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Hello and welcome to NewsHare. It's coming to you live in the BBC World Service Studios
in Central London. I'm Tim Franks. It is day three of the US and Israel's war against Iran.
This is a conflict which is intensifying and spreading. Tehran and locations around the
country have again been rocked by explosions. This pictures came in of Rubble Street in the
Iranian capital of civilians running and smoke choking the air. The Iranian military was also
launching pressure tax on Israel and targets across the Gulf. Indeed, just within the last four
minutes, the US central commander put out an update saying that six US service members have now
been killed in action. Global oil and gas prices have risen sharply. Across this program we're
going to bring you some of the key voices and fascinating insights and across the region from Tehran,
from Jerusalem, from Cairo, from Lebanon, and also out of the US. Let's start indeed in Washington
with what President Trump has had to say today his first comments on the war from the White House.
Our objectives are clear. First, we're destroying Iran's missile capabilities and you see
that happening on an hourly basis and their capacity to produce brand new ones and pretty good
ones they make. Second, we're annihilating their navy. We've knocked out already ten ships.
They're at the bottom of the sea. Third, we're ensuring that the world's number one sponsor
of terror can never obtain a nuclear weapon, never going to have a nuclear weapon. I said that
from the beginning. They're never going to have a nuclear weapon. They were in the road to getting
one legitimately through a deal that was signed foolishly by our country. And finally,
we're ensuring that the Iranian regime cannot continue to arm fund and direct terrorist
armies outside of their borders. Donald Trump speaking with the White House,
elsewhere in interviews with the US news outlets, the President said that the biggest wave
of his offensive was yet to come and that he wouldn't rule out the possibility of putting
boots on the ground. He also said that he was willing to take as long as needs be to complete
his war aims. For its part, the Iranian red crescent says more than 550 people have been killed
so far in the American and Israeli air strikes. Communications have been patchy inside the country,
but we did manage to speak to one Tehran-based man who describes himself as an independent journalist
and political commentator. He's Muhammad Khatibi and he gave me a sense of what day three of the
war has been like in the Iranian capital. Many people have left the city and the city is literally
half of the population. The shops are open, essential shops, supermarkets, bread stores.
There is no queues in the gas stations and the strikes continue, but it's not like day one.
How do you think people in Tehran have reacted to the death of the Supreme Leader?
Because we did see that there were some demonstrations in support of the regime,
but there were also reports of some people cheering and dancing when the news came out.
Many people are really angry. You call them regime supporters, but I say ordinary people.
They are really angry and they have filled the streets calling for retaliation and there are
some other groups of people who celebrated the assassination of the leader and these groups
are not big enough and the situation is somewhat under the control of the security forces.
There is no big protest and there is no unrest, but I don't think that will continue because
the United States and Israel have now started to target police stations, small military bases
like Basich bases in Tehran and I think this is a preparation for an operation by the
separatist groups or other opposition groups to carry out unrest inside Tehran.
But just looking ahead, what do you think the strategy is likely to be from the leaders in Iran?
Do you think that this feels as if it's shaping up to be a sort of almost a fight to the end?
So many people thought that if the leader is killed, the state will collapse.
But as we are seeing right now, there has formed a three-man council which has been
foreseen in the constitution and after I think a few days there will be assembly of experts
which will choose the other leader. I don't know how his stance will be, but right now the people
supporting the late Atollahamani are asking for retaliation never seen before and they say that
the retaliation is not enough and the IRGC and other security forces should carry out
bigger operations against not just the United States and Israel, but the countries hosting
US bases. So can I ask you about that, Mohamed? Because obviously I'm speaking to you
because you're a journalist, you're a political commentator, but may I ask you just personally
how you as a young man feel about that? Because if there is this appetite for retaliation,
as you put it, I mean, you know, the US and Israel have very, very powerful militaries.
There could be a huge amount of damage inflicted on Iran.
I think right now the only ones who are suffering are the ordinary people, civilians like me,
but the ideology of the leadership and the people who are fighting now against the United States
is simple. They attack United States and Israel until they either be victorious or be killed.
