THE PLAYERS Championship 2026 🏝️ Betting Show w/ Matt Every

what's going on golf addicts welcome to the 2026 players betting preview we are pumped

it's one of the biggest tournaments of the year at TPC sawgrass it really it really

just starts to feel like it's a big deal now that pj tour is at sawgrass it's how you

know the season is really often running db here i got my boy pat parry is always fresh

off his tgl tour maybe a little bit about that later and as always mr mat every joins

us we're going to get into this action pretty quickly tonight but first of all boys how

we doing pat how how are you feeling after tgl i feel good you know dgl was it was fun

had a good time um i so let's say you went to the greatest tgl match in in his yeah apparently

hole in one to win it basically i mean it was uh what were you doing when it happened

did you see it i went there i left early he left early wasn't there i'm cam hole in one

wasn't there it's kind of you know like i will say the the whole tgl operation was top

notch everything like the tour they gave us of the technology and everything they're doing

and all of that it is it was it was a well put on show i thought it does kind of drag out a little

bit in person watching it and it's probably even i know it's not even near as good watching it on

tv like i thought it was pretty cool being there in person especially how how loud it got and

i would have loved to probably seen the hole in one but i was ready to go i'd also been there since

four o'clock and that match started at freaking non-clock so that's that's getting way past my bed time

when it was 10 30 and i left there so i'm that are you uh are you an irish goodbye kind of guy

yeah i would say i am all right who's the most irish goodbye kind of guy that you know

i feel like a lot of players are irish yeah i yeah i was going to say i think it's actually

fat yeah um pat is a huge irish goodbye guy and the fact that he irish goodbye tgl is not

as shocked to me he just said yeah tiger um

kisner future corn fairy tour star tom kin you know i'm i'm out i'm tired of this you guys don't

entertain me enough and i'm just going to disappear smoke bomb out i love that i love it well

it's perfectly on brand for you yeah it was it was just late but i will say i thought they

treated us great it was an excellent you know it was an excellent setup i liked it it's pretty

cool that technology that they have too we got to hit on it the next day the green was more it

was the most interesting to me was that how it would react to chipping around it and putting on it

it was it was um the ball checked up way more for me chipping than it normally does like any kind

of normal bermuda green so yeah it looks like fun we saw your instagram story so

rats uh you got to meet meet pat me oh and fineberg um idony and key steward down there um will gray

in the gang on the pj tour good good group of guys there looks like yes at fun glad you got to

do it saw your fist bump with kis and and your hay to tiger which was very all of that was really

a tough it was tough to watch yeah look i enjoyed it car accident but i had to it's okay yeah okay

yeah it was very for play it was like it was very barstool for play when they first started and they

had like never been to a pj tour event before but they were given all the access in the world to

like meet players in the parking lot remember how rigs which is video himself standing in the parking lot

yes this bump come on it wasn't like nick or whatever they were there did you fist bump them

no not really they weren't very friendly to me uh that's unfortunate maybe they didn't like you

getting in on their tiger fist bumping action or whatever i don't know you know they're

really kids so anyway all right let's move on to all right moving on moving on we uh mad did you

did you hit a winner last week uh i don't think so no pat did you know did you

you also know yeah i did not either um we suck at this you know we suck and and you know sometimes

it takes it takes great listeners to just keep us you know to just knock us down a peg you know what

i mean yeah and um right before the show it was brought to my attention i just got this i just

i just was past this note i just got past the note from one of our producers that um we had a great

email come in from a listener and i thought why don't we just share that that's amazing that's

awesome so we can just talk about it together guys this is of just a real friendly email um so i'll

put up on the screen it says what's up guys just writing to say thank you we've been fading most

of the golfers you guys pick every week and betting the guys you say to fade more cow is looking

great this is on Thursday afternoon by the way thank you for fading that guy also fitsy looks god

awful thank you for your trust in him the laugh out loud we're about up we're up about four x

since we started listening to this atrocity that's strong words for what is it there's a strong

word i find we've had stronger but that's you know uh especially in light of this week's news

Dana burger was always the play on tight bermuda uh real quick who who won this week actually

yeah god that was burger thank you again for being so bad at this we loving it

and i i he didn't say this but i picture this because there's one two three four there's four

ha ha's in here so i see this as like a maniacal ha ha yeah and and then i love how he ended it he

just said dumbasses one word with a period i really love that he added the period yeah that

reminds me of like a pat parry that's a pat dad text pat's dad is infamous for just like

sending you a text with one word and then he requires that you just fill in the rest of whatever

he's thinking yeah with like nine other words when he sends you the one text with the period

maybe it was your dad pat is he a good ad bit of in yeah he plays no he he does he does the

i mean he could be having a bad year and really pissed off at us i don't know um

you know it must be this guy's first time listening to our show it's got to be yeah well

matt matt what do you want to say do you have anything to say you're just can't i like i i can't

imagine being getting that aggressive over something like this like yeah what i i hope whatever's

wrong in his life he fixes or gets figured out because it's not this there's it's just crazy that

you can get that worked out to come off with that kind of aggression at something like this like

none of us are going out of our way to try and piss anybody off this is it's it's just it's ridiculous

yeah well he's definitely not you don't have money troubles because we know we're telling him

for it yeah he's for as he can't have money troubles it's got to be something else usually it's

it's like you're not getting laid or money troubles one or the other so maybe let's move on to TPC

i hate i hate it for that guy but hopefully maybe this week we can turn around listen nobody wants

to turn around better than more you know than me and matt and pat like we'd all love to hit a winner

yes yeah and this is a great week to try to do it literally one of the most difficult weeks of

