers, Sirok, or no, not Sirok. The RQC reporting that it was a 20 fold reduction in the

number of qubits required to break the 256 bit elliptic curve discrete logarithm problem,

which is EECDLP 256 widely used in cryptocurrency blockchain. So they are, you know, researching

and testing the stuff. Now, I think a lot of this has more to do with like, mathematic equations

and solutions rather than real life like experiments. But, you know, with what they have been able to

prove, I think they're kind of taking that saying, we've been able to prove the small scale of

success. If we can, we've seen that evidence there. Now we can use our mathematical kind of

equation situation, but still they have to be able to manage and keep those situations in states

air, you know, as air free as possible, reduce the error states, you know, so it's going to be really,

this is more, I think, theory at this point, right? We've got some more questions in here.

Dan says, is Brian Armstrong to blame for the clarity act delay? I think right now he's

pretty much a few were to point at one person probably. And then Prime says it doesn't require

quantum compute to break crypto. I five coded a script using the 2049 bit seed phrase word to create

every possible combo. It creates them 10k phrases in a minute in front of them. I don't know if

I've been putting this on the comments here. Prime, he said against wallets to see if there's

any content I've put it on a pause. That's a good idea. But the concept is proven a lot longer than

nine minutes required. Oh, yeah, I mean, you're doing it, you know, task by task. But I mean,

some of these super computers just like lightning speed per task. So that's why we can do a lot of

these things faster, right? But definitely interesting that you're able to have that much progress.

For sure, man, that's awesome, dude. I want to see, I want to see what, I want to see your GitHub.

I want to see your, you probably have it private, but I'd love to take a look at it because I've

actually got some really cool stuff in there. Stan says, can AI accelerate quantum development?

If so, which AI project is leading the charge? I think they're two separate, you know,

they're two separate things that eventually collide if, you know, once quantum becomes more,

I think, tangible in the sense of like we can, you know, everyday people are exposed to it.

But someone made a statement the other day about AI. It, you know, AI has been packaged in this

state to where, you know, it's, you know, this true futuristic artificial intelligence, but

it's the best that we've had with artificial intelligence, but it's more like

artificial manufacturing with, you know, machines, right? Because it's, it's, it's like, you're just

getting like really good compute, like answers. So it's like computers, right? I mean, at the end of

the day, that's just processing things really fast and being able to access data really, really well,

right? But we don't have on that level of true artificial intelligence, which to me is,

and this is me using my imagination a little bit again, that sentient state, right? That conscious

state. And I think that's where quantum and AI can come together, right? In terms of a project,

that's, I don't, I don't think we're Google, Google, IBM, nothing in Web3 right now, that at least

I know of, because they're not getting their hands dirty with hardware and doing these experiments

consistently with making sure that these qubits remain in superposition without, you know,

getting too high of error state and jumping out. So, you know, I think Google has access to AI,

maybe they have Gemini, right? So they, they have a strong department there. So I think Google,

IBM has AI as well. So IBM was working directly with quantum as well. And then Chinese companies as

well, China and US are both the two leading in that category. Stan says crypto projects aren't panicking.

So they must agree with the channel. Yeah, I mean, CZ came out too. I mean, it, you know,

Google positioning themselves here is definitely something that's huge, but also, I mean,

we're in the bear market, right? What's something that could push Bitcoin down? You know, you get

some really big figures agreeing with it. And next thing you know, we're back below the 200 day

moving average on the weekly chart, right? And then you start to see, oh, we're probably heading

towards the bottom here. So, and then he says, we hear about the horror stories of quantum.

What about the positives? Yeah, I think the positives are going to be medicine, you know, pharmaceuticals,

being able to not have to test so much. Also, being able to probably take out a lot of the,

you know, human trials. So I think that's going to be positive in that positive anyways, right?

Some people might say, well, you know, if someone's dying from cancer and they want to do a human

trial, you should let them. Well, if quantum computing can solve that issue without the, you know,

necessary human trials, whatever, they're going to take the medicine anyways because they're about

to die. So these solutions will just come out a lot faster. So I think medicine can be one of the

largest positives for, for the human race with quantum computing. And then you find it says,

what computer is prime using asking for a friend? Yeah, what computer are you using?

That's funny. Okay, let's get finished this up. So yeah, so that is kind of my stance on quantum.