There is an ideology in the Shia Muslims, which says that either you kill us and we win or
we got killed and we go to paradise. This ideology runs in the veins of many of the leaders
in Iran and I think that they don't fear what happened to the leader and this was a shocking
thing for Trump because the view that the West had differs from what Iranian leadership
thinks. That was why the Iranian leader did not surrender. And that's why I also just wondered
what you as a young man feel about that prospect, that idea that this could be a fight to the death.
I'm a civilian and I want the war to be ended, but not with surrender because I don't want
another country to govern my country and that's period. I don't want my leadership to be chosen
from outside. No one other than Iran should decide for Iran. Many people are like me and they
want to choose and self-determinate, not stated from outside of country by the United States.
And do you think that you have the chance to have that self-determination now inside Iran?
I like the other regional countries. There is a process in Iran which makes that possible,
but with US pressure that can't happen right now because the United States and Israel
are pushing for something extreme in my view. They want to partition the country. It wants to
divide and separate the country into smaller states, controllable states, and many Iranians
like me, they oppose it. This is not because of the regime or anything like that.
There are many opposition groups who support this idea, even some opposition groups outside Iran
support this idea of unity. Even Reza Pahlevi supports this.
And that was Mahamid Khatibyan, independent journalist and political commentator speaking to
me from Tehran. Israel is also struck inside Lebanon pounding parts of the capital Beirut and the
south of the country in response to overnight attacks from the Iranian proxy militia,
Hezbollah. The Israeli military says its offensive campaign is likely to last several days.
From Beirut is the BBC's Wira Davis.
From the early hours of the morning, Israel launched a barrage of attacks against Hezbollah
positions here in Beirut. Explosions could be heard and felt throughout the day in the Lebanese
capital. In some areas buildings were damaged and streets were strewn with debris.
In Beirut, pounding parts of southern Lebanon, which is also regarded as a Hezbollah stronghold,
more than 31 people were killed according to Lebanon's health ministry. These residents in Beirut's
southern suburbs said the Israeli estrikes came without warning and they fled for their lives.
I don't know how we got dressed and escaped. Everyone was screaming in the streets,
fleeing, said local resident Fatima Harun.
We're very tired of wars, she says. We're really tired. We just want to be safe.
Israel has continued to hit targets in Beirut and further afield throughout the day.
Striking Hezbollah's financial structures as well as senior figures in the pro-Iranian
Shia militia, which had earlier fired missiles into Israel, risking a wider regional conflict.
That is the one thing other political factions in Lebanon are desperate to avoid
after the damaging year-long conflict with Israel. They have condemned Hezbollah's actions,
but that's unlikely to placate Israel, which has vowed to continue the strikes.
We're at Avis in Beirut. Dr. Abdul Rahman Bissri is an independent Lebanese member
of parliament from Saeeda in the south of the country. He told me first about the impact of his
ready strikes on his constituency. Since yesterday we were experiencing severe traffic coming
from south of Lebanon to the city of Saeeda either to seek shelter outside the
or to move further north into the capital Beirut or into northern areas of Lebanon.
So the congestion is extremely intolerable. The city is busting with a lot of people
and many people trying to seek shelter, which is probably not always available.
It's unfortunate that the demand is very high and the availability is extremely low.
The Prime Minister has said we announce a ban on Hezbollah's military activities
and restrict its role to the political sphere. I mean, he has suggested
that he's pretty fed up with Hezbollah deciding that he wants to get involved in this war
between the U.S. and Iran. Yes, you see the Prime Minister had issued this statement after
the Cabinet meeting and you know that the Cabinet has ministers from various spectrum of the
political scene in Lebanon. Hezbollah and those who represent the closest
Allah to Hezbollah, the Amal movement. So the fact that the Cabinet is still functioning
and the fact that they are still part of the Cabinet means that whether there is
differences or not, ultimately the policy, the official policy of Lebanon should be the official
policy of the Cabinet and what's being issued in the Cabinet. And that was the independent
Lebanese MP, Dr Abdul Rahman Bissri, just one line that has come out within the last hour
and that is from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, Kamar, saying today that the
straight-of-horn moves is closed. Iran will set fire to any ship trying to pass through.
