Trump On Iran_ _We_re Winning!_ US Intel_ _No_ You_re Not__

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This is the Ron Paul Liberty Report with Ron Paul, Daniel McAdams and Chris Rossini.

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Hello everybody, and thank you for tuning in to the Liberty Report.

With us today, we have Daniel McAdams, our co-host, Daniel. Welcome to the program.

Good morning Dr. Paul. How are you today?

Doing well. Do you think we'll have anything to talk about today?

A couple of things I think.

A few problems left. A few problems left.

I thought they were just joiners. It's all the problems.

They used a little bit of common sense. It would be out of work.

But not yet.

So I guess history will tell all of history that these kind of problems exist,

but we still have to deal with them because we have to take a position

if we think we live in a civilized society.

And sometimes I don't think we live in a civilized society.

And that's why we run into some opposition.

But what it started off with, you know, the Intel assessment that we talked about before.

And this to me is something that really is a bother.

And the whole purpose of the pressure Intel shows that this information

that we're getting from our, well, maybe part of our administration,

that everything's going well. The war's almost over.

And the president has tried to calm people down, make the markets go back to normal,

get the oil prices back down.

So it's not close to collapse is what they're saying.

Now that the information that you hear from one half of the administration

or what part of this administration does not agree with the other half,

which I think that is nothing brand new.

I think that probably happens with all administration.

But most of the time it's done, you know, with a little bit more decorum

and if it's really a descent to happen, they get rid of the people.

But this one is out in the openness. Looks like they might be trying to protect themselves

on what they believe is coming. Maybe this thing's going to fall apart.

Maybe we aren't going to win the war. We haven't won very many before.

And not that that's the most important thing in the world, especially if the wars are not, you know,

very morally driven. They're driven for various reasons.

But for instance, it's just going to war willy-nilly about the decisions of a few people

that's not what was intended by the founders.

And that may be leading to our problem.

But the argument right now is the around end government,

their leadership is that are they close to collapsing?

And we were feeling our way through that and figuring that maybe they're going to be stronger

than the warmongers, the people who say duck soup, no problem.

We can get in there and out of there in no time.

Just look how well we've taken care of Ukraine and Syria and the rest of being very facetious

because they never live up to their promises and how easy it's going to be.

How easy it would be to take over a country like Iraq and not have any real problems.

And they'll be able to do that. It don't worry.

We'll steal their oil. We'll pay all the bills and everybody will be happy.

It'll stimulate our economy. Well, it looks like some of that isn't coming true.

It looks like we have economic problems here at home.

We have budgetary problems here at home.

And we have just truth problems. What are we going to believe on what's really going on?

Of course, we know which faction we lean toward because they seem to be making a lot more sense

about what's going on in Iran.

But I hope that we have a breakthrough here and more and more people would say,

yes, we want to know what's going on and there are more people saying that.

But when is it going to happen? Have they dug a hole so deep to be in this war?

Even if they decided, oh yeah, we better quit.

It's never easy to quit the war. It's easy to go in and sneak and lie.

But after a while, they can't lie their way out of it and that's their dilemma.

Dr. Paul, you remember in the Iraq war.

After all, excuse me, the promises of weapons and mass destruction.

We don't want the warning sign to be a mushroom cloud or whatever she said.

They're going to take us. They're going to hit us in New York.

All of these things that were told to the United States, to the American people,

to get them ginned up for the war and it worked.

I think there was 74% support for the war when that happened.

Well, when things went south, as predicted by a lot of the rest of us, very quickly,

and then a few years in, and then there was no WMDs, it was all a lie.

If you remember what happened then?

The intelligence community was blamed.

Well, we had bad intelligence.

It was all the intelligence fault. It's not our fault.

It was not Patreia's fault. It wasn't Bush. It wasn't Cheney.

It wasn't Rumsfeld. It was Intel's fault.

And I think what we're seeing now, because if you put that first one up,

this is the second time in about a week that we've seen leaks from the intelligence community saying,

things are not going as advertised.

What you're hearing from the other parts of the administration,

telling you things about how strong we are and how much we're taking things out,

and how much we're winning, well, that's not true.

So here is, from zero heads, wrote it up,

Fresh Intel, U.S. intelligence says,

Iran regime not close to collapse after two weeks at war.