I think that it's being utilized as being able to potentially bring Bitcoin's price down further,

which didn't really working necessarily today, but also positioning Google as like a leader here.

And you got some people in the crypto space that agrees with that. CZ says crypto can adapt to

quantum threats via post quantum upgrades. No need to panic. No need to panic, right? I'm sure

Stan, if you look at in some of the towel subnets, there's probably some quantum

descriptions in there, but I don't think that they're probably working on too much, right?

On anything. Yeah, but all right. So CZ says we're going to be all right. We're going to be all right,

right? And then this is the last thing of quantum. And it's the ledger CEO, which I feel like comes

out for opportunities. He comes out and says ledger or coin telegraph reports ledger CEO says quantum

threat is advancing quickly, but Bitcoin remains secure for now due to hardware limits. So hardware

limits for quantum computing because of the temperatures required for all these qubits. I mean,

I can't imagine there's going to be any sort of quantum computer hardware and

regular people's homes, maybe for even like the next 20 years, right? So we probably have

that much time, honestly, maybe in 20 years though, maybe in 20 years. All right, let's get to

the ETF flows and see what's happening. Because there's a little shock that came in yesterday.

All right. So the US ETF flows for Bitcoin and ETH spots ETFs on net and flows. Wow, man.

Just when you think that things are going to just flip on you. They say, not, not, we're going to not

have a consistent trend with negative or flows for Bitcoin. We're going to flip it. We're going to

flip it, flip it, flip it. So let's take a look and see what the numbers were for yesterday.

ETF flows, Bitcoin, 69.44 million of inflows yesterday. That shocked me. I ain't going to lie.

Then Ethereum, you had inflow of 4.96 million right at 5 million. Solana had an outflow of 6.17 million

and XRP had an outflow of 2.31 million. So kind of just, you know, on the seesaw here, going back

and forth. Peter thought I'm going back and forth with Bitcoin and Bitcoin Ethereum and then

the two alts that are in the top four that they're reporting. So I mean, I think it's pretty big

that XRP and Solana are continue like they continually report fees with Bitcoin and Ethereum.

So I'm going to keep, you know, in the back of your mind here. But yeah, XRP saw outflow, Solana

saw outflow and Bitcoin and Esau, I think a consecutive two to three days of outflows. So this is

going to kind of reverse things. I don't know. I was hoping for Bitcoin to get to 63,000.

So I could, you know, deploy some of my capital to DCA a little bit, not my, you know,

weekly that me and my wife do. We do that more for creating good habits, right? We use the river

application to do that. But, you know, some that I personally have that I'm waiting on because I

do think that we challenge that 200 day moving average again, at least one more time in this

bear market. Is it going to be this time? I don't know. We got inflow. So does this reverse? We're

going to find out. We are going to find that. In fact, let's find out now. Before we do,

though, Prime says, I build my own rigs. Man, Prime, you are all about it, man. I love your mindset.

You like the ability. He says, but the one I'm currently using is only DDR4 RAM, but 64 gigabytes

with 1080 Ti GPU and a ton of memory for Bitcoin vibe coding PC. You can make do with a few hundred

dollars and on offer up 54 K. And he comes in with 54 K around end of September. It's his DCA

spot. Yeah. I mean, 54 K was my second level DCA spot. So if I were to hit,

I actually know it's my third level. So if I hit 64, I'm supplying 20% of what I have,

and then 60, 30%. And then 50% left. And then I'm waiting for an additional two more 10%

declines from there, which would bring me to like 55. And then eventually 50. But, you know,

I feel like if you're not going to try to call the bottom, which I'm not going to, because I think

that should be too hard. You know, for me, I'm, I'm okay, just DCing into these price levels.

I feel like anything to where like maybe 75 and below is, is, you know, pretty solid. Really,

I mean, you could say 85 and below, because eventually we know where we're headed, right? All right,

let's get into the price action for Bitcoin and see if we can see what is happening.