the year to try to figure out yeah that's just gonna win or do well in this golf tournament that

that is uh that is actually very true so let's look at uh bet the number let's look at the course

page talk through a little bit about TPC sawgrass uh you know the seasons first major some have said

some will say some are saying you know starting to catch a little steam um we don't subscribe to

that here i don't know about matt but we don't we don't subscribe that here it's a great tournament

great field but we refuse to say this is a major the stadium course peat die um i can't stand

peat die uh me and pat have played this golf course um and it was an absolute blood bath

matt what's uh what's your best score here like and what like what's your memory like what's your

favorite memory about TPC sawgrass uh i never really played well here i might have had

like a top 25 maybe once um just too many my game was never sharp coming into here maybe one or

two years and i didn't play well then and uh too many foul balls off the tee to compete here

favorite memory this is cool playing in a man i mean if you're a kid growing up wanting to play

on the pga tour you dream about playing in the players championship because there's some identity

to it like 17th hole it's the same every year um so just getting my name announced on the tee like

every year it was super special to play in that tournament i don't think it's a fifth major i

think it stands on its own i think hyping it up as a fifth major is just dumb what are we doing um

how many how many water balls did you rents on 17 year career i don't think i ever have i

i don't think i've ever hit one in there wow that's cool yeah what about 18 what's what's

what was scarier 18 shot on 17 or 18 oh 18 not even close especially if you you had to hit it

where it meant something like to make there you know you're on the cut line on on the last day or

even if you are on like 20th place on sunday that t-shot means a lot you know um what about the shot

on 16 like i always thought the approach on 16 was terrifying because i mean obviously you can bail

out left but yeah all down the right side and i've seen balls go long and like roll through that

green and off the back yeah that's something into the world though because you then you just drop

in your putting for four if you're going for it too um i like 16 great all perfect length like

everyone can get there um i think it's it's a good hole that second shot never really scared me

a ton though i i like to fade at 18 for faders tough i think faders on this golf course in general

are just a little bit of a disadvantage um but that's just me interesting take

looking uh looking here at the last five years of the players championship your winner last year

of course was rory mackerel roe scottie won the two years prior camp smith before him r ip and

jess and tomas in 2021 um rory winning it at 12 under last year i was looking at the top five on

this on the on the bt inside here it seems like 21 through 24 is pretty much like a who's who

of studs but it was kind of weird to look back at last year and just remember that rory won

in a playoff over jj and this is before he went on his run uh and then following that was luca's

clever okshay who had not quite lit the world on fire just yet and then tom hogie who we know

how he's a ball striker but i mean just looking at this board it was like kind of crazy to see the names

here whereas if you look at other years it just looks like a who's who of studs and major champions

um what what do you you know we talk about the randomness at saw grass there's definitely some

volatility here that's for sure what do you chalk that up to like is it just what p died does you

visually in like the trouble um or is it something else like what what is it about this tournament that

just creates so much volatility in chaos probably probably some of that is the amount of trouble

out there i mean there's an opportunity for disaster pretty much everywhere on that course

and then it's not about you know it's you don't yeah it's not one of the longer courses on tour so

it brings everyone into play with that right there um i do think like i was looking at the model

a little bit earlier today because i was i had some time to look at it and um it's

you know i was kind of doing my own thing on there and trying to weed out like what i thought

you have no change you have no chance at winning here if you're poor in one category and i think

if you're really poor off the tee you're you're done um i think approach play is massive here

obviously like obviously but i think you can kind of weed out some of those guys there on the dark

red and maybe even slightly a little less uh but i think approach play is big here big time i

don't know if it's going to be super firm this week i was looking at weather uh have you

looked at it it looks pretty pretty dry and not that big of a deal like maybe a little rain late

on thursday maybe a little rain late on sunday but it doesn't look like a lot it looks really nice

honestly like all week it rained a lot i i know they got the all kinds of systems out there

yeah it rained a lot this weekend here did they have that bay hill that they got we know we got

two do they have subair under the fairways there or no i think they do

pretty sure they do i feel like i saw that there was some chance for some windy i thought

thursday friday there was chance chance for rain yeah a little bit of wind thursday but i mean

it's not crazy though like i'm looking at it i think there was some gust a few gusts in there

yeah um and that's been weather wise presented by pat parry right there yeah there we go

don't want to get into it um i mean overall like it's just the tea degree like no holes in the

boat tea degree you don't have to be an elite putter here right at you would you say like

kind of like last week accuracy just off the tea matters more than anything and then it's like hit

those mid irons well yes and then scramble when you need to that's and it's and it tends to be a

who's who in terms of winners here like it just produces big winners big names i feel like

outside of jj spawn almost last year right i mean that's kind of what we say i feel like scrambling

not something to necessarily just gloss over having played this golf course but but obviously not

well um but there are a lot of shots around the greens that you can get creative on and even score

you know if you like for instance whole nine you know the par five i mean if you if you go for it um

and end up you're gonna end up in some sort of weird lie or something it's hard to hit that green

into but if you hit a good if you scramble and get up and down you that's a birdie hole so

i feel like there there's definitely some spots around the green where if you're scrambling

really good that week um you know you're gonna you're gonna save some shots and also maybe pick up

a few shots on the field yep yep i agree with that and and that's you know when you look at the

bet the number model um scrambling gets a decent weight obviously a lot of approach the key

approach bucket that one 25 to 200 range um distance from the edge of the fairway is a is a factor

and it's a stat we don't see a lot come out of bet the number but the the gurus behind the data

