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There has been an avalanche of moves already. We will go over what has happened and share any new movements, with an eye on the Seahawks.
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Good morning, everybody. Welcome to another episode of Hawk blogger mornings. I am Brian
M. Howzer. You can find me and all the things that we do on YouTube TikTok, Instagram,
at Hawk blogger would love to have you follow us on all of those places. If you haven't gone to
Instagram, you haven't gone to TikTok, follow us there, growing and having a lot of fun in those
locations as well. You can get our audio on Apple podcast Spotify wherever you get your audio
podcast. It should show up there. If you want to give us a five star review, we would really,
really appreciate it. It's really great helps us grow the show, which helps us get better guests
and give you better content and all that stuff. So anytime you want to give us a five star rating,
we will always gladly take it. And if you want ad free audio, you can get it at patreon.com slash
Hawk blogger. That is also where you can get access to the discord server. And soon, soon,
as you'll get access to my, you know, elaborate free agency spreadsheet that you'll be able to
play around with. Not quite yet, but pretty soon. And this is day two of free agency, even though
it's called the legal tampering period. Finn is with us again, and would like to jump up for
a second, say hello. Even though it's just called the legal tampering period, it basically is
just the start of free agency. The amount of people that have already agreed to terms is substantial.
And we'll go through some of that here in just a second. I don't expect today to be anywhere near
as Newsy as yesterday was. I think it's almost impossible for it to be. But I do think there'll be
some things that come up. I just for folks curious, I am not going to do a marathon show today.
I thought I was, but I'll tell you what, the weather is tempting me to do other things. I just
got to be honest, got to be honest with you. I did not expect to see blue sky and sunshine,
and there's not a lot of that going around in the northwest right now. So I'm going to go chase
the sun a little bit after I do this show, but we're going to do a nice solid show. I'm going to talk
about all the changes. I've got some stuff to show you guys. Talk about with you guys. We'll take
your questions as we always do. And I'm looking forward to it. I will also be back tonight at five o'clock
with Ceeox Collective. That's with Rob Staten and Annabelle Hasselbach and Michael Sean Dugar. So
you'll get another taste of all this stuff then. So looking forward to talking with you guys
throughout the day. And just had other couple of quick things. You guys are unbelievable. Yesterday
we had I think over 60,000 people tune in, which was pretty much double what we had last year,
which I thought was like a crazy number then. And we crossed the 40,000 submark on YouTube. So
congratulations to everybody who's been part of what is a really, really fun, nice growing community
appreciate all of you. And yeah, really, really unbelievable that I never thought we'd reach
these levels. And now it's just curious where we'll get there together. So looking forward to it.
Okay. So let's get right into it. First of all, we will do a little bit of a recap. And then we
will get into looking at some new numbers that I pulled that I think are interesting. And
first things first, let me go and make this full screen and let me zoom in for you all a little bit.
So it's big enough. I think yesterday it was about this size is what was working for all of you.
I can make it a little bit bigger if you need me to, but hopefully that's big enough for you.
Let me make it a little bit bigger because I think it was a little bit bigger yesterday.
I might be wrong, but maybe that size, maybe it was at that size, is that too big? I think that's
the size it was yesterday. So this is a look at what the Seahawks have done so far relative to free
agency. And the big surprise, at least for me, I will not try to tell you that I knew everything
that was going to happen. And I will not try to tell you that I have sources, although I do, but
I will not try to like source this stuff when it's really just me reading Twitter, like or Instagram,
like everybody else. But I was surprised that the Seahawks signer sheet sheet. I was surprised that
they did that, even though basically a week ago when I did my free agency primer, I told all of you,
the one guy I just had this feeling that might be back that isn't expected to be back as
Rashid Shaheed. I should have trusted myself with that instinct because it's just not common for
John Schneider to trade for a player mid season, give away picks, have that player be a positive
part of the team on the field, a positive part of the team in the locker room, and have that player
want to come back and not come to an agreement. There was all these signs that indicated that Rashid
Shaheed was a sneaky potential to come back. But I fell for what was the news that was being
reported out there from like the Adam Shafters of the world that they were not close and that
they were going to hit free agency. And to me, that just spells the end. And sometimes you can want
all of the things to work out and have all the good intention. But if the market is too hot for
a specific player, it just goes beyond what your budget allows. And I think in this case a few things
might have happened. I think the fact that I'll come back to this view here in a second and we'll
go through all of it. But as a monologue in here, one, I still believe the Seahawks intended to trade
for Max Crosby. They were going to try to trade for Max Crosby. And so as of last week,
they hadn't known yet whether or not they were going to add that salary to their budget and they
were having to be thoughtful about who they were taking up cap space for before then. Now they know
that they're not going to have Max Crosby on their roster so that cleared up some questions from
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The next thing that happened is there were numbers, numerous reports that the Seahawks were
making potential progress with Kobe Bryant to bring him back. And when that didn't work out,
specifically like who knows if they knew that going into yesterday or if yesterday was the final
day where the bears were able to get things over the finish line and the Seahawks bowed out.
But once they decided, all right, we're not going to be able to bring Kobe Bryant back,
that is also freed up some dollars that they could allocate elsewhere. So I think there are these
pivot moments that John Schneider talks about where plan A is this, plan B is this, plan C is this,
and you have to kind of go with what the market bears for you. And so I am not convinced
that the Seahawks were going to bring back Rashid Shaheed no matter what.
