UFC 326 Main Card Betting Guide (No Problema) | MMA Gambling Podcast (Ep.1036)

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How do you know? Did you know it's walking up to ten and thirty six, right? Is that what we

decided? Yeah. Yeah. They made gambling podcast and sports gambling podcast network dedicated to

I'm reading my dedication. That's why I forgot MMA QRM on YouTube who says I can land a buggy choke

on that. I was hoping you would give him that. You could submit that guy. He goes as far as to say

buggy choke, which is a step further. That's really sucks. I've never taken jujitsu.

And if you want to get a dedication, make sure you subscribe to our YouTube channel and hit

that stuff for the comment. Hate comment, funny comment, a compliment. I accept all. We both accept

all. There's a couple of people who've just commented on the fact that we look a lot older than

they thought we are. One guy once said when we first started YouTube that they were surprised

that I looked like a golf throw. And I don't know if that was a compliment. Really? I don't

remember that one. I was like, hi. Not anymore. Maybe you said I sounded like a golf

throw and then was surprised I didn't look like. Well, maybe that was it. If you don't look like

like that. Yeah, I think he said I sounded like one and was expecting me to be one and then he was

surprised at what I actually looked at. That's what it was. You would kick out of Augusta before

you stepped foot in there with that beard of yours. Into the masters. I got a Shane Lowry beard.

This is the Shane Lowry. Oh, he has a beard, does he? Oh, yeah. Oh, you don't talk about it. You would

enjoy Shane Lowry. Big Irish dude, huge beard, chugs beers after the events. He's like

Irish John Dewey. Oh, fun. Happy Gilmour, but Irish. All right, Gummy. That's Gummy Reel and I

don't think I've introduced this. Danny Gummy Reel and Danny V. You can call him. I am Jeff

Fox aka Mr. Perfect Jeff Fox. I think that's probably going to change. Yeah, we got to go back to

Juice Box Jeff. Juice Box. I think my 13 to 0 run the UFC may end this weekend because, you know,

things tend to revert to me and I'm hating like 73% of my place in UFC.

On every fight, not just my place. That's every fight. And Gummy's you're in like the 60s I think,

so you're doing very good as well. And then my selected place at the end, which you got

to listen to the show for, haven't missed a prop in over a month. He's killing it. He's killing it.

Yeah, so make sure you stick around to the very end. As Gummy said, so yesterday, if you haven't

watched it or listened yet, we could not agree on much. We agreed on what a minus 500 place.

So there's that. But I think you and you agreed on both three fights or something.

Oh, we went four and four on agreements. Okay. Yeah, didn't get too hated. We'll see how we do

today. Foughts on UFC 326 pay-per-view for us non-Americans, Gummy. They expect me to pay 80 bucks

for Drew Dober and Michael Johnson. Yeah, I would say like under our old construction of pay-per-view

cards, I'd be pretty bummed at this one being, you know, 80-dollar fee at the end of the day,

being that I have paramount plus and can just turn it on. It's really no different than any other

card to me. So in that's kind of the way the UFC's going. But like we've always said to, we judge

these fight cards by its combate event. Yeah, I love Cabo Hi-O versus Renee DeRida. You know,

a chance for both guys to get a rebound fight in there and sort of figure out their game.

And then the Royal Roses versus Rob Fawfights fun is held too. So yeah, I mean, like,

it's kind of like I said yesterday, there are fun close fights. Maybe not necessarily the prospects.

I was like really hoping to see, you know, Michael Johnson versus Drew Dober does not have a fun

prospect. And you might be surprised to find that. That should be fun though. That should be fun.

It's closely lined and probably fun. Yeah. Yeah, I would say the top three fights are meaningful.

The bottom two are going to be fine. Yeah, the bottom tenor. And you could say the

same thing about the bottom tenor fun. Yeah, the three limbs too. All right, let's dive into it.

