2026 NFC South Preview | Sports Gambling Podcast (Ep. 2674)

0:00this NFC South preview edition of the sports gambling podcast is brought to you by the S.U.P.N. app. Get all of our picks and podcasts for free with the S.U.P.N. app. This is Gary Glamville and you're listening to S.T.P.N. Let it ride brother. Welcome everyone to the sports gambling podcast. I'm Sean second the money.

1:00Graham with my partner and picks Ryan real money. Cramer. What's happening? Cramer. Talk. Hello Sean. It's happening. We're in the dirty South. Dirty South sipping on our Cizarp talking NFC South. Is that a thing still? I think so. Yeah. Is that lean now? I think it's lean. Yeah. Is lean the same thing as Cizarp? I'm pretty sure. Yeah. I think it's cough syrup mixed with like soda or some sort. Yeah. When you think of the dirty South, what city do you think of Atlanta? Yeah. How about you? Yeah. Okay. New Orleans. I think close second. New Orleans. Yeah. I. And then just like Florida, Panama city. Again, I've never visited New Orleans. I got I got to check it out sometime. Me neither. And I know New Orleans is in the South. I just. To me, like when I think of the South, Southern living, I think more Georgia, you know, that kind of over like New Orleans to me is its own thing if that makes sense.

2:03Because like the Creole, like a South, I think like old school plantations, civil war type stuff. But I don't think New Orleans to me, obviously it's in the South, but I think of like Creole, you know, that cage infusion kind of different than typical Southern. Now maybe I'm wrong. I haven't spent a lot of time in either. I, I've always appropriated the, the dirty South with the, like the areas that have the craziest, like accents. Yeah. That's true. Which is, well, in New Orleans, I feel like has its own accent compared to the rest of the South, right? Am I crazy? Well, I think that just the Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, you have these areas of like deep, deep country, deep country. And then you cross the Florida border and it all goes away somehow. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I guess it was probably just because we were brought up by juvenile back that ass up back. Girl, did you see there was a viral video of a girl who was doing a speech at a ula

3:04G, at a funeral and she backed that ass up. She was, she like did the song lyrics was like say, like basically walk through the song lyrics and back that ass up. I do think that she didn't sing it, but she was emphatically saying like, girl, you look good. Why don't you back that ass? Like spoken word kind of thing. Yeah. That's very hilarious. Got the guy from the Apollo with the broom coming out. I think, yeah, I mean, I think certainly we at we owe a little bit to juvenile. I think the, you know, what modern day female is basically a peacock. They, they twerk to say hello. And that didn't exist back then. That was a controversial music video, Sean. They will. Now you pull up TikTok and it's just girls twerkin. Yeah. Those guys, we saw that cheerleader from the Eagles. Imagine a time where you, if you wanted to see some horny videos, you had to watch the entire total request live until Juveniles backed that ass came. Please Sean, TRL. What did I call it?

4:04Total request live. Oh, yeah. And then what about the box? Did you have the box growing up? What was that? It was a request music video channel that just, it just played, put them on the glass and backed that ass up and all the scandalous ones. And then at night for us, that's when it turned into one of the scrambled channels. So like during the day, it was calling request music video. So all the horny guys would just call in and just be constantly getting, put them on the glass. We, I mean, we grew up with MTV's The Grind, where it was just literally they would play music and it would just be guys grinding on chicks as the key needs. And it's like, wow, this is a great show. I forgot about that. That is true how TV's changed. There was a whole show just dedicated to playing watching people dance as if they, you're at a club. Not even a music video, just like, hey, they would just cut to different couples dancing. Sometimes there would just be dudes or chicks solo dancing. I mean, they probably couldn't shoot that show today in the club because things have gotten a lot more raw. The grinding has gone up a notch.