Coming up on the programme, we'll be looking at how the Iranian war or the war with Iran
is going down with at least some Trump voters in the United States. I just cannot fathom why
we're doing this. And then at a more immediate, small D-Democratic level, this is a radical break
with what was promised by Trump and the kind of populous movement when the Trump Vance ticket ran
as the peace ticket. They called themselves the peace ticket, the no-new wars ticket.
More on that in 15 minutes. Our main headline this has, we've been hearing President Trump has
said that his war against Iran is ahead of schedule. In his first comments on the conflict
from the White House, he says the attack is expected to last several weeks.
This is the BBC World Service and Life from London. You're listening to NewsHour with me,
Tim Franks. We've heard so far from Iran and from Lebanon. Let's head now to one of the other
key protagonists in all this Israel. The Israeli military has been hitting as we were just hearing
dozens of sites inside Lebanon, but also principally directing its fire alongside the U.S. military
at targets in Iran. It's also been trying to repel Iranian missiles in large parts successfully.
But some Iranian munitions are getting through. On Sunday, nine people were killed in the town of
Betshemish from where today the Israeli Prime Minister Bin-i-Min Netanyahu had this to say.
When I stand here in a place that was bombarded by the terrorist in Tehran against innocent
civilians, you see the difference. The tyrants of Tehran target civilians. We target the tyrants
of Tehran to protect civilians. They chant death to Israel, death to America. That's their ultimate
target. But I said that they would also target those in between. And if this terrorist regime
of the kind we've never seen in the world, if they get nuclear weapons and the means to deliver
them, they will threaten all of humanity.
Bin-i-Min Netanyahu is speaking from Betshemish. The BBC's Anna Foster has been speaking to
Israel's head of state president Isaac Hedsog, and she asked him why Israel and the U.S. had chosen
to attack Iran on Saturday while negotiations had been in train between the U.S. and Iran.
On that country's nuclear program, negotiations which some of those involved with said had been
making progress. It's an absolute lie. I spoke myself to people who were in the room.
And what they said, give you just one example. The Iranian said, oh, we are willing, of course,
to put a lid on our enrichment program and we won't move towards the bomb. But we need
all sorts of requirements for all sorts of reasons, from scientific to research to other,
which would have brought them to five times. The agreement that was done a few years back,
the JCPOI, meaning way above 20% enrichment, which is a farce and a joke to every anyone
who understands in nuclear enrichment. They are very devious in the way they negotiate.
They have a target and an objective. They want to get to the bomb and they want to destroy
long-term. What do I'm keen to establish, President Hertz? I don't want to interrupt you,
but I know that our time together is limited. And what I'm keen to establish here is,
is what level of destruction in Iran you are trying to reach. There are questions about
the legality of this war. Under international law, you can only attack preemptively if you fear
an immediate use of force by the other side. We are not attacking, not us, not the Americans,
anything civilian. We are attacking places where there are launchers of huge missiles or
there have been civilians. We created a well-created havoc and death and destruction,
also in Israel and the entire region. Of course, there are attacks on the command and control
centers of the Iranian army and besiege by the way. These attacks, let's not forget,
just a few weeks ago, the Iranian regime mode about 32 to 50,000 of those citizens,
just like that, just killed anybody. But we do need to acknowledge the civilian deaths,
I don't want us to move too far away from the point here. But we should not, Anna, we should not
be naive. I don't think we're being naive by asking not everyone to do this. You quoted an expert
on international law explaining why things cannot be done. It's like waiting again and again
for an attack by the Iranian army. Of an immediate use of force by Iran against Israel.
I'll explain to you, if they carried out 20 attacks in Britain or perpetrated 20 attacks in
Britain, you think they didn't attack Israel. They've tried to attack Israel from all
corners of the earth in the last four days. But do you have evidence of an immediate use of force?