Enough chitchat. A reminder, though, March is close. There got me almost a couple more weeks and

spring will be here and no more snow, right? March is here. SGPM is giving away $25,000. No,

I did not miss speak. $25,000 in Survivor, Madness. I wonder if employees can win. Are we

contractors? We can win, right? We're not in place. One person will take on $25,000

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would be no funny business that way. Anyhow, winner take all one person will take on $25,000

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to play $5 and get $50 bucks in bonus entries. What's survivor? What survivor NCAA doesn't say

what's sported? Yeah, I'm sure you have to take one. If I remember, because I was in on last

years, one, we definitely can play by the way. Obviously, on last year, it was $25,000 last

year. I think it was $10,000 last year. I think it's gone way up. But I think I think you have to

pick one person on every game day to win. And then I get you to the next day. So it works like

surviving, but like they turn them. It's got so many game days. You just take one person for every

game day. Cool. Check it out. Sounds fun to me. All right. UFC 326 is what we're going to check

out right now. Holloway versus all of our two. We're not complaining. Whether it's a belt or not

on the line, we're not complaining. There is. Yeah, I know there is. But whether it's a real belt,

the even put quotations around BMF. So whether it is a real belt on the line or not, it doesn't

really make any difference. Here, it is going down in the T-Mobile Arena Las Vegas, Nevada,

in an off-gun. Prisms were 5 p.m. Start. Main card now is 9 p.m. Start time, which is nice for us

East Coast old people. Let's kick things off with one of the fun fights, I imagine. This is a

middleweight fight. This is a rematch. And we're going to end with rematch as well. Gregory,

Hodgigez versus Bruno Faheya, Brazil versus Brazil, violence at 185. And a rematch, as I said,

Faheya is the Hulk, 15 and 2. Nine knockouts, five submissions. He's knocked at once,

minute once. He owes his rounds, definitely. Six and two in the UFC. He's won three straight

and five of six. He's missweight before. One and only on contender series, regional champion.

He's been outstruck by 0.14 strikes in UFC and contender series plus 185. Hobo Cop. I've heard

other people say Hobo Cop, but we refer us. Don't you forget it. 18 to six, 11 knockouts,

three submissions. He's been knocked out four times. Ninety three in the UFC, he's won two straight

and five of six. He lost to Mr. Faheya back in January of 2023. He got knocked out by M as a matter of

fact. He was Hodgigez, who was an LFA champ and a regional champ, only on a contender series as

well, who you lose to, Gumby. You ready for this one? This is the old favorite. Jordan Williams.

There you go. Jordan Williams and Jordan Wright are a couple of our favorites. It was all

double Jordan's back in the early days of the pod. 2014 pro MMA debut, five inches child and Faheya,

three inch reach advantage. More at flying strikes, better grappling stats. He's been outstruck by 0.76

strikes per minute, minus 186. You know my rules with three matches. You take who won the first one,

but I'm flipping out on his head here. Hodgigez has looked very good since being caught by Faheya.

I think he's the better fighter overall. Period. Obviously, if they get into a firefight, Faheya does

have finishing blood. Even even on Matt, he has a finishing ability, but I like where Hodgigez is

gone since since getting knocked out by Faheya, and I think he's a better fighter, not to match

in these huge compared to the Hulk here. So I will take him. Don't really like the line,

minus 186 for a guy who's already been knocked out by the opponent, but I think he's going to win

the problems. Yeah, and I'm going to take Faheya. I really do like Hobokop, but like watching back,

I'm having a tough time deciding if his chin is is absolutely crappy, or if he just like puts

himself in that bad of positions that he's going to get cracked, because like I went back and I

watched the Jared Cannon near a fight, and some of that's just he wore out, right? Like he just got

tired, but he's also like very hitable, like very hitable. Yeah, and that's really alarming in this

fight, because like Faheya just sleeps people, right? And then like, you know, you can even go back

to his fight and contender series, hitable against Jordan Williams, who went, I think Owen

Thorne in the USC, if I'm remembering correctly, and was like, you know, the butt of every single joke

we had for a couple of months. But like, I'm worried that like that's just right there again. And

then on top of that, I was one of those ones who's like Bruno Faheya isn't as good of a

grappler as people think he is. And then he like consistently proved me wrong, like his his judo

plays up really well. And we saw him get back to back arm bars. And I will say that about Gregory