I believe on their side of the ledger, some things did not happen that created some
financial flexibility to prioritize Rashid Shaheed. I'm going to talk about the Ken Walker thing in
a second, but I see that a little differently than others do. The other thing that I think happened
was some of the places that Rashid Shaheed was potentially going to go like the bills,
like the Raiders. They signed some other receivers first, or in the case of the bills, they traded
for DJ Moore. And maybe some of the market for Rashid Shaheed dried up a little bit, not like a
lot, but a little bit. And maybe Rashid Shaheed was very specific about the places he was willing
to go. And maybe the places that were on that list disappeared. That can happen too. And so you can
have the market drive players and teams apart from each other. And you can have the market drive
players and teams toward each other. And in this case, I think the latter is what happened
to give a little bit more reason for Rashid Shaheed to come back to Seattle. And I think
all Siox fans that I saw were celebrating that fact. So really, really cool to see Rashid Shaheed
back. We'll talk more about that in a second. Other news from yesterday, Josh Job is back three
years, $24 million, $8 million per year. And then the other ones are before yesterday, Charles Cross,
a blue kiss, both from that same draft class, 2022, signed their extensions, and then Drake Thomas
signed last week, two years, $8 million, which is just looking like an absolute insane deal.
Tio Cotta and George Hollani signed their exclusive right free agent deals last week.
The team lost Kenneth Walker to the Kansas City Chief Boy Mafe to the Cincinnati Bengals and
Kobe Bryant to the Chicago Bears. So where that leaves the Siox in terms of who's left on their
list to equal it, who tweeted out an ellipses dot, dot, dot, this morning, he is still available,
at least as I'm aware. And then you've got Josh Jones, the swing tackle, who has not been signed
yet. Again, yesterday, I feel like that's a guy that the, that the 49ers should be poking in on,
but we will see. You've got Chaz Sarat, the special teamers backup linebacker Cody White,
the wide receiver, Brandon Peely, the nose tackle, Brady Russell, the essentially special teams
captain, Jarek Young, the wide receiver, Jake Bobo, the wide receiver, Chris Stoll, the long
snapper, AJ Finley, the safety Shane Lemieux is kind of an odd one to put on there since he never
really played for the team, but he was last with the Siox. So he shows up on this list. I don't
expect there to be much to it from there. All right. So that is a look at where the Siox were
with free agency as of yesterday. Um, one of the things that I wanted to talk about is this thing
I've seen from people talking about. Did the Siox make this decision between Ken Walker and
Rashid Shaheed? Before I do that, I will share that, um, um, I saw some common and chat yesterday,
like, well, man, Brian clearly does not look at the chat. And I think it was just in joking
fashion. I will tell you guys, I am watching Twitter, ESPN, um, and also doing what I'm on the,
um, spreadsheet. I don't have the chat in front of me. So I am generally, I'm kind of monitoring
chat, but right now I am not going to be able to monitor chat as closely as I normally do. Um,
so yeah, I do try to pay attention to chat, but I will not be as good. And there's going to be
times you guys are going to be ahead of me on news. And that's totally fine. So let me get to this,
this, um, Rashid Shaheed can Walker thing. And let me see if I can pull up a tweet around this. Um,
Shaheed Walker,
they're, they're people talking about, yeah. So here's from Hayden Hinks. Um, he wrote, the
Seox had to pick one, Ken Walker, three years, $45 million, $29 million guaranteed Rashid Shaheed,
three years, $51 million, $35 million guaranteed. As an example of wide receiver is greater than running
back in positional value. I don't see it that way. I just don't see it that way. I think that
I don't think the Seox picked between Ken Walker and Rashid Shaheed. I believe that they look at the
running back market and they look at what they're able to, you know, where they're willing to spend
percentile lies on that because here's the thing. Ken Walker became the fourth highest paid
running back in the NFL yesterday and broke the record for most money ever made by a free agent
running back. Like those two things are true. Rashid Shaheed is like the, let me see if I can pull
it up. I don't know if they've updated it yet. He's nowhere close to the top 10 in, um,
in wide receiver dollars. So let me see if this is, if they've updated this on
over the cap they have. So Rashid Shaheed is three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten,
eleven, twelve, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20. He's like 30, 30 on the receiver list.
And that's by APY. That's not even the, not even the full total value of the deal. He's much lower
if you get to total value. You're talking about getting like the 30th highest paid receiver versus
the fourth highest paid running back. There, there's just, there's differences. There's differences
in how you allocate your dollars on your roster. Now, yes, the dollars are similar. But think about
this. If you are paying top of the market at one position, that is going to preclude your ability,
or at least it's going to limit or constrain your ability to spend like even middle of the market
at some of your other positions. So you have to be thoughtful which position groups and which
players are you going to play at, pay top of the market for. And the Seahawks made a conscious
decision that they were not going to pay top five money or the running back position.
I have some like questions about how they handled that. I would rather have Ken Walker than not.
I've been really, really clear about that. But I don't see, I think that's a false
equivalency to compare Rashid Shaheed and Ken Walker. I just, I just don't see it. I understand
why people might bring that up. I just don't see those as really similar. The other thing that
I think factors in here is you don't know for sure how much Ken Walker wanted to come back.
And I don't think you know for sure how much the Seahawks wanted Ken Walker back.
