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businessSep 21, 202544:31pending

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Garys Economics

About this episode

The next four years in British politics will be turbulent. Here is what the markets are predicting. And what I think will happen.


(00:00) intro

(00:15) What are the odds?

(04:15) Is the betting market wrong?

(06:20) Trend to populist right

(07:49) Labour’s position

(09:05) Will Keir Starmer be replaced?

(09:42) Labour will rebrand

(11:35) How Labour could win

(13:35) Labour and immigration

(14:23) Can the Conservatives win?

(16:39) The Liberal Democrats

(17:18) The Greens and Zack Polanski

(20:50) How Reform could be defeated

(26:35) Centrists: my message to you

(28:03) The left: how you can win

(32:28) What will happen if Farage wins

(36:28) The slide towards extremism

(38:28) Reform voters: my message to you

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Will Reform win the next UK election?

Garys Economics

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