Rodriguez, his take down defense kind of sucks too. It's not good. He got taken down in the last

fight when he was having success on the feet by Roman coffee loft, who's like the only rusher

and who doesn't wrestle, right? And even he was getting takedowns in that fight. And I'm like

even if Bruno Faheya doesn't go the same path as he went last time, he might have a different

path that he could win this one too. I could see him winning this fight on the ground just as well

as I could see him winning on the feet. So yeah, I'm going to take Bruno's, I hit it in the rematch. I

think he doubles down here. All right, we cannot agree with each other. This one I see, I totally see

your point here though. How do you guys is very hitable? And you know, his chin has been tested

on the occasion for sure. All right, we're going to one 155 next. Drude over versus Michael Johnson,

the last of our fun non-meaning, non-meaningful fights, the fighting to both from the United States,

lightweight, as I said, we'll tell you about Dolbert, 28 and 15 with one no condes, 15 knockout

six submissions. He's been knocked out four times, submitted four times, 14 and 11 with one no

condes in the UFC. One in three over his last four, two and four over his last six TKO and in his

last belt. He's fought at 170. He might own one, the ultimate fighter, one known belt or RIP. 2009

probably may debut two years younger than Johnson, more athletic, lightning strikes. He's outstruck his

UFC points by 0.18 strikes per minute. He's at plus 104. So almost a pick up here. Dennis Lemanis,

Johnson, Michael Lemanis Johnson, 24 and 19, 10 knockouts, two submissions. He's been knocked out

three times, submitted nine times, 16 and 15 in the UFC. He's won three straight though. Somehow,

I think we probably picked against him in every fight, maybe four, four and one over his last five,

five and six over his last 11. That's, you see, that's that structure is why I wrote him off.

And then he's been waiting since then. He's not lost since May 2023, which is insane. He's

almost, he's going to turn 40 in like a month, I think, or later this year, at the very least.

He's fired at 145 and 150. He's mis-weighted before at 145. He's four and only off the fighter.

Multi-region championships on his. Man, correct. Remember Merch sales, sportsgunpogs.com slash

store, March. Check out. We'll get you 15% off. Johnson's in pro MMA fighter since 2008,

two inches, Charlotte and Dober, three in treacher band, and she's outstruck as one,

five point four, nine strikes, minute, minus one, oh eight. So slight favor here.

I'm going to go through Dober. I'm going to go underdog here. I, first of all, I don't think we

picked against Michael Johnson every one of those times because I was like, Michael Johnson,

we're refighted win history. Maybe I should give him a second look. Now, first of all,

that Zell Hooper fight. It didn't age well because it became very apparent last week that

Zell Hooper has no interest in winning fights. This is a Zell Hooper problem. It's a Zell Hooper problem

for sure. And, and one of the other ones, and this is why I know we didn't pick against him

or every time. He fought Darius Flowers. Remember Darius Flowers? Oh, yeah, right. We didn't know

when he picked him in that one. There's not a chance I took Darius Flowers in a fight. And then

the other one was to potato guy out on a zetar. It's not a great resume. And like, look,

I know he's got knockout power. Like we've seen that he knocked out his eye thire, right?

But like it's not like Drew Dober's chin is shot either, right? Like his last KO loss was that

one against Gian Silva. And how many times did Gian Silva hit him? And that dude just

kept coming. And like, even at the end, it was a doctor stoppage, right? It wasn't even a,

like a true TKO. It was like, this guy's face can't take this anymore. It's not like Johnson's going

to do that to him. And Johnson himself is kind of got a chin that sort of questionable. Like,

the last three guys he's fought, like weren't going to hit it because it looks like again,

Zell Hooper is not interested in winning fights. A zetar only fought for 15 minutes. And Darius

Flowers is knocking him out. But if you go one fight prior to that, what was it? Diego Faheda knocked

him out? Diego Faheda is a grappler, man. Like, and he's got the power to knock him out. Dober's

still got them hands on it, right? Like Dober still hits like a truck. His chin holds up pretty

well. I think speedwise on the feet, we're probably talking pretty similar. You know, defense-wise,

still probably talking pretty similar. I just think, you know, Dober's got a few more weapons

and hits a little bit harder. And I think that might be the difference maker for me.