If Fresh Report and Writer says what should already be quite obvious to all,

U.S. intelligence has assessed that Iran's leadership and government are largely intact,

and the system does not risk collapse after two weeks of heavy, sustained bombardment.

One of the sources was cited saying that a multitude of intelligence reports provide consistent analysis

that the regime is not in danger of collapsing and retains control of the Iranian public.

Now, go to the next one, contrast that with what else we're hearing.

The source in the Wednesday issued Writer's Report indicated the most recent U.S. intelligence

was only completed within a few days prior.

And I left this part this week.

President Trump has also been busy declaring that the war could end soon and that we won.

And so the report, I won't read all of the rest of this,

but a lot of cohesion, a lot of destruction, but they have cohesion.

They're in control.

Things are not going as they're being advertised.

So I really do think, Dr. Paul, that this is pushback by the Intel community saying,

you're not going to do this to us again, which is rather interesting.

The bureaucratic world in DC, you don't want to catch the blame.

Number one, and number two, if you are an honest Intel analyst, then there are plenty of them.

There are plenty of them across the different aspects of the community,

DIA, at INR, at state, NSA and CIA.

There are a lot of very, very competent analysts,

and they don't want to have, they don't want to be ignored either.

So this is an interesting thing, I think, interesting development.

You know, ever since this began, before the two weeks of the violence breaking out,

the question was, what are you going in for?

But because they don't have debates and votes on war,

it's whatever they say, and it can shift.

And there might be three or four different main reasons why the president decided

to take the Iranans on.

And one that I heard, yesterday I hadn't heard it before,

because he used the word, we did not want the Iranans to get an empire.

Well, that's a good plan, but I didn't know they had one.

They did a long time ago, remember, a few years ago.

A few years ago, they had one.

But I thought, you know, the empires are involved,

but I think he has this twisted.

I think that what they're concerned about,

the people who are gun-ho for the war,

is that they're sensing that the American empire,

they claim we're trying to stop the Iranian empire,

but what they're worried about is losing the American empire.

And they see the Iranans as a challenge to it.

And even though it's only two weeks,

it looks like it wasn't a pushover for the Iranans,

you know, by our forces.

And that our empire is still struggling.

And right now, the whole idea blamed the other side for doing what they claim we're doing.

So I think that the Iranian empire argument doesn't hold much water

because I think their history of the last several decades

has been mostly defensive, you know,

and willingness to talk to somebody,

and it doesn't make amangels,

but it does raise questions about the honesty of our negotiators

and our decision-makers in this country.

Yeah, and, you know, in the same article that we were talking about,

Jeremy Scalel, who's been a long-time journalist,

but this is the most important point.

And this is what Trump and the people around him,

Jared, whoever, Whitgoth,

what they don't understand.

Now, if you put that one, that one next one up,

because this is asymmetric warfare.

Now, journalists, Jeremy Scalel,

who, starting over two decades ago,

covered the lead up to the Iraq war from on the ground,

has reiterated, quote,

asymmetric warfare, the less powerful side

does not need to militarily defeat an adversary.

But rather, force it to a point where it determines

the cost of continuing the war is so high.

Now, certainly, people in the military colleges,

people at the Pentagon, people at Intel,

understand the nature of asymmetric warfare.

There are people there who are experts,

but it seems to me that Trump and the people around him,

and perhaps the headsets types, they don't understand it.

They believe, hold on a minute,

we spend the most of anyone on our military.

We've got more ships than anyone.

We've got more planes, and bombs, and fighters, and troops.

This can't be possible.

But the thing is, they're fighting World War II,

where you go in there with everything you've got,

you'll kill all those dirty Nazis, and then you'll come home.

And this isn't like that.

This is asymmetric warfare.

And scale very well points it out.

You don't defeat them militarily.

You make the cost of continuing so high

that the stronger force has to reassess its values.

Yes, and the other factor that works into that

is the homeland factor.

If you're fighting for your homeland, it's a bit different.

Because just think of how many bombs we dropped,

how many people we kill, how much money we spent in Vietnam,

which we flat out lost that war.

And they were fighting there for their homeland,

which is a lot different.

