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Good morning, awakened takers.
What is going on?
It is Tuesday, March 3rd, and it has been a while.
It's been a while since I've been on the show.
It's been a while since the show has gone on at all.
But I'm glad to be back.
We got a lot to catch up on.
And honestly, I feel like I'm coming back
at the perfect time right now.
We got a ton of things to go.
That's going on.
We got combine.
We got three agency.
There's trades flying all around.
I'm just going to jump right into it
because that's what I want to talk about.
Obviously, we had the big trade yesterday.
We had David Montgomery being shipped out of Detroit
and going down to Houston.
And that is a huge effect.
I know it doesn't feel like it's like that big of a whatever,
but it truly has a huge effect on the entirety
of the fantasy football landscape
because we have a guy in Jamir Gibbs,
who is locked in top five pick for 2026.
Best ball redraft, even dynasty, does not matter.
Jamir Gibbs is going to be a top five guy no matter what.
He's in there with the Bijan, Apuka, JSN, Jamar Chase.
Those five, you pretty much, you shake up the snow globe
and those guys settle anywhere.
And you're happy wherever you're at, 101 to 105.
But with this news here, I truly believe
Jamir Gibbs is the undisputed,
should be the only easy click you have at the 101.
The ceiling has already been the most ridiculous thing
that we've seen in fantasy football in a long time.
The ceiling for Jamir Gibbs has always been
ladenian, Tomlinson, level, peak David Johnson,
like just these huge massive ceilings.
And we just have always been, the question has always been,
well, how much does he split with Montgomery?
How much does he split in the red zone, in the goal line?
And within the five, and those questions,
those fears of ceiling capping, like problems,
it's just, it's gone, it's gone.
David Montgomery's gone.
Are they going to bring in somebody else?
Of course, they're not rolling in with Cione Baikai
as the number two running back into Troy.
Like that's not going to happen.
That's not what I'm saying is going to happen.
Obviously, there's going to be someone either in the draft.
I would expect round three plus, or maybe even a round two,
who knows?
I feel like I can never put a pin in where Detroit
is going in the draft.
I'm always kind of confused.
I feel like offensive line and defense
need to be short up 100%.
So if we spend a date around two pick
on the running back position, probably going
to be a little bit frustrated.
But I was also probably a little bit frustrated
about Jamir Gibbs when we drafted him and gone.
Problems gone.
But at the end of the day, the lines
will be adding someone to this running back room,
whether it's a lower end, cheaper, free agent.
We could see someone like a Tyler Algier come in.
Obviously, that's essentially just a swap of Montgomery tile
gear.
I think Algier is going to get more than what the Lions
are willing to pay him for that role.
So we will see how it all shakes out.
But at the end of the day, I still think that no matter what,
no matter who comes into that running back room, Jamir Gibbs
needs to be your 101 and best ball and redraft.
The edge is now like, this is where you get that ability
where someone might not be taking Gibbs at the 101.
Someone may be taking Bijan.
They might be taking Pukuch, ASN.
Like I said, that top five is kind of like a snow globe
shaker where you're happy wherever you fall.
But Jamir Gibbs needs to be your 101 selection.
He is going to have a monster season.
He's got the floor baked in.
He's got the ceiling.
Like I said, the ceiling is just like,
you can't even see the ceiling now.
You look up and the ceiling is all the way
to the stratosphere for Jamir Gibbs.
And it's not like this crazy far-fetched world
where he hits that.
It's a very, very plausible, easy to picture
season out of Jamir Gibbs.
Like I said, peak CMC, peak ladenian Tomlinson,
just that type of season is waiting for Jamir Gibbs.
And we know that the Lions can achieve it.
We know that the Lions like to lean on the running backs
when they have to, when they can.
So I think that we're going to go see an amazing season
out of Jamir Gibbs.
You know, like I said, welcome back, guys.
I appreciate all of Jamie happy.
Alex, it's great to see you guys in here.
Thank you guys for coming back.
I know I disappeared for a bit there.
I'll go ahead and give a little bit of an update
and apology for disappearing here.
Work got absolutely crazy in December through January
to be honest with you.
So went on a vacation, came back,
work went absolutely insane.
So wasn't able to focus on the content to a point
where I even like had time to do a show.
So apologies for missing.
I'm glad to be back.
You know, like I said, it's a perfect time to be back.
We got, we got rookies to talk.
We got dynasty to talk.
And we also got some, you know, like it's,
it's pretty much peak best fall season too.
Like it might not be when everyone else
is doing their best fall draft,
but I feel like this is the best time to get your edge
especially with the rookies.
A lot of things going on here where there's just so much
uncertainty with the draft not happening yet.
So there's pockets where the uncertainty is so high
that you just, you just take a little bit of a dip ski into it.
You don't have to, you don't have to go full bore
like every single draft or taking a,
you're taking the same dudes in the same pockets.
You get to sprinkle it around a little bit
and take advantage of the guys that are precariously perched
right now.
We have a ton of free agents that we're going to go over later.
Guys, just like Tyler Alger, guys like Kenny Gain,
well, Rico Dowdell, like these secondary type,
second fiddle running backs that are either going to put
themselves in a position to be values themselves
or they're going to completely destroy a running back room.
So there's a whole lot of things to take advantage of
in the best ball landscape in the dynasty landscape
if you're doing your rookie draft before the NFL draft.
There's just so many places to take advantage of value.
That's what we're here to talk about today.
Jamie, you had the 101 yesterday for an underdog draft
on a podcast and you still took Bijan.
I mean, that's, you know, like I said,
those top five all great choices.
I just think that it's not even a question at this point
that it's Gibbs at the very top.
I love Bijan.
I think he's going to have another great season.
Hopefully Atlanta can, you know,
put something together that's a little bit better offensively
and a little bit more consistent
compared to what we saw last year.
But at the end of the day, I just, you know,
maybe a little bit biased,
but I just think that the Lions are going to have a better
bounce back than the Atlanta Falcons are.
And I think that's only going to benefit
Jim Mirgibs moving forward here.
But yeah, let's go ahead and let's get moving.
Let's get moving.
Not trying to fumble my way through my first episode back.
Not trying to do that.
We're going to jump right into the news
and we got a ton of news going on right now.
I'll revisit the David Montgomery trade
just to kind of cover everything outside of Jim Mirgibs,
outside of Ja, Falcons have two times go to the, yeah.
Woo!
He did so good.
He did so good, man.
I don't know.
How can he not turn it around, right?
He seems to always have his finger on the pulse
of what the quarterback move should be.
And you know, there's no controversy right now
in Atlanta over quarterback, not at all.
They don't still have Kirk cousins on their contract,
maybe cut, maybe sticking around, maybe pinnocks,
maybe not pinnocks.
I don't know.
But bouncing back over, we got the demon trade
to the Houston Texans.
I think that overall in terms of the NFL,
this was a big fat W for the Detroit Lions.
Very sad to see David Montgomery go.
He was a huge, just focal point of the team,
not just the offense, not just the production that he had,
but to the team.
He very much embodied the Dan Campbell mentality
of taking kneecaps, having a chip on the shoulder
at all times and just running angry
and making sure that the team stayed angry
and ready to go and ready to perform.
And he was a huge piece of the team.
A very sad to see him go.
I don't know if you guys saw his Instagram post,
shed a tear as a Detroit Lions fan,
but hoping that he has some success down in Houston.
In terms of his fantasy Valley, though,
I am a bit terrified because we saw last season
and the past two seasons, really,
the Houston Texans number one problem
is the offensive line.
And instead of addressing it,
this off season, they have shipped off two offensive linemen,
both of which had starting snaps,
like significant starting snaps on their line.
