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WAR w/IRAN LIVE UPDATE /Lt Col Daniel Davis
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On about the 24 hour mark of this war, President Trump addressed the nation again today and he
wanted to just talk about what everybody in the United States is really focused on and what we
have been here at the Daniel Davis deep dive most concerned about heading into this and that is on
American casualties. Earlier today, St. Combs shared the news that three U.S. military service members
have been killed in action. As one nation we grieve for the true American patriots who have made
the ultimate sacrifice for our nation even as we continue the righteous mission for which they
gave their lives. We pray for the full recovery of the wounded and send our immense love and
eternal gratitude to the families of the fallen and sadly there will likely be more before it ends.
That's the way it is likely be more but we'll do everything possible where that won't be the case.
But America will avenge their deaths and deliver the most punishing blow to the terrorists who
have waged war against basically civilization. You know, that's just the way it goes. That's
what happens in wars. You have casualties. There's going to be more. Don't worry about it but hey,
it's cool because we're saving civilization. I cannot tell you, we're going to get into what's
going on in this war and Gary's showing you some video here. There's really some pretty remarkable
one. This one here, I think it's on a loop. What you see is I believe in this particular one here,
you see a patriot battery that was launching trying to intercept an incoming Iranian missile.
It misses. No, this is not that one. That'll be coming up later. I'll talk about that in this.
But listen, we're going to talk about what's going on in the war. What is the status of this? Now
they were at the end of the second day of this war. A lot of developments internationally, both within
the region and within Iran, within Israel and the United States here. We're going to get to all
that in a minute and bring you up to date on everything that we know about this war. But I wanted
to start with that issue there that President is raising because that gets my blood boiling.
He is so cavalier about the lives of our service members. I warned about this. I'm going to show
you a clip from about three weeks ago. I'm just saying something after the fact that by that,
by the way, is an American base. That's the Al-Assad base. That's going to come into play here.
When he's talking about casualties, it's very likely some of them happened on some of these
shots that you're seeing right here. There's more of them. It's one of the things that I warned
about. I even said ahead of time that here's probably what's going to happen when that happens.
And I hope I said at the time, I hope I don't have to pull this video up after the fact and talk
about it. By the way, that right there is a Patriot battery. We see some of the rounds cooking off.
You've seen some of those in Ukraine when the Russians attacked some of the Patriot batteries there.
That's why we know what that was. This is the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad because of the supporters
of the Iranian regime at the assassination of their I told them more on that in a minute.
So far, things are not going well for us. And what just drives me crazy as a four-time combat vet
myself, as someone who considers everybody and uniform as their brother and sister. It's just
kind of an ingrained thing, especially when you deploy somewhere, you just feel this kinship
with others who are deployed in the region here. And for him to talk so casually and say,
you're protecting civilization. I mean, you have to think we're stupid that we're going to fall
for that. That we're seeing that this unambiguous and naked war of choice is saving civilization.
No one's going to believe that. Now, if it had just ended there, I would have been upset.
You know, Gary, that is one of the videos I'm looking for. I want to pull that up specifically
in a minute and just to let people know what they were seeing there. That is this morning,
supporting the Iranian regime in Tehran, in the middle of a war, in the middle of all these
attacks that are coming in, you're going to see they are supporting their regime. So if you
thought that assassinating the I told them was going to knock them out, that had the potentially,
it appears to have at least so far the opposite effect. But let me go back to this issue here with
President Trump because if that video I just showed you had been the end of it, then you would have
been kind of teeth gritting. It's been angering. But man, he couldn't leave well enough alone.
And he's trying to talk you in to say, no, more casualties are going to be fine. Watch this.
But the only reason we enjoy the quality of life that we do and the freedom and security is we have
done things that others are unable to do. But it's because of warriors who are
willing to lay down their lives to do battle with our enemies. And they do battle better than
anybody. Let's just cut to the chase here. What he came close to absolutely overtly admitting here.
I don't know if he's even aware of what his words are coming out of his mouth or what the meaning
of them is. He's saying, I want to be able to keep doing whatever the hell I want to do.
And these great warriors, which are just game pieces to him to move around and to give
orders to, I mean, it's pretty clear that President Trump has no emotive capability at all when
it comes to life and death. We've seen him in some weird videos this within the last number of
months in the White House where somebody fell over and he showed not the slightest bit of concern.
Someone that he had invited in the office for crying out loud. And then now then we see all
these hundreds of people that were killed as part of the drug vote attacks that had with
Violet or the American law had nothing to do with actually getting rid of the drug dealer.
That was just used as cover to eventually go after it as well. He had no concern whatsoever
about the number of people that he was ordering to be killed in that process. It also shows now he
doesn't care about the American soldiers and the American troops who are also sacrificing. He views
those as, hey, these great warriors, he's wonderful people. He's just throwing some
soap out there to say, oh, yeah, you guys are great, whatever, whoever you are. But yeah, because
of your willingness to do that, I can do whatever I want to do. He literally just said that.
Unfortunately, he wasn't finished. He said one more thing.
There's never been a military like we possess. And frankly, there's nobody even close,
but we are now using that military for good. We want to have it for good purpose.
We're undertaking this massive operation not merely to ensure security for our own time and
place, but for our children and their children just as our ancestors have done for us many,
many years ago. This is the duty and the burden of a free people. These actions are right and
they are necessary to ensure that Americans will never have to face a radical bloodthirsty
terrorist regime armed with nuclear weapons and lots of threats.
47 years from 1979 through now, they don't have a nuclear weapon. They have never had a nuclear
weapon. You allegedly obliterated the capability last year. And I'm going to show you video here
in a minute where Senator Cruz from I think also today inadvertently admitted this much that
no, we actually don't have any. So that was BS. You did not use this force for good. You did not
use this force to defend the rest of us from this dastardly Iranian regime. I mean, just look,
look at this used on the surface of it. You have North Korea has nuclear weapons. China has
nuclear weapons. Russia has nuclear weapons. Pakistan has nuclear weapons. India has nuclear weapons.