Hopefully you guys had fun with that quantum segment, man. I love talking quantum physics,

quantum computing. I love it, love it, love it. It's just, I like to, you know, think about what

the possibilities are for the future, right? All right, let's take a look at Bitcoin. We're going

to do Bitcoin Ethereum and tout today, right? And then we'll get into the crypto bubbles. But if

there's a ticker, you want me to take a look at, just let me know, drop it in the chat,

whatever chat you're in, if that is abstract, if that is Zora X or also YouTube, of course,

right? But let's take a look here. Let's see what's happening with Bitcoin on today's

hour chart for the next two to six hours. Let's see what's happening. Looks like it wants to come

out of cell pressure, right? We do see this fast line starting to come closer to the slow,

slow orange line here. Once it actually crosses touches and crosses, we actually technically flip

over to buy pressure, momentum, and start that session. The stochastic RSI is following that

trajectory here, right? And let's take a look and see what is happening in terms of trends

on the hour chart sideways. This is what we're seeing, right? We're seeing sideways here. We

look up, down, up, down, up, but lower high. If this candle doesn't finish above here,

what should we expect maybe, right? A downtrend here, potentially, right? These are the times

where they really try to get you guys. Hey, positive, an inflow for Bitcoin yesterday,

right? Is this going to actually create a higher candle here? Now, if this is just a sideways

action here, it could do something to where it finishes lower than this. And then we have a higher

low, but it has to be really quick. You're talking about one candle, right? I think this has to

finish this hour above what, 60, 700, 300 on the hour chart for the short term. But if that happens,

then we can assume we're going to come out of this, right? If we do finish above that, like,

68,000 or something right here, we got, what is this, 22 minutes left? So we'll be watching that.

Let's take a quick look at liquidation level. See if they are going to try to track you guys

down and liquidate your positions. All right, let's see here. Above where we are right now,

we're sitting at 6698, 58 we got a little cluster here, 24.51 million at 67,848. That's actually

decent amount of liquidity there below at 65, 58, 58. We got 21.95. So not too much of a difference,

about three million, two and a half million there. Where are they going to go, right? Where are they

going to go? Are they going to grab that 60, almost 68,000? Then come back down, potentially,

right? It's interesting. It's kind of evenly building up here, but let's check a little bit what's

higher above that, right? So where at 68, you got almost 20 million and it goes down to about 15 at 68,

four. Then it dies off really at almost 69, about 70, dies off pretty, pretty hard. And then below,

you got less liquidity below. Honestly, you got less liquidity below. So my boohoo,

the market makers to kind of fake to the upside here, grab that liquidity, let some of this build

up here. We'll see. We shall see. We shall see what happens. So I'm going to go based off of the

momentum indicators. That's saying, hey, I think we want to prop up a little bit here, come out of

this. But finishing above this price point, in my opinion, is important. Let's see what's happening

on the four hour chart for Bitcoin. Four hour looks like the buy pressure session is breaking down

here. But the fast line is not pointing down yet. So it's not quite ready yet. See what happens in

the next 20, or the next 20 minutes here, does that Bitcoin finish above that area? Does it get close

to 67? I think it was 67 seven. If it finishes above there, then we could actually pop this back open,

right? So four hours waiting on that one hour time frame there, the daily for Bitcoin,

still pretty open here, right? We're still in the sell pressure session. And you got to remember,

we were in a buy pressure zone for since middle of February all the way to March 21. So

yeah, so this is the kind of data that kind of makes me scratch my eyes. I don't know because we might

want to stay probably wants to stay down here for quite some time, right? But it doesn't mean like for

intraday, doesn't go get liquidity and come back down. So something to think about here,

probably going to continue in the sell pressure session. I don't think we just zoom out of this

in a one single day here. So that is Bitcoin for you guys. Let's take a quick look at Ethereum and see

what's happening here. We're going to go to the hour. ETH pretty much follows Bitcoin almost to a T.

Every once in a while, it's a little bit behind or a little bit above or before it. But on the one

hour, it looks like it's come out a last very weak sell pressure here. It wants to pop out.

It wants to pop out. We'll see if it happens here. Seeing at $2056, right? So CASTIC as well,

kind of in this a little bit above that mid section sitting at the 6592. But yeah, I mean,

it looks like it wants to head a little bit further to the upside, maybe towards that 80 point mark

on the CASTIC RSI to the overbot territory. So kind of following that trend of Bitcoin wants to pop

up a little bit here. The four hour is breaking down as well. Not showing it wants to commit to the

downside just yet, but it is showing a little bit of some cracks, right? So maybe just like Bitcoin,

go grab those liquidity areas and then come back down. And then the daily, let's say,

you look at the daily for ETH here, daily very similar to Bitcoin, a little bit more curvature

here on the MACD. But same thing, it's going to wait for Bitcoin in my opinion. Let's take a quick

look at Towsie. What's happening with TOWE? And if there's anything outside of following

today's kind of trajectory of Bitcoin. So TOWE is back to the low $300, right?