I can make assumptions but I don't know. What I do know is the Seahawks wanted Rashid Shaheed
back and Rashid Shaheed wanted to come back. Like that I know. And I think that also plays a role in
how these things work out. So if Ken Walker had been like Seattle's the place I want to be,
I don't want to go anywhere else. And Seattle had been like he's our guy. There's no way he's
going anywhere. I think he'd still be here. Those things do factor into massive multi-million
dollar decisions. So just a quick comment there. But there have been some other things that have
happened since we last spoke after eight and a half hour marathon yesterday. So let's do this.
I'm going to take I created a new view here. I'm going to see how it works on this
higher zoomed in perspective. But this is a new view that shows you, I'm going to put myself,
well I think this is better because it's bigger. So this is looking at how many players each team has
lost? How much money was spent on the players that were lost? How many players those teams added?
How much was spent to add those players? And then the final column here is just the basic
net cash flow. Like are you spending more than you lost? Like that's basically the price of
the players you lost versus the price you paid for new players, right? And this is just added or
lost. This is not resigning. So Josh Joe will not show up for the Seahawks as a player added.
Rashid Shaheed will not show up as a player for the Seahawks added. This is just new players that
were not currently not previously on your roster. So one of the reasons I wanted to do this,
and I think, I don't know there's probably someone that's done this view, but I thought this is
an interesting view because I've got this sorted right now by cost of players lost. And you can see
the Ravens have lost the most players, six, and they have have the most value associated. Sorry,
I'm going to get that out of there and do that. All right. So they've lost 200 and like the players
that they've lost have gone for $210 million in the market, right? That's a huge number. That's the
most of anybody. The Eagles have lost four players, $196 million in value. And then you get to
this group of teams that have lost three players. You've got the Chargers, the Seahawks, the Giants,
the Packers, and the Chiefs have all lost three players a piece. The Seahawks have lost the fourth
most player value in terms of price on the market, $145 million. And what's interesting about that
is I think this is kind of an indicator of where you've got talent in the league.
Think about this. When there is the cut down day, 53 man rosters are set.
But you see how many players are claimed. That is generally a good indicator of how much surplus talent
you've got throughout your roster that other teams in the league want to add to their roster.
Similarly, with free agency, if you have players that are commanding high dollar contracts,
that means that you have some pretty valuable players. And I think I can do this quickly
and it should work. Let me just do this real quick. So if we do,
yeah, that's not going to work. Never mind. But you can see the average value of these deals
because the Seahawks only lost three players. And it was $145 million. That's $48 million per player.
The Ravens at $209 million, but they lost six players. That's $34.8 million. So the average value
of the players the Seahawks lost is actually higher than the Ravens. So I think this is kind of an
indicator you just want a Super Bowl. You are very talented roster. I think this is another
sign of the kind of talent the Seahawks have. What's also interesting is if you scroll down,
look at the teams that have lost no players and no value. The Rams and 49ers are down there with
the Raiders and Cowboys as having lost nobody. And I saw this somewhere as if this was some kind of a
good thing. I don't think it's a good thing. Like the fact that the Rams that none of their,
like let's let's go look at the Rams for a second, which I think is a very talented team. I don't
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Like 2-2 at well, Jimmy Garoppolo, Roger McCreary, who they traded for,
a Kelo Weatherspoon, Kobe Durant, Darian Kendrick, like Xavier Smith,
they don't have a lot of talent on the market. So I think from that perspective,
it's a little bit of an indicator of total team value. It's also just the state of where
the Rams are. Some of their best players are not in years where they're going to be free agents.
For the 49ers, you look at the 49ers, and you look at this list.
How much of a market is there for Johan Jennings right now? Not so far.
Jordan Elliott, Spencer Berford, Jason Pinock, Kevin Gibbons, Luke Gifford, Kendrick,
what Kendrick born did sign? So I actually have to update that. So they did lose somebody.
I think he signed with the Cardinals, if I'm right. So I'll go update that.
But they've got all these players, but they're not necessarily the highest value.
Before I forget, let's go update Kendrick born.
So to me, that is an interesting way to kind of see. I'm going to show you in a second.
There's another view I want to show, but I first want to get
Kendrick born's contract numbers.
Kendrick born.
Okay, two years, 10 million.
He goes to the Arizona Cardinals. Two years,
five million per year.
And 10 million overall value.
All right, so now the 49ers have lost somebody.
And if we go back to this league score card,
we'll resort here.
49ers up there a little bit more.
Okay, but now you've got three teams that haven't lost anybody of real value.
That's I think interesting in a state of where those those rosters are.
If you go the other way and you go of let's sort by which teams have added the most players,
and which teams have added no players or the least players.
You got the top of the league here.
The Falcons have added six players.
The Jets have added five.
The Cardinals have added five.
The Raiders have added five.
The Giants, Saints, Bears, Titans, all that had four.
These are all external, again, external free agents, not resigning of guys that are already on the team.
Other than the Bears, that's a pretty sorry list of the bottom dwellers
of the NFL.
So the more players that you've added, the better indicator that you're a pretty bad team.
And that your roster is pretty barren.
There are four teams in the NFL that have added zero players.
And they are the Philadelphia Eagles, the Seattle Seahawks, the Jacksonville Jaguars,
and the Denver Broncos.
Those are all playoff teams, and that is, I think also, an indicator of where you are.
The Rams are down here as having just added one player.
The Cowboys, Dolphins, Vikings, Lions, Colts, Packers, Ravens are also in that list.
Those are all mostly good teams other than like the dolphins.