Israel has nuclear weapons. How many of them have used it?
Nada. In fact, who's the only one that has ever used nuclear weapons in combat?
It's us. And that not since 1945. Those nuclear weapons have served as a deterrent
across the globe that has prevented state-owned state war for the most part really almost since the
since Vietnam really. And then since that time, the Russia Ukraine war is the next one with really
big scale. I don't even count the desert storm and the operation in Iraqi freedom. Those
were pretty minor and low scale. That's the only one that's kind of big. That has prevented
like these big state-owned state operations, especially between major powers because of the
nuclear weapons. No one has used them. So the fact that Iran doesn't have them has had a fatwa,
the guy who was responsible in Iran for preventing them from having a nuclear weapon, you just
assassinated. He had an actual fatwa against it. Tulsi Gabbard went before Congress and said in
March of last year, they don't have one. They had no plan to have one. They have a breakout
capability that they could go to one if we don't make some kind of a deal and get them off of it,
but they even then they didn't have a plan to go there. So for you to now claim that there are
dead Americans, and right now the only number that's been admitted to is three killed, five seriously
wounded, and some other unknown number has been slightly less wounded. We don't know what that
number is. I've heard from some sources through some friends who have active duty members and
people they know in the region says the number is probably a lot higher than that. That's all they
have admitted to so far. Given all the video that we've seen and all the attacks against our people
seems reasonable to accept that there's going to be, but you heard even Trump in that first video,
there's going to be more. So you can count on the fact that there's going to be more. There's no
reason to think that there's not going to be, but he's fine with it. Whatever the number is,
he's calculated it's fine. Even though this did not follow the United States Constitution, it was a
blatant and flagrant violation of it. It was a blatant and flagrant violation of the 1970s
War Powers Act and a violation of international law and anything else that you can imagine.
Got no authorization. We were not threatened. They were not coming after us. We had not been
attacked. It wasn't a Pearl Harbor top situation. None of that was the case. None of it was present.
This was a war of choice. And now there are dead Americans and the tally is almost certainly
going to go higher. About three weeks ago, one of the reasons I'm so hot right now is because I
foresaw this and I gave a warning on this show. And I said, I hope I don't have to pull this video
up. But unfortunately, folks, here we are about 36 hours into this war and I have to play this.
How's that good for President Trump? All these people who are advocating for this, go Trump,
go Trump. What are you going to say to him afterwards if it doesn't go well and it turns into a
morass and it ends up just guaranteeing failure in 2026. Who's going to benefit from that?
So nobody wants to think about anything because they don't want to. I don't want it to have a bad
impact militarily. I don't want it to have a bad impact electorally. I don't care about the law
and I don't care about the Constitution. I want it. So I'm going to get it and I'm going to do
everything I can. All my war lusting to try and get the President of the United States to do
something that's antithetical to our country. It's not needed for our country and it is against
the laws of our country. And that's what they're trying to get done. And then they want to put on the
cloak of patriotism. How dare you? How dare you at least be honest and say, no, I have a war
lust. I want to kill the Iranians. I don't care if we need it. I don't care if it's not for us.
It's for the other country here. It's for Israel. And that's all I care about. And if this goes
bad and it goes bad for President Trump, if it goes bad for American service members, if you all,
I don't care. All I care about is satisfying my war lust. Now, that's pretty strong language.
But it's pretty close to the accurate description of what we're facing. And I pray that no one
has to pull this video up later. I pray that in this 11th hour that President Trump will
find any way at all to use diplomacy to prevent going down this path here. So no Americans have to die.
And he still has this chance to live another day politically. So for his own interest, I hope
that's the way it works out. Yeah. Well, that's not the way it's worked out. And now here we are,
we're in a real world of hurt. Now, I'm going to show you some of the reason why he's in a
vague problem because you may say, hey, this is only day two. We killed their leader on the first day.
And who knows what's going to happen here? I mean, there's still time for this to work out.
If you're thinking that, and certainly that's the way most in America are, I'm not sure how good of a
hope that is because there are a lot of problems for us on the line here. And President Trump,
and that same press conference was trying to went over, bend over backwards to try to explain why it
was okay for American troops to keep dying in large numbers or any numbers for that matter.
And you know, and trying to paper over and tell you how great it was and you should feel fine
about them dying. Well, he didn't limit his fantasy fiction kind of creation on that. He also said,
hey, by the way, we are having so much success here on the IRGC and the Iranian military.
They're begging for us to leave that to in this by the thousands.
The entire military command is gone as well. And many of them want to surrender into saving their
lives. They want immunity. They're calling by the thousands. Really? Calling by the thousands.
And so the war is not over because what? Exactly. You say they've been calling by the thousands.
And yet, you see these videos here that they continued to fire missiles. And these have been
going on just in a rapid base. They've been going on all over the place. There's been no stopping
of the missile fire so far. They have been pretty remarkable and how often they have fired.
And now that especially early in the day, there's a lot of daylight shots that were landed inside
of Israel and causing profound amounts of damage. It's godly. Come on, man. I could also pull up some
of the other videos that we talked about in the days in which lead up to this. As you listen,
the technology hasn't changed in the last seven or eight months. All the things and the reasons
why the Iranian side was successful getting ballistic missiles through the iron dome,
through the thad system, through the patriot system, David slaying the arrow systems, all of that.
None of that had changed since 2025 of June. So if you start another war, it's going to get through.
And presumably the idea, and I told you, the American bases, I specifically told you,
the American bases would be even more vulnerable because they don't have that kind of
overlapping integrated system with all these multiple kinds of capabilities.
They had to fly a bunch in so they did some ad hoc stuff at some of them. And you see that from
the first shots, even some drones for crying out loud got through, but you're seeing some major
shots that are getting through on our bases there. And there's several of them that we can show.