I understand wanting to do a full, you know,
maybe tear down to rebuild it type thing,
but I also feel like you got to have some
foundation to start with on the offensive line.
And I just, I don't know what they're going to be doing
in offensive line.
I know they're obviously going to have to,
like we're still in the early bits of the off season.
We still have the draft for them to address it.
We still have a follow on free agency
for them to address it.
There's more trades that can happen.
This isn't like the season isn't starting tomorrow.
And they're not going in with the offensive line
they have at this exact moment,
but I am still just very concerned about this offense as a whole.
We've seen Stroud struggle without having the time.
We've seen the wide receiver struggle.
We've had Nico Collins look like a bust
at the beginning of the year that he got an injury.
He came back and was strong once again,
once things kind of did get settled
and they kind of found a groove there with the line.
So I do think that there is potential here.
This is an offense full of weapons.
They have lots and lots of exciting young players.
They got exciting veterans that are proven studs.
So it'll be interesting to see an overall in terms of
David Montgomery himself, the value.
I do like the fact that he goes back to being a one A starter.
We will have to see how the offensive line shakes out.
I think right now looking at the outlook of the season,
it's a very lateral move.
He goes from being the one B,
even the two in Detroit,
where he was more of an efficiency touchdown based running back.
He now goes to the flip side of that
where he's going to be way less efficient in Houston
with the offensive line.
He's the offense in general is going to be a step down
from Detroit.
So he'll be a lot less efficient,
but the volume is going to go way up.
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We saw Houston clawing.
They've been clawing for like two years now
at a steady running back to lean on.
They tried to bring in Joe Mixon.
Joe Mixon had the great season last year
before the injury completely derailed it.
And then he completely just didn't even play the season
due to an off the field injury, off season injury.
That we still never got clarity on.
We still, he's still technically a Houston Texan right now.
But the writing is on the wall that he will be cut at some point.
So it is going to be the David Montgomery show.
And Woody Marks is going to be in that similar role
that we saw him in early last season
where he's going to be more of a breather back type
to the veteran that Houston wants to lean on.
It's just instead of Nick Chubb or Joe Mixon,
it is now David Montgomery.
So Woody Marks goes from someone
that I hope you sold him in dynasty
because his value was kind of getting crazy
when he was the only guy in the room.
People were kind of going a little bit crazy like that.
So if you were able to flip him for a second even,
that's a great win right there in my opinion
for a guy that you probably drafted in the third, fourth round
of your rookie drafts last year.
If you could have flipped him for anything,
good, good deal.
If you have not flipped him yet,
my advice to you would be just to hold Woody Marks for now
until you see some type of like volume game
where you're able to make a flip for just about anything at that point.
Because I think that Woody Marks is going to be
without a David Montgomery injury,
wildly irrelevant in fantasy football.
He's going to be one of those hopium type guys
that people will hold onto to try to chase the high
that they got last season where he was the bell cow
for that stretch at the end of the year.
The Texans online still sucks, exactly, exactly.
Until they address that, like,
David Montgomery is literally trading high touchdown expectations.
Woody Marks is his volume's gone.
So there's nothing here that makes me excited
other than the fact that David Montgomery's going to get volume.
But like I said, Woody Marks put him in the corner,
wait until you get a moment where he has a random big game
and one of your box score chasing leakmates
is just not paying attention
and you flip him for a third or something like that.
But yeah, you're kind of stuck with Woody Marks for now.
And then like I said, back over on the Detroit side,
Ja, Sonic gives 101 easy for me.
But as I said, the Lions will be bringing someone in
whether it's in the draft or in free agency
and that person is going to be relevant.
We've seen the RB2 in Detroit be relevant for
even before Jimmy or Gibbs.
We've just seen the Dan Campbell offense.
I know that he's not always been calling the plays
we had been Johnson, we had Dan Campbell
in their calling plays.
Now we got Drew Petsing.
So I do think that whoever is the number two in Detroit
is going to have standalone value.
It's going to be a role where it's not going to be,
it could be like I said, I keep coming back to Tyler Alger.
I feel like Alger is like, he's a perfect fit there.
I don't know if the money's going to work out,
but like the role in my mind is Tyler Alger
from last season where he gets his work,
he gets his 10 to 13 carries.
He'll he'll be in for some of the goal line work.
He's not going to be up here one B.
He's going to be a firm two.
But that firm two is going to very much
be like carries some fantasy value
and going especially in basketball.
You'll get some spike weeks
from the Detroit Lions RB2.
It will happen.
So if you do miss out on Jameer Gibbs at the 101,
go after whoever is the RB2 in your best ball leagues
once we have a more defined back up
instead of Cione back high.
That's where I'm at with the Detroit Lions
in terms of the running back room here,
but it's not just the Lions, it wasn't just this trade.
This is just the freshest one in my mind
and it was a little near and dear to my heart.
So I'll go ahead and I'll move on for everybody else to say,
but again, marks down Montgomery Lateral,
jaw to the moon and then whoever the RB2 is,
go snag him once it's a once it's defined,
fantasy whiplash, good morning, good morning,
how we doing, how we doing.
It's been a while, it's been a while.
It's good to be back though, happy to see you in here.
We got a some more running back news.
You know, let's just stick with it.
Javonte Williams is a little bit older.
He signed his three year extension
with the Dallas Cowboys.
It's for 24 million was the reported.
So about eight mil per year for Javonte.
And I think that's great.
Just from Javonte, the dude standpoint,
the Javonte, the football player, as well as I think his,
this is his best case scenario for fantasy football relevance as well.
We saw him have an amazing bell cow season last year.
And I mean, we've seen Dallas kind of always want to stick with that.
Like we, even when like it was like Tony Pollard in there
as the number one, he was very much the bell cow.
I know we saw some doubt all like mix in,
but that's just that's the NFL today.
There's very few true bell cows
and Javonte isn't going to be that true,
but he's going to be a 60 to 65 percent guy.
Once again, unless some crazy Jerry Jones nonsense goes on
and we see someone else get brought in.
I do think that obviously someone does get brought in
because behind Javonte, very similar to Detroit,
not great back there, but I don't think that it's going to be anyone.
This is, this is their big signing.
I don't think there's going to be a second big running back signing in Dallas.
We saw Javonte play great.
We saw, we saw him provide fantasy value on a weekly basis.
On a team that was passing the ball in insane amount
because the defense was an absolute piece of Swiss cheese.
So I think that all of these things,
I think Dallas is building and going to get better as a whole.
And I think that only improves Javonte Williams outlook.
I think it was already very good.
He is someone where if you are,
if you did have him in dynasty and you,
you made a run and now you're trying to tear down a rebuild,
you can sell high off of this news.
This is great news for him.
This is great news for his value.
But I also still think just because of the name,
the past, the fact that it's the Dallas Cowboys,
you might still be able to get him for a decent value
if you are looking to contend this year as well.
So he's kind of in that in-between stage
where he's a sell and a buy for me.
It just depends on my team outlook right now in terms of dynasty.
And in terms of redraft and bestball,
I'm going right back to the well.
I love Javonte.
It's not as much of a value this season
because last season it was the whole,
who's it going to be in Dallas?
There's three guys.
There's Jaden Blue.
There was Miles Sanders.
There was Javonte Williams
and people were just picking and choosing.
Now we have the defined role.
We have the defined hierarchy in Dallas.
So there's no true discount.
But I still think at value, Javonte Williams
is going to be an absolute great click of the button this year
in 2026.
So I think that that's great for him.
And I think that it's great for the offense in general.
Stick it with the Dallas Cowboys.