And when you go 6,000 miles away to look for some activity

to keep the military industrial complex happy,

and a few other countries who don't like the Iranians,

that has a lot of weight to it.

So it probably doesn't matter.

I mean, the Iranians are turning out there much stronger

than we claim they were.

That's one thing.

But it's also that they finally prepared themselves

because they were hoping that they probably

wouldn't have to solve their problems militarily.

But they evidently decided their homeland

was going to be attacked in a serious manner.

And things have changed.

So I think that factor is a big factor on motivating people.

And one thing is it's so far,

and I don't know how long it's going to last,

because this is not going well,

is the President says no ground truth, no ground truth.

And yet he never says,

oh, we need to do this,

and we need to bomb the living daylights of them

because we need their oil.

They don't sort of give us the whole picture.

Well, it turns out,

that oil thing just drives me bugging.

Because we have more oil than anybody else

with the prices railo,

and if we can take a situation like that

with a little bit of freedom,

everybody can have as much oil as they want it.

And now look at it,

hardly, nobody's going to have what they need.

And that's where we're working on.

That's a big problem.

Well, I want to juxtapose two video clips here,

because I think this demonstrates more than perhaps

all of these articles that we're citing.

This demonstrates the disconnect

between the Trump side of the administration

and the reality-based community side of things.

So go to that first one.

Now, this is Trump.

He was in Kentucky.

He might want to put your earpiece.

He was in Kentucky for a rally yesterday,

and he basically turned that rally into a victory lab.

Let's listen to what he has to say here.

I'm not going to tell you what to stop it.

Let's just listen here.

What he has to say.

Is that a great thing?

Well, it's only good if you win.

You know, you can only win.

And we won.

Let me say, we won.

You know, you never like to say too early you won.

We won.

We won in the first hour it was over.

But they gave me a list of names that you heard.

We won.

Within the first hour it was over.

And now, as the thing says,

a few moments later,

go to this next one.

This is a US tanker carrying oil

in the Persian Gulf.

That next video.

Let's put that one up.

And let's watch what happens to this US tanker.

Oh, no!

Look at this!

I didn't know where it's from.

I didn't know where it's from.

I think there were four or five cargo ships blown up yesterday.

In the Gulf by Iran.

So, well, Trump is taking his victory lap.

Our boats are blowing up.

And oil is being lost.

You know what?

Symbol goes along with George W. Bush, his victory speech.

You should have accomplished.

And boy, just think of that.

What was it, a month or two later?

Oh, we've accomplished.

We got the oil.

We're going to pay the bill and brag about that.

So that reminds me of this.

And this is his, just what you just showed there.

That's going to be the symbol of this administration.

Yeah.

That's what I think will happen.

Well, I did find the one mention of the empire that you mentioned.

And there are a couple of other things I know this will interest you.

This is a post that President Trump took put out on truth social.

I think it was earlier today.

But it's interesting for a number of reasons, Dr. Paul.

The US is the largest oil producer in the world by far.

So when oil prices go up, we make a lot of money.

So prices, high prices are good, I guess,

is what he's saying here.

But of far greater interest and importance to me, as President,

is stopping an evil empire, Iran, from having nuclear weapons

and destroying them in the least.

And indeed the world, I won't ever let that happen.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.

So yes, they had to stop the empire, the great Iranian empire.

Which doesn't exist outside of their borders.

So I now have a couple of clips now to show that this we've won.

It's already over.

It's starting to fall apart.

Now go to the next one.

We don't know all the details about this one.

But the USS Gerald Ford experienced a fire.

But don't worry.

It's not combat related.

They may be telling the truth.

But Dr. Paul is hard to believe anything they say anymore.

Maybe one of the toilets blew up.

Because remember, they're having a lot of problems with the toilets.

Now here's another one in indication.

Please, please, please.

Denmark's energy minister begs citizens to stop driving

as global energy shock spreads.

And then one more, and we talked about this before Dr. Paul,

the situation is dire.

Half of available global energy tankers are trapped in the Persian Gulf

as many as 9,000 tankers are trapped.

They can't get through.

That's going to bring the world to a screeching halt.

You know, we talk about words and language being very, very important.

And when used properly, they are very influential.

But when you use words carelessly trying to cover up a lie,

it doesn't work.

People see through this.