So if you think that they're going to be given up now and you don't even, you didn't even pay
attention to the vulnerability we had. And now then boy, I tell you what, I bet this week, people
are going to be bringing up again, a lot of those reports that Chairman of the Joint Chiefs
of Staff General Cain had allegedly warned of a lot of risk for the United States. This is got to
be what he was talking about. So what are you going to do now? Because there's no reason for
them to quit right now. They have the ability to continue to cause pain and difficulties for us
to get through. And I mentioned a minute ago that that that Trump is talking about in his claims
that why it's it's cool for us to keep losing troops. And we're probably going to lose more.
But he said, you know, we have this dastardly murderous regime that's going to get dissentant
on getting nuclear weapons. And we had to act. We had to act. Well, on CBS News today,
Senator Ted Cruz was asked about that. And I don't know if it was an inverter if he didn't realize
what he was saying, but he admits he didn't have any evidence that there was a nuclear program.
Right now, Iran is building roughly 100 missiles a month. They're actively building
missiles to threaten their neighbors and they're firing some of them right now at their neighbors.
Yeah, they're illustrating powerfully. They're attacking virtually every Arab neighbor that
surrounds them. They are firing missiles that it's almost like they want to illustrate to the
world just how malign they are. But in terms of containing the risk, who's securing the nuclear
material that you say still exists within Iran? Who's doing that? Look, the the quantity of
nuclear material. I didn't say anything one way or another on that. What I said is they were
building nuclear weapons a year ago and our bombing took that out. They also had an ongoing
desire to rebuild them. I don't have present day intelligence on what progress they had made
towards rebuilding nuclear weapons since we bombed their facilities. I have no indication that
they were anywhere close to getting nuclear weapons because our bombing was devastating.
So understand what he's talking about right there, folks. He's saying that we were so good at our
bombing last year that we obliterated. So he's supporting what he says President,
he was president Trump say all the time. We obliterated the capability and I have seen no
intelligence that said they have rebuilt it anything or that they were going down a path
for a nuclear weapon. And yet this imminent threat was cited by so many of the supporters,
the war lusters is why we had to go in when we had to get this done because it was an imminent
threat. And Trump again said right there it was because of this nuclear holocaust it would come.
But they didn't have one. They even according to our own pro war luster senator Ted Cruz.
There was no information. There was no intelligence that said they had they had rebuilt it
or that they were planning to go down the path to it. So now why in the world does anybody think
that this is something it's justified. You see that there's so casual and so careless with this
stuff that they're even saying stuff out loud like this as they're talking about in the context of
this today, dead Americans. And this casual telling you that there's more to come.
For what? One of the other things I talked about, we didn't put on that clip that I just
showed there. But in the many of the days around this, I said, listen, I bet if you take a poll
of every family member, ever mother, father, spouse, child of all these folks that are
deployed in the Middle East and I said this on more than one occasion, who were alive at the time
I was making this video. At the time I made that one on February 10th, they were all alive.
And now that we officially know three of them are dead. And so now that you have some incredibly
painful family members, mothers, daughters, wives, sisters, brothers, et cetera, friends,
they're in incredible pain tonight. And I would wager that if you that and these other five that
are apparently in critical condition, if you go and talk to all the surviving family members
and ask them, do you think can put a microphone in their face? Do you think that your service member,
the loss of your loved one or the damage that's been done to your loved one was worth the theoretical
prevention of some future event that may have never happened and hadn't for 47 years in the
existence of this regime and no other country that has nuclear weapons has ever used them? Are you
willing to say that was a good idea? And do you think that was a good use of your patriotic
and heroic loved one? Obviously, I'm mocking that because the answer is self-evident. The answer is
no. Nobody would. And how many more folks are yet to come? How many people are still alive? Is
we're making this video live tonight on Sunday night? March the 1st. How many of them are yet to die?
And how many of them are going to have these kinds of statements that people are going to have to
ask these questions? They're going to have to grapple with it. And now then the problem is
where do we go now? Because President Trump has put himself in a really difficult position.
He's all in. We also warned about this. This is not hard, folks. It was not hard to see this coming
because now then you literally rolled the dice and gambled everything on. I hope that the regime
falls quickly. Basically, what we tried to do was to have this operation on the cheap
of CNN. I want a whole bunch of air power because that looks cool and it's easy to do. And it's
basically politically cost-free because everybody thinks it's cool to see all these airplanes flying
around and ships and the sea flying and sailing the oceans. That's all cool. It looks like a lot of
power. Got a video. But whatever once you're done, they're pretty much they're safe anyway. And then
they can just beat feet and get back to the home basis. And it'll be fine. So we'll just drop some
bombs. Everything will be good and will leave. But that's not how it's working out. And I said
all the evidence was that it wouldn't work out that way. The idea that the Iranian people and we
had a lot of experts on on our show last week that talked about the nature and the character of
the Persians and the nature and character of the regime itself and of Shia Islam that it's built
on suffering. That's kind of what it is in its history. It goes back the long way that they are
long suffering and that they have sacrificed a lot and are willing to do so again. And even though
there are a lot of people and I've talked to some recently a lot of people in Iran and some that
were in Iran genuinely hated the regime. They just they hated the the moral of the clerical regime.
They wanted it gone. They felt that it was oppressive that they were keeping them from having a
modern life. They they look protest for many times over the last several decades, a couple of decades
in particular. And they wanted them out there. But what they were saying even ahead of time was
but I don't want somebody that we detest which is the the Israelis because they have attacked
them so many times since the 2010 on forward that they had attacked them so many times and from 2023
on forward to even more picked up the pace a lot of that. The last thing they want is to say yes
have our hated enemy come in and blow up a lot of our stuff and do try to do to us what happened
to Syria when Bashar al-Assad fell and just probably crush all of our military capabilities and
yay we have a new government and we can have one in there but now that you've denuded us and
then you're going to try and foist on to the guy that they had a revolution against in 1979 the
the progeny of the Shah of Iran. Like that's going to work. People overthrew him in the first
place. The last thing they're going to want to do is go back to the hatred of they had for the
rest of Shah before that because he was murderous. He was terrible. I'm not going to go back to that
but I think people knew that too. They also didn't care. So it was predictable that this was
not going to work and so we tried to do it on the cheap of going in with no ground force.