We had George Pickens franchise tag
looking for a long-term deal.
He might hold out.
He might not hold out.
You never know with a guy like George Pickens,
he wants to get his money.
Obviously, he did his one-year contract.
He did his time on that.
He performed spectacularly.
He did fall apart at the end of the season quite a bit
when CD Lam was dealing with injury,
when he did have to be the number one dude in that offense
and was dealing with number one quarters
compared to the number two or number three corner.
He did kind of had some issues where he was giving up on,
it looked like he was giving up on plays.
There was a lot of attention
when talking about the Dallas Cowboys and George Pickens.
So for the fact that they're going to franchise tag him,
the attention's only going to bill that's going to be
in off-season drama piece the entire year.
He's gonna play.
He doesn't have the foot hold underneath him,
the consistent production behind him
to hold out and to get anything done.
He's going to play on the franchise tag.
He's gonna get paid quite a bit.
And maybe he gets his deal next year.
Will it be in Dallas?
The fact that they're not trying to commit to him right now
tells me probably not.
They got a lot wrapped up in deck and CD already.
They just signed Javante for $24 more million.
So I don't know if Dallas is the long-term stay
for George Pickens, but I definitely think he's got
one more amazing year ahead of him in Dallas.
I really, I'm back in on Dallas once again this season.
I think that the weapons are just, they speak volumes.
The value is the issue here.
The value last year was so high
because there was so much uncertainty.
There was so much like, are they going to be good offense?
Are they not?
It's the same old cowboys.
So the value is being sucked out
compared to what it was last season.
But I still think that at current ADPs,
I still think that it's great value.
CDs, a great back at mid first, late first pick
still, Pickens is going to be, again,
you're kind of, you're drafting them closer to his ceiling
now, especially with the holdout fears.
But I think the holdout fears are only going to help
suppress the ADP and keep it in check.
The risk is going to be built into the ADP.
I don't think that you're drafting Pickens
at his ceiling at this point.
The same much of auntie and even DAC,
I think DAC is going to be another perfect one.
Happy, do I think that the tag keeps him motivated
to get the big bag by being productive again?
I think, I mean, no.
I think the tag just feels like a slap in the face to him
because I feel like that's what he did last season.
He did the bag chasing last season by trying to have.
Keep his thoughts a little bit quieter,
try not to make as much of a hoopla on the sideline
in the locker room, being okay,
being the number two, the one B in this offense
behind CD-LAM.
I think he did all of that last year
and expected the bag this year.
So I feel like the tag does not keep him motivated.
I think the tag just feels like a slap in the face to him.
He wanted the big contract.
He took the one year deal, he did the prove it.
He proved it and he didn't get the deal.
So I feel like he's going to be upset about that.
But I still think he can produce even with that.
Yes, absolutely.
I think he's the type of guy that can go ahead
and play at his best pistol.
Will he have some crazy moments?
Will he have some things where he's picking fights on the field?
Yeah, but that's George Pickens.
That's what we, that's a known quantity.
That's a known factor in your George Pickens thinking
and philosophy.
Jamie, do I think Joe Milton can be a future star?
We're going to have to see a lot more development out of him.
I don't know if he's going like without a deck injury.
Does he see the field that do we get that out of him?
Do we even get the opportunity?
I think he is a great deep dynasty stash in terms of,
in terms of the core, the backup quarterbacks
because the ceiling is astronomical.
But just where he's at right now, I just don't know
if it's, again, I think it's a good stash.
I think it's a very good deep dynasty stash.
But I just don't think that we've seen enough to,
to feel that way.
I think obviously a lot of development
occurs behind closed doors in the practice room
and the off-season things like that.
So I think he's got all the tools there.
It's just needed some refinement on some of the more
of efficiency-based type of attributes.
So if the work is being done there, absolutely.
I mean, the profile, the talent has always been there.
There's always been the soft skills of being a quarterback
that we've been wanting to see.
So if we get to see it, awesome.
I would love to.
But right now I'm gonna say no.
But still think he's a great dynasty stash here.
And did I know that George Pickens is the great nephew
of Bo Jackson?
I did not.
That's, that is a fun fact right there.
I like that one, but I mean, it makes sense.
I mean, you know.
So yeah, Dallas Cowboys, George Pickens,
Javante Williams, both sticking around.
His dad's father's brother is Bo Jackson.
That's kind of the, I mean, the athleticism that runs deep
in some families is absolutely insane.
Like when you look at it, that's crazy.
Like one of the best of the best.
And then obviously George Pickens has been just a monster
athlete, his entire career college NFL high school.
So that, that's pretty awesome there.
Some more franchise tag news though.
We had Kyle Pitts also get the franchise tag.
So one of the big name tight ends, take him off the free agency list.
He is not going to be going anywhere for this year.
He gets another year in Atlanta.
The real question is, who the hell is going to be his quarterback?
We talked about a little bit earlier with Jamie here.
We don't, we don't really know who the quarterback is.
There's been so much weird talk coming out of Atlanta.
We've had the full coaching shift, the GM owner.
I don't even remember how much they chucked and shuffled
and replanted, but we do have Matt Ryan in the,
in the building making and assisting in decisions.
He's already said he is not a part of this specific decision,
but he's going to be, they didn't bring him in
to just sit there and make business decisions.
He is 100% a personal decision type guy.
So the fact that they have not committed to penics is concerning.
We saw flashes.
We also saw very bad.
We also saw a season ending injury.
So it's just been a giant, confusing wave in Atlanta.
And it's going to continue.
The ancillary weapons around whoever is the quarterback,
still incredible.
Darnell Mooney, I think, is still on contract.
Drake London, the alpha of alphas,
the Kyle Pitz, the unicorn who had, once again,
another guy that flashed, but just like Atlanta, as a whole,
they were one of the most inconsistened offenses.
They were putting up 51 week.
They were putting up zero the next week.
And there was no telling.
There was no rhyme or reason as to why it wasn't matchup based.
It wasn't a personnel based and what,
there was literally no rhyme or reason
to what the Atlanta Falcons offensive output was last season.
Obviously, coaching change, play calling change,
just change all around.
You got to think it's only going to be positive
with who they brought in some more stability.
So I do think that we see more stability.
We see more consistency out of these guys in 2026.
But at the end of the day, we still
don't know who the quarterback is.
So it's an opportunity.
I think if Atlanta players outside of Bijan
are still running at a little bit of a discount
because of the uncertainty, because of the poor quarterback
play we've seen, I would go ahead and take advantage
because I think that these guys, we've
seen them perform with penics.
We've seen them perform with cousins to certain extents.
It's just again, we've been missing that consistency.
So if the draft rooms are afraid of consistency
right now, of the lack of consistency,
I'm going to go ahead and be dipping back in.
I'll take Kyle Pitz.
I'll take Drake London.
Obviously, I'm taking Bijan.
I'll take my shots on Darnell Mooney.
So I definitely think that we see more stability
and consistency here in Atlanta.
So in terms of Kyle Pitz, I'm back in.
In terms of the best ball redraft, I'm back in on Pitz.
I'm not going to push him up.
If he gets pushed up crazy and he's at just behind
the big guys, why are we raising Gibbs without Monty
but not Bijan without Ajay?
Bijan is raised without Ajay, though.
He's at the 102 to me.
So I think that I flip flop them because,
and I think that Gibbs in the Detroit offense
is a lot better bet than Bijan
in the Atlanta offense.
Because while I am sitting here saying that I do think
that we see more stability and consistency,
there is a proven track record in Detroit of consistency.
I know that it kind of floundered a little bit last year,
last season based on the offense of line injuries,
but we have not seen the consistency
from the Atlanta Falcons.