But that's not the reason in international law. In international law, you use self-defense when
you know that your enemy is perpetrating and planning movement towards a bomb that wants to
annihilate you because he says they say this bomb is in order to annihilate. And President
has all the laws that has to be immediate and you're not addressing that point. Of course,
I'm addressing it because we have huge amount of proof, which we are sharing, of course,
with our British allies and every other ally. The fact that your base in a criterion Cyprus
was attacked for the first time by missiles from Iran. What does it mean? They think you're a friend
or a foe. If you're a foe, then everybody should get together and fight these evil forces
and break this empire of evil once and for all and bring different hope for the region and for
the Middle East and for the future of the world. That's exactly what we're doing.
These are really President Isaac Herzog talking to Anna Foster. Anna has also been trying to get
a sense of what this war is meaning for much of the population of Israel as well as it comes under
attack. This is Anna's report from Tel Aviv, which I should warn does include the sound of missile
alerts. That was the sound of a missile in the sky that you could hear there. This is one of the
busiest shopping streets in Tel Aviv. You can hear the sirens going and this is the first day of
the working week and there is absolutely nobody here because these alerts, these sirens are going
off regularly at the moment once an hour, sometimes more frequently. So people are staying indoors,
they're staying close to shelters. This should be a bustling and busy street and there's nobody
here at all. It's usually tons of people outside. All the cafes, there are many cafes. This is
what Tel Aviv is for. You know, cafe life during the day and nightlife during night and it's empty.
It happens once a year on Yom Kippur, you know. It's really bad. It's very intense, very, very intense.
Do you feel safe? What do you call safe in this country?
We're kind of used to it. Keeping calm. But when we have wars usually, it's around the borders and it's
far here and this time it's in Tel Aviv. How do you feel about this war? Do you feel that it was the
right idea to start it or are you unsure? What do you think? Too many areas are not familiar to us,
you know, things happen. Just hope that this time it's going to be the end final that it's really
going to not happen again because it's only our second time since we remember wars that looks
this way and it's crazy. It's interesting hearing you say that because a lot of people that I've
been speaking to aren't saying I think this war was a really good idea or I think this war was
a terrible idea. People like you seem kind of in the middle about this government, we don't know.
There is a lot that is not said. But one thing for sure, those alarms all the time for the
children in this country is devastating. It's terrible.
That's an interception. I should say we are in hard cover at the moment. We found a place to stand
where there is concrete all around us that's giving protection. But those explosions, that is the
missile defence system and it's where they're being caught in the sky, high above our heads and they
are exploded before they ever hit the ground. And when one of those missiles hits, this is what it
looks like, a building that has collapsed down from the top onto itself. You can see where the
fire was burning and everything has just been destroyed. And then as you turn and look around,
what is a square? This is a children's playpark actually. There are benches where people sit and
when you look all the way around, the windows have been blown out of almost every apartment that's
broken glass being swept up. And in the middle of the grass, there's a big pile of rucksacks,
some of them have got food in, some of them have got spare clothes and water. Because obviously the
people who've been affected here are spread across quite a wide area. The impact is devastating.
Anophosta reporting for us from Tel Aviv. You're listening to news app from the BBC.
Welcome back to news app. Global oil prices have risen sharply in response to the conflict
in the Middle East. The cost of European gas soared during the day by more than 50 percent.
Producers, insurers and shipping firms have all been affected by disruption to a key waterway
the strait of hall moves for a broader sense of the impact. News as Regina Vigenathan has been
speaking to the Lebanese energy economist, Dr Carol Nacklay. I'm not surprised to see oil and gas prices
increasing for sure in the markets open this morning. But this did not start suddenly today.
We started seeing an increase in prices as soon as the world started to hear about the American
military buildup in the region in the Middle East, which is the biggest producing and exporting
region for oil and gas. And what we saw as the American military buildup was the biggest
since the war in Iraq a couple of decades ago. So definitely the market has been preparing for
a worst-case scenario, which is happening today. And this morning we saw the prices increasing
and we're not sure whether we have seen the end of it because lots of scenarios are still unfolding
and becoming clearer and we are really not watching closely to see where the energy infrastructure
is going to become the next important targets for retaliation from the Iranian side.