And if the air power doesn't work you don't have the credible threat to go in. So President Trump
said I think we have one more video here. He says he again reaches out and says hey you know what
Iranian IRGC's and police and security forces bus age how's about you guys just give up.
I once again urge the revolutionary guard the Iranian military police to lay down your arms
and receive full immunity or face certain death. It will be certain death. Won't be pretty.
I call upon all Iranian patriots who yearn for freedom to seize this moment, to be brave,
be bold, be heroic and take back your country. America is with you.
I'm sorry man that is embarrassing to still be saying that on the other side of launches. He
said a lot of the version of that before and now he says it's going to be certain death. He's
remember he made that statement on his opening statement when the war first when he announced the war
coming on. Look at this stream right now. Does this look like the guys who launched these these are
missiles that that went into Israel that have pierced our domes here. He's putting on that
crawler on the bottom right there. Does that look like somebody to you that wants to give up or does
it look like and and note also then and we're going to hopefully have Ted Post on this week. I
don't know if we've gotten him on. I'm hoping so but look look at that shot right there.
How many interceptor missiles are coming off from the ground. There's one. Look at all the rest of
them. They just keep on rolling down hardly any that are even coming up and I think in this bad
chair, I think there's one. Nope not even there. So none of them. So where is this vaunted air defense
system? Will the Iranians know that? They knew it from last year. So now that they're demonstrating
again and they have a lot of missiles and I've been telling you that Gary keeps showing you that
video of the underground cities where you saw just row after row after row of these missiles and
their mobile launchers underground protected underground. And now here we're seeing the fruit of it
that keep coming out. And for you now, after we've lost troops, we've seen that
buck rain has been attacked. We've seen that the tar has been attacked. Dubai has been attacked.
Several other places. I think Kuwait. I think I don't remember if Saudi has been attacked but I know
are based in Kuwait. For example, a lot of attacks that have gone on the ground and obviously a
whole bunch in Israel. Yeah, there's that one right there. You think that these guys are going to quit
when you don't have an army. You have no army to threaten them. And so to make that
bodacious and braggadocious claim that you're going to face certain death, I know that briefs
well in a video game or something like that. Or if you're just talking theoretical or you're
talking to your supporters in the White House, they're going to be going, whoa, you're such a tough
guy. It doesn't work out here in the real world. They're proving it. As we speak, as you're making
those absurd statements, they're firing more missiles. They're killing more Americans. They're killing
more Israelis. I kept telling people over and over. If you care about Israeli people, if you care
about the future of Israel, if you care about American troops, don't start a war choice that you have
very little chance you can win. It looks to me like they just said, hey, maybe if we hit them hard
enough, if we kill the senior leaders and they'll target them from the beginning, they signaled
ahead of time. We knew that was coming. And they're like, maybe that'll cause them to fall down
and then they'll rise up against the regime. Well, as that video Gary showed you a minute ago,
y'all, they rose up all right, but not against the regime. They rose up in support of the regime.
There was this morning, a lot of video of hundreds of sea of people. I don't know how many
hundreds of thousands though, braved this, the incoming Israeli missiles and the potential for
being killed in these new strikes. And they still came and braved all that and they're rallying
in support of the current government. And now then they have an interim, a new IOTO, a new
Supreme Leader, what they call them. And they, they're saying, yeah, yeah, that's it right there.
You can just see everywhere you look. There's just a sea of people over and over, all over the
place and that. And that was created. That was repeated in other cities as well. That was in
Lahore in Pakistan, in Baghdad in several other places. In fact, our embassy in Baghdad, I don't
know if you saw this or not, our embassy in Baghdad was swamped by Shia protesters against this.
They were so upset at the United States for for assassinating their religious leader that they
rose up in anger. Now, do you think that's the end of it? They're just going to protest a little
bit and they're going to be done? I mean, folks, this is, this is only the beginning. There's no
telling where all this can go. I can't even predict it from here because there's so much fluidity
and so many different variations it can go. Once you, I tell you this all the time, once you
unleashed the dogs of war, they go places where they want to go. I could have predicted a lot of
how this thing would start, but once it's unleashed, it couldn't go any number of different
directions. I don't know, but it looks like that the people in the White House said that we hope that
this leads to the destruction, the collapse of the string. Well, now it didn't. And here's the problem
is that you remember that video we showed you. I think yesterday of Jack Keen with, you know,
just bragging. He was so excited when this war started off. He says, yeah, well, we had planned
for like a couple of weeks of a of operation here, but hey, maybe because I told I had been killed
right away, maybe it'll only be even shorter. Maybe it'll just be a few days. Well, there's
information out today that President Trump apparently behind the scenes now is being told, oh,
snap. He's different words. Oh crap. This is not going to be over with in a few days. And now then
they didn't capitulate. They're getting, they're getting more robust and they're,
they're getting galvanized in their opposition to us. So they're not fallen away. They're actually
saying we hate you and we're going to keep resisting. And now then more Americans continue to die.