And I have been in the campus as TOWE has been overbought and ready for a pullback,

but Bitcoin gets frisky and decides it wants to jump up. TOWE is going to join the party.

Really, Bitcoin is leading everybody, right? But if it pulls down, that's whenever you'll get

probably a strong sell pressure from TOWE. In my opinion, if Bitcoin does pull down to those late

February lows where it sweeps 64,000, 63,000, you'll probably see us break down below 300 here

for TOWE. But as for today, it's following Bitcoin. It looks like it wants to come out of the sell

pressure. I definitely would not be getting tricked into anything with TOWE at this moment. It'd be

one of the, in my opinion, not like you better hope Bitcoin shoots up to 70,000 pretty quick

and then continues on. But you can see here on the four-hour as well, it has an extension of the

sell pressure. Look how deep that was, man. It got to like 380 and then dumped back down because 380

was overbought in my opinion at the time. Just we're in the bear market. We got to remember that.

Look at the daily first daily red candle for TOWE. Yeah, I would have, there's going to be opportunities

for TOWE. There's going to be opportunities for TOWE in my opinion, but it's not, you got to be

patient with it. You miss that run up to 380. Don't try to force yourself into that in my opinion.

Be patient. We're in the bear market. It's going to retreat back. At least that's my opinion,

not financialized. I think Bitcoin revisits that 200 moving average, so 60,000 in below,

who knows what the black swan will be to push us down below that. But let's take a look at

the crypto bubbles in the top 100. We got river up 21%. Man, what a big jump up for river,

right? It's anomaly. One of the few that is green right now. You got Algorand. Wow, up 7%

haven't said that name in forever. Zcash up 9.6%. I mentioned them yesterday because I felt like

a little bit of the TOWE pump reminded me a little bit of Zcash, but TOWE I definitely feel like

has a lot more substance to it than Zcash, but sometimes you don't need substance. We have

just one utility, I guess, privacy, but that was very much influencer driven. Zcash was right,

but it's up there. You got midnight up 13.4% on the day maker up 5% here. Let's talk about the big

losers. Siren, this BSC token taking a big gut punch down 41.1%. It's newer. It's a newer

part of this top 100 club. You go back about four or five weeks and it was on fire up 80%

90%. Now it's taking the biggest hits. That's what happens with newer tokens, right? We're going

to find out if there's any substance to it. If it hangs out in the top 100 for long term,

though, right? Outside of that, the layer zero, I guess, would be one of the next biggest

losers here, down 8.9%, stable down 8.1%. You got hyperliquid pulling back 5.6%,

and what is, I saw something else that stuck out in here to me. Aster down 4.3.

Yeah, HVAR 6.1 pulling back, but everything on average, we're looking about three to

5% on average pulling back with some of these that are getting hit a little bit harder than

the others. They're counterparts. Look at the top 200 here. KTA, is this a kangaroo point or something?

KTA up 46.2%, 2Z up 9% here, B up 5.9%, and then the losers. You've got TWT

is down. What comes to the odds, Maya, when you hear that? Yeah, weird. Down 16.1%, say down 7.8%,

then you've got kite pulling back 9.6%, mutable x down 4.9%, VBV pulling back 2%,

fart coin pulling back 3.3% toast. But very similar to the top 100, we got about 90% red,

while 10% green, got a couple comments jumping in here.

Prime says February was a nothingburger. That's an indicator from March May.

Don't expect much over the next couple of months, brother. Yeah, I don't. Honestly,

the selling may go away. It could have been like selling, probably selling, it could be

selling April go away, selling late March go away. I expect a boring summer, but I'm still

be here, because when it's boring is when people don't pay attention and stuff starts to develop,

right? And so, and I'm sure you guys will too, because you guys are, you know the drill in the deal,

right? Super France has prime. I like your scrap. You set up. The Ram Apocalypse has made DD4,

the cool kit again. Yeah, I'll see people like Francis, Francis Dune, he's like investing hard

into hardware, man. Love that guy. He's awesome though. And then Stan says, Tal and Hyper-Liquid

have been dominant in their categories. They have been, they have been dominant.