You can argue about the Vikings a little bit.
But that's also an indicator of where there is
roster talent in the NFL.
And if we go and say who's spent the most money,
the Titans have spent $246 million.
The Raiders have spent $241 million.
The Panthers have spent $165.
The Commander's $141.
So you get down there.
The Seahawks are there at zero because they have not added any external free agents.
Same four teams, right?
When you have zero players added, you're going to have $0 spent.
So I think this is just another kind of way to look.
And then this last view I did, I thought was interesting as well.
This is basically taking the cost of the players you lost
versus the cost of players that you've added externally.
And having this kind of net cash differential.
And the Eagles have the highest.
They've basically lost $195 million and they've spent zero on external guys.
The Ravens have lost 209 and they've spent 30.
So their net is 179.
The Seahawks are third.
145 million players lost, zero million spent externally.
Packers are fourth, charges are fifth, jaguars are sixth.
So I think this is also an interesting kind of health indicator of where teams are
in their roster and how strong they are.
I'm just coming back and seeing some chat with people having some not-kind words to say.
I'll just say if you are not kinds to people in chat and to me, you're just going to be banned.
I don't have much patience for it.
So please, like the only rules in chat are stick to football and be kind to myself and to other
people in chat. And let's not get into it with people that are not being kind.
Let's just let myself or the mods handle it.
Okay, so that's, I think of you that I haven't seen anywhere else.
I was excited to kind of pull this together.
I'm curious, you know, if you guys have thoughts or questions based off of that, but
again, to me, this is another sign of the health of the Seahawks roster.
So I put this together last night where
we pull this up real quick and I'll share it with you guys.
Interesting. We're getting a note that
Mike Garofalo is saying that the Seahawks are monitoring where Shad White's market as a fallback
option after losing Ken Walker. That is interesting. And I'm seeing, I'm going to quote tweet
this real quick, monitoring price Walker left. Let's talk about that for a second.
Then I'll get back to what was going to be my other piece I was going to share with you guys,
which is just the state of the Seahawks starting lineup relative to where it was last year.
Let's talk about Rashad White. And to do that, let's take a look at the running back market as
it currently stands. So we're going to go over here to the position tracker and here is
the running back list. So you can see that there's been a pretty decent run on running backs.
You've got what is that? Three, six, nine running backs who have been signed. I've got George
Hollani in there as an exclusive rights free agent. So maybe call it eight running backs that have
been signed. They range in contract average per year. And let's talk about the actual external,
like the unrestricted free agents from six million per year to 15 million per year,
six million being Tyler Algier, 15 million being Ken Walker.
Rashad White, where does he fit on Greg Rosenthal's 101 list? Let's look at that.
So of the 101 free agents that Greg Rosenthal ranked ahead of
free agency, you can see how many of them have already been signed. Tray Hendrix is still
available. We can talk about that briefly. Rashad Walker, Romeo Dobs, Chase Son, Ellis,
a quonkwu, Terequilin, Liush Chanel, Nick Cross, Braden Smith, Joanne Jennings,
Wyatt Teller, Briskler, Clayis Campbell, Bosa, Nation Wright. So it's interesting. He does not have
does he not have Rashad White? Oh, he's got Rashad White at 79. 79. So if you look at
where he had him ranked relative to other running backs, he had him below Kenneth Gainwell.
He had Gainwell at 65. He had Rico Doudel at 87. So let's go look at Kenneth Gainwell's number
and Rico Doudel's number, right? Kenneth Gainwell was at 7 million per year. Rico Doudel,
six million per year. So it would seem logical, at least one way to look at this is that
he would be somewhere in that range, less than half, almost a third of what Ken Walker got.
And my only thing there is, why not Tyler Algier? If that's what you're going to do, why not?
I mean, this would have been a absolute grand slam. If the Seahawks had got Tyler Algier for
six million and brought back Rashid Shaheed and brought back Josh Job, it would have been like,
we're good. We're good. But Rashad White, let's take another look at kind of what kind of player he
is in case this does become real. So we talked about him a little bit yesterday. He is a guy,
there he is. He's a guy who has kind of had some different years as part of the Bucks. Last year,
he kind of split carries with Bucky Irving. He had 575 total snaps year before with 608. He has
had a year in 2023. This is before Irving where he had 959 snaps where he was like the main guy.
Last year, his PFF running grade was 80.9 or his offensive grade was 80.9. He had a 67.1 receiving grade,
which I think is important to keep in mind. He had a 87.2 run grade. Let's take a closer look,
a little bit at what's behind some of those numbers. So I'm going to get back to here for a second.
And let me pull open. Here we go. Sorry, let me pull this open. We're going to go to
rushing and we're going to look at the 2025 season. We're only going to look at halfbacks
and Rashad White, the way the rankings went for PFF, and you could take these or leave them. This
is just information, right? This is the PFF run grade, not the overall offensive grade,
but just the rushing grade. Devon Hian was number one with a 91 grade. Zach Charbonne was number two
in the NFL with a 90.3 grade. I don't know if a lot of people know that. Ken Walker was number three
with a 90.2 grade. So the CEOX had two of the top three graded runners in the NFL by PFF.
Number four was Rashad White, 87.2. He was ahead of Blake Korim, Cligh Kiron Williams, DeAndre Swift,
you know, all those guys. And when you look at what's kind of behind some of that,
his yards after contact per carry, per attempt.