So reports are that he has secretly sent out through mediators to the Iranian side says, hey,
how's about a ceasefire? Let's just stop by here and talk this out. And according to what I have
heard from a couple of different sources, at least. And I think even some public media sources
here, they're saying basically, if you, we're not going to talk about that, we have no interest in
that. You had, and I told you this before, on a golden platter the day before this happened,
I put out a X post on this that night before all this started. I said, President Trump has a
on a golden platter, a huge political win, a huge diplomatic win, because he got them to blink
at the last minute and say, we are willing to have zero percent enrichment, which they had said,
no, they weren't up to that point. The four minister of Oman and CBS News, he reported and then
acknowledged, they say, we're willing to go zero percent. And this big stockpile of 60% that's
already been reprocessed, we'll get rid of that too. And then when, when, when, when, and press
him on that, what about the long range missiles? What about the, the proxy support? That was the
other thing that the US said they had to have. And he said, well, that's on the table. We can talk
about any of that here to four. They said, that's not even on the part of the discussions. It was
only about the nuclear issue. Well, now then on, I guess that would have been Friday night. We
said, sure, everything's on the table here. And Trump wouldn't accept it. And so now he says,
here we go, we're going to have this war. Well, now he realizes that whoever may have been
advising that this is something that was going to be done quickly, he was lied to or by people who
had no bloody idea what they were talking about, Lindsey Graham. And now he's realizing that,
oh, snap, we're in real trouble here. So now he's trying to have negotiations. Well, you can
imagine, from the Iranian side, you have killed a lot of our senior leaders. He hadn't been a
thousand of them, but they're even on the Iranian admission. There's a lot of them. They have lost
a lot of senior leaders. They definitely admitted and acknowledged that they lost the itola. He's
been assassinated. So you've caused all that. You've caused all kinds of damage. Israel has put out
a lot of video of some of the radar systems that they've destroyed, the Iranian radar systems,
drones that they've destroyed, air defense missiles that they've destroyed. So there's a whole
bunch of damage. Now, do you think that the Iranian side is going to go, okay, I see that you need
an end to this because now you realize we're not going to go. So I tell you, sure, we'll have a
ceasefire here like we did last year. Of course, they're not going to do that. And especially after they
have attacked all these countries in the region, and by the way, let's get into a little bit of what
they've been doing here because what I see so far is that the Iranian side had probably met
together. Here's what I think happened. Tom will tell if this is accurate. I'm sure that the
information will come out over time, but it looks to me like that they in their secret councils got
together and said, okay, look, if there's one missile that gets fired, we are all in. And I mean,
all in. And we're going to go all the way. And we're going to push because I think that they saw
the same thing I did that the US has a limited number of offensive and defensive missiles. And
everything, that's kind of the linchpoint. It doesn't matter how many planes you have, how many
ships you have, aircraft carriers, all that stuff. It's great and flashy. But everything comes
down to how many missiles do you have? And when there's no ground force on the horizon, when they
don't have to worry about anybody invading them, then they have to be able to endure a hail of
rain of missiles on them. And then we've got to be able to endure a counter-strike that's going
in the other direction. And it looked like they said, we're going all in. We're not just going to
attack the American bases, which they promised. We're also going to hit civilian targets inside
of these other Gulf regions. And I think that their message was pretty clear.
For all of these years, you guys have been enabling the United States. And you've been supporting
them. And they claim that they're going to give you all the support. Well, guess what? That
day's over. They can't support you. They can't defend you. I'm going to show you how they can't
defend you. I'm going to fire missiles into your hotels in the middle of your city. I'm going to
set some of your high-rise buildings on fire. I'm going to blow up the American air defense systems
themselves on their own bases. And there's nothing they can do to stop it. And you're going to pay
a price. All they're here to for. So it's really from 2010 forward. The price has always been paid
by us. We've been the one who've had our leaders assassinated. We've been the one who've had our
country attacked. We've been the one who've had our embassy destroyed. And everybody else is just
sitting there free and clear on the other side. Well, I think that they said, okay, now everybody
gets to have some pain here. And we're going to inflict it on a lot of you. And we're going to
show you that you can't stop it. The Americans can't stop it. And we're going to say we think we
can outlast you because they've done some math. And they said, they know how many missiles they
have in those underground bunkers that Gary showed you. They know how many they can produce. You heard
Senator Cruz say it's around a hundred a month that they can do in the event. Even with all of
the sanctions that we have on top of them, even with all these attacks we've made, they can still
produce a hundred a month. So they can sustain this for a period of time. You understand? I don't know
all the categories that's in these missiles here, but that's a hundred. So that's a thousand two
hundred per year. My math is correct. And American interceptor missiles are similar around six to
seven hundred per year. So it sounds to me like the Iranian side with all of these sanctions,
with all these attacks can produce, out produce us underground. And so all they've got to do is
just keep this going on and keep causing casualties in Israel, keep causing casualties to the Americans
here. And calculating that now then they may be later on in a better negotiating position.
Because I promise you the deal that was on this golden platter on last Friday ain't ever coming
back. Now then it's going to be they're going to demand stuff in return. They're going to say,
I want some sanctions relief, some major sanctions relief. I want some guarantees that you're not
going to come after. I mean, there's no telling what they're going to say, but it's going to be a big
ask. Or they'll keep firing. Because it looks like that they said, even with the itola. I don't know
if you heard this part. This is what is reported by is by the Iranians themselves. And by the way,
it seems to be corroborated. If you can put that full screen up there of the one about the itola
front that's on CNN, I believe it was they have said there was a report out that we we were tracking
him for months. CIA closely watched many for months before fatal strikes. They're well aware of
the Iranian side is well aware that he was being tracked. He was in he was in his own compound in
the middle of of of Tehran. Let me see. I might even be able to pull this up here. Yeah, so you
can see that this is a map of the city of Tehran. Sorry about that. And so we knew they we knew that
they knew where the the compound was. I don't have the one I was looking for. Paul just that I
thought I had loaded up a different one. Nevertheless, we knew where their compound was.
And so that was one of the first targets. Everybody knew that was going to be the first target. They
hit the the president's compound. They hit the I told his compound. They hit the IRGC and some
other command of control facilities. All those were well known targets that would be hit right away.
We all knew that was coming. They knew that was coming. And according to the Iranians, the Iatola
who was 86 years old said I'm not going to run. I'm not going to hide. I'm not going to go
underground and be afraid. He said I'm just going to keep going about my daily life and whatever
happens happens. Well, that's what they said. But what I think that they in that council meeting
decided was I'm going to stay there and when the bombs come in, I'm going to die. You can turn me
into a martyr. And then you can say this guy was courageous. He was not afraid. He did not run.
And he sacrificed his life for his nation. And whether that was their plan or not that is how it's
being portrayed and it's working. Because now you have Shia rising up in Iraq. You have Shia
rising up in Pakistan and in other locations around the world as well. And you saw that image where
hundreds of thousands of people came out into Iran today. And so this had this galvanizing effect.