Tal is definitely, you know, they just had their having, first of all, right? And so,

it was so crazy, because you got the all-in podcast, you got everybody on crypto Twitter,

just pouring into Tal while they're heading into they're having, like, why would you not just stay

in Tal until, like, right before that having event, sell at 360, right? Knowing that the

having is going to be over, I'm just going to die down. But that's some, you know, look, I've been

in those situations, you get greedy a bit, you go into subnets that might be super, you know,

have potential for 100,000 X upwards directory. I think there's some subnets for sure. Like,

if you're like last-hopper, he researchers those every single day. So, his stuff, very solid. And

we talked on the show a little bit, he would kind of drop some of his subnets like ridges and

some of these other ones that he was in, right? But if you are just trying to roll some dice,

I mean, Tal was the play, right? Leading up into the having event there. And then you got

Prime Says B&B still up around 600. You think it'll get back to the 200 range before we hit

bottom. Why B&B so strong? So, well, I think B&B so strong still is because CZ's positioning

in our space with this current administration and the US in general is so much better than it was

last cycle. I mean, he pretty much had Gary Ginsler, like, you know, with scopes on him. And this time,

he feels relaxed. You can kind of tell too with some of his tweets and things. He feels

Lucy Goosey, like he can say what he wants and things like that. I hope it does bounce back because

I think that B&B is going to be a long-term strong play. We saw in, I think, it was late summer

or middle of the summer. It hit. It's all time high at like 1300. It was absolutely crazy how strong

it was. But do we get those cheap prices? I hope so. I really do hope so. But I think that we would

need like an overall market collapse type situation like we got in 2022, right? In 2022,

it was multiple times that we had those kind of situations, right? Luna, the war with Russia and

Ukraine started it. Then you had Luna, which was huge, by the way. Then later that year, we had

FTX, which was huge, by the way, right? So all this stuff started to just like follow part and

capitulate. Prime also said, I think I put in less than $400 for my full rig. Yeah, it's pretty

and haven't been, haven't put RGB watercolor for the CPU. Yeah, I mean, I feel like hardware is

definitely like jumped up for sure with popularity because of the AI movement and stuff.

Everybody wants to put their stuff locally. I mean, me too. I would like to have a strong

local agent. My perspective on that's changed a little bit. Maybe Superfan had a little bit to

do with that. But some other people also commented on the fact that you even whenever they come out

with like, for example, Ali Babel came out with the Quinn 3.5 small model to where you could

utilize it locally on your machine, even if you don't have a ton of like powerful hardware on it.

I just realized that like these huge companies like Anthropic and OpenAI, they have all this

information that's being hosted like on all these services, like their power that they can,

now it is split amongst all the users, but I just don't know if you can get to that point on a

locally hosted LLM. Maybe in the future, I don't know. Do do do do do do do do do do then

stance as any opinion on Apple Neo for AI. I'm not sure about Apple Neo. I need to dive into

that. Superfan, have you heard of Apple Neo? If so, we'd love to hear your opinion on it.

But I'm going to remind you guys to smash the likes on the YouTube side. It's helped so much

with impressions, views. You guys are amazing. Love you guys. Keep smashing those likes. Drop

comments. All of it helps, right? Drop comments in the actual YouTube as well. All right, let's get

into some safety stuff here, right? And a couple more topics, and then we'll round out the show. But

man, unknown Kraken user loses $18.2 million in suspected social engineering attack per ZXBT.

I just don't understand. I mean, like I mentioned earlier, I get people have bad days, right? But

this person is going to have bad, maybe life, if you don't get over this, but you know,

if you get messaged in any way, call, like text, email, and it even looks like the official

communication channel, email. What I do is I go and actually go to find the official contact

information, and I contact them and say, hey, did you contact me through this? I feel like that

is one of the best ways, right? Obviously, 2FA, those type of things. And this is something that I

go into with the intro to crypto 101. So if you guys, like I said, have friends that are wanting to

learn, go to the channel and go to the intro to crypto 101 week one is exactly about this, like

security, right? It's eight minute videos. I'm trying to do short, because I know attention span

include myself, I have ADHD, right? So they're very short videos. So anyways, this situation, man,

this is horrible, right? ZXBT dove in and we got to learn from this kind of stuff, especially

like so supposedly there was the social engineering attack here was so elaborated, right?