and behind the numbers there added that this week out you know i guess it's like how do you how do

you measure the the size of your miss out here maybe is what they're trying to go for um there's

you know there's some comp putting uh courses that they they they pull from they give that a

little bit of weight not a ton uh i mean Matt would you say these greens are like i mean they're not

they're just so pure right they're really not they're not that grainy at this point and they're

not florida brimuda it's just pure yeah like it's just gonna do it yeah just like that well

they'll be a little greener than last weeks yeah like sunday was looking white out there a little bit

okay so top of the board mr scottie sheffler who uh continues to struggle

uh on his way to teach 24 finish almost through his arm out uh uh at that bay hill just toss

involves left and right getting pissed that is one thing that always just like kind of jars me

about scottie i don't listen i'm not saying i don't i don't love the fire i i like seeing the

competitor come out and i love that it's just not like constant you know i'm the greatest right now

out of whatever but it is kind of jarring how he he seems to get like disproportionately mad at

himself yeah just weird yeah i agree well when you have those kind of skills i feel like every every

time you would get mad at yourself would be disproportionate yeah yeah i mean yeah i guess that's

true but i mean two weeks in a row he loses strokes on approach and mad every just said that's

the most important stat here are we nervous about plus 4 30 scottie sheffler right now in the

outright market yeah or will he figure it out the two-time champ will he figure it out i'm not

touching on there you guys not i mean i'm i wouldn't bet it anyway no but i mean look at his record

here it's like mid last five years miss cut t 55 win win top 20 and basically irrelevant he was

he was eight shots out of the lead last year yeah i don't like so it it it um but then right after him

you have rory who is who said today he's staying at home at hashtag jupelife for a little bit to work

with the physio and try to get this back situation worked out and may not show up upon a vjr till Wednesday

i'm worried about a possible rory withdrawal and then if you don't have your outrights in

the market's going to shrink and before you know it more cow is going to be

8 16 to 1 and not 21 to 1 you guys think rory teased it up this week or what are we doing with that

i think he teased it up i don't i'd still be a little nervous um based off of just not you know

the unknown i'm distracted because you know db i went all the way back to figure out the last time

that scottie sheffler lost strokes on approach two weeks in a row and it was 2021

fine good 2021 and he's lost strokes the last two tournaments

god that's right that's unreal that doesn't say sorry yeah rory i don't know i'm not i'm not i'm

just not gonna play him i'm not i can't i i would need to know more about what this injury is

just a withdrawal on a saturday and if it was if he was messed up enough to withdraw

you know i would say he was in contention i mean he was what was he yeah

in the top 15 going into a saturday when he bailed what was he at he's doing well yeah

burger was uh it's burger 13 i think rory was four maybe i don't know either way

where i'm going with this is clearly it was bad enough to where he had to bail that day

i would i wouldn't be crazy about him you know his stats going through bay hill

to win he withdrew he was really good off the tee and on the green but his approach he was losing

like two shots on his approach there um not that he can't fix it but with the injury i don't know

i don't see anything attractive about taking him this week yeah i feel like two rory is like

what the type that he's going to battle through on around even if he's got an injury he's not

a type to just withdraw um unless it's something that's really bad on him so because i don't

i don't feel like i've seen him withdraw too many times in his career yeah other than a fairly

significant injury yeah i don't see him as a chronic he's not a jatgar they said it was the second

ever withdraw wow okay i didn't i didn't realize it was that little but yeah okay i you know

this is a dumb question but i guess i'm blessed that i've never experienced it

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I don't know what back spasms actually are like what are they actually

they like lock you up they like come out of nowhere I've had them none recent usually when I'm

chunkier I get them I would I would agree with that are we saying maybe Rory's put on a few LB

no Rory's week and twig those guys a lot of those guys when they warm up it's a full on workout

they warm up and Rory's one of those guys and he just tweaked it doing something in the gym

that's all it was back in your like hey day what was your warm-up I had this dude named Craig

Davies he's a trainer he's still out there he's we had a nice little lineup it was myself

grand-to-let Kevin Chapel honor me and some you'll know legend and maybe one other one other guy

but Chez Revy and he was awesome he worked he worked all six of us out but pre-eternimate

a lot of like body weight stuff a lot of movement patterns always wanted to break a sweat before

I did any kind of stretch and so on the bike till I start perspirating and then kind of just a

a movement routine and then maybe a little bit of weights but nothing crazy

okay all right that's that's that's good man I'm proud of you for that I was a little better

in I thought what do you think of it I was a little I thought you're gonna just be like I don't

know Miami and Spencer Levine like we ripped a cigarette and we've been over and touched our toes

for a minute and then we like did a little twist like this a couple of those and then we we went

off and ripped it the pen and there was probably some Sunday rounds like that you know out of

the contention to express yeah it's the YouTube special only okay um as we all right so who's

the first guy so we've eliminated the top two I think it's time to dip our toes in the water

and get some outright before Rory possibly doesn't sound like we think he's actually gonna

withdraw pre-eternimate but just in case we could get a little bit longer longer numbers on some

of these guys at the top we talked about how we think the you know the winner here is usually

a top stud guy usually arrives informed not really having to find it mr. Pat Perry who's the

first name on the board you're clicking you know I think I think it's Ludwig for me oh

we ate the one one one tournament and you're back in no I mean he had a T20 the week before I mean

