The Wire - December 1, 2025

//The Wire//2300Z December 1, 2025//
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//BLUF: AFGHAN ARRESTED IN TEXAS AFTER MAKING THREATS ON TIKTOK. ULTIMATUM ISSUED TO MADURO IN VENEZUELA.//

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-HomeFront-

Texas: Following the terrorist attack in Washington D.C. last week, The Department of Homeland Security announced the arrest of another Afghan national, who was arrested due to making terroristic threats online. Mohammad Dawood Alokozay was arrested after threatening to construct an explosive device to use to attack a building in Fort Worth.

Analyst Comment: The arrest in Texas is unrelated to the incident in Washington; the Texas arrest occurred the day prior to the D.C. attack that killed one solider and wounded another. The suspects in both cases, however, were part of the same Operation Allies Welcome migration program.

California: Over the weekend a mass shooting was reported in Stockton as a suspected gang hit took place at a children's birthday party. 4x people were killed during the attack, and dozens more were wounded. This incident was the result of Filipino gang members shooting into a crowd of around 150x people, who were gathered at the Monkey Space Event Venue on Lucile Avenue. The primary target was a local rapper by the name of "MBNel" along with "Fly Boy Doughy" (of the Fly Boy Crips gang), who were attending a birthday celebration of a young family member.

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Analyst Comments: Down south, details of the talks between the United States and Venezuela have come to light, indicating diplomatic options are not working out. All of this is rumor at the moment, however in the interest of expediency it's worth being aware of.

On Sunday, President Trump conducted a phone call with Nicolas Maduro, the contents of which have not been released. However, observers that were in the room leaked the gist of the call (probably with permission), which involved President Trump issuing an ultimatum to Maduro...resign and flee the country right now with close family members, or else. Maduro rejected this deal, and his counteroffer involved leaving the country, but also retaining control of the military. At this point the details are more unclear, however the general atmospherics are that the US obviously rejected this option. That's where things stand right now; the ultimatum brings the unstoppable force to an otherwise immovable object.

Until something happens, there's not much to go on as this potential war lies solely on the decisions made by the White House. The United States has not been entirely forthcoming as to the reasons for ousting Maduro, which makes risk assessments difficult. Whatever the reason, be it for oil/gas, mineral rights, drugs, or even just to oust a powerful figure from American spheres of influence, a war on in the American hemisphere is certain to impact daily life here in the United States in ways that probably aren't apparent until it happens. If a "leave now" ultimatum is being issued, this is probably an indication and warning of the late stages of a military mission planning. This is most sharply evidenced by President Trump himself announcing the closure of airspace in Venezuela, which has presented even more indicators that the hour may be approaching in which the war goes hot. It's never too late for either side to back down and work out the dispute, but right now no indications are present on either side that suggest conflict will be avoided.

Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
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