I've had someone try to attack me that I've met at Bitcoin conferences in the past,

and I've messaged with them on telegram and things like that, but I'm always, I feel like I always

skeptical just in general. I'm not saying I'm better than anybody. No, I mean, you know, I almost

got got with this. But anyways, and so I get it, but this situation was very elaborative in a,

just set them up, right? And 18.2 million now gone. Once it's gone, it's really hard to get back.

It's really hard to get back almost impossible right now. We saw something to where fees have been

given back and stuff like that, but you don't want fees. You want your money, right? You want your money

there. Prime says next project after finishing my indexer and website builder is to create an LLM,

any thoughts on any good content creators you use for your AI stuff.

Yeah, it's super fan probably answer that better than me because content creators that I use for

LLM stuff. I do like initially I did with like open class setup. If I have a question, I'll

honestly message like super fan or doctor men. But yeah, LLM, man, it's fun journey. I'll tell you,

you'll you'll stay up like very late nights. Oh, I was like, what are you doing with your life?

All right, next story here, token failure rates hit record highs as a 21 shares. Researcher flags

the flaw, flawed low float high FDV model at ECC 9. So this is something that's interesting,

you know, the low float high FDV model. When demand is there, you don't notice it as much.

In fact, you kind of welcome it because what this means is low float means the low circulating

supply that's out there, right? And then you can see the high number based off of that low

circulating supply that's out there, right? So you can, you know, get crazy X's like in 2021.

Low float was super popular because you get into a new token. The demand is hot. Now this token's

market cap is just skying because of low float low circulation demand is high liquidity is in there.

Easy, well, 100 X in those type of situations that it's a popular token, right? But whenever things

are slower, it's, it kills projects because the liquidity and demands not pushing the market cap

up really, right? And you want it to move quicker. And then next thing you know, you're holding bags

that the tokens getting more release. So circulating supply is growing. It's harder for that

market cap to go up. So the research is showing that that's killing a lot of projects. And

you know, maybe there's, there needs to be an approach that is more healthy, right? For the space,

I eventually, I think we go into different categories, right? Like how the track by markets are,

people might not like that. But I think we do, you know, the more reputable tokens or, you know,

backed by these institutions, like really pushing it up. But that means that market cap jumps up

pretty quick initially, right? And then they're going to have ICOs and all these things. So the

opportunity for like everyday people, excuse me, it's going to be less and less in those situations.

But if you get into a solid project that, you know, maybe you hit like an early Amazon or

something like that, right? And that's the idea because then you're building substance as well.

The project is building substance. All right. Next topic here, hyperliquid tops 24 hour fees

with 734,000. That shows that we are directly in the bear market. Oh, we talked about this man.

The fees are just so small, you know, when that you can comparable to, or when you compare it to

like trevite, like a brokerage, right? But this is a new emerging industry and they're leading with

734,000 followed by Tron, by the way, which is very interesting. Tron here is number two. What

are they doing on Tron? They're doing a bunch of like, such like a DeFi stuff, I guess. I'm not

sure, but Tron comes in that number two. Hyperliquid continually leads. I think Stan said,

Hyperliquid and Tao have been, you know, at the top of their sectors. Absolutely. You know,

Hyperliquid for sure. And people are, you know, that's one token that is newer. That's kind of

just talking about, right? Newer that has that like long term trajectory because they are just

performing the best. All right. Next topic, Kucoin pays 500K to the CFTC over unregistered

exchange claims, right? This is not that big of a deal, but I feel like this is such a good headline

for that shows where we are health wise because these type of headlines last cycle,

it was more the SEC that was coming out and stating they would kind of pick on someone to use

as an example, but the amounts that they were charging at fees or fines was just huge. We're

talking about millions. So this is more of like what we should expect, right? Kucoin messed up.

Now they have to pay a half a million dollar fee and fix things or they'll get fined again,

but it's a reasonable fine amount, right? So this to me shows maturity in the entities that are

regulating the space. And so this is a positive. This is the plus for sure.