Yeah, I agree here. Pretty much a toss up as the odds state. I will go with the dog low.

If it turns into a firefight, I like Dober's tools as you as you put it more here. He's I think he's

got a bit more power in his hands. And Johnson's kind of been beaten up on entry level fighters over

the last. So while still impressive, that is when you fights at this age, but it's got to end

sometime, right? Eventually, probably. Got to end eventually. So let's go with Dru Dober to win

this one. All right, we've got more place for you after I tell you about what's the first thing

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Gumby, give us a play. Yeah. On Thursday, we got the jazz and we got the wizards. That's,

of course, a game everybody's going to be tuning into, right? Got to catch the jazz and the wizards.

The wizards, those are not or the jazz rather are not planned terrible. I think they only lost

to the nuggets the other day by three. They're kind of hanging around. Whereas the wizards looking

embarrassing pretty much every time they're out there. So give me the jazz, probably in the points,

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Hey, have you guys signed up over on Cut yet? If not, what are you waiting for? Cut is great.

It's awesome. You can bet your buddies. That's right. Cut is a peer-to-peer betting platform

that allows friends and strangers to bet directly against each other on the outcome sports politics,

pop culture and more. Cut is the ultimate. Put your money where your mouth is platform.

All these people talking trash on our first half unders. Get your first half overs on cut.

Go ahead to head against sports gambling podcasts, play your own plays, play your buddies.

You could do it all over on cut plus cut gives you cash back on every single bet you make.

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That's K U T T or you can go to play dot cut dot com. Use our promo code SGPN to receive a 15

percent deposit bonus. That's K U T T promo code SGPN cut. Put your money where your mouth is.

All right. Now to the meaningful fights. We have got a bandweight one. First Rob Funt versus

Raul Rosas, a junior, a couple of Americans fighting here. Play about Funt first. 22-9,

9 knockout's four submissions. He's been submitted once. He owes us round. No, he owes us finishes.

12 and 8 in UFC. He's one, two, three, two, five, three of eight. He did lose his last belt.

He's missed weight before at this weight. He's fought up at 145 and 155. He was the original champ.

He's he's been fighting professional. I'm against his 2011 four inch reach advantage over

Rosas. Better strike and stats more active. Three times more active. I need to strike some Rosas.

He's outstruck his ones with 1.66 strikes per minute plus two or three.

El Nino problem out of the problem child Rosas is 11 and one. Two knockout six submissions.

Never been finished in a fight. 5-1 in the UFC. He's one four straight. He lost the loss to fight

April 2023. He's only lost one in all contenders series. He's fed a 145. An inch child

and Funt. 17 years younger. Yep. It's true. He's outstruck his ones by 1.14 strikes per minute.

Better grappling stats to Funt minus two or nine. Give me the kid, Raul Rosas, junior, Funt.

Not a very good grappler. He can't stop take downs at the very least. Rosas is just relentless

with his take downs. He's got youth on his side. He's not get tired with these things. Plus,

he seems every time we see him in the cage. We haven't seen him for almost a year now. He seems

to be adding to his game. I don't know if he's ever going to be a tippy-top elite fighter,

but he's still very good. I think at this point in his career, he can be where Rob Funt is at.

Give me a problem child. Yeah, I'm going to go with Raul Rosas, junior two. I did debate Funt

just because of how good he gets up. You're right. His take down defense is not good. His

ability to get back to his feet is, though. And that tends to be his best weapon. And you watch

him against Yan Matsumoto. Matsumoto tired and he fought one of winning a split decision in that

fight because he kept getting up. He was clearly the one doing more damage on the feet.

And Matsumoto couldn't keep that pace. I think the difference for me here is I do believe

Rosas can keep that pace. He didn't in the C-rod fight and then immediately fixed it.

Like, looked better the next time out. As you mentioned, we see these guys when they are young,

they don't make small games. They make huge games. This is the age where one year out of the cage

and working hard in the lab, it pays off in a way that you were never expecting it to.