And just tell us what countries you are watching because we're seeing many Gulf states being hit
in retaliatory strikes in terms of looking and monitoring how that might impact on going
oil and energy prices. I'm watching the entire region because we're talking about, of course,
you do have Saudi Arabia, the biggest oil producer, you have Qatar, the biggest gas producer,
but they all rely heavily on the state of Hormuz to get their oil and gas from that region
to the rest of the world via tankers. And therefore when the war is taking place and the
Iranians are threatening or they are closing part of the state of Hormuz and some oil tankers
are being attacked, that is going to cause major disruptions to available supplies to the global
market and putting a more pressure on prices. That said, if we see now energy producing
infrastructure in countries such as Saudi Arabia being seriously attacked and damaged,
then we are going to see further upward pressure on prices because they are the biggest producer
in that part of the world. Let's talk about Saudi Arabia then because it's temporarily closed,
it's largest refinery after a drone strike. So how much will that single incident actually
impact prices? It all depends on how long the refinery is going to be closed for and whether
the Saudis are able to replace whatever production comes from that refinery with something else.
So we are now in a mode of wait and see, but mind you a few years ago, a Saudi refinery was also
attacked and that was resolved immediately with any matter of days and not weeks, but the
situation today is different. So far, I have to say that even though oil prices increase,
they are still moderate compared to previous crises where we so prices jumping to above
$100 a barrel. And that was the energy economist and CEO of Crystal Energy, Dr. Carol McLean,
since she was speaking to Erbidjini Vidyanath and the commander of the IRGC has said that
any ship that attempts to get through the Strait of Hormuz will be set on fire.
This is news live from the BBC World Service with me Tim Franks and while I speak to you now,
the Israeli military has said that it's begun a new wave of strikes on Tehran and did the
Israeli military spokesman speaking in or tweeting in Farsi has warned people in the Evan
area of Tehran to evacuate on mass. We heard earlier in the program Donald Trump set out for the
first time from the White House since the start of this war, what his rationale and objectives are,
early in the day, it had been the turn of the US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to deliver
in his own signature rapid fire delivery his sense of how this war would unfold.
This is not a rack. This is not endless. I was there for both. Our generation knows better and
so does this president. He called the last 20 years of nation building wars dumb and he's right.
This is the opposite. This operation is a clear devastating decisive mission. Destroy the
missile threat, destroy the Navy, no nooks. Israel has clear missions as well for which we are
grateful. Capable partners are good partners unlike so many of our traditional allies who ring
their hands and clutch their pearls, hemming and hawing about the use of force. America regardless
of what so-called international institutions say is unleashing the most lethal and precise
air power campaign in history, all on our terms with maximum authorities. No stupid rules of
engagement, no nation building, quagmire, no democracy building, exercise, no politically correct
wars. We fight to win and we don't waste time or lives.
Sore of Amari is US editor of the British News magazine Unheard. He also describes himself as
a Republican voter and a supporter of Donald Trump. In which case, why has he also been writing that
he has reservations about this war? Well, I should say I'm an American of Iranian heritage
and in a sense if the war works out the way that President Trump promised, it would actually be
good for me somehow. I'd get to visit the old country, it's a democracy, but it's as an American
that I think this is a bad idea because I believe that for the United States, the future challenges
and opportunities don't lie in West Asia. They're into Pacific region and in order to meet those
challenges, we need to do a lot of domestic reconciliation, unemployment, affordability, lack of
industrial capacity, rebuilding the US military's industrial capacity rather than wasting what little
munitions we have right now. So with all of that in mind, I just cannot fathom why we're doing this
and then at a more immediate small D democratic level, this is a radical break with what was promised
by Trump and the kind of populist movement beginning in 2016 and then in 2024 when the Trump
Vance ticket ran as the peace ticket, the no-new wars ticket. Countering what you're saying about
the idea that this is a war that was, you know, perhaps not necessary to wage at this time,
Pete Hegseth, the Secretary of Defense, has said, look, this is, I mean, in terms, he said,
we did not start this war, but under present Trump, we're finishing it. And what he meant by we
did not start this war is he was talking about how Iran over the last 47 years of the Islamic Republic
has attacked Americans and American interests and also because of what he perceives as the threat
of the nuclear program and the ballistic missile program. He's not wrong. This is a nasty
anti-American regime. The question is, was Iran an imminent threat to the United States? And
where are there other means for dealing with an Iranian regime that is unquestionably
unpleasant and nasty, short of waging a war for, quote unquote, Iranian freedom? I mean, we're
back to very kind of terrible outcomes that the American people are telling him they don't want.