So I think that that was a profound strategic miscalculation of the highest order that we've had.
And you hear at least on day two, President Trump seems like he might recognize him but he's still
trying to double down and still trying to sound tough. You're facing certain debt if you don't give up.
And even though we don't have an army to do it. And that was the other thing that you've set up
this condition to where if you didn't have this just gamble everything, roll of the dice on one
shot here that they collapsed. If they just maintain their solvency, then you're screwed.
Because now then since you don't have a ground force operation, what are you going to do now
if they stay resolved? If they say that they know we're going to continue to push like this.
What are you going to do? Find the ground force, go and get one, get more air purge. I don't know.
But if we if we started getting through this first week and then get through a second week,
we're not going to have the offensive capability folks. You just understand that we're not going to
have it. We can't keep going on. Let me let me jump to the maps here. If you can put that
first one up there, the attacks on Iran. This one was on a CNN map and this was a little
surprising to me, I have to say this shows the map of where CNN sources say that the United States
in Israel has attacked so far. You can see it's a pretty small number of strikes for two days.
That's what's happened since the 20th February. And look, I mean, you got to understand
these target lists were huge and expensive. I think the number of strikes I saw earlier today,
and it's probably a lot more than that now, but it had been up to 900 targets that were struck on
these. But you see the number of places has been pretty small. So obviously a lot of them have
multiple strikes on top of them. And Gary, let me see. Do we still have that one? Do we still have
the one with the air defense loaded up that we use sometime that shows all the where the air
defense batteries are throughout the country? Yeah, that one right there. Look at that.
Okay, so that shows you where all the air defense batteries that we know of are located.
And now go back to that CNN one. And then you'll see that that's where all the air defense
missiles batteries are that we knew before. And then you go back and you see what was attacked
so far according to CNN. And you see, there's just a few red dots in here, which means there's
a whole bunch of stuff that you haven't attacked yet. And that's just in the air defense capabilities.
And now the the ISW Institute for the Study of War, I always tell you they have terrible
analysis, but really good maps. And here's one that they have. They actually show even fewer
sites that they're located. At least that's as few as they put on the map here. But you see,
it's just not that many places. So there's the the Holy City of calm has been hit. Obviously,
there's you see multiple circles there in Tehran. Let me zoom in a little bit on the one in Tehran
because this shows you where a lot of targets have been hit inside of the capital city. So that's
one of the reasons why there's 900 strikes that have happened even though there's not, but maybe
it does hurt and a half or two dozen, total locations that have been hit because like in this one,
these are things that have been hit. Some of these have probably been hit twice. And you see,
there's some nuclear sites in there. There's some command of control sites in there. There's some
busage. There's also reports that they have, as we also predicted, they would hear the security
forces, the busage, the police that were used to put down rights because the hope was that this
would spur rights. They would rise up against the government so that we would we would destroy the
United States and Israel would destroy their security forces. So there wouldn't be anybody to put
the rights down this time. And then they would succeed. That was the idea. Now, who knows? Maybe in
time, that's going to happen. But would you keep having these kinds of scene here and the people in
Iran see this? And they see that there's also that, you know, what I just showed you on the map
inside of the narrow cap of seed they're getting here. I just can't imagine that they're going to
say, sure, thanks for blowing up a lot of our people and killing our security forces. We're going
to help you out. And since you don't have a ground force, we'll be one who will die in large numbers
because we're not trained. And you know, you can give us some weapons or some rifles or whatever,
we'll throw rocks, whatever they'll kill whoever will kill us in large numbers. And I don't see
that happening. I think that's what they're hoping for. So now that we got to ask Trump's
certainly is asking, what are we going to do now? Because the plan A didn't work. You remember,
I told you, I think that for all of their deep thinking, the Russians in the February 2022
war, they had a plan A and they were resourced for plan A, but plan A didn't work. And there's
some things that they weren't expecting. They weren't resourced for plan B. And it took them a
good year and a half to really get up to speed on that. That was a little bit different because
there were ground forces involved. But the issue is they were only resourced for plan A. Now they
had a lot of resources that they could have a plan B. And even though it took them a long time,
they were able to recover from that. Do we have a plan B? Do we have the resources for plan B?
Because what if Trump doesn't get Iran to do what they want? If they say, oh, hell no,
we're not going to have any kind of negotiate a settlement unless you admit that you're wrong,
if you lift the sanctions, you know, stuff like that, stuff that I would do if I was in the
Iranian because now that they know that they're in the position. President Trump, through his
actions, along with Benjamin Netanyahu who deserves even more blame for this, they have put themselves
in a terrible position to where they have rolled the dice and now expose what they have. And we're
seeing firsthand the limits of all this power that we have because it cannot bring them to their
knees right away and they have power that they are raining down all over the Middle East,
on Israel, on the United States and on our regional allies, none of whom we can protect.
So it's making us look bad, it's making us look weak, and it's making Iran look like they're
a lot stronger. So people are already going, wait a minute, we were basing our understanding of
life on a lot of things and so far we're not seeing it line up that way. So what is Trump going to
do here in three or four days? What we've seen in the first two days keeps going on for the next
two or three or four in Israel keeps taking lots of hits. Tehran keeps taking lots of hits because
the armises are getting through too, but they don't capitulate and our bases keep getting hit. And
so far there has been, and I'm going to show you this statement, this is one of the the Iranian
leaders is going to claim that they're attacking our ships. I'll just tell you before I play this one,
I have not seen any independent information that the ships have been hit. It's going to be harder
to tell because if we don't admit the information here, who's going to say because with all of these
cities, there's 10,000 cameras out there that can upload the videos to the worldwide web so
everybody can see that right away. But out in the middle of the ocean, if the ship gets hit, who's
going to know about it? We can't see it. I don't know, but watch this because here's what they're
claiming publicly.