All of a sudden, he's got a sharp jab. All of a sudden, he works the body in a way that you weren't

ready for. And like, really in this fight, all I think he needs is like adequate offense on the

feet, like adequate. It doesn't even have to be good because I think he's going to dominate the

takedown game so much. Like, I think he's going to have so many takedowns here. And if that's the

case, like, yeah, I'm with you on this. Yan Matsumoto almost wrestled enough to be Rob Tlaught.

I really do think Royal Rosas Jr. will have enough to wrestle.

Yep. All right, we are locking in on Royal Rosas Jr. here. All right, coming event,

a couple guys coming off of a loss. Kyle Bahaio, Brazil, Ranier, do a ridder from

another lens. Three five in rounds at 185. We will tell you about the rid of first the Dutch

night or RDR is 21 and three five knockouts 13 submissions. He's been knocked out three times.

Four one on the UFC's one five oh six got TKO in his last belt TKO fatigue actually is what

it was for real. He's fighting at two oh five seven and two in one championship, the biggest

promotion in the world and the two time champion there. And he also has multiple region championships

on his mantle. His mantle is full. Correct. Sport game sports gambling podcast.com. Slash store,

March at checkout is the is the promo code 2013 pro maybe a view for deritter 0111 in

pro grappling, but he's two time silver medalists in the European championships in Brazilian

Jujutsu. Three to start with three each reach banter over bio. He's outstruck his points by point

one six strength in it plus 240. The natural Kyle Bahaio 17 and two with one no contest five knockouts

four submissions. He's never been finished in a fight. Seven one on the UFC's 14 and one over his

last 15. He did lose his last belt though, but at 170 and 205 before two and all on container

series reach out champ 2014 pro and may debut three years are going to deritter better

strike and stats more out to lightning strikes positive strike differential 0.94 strikes per minute

minus 233. Gumby. Yeah, Kyle Bahaio. Um, you know, I think the line of the line is should be

closer, right? Do you agree with the line should be much closer? Yeah, I think it should be, but

go ahead. So, so here's here's my selling point on why the line shouldn't you know, I think

it is appropriately lined where it currently is. First of all, Bahaio is infinitely better on the

feet, right? Like I think we can agree on that one. Did we watch it? Surprisingly, he's been better

than expected, but still better than expected, but like he's still like weirdly hitable. He does

like all right clinch work, but like against guys who like aren't like, you know, like I think we're

hanging a lot of, you know, our hats on, on beating bone nickel and a striking match in the clinch.

And like, you know, good for him for doing that. He's long and he's got some clinch work, but like

watch any of his fights in one SE. And that dude is just there to hit. And the fact that he's faced

a couple of guys who like wanted to just do with him, you know, Brendan Allen in, in, you know,

bone nickel, you know, like I think maybe we're giving an inflated sense of how good his defense

could be. And then in addition to that too, like are we forgetting how good Bahaio is on the ground?

Like because he just had a grappling match with the aforementioned Brendan Allen and he

sauceed it. He made him look like he had never done jujitsu before. And like, that's something because

we're talking about a Brendan Allen who was able to bring that kind of fight to our DR and just

wear him out. And so if he could wear him out with his jujitsu, what about the guy who beat him in

jujitsu? Like a straight up jujitsu match beat him in a jujitsu match. Plus, he's probably got

better hands than Brendan. Like this is RDR lost to Brendan Allen and got to step up in competition.

In almost every aspect of the game in my opinion, because Cabo Haio is a better striker than Brendan

Allen and beat him in a jujitsu match. Like if anything, maybe not wrestling, but like pure jujitsu,

he's better than him. So like, I don't know, like, I don't know how you can get behind a path to

victory here for RDR being that he lost to a guy who I think is worse than this in pretty much

every way last fight. So, uh, yeah, I'll take Cabo Haio here. Yeah, I'm taking him as well.

Cardio for Daze. Cardio for Daze. 33 lines. Cardio for Daze too. Yeah, that's that's the thing.