So I just think that yes, Bijan is already,
like his ADP has already baked into the Algier-less value.
He was at the 101.
I don't know how much I can raise him.
If he's at the 101. 102 Gibbs was at the 102 for me before
and now with this Monty business, he's at the 101 East.
Like it's not even an argument for me,
but I think that Bijan is raised without Ajay.
Like that's already been factored in.
The Monty news is fresh.
That wasn't factored in quite yet.
It's factored in now.
So I do think that we, like I said,
we see more consistency.
I'm still in a Bijan.
I'm not saying like, oh, like you can't touch Bijan.
Like no, no, no, no, Bijan in two through four
or two through five, anywhere I'm getting Bijan
in that range, beautiful.
But I still, like if you're telling me to pick Gibbs or Bijan,
I'm picking Gibbs because of the team.
I'm picking Gibbs because of the ceiling.
I'm picking Gibbs because of, it's Jameer Gibbs.
I think he's just a more explosive version of Bijan Roberts.
And Bijan's bigger.
Bijan's got the size on Gibbs,
but that's about all that I see here.
But I think, I mean, Bijan's gonna have a great season.
I guess I do believe that Atlanta has a more consistent
offensive season.
And I think it's going to be better for their floors.
But I think their ceilings are about the same as it was.
Unless some crazy quarterback shifting happens
and they get someone that is just no questions about them,
which I can't even think of who that would be.
I think the best case scenario is Penix being the guy
and having another year to get better.
But obviously with the injury,
like who's going to be the villain for that period of time?
I don't know.
But like I said, I'm still willing to buy back into Atlanta
at their current ADPs just because of the fact that,
the lack of consistency is already baked into that.
So people are kind of fearing that.
So I'm willing to take the value there
on a pits, on a London, on a mooney.
But it's just not as sure feeling
as the Detroit Lions bounce back in my opinion.
But what about you guys?
What do you guys think about Kyle Pitts,
especially in Dynasty?
Because I know Kyle Pitts in Dynasty
has been one of the craziest players that,
in terms of like the value that I've ever seen.
Like the people that drafted him,
they drafted him like top five, top three,
like some crazy people were taking him 101
and tight and premium superflex leagues in their rookie draft
because he was the unicorn.
And so his value started as high as it could possibly be.
And then it immediately cratered after just like,
okay, first season a thousand yards.
So it stayed in health.
It held pretty good.
But then ever since then it's just been chunking down.
It hasn't been like a slow trickle down.
It's been chunks every season, chunk down, chunk down,
chunk down.
And then we finally see some promising notes.
Again, no consistency.
But we saw booms out of Kyle Pitts finally.
And that's something we hadn't seen since his rookie season.
So now with that, I'm interested to hear
a from everybody comments in the video comments.
After the fact, if you listen to this after the fact,
go to YouTube, go to Spotify and leave a comment
and let me know what are you doing
with Kyle Pitts in Dynasty if you've held on this long.
Are you selling high based off of the big boom
we had last year after the ginormous playoff explosion?
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Or are you saying that this is the time
that tight end takes a long time to develop?
And this is finally you enjoying the fruits of your labor,
maybe overpaying back then.
But now you're going to, this is what you overpaid for.
You're going to wait and see for the payoff.
Or are you saying, I'm taking what I can get right now.
I'm getting out.
Because I think that he is one of the most interesting.
I have minimal Kyle Pitts and Dynasty.
I was never willing to pay the price.
I've always been a snag my tight ends later.
Type a guy.
I've never been go huge on the tight ends early.
It's changed a little bit.
I've gone a little bit higher on the tight ends.
I will take a late first round rookie draft tight end.
But those guys that go in the top five, top six,
I just think it's such a hard position
that translates to the NFL that we've seen it time and time
again with these first round tight ends in the NFL
that just don't, they don't pan out immediately.
Or they have a great rookie season.
And then they slow down into more of where the development
would be expected.
So Kyle Pitts is just at the tail end of that cycle right now
where he's starting to come around.
Is it real or is it fake?
And we're going to get fake back out
and he's going to start chunking back down.
That's where I'm very much can, like not confused,
but that's where I feel like that's the big question here
with Kyle Pitts.
He could be in all time great.
It could have just taken five years to get there,
six years to get there.
Because tight end is a tough position
to learn in the NFL.
He still has the tools.
He still has the athletic ability.
He's still a dynamic player.
He's had the injuries that have, like,
hindered him on an almost yearly basis.
He stayed mostly healthy last season.
So I just want to know, what are you guys thinking?
Are you selling?
Are you selling high?
I compared to what his value has been in the past two years.
Or are you holding on and hoping that everything comes back
around and you get your big payday with Kyle Pitts
just six, seven years down the road.
Let me know, Jamie, you bought a lot of pits last year
for late seconds.
Your co-host said, I'm at a valid in that early third area,
which I always thought was, which I always thought he was top 10.
Yeah.
No, I think that's, I think that's great.
I think late second would have been a great value
to buy in at.
I do think that some people still might buy him
for a high second at this point.
It just, it really comes down to your league
made some mentality on Kyle Pitts.
Like the market is so all over the place
with Kyle Pitts that there's no way to give actionable advice
about Kyle Pitts outside of, well, what do you feel
and what do your league mates feel he's worth?
At the end of the day, it could be all over the place.
So I think that if you're not sold on Kyle Pitts
being the number one overall tight end
in the next three to five years, sell now.
If you don't think that that's even a possibility,
sell now for whatever you can get.
And if you are still bought in that he can his value,
like if you do think that he's going to be one
of those perennial top three tight ends on a yearly basis.
Again, in the next three to five years, buy for right now
because if he has another good season,
that price is not going to be anywhere near
what you would want to buy in at.
So I definitely think that if you're unsure
about Kyle Pitts sell for what you can right now,
if you think that he's got the stretch
of great years is coming now, buy right now.
Because right, like at the end of this year,
we'll see one where the other right or wrong.
I think it's going to be a very polarizing answer
at the end of the season.
And I want to definitely circle back to this one
at the end of 2026.
Moving on along, we have a couple other small news.
Nothing major, no major shifts here before we jump
into some combine talk and some free agent talk.
We had the Miami Dolphin started their house cleaning.
I mean, shipped out the GM, I really do got to say
with the Miami Dolphin, this big of a dumpster fire
as they have been, I think they're doing the rebuild right.
You get rid of the GM and the head coach at the same time.
It drives me crazy when teams do this where they'll get rid
of the GM and they'll keep the head coach
or they'll get rid of the head coach and they'll keep the GM
where they keep one of the two key players
in terms of personnel.
Because then that whoever is left is stuck.
They have their one shot, their one year to fix it
and that odds of them fixing something that bad
in one year is very slim.
So then let's say they would have kept McDaniel
and fired Greer.
The new GM comes in, he gets a quarterback
to replace to a four McDaniel.
The experiment fails because guess what,
there's a lot more holes than just quarterback in Miami.
And then all of a sudden McDaniel's gone,
new coach comes in, new coach doesn't like quarterback
that new GM picked and then the cycle just viciously repeats
and repeats and repeats and repeats.
So I think Miami made the right move
by getting rid of McDaniel as well as Greer
at the GM position.
I think that they're fully going to be able
to build from the ground up.
We see that with them shedding these old veteran players
with big contracts, Tyree Kill, released, free agent,
Bradley Chubb, released, free agent.
Both those guys off the books, clear the books,
don't even care what the cap hit is.
This year does not matter for the Miami dolphins.
This year is a tankier for all intents and purposes.
It does a tankier for Miami and that's great for them.
They get to rebuild.