Now that could be like Baghdad Bob where he's just saying for his domestic audience, oh yeah,
we're hitting them and we made their flagship battle crew aircraft carry battle group flee and
whatever run. We've got 500 casualties. I don't know, there are some number of casualties, but the
thing is they're going to continue on. So you see right there, that's Tel Aviv. Nobody in
Israel wants these images out there, folks. They're doing everything they can to suppress these,
but there's just too many of them and there's too many people with cameras that are going to
upload in any way. That's just in two days. If Iran continues to do this and it's an unknown,
I don't have any idea how many missiles they really have. All we have is that video that they
themselves have released and it looks like that they have just miles of underground bunkers filled
with these kinds of things. So the expectation is that they have a lot of them, but we've seen a lot
of missiles being fired. So how many they have total, I can't say, but if they have as many as
many estimates suggested they do, which is somewhere around 2000, I mean, they can go for months by
having these kind of sustained kind of operations where they don't have to have a barrage like you
saw in that last video there, but they can just have a sustained rate of fire. It's just going to
keep the pressure on it. And if you see, if you're not being able to intercept them, if you're not
being able to bring them down, that's going to be a big problem. It's going to start to be a political
problem. And then people are going to start looking to your leaders and you're going to start saying,
hey, hang on a second. In fact, let me show you as much as President Trump was talking about,
you know, a lot of braggadocious and talk about how he's how noble the sacrifice was of American
troops, Benjamin Netanyahu is doing something similar in his country. Here he is in Hebrew.
Our forces are acting now in the heart of Turan with increasing intensity, and it will only
increase further in the coming days. And yet these are painful days. Yesterday here in Tel Aviv,
and now in Bait Shemesh, we lost dear people. My heart goes out to the families, and on behalf of
all of you, citizens of Israel, I send strength to the wounded. Yeah, so it's similar. We've got
a Trump. String to the wounded. String to the civilians that are dead. They're dead, but you know,
they died in a noble cause. Oh, this kind of crap. Now that'll play for a while, but Iran is not
Hamas. Iran is not Hezbollah. Iran is not Syria. Iran is not Yemen, the Houthis, because all these
folks, they attacked it with impunity at will. And even though they tried to fire back some things
here and there, like the rockets that came from Hezbollah or from Hamas, there are a lot of them are
Katusha rockets that are notoriously inaccurate and have small payloads, and rarely only by luck,
do they hit anything and cause any damage, and there weren't many of those. And Israel has just
pummeled these areas, and they got nothing in return. They decimated the entire military of the
country of Syria after Bashar al-Assad fell, literally had nothing in response. So this is the
first time that now all of a sudden there's somebody punching back. See, I think that we entered this
like a boxer thinking, oh, this is just a puny guy, and we're going to punch him out and we're
going to knock him out in the first round. It's going to be great. Yeah, we're going to get hit a
little bit, but it's going to be a one round knockout. Oh snap. Now we're in round two. Now I'm
still hitting him hard because I'm still a good boxer, but they keep landing blows on me.
What if this goes 15 rounds that there's going to be some real problem here? So you see that
Benjamin Netanyahu and Trump are both in serious trouble. Because if the other side, and this is
the first time this has happened in decades, where somebody finally says, I don't care what you're
going to do to me, I'm going to do something back to you. And if I get bloody nose, if I get a broken
arm, if I get a blow, you know, my leg blown off, I'm going to keep coming because I'm tired of
being pushed around. I've warned about this possibility coming for a long time. If you keep pushing
long enough, and especially with that lineage, I just showed you here about all the things that
the Israeli supported by the United States, supported by American bombs and missiles has done,
people are getting tired of it. People are getting tired of seeing what you've done in Venezuela.
That was not a big success, folks. That continues to tell people there's no point in working with
Americans because they're just going to take whatever they want, and they're going to give nothing.
And so if they're going to take whatever they want, and if you're coming in ahead of time,
and you openly signal it's regime change, you give every incentive and motivation to the other
side to say, I'm going to throw caution to the wind because I've got nothing to lose. So you
push somebody into a corner where they have nothing to lose, and all of a sudden they start seeing
that they have these body blows that are starting to land and they're starting to hurt.
Because how long do you think President Trump can go? I've already seen a lot of people on American
social media, and starting to and regular media that are complaining a lot about this and saying,
wait a minute, why are we losing troops? This, this alleged, you know, an imminent threat is
clearly not true. You saw Senator Cruz spill the beans on that. There was no imminent threat. So
people are going to start saying, hang on, then why are we done? And what are we doing here? Because
that's going to be the question. Do you watch that in the first of this week? That's going to be the
next operative question. What are we going to do now? What is the strategy? What is the plan?
If they don't surrender and give up, as you said, or face certain death, what are you going to do?
What if they keep fighting? What if they keep resisting? What if they keep having these missiles?
What if you can't stop them? What are you going to do? And he has no answer.
So he's trying to find a negotiated settlement. There's other reports that said, even publicly,
he was floating the idea that, well, maybe in three days, we can have a some kind of ceasefire.
Well, what if you don't get one? What if it's now a week from today? And everything that we've
seen in the past two days is just as repeated for five more days. What are you going to do then?
And boy, those microphones are going to start getting in now. For those who say,
oh, this was all about children from Jeffrey Epstein. He made long for the days when that's all he
was asked about was Jeffrey Epstein. This could get a lot worse because now you're talking about our
service members who are held in very high esteem across the political spectrum in the United States.
And if now then those body counts start adding up. And God help us if a ship actually does get hit.
And if there's actually video footage on that or we have to release them or you can't hide it
and people are reporting back that, you know, one of our frigates has been hit or destroyer or God
forbid one of the aircraft carriers. That's going to start to be a problem or if some of our airplanes
get knocked down. That's going to be, there's no easy answers for that. It's all about political will.
Understand this. We're always generally about political will, but never has been one in recent
history anyway that's more pronounced than this one right now because you have a run that has
apparently calculated we're going all in no matter what you do to us. We're going all in. We're
using everything we have to cause you as much pain and death and destruction as we can.