I know it's a short field of Genesis but yeah one tournament I'm back in you know I saw him in

person D.V. he had teach you how he hit so great into that screen let me tell you he did he hit

fantastic well you saw him compared to corn fairy tour player the year next year Tom Kim so it's

not not hard to well the numbers last week were great I mean everything off the tee is ball striking

was the best it's been in several months I mean since like the opening you're just a one one

tournament and you're right back in that right line just has my back as you absolutely swooning

yeah okay so Ludwig for me would be the first one I would start with there's a few in the stadium

course does seem like it was like built for Ludwig for his like overall game demeanor what he

like just robotic they're mad and play out of what is that my Pablo yeah yeah he's he's around

that area a lot I mean I don't know if that's a good thing I think home games are at the TPC I just

think home in general well TBC he ain't playing there during the air because it's a six hour round

and it's covered it's drenched balls not it doesn't play anything like it's playing this week

so you can you're hitting totally different clubs off the T's not really getting anything out of it

but I think that's overrated I think that's almost a disadvantage because these guys are creatures

to have it and that's weird for them sleeping in their own bed playing in a golf tournament they're

used to sleeping in hotels man dude maybe we need to rent a cabin for our turn in this just so we

can play better maybe that's our problem is we're sleeping in bed maybe all right Matt who's

the first name for you I see who for me 24 to 1 yeah yeah sweet pants he's playing well he's won

here before yeah I mean I think this is a really good spot for him has it won obviously this

played really well this year he's got five top 15s in seven starts but maybe maybe we're

seeing a more mature sea blue as he ages and gets into fatherhood and that could maybe that

goes a long ways for us I think he could be a real threat this week yeah little Theo little

little Theo Kim you think sea blue looks at Scotty chuck and balls in the water in the crowd and

just goes no he's looking at him and giggling his tits off could not agree more I mean see who's

going to be pretty chalky this week in DFS and whatever format but at 24 to 1 I'm willing to take

it a guy who's not afraid a guy who's won here before as like a you know like 15 year old I don't

think you drive himself to this golf tournament when he won guys got stones and Pete died as a

scaram he makes Pete die his bitch this week again and takes it down at 24 to 1 I completely agree

I am also interested in two other names I would say near the top and you know despite our

friend's email he clearly wasn't listening one of the names that I liked last week but I said

it I said I just didn't know if I could get there because of the number and the other two guys

near him that I liked but I liked him was Colin more Kawa this week I think I'm I think I'm

fully in it's a it's a it's a a hate click to bet him because I don't like him personally but I

think I'm fully in on I know I'm fully in on more Kawa and sea blue starting the card fifth

place finish it at API I mean his irons are just literally peak more Kawa right now again

Matt ever just said irons are key at TBC sawgrass they're they're key every week but there is

they are especially key here and you know he's one of the most accurate driver to the ball

in this tournament I'm I'm very much in on Kawa more Kawa at 20 to 1 or 21 to 1 to start it off

what do you guys think about Colin so neither one of you picked him you you you bypassed him for

Ludwig against well he was close for me he was he's definitely probably one B up there I do

like Colin a lot I feel like the numbers okay there at 20 and a half to one weird DK numbers

that they keep putting out yeah but yeah you're right I mean he's just playing really solid

golf you know with the win a few weeks ago then follows out up with T7 fifth last week I mean

he's got a good history here which is you know with two top 15s and his last three which is weird

I mean it's hard to find like some sort of consistency on a course history standpoint here there's

always some trip up so I it doesn't bother me that you know there's some bad performances here

because it's like that for everybody was it the year that we got shut down for Kawa that he

or was that a year before when he shot like a great first round here and then it just kind of

I think you're thinking of Hadecki Hadecki was like six under yeah I guess that was

that COVID year yeah yeah you got your Asians mixed up buddy it's okay

sorry man all right I'm gonna ask you a question but but so the question is

everybody from Cam Young and shorter so I I showed that at like 32 to 1

all the way up to Scotty who is not winning the golf tournament before you answer before you

answer our friends about the number continue to outdo themselves the whole hangout ladies and

gentlemen we have a big announcement the whole hangout which I am adding a the pre tournament

visual to the screen right now on YouTube if you're watching but the whole hangout is something they

developed starting a couple weeks ago and and they have notified us that it will be on every single

hole of the golf tournament all four days these boys are putting in the work to take it down

in terms of live odds so every single day once we get pin positions you can go to bet the number

you can click on any hole you want and see the pin position and get all the data you could ever

dream of getting to make a live bet the groups are up top so you'll see the groups coming up next

who's who's in that group you can click on that group and get data you can see implied odds for

birdies par bogies greens and reg the average proximity for that whole location once we know it

you can see historic weather setups wind yardage this is an absolutely insane tool

that they're putting together couldn't be more proud of those guys for putting together and

they're pumping it out this week the the whole hangout is going to be unbelievable I was texting with

Ryan about the number who came on the show a couple weeks ago and I said dude I mean they continue

to clean up in our discord they they had a huge week again for bay hill after kind of a quiet

week the week before it cognizant as a give me some data on the on the year so far so

since since pebble well over a 62% hit rate on round score bets Riviera they were 72% ROI

overall on Riviera and people made a ton of money betting players to hit the green entire

groups to miss the green on whole six at Riv they had a 560% ROI on that bet player in whole

scores field whole props like on number 10 Saturday at Riv like huge numbers Arnold Palmer last

week they went 18 and nine for a 65% ROI on player round score props unreal stuff the the live

betting is going to be fantastic so get involved bet the number also they added this feature last

week which I'm showing on screen you can now see the custom model data in the matchup screen once

the tournament goes live so when you're watching live you can click on your groupings top right it'll

pull the groups and you can see how they compare through the custom model so if you're betting a

player in that group or against the player in that group it's even easier now click the link in