And I think a lot of that's going on.

When you hear these speeches, how wonderful.

How wonderful things are going on.

Things aren't exactly as they report.

But you know, this adds to the number of people

that is participating in a very positive movement.

They're asking more questions about, why should we trust our government?

And I think what was the start of this recent episode,

why should we trust our government, has been COVID?

And that's still going on.

That atmosphere is still going on.

And now this can't help.

But you know, it still amazes me how long the memory lasts.

I mean, you think Vietnam, we talked about the draft, the other day,

Vietnam.

They were tired of it all.

And they'd go rid of the draft.

And all of a sudden, it was within five years.

They put the registration back up again.

So it doesn't last forever.

That's why this is a perpetual thing that you have to do

is to defend liberty because there's always these other people

who want control that do not believe in liberty.

And they want the money.

They have the money.

And the battle is a tough one.

But I think that's a cycle that we just go through endlessly in history.

And there is a shift back and forth.

And right now, I think the shift is a wave from these tyrants

who want to tell us everything that we're allowed to do and do not doubt do.

Like yesterday, I emphasize, they control our income.

And they control our property.

And they say, well, you own your property.

We rent our property.

We have to pay rent just to even use or do anything with it.

So I think there's more people waking up.

But there's still a lot of people very dependent on the largest

or just from government.

And the ones who are in control are very enamored by the power that they have.

And the influence they have in Washington.

And they have their way.

And then all of a sudden moral standards are dropping a bit.

And there are still, this battle is going on.

And yet, I still think that when you go just by numbers,

if you measure numbers, I think more people, if they were honestly asked the question,

what kind of a society would you have?

A compare a libertarian society and a result of anything leading toward libertarianism

with all the other stuff that goes on.

And that what's this happened to our system of government is a big mess.

And I think people are getting tired of it.

But the answer there, we have it in our history.

Common sense tells you what to do.

And just understanding the natural law would be a big help.

And that is not complex.

Absolutely.

Well, the second thing we want to talk about briefly is the new Ayatollah,

Moshetaba Kamene, the son of the murdered Ayatollah,

has made his first statement today.

And a couple of the highlights are,

his first public message says the closure of the state of Hormuz should be continued

as a tool to pressure the enemy.

Now here we have, I mean, here we have a perfect example, Dr. Paul,

of asymmetric warfare.

They are able to close that straight,

not because they have the more ships than we do,

not because they have more bombs than we do,

not because they have more troops than we do,

because they can.

And so they will.

That's asymmetric warfare.

And I'm going to the next one.

Moshetaba vows to keep attacking U.S. bases

and signals that new fronts,

go back to that first, a new frunks could soon open.

So they also have the ability to attack those bases, Dr. Paul.

Especially as we run out of interceptor missiles.

So the other things that are on this particular article,

Northern Israel, hammered by Hezbollah,

largest wave of missiles since the war began.

I don't know if anyone watched the video from that,

but they launched 100 missiles.

Their biggest ever, it shouldn't be coordinated with Iran.

Israel took a pounding yesterday.

Now, energy secretary Chris Wright,

this is like Captain Obvious here.

He says the U.S. Navy is not yet ready to escort tankers

through the strait of hormones.

As military assets remain focused on degrading Iran's

offensive capabilities.

Now, I think it was Larjani, one of the leaders,

he was trolling the U.S.

and he said, we will allow any tanker to pass

as long as you can get a U.S. destroyer to accompany you.

So they're begging.

They want to shoot down those destroyers

and that's what they're begging for.

So again, you have asymmetric warfare,

especially with Brent.

I don't know what Brent is right now,

but it was topping 100 earlier today.

The gas is up.

I drove by coming to the studio.

It broke the $3 mark here.

So this is asymmetric warfare.

Well, things aren't going so well,

but there was one incident that happened or item

that I think tells you a whole lot about it.

And this one is Iran's control of the straits of her moves

means it's exporting for oil

than before the war.

Boy, that's a successful war.

I wonder who dropped the most bombs

or has wondered who stimulated

and incited this war.

And you know, there are still people

who believe that it's a 100% Iranians fall.

And that is just so crazy,

but the irony of all this

and it just defies the individuals

and they should understand

that the freer a market is the worse,

the more economic benefits there are.