Right now, there was a Reuters-Ipsis poll that suggests that one in four American supports
these. There are ones that suggest maybe slightly more popularity, but not much more than that.
But within that, sir, I'm sorry to interrupt. I mean, that Reuters poll also suggests that actually
55% of Republicans approve of this, only 13% disapprove. So I wonder, I mean, you describe
yourself as a Trumpian convert. I just wonder whether actually it is you who are out of step.
55% of Republicans approving of a US military action, 24, 48 hours after it's been launched,
that's a horrific polling number in terms of whether or not the rally around the flag has been
achieved compared to even the Iraq war. So then you add the fact that as a Republican,
as a conservative, I would like conservatives to win a national electorate, and it's not just
about what the Republican base thinks. The MAGA base will just go along with whatever Trump
hands down, and that's who they are. But the reason that President Trump wins national elections
is because he plays for the middle. He plays for those so-called Obama-to-Trump voters who twice
elected him. A lot of them are working class people who are not committed Republicans. They went
along with him because he, for example, described the Iraq war as a catastrophe, as a disaster,
because he broke with Republican Orthodoxy not because he upheld it.
Your column for Unheard's Arab is headlined how JD Vance lost the foreign policy war.
The Vice President has made a reputation for himself as somebody who would rather that the
US did not get entangled abroad. What do you think he's going through at the moment?
It's not off the record information. It's a well-known divide within the Trumpian orbit,
between those who call themselves restrainers. They don't want an expansive policy, as well as
those who see themselves as prioritizers who think, look, there's a world of limited resources,
and in that world of limited resources, we should focus on China. That's kind of where more
I am personally. That's one group, and on the other are the hawks, and it's the hawks,
and really President Trump should be counted as one of them. It's really him driving it,
who wants something else. Has it made you reassess your opinion of Trump?
Yeah, I have to say, unfortunately, it's made me reassess at a fundamental level whether
the right can be a force for having the US focus on its own industrial development,
pick strategic battles, and see what's really the most important things for the US to do. Is it
is it really West Asia? Or is it elsewhere? Is it the Chinese challenges? I just don't think the
Republican Party, including in its Trumpian manifestation, has shown itself capable of that kind
of serious strategic rethinking. And that was Sara Amari, speaking to me from the US.
This is a war that, as I've mentioned, has already spread and intensified. Military strikes
out of Iran have been reported on a major gas plant in Qatar, in decatter, state-owned energy
company, says it's halted production of liquefied natural gas, of which is one of the world's major
supplies, hence the big spike in European gas prices. Added to that, the biggest
all-refinery in Saudi Arabia halted operations after a drone attacks sparked a fire.
There's certainly dismay among Gulf Arab countries about Iran's missile attacks.
What about the feeling more broadly in the region? That's a question for the Assistant Secretary
General of the 22 Member State, Arab League, Hassan Sakhi. We're viewing all this with tremendous
sadness, of course, because we had thought that there was a chance for peace to dialogue through
negotiations. Now that military action has taken place, we were surprised that Iran took a hit at
all the Arab states near to it, and that was really a very unfortunate development, a severe
lack of good judgment, and I think if it continues like that, it will create a huge wedge,
or an additional wedge between the Arab states and Iran. Do you think it's right that the US
attacked along with Israel? It is not up to me to describe this action, but usually when you have
situation where negotiations are ongoing, then it would be right to also presume that those
negotiations could go the full way and should yield the results that they should yield.