RDR looked so bad last fight. It's hard to bat. Yeah, that was very bad. You don't see that

on the in the UFC very often. So all right, Cabo Haio is our play. We got one more play in our

special place at the end. Don't miss that before all of that. Underdog. Underdog has you covered

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And gummies are going to give you a winner even better. Uh, sure. We'll kick it back to that jazz

wizard's game that everybody's been talking about for weeks. Yeah, I'll take I'll take the higher

than on the rebounds for Kyle Filipowski. Um, the wizard's just absolutely can't rebound

at all. Uh, and he should be the beneficiary of that deficiency. So, uh, yeah, give me the rebounds

on, uh, Kyle Filipowski. All right. Underdog's got a brand to offer for new customers. Play

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For other shows, uh, why are you watching till the end or the 23 minute show?

Yeah, we got a lot to watch is true. Only if we get the main event wrong, um, that's always

when people hate it. You can go, uh, 13 to one, but if you got the main event wrong,

Hey, have you guys signed up over on cut yet? If not, what are you waiting for? Cut is great.

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I made a bet this week. You have to see a BMF title belt is on the line. Max Hollow Wavers,

the Charles Olivera US versus the Brazil part two for these guys that are fighting at

lightweight. Olivera is dobrox, zz, dobrox's 36 and 11 with 1.0 condes, 10 knockouts,

22 submissions. He's been knocked out five times, submitted four times. He's 24 and 11 with 1.0

condes in the UFC. He used to be the champion of the world at this weight class, 155.

He's gone loss win, loss win, loss win over his last six. When is loss about via submission?

He's missweight before 155. He lost to Max Hollow Wavers back in 2015.

He used to fight that featherweight. He missed weight there four times at the very least,

so four times documented that I can find. 2008 pro and May in debut, a BJJ at champion, five

inch reach manager Brahollowaay. He's outstruck his opponents by 0.11 strikes for him. He's at

plus 195. His number's kind of gone haywire since we're at open, blessed Hollow Waay.

27 and 8, 12 knockouts, two submissions. He's been knocked out once, submitted once. That means

he is durable. 23 and 8 in the UFC. He's a BMF champion, the defender of it. He used to fight

at 145 and was the champion there as well in the UFC. He's 145, six of eight, including his last belt.

He won, regional champ, an inch of height over all of our two years younger. Twice more

out to playing these strikes. He's got a potential strike differential of 2.46 minus 203.

Don't like where the line's going, but I'm taking Max Hollow Waay to win this one. I think he was

minus 155 to open. I guess people agree with me on him, not just because he won the first match.

I think he's got more left in the world. It was a lot longer. It would be pretty wild.

He has a lot more left in the tank. It's named surprisingly. We thought he was in trouble a

few years back, but no, he keeps on going. He's just going to overwhelm Hollow Waay with

as he does pretty much with everyone other than champions. He overwhelms him with even champions.

He's even a current interim champion. He overwhelms him with his volume on the feet.

He can keep fights on the standing as well because he's used to people trying to take him down.

I think he's just going to put it on all of our as he does to pretty much everyone.

So give me a max.

Yeah, and that's my issue here with all of our areas. What's his path to turn this into a grappling

match? His striking is better than sometimes people give a credit for because he was known as

a jujitsu guy first. We're like, remember, he knocked on Michael Chandler.

But at the end of the day, that's not the path here to beating Max Hollow Waay.

I don't think he's going to have sustained grappling success. Just like the way Max boxes,

I just don't see Charles Oliver having a ton of success in the feed. He's come and pick him apart.

He's going to have lots of volume. I think you're going to see maybe even a TKO

weight in this fight wouldn't be terribly surprised. I mean, like he knocked out Gachi,

who's notoriously like got a good chin. Now graded that was in wild circumstances.

But like, you know, just seeing how much he puts on somebody, it's always, always a lot.

If he doesn't knock him out, he's going to land 250 strikes in this fight.

So either way, I'll take Max Hollow Waay.

Yep, Max Hollow Waay is the way here. Let's give you recap. Both have Hollow Waay,

both have Baha'u, both have Roses, both have Dober, and then we disagree to the first one here.

I have Hadigas, he has Fahaya. We also have Locks, Dogs, Props, and a super-hungry man,

Jonk's profan, something for you. I think his gumby's turned to go with his lock first this week.

Yeah, I had a tough time coming up with a lock that I really, I'm going to go Max.