And we're not going to give up until we get something. And we don't want to give anything to
anyone ever. That's totally against the current ruling elites, DNA, both in the United States and
Israel. But I'm telling you folks, you're going to have to learn to get a DNA transfer or something
because you're going to be putting a position pretty quick to where if you don't have some
plausible answers, and instead of this BS answers that both Netanyahu and Trump gave today,
that's not going to cut it for very much longer. It's already not cutting it for a lot.
But a lot of other people are soon going to be joining in with that. And if the body counts keep
packing up and you have no answer except just fire more missiles and you don't have a ground
component to resort to. And by the way, don't misread me. I'm not saying they should have had one.
They shouldn't have had it because nothing none of this should have happened at all. But it's
beyond absurd to make these kinds of boasts and claim if you don't even have the capacity to
make good on it. You can't say that you have to surrender at certain death unless you have an
army that can roll in there and execute it. And we don't have one. We were hoping to use the
Iranians, but it looks like they've kind of enlisted back to their government. So how that
work out? This is just a real problem. Trump is going to be faced in the coming days. I suspect
if the Iranian state took true to their calculation, and if they keep lobbing these missiles out
there and you can't stop them, he's going to have to make some hard decisions. I mean, how long can
he go of notes of the status quo of just suffered a lot of casualties and no apparent plan on how
to change the dynamic? He's going to come under enormous pressure. I fear that he may say,
maybe we do need to send in a ground component. Maybe we do need to mobilize the troops. I saw
today 100,000 Israelis were reservists were given mobilization orders. Don't know what that's
all about there unless just just for general war. I didn't see what it was composed of. Let's
hope we don't see anything like that in the United States. But for him to do the most expedient
thing, which is to have a ceasefire, and we actually give something to get something at something
that the Iranian side would like, which would be a really high ask, as I pointed out earlier,
they're not going to ask for something small. It's probably on the table around the possibility
but it will be a humiliation for the Trump. And for Netanyahu, there's no way around it. That's
a fact. There's not a negotiated solution that doesn't require substantial humble pie to be consumed,
probably in public. And I don't know if Trump is capable to do in that, but he's going to have to
learn because one way or the other, I mean, especially, believe me, nobody's looking at that midterm
clock more closely than Donald Trump. And if he keeps trying to not do the humble pie thing and to
not make some kind of concessions, he's going to see us ticking down there. And if he was at 36%
support before this war started, if it goes like it has in the last two days, look again in about
a week from now. And if that thing starts precipitously going down, then he's going to be really
concerned about and really forced into pressured into listening to voices in his ear telling him to
do something radical. Don't know if that could be a tactical nuclear weapon. Don't know if Israel
might be thinking about doing that. That would be the most absurd thing in the world because that
would have catastrophic results, no matter what happens because all kinds of additional bad things
would happen as a result that almost besides the actual explosion itself, the ramifications
political and otherwise that would cause would just ripple across everywhere. And I didn't even
talk anything about this whole thing. By the way, and I we only have a few minutes left here,
but I haven't even talked about the potential shutdown of the straight of horror movies. So far,
there has been what I can only describe as a soft shutdown of the straight. There has been some
instructions and some orders not to cross it. And although today, apparently I didn't see the
details, but I saw at least one report that said four different ships have been attacked by the
by the Iranian side by the RGC Navy. So apparently four ships have been attacked and now everybody
else is just kind of sitting there. I haven't seen any reports of any kind of sea mines being used
or whatever, but that's going to have some kind of an impact. And if that extends, if that goes on,
even more than all these other things I've talked about here, now that you're talking about a
potential economic impact across the globe, and especially the Western world, if you think Europe
is already struggling because of the more expensive gas in oil they have to get as a result of
losing the oil and gas cheap coming in from Russia, this would compound it profoundly if all the
sudden the price for everything goes up. And this could this could push a week in feeble economies
already into outright recession. And then that can cause ripple effects everywhere else. So
there's a lot at stake here. And that would of course push Trump's poll numbers down even further
and make the prospect of him getting impeached higher. I've done a show on that. And I said if he
does this military operation here and it goes bad, you'll have a real problem and a real potential
to get impeached. And of course, if you have that, if you get impeached and get removed from
office because if it's bad enough, even the Republicans won't be able to vote against it because
they've got to stand for election here. Worst time possible to be going into something like this
ahead of an election because nobody's going to want to be seen on the side of protecting a guy
who just took us into a war he can't win. Do you see what I'm saying here folks? There's a lot of
trouble brewing for the Trump administration right now and for America and for Benjamin Netanyahu too.
They still are hoping that somehow that they can throw enough steel down rains that's going to
cause it wrong to change its course to what we've seen through two days. Maybe their knees are
wobbling but they're still up. But no, if that back to that boxing analogy, let's just hit them
with an upper cut and then another and just a body blow and whatever you got to knock them out
because that's where they're at right now. They are starting to panic in Washington and
Tel Aviv and they're starting to say we've got to get these guys knocked out quick because they can't
do a long one. I think even even General Kane has talked about that. They need to keep it short.
If it gets outside of that, we've got some trouble. We're going to keep following this for your
folks. We've got some great guests that are lined up this week. We're going to keep getting folks
that are really tied in. We've got a lot of people that were in the process of working with that
have some real knowledge about what's going on on the ground in Iran. Where are the people really
thinking and they're going to be coming on and we're going to have someone one side of a debate
and one on the other side here but we're going to give you kind of a good understanding of what's
really going on inside to. We'll see. Are they going to stand firm or might they still turn? Maybe
Trump and Netanyahu will get lucky and this thing can still turn for them. That's what they're
hoping for. We're going to we're going to show you so that we're going to do a deep dive on this
so that you see the truth. Thanks a lot folks. We'll look forward to seeing you tomorrow on the Daniel
Davis deep dive. You know, I don't try to talk you into buying gold or how you had to run your
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Daniel Davis Deep Dive