And it's a little lower down than I thought. It's like 36. He's about, he's basically the same as
Ken Walker when it comes to yards after contact. yards after contact for Ken Walker was three point
oh, oh, Rashad White was 2.95. As far as mistackles forced, this one's a little bit harder because
I'd want to see it as a percentage of his attempts. So let's look at that 25. Well, he's got an
elusive rating. I'll look at that in a second. Um, he is, it was more of a gap's gap runner,
at least in terms of total runs than he was zone. That's just schematically.
Um, he's not a big breakaway guy. Let's just make sure I've got that right.
Breakaway percentage. Okay, that's interesting. Yeah, he was 16% breakaway percentage, which
way way lower than Ken Walker was 39%. Zach Sharman, he was 27%. So he's not nearly as
explosive in that regard as these two guys have been for the Seahawks. Um, his receiving numbers
are where things I think get interesting. Um, he had 40 receptions and 42 targets.
Is yards per out run is roughly essentially the equivalent of Zach Sharman A, which was about half
of Ken Walker. So he's just not, he's not the dynamic player that Ken Walker was.
Personally, I still am a key Mitchell guy as far as someone who could add some explosiveness
to the mix. But, um, you know, that's an interesting name for the Seahawks to continue to monitor.
Um, let me see if there's other new news before I keep going on my little
my little uh, so little equi here. Um,
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I don't know what Bob can do to just tweeted me out. I'm not sure I'm following it. Anyway,
it doesn't matter. All right, so,
or Sean White's interesting, I personally getting, let's get back to the position tracker.
I am more interested personally in Sean Tucker and in Keaton Mitchell.
If I look at their info here, let me see if I can pull up
Keaton Mitchell. One second here.
Okay, Keaton Mitchell. He had
certainly had a larger percentage of like a bigger yards after contact than
then Rashad White. And if this is breakaway percentage up here, yeah, it is.
From a breakaway percentage perspective, Keaton Mitchell was equivalent with Devon H.Anne.
46% breakaway percentage, which was higher than Ken Walker's 38.8.
I like explosive players. And I think Keaton Mitchell is young and has upside. He has injury issues.
He's going to be cheap. That guy is interesting to me.
It might also be worth monitoring what happens with Tray Benson for the Arizona Cardinals.
Who signs Tyler Algier and brought back James Conner.
Tray Benson is still early in his contract, so maybe they don't drop him.
But this is a guy that had a 51% breakaway percentage. And another guy that I mentioned that I'm
kind of like, I've always kind of liked, not as your main guy, but as a change of pace guy.
Is Amari DiMarcato for the Cardinals. He's 27 years old. He is a free agent.
He has had some crazy years in terms of yards after contact per attempt. Like, he was at 5.5 last
year. He was at 6.9 the year before. That is crazy. And his breakaway percentage was actually
57.4. Now, this is on how many, how many carries? I mean, 44 carries, which is not a lot.
But he's an explosive guy. I think he's an interesting player. He's also a good receiver.
Worth noting, this is just on four carries. But valus Jones had a 78% breakaway percentage
on his four carries with the Seahawks last year. Part of why I got excited because I'm like,
this guy's got juice. So anyway, we'll see. We'll see if any of those names come up for the Seahawks.
They clearly are going to add to the running back room. Who they add we will find out.
Someone saying that Isaiah Pacheco just signed. Yes. Tom Pelasara is reporting that the lions are
signing Isaiah Pacheco. So we don't have to, we're not going to see the, what do you call it?
The trade between the Seahawks and the chiefs at the running back spot. Let's go ahead and update
Pacheco. Take him off the board. He goes to the Detroit lions. I don't know. I'm not seeing,
not seeing a dollars value yet on that one. But that is another running back off the board.
Okay. So let's go back and talk about a couple of other things that kind of were, I think
different kinds of news yesterday. So one is the receipt sheet contract. I told you guys,
even though it's coming in at 17 million, I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up coming in
closer to 15 million. And based off the details of the contract, that's pretty accurate.
Like the first two years of Rashid Shaheed is around 15 million a year for the Seahawks.
So I think that's a screaming deal. I think it's a great price for them.
And then another deal that was, I think, very misreported was the Mike Evans deal. It was three
years, $60 million. But there's $16 million guaranteed. It essentially reads as a one year,
$16 million deal. That's a much different. I was very, very critical of a three year,
$60 million, a one year, $16 million deal for Mike Evans is a great deal. And I think the 49ers
did really well for themselves. With that deal, I still don't see the vision of how that makes the
49ers like the fact that Mike Evans thinks the 49ers are his best chance to win a championship.
I've got some curiosity about that because I look at the 49ers and I'm like, they still the worst
defensive tackle room in the NFL. The offensive line has some real questions and could be getting
worse. You got Christian McHaffrey, like the oldest offense in the NFL already.
Christian McHaffrey's turning 30. I just don't see it. I don't see it. I don't dismiss the 49ers
the way some people do. It's like, hey, we kicked their ass the last two games of the season were
so much better. They were missing Nick Bosa and Fred Warner. And if you even just add those two players,
I think those games are different. I don't think that they beat the Seahawks, but I think they're
different. Then George Kittle was out for one of those games. I'm not going to be a 49ers fan
here and do what they do, which is like, hey, if we had all our guys, like, yeah, but you never
have all your guys because you have old brittle guys. And they stay old and brittle. They actually
get older and more brittle. Or if you want to believe your substation stupidity, fine, whatever.