It sounds, I mean, it sounds, Mr. Sakhi, I mean, you're being very diplomatic, which I would expect
to diplomat to be, but it sounds as if you are maybe a little bit disappointed that the US
chose war over negotiations. It is a feeling that negotiations were not given a full chance,
and we would have liked negotiations to continue. Iran, as you have mentioned, has now widened its
response to this by sending missiles and drones towards Gulf Arab states. The AFP news agency
has quoted, I don't know who it is, they are quoting, because it just says diplomatic chief,
but it's the quotas that Iran has no hostility towards Gulf Arab countries. Presumably,
the argument is that what they're trying to target are US military bases. Do you take any reassurance
from that? Not at all, not for the least. This is an ongoing war. What counts here are not
diplomatic expressions. What counts here are actions, and in the actions we have seen
time and again throughout the past three days, the civilian targets being hit by Iranian missiles
or drones. This is not what we would have expected at all from a neighbor of those countries
who have very strongly defended and negotiated outcome, but now they have made this bad judgment call,
and I think it may have an effect on the overall situation. What effect? If this situation continues,
I think Iran will have a lot to explain later and will have to bear consequences on what it has
been doing. When you say bear consequences, you're not talking about the possibility of
military action from those Gulf Arab countries, are you? It's a sovereign decision for each member state,
but they have said that there can be consequences to such Iranian actions. We do not want to
add fuel to the already existing fire, but that is such a tense situation that we would like
to see cooler heads prevail. May I ask you as a veteran observer of the region,
whether you think actually this could be an opportunity, this could be a new
better time for Iran, or whether you think and lots of people are warning about this,
that actually what could follow is more instability. Can I just ask if you have a sense of which way
this may turn? When you say an opportunity, I beg to differ. It is not a good,
positive, healthy opportunity that we're taking. It is an opportunity presented through blood shedding,
and this is not what we are seeking at all. If the Iranian people want to change
their ruling system, their ruling regime, it is up to them, it is their will. Otherwise,
it will be a change from outside, and we have seen many times the outcomes of such attempts,
and the outcomes are often dramatic, both to the region and to the people involved.
Hossam Zaki from the Arab League. This is news air from the BBC World Service with me,
Tim Franks. All the signs are that this war is only just beginning, indeed, we're just hearing
out of Tehran from the news agencies there, Reuters and AFP saying that explosions have been
heard once again late at night in Tehran. All the protagonists say that they're in it for as long
as it takes. You expect them to, I suppose, but how long can they sustain hostilities? And to
what ends? They do appear to have been some shifting messages at the very least out of the
Trump administration over the last three days. Laura Rosen is a veteran policy, foreign policy
journalist. She now writes among other things, a diplomatic newsletter it's called at Substag.
Does she have a sense that what given what Don Trump has had to say at the White House today
that the American war objectives are now clear? You know, it seems like it's still a bit muddled
and why it has been so hard for the Trump administration to come up with a mission statement
until today is unclear. You know, you saw Trump do a few dozen short interviews with the media
over the weekend, seemingly kind of testing out different arguments without making a proper case.
And even today, when he when he gave one at the White House at a military medal of honor ceremony,
you know, without taking any questions, he was reading from a teleprompter. His demeanor was quite
tired and and it seemed like he was a little uncomfortable with what he was reading.