But they still come in and they come in

in the midst of prosperity.

We have all the oil in the world we want.

Oh, yeah, but we better have a war and tariffs.

That'll fix everything.

And now everybody's assured,

and everybody's oil is going to be held up.

I think that the tactic now

or stopping transportation is going to be a big deal

because the more they use weapons,

the more they make their problem worse.

There'll be less communication

yet the answer to the military conflict is trade.

So you destroy the trade

and think that we're going to have people come together

and then what do you hit?

What's the next step?

People are getting hungry.

It places where they shouldn't be getting hungry.

Yeah, yeah, absolutely.

Well, you know, we don't point out these failings

because we want to gloat over, you know,

U.S. assets being destroyed.

I think the reason we cover this is because

is to make the point.

You don't go into war like this.

You don't go into war like we mentioned yesterday

because the president had a feeling

that they might attack.

That's why we have a constitution.

We have the obligation of Congress to be involved.

For that, I blame Congress more than the president.

So this is the reason we point this out.

And another thing to point out is the new Ayatollah Mustafa Kamehni

and we talked about it before.

But if you put that next clip up,

anyone thinking that he's going to be a moderate,

well, just have a look at what happened.

In the opening days of the opening seconds of the war,

the U.S. and Israel killed his father,

his mother, his wife, his son,

his sister, his brother-in-law, his niece, his nephew.

If I were in his shoes,

I definitely wouldn't be holding out

an olive branch of peace

to people who did that to my family.

So that's a mistake.

That's just so hard to understand

the lack of common sense and common decency.

For us to be, you know, doing our very best to expose

the evil that causes these kind of problems,

at the same time they throw it in,

oh, you guys aren't very patriotic, are you?

You don't love America anymore.

And then they put that guilt trip on.

A lot of people.

A lot of people, you know, I don't need,

I have a sense that I don't like to do it.

But why could it be wrong to point out,

you know, the errors of our way?

And that's the reason I like the first amendment to best,

because it was meant.

Like I say, it wasn't meant

so we can talk about the bad weather.

It was meant so you could criticize your government

without being killed or put in prison for life.

And that's what's happening now.

Yeah, absolutely.

I put one up for fun, Dr. Paul.

And I just grabbed this.

But this is President Trump.

You know, he went to Kentucky.

You know that he's endorsed this Ed Gowering guy.

He's running against a Massey.

He's convinced that Massey will lose.

Well, you have Massey's numbers, I believe,

before Trump came to town for his rally.

Massey was at 52 to 51.

Trump came in to try to push Gowering.

And Massey went up to 67 to 37.

So it's the opposite might as touched there, Dr. Paul.

That's just a little, a little bit of a funny aside.

But I'm going to close out.

This is my last day here in the saddle.

So I'm going to remind you of that next clip.

You want to get those tickets over the weekend.

You make your travel plans.

Come down here, put that next one up if you can.

Come down here to Lake Jackson.

There's a lot to talk about.

I'll be announcing some more speakers.

But we've got a great lineup.

It's going to be a great conference.

The best you can ever imagine.

But it's going to be great.

I'm just kidding.

War is back on the menu down here at Lake Jackson, Texas.

We want regret coming down here.

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I bet a lot of people are going back to Thomas.

A lot of people might be cheering this morning.

Just to see a report like that.

Love it.

It's so good to hear a report like that.

Because when you take a stand in a very controversial one, 80% of the people are against you.

And the president comes out against you.

And you think, well, this has foolish.

And most of the politicians are, yeah, I sort of agree with you, but I'm not.

I'm not going to give up my political career.

This is a good job.

So they don't do it.

But it turns out that just flat out telling the truth and following your oath becomes a

political asset to you.

You know that.

So it's really fascinating to see how human nature works.

Because you compete with 80% of the population.

You think, well, there's no winning it.

But the truth seems to be much more powerful than people realize.

So we encourage all our listeners to always tell the truth of it and the best of your ability.

Because if you live in a free society, believing in liberty for the individual, those are the society that become the most prosperous and the most peaceful.

And we're sort of for prosperity and peace.

So we thank you very much for joining us today and join us constantly to come and help us spread this very important message of liberty.

Please return to the Liberty Report soon.

Thank you.