But I don't really see the vision for what the 49ers are trying to do. I thought they'd be
getting younger. Like what they did on defense last year made sense to me. They added a lot of young
players and they're trying to grow with them and get them good coaching. And I think that worked
out relatively well. I don't know what their plan is offensively, man. It's like basically Brock
Party is going to be a god. And these other guys are going to figure out how to stay healthy somehow.
And Christian McCaffrey is going to be able to handle that kind of load for another year at 30.
I don't know, man. I don't get it. I don't need to get it. But I'm not super high on what the 49ers
have done so far. What else? Let's actually do this. Let's look at the top 100 lists together.
Kind of in order.
Oh, my goodness. There we go. So this is, again, ranked by Greg Rosenthal's ranking of top 101
free agents, which is not the end all be all, but it's as good as anything else.
I think the Jalen Phillips deal is, has really shook the NFL. The fact that he got 30 million
APY has blown up some people's brains because now that's part of why you have Trey Hendrickson
still unsigned. He is sitting there thinking, I'm better than Jalen Phillips. And I should get
more than 30 million a year. And I think people are looking at him at age 32 coming off an
injury's written year. And they're like, no. And so I think Trey Hendrickson is kind of dealing with
having a reality check about what his price is really going to be. I still don't think the
sea ox are going to be involved for people that are curious. I don't think the sea ox are going to
be involved. But I am curious where that ends up or Trey Hendrickson. The Alec Pierce deal also
was a pretty big number, 28 and a half million. That one I kind of get a little bit more.
The Tyler Lindner bomb number where he reset the center market by like 10 million dollars more
APY than Creed Humphrey. I think is just an indication of how much the Raiders had to overpay
to get their top target, which I think it was smart of them to do. But that's a lot of money.
Interesting here, Devin Lloyd, who's the top kind of inside linebacker on the market.
He I think people he expected to get 20 million dollars a year. He ends up getting 15 million.
And one of the things that's important to understand, at least if you're if you want to learn
this stuff, is this is where positional value comes into play for things like draft picks.
So you look at this and you say, okay, the top inside linebacker in the draft got or in the
infre agency got 15 million per year. Then you have a guy like sunny styles in the draft,
who's like unbelievably athletic, talented, clearly top 10 top five pick talent.
But he plays a position that's not valued that much. So what that means is you use a top 10 pick
and you pay the slotted value of a top 10 pick for a player who plays a position that isn't that
expensive to get on the open market. Like you're better off in a lot of ways in the draft,
and some GMs think this way, I'm better off drafting a lesser player who plays a higher value
position like edge, like quarterback, like receiver, like corner back, whatever. At the top of the
draft, even if it means I'm taking a lesser player because value wise, I'm going to get a
better deal. Here's an example. You could take a receiver at that position that you know is not
as good of a receiver as sunny styles is as an inside linebacker. But what you know is what we just
saw was Rashid Shaheed. He just got 17 million a year and that's like the 30 of highest value for
receiver, which means that there's much, much, much higher values than 17 million a year can walker
got 15 million a year. He's the fourth highest paid running back. So getting a top 15 receiver
is a better value in terms of managing your money and where you spend it in the draft
than getting the top inside linebacker. Maybe that makes sense to you guys, maybe it's all gibberish,
but I think that that's, you know, this was another indicator of why some teams, you know,
approach different positions differently. Other signings, you've got the three Seahawks here
at 1011 and 12. We've talked about them. Elijah Verra Tucker goes to the Patriots. Interesting for
the Patriots. They move Jared Wilson to center as expected and they sign a new left guard. And then
they still have wool Campbell at left tackles. So I don't, I don't know if this really solves their
problem, but I understand what they're trying to do. You know, here are the bucks. There are three players.
They kept Kate Aughton, but lost Jamel Dean and Mike Evans. As we kind of go through this list,
Romeo Dobbs is going to be named to watch. She's probably the last, I think, name receiver to keep an eye on.
As we look through, you know, Tariq Woolen, I'm really curious what's going to end up there. Some
people are like, well, maybe he'll come back to Seattle. I don't think the Seahawks are going to bring
him back. I just think, I think they've moved on. I think they've moved on. And I wish Tariq,
well, I hope he gets a good deal. I hope he, you know, shows out somewhere, but he's got to be
wondering what's going on with his value. Sorry, I got distracted by new stuff coming down the
pike, but nothing, nothing critical here. I don't think the Seahawks are going to go after a safety,
like Nick Cross or something like that in free agency. I might be wrong, but I don't think so.
I am curious where Joanne Jennings ends up. I hope I certainly don't think it's going to be Seattle.
I'm like, that door is closed after signing where she'd she hid. Why it teller has been rumored
to the Texans. I know some people are curious about him for Seattle, but I don't think he's coming
here. Clay's Campbell. I mean, that would be fun, but I just, you know, I don't see that happening.
And actually, this was here's what the Arizona Cardinals last year.
There has been some talk that Joey Bosa has met with the San Francisco 49ers,
which is where I'd expect him to end up, but we will see.
The Bradley Chubb and AJ Pinesa names are two that are at least worth monitoring. We don't have
information on those guys yet. Zitler is a guy. We've talked about a million times for the Seahawks.
He's never been willing to come here for whatever reason.