So there there does seem to be a lot of discomfort still. And I think, you know, I was trying to
think about what the reason that might be is. And I think that Israel may be leading a little bit
more here than the Trump administration in terms of the of the mission. And, you know, they might not
the U.S. side may not have totally thought it through. I mean, he does, as you were suggesting,
I mean, often sound a little less high or sort of superpowered in terms of his delivery when
he's reading from a teleprompter. But I mean, he did say, look, we're after destroying the missile
capability of Iran and annihilating their navy, stopping them from ever getting a nuclear weapon,
stopping sponsoring militant groups in the region. I suppose, you know, in a sense, he will retain
the right at a certain point to declare we've done enough. I think that's right. And, you know,
do you remember back in the fall when Israel struck a Hamas target in Qatar and Trump kind of
seized on that to press Israel to and the Gaza war to get a ceasefire? And I think he hasn't yet
settled on what the moment might be when he presses Israel to end this. But when he's talking about
four to five weeks as you're hurting the last couple of hours, you know, he's supposed to go to
China in the beginning of April, the end of March for an important meeting for him, which he,
because a lot of the U.S. economy and a lot of the things Trump's voters are really focused on
have to do with China. And so I do think that he'll want to see this wrapped up before he goes there.
Do you think he's likely to feel a certain amount of economic pressure given that, I mean,
we've already seen oil and gas prices rise. The straits of all moves have been closed,
according to the the Iranian military. And, you know, for all the criticism that we heard from
the Assistant Secretary General of the Arab League, I mean, it is possible that some pressure could
come to bear on the U.S. to wrap this up reasonably quickly from those Gulf Arab countries.
I think he's sensitive to economic issues. And I'm not sure that's the first thing. I do think that,
you know, you've seen the reports that the U.S. only has a certain number of interceptors. And
it's allies who are getting, you know, hit by Iranians also only have a certain number of
interceptors. And they, I know the Pentagon, according to reports, is extremely concerned about
that supply running out. So I think, you know, he has a few different clocks pressuring him.
And I think the economic one is one of them, but I think the Pentagon may be laying on him before
that to look for a way to end this. On that, Laura, I was just wondering, I mean, there are obviously
mixed messages about just the sort of the imbalance in the capabilities here, or at least differing
messages. I mean, there is no doubt that U.S., the U.S., and Israeli military are far, far stronger
than Iran. But one reading that I've read in a few places is that actually the Iranians,
you know, they can really cause some headaches, particularly for the Americans,
by sapping their anti-missile defense systems, especially, you know, trying to shoot down
loads and loads of drones, for example. Could that be a factor, do you think?
You know, Trump did not go to the American people, you know, before this, and he really didn't
even had a state of the union just less than a week ago, you know, just said a few lines about
Iran there. He has not really made the case to the American people for why we're doing this.
The polling shows, you know, 60% of the people are already against it. Congress, the Democrats,
are extremely agitated that they were not consulted. Rubio, the Secretary of State,
only today talking to more congressional leadership, and then tomorrow they're supposed to
brief the Senate now. But, you know, they really have blown off Congress almost entirely. So,
there's not a lot of public support, and they haven't done anything to get congressional or
public support. So, you know, and Trump was already, you know, I think he was kind of riding high
after the Venezuela mission. He clearly wanted a Venezuela type, you know, one day, two day thing
in Iran, and the Pentagon, I think, told him that they can't do that. But I think Trump might have
gotten overconfident from that, that he could do something quickly, and maybe the Iranians would
come back to the table, and that does not seem to be what they're assessing two days into this.
And that was Laura Rosen, the veteran foreign policy journalist speaking out of the US,
and in the past hour or so, the US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has been giving this update to
reporters. There's two reasons why now. The first is it was abundantly clear that if Iran
came under attack by anyone, they were going to respond and respond against the United States.
The orders had been delegated down to the field commanders. It was automatic, and in fact it
bear to be true, because, in fact, within an hour of the initial attack, the missile forces in
the south and in the north, for that matter, had already been activated to launch. In fact,
those had already been prepositioned. The third is the assessment that was made that if we stood and
waited for that attack to come first before we hit them, we would suffer much higher casualties.
And so the President made the very wise decision. We knew that there was going to be an Israeli
action. We knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces, and we knew that
if we didn't preemptively go after them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer
higher casualties. And then we would all be here answering questions about why we knew that and did an
attack. Marco Rubio and Justin in the last couple of minutes, the U.S. Department of State has
called for Americans immediately to depart more than a dozen countries in the Middle East.
That's it from this edition of News Air, from Mead Tim Franks and the team here in London.
Thanks for your company.