Mr. Unfiltered AI says what if anything is good investment when oil prices are going up?

Well, depending on how high they go up, right? We try to get Bitcoin cheaper. In my opinion,

it's try to sweep some Bitcoin lows if oil goes to $200 a gallon or gallon.

A barrel $200 a gallon. We're in big trouble. I live in the great state of Texas. So I'm still

kind of in that $350 per gallon. So I'm still sitting pretty nice over here. What else is there

that is a good investment when oil prices go up? Well, a lot of assets go down. So you got to think

about what to get for whenever oil goes back down, right? That's in my opinion what you should be

looking for, right? Now, some people might try to fill the gap in some sort of energy-related,

oil-related products and stuff like that. I don't, I think that's risky. Super,

super risky in my opinion. I would look more towards the inverse assets and try to get those

that are strong, right? Bitcoin, stuff like that.

Stan says, Justin and CZR bosses, they are guaranteed success. I mean, at this point, right?

They made it through the SEC and one had to go to jail for four years, right? So

awesome. Keep those comments coming in. We got a couple more to finish up here. Let me make

sure that we got the good stuff in. So one thing that is a big bear market sign that we're getting

closer, at least we're getting closer to the bottom, is Bitcoin long-term holders are now selling

at a loss per crypto-quant. Crypto-quant got some things wrong in 2024 and 2025 share, but he does

use a lot of analytics and data. So this is straight up data, right? So this surrender phase often

signals market-wide losses and potential bottom zones. I don't think we're in the bottom because

for me, I feel like the bottom is definitely like we're going to fill some pain or something, right?

But I don't know, like the top in 2025, 126 Bitcoin, we didn't really fill any euphoria, right?

That wasn't there. All season wasn't there. But there has to be some sort of, I would imagine

some like black swan event, but anyways, that's why it's hard. That's why I believe in DCAing in

the levels that you're happy with, right? 75,000 and below. For me, that's cheap Bitcoin whenever it

was at 126 in October of last year. But do I want it cheaper? Of course, everybody does.

Bhutan reportedly sells 375 Bitcoin worth 25 million. Like what's up with all the doom and gloom news?

No, this is just, you know, I wanted to put this out there because Bhutan uses hydro mining.

So they mine their Bitcoin a lot of it. So they're just kind of selling down to take profit at

this point. Like they're not in losses like the previous long-term holders topic that I read.

So I wouldn't worry too much about this. I did research into it just to, you know, make,

so I can let you guys know. This is not a nation state that is thinking Bitcoin is not an answer

for global reserve asset. This is actually smart for them because they'll continually mine it, right?

The next topic here, Swift, Swift, the world money system, they have their own blockchain,

and it's based on shared ledger, which has reached an MVP stage with world-world transactions

that to go live this year. So that was, I felt like that was like final boss when it comes to

adoption is the Swift system. This is the statement that if you didn't believe that we were

transitioning to a new financial system that had digital assets as the strong base of it,

this should kind of be that final like, you know, uppercut that lets you know it's happening.

And Swift is sticking around. They're going to try to still be a big infrastructure part of

the world payment system, but I don't know if they are going to make it in terms of the main

one, right? Because I just still think that there needs to probably be, I don't know. We'll see.

All right, let me see what else we have here. If there's anything, okay, two more things we'll

get into here. Okay, so Goldman Sachs raises their gold target to 5,400 by ounce by end of this

year. That was very interesting, right? So you think about what does that mean from a macro

perspective? And because I feel like gold has been a little bit hard to read from a macro perspective

the last couple months, right? You think in a inflationary phase that we're in, like inflation

is kind of aggressively going to the upside, gold will go up, right? To the safe haven asset,

geopolitical issues, gold would go up. I think the one thing that people didn't account for for

the geopolitical situation with Iran was oil, right, in this situation. So oil is definitely a

big variable here and probably why gold hasn't performed the way it has, but if they're saying,

if Goldman Sachs saying 5,400 by the end of this year, they might have a lot of gold and they

want to offload, right? So they're trying to pump it or they're expecting inflation to go back up,

right? I think inflation is really tricky, especially I would get even the right data.