And then I'm looking to see if there's anybody else really worth bringing up. I don't think they're
going to go into after any tight ends. Yeah. So that's kind of the top 100 list. And you can see
how many of the top 100 are already gone, which is a good, good indicator of Greg Rosenthal's
rankings. I mean, look at his top 33. There's only three players that haven't been signed.
And as you kind of, I do kind of a quick scroll through this. You can just see Witcher,
which has colors is which of the players have signed. This is the full like 900
person list. You see how sparse it gets as we go through this.
Yeah. So it's a big list. And I think Rosenthal did a pretty good job in his rankings.
All right. See, there's some super chats we're going to get to that. I'm going to talk a little
bit more about what's going on with the Seahawks as we start to get closer to wrapping up. But
Christian Clients actually has gifted five Hawk blogger memberships. Thank you. Christian,
very generous of you for doing that. Jay Z says, what are your thoughts on a manual Wilson?
Well, I mean, he's young. So I never, you know, super out on anyone who's a young running back.
I think he had a better year in 2024 than he did in 2025.
Not somebody that will cost a lot necessarily. But I can look at some of his numbers from like
in some of the advanced metrics to see where they show up there. He is, you know, for the snaps he's
gotten has been okay as a receiver. I had a decent success rate last year. He has a bigger back
at 510 226. I will do a quick look up here of where he shows up.
Yikes. Not a not a breakaway runner. He had one of the worst. He had literally the worst
breakaway percentage of any player with at least 300 carries or 300 snaps, I should say.
That's not good. I mean, it doesn't really get me that excited. I think I'd be much more
interested in some of these other players. How freaking says, can we talk about the 2022 draft for a
second? Charles Cross, Kenneth Walker, Boa Mafe, A. Blukiss, Rick Wolling, Kobe Bryant,
just insane, interested to know the average APY of this class. Yeah. This was another
review I was going to pull together. I didn't get it done for today. But yeah, I think somebody
was bragging about the Ravens draft class. I think I can pull that up here somewhere.
Ravens draft class draft 2022. I think it's how I'll find that.
Okay, yes. Ian Rappaport said the 2022 raisin draft class has collected 298.5 million
in contract extensions with Daniel Falele still available. And he's including the Kyle Hamilton,
the title in the bomb, all that kind of stuff. So 298 million for the 2022 draft class.
Curtis Rogers wrote the COX 2022 draft class has 295 million in contract extensions
with a Rick Wolling and a Rick Young still available. So I think by the end, the COX 2022 draft class
is going to certainly get more than $3 million additionally when you get to Rick Wolling
and to Rick Young in there. And so I think they'll be the highest grossing draft class from 2022
as they should be. So good question there. Let's see. Sorry, I'm looking at this.
We got a new member here in Skiff Feldsbar. Welcome. We got Coster 2K. Any chance we trade up for love
or he falls to us. So actually I keep people asking this. Like there's zero chance. I don't know
why people, he's going to be a top seven pick. Like the reason the chiefs went and signed Ken Walker
to the deal they did is because they don't think they're going to get love at the ninth pick or
the eighth pick, whatever it is. So there is zero, zero, zero percent chance. The COX are going to go
from 32 to where they would go to pick love. So I don't know why this keeps coming up. But no,
not going to happen. Papa Ted joins as a member. Welcome to you. Great to have you. Thanks for
joining. If you have not yet bought, we did not care. You can go to hawkblogger.com slash book.
Get it there. Always appreciate that. I may be doing a book signing on Thursday trying to figure out
coordination, but we'll see there. If you have not recently gone to simply Seattle.com.
Now is a great time. You can get Mariners gear. You can get Seahawks gear. Any Seattle sports gear
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Okay. Let me see if there are any other bits of news here.
I mean, there's a bunch of kicker news. Kyem Fairbaren signs a two year 13 million dollar deal
with the Texans. Interesting. There's a report here that the Cardinals pivoted to Gardner-Minshu
after talks with Jimmy Garoppolo hit a snag. Well, I don't know who that's worse for the Cardinals
or Garoppolo because they deserve each other. And the fact that Gardner-Minshu is now their guy
next to Jacobi Berset. Cardinals are in Hurtman in a bad way, man. I don't see the vision. I do not see
the vision. All right. We got a couple of their superchats that have come in. Then I'll check over
Venmo superchats. Convert Derrick to running back from horseboy. No, don't think so.
Excuse me. All right. Josh Dahuman says thoughts on the two Penn State running back,
Singleton and Allen. I think they're both solid options in the draft. Yeah, I mean,
there's not many guys in the draft that I'm excited about at the running back spot. I think it's
a pretty shitty running back draft class, to be honest. I think Jadarian Price getting as much
love as he's getting. No pun intended for his running back mate. I think it's just a sign of that
it's an okay. A couple players that are like loves great. Price is I think okay. And then there's
a bunch of like, I don't know, like not a lot of guys that get me excited. So I'm not super excited
about the running back draft class in general. I know people got excited about
you know, some running backs that ran well, that's all fine. But there is no way you can go
into this draft in my mind without signing at least one veteran back. So let's see what they do
there. Let's see what they do. All right. Let me check Venmo Superchats real quick so I don't
miss out on any of those. Do these at Venmo.com slash Brian Dash, NEMHOWSER. I mean, if Tim
Linsekum does it, you guys can certainly do it. Keep good company. All right, we got a couple
Superchats here. Nick Cullen says I recently put my buddy Skyler onto the Hawkblogger train.
But over the last few days, he started to panic and think the Rams are going to win the Super Bowl.