What happens with Tuwa?
Is he going to get cut?
It doesn't sound like there's a trade market for him.
What's going to happen with Tuwa?
Does he get one more here to do a tryout
to maybe get some trade value for next season?
I doubt it.
I think he's going to be another cap casualty here
and they're just going to eat as much burnt cash
that they can this year so that way they can start
to rebuild next year, 2027.
Not even 2026.
They're going to do what they can this year.
But I think 2027 is where we start to really see
the Miami dolphins rebuild again.
But in terms of Tyree Kill, major leg injury,
older wide receiver whose entire game is speed.
Does he find a home that is fantasy relevant in 2026?
Everything in me, everything in me,
it very much feels Derek Henry-ish in my mind
and just not the type of player
because obviously Tyree Kill has just all sorts of baggage
with him in terms of off the field,
in terms of just the play style.
But he's just one of those freak athlete,
freak of nature type guys where we've been saying
that the speed aspect of Tyree Kill can't continue.
It can't be his only buoy over and over and over
and season after season after season.
But it just keeps happening.
Just like Derek Henry, we all keep saying
the cliff for Derek Henry is coming.
I've given up on that two years ago.
I gave up on that.
I've been all in on Derek Henry the past two years
and it's worked out wonderfully.
And I'm starting to feel that with Tyree Kill
where I can't just say he's old.
He only relies on speed.
There's no way it's going to continue
because it keeps continuing.
So I think that Tyree Kill is going to be a value.
If he's able to come back at the beginning of the season,
also it fully depends on where he goes.
Is he going to chase a bag once again?
Does he want to get some money or does he want to reunite
with his good buddy Patrick Mahomes?
It's tough to say this year that he would do that
because Mahomes is coming off of a ACL tear.
So it's not like Mahomes is going to be in prime condition
if Tyree does reunite with the Kansas City Chiefs.
So I don't know where Tyree is going to go.
Again, he's coming off his own major disgusting injury
that he dealt with.
So does it matter where he goes?
Are we really going to be moving the fantasy
best ball market based off of Tyree Kill?
I don't think it's going to shift values to a crazy degree,
but I do think that depending on where he goes,
if he's able to find himself on a team
that has a deep ball quarterback
that has a passing offense in general,
I think that Tyree Kill is going to be a huge value this season.
Just because again, he's one of those guys
where he just continuously finds a way to do it
even though the age says it shouldn't be possible,
even though the leg injury says it shouldn't be possible,
he just consistently finds a way to just be explosive
to be a good football player regardless of everything
else around him.
So I do think that Tyree is going to sneak in as a value.
He's again, like I said, he's one of those guys
where everyone's going to write him off for age,
everyone's going to write him off for every reason.
So I think his value is going to be very much depressed
and I think that it's going to be a huge opportunity,
especially in best ball.
Redraft maybe not so much, I might not,
we'll see once I get to making those types of decisions,
but in terms of best ball right now
where I'm getting the early best ball streets,
I definitely think that Tyree
is going to be someone I will come back to
on a fairly regular basis just because the ceiling
is way up here, the value is here
and the floor is also down here.
So it's one of those things
where the risk is baked in, in my opinion,
and it's a shot I'm willing to take on a guy
that has freaky athleticism.
The last little bit of news that I have
that I could possibly track to cram into the show sheet
was Aaron Jones is expected to be cut
from the Minnesota Vikings.
Hasn't happened yet.
I'm sure there's discussions going on
and it depends on when he gets cut
for the cap hit and everything like that.
So we will wait to see what happens officially
with Aaron Jones, but he is looking like he will not be
a part of the Minnesota Vikings moving forward.
So another name thrown into the free agent fray.
A lot of big names out there right now,
we still haven't seen all of the tags
and everything like that get slapped on people yet.
So we'll see how small the list really gets
as the offseason starts kicking into full swing.
But before that, before we get into the combine
and our rookie talk and a little bit of dynasty fun here,
I'm gonna go ahead and take a moment to just talk about.
I've been talking about best ball.
That's truly my focus this offseason is going to be best ball.
I love dynasty.
I have lots of dynasty leagues,
but in terms of rookie evaluation and things like that,
I am not my number one source for that.
I'm not someone who is able to dive in
and fully examine all of these prospects
and all of their college tape and all of that.
I lean heavily on people in the fantasy space
of Koei Carpentiers, Thorne Eistrom,
all of the guys at Destination Devi, Ragee Q,
Coach Retslaff, Chev, all those guys,
I lean very heavily on all of them for my rookie analysis.
Not my rookie, but I lean heavily on their analysis
to inform my decisions and kind of just create my strategy.
So that is my main focus this offseason
is very much going to be best ball values
and looking forward to redraft.
I will always talk to dynasty with you guys.
I have no problem with that.
Again, it's just not my primary.
So going to try to keep the offseason
a little bit more best ball focused for now
and with the dynasty sprinkle in there.
But right now, in terms of best ball,
this is the best time to find values on guys.
Like we were talking about last season
and the Dallas Cowboys backfield,
there were three dudes fighting for people's draft picks
and they were all going very late in draft.
Sometimes double digits in drafts, all three of them.
So there's lots of value to be parsed out
by doing your best ball drafting early.
And right now on fast draft,
we have the rabbit promotion going on right now.
There's the origins draft as well.
Go ahead and jump in there, get your drafts in.
And like I said, there's a lot of value to be had
in February and March in April and May.
There's a lot of value to be had.
The landscape is not settled right now.
There's a lot of questions, a lot of people,
a lot of names moving around that we just don't know yet.
And if you want to take advantage,
if you have a good feeling, if you have a good feeling
about a team, a player, go jump into some best ball drafts,
go draft those players and reap the rewards
in December of next year.
But yeah, fast draft.
Like I said, Co. J. Owens, FF, $50 deposit match.
Let's keep a rolling.
Jamie Shev is awesome, 100%.
Shev is one of my favorite guys to follow.
He's knowledgeable.
We are going to talk about if I can find where I'm at.
The combine movers, I think I said,
I already told you guys, prospect analysis
is not my number one thing.
I am not, that is not what I'm going to sit here
and say I'm the best at.
I'm very good at reacting to information
as it comes.
I'm very good at staying fluid and going ahead
and making sure that as data comes in,
as people move around, I'm always very much looking forward
at, okay, we know what the surface level is
of a certain reaction.
But what are the secondary, the tertiary,
like the fourth, the fifth level?
What does all of it mean?
It's all a one big puzzle.
And I like putting together the puzzle.
So while I may not be the number one prospect guy out there,
I can tell you the combine, it does matter.
I know that it's kind of being diluted down,
especially with a lot of these guys,
not participating in drills.
It really, that is one thing that I really want to see
how that impacts not only the fantasy football impact,
like obviously like the combine numbers,
the testing numbers very much have a huge impact
on rookie drafts and rookie rankings
and just dynasty content in general.
So the fact that a lot of these guys are not testing
and that data is not readily available
for a lot of these guys that have their models.
Like we got Evan Ringler.
We got, I've seen JG Zachariasin with his model,
like all of these models, they depend heavily
on metrics such as the 40, the three cone,
the burst score, the speed score, all of that.
So the fact that we're seeing so many guys opt out
because they don't want to tank their own value.
I'm really, really, really interested to see
how that impacts fantasy football decisions
as well as the NFL draft.
That's one less data point.
Like it seems like there's going to be a slight turn
back to old school scouting and tape grinding
and that kind of thing.
So I still think the best approach
is always take your two hands, your data analysis,
your tape grinding, your eye test
and you put those hands together.
But we'll see when data starts to fall off
and we have less data points,
does this go up to counteract the balance?