The new Fed chairs coming in was that going to look like maybe this is an anticipation that,

you know, the Fed chair is going to cut rates, you know, cut rates because they're thinking gold's

going to go up, inflation's going to go up. We'll see. All right, and then this is important if

you guys hold any of these tokens, right? The top seven tokens with the largest unlocks this week,

total 102.5 million, led by Sui and Sui with 47.19 million, right? So let me show this list here.

You see Sui has the biggest unlock, right? Yeah, the unlock amount, 47.19 million, but that is

going to be 39% of the total supply or that puts them at 39% of the total supply right now.

And then the percentage of the market cap that's going to be unlocked is 1.37%.

Oh my God, look at this one. Edge, if you're in definitive,

edge definitive, you better be careful here. 34% of the market cap is getting unlocked.

It's 11.82 million. So, you know, was that about four less, four times less than Sui's, but

this is the problem. 34% of the market cap, that could really just punish that price there.

And then beat a jarara. I don't know what that is, but 15% of the market cap is being unlocked

the next seven days, 10.53 million. And then Falcon Finance, which was kind of in the headlines a bit,

I wouldn't say like four months ago. I think they were doing stuff with like World Liberty Fines

and stuff like that, but not too much. 5.84% of the total market cap being unlocked here, 9.66 million.

Then you got opinion, opn, 8.29 million dollars being unlocked, which is 20.4. So,

this is pretty significant as well. Be careful if you're in the opinion, opn, token there.

Athena, oh, this is a big one. But very small percentage, 1.11%. And the total market cap is

being unlocked there. They actually have a pretty good circulating ratio here. 56.8% is already

unlocked. And then you got eigencloud, which probably, oh, it's not too high. 5.35% of the market

cap being unlocked here, 6.38 million, but eigenlayer just in general. Remember, they were a huge

thing there. But I think that's going to wrap up all the headlines. I wanted to make sure,

if in case any of you guys were in there, any of those tokens that you were aware of that,

got a couple of comments in here to finish out the show. We got Prime saying,

BTC going to probably through InterK all time. Hi, next cycle. 75,000 and under is 1.4

the price in a few years. Yeah, I mean, I just look at Bitcoin as like getting into

something like the S&P, but really early, right, when the S&P came out or was available to

the public. So the price, I don't even look at the price anymore because for me, it's long term

being able to have one Bitcoin at some point in the future is going to be extremely rare at some

point. And then Stan says, does the channel know Tiger Woods car insurance company? Thanks.

Yeah, I don't know.

Any of our, I love Tiger Woods. I mean, I know that like there's controversial stuff about

them, but I'm becoming slowly becoming more and more of a golf fan because I'm getting older,

right? And when you get older, you stop playing pickup basketball as much, which by the way,

I'm about to get back into that because I've played basketball my whole life. There's been,

you know, I've always been active up until my mother got sick. I want to say about

for 2021. So five years ago, she got COVID bad, like ventilator for five months in the hospital

for a total of eight months. And that was her main advocate. So all my extra time I had to, you know,

go towards that. She survived. She survived that less than 5% chance. So whenever I get like

down on something or myself, like, I'd never stay down for long. I'm like, if my mom can come back

from a less than five percent chance, she drives to church on Sundays. Now she had, by the way,

after that, she had a double lung transplant. And she's like cooking my favorite foods and

driving to church and walks every day. So yeah, she's definitely like a big inspiration to me.

My family's big in my family or just in my world in general, but I don't know where,

where that came from, why I brought that up. Oh, oh, the basketball thing. Yeah. And so I'm

getting back into that. I need to look at my health again and make sure that I pick that back up.

But golf has been a big part of it. And so I'm actually going to go to the range after that,

after the show today. But yeah, it's a good question there at the end. I'm sure that if anybody

needs insurance and they can't get approved by any company, that company will probably approve

you there. But I appreciate each and every one of you guys. Remember, hit the like for me on YouTube,

X, share it. It's been helping a ton. I appreciate each and every one of you guys. You guys are

amazing. We're going to stick through this, okay, through the bear market. And we're going to learn

as much together as we can together. We're going to be ready for one when we come out of the bear

market, right? We're going to do it smart, right? No crazy, you know, throwing like predictions

against the walls and stuff like that approach. We'll learn and have success together. But

appreciate each and every one of you guys. I hope that you guys have a rest of your Tuesday.

We'll be blessed and we'll catch you guys in the morning. Peace.