Can you tell Skyler to just relax? Skyler, relax dude, relax. Like the Rams,
why did the Rams lose to the Seahawks twice last year and almost three times?
It was because they had trouble stopping the run. It was because the special teams was a disaster,
punt returns, dropped punts. It was because they were not able to get the pass rush
at the times that mattered. And I mean Rashid Shaheed was a big part of it too.
And so I look at the Rams and I see a team that constantly decides that someone else's
fault that they've lost, that they don't really identify their own weak spots effectively
when it comes to defense and when especially when it comes to special teams.
And I think there are very formidable opponent, no disrespect there.
But to assume that the team that you beat two out of three times,
because they've made these trades for cornerbacks are all of a sudden going to be like
clearly better than you, I don't see it. I don't see it that way. This is something actually I
did want to share with you guys so I can pull this up.
Right. Okay. So this was something I shared yesterday, which was the starting 11
currently for the Seahawks defense. It is DeMarcus Lawrence, Leonard Williams, Byron Murphy,
either a Chenandoosu Derrick Hall, Ernest Jones, Drake Thomas, Josh Job, Nicki Minori,
Devon Weatherspoon, Julian Love, and Tio Cotta.
Those guys started games for you last year, almost all of them were your starters last year
for the number one ranked defense in the NFL. Tio Cotta is the only one that was not quote
number one on the depth chart. He started 11 games for you last year.
So this defense isn't going away and in fact, you should expect them to get better in most cases.
I think Byron Murphy is going to be better. I think Derrick Hall is going to be better. I think
Riley Mills is going to be better. Drake Thomas, like Nicki Minori, like go through this list,
I think they're going to be better. And I don't think they're done adding. I think they're going
to draft maybe another corner, maybe another safety, maybe another edge rusher. They might add
players. They might add Von Miller to this list. They might add other players to this list.
And this was already the number one defense in the NFL as it is. That's not going away.
Similarly, and this is probably a little bit more like something that people don't
respect, I guess is the word I will use. This is a similar look, but this is the offensive side,
the current starting offense for the Seahawks. Sam Darnold, Jackson Smith and Jigba, Cooper Cup,
Rashid Shaheed, AJ Barner, George Halani, Charles Cross, Grace Able, Jalen Sundell, Anthony Bradford,
Abe Lucas. Every one of those players started for you last year except for George Halani.
And that was the third best scoring offense in the NFL last year. And the franchises record
setting offense from a points perspective. They're not done yet either. They're going to add
running back to the mix. If Zack Sharman ends up being healthy and playing, you will be able to
put him in there. And I just told you he had the same PFF grade as Ken Walker. In fact, higher.
He's coming off a serious injury. Who knows how that will hold up for him. But my point being
the Seahawks are the hunted. The Seahawks are the hunted. They were the best team in the NFL.
They had the highest point differential by a long stretch. They lost their only games they lost
were by a combined nine points. The Seahawks don't need to get considerably better to be the
favorites to win the Super Bowl next year. In my mind, the Seahawks need to sustain.
And then they need to find places where they can grow internally largely. I think the biggest
place the Seahawks can make a step forward is an edge rush. I don't see the plan there yet. I'm not
sure they see it as the same priority as I do. They want a Super Bowl without having a dominant
edge rush. So we'll see. But the Rams. Rams are going to be tough. They are going to be tough.
But they also are heavily dependent on Matt Stafford at age 37 staying healthy again and playing
at an insane MVP level. He can continue to do that. The Rams are going to be tough out always.
But I look at the Seahawks and I'm like, there's waves still still waves of talent on that team.
And who knows what Jared Ivy becomes, Conroe tool becomes if Elijah Royo steps up.
Give me Rashid Shaheed with an entire offseason with one of the best deep ball throwers in the NFL,
Sam Darnold, or he can work with him through OTA's and Mini Camp. And they can have that connection.
Like, give me all that. I don't think we've seen the best of the Seahawks yet.
So that's what I would say to Skyler. Jacob Hickman, last one here, says, never got to say how cool
it was meeting you at the live event. Very much a star-struck moment. Thanks again for your work.
I appreciate it. I'm just anyone else. Like I'm a normal normal dude. I appreciate it. I will
hopefully, if I ever give you the impression that I think I am greater than anybody else,
please call me on it. I'm not a big believer in having the perspective that you're somehow
important because people know who you are, like, whatever. I talk on YouTube about the Seahawks,
whatever. But I appreciate the thought. I don't want to be dismissive, but hopefully I will
always keep that level of humility around this stuff. Okay. Let's see. I'm going to make sure there's
no other news that broke before I giants are signing, bringing back Mike McFadden.
Yeah, just a lot of kicker news. So with that in mind, I think what I'm going to do is I'm
going to wrap here, get people an audio version of this show because we didn't, couldn't do an
eight and a half hour audio version yesterday. And then I'll be back with Seahawks collective
tonight at 5 p.m. Pacific time. I'm seeing Fandool try to encourage the Seahawks to trade for
Devon H&N for a second round pick and a sixth round pick. They're not going to do that and give him
a contract that is going to be higher than potentially Ken Walker's. It's not going to happen.
It doesn't make sense. Why wouldn't you just pay Ken Walker as opposed to giving up a second
round pick and then paying more than you did for Ken Walker? I just, I don't buy it. Anyway,
that'll do it for this episode. I'll see you guys later today. Thanks for being on and have a great
rest of your day.
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