Yeah, the line's going up, but like, in terms of where the line is, you're right,

it's going in the wrong direction, but I don't think it's gotten to like the part where it's like,

not a good line for Max anymore. You know what I mean? Like, maybe it's not a good line for him.

It hits 275 or 300 or 350, but like, I don't know. Right now, I kind of feel like it's in the right spot

in probably a great value. So I'll take Max as my lock.

And like you said, I don't really see how all of her wins this fight. So yeah, Max is my play as well.

What is your dog? I'm going to prove I had a, you know, of all the lines I saw, you know,

what is it two to one on him right now? Yeah, almost 185. Yeah, like, great value on him at the

current moment. And in addition to that too, like more ways to win than I think people even give

him credit for it. Yeah, I'm taking plug my nose, I'm taking Cody Durden plus one, 22.

The dog I like best. So you can listen yesterday. Why we're taking custom made. You didn't

worry. What is your? I don't know if I would have guessed that, but you didn't let me guess.

My prop of the week, four week run, by the way, all plus money. I believe all play. It's the same

as mine. No, I think I have yours. Can I guess yours first? You're yours? You got

Roller-Rossus Jr. by decision. No, that's a good play. I'm really reeked of a Jeff pick.

What's your number on that? You know, plus one 35. No, that's nice. That's nice.

I contemplated it. And then I was like, I don't really feel it's more like a Jeff pick. No,

mine's going to be Rafael Tobias by submission. There's Jeff's pick right there.

Nurgon is just so bad. He's going to submit the guy with no knack. Yeah. What do you find for a price

just to make sure we have one? 165. That's one of the guys here. Yeah. Yeah. That's the right one.

His opponent has been subbed and back-to-back fights. There's a very played path and we're

getting plus money for it. And he's got the press emission skills. Yeah. Yeah. That's got to be

the way. All right. Holloway is our locks. Faheah and Dern are the dogs. And Tobias submission is

the sub prop play. All right. Hug your round, Jon. Superfan. What? I went for just a part of

life. So I'm going to go two legs here. I'm going to stick with my dog of the week here.

Brutal Faheah. We're going to make that number a little bit spicier by getting his KO prop.

While I said, I do think he could wrestle and probably uses jujitsu here too.

This is more of a fade on the chin of Gregory Rodriguez and where he puts himself than anything else.

So I think if Gregory Rodriguez puts himself in a position to get knocked out, he does,

he gets chained. That one right now plus 290. So you can get almost 100 extra value there.

And you already get it before. And you already did it once. And I'm going to pair that together with

somebody you didn't pick on yesterday's episode. Jon, Jon Lee. I mentioned I think

Gostin Bolognaus is terrible on the mat. Like absolutely terrible on the mat.

Jon, Jon, Lee has a couple of submissions in there and kind of sneaky subskills that he hasn't

necessarily dug into in the UFC. And as a result, you can get his submission prop at 5 to 1.

So right now that's plus 500. And so when you roll those two together, you're going to get plus 1850.

That means really going anti-JF. Two fighters I did not pick. Faheah knockout, Lee's submission.

All right. You are set, ladies and gentlemen. We are in the discord sportsgammapogus.com slash

discord. We are on YouTube. Make sure you subscribe. Get us to 2000. That's in the gaming podcast

obviously. Twitter, SGPNMMA at Jeff Fox at Gumby, Jeff Fox writer, excuse me, at Gumby Reelin,

at Jeff Fox writer on Instagram, moneyemma.substruct.com, get him a sub stack,

enter my pick and contest for this event for free. Gumby has a podcast called Top Turtle. He's

interviewing someone in the co-main event, I think. Yeah. Cabo Hio is on the show this week as well

as over from Octagons card that we broke down on Monday. We got Sean Marcos to Silva.

So check out Top Turtle and check us out at sportsgammapogus.com, sportsgammapogus.com slash store.

Remember March is your checkout code for 15% off. Sportsgammapogus.com slash Patreon for some bonus

content from the network and the bosses. Now Gumby is going to beat you for a while until Sunday.

Um, Danny Gumby Reelin, he's hobo cop Jeff Fox and we will see you on Sunday.

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