We'll see this is a very huge year in that
because a lot of these guys did not test.
But for the guys that did test,
we have some big names and some big impacts here.
Obviously the 101 doesn't matter if it's Super Flex
or single QB for me, Jeremiah Love is the 101 still.
And he went out there and he did what he had to do.
He took care of business.
He probably didn't have to run.
He probably didn't have to do a whole lot there.
But he still went out there and ran his,
was a 4-3-9-4-4-4-4-3.
Crazy fast for a guy with his size and everything.
I do think that we are going to see Jeremiah
in the top 10, obviously it might not happen
because this is a very defense heavy draft
and obviously defensive positioning
in terms of positional value much higher than a running back.
But I still think that a team like Kansas City
would be interested.
I've heard Noah's, New Orleans is named,
thrown out there for Jeremiah Love.
So I think that Love is going to be a top 10 selection
in the NFL in the NFL draft,
which obviously means he's going to be
the top guy in the rookie class this year
in your dynasty drafts.
Like I said, I think I'd even put him above Mendoza
in terms of, in a super flex league.
I think that it's just, this is one of those
can't miss running back prospects.
This is the beach on level.
This is, this is a guy that we've been hearing
about whispers from the devy leagues back
when he was a young and all the way up through college.
It's just been one of those guys.
It hasn't been, will he hit, excuse me.
It hasn't been, will he hit in the NFL?
It's been, when is he coming out?
When is he going to come out?
We want to see him in the NFL
and we're getting it this year.
So I think that we're going to see him again
in that top 10.
And the question is, will we get redemption
for that top 10 running back
after the Afton Gentie failure?
And I think we do.
I think that Vegas was just a very bad situation
for Gentie to fall into.
There was no offensive line.
Geno Smith was a problem with that lack of offensive line.
He wasn't able to facilitate a functioning offense
without the help of an offensive line.
So I think Gentie really got the short end of the stick
on it and he was an absolute trap.
He was an absolute trap at the back end
of the first round in Bestball Drafts
to the early second round.
He was an absolute trap there.
And I think that that's exactly the spot
where Jeremiah Love is going to slot in.
Obviously, if he goes to Kansas City,
people are probably going to pump him up
even into the mid first round, terrifying.
But I think that Love is going to be one of those guys
that is going to deliver on his ADP in terms of dynasty,
in terms of Bestball, in terms of redraft.
I think no matter where Jeremiah Love gets pumped up to,
it is going to be worth the selection.
Gentie still produced Top 12.
He did, but there was just like,
let's see what did he end up producing?
Where did he end up?
Let's see here, let's see here.
That's a great question.
It just, it definitely was disappointing
from Gentie just from the fact that he was being spoken
as a lock for Top five.
Like he was being drafted very much at a ceiling level.
Yeah, in PPR, he was still Top 12 running back 13
in half point in Levin.
Running back 11 in PPR, running back 13 and half point PPR.
So he's still, he was still great,
but he was being drafted in like that.
Like I said, he was like in the Top five running back.
So for him to finish outside of the Top 10,
it did feel like a trap.
It did feel like a disappointment,
especially with some of the names that propelled ahead of him.
And he played a full 17 game season.
So it's not like you can write it off to injury.
So and to be fair, a lot of it,
like when you're looking at the game log here,
there were a few boom weeks we had 34 points
against Chicago week four.
We had 32 points against Houston,
but then everything else was very much,
it was very boomer bust.
There wasn't a lot of consistency.
The end result are be 13 and half PPR,
but how you got there did not feel good
with where you drafted him.
I mean, it definitely was a little bit of a trap
that I think that Jeremiah Love corrects that.
I think that Jeremiah Love is going to be
a bit more of a consistent player
because at the end of the day,
there's very few spots that are as rough
of a landing spot for running back in that top 10
in terms of offense.
Like Vegas was probably one of these stone
where spots for a top 10 running back to go to
just because they didn't have anything established.
They had like no solid offensive line
and the fact that Geno just completely flopped to not help him.
Obviously that wasn't a known quantity of Geno flopping
coming off of one of his best, one of his better seasons.
Obviously landing spots going to matter,
but I just think that at the end of the day,
it's not going to matter enough
to make me think that Jeremiah Love is a trap.
I think again, I think he's going to be
the redemption story for this top 10 running back
in the NFL draft.
And I think he's going to be worth the value.
And again, I think he's going to slot
into the same exact spot
because people aren't going to be afraid
of the genty comparison of the top 10 guy.
But I think that love slotting in at RB 5.6
is going to be about where he's going to fall
with some top potential there
because he is that good of a prospect.
He is on the same level of genty as Bijan
in terms of prospect from everything that I'm seeing.
So I am in on Jeremiah Love.
Another running back,
I think it's going to be bumping up here
in terms of his value as Mike Washington Jr.
We all saw.
We all saw the absolute,
like just explosion onto the scene from Mike Washington.
There were analysts out there
that were starting to pipe up a little bit more
and say that watch out for this Mike Washington Jr. guy.
He's going to be good.
He's going to be good.
And then all of a sudden,
no one had to had to slowly build up to that anymore.
He came out and just lit the combine on fire.
Absolute, I mean 10 out of 10 Rascore
for take that however you wanted.
If you're big on the athleticism metrics,
I mean 10 out of 10,
just the size 225, 223,
the speed, the fourth three,
the fourth three speed,
just everything about what he did there
says that he is going to be shooting up the rookie rankings here.
Right now he is still on in terms of keep trade cut,
which I'm using that one right now
because we are still waiting for the dynasty rankings
to go through their number crunching on player profiler.
But he's RB6 on in terms of player profiler right now
on their dynasty rankings.
I do think that's going to be bumping up higher.
I do think that there's some big names ahead of him still,
but I just think he did more than enough
to solidify himself.
And I think once the draft capital comes in,
the NFL took notice.
It's impossible not to take notice
for a guy lighting the combine on fire as he did.
Keep trade cut, he is still down at running back seven as well.
But again, I think that that is going,
he's firmly in the tier two,
but I think he's going to be climbing that tier two.
He's going to be closer to the running back three, four
in terms of what I think the rookie rankings
are going to shake out too.
He's not in that locked in guaranteed type stuff.
I still think that there's a big six.
Big six or big seven,
depending on how you feel about KC conception.
But I think that he's going to be slotting into the late first round
as you're saying there, Jamie.
I think he's going to be slipping into the late first round,
the early second round.
Obviously, the draft capital is going to change that
where he lands is going to change that.
But I think in terms of what he did,
I think he's going to be climbing consistently
as we approach the NFL draft.
And then he can take an even bigger leap,
depending on how all the players shake out.
But he is someone that if I am drafting early now,
I'm snagging him in that range
because the upside is there.
And when you're in a dynasty league,
we all know that those late first aren't guarantees.
We love the value of a first round pick.
But if it's a late first, it's not a guarantee.
Second round picks, not guarantees.
So if we see a profile like this,
a big, fast running back that can make things happen,
I'm taking that shot every time.
So I got no problem with it,
especially because there's not a lot of deep quarterback
in this draft.
You have Fernando, and then you have Ty Simpson.
And then after that, there's just not anything there
where I'm like, yeah, no, this is good.
Like I'm taking my shots on the quarterback
and hoping that they get a shot at it.
I think it's very much you're going to go running back
happy this draft.
And the running backs aren't even that exciting.
Like the exciting part of this class
is the depth at wide receiver,
but that is also a trap in itself
because wide receiver is always deep.
There's always, there's so many wide receivers out there
that produce.
There's only a finite number of running backs that get a shot.