the description for bet the number golf calm give it a try you get a seven week free trial you

might as well get it for free this week of the players we're just crushing it in these live

betting markets it's it's unreal and the custom models every week Ross by the way I did do my own

custom model for the players and I changed it quite a bit I looked at my model last year it did

pretty well didn't have JJ spawn but it did pretty well I changed a little bit you can also see

my model if you want to look at a different public model all right who is not winning the golf tournament

boys up at the top I'll start with you Matt who's for sure not winning I'm gonna say Scotty I don't

think he's winning oh see big big balls and countdown there all right go ahead

yeah dude he could find it in a second and gain like six strokes on approach but everybody

cooked well didn't he hurt one year and win it he was back speaking of an injury still won the

damn golf tournament um for me is Zander I just I don't I don't think Zander he's had some good

performances here but I don't I just don't feel like he quite has it all put together yet he was

he had some good rounds last week but to me up at that range he's the one I don't I would feel

the most competent that is not going to win um I will take I'll take Cam Young I he's the

he's at the longest part of this range but three of the last four year three of the four years

he's played this tournament he's lost strokes off the tee if you get to a golf tournament that

restricts his ability to just absolutely overpower a golf course which I think this golf course does

then I think the rest of his game is is is kind of mid if he can't use that driver as the weapon

that he that he typically can so I think I'm out on Cam Young um I do have one more name

up here I want to talk about what do you guys think the Russell Hindley 27 to 1 very accurate

decent finishes here playing well irons are a little suss at the moment but what do you think

of Russell I don't hate it I don't hate it he's not on my he's not on my list but uh I do not hate

that pick at all now I mean I think for me the top 10 or top 20 feels a little better I just don't

know if I see a victory here but um he does have all the you know his game should translate pretty

well here um you know he he had I wouldn't say struggled to start the year but I mean he wasn't

doing great I mean after last year where he was he was just had a really solid year but then the T6

last week kind of started getting me thinking about him a little bit more this week

yeah I mean he finished eight at the mx2 so he's got a couple top 10s I think I think

Hindley's interesting um the iron plays a little concerning but we'll see where I get to

for the week for the week it's going all right working on the board Matt who's who's the next guy

little worried about him off the tee right now he finishes like it's a coin flip he finishes with

two hands on the club uh but Hadecki is going to be my next one at 38 to 1

off the tee stuff is weird it's been bad all day but it is trending it is trending he uh you know

obviously the approach nice approach play but the pat you touched on a little earlier I don't

think you can discount scrambling here either and that's just a part of his game I know that in this

community it probably gets talked about but to the general public you do not think of Hadecki

met Siamma as a world class scrambler and he is yep yeah it's all I go I could get down with that

yeah is he now it was not on yours now he is I the off the tee thing just worries me though but

but it is it is trending and he's always kind of figured it out here he's got a good record here

yeah he does he does I don't know you know Pat's burn from from waste management with him yeah that

really sucked the same for Matt you haven't had him too oh yeah that's right I don't know I was kind

of like a men we leave but oh I feel like Matt you've sort of taught me out of him just with his

some of the inconsistency how in the world does he have a second of 12 and a six in his last three

and he's 89th in the B.D. and model I want to look at something on him I like I just can't

I can't picture Menwool Lee doing anything here other than remember we saw him Pat didn't we see

you know he has picked up on accuracy a little bit yeah he's improved I saw him also at TGL last week

I mean dude the last 20 rounds according to Beth the number at the last 20 rounds he's hitting 60

basically 64% of his fairways which is above average for on tour which he I don't I'm pretty sure

he did not typically do that yeah if I look at the last hundred rounds so if I zoom out that's

probably what two years maybe maybe less last hundred rounds he's hitting 56% of his fairways

so he is he has definitely gotten more accurate and maintained 186 mile an hour average ball speed

that is concerning which I was a main issue right with him yeah that was really the only issue

well that I remember watching him one of the first years he played here and he had a lot of

irons off the tee he did having irons he didn't always hit driver but doesn't but didn't

it still feel like he had a big miss here or like he did a big miss no he did whenever he pulled out

the driver driver it was look like a mistake was about to happen but that was three times

he's finished 20th last year 54th in 2024 and 6th in 2023 but when he did it in 2023

he lost seven strokes approach and he gained 7.7 putty which is how yeah maybe he maybe we

have a new men who maybe we have men newly and he's figured out how to hit it in the short grass

that could be dangerous I didn't notice that until literally live just now that he's improved

on the accuracy side I still don't think I'm ready to take him here but that is something to watch

well in that same area I mean I think you could immediately go back to oxay at 43 to 1

to win back to back I mean he's he's been you talk about a guy that's great scrambling around

the greens you know his putter last week was just absolute fire he's never had a putting

around like that before but he is a good putter in general I think regardless of what you tell

he's doing you anchor it but yeah well I know that's what I was about to say regardless of what

you think he's he's a good putter what do you guys think I think he anchors it so what it looks

like I mean I used to anchor I don't think he does it every time but I think he definitely anchors

it sometimes it's just hard to like it's not really a clear rule I mean it is a clear rule but

they they seem to allow for some ambiguity they're like you can't necessarily ambiguity

and I just made up a word didn't I sweet you mean ambiguity ambiguity yeah I love catching fat

mispronouncing I was looking at his week last week I was hoping to see a trend and

there kind of is like off the tee round one he was terrible he lost almost four strokes off the

tee in round one lost just over one in round two basically neutral to the field in round three

and then gained almost a stroke in round four so literally improved every round in terms of

stroking off the tee at API he just had a really bad round one maybe that's one or two holes

