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A storm strong enough to bring accumulating snow and slippery travel will spread from
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West Virginia, Virginia, and Pennsylvania to the Mid-Atlantic and Southern New England
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coasts this weekend.
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There is a risk that the storm strengthens rapidly bringing heavier snow to parts of the
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Interstate 95 corridor, including New York City and Philadelphia.
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The storm expected from Saturday night through Monday will follow a series of systems that
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are delivering snow and ice to parts of the Midwest and the Northeast with a vast
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zone of warm air remaining in place to the south into Saturday.
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So this storm, which moved in from California, will reorganize over the Gulf Coast on Saturday
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before strengthening near the Atlantic on Sunday.
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AccuWeather's Dan Dupodwen said that the exact track of this storm along with how quickly
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it strengthens will determine how much snow falls in the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast.
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The supply of cold air is limited and that could also affect snowfall totals.
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In a broad zone from eastern Kentucky, Tennessee, and Ohio to the Del Marva Peninsula, New Jersey,
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South Eastern New York and Southern New England, one to three inches of snow are forecast,
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with localized totals up to six inches.
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Despite the lack of fresh cold air ahead of the storm, there should be just enough cold
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air for precipitation to fall mainly as snow from DC to Philadelphia, New York City, and
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However, some of the snow may melt on contact with paved surfaces, and the higher terrain
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of West Virginia anywhere between six to 12 inches of snow are forecast, with an AccuWeather
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local storm max of 18 inches from late Saturday night into Sunday evening.
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The heaviest totals are most likely at elevations above 2,000 feet.
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The pod one said that the critical question for heavy versus light snow along I-95 is the
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track of the coastal storm.
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That track will depend on how quickly the storm intensifies.
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The most likely scenario is for the storm to strengthen later and track slightly to the
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east to bring six to 12 inches of snow to a broad stretch of that I-95 corridor.
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However, if the storm strengthens rapidly along the coast and tracks farther west, it could
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turn into a noreaster, and parts of the corridor could pick up heavier snow and high winds.
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If that scenario plays out, millions could face significant delays during the Monday morning
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For some areas in the northeast, assuming the storm this weekend pans out as forecast,
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this will be the fifth weekend in a row for snow.
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For the season to date, New York City is very close to the historical average of 22 inches,
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with slightly more at 22.3 inches of snow so far this winter.
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Turning our focus now to the Pacific coast, another storm is lining up for California.
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Later on this weekend, arriving just days after the latest storm unloaded significant snow
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in the mountains and rain at lower elevations.
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This next round could bring drenching rain and more heavy mountain snow, especially to
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Northern California.
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Prior to the start of Thursday's storm, the 72 hour snowfall over parts of the Sierra
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Nevada ranged from a little over a foot in the southern areas to nearly 8 feet of snow
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in the central and northern parts of the mountain range.
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In the past 7 days, 92.5 inches of snow have fallen in the central Sierra snow lab.
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That amount of snow is not unheard of in the Sierra Nevada, but it is excessive nonetheless,
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and has already resulted in deadly avalanches and multiple road closures, including along
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the busy Interstate 80 and the Donner Pass area.
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So a new storm is forecast to spend slowly on shore and spread southward from Sunday
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Initially, rain may fall only on the northwestern corner of California on Sunday, and perhaps
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a bit earlier in coastal Oregon and Washington.
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The southward extent of the rain and mountain snow will depend on the track of the storm.
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The intensity of the rain and snow may hinge on the development and forward speed of a
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long plume of Pacific moisture called an atmospheric river.
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At this time, it appears that the heaviest low elevation rain and mountain snow will focus
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on the northern half of California, rather than the southern half, and will likely include
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Where the moisture plume persists in the atmospheric river, feet of snow may pile up in the mountains.
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This latest barrage of snow is providing a much-needed boost to the overall winter snowpack
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in the Sierra Nevada.
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The frozen water locked in the snow will gradually melt during spring and summer, replenishing
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and feeding area streams and rivers.
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None of California is currently in drought due to the extensive storm's last winter,
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and the occasional stormy periods this winter.
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While soil drought will undoubtedly return during the heat of the summer and into the autumn,
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there should be an ample supply of water to the state through at least the rest of the
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You can find more regional forecasts and science-based articles at acuether.com and for your local
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forecast at your fingertips, download the Acuether app.
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Enjoy the rest of your day.
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I'll be back tomorrow with more from Acuether.
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I'll be back tomorrow with more from Acuether.