There's only a finite number of quarterbacks.
There's teams that run five wide receivers.
So it's one of those things where it's just like the wide receiver
depth is always pitched as a buoy of a class.
But I always feel like it's almost a trap.
It's a trap in itself.
Like it's obviously it's a good fallback,
but I will continue to take my shots,
especially in the late first to early second.
I will take my shots at the running back position
when there's no quarterbacks that I'm looking at there.
I do like the top three wide receivers that we have here.
Obviously, we've seen carnal tape,
McIelement and Jordan Tyson.
We've seen them jockeying for their positioning here
to be the wide receiver one in this class.
At the combine, we've seen a weird
little shift in the McIelement talk.
Everyone was, I've seen lots of guys say that lemon
is the wide receiver one here.
Really, I've seen a lot more lately of tape and lemon
over Tyson.
Tyson had a big start to the offseason of everyone
posting the highlights and saying,
the wide receiver one of this class,
wide receiver one of this class,
that's kind of faded a little bit.
So I don't know if that's just people getting tired
of seeing the same highlight package
and the talk dying down.
I haven't seen anything negative,
but it just, I feel like the height pieces
of kind of died on Tyson.
And what it shifted to has been a smear campaign
on McIelement's character, which again,
I'm not big on prospects.
I don't know much about McIe outside of what I consume
as a reader, as a watcher of fantasy football content,
but there just doesn't seem to be anything
of substance there.
In terms of McIelement's character concerns
that have teams taking him off their board.
It's a weird one.
I don't know if it's just like NFL teams
trying to get into the media and suppress a guy's value
so that way he falls on the draft
or what's truly going on there.
But I feel like it's an absolute opportunity
for us fantasy football players to get in the alley
on a guy who is going to be good.
Like I don't think that there are true character concerns here.
There's no story that says like,
oh, this guy off the field is a problem.
He had some meme-like responses in a presser.
He had a flip from a drill
where things just seem like a miscommunication
between him, the coach, and the quarterback.
And that is being blown way out of proportion.
And like I said, people are pushing him down.
I don't know fully the extent of like fantasy football players
pushing him down, but like the NFL is pushing him down.
And that just feels crazy to me.
But again, an absolute screaming opportunity
to get value on a guy that could arguably go 103, 102,
depending on the situation
and depending on a team's on a league's quarterback need.
But Mackay Lemon is definitely one of those guys
where if he's going to fall into the 105-106 range,
if people are going to start taking like a guy like Kenyans
to dig over him or anything like that
or they're going to push up like push anybody up
like over a lemon and take lemon at the 105,
that's going to be great value at the end of the day.
If you can get lemon at 105-106, that's perfect.
That's amazing.
But yeah, I still think that the big three are the big three
and you can just interchange them.
Obviously, landing spots going to change so much
out of those three in terms of who is going to come out on top
as the Y receiver won between Tate Lemon and Tyson.
But I'd be happy with any of those three guys.
I'd be happy, would be ecstatic, obviously,
to have the 101 and get Jeremiah Love.
And I still think that Fernando Mendoza,
although he isn't the most exciting QB prospect
to be coming out in a long time
and he's going to the Las Vegas Raiders,
I still think that he is going to be a solid selection here
in the top five, obviously, dynasty, superflex.
You can't let a quarterback slip too far.
We saw CJ Stroud slip in some drafts.
I know I got him at like 105-106 in a league
when he came out.
So it just feels like it's one of those things
where we know these guys are going to have their growing pains
on a bad team.
That's why they're a top draft pick in the NFL draft.
They're not going to the best of the best.
But I think that Mendoza has the ability to go ahead
and be a solid quarterback in the NFL.
I think that he's not going to light the fantasy numbers
on fire, but he's got a little bit of wiggle.
We saw him in the national championship.
We saw him distribute the ball well.
So I think that he's going to be a very good long term.
He's got some staying power in him.
I feel like he's one of those guys.
And he seems to be a rallying point for teams.
He's just a genuinely from what he's projected
from what we've seen, from the way that the media portrays him.
He's a genuinely good seeming dude
that people want to rally around.
I mean, the family story is one thing,
but just like the way that he's always presented himself
and carried himself and backed it up with production.
I think that he's going to be one of those guys
that is going to not be a top five fantasy option,
but I think he's very easily going to be
in that top 12 to top 15, 16 pocket passer
with a little bit of wiggle type of gameplay.
It really just depends on what Vegas does around him
now and in the future.
The offense is looking to be on the up and up.
When we got Bowers, we got Janty.
They got the ability to add with the wide receiver depth here,
a lot of options to add.
And they got Clint Kubiak,
who just led one of the best offenses in the league.
So it's percolating for him.
We'll just see again, I think you obviously have to take
the shot I'm in.
If you're in that top three picks in my opinion,
unless you are just completely loaded
and you traded for the one and happened to win the lot of
and get the 101 102 or the 102 because 101 love.
But if you got the 102 103 and Mendoza's there
and you don't need quarterback,
I would still take Mendoza, just value.
Like you can flip that type of guy no matter what
or flip the pick.
Jamie, Mendoza can be a guy like golf,
which is a reliable super flex often.
Exactly.
That's exactly what I was saying.
That Kubi 12 to Kubi,
I would even extend it to Kubi 18
because that's very useful.
If you have the Kubi 18 and super flex
as your second option at Kubi, that's huge.
That's great.
That's consistency right there.
That is someone where you set it and forget it
and you don't have to try to scramble
and wait for news to break.
So I do like Mendoza.
We didn't see anything from him.
He's another one of those guys.
He didn't have to throw.
He didn't have to do anything.
So we didn't see him at all.
And I don't think any of the other quarterbacks
really did enough at the combine
to move the needle anywhere.
Ty Simpson does him to be moving up NFL draft boards
and there is like the whispers of,
oh, I can't, the quarterback position
has been so annoying to me in terms of the NFL draft
and the rumor mill that's been going on
for the past like three, four years.
We keep hearing these guys,
oh, they're locked in at the top 10.
They're locked in as a locked in first rounder,
guaranteed first rounder.
The number, you didn't think he was gonna go 102
but he's going 102.
And that's what we're hearing with Ty Simpson.
There's been talks of the jets going after him at like 102, 103,
whatever, like if they trade back a little bit,
still going after Ty Simpson.
And I don't see that this feels like 100%
the fact that there's scarcity,
it's causing a panic where people are trying to hype up
this guy to try to affect like influence the value
of the pick, to try to influence the value of the quarterback,
to try to influence like the perceived market
for a guy like Ty Simpson.
I think that Ty Simpson's going to be, okay,
I will even get an opportunity, I don't know
but I feel very much like he is going to be a guy
that is not going early first round,
he is not going to be maybe even a first rounder at all.
We may only see Fernando Mendoza go in the first round
and Ty Simpson could fall all the way to the second round.
The way that the quarterbacks media situation has been handled
in the NFL draft the past couple of years,
I have zero confidence in what anyone is saying
in terms of anyone outside of Mendoza.
It just, from Shador Sanders to Malik Willis to just ever
like it's all smoke, it's all smoke screens trying
to affect the value of the picks and everything.
Like nothing means anything until the draft selection
made it in my opinion.
And that's where I'm sitting at with Ty Simpson.
I think that he is another guy that like late first round
in your rookie drafts going to be a good shot
just because I mean, he's probably good enough
and going to get a enough draft capital to earn a shot
at some point this season and the value
if he does get the opportunity to start just skyrocket.
So I will still be drafting Ty Simpson
but he's not one of those guys where I'm like,
oh, I'm targeting him heavy.
I'm going after him.