I don't know but other than that his stroking off the tee has been pretty solid

but that's like the one glaring thing from last week that looked really bad was round one

or was stroking off the tee I have actually down on my card too yeah

can y'all can y'all taught me off of Fitzpatrick for like the seventh week in a row can anybody do

that thought about it but I didn't put him down definitely definitely crossed my mind

dang it that doesn't help man I mean I think about you know if you look at the off the tee he's

kind of middle of the pack in the model his putting hasn't really been that great I mean he's a lot

he gained strokes last week at the API but he's lost strokes in like four straight I mean he

doesn't rank that high but I just I don't know what it is okay Matt talk to us about your boy

that uh that that squandered it away yesterday I'm sure you're sure you have that was also

on Dana Burger tough to watch I wanted him to win that turn of it um just because I thought it'd be

cool to have his name on that trophy and I know it'd be the biggest win of his career too um

I got nothing man I sucked sucked watching him lose uh it's a crazy game he had that thing

for 71 holes and just just ran out of gas I don't know I was a that ending sucked for me

what about um so I mean burger has played here seven times

and I think this is hard to do he's played here seven times how many miss cuts do you think he has

zero yes zero miss cuts here which is that's hard to do yeah that's very good there you don't

see that a whole lot in this field and I mean on this course in the field too and I mean

uh two two T9s and a T13 and a T20 last year um so definitely you would have you would imagine

feels pretty comfy around here Matt I mean are you how do you think he bounces back after that

I mean he's a veteran he's one before I mean he probably bounces back from that pretty easily

or you don't like him because he's a little kind of local or why is that local yeah um yeah yeah

he's too black I don't know how he's gonna handle that like he walks around with his chest out

and kind of let that one go last week um so I don't know uh obviously his games and a good spot man

he rolled a good last week that that putter look swings really good in his hands they showed a ton of

like low angle shots with him from eight you know eight to ten feet and that thing was just

tracking every single time uh I was not I kind of guessed when I said zero miss cuts when you said

that but you're intriguing me now saying that um I heard what he said after the round

it sounds like sports psych talk to me what he said I mean there's no telling what he was really

feeling inside um but I think that's a tough one to bounce bounce back from man I mean that's

a big tournament he just lets a signature event yeah yeah like that is a massive you're getting

your name on a trophy with Tigers name all over it like that's a massive event and Matt

every's name wow whatever you know do you know what I'm saying like it's just a big it's a big loss

I don't know and it's been a while since he's been in that spot like it has and we've been kind of

expecting it or he's you know ever since last year we really started playing better um it's felt

like the win was coming and he's probably thought the same way all of us that talk about this

every week he's probably thought look this win the win is coming and then he almost had one and

they win away so I think that that could affect him a little bit this week but I do still like him

I think he's he's definitely got everything working for to have another good week back to

back yeah let's keep it moving good man we're deep in this thing right now we're not even

well you're even to the bombs yet I know I don't have a ton of bombs because I'll either I just

feel like it's the players and you got to be a dog and you got to come in this thing ready to go

and the last name that I actually feel like really confident about that I like a lot is

Sep Strocco just to see what Sep's done coming out early he's like right back to vintage

Sep had the baby in the offseason you know first tournament AMX just knocking the rust off

missed the cut I don't care and now he's popping off and and you know he's usually a fairly accurate

player off the tee but the irons is where he makes his money and the irons that look pretty nice

so he's got good finishes here at 55 to 1 a guy who's won a bunch on tour he's contended in

majors I don't I don't mind Sep at all that's the last one that I really really like there's a

couple others that I'm like I could do it but the rest of them are probably top 20s for me

I like I have Sep on my card too I also have Adam Scott at 59 to 1

I think that was the next I was going to be the next one for me too all right so there's consensus

on Adam Scott yeah he's got some time I know I said this isn't like a I think home games are

disadvantaged Adam does not live here but he spends time here quite a bit when he's not

like if he don't want to go back to Switzerland he's he'll he'll hang in jacks for a couple weeks

and practice so he's familiar with the area and man he's playing we're gonna go off right now

here he is he's 20th in DB's model he's just name in the BTN model so oh he is okay well I don't know

did you see that stretch he had it was on Saturday on like I think it was

13 to 16 maybe with his putter it was it was like scary bad he hit one on 15

no dude to like three feet and three putted and none of them hit the hole like the first two

where did not touch the hole for three feet he could have a really nice tournament if that little

little stretch was just cleaned up right there that would have been on Friday when he lost

two and a half strokes putting just looked at it on about the number he gained strokes everywhere

else are all all other rounds and it was yeah Friday must have been Friday yeah I think he's playing

nice I did have him checked as a possible outright if I can fit him on the card I'm you know with

more cow and seaweed up there but definitely like a big number I'm almost two to one top 20

feels really good everybody else below here pat do you have anybody else on the outright side

that you're interested in no I mean I think I'm really the furthest I went down was Adam Scott I mean

I just don't see anybody else that's a longer shot that it's that's gonna win we did all

those have JJ spawn line I know Matt you got more bombs don't I got one more guy Cory Connors

at 96 to one woo that's something isn't that heavy for him well yeah but he's been playing terrible

yeah but he's he's please awesome here yeah there's a great close for him terrible I don't know

I'll take a flyer but he hasn't looked like I dude listen I am a massive Cory Connors sucker I've lost

tons of money betting on Cory Connors over the years but let me let me lose some this week

yeah well he's not looking like vintage Cory Connors at all I mean like normally vintage Cory Connors

is like dark green off the tee and approach you're like oh my god how does this guy finish outside

the top six every week and then it's just like he can't he's like deep deep red putting and

chipping but like right now he's not even hitting his iron as well like he concerns me but I think

Cory something's going on Cory let me let me try to help you you try to help me check him off my card

maybe I'll maybe I'll maybe I'll maybe I'll put in Aaron Ryan 100 to one instead of Cory

Aaron Ryan is checking a lot of boxes yeah Aaron Ryan feels like this year's potential JJ spawn

he's he's the one that I would probably because I'd just started to look and now you said Cory

Connors because he's right next to him but I think Aaron Ryan could be one that jumps up there

and shows up on that leaderboard at some point yeah um what about some top 20 bombs I have a

big I'll go first that I all right I got to uh Mack Meisner plus 360 I know that's not four to

one but it's close enough for around enough yeah um and then Joel Damon plus four 15

Joel and Gina reuniting I heard that yeah um that's got it that's got to be worth you know happy

you at least a bet for the boys you got to you got to ride with that I got a couple here

you know I had an outright last year do you remember this on Alex Somali to win and he was up

there on yeah with the chance to win and then had a terrible Sunday but yeah he's um he's been

playing okay um ended up T14 last year but he's plus 400 for top 20 and then I got to go with my

Godbud Colley plus 405 had a T6 last year finished 18th last week at the API good little spot for Bud I

think to maybe get a top 20 I don't hate the blood collie play I don't hate any of those I don't

hate the Joel D play um I got real I got real loose in in turn four here on the on the bomb um

and you know what if you listen to the show enough and you you know you're you're not a douche can

do like the guy that messaged us earlier and you listen to the whole show you've heard me probably

bet this guy a couple times is bomb top 20 so just because listen it's some of this an emotional

pick because he's a good he's a friend of the Torjunk he's always been a good dude to the

Torjunk he's he's never big timed us like a lot of guys will big time you sometimes um he can get

nuclear hot he can he's a multiple winner on tour he's a southern boy who loves him some Bermuda and

uh and he can also be really really really really shitty at the game of golf which is why he's plus

1150 in a guesses of uh Chris card close yeah no because you you have him earlier this you don't

know Chris card I think you had him earlier this year uh Kazir yeah I'm a sucker for I'm a sucker

for like a 10 to one top 20 or longer pack desire yeah he's plus 1150 just finished 13th at the

cognizant like he can pat and we'll just do something weird and f around and like be winning this

thing comes Saturday and then it'll finish like t 21 but he could win it he could be winning it on

Saturday so I'm I'm in on cuz I are plus 1150 he's played here five times or six times let me see

never he's he's only missed one cut he's never top 20 he's best finished his top 22 t 22

but he's he's only missed one cut didn't we walk nine holes out here with him one yeah yeah

Matt you know Pat oh yeah Rua it's great great dude huh god he's just a bad man his

caddy actually Dean runs a handicap and service called dynamite handicap oh yeah we've had

Dean we've had Dean yeah he's he's still have season made me that earned my bag he's got yeah I know

do I know Pat and I am obsessed with his uh tantrums he has yeah that's what I was gonna say

we de-underrated that that was what I was gonna say when you mentioned cuz I already is that we

might get to see him but it might be because of a tantrum that he's throwing it's not necessarily

yeah he's like American seaweed let's do let's do the card segment

Matt is like so done with this he's ready to go now he's keeping us on track he's just keep us on pace

here DB this is gonna turn into an hour and a half podcasts if I don't

well we we have those okay and it's the players we're gonna have an hour and a half podcasts if

it's a big tournament that's true but we're doing good you're keep you are keeping us on time I

appreciate it Matt um should you go first or should I go I got two I got two I

got to get up and get the other one so I'll do I'll go first real quick okay all right hit

okay this with the first can you guess who this is first of all this is just I'm at my the uh

live forever golf office doing this and my buddies and we have so many freaking cards around here

so this is just a random golf card all right it's not signed or anything it's just sitting in my

it was sitting in my buddy's drawer right here I want to see if you can guess this player

this is from no this is from uh what year is this this is

2024 upper deck 24 yeah 2024 okay jayland and berg bill jayland and berg bill

sea biz hot who no sea biz no no title is hat jayland and there's no chance you get this

right hander god that's driving me nuts it is from 2024 as far as printed in 24

he made okay and see uh yeah if you guys got to watch on youtube this face is so recognizable

but I cannot figure out who you give up eric van royan no no that's not ideal I can't but I don't

I just was he a rookie yes I just feel like I know this 80 dc no I'll tell you where he's from

I'm gonna give you the countries from all right he's from like a Hispanic Australia where's he from

hold on put him up there again

Australia yes is that um

uh is that that's not Ryan ruffles no he was never on tour dude that's driving me nuts

who the hell is that you got anything I got nothing you ready

had you seen my tgl so mad that I'm gonna know this when you say it god this is gonna

know it Curtis luck

why don't I say Ryan ruffles you should have gotten that out of the corn fairy

steam youtube golf what is my problem Ryan ruffles oh god I'm gonna wake up in the middle

of the night be like I cannot but I'm gonna have to go pee my once a night pee and I'm just

to be like I cannot believe I didn't think it's Curtis luck all right hit me with your next

oh I'll do my next one all right yeah and this is just um it's in our office but it's the