I'll jump a couple spots to make sure I get my Ty Simpson.
I'm not doing it.
I think he's gonna be all right.
But yeah, so that's where I'm at with the quarterback.
And then like I say, with the Y receiver,
we talked about our top three.
I still need to do a lot more digging and learning
on the guys outside of those top three.
But in terms of the combine movers,
we had two tight ends just go back and forth
with each other of just who's gonna be the freaky athlete.
And we had Eli Stowers from Vandy
lead us off with his incredible vertical
with his burst with his speed.
A guy that wasn't really being talked about
a whole lot except for like with your big prospect guys
as someone who is going to be a big mover and shaker.
And then another guy like Mike Washington Jr.
where he just exploded at the combine
being talked about a lot now.
So I think that Stowers has definitely moved himself up there
as the clear like tight end to in this class.
Obviously number one is still Kenyan Sadiq.
He was the tight end one going into this.
And a lot of what I saw pre combine was Sadiq
isn't who you think he is.
He's not going like he's going to be good
but he's not like the production doesn't say this.
And then he came in and he told y'all shut the hell up.
I'm a freak of nature.
And he ran freaky wide receiver like speed numbers
at about 220 plus, 230 plus.
So on the smaller side in terms of tight end
but just an absolute monster athlete.
And that's like I know we just got done talking about Kyle Pits.
But you want to see the athleticism out of tight end.
You got to see the athleticism out of tight end
because that's the number one correlation
between success in the NFL is you got to have athleticism.
You got to have the freaky athleticism to be to hit early.
And that's what Sadiq has.
Again, he's kind of in that top six in terms of the rookie rankings
where he's climbing up quite a bit
but he's firmly entrenched in like that.
And he's like the beginning of the tier two.
He might have slipped into the back end of tier one
in terms of overall where you have love Mendoza
and the top three wide receivers.
You can maybe slot him in there
but I don't think you can take him over any of the wide receivers.
You can't take him over Mendoza
and you can't take him over love.
So that's why I think he's just firmly entrenched
as he is showing on Keep Trade Cut.
He is the start of the tier two for them at number six.
So you got your top five, you're big five.
And then I think Sadiq might even be in his own tier
for the time being until the draft happens as the number six.
Like that's just where he's going to be going,
especially in your tight end premium leagues.
Like the dude's gonna like got the ability
to put up some crazy numbers.
He didn't do it in college.
I know Johnny Tuma brought that up to him on the podium
but I think that he is definitely going to be a guy
where he's got the ability to do it.
He's got hands, he's got a bill,
he's got route running, he's got the athleticism to pull it off.
So I think Sadiq did himself a ton of favors
of just proving the fact that he is the free athlete
that he has proclaimed to be.
And I think that Eli Stowers is going to be one of those guys
that goes, where is he going overall right now?
Eli Stowers right now is the number 19 overall.
So that's back end of the second mid second rounder
and I think that's a great spot to take him.
I think he might get bumped up a little bit more
as the post-combine dust settles
and as the draft approaches and as he finds a team,
if he finds a good landing spot,
he's gonna jump up to an early second round pick too.
So definitely someone to keep an eye on in terms of moving
but a guy that I do like taking a shot on, I do.
I don't like spending early draft picks on tight ends
but if they have the athleticism to back it up,
I don't mind spending a second rounder on a tight end.
I have a hard time pulling the trigger
on the first round tight end.
So where Sadiq is at six, very tough for me.
Very tough for me to buy in as a dynasty player.
I much rather would have a wide receiver
that feels a little bit more trustworthy
or just trading the pick just because we've seen it.
We've seen Kyle Pitts be a top five dynasty selection
and it's taken again seven, five, six, seven years
to see that value and I don't even think at this point
like the lost value you've had over the many seasons
is not worth it.
So if Sadiq stays here, which he most likely will,
I don't see myself drafting a ton of him.
I do think that he has the potential to have a big boom
but in terms of the way that I play dynasty,
it's just not somewhere that I will be going after.
If I have that one on six, I will move it to someone.
I will move back a couple spots, one, two, three.
I'll move anywhere in the first round
if someone wants to come up and get Sadiq.
I will pocket that value plus some
just because I do fear the first round rookie draft tight end.
Like I said, at the end of the day,
like I'm sure I will be taking lots of Sadiq
in terms of best ball and redraft
because I don't think his value is going to be super crazy
over there in those markets.
So I definitely think that it's going to be someone
that is going to be a very good value
in terms of seasonal leagues,
but just not someone that I'm looking to spend
the 106 on in dynasty.
I would rather keep that golden loom
that the pod bother talks about spinning
and get my picks for next year.
If I can trade him for a first, a 2027,
the 106 for a 2027 first plus a little bit more,
I'm going to go ahead and do that.
I'm just going to keep looking for my tight ends
down and dirty in the dumps
where I'm looking for those guys that are in the nitty gritty
that are just seeing the field and keeping me afloat there
and then try to hit later on.
That is all, let me double check.
That is all that I got in terms of the combine.
Like I said, I'm still very early on in my dynasty analysis,
my dynasty studying, if you will.
So I will be adding more every show
as we go on as I start to learn more.
As I start to digest from all those guys
that we talked about today, all of those analysts,
especially over at player profiler and destination devi,
those are like my number one and two sources
as well as coding carpetier, love everything
that he puts out in terms of NFL draft season.
We are at about an hour 15.
I do got to get going here,
but I will say that I have lots to I do got to get going here,
but I will say that I have lots to talk about still
in terms of top free agents.
There's guys out there that are expected to be on the move,
whether it's trade, whether it's being cut,
whether they're a free agent right now.
So I will be back, I'm gonna try to pre-record a show
for Thursday so that way I can just get back into that schedule
of the Tuesdays and Thursdays at 10 o'clock,
but I won't be able to go live on Thursday
due to some personal things that got going on.
So I am looking to put a show out on Thursday for you guys
where we can dive into these top free agents
and then we can meet back right here next Tuesday
to go over and have some live chat about those guys,
those top free agents we got.
We're gonna be talking Maliquilis,
we're gonna be talking Kyler Murray,
we're gonna be talking Kenneth Walker, Travis ETN.
I gave you all those second fiddle guys.
We talked about them too, Rashad White, Tyler Algier,
Rico Doudel, Kenny Gainville.
We got a lot to talk about in terms of those guys.
There's lots of wide receivers
and there is a weirdly deep, tight end free agent class
going on right now.
Nothing earth shattering, but just a lot of dudes
that flashed here there,
but haven't found a good foothold in their current offense.
So they're gonna be on the move,
looking to make a name for themselves
in a new place, a new team.
So we got a ton to talk about
and I look forward to doing that on Thursday with you guys.
Again, won't be live,
but we'll we can circle back on Tuesday
and keep the discussion rolling there
as the news continues to come in.
That is all I got for you guys today.
I appreciate you coming in as always for Waking Take.
Make sure that you are following me over on Twitter, X,
whatever you wanna call it at J Owens underscore FF.
Anyone that's new here, if you do wanna check out my TikTok,
it's at J Owens FF over there as well.
Looking to get back to posting clips
and standalone videos over there as well.
Make sure that you are dialed in
and following player profiler.
Now page here on YouTube to keep up with my videos here,
as well as everyone else on the channel
and make sure you're also following
the main player profiler, Roto Underworld channel
to make sure that you are getting
the best of the best information right now.
What else do we gotta do?
There's no football, there's no grind going on right now.
So get your studying in for your dynasty drafts.
Digest that information, find your spots
that you wanna take in best ball,
jump into some fast drafts
and I will catch you guys on Thursday.
Appreciate you.
You
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