I mean I can't really guess I'll just show you this is the billy bill ripped in fuck face

oh yeah uh psa 10 pretty nice peat right here see the bottom of the bat it says fuck face written

on the bottom of it oh that's it I didn't see that that's awesome that is great yeah okay yeah

that's one of my favorites you put up so far yeah that is a car you would you would have that

car pretty sick yeah you would have that card um and now I'm looking at the bottom of my guys bet

don't look at the bottom of guys bass typically but now I'm looking at it okay um you know I

only have baseball cards so this is and I only have 90s baseball cards so yet again I hit everybody

with j-buner last year last week I kind of feel like this guy is in the j-buner stratosphere okay

that's your first name um this is a rated rookie from 1991 Donrus rated rookie uh this guy played

first base battered left through right played in the American league Frank Thomas

I would also I would say there's some similarities to Frank Thomas uh this guy had uh he was a kind

of uh he was kind of a huskier Cecil Fielder uh close but those two guys are way better than

this guy was this guy was good but in rumour he's in the j-buner stratosphere like you just gave

me like a kin griffy comparison this guy's in the j-buner stratosphere I'll give you a hint on

the team and then I'm gonna show you the card if you don't get his name and then he had a cool name

what's the team the team is the red socks

like he would be I know I talked about this last week he would be like you're

maybe you're maybe you're fifth hitter in like let's see it cover the name I want to see the

like world series baseball like fifth hitter

hey am I sure I can't I wouldn't get that anyways

he had a two letter first name a two letter first name

now he's a baby face here mo something uh-huh there it is move on move on move on yeah move on I remember

that move on that's a nice card right there dude yeah and that was deep deep hole that was a good

description of look he doesn't have he doesn't have face

when he said that I was like oh man enough and very disappointing maybe I'll write that in

yeah you guys remember my bonner I think you're you're right he was in the j-buner

yeah it's just a memorable guy he would occasionally you know hit some bombs and

you know have a year you know I didn't want it I didn't want to interrupt you before I got one

story to share with you before we wrap this thing because we're we're at 59 minutes right now

no we got 30 more we're gonna debrief on the Puerto Rico open actually on the drop last week

I gave out Ricky Castillo as a fucking pick okay okay so that helps us for the group

I didn't bet it but I gave it out anyways so that's so that's our email friend clearly not

watching the drop that's okay that's okay that's okay um so Pat you brought up early

or the covid tpc tournament remember when yeah yeah and then diva you corrected and said

Harris or a Hideki was leading so Harris English was in second and the way that that shook

down that Friday I was there I chopped I shot like four or five over and the world ends you know

whenever it was Thursday night or Friday morning we get a text from not playing they send out

an automated text and it goes you know mad every 76 zero dollars zero FedEx cup points and then

shows my ranking on the FedEx normal shit right so I go to I'm driving to the course to get my

stuff out of the locker and I get another text on the way to the course and it says bad

every t one fifty five thousand dollars everyone just chopped the purse all right and there was no

oh my yeah there was no FedEx cup points okay whatever that so I go into the locker room and I'm

and I'm cleaning my shit out and Harris English is right next to my locker and he goes hey

every look at this text I just got I got earlier and it says like Harris English 1.7 million dollars

you know whatever the FedEx cup points and then they text he gets this ugly unbelievable

Hideki got that text bro I mean Hideki got this text that's a tremendous story why did you

not tell that earlier I didn't want to because I didn't want to interrupt Pat I didn't want to

interrupt him thank you man interrupt Pat it's a big problem it's a big problem that Matt has

really is interrupting yeah dude that's a mate that's an amazing story me and Pat were there

we saw the chain smokers that night at the 17 we saw I think I left early from that too

yeah we we did leave early from that but I'll have with you on that one I'll never forget Kevin

prize from the corn fairy tour I'll never forget him that that night I have been on

video I think I think our tweet went viral with it because we posted a video of him dancing

to chain smokers like right there on the 17th green just just getting into it and it was just

the funniest if you know Kevin prize like it was the funniest dance and it cracked me up and then

we're like what's going on and then yeah and then everything changed that's amazing Matt what

are you doing this week that cast yeah studio that cast that cast dude we're going to clean up

some live bets this week we are we are it would be nice graph Kings worked in Florida

do you think you could work in MOVE on on the easy MOVE easily work in MOVE on like make a MOVE

on compare compare coach to MOVE on the guy to do it with yeah dude that'd be sick

it would be better if he worked in Curtis look I will work in Curtis look he's probably done some

sick at the players I'll look it up yeah can you can you give us like because I think the problem for

me with with you when I'm trying to listen to your bet cast thing and like especially if we're

trying to hear you say a word is like I need to know what round you're going to work that in on

can you give me a round like let's go I'll give you I'll give you the will let's do this

let's go to Thursday I'll do it right off the rip somewhere between 10 and oh you got a time

10 and 10 30 I'll get it in oh all right I'm going to get a window for MOVE on 10 to 10 30 dude what

is that what if what if what if he's like a huge golf guy now days watching the back and like he's

listening to that no he's not going to be watching our podcast but he's going to be listening to the

bad guys and he's going to hear his name yeah did that be amazing that would be she still a lot

draft Kings is based draft Kings is based in Boston Matt oh I want to tie that in you know yeah

you're welcome for that you can use all our our boys good stuff good show the players championship

it feels like we're about to get going masters is around the corner it's going to be a beautiful

spring and summer the pollen is definitely in the air and a gust I don't know if you guys have had

us but I yeah I did not want to make it here tonight I had a anaphylactic shock in the kitchen

before I came up here but we're doing okay have a great night been of your bookies see it out

toward junkies featuring David Barnett is not an affiliate of CWM LLC opinions expressed by the

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and SEC registered investment advisor two teams one cup the prime time stage is set for the TGL

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