5:06Shout out to the chat. They are getting lit here. YouTube.com, social media and podcast. Join the conversation. Always enjoy hearing from you. Throw in the stash, check it in. You're like in life. He ran into him as always in Vegas and multiple times. Malcolm. Malcolm, I heard from Malcolm, who hosts a primarily game on podcast. I was like, I was like, oh, shit, who's, I didn't mean to Malcolm. Who's Malcolm? Mal. As we call him and said, said the, said Vegas look fun. Sorry, couldn't make it out. He's like, who's the gentleman with the Tash? I literally had to Google British slang for Tash, T-A-S-H, because I go, what? Get rid of the S. And obviously it's short for mustache, but did did not, when I read it, I go, what the hell is this guy talking about? Brits or fuck them. But I'm pretty sure he was referring to our buddy there. We got questions from our buddy Steven. My phrase that pays entry scheduled to be delivered there on Friday. Will my entry be counted for the contest?

6:08Yes. We are drawing the winners Tuesday night for the NFL week one picks. But if you're mailing in an entry, also go to sportsgamilarpodcast.com slash phrase. So then we have your digital record and the creativity of people sending in their entries. Gonna be adding up to a lot of bonus entries, $1,000 NFL future bet will be announced live on the Tuesday NFL week one picks contest. And we also have the free roll football contest sportsgamilarpodcast.com slash free roll, $3,000 winner take all $4,000. If you're a Patreon member sportsgamilarpodcast.com slash free roll, the lines for the contest will go live when we do our NFL picks show. You want to be using? Is the guy Bill who's entering the lines has access to her sheet? I was teeing it up for you.

7:09Yes, he's going to be entering the lines that we use for the episode. So you're going to be picking the games against the spread, compete against Ryan and I. We are not eligible for the prizes, but we'll still be competing with you guys. $3,000 winner take all $4,000 if you're a Patreon or maybe we're eligible. I don't know. If I win it, maybe just keep the money. Yeah. I mean, what it seems fair. Exactly. I know what people are picking. Yeah. And if I have a great season, I'm not going to be apologetic about it. No, of course not. Okay. But good times there. Get in on the contest. If we beat last year's record setting phrase that pays, I will happily boost up the, boost up the old prize pool, but get it. We're getting there. I feel like we're getting there and labor again, I'm going to stand on my business here. If you're listening to the show right now, you are ahead of, you are not a casual. Yeah. The casual start listening, Labor Day. Normally I'd say September, but I'll extend it to Labor Day weekend.

8:13And so yeah, you're ahead of the game. Congratulations. Good work. Good work by you. We're going to make it though. I feel like Labor Day weekend is when we get a lot of Johnny come lately. Oh, shit. I got to send in my entry. Yep. That's why sportsgamingpakets.com slash phrase. Make sure you get it in because I want someone to hit in a, I was left one of the entries. Guy said he's going to use on an eagle super bowl. He might be able, he might be getting a couple bonus entries. Oh, no, that doesn't. I'm not. That's very creative. He also, he also called DACA a number of insults. Maybe not fit for air. Okay. I might consider that. Might consider that. You have, we will be taking a look at one of the, the entries during the NFC East show. Oh, later today if you're watching live, maybe later on in the feed if you're listening. And we have a, we have a submission that was just, it's too good to not show on the, on the air. Yeah.

9:14And we're going to, we'll, we'll show off some before we spin the wheel NFL week one picks, YouTube.com slash sportsgamingpakets to watch lives. Smash that subscribe button while you're over there. Japan, check it in. Let's fucking go. I'm ready to call in week one. Oh, always, but people get very disappointed when they find out it's unlikely. We'll do a pregame show. We, I think we do a pregame show week one, right? Because I'm not playing this game with you. No, it's different this year. I'm not, I'm not playing this game this year. We have our setup at the circa. So I think it's much more likely we do a pregame show week one. But I don't know if we'll be able to take callers. Well, if we're going to do a pregame show, we'll figure out a way to take care of it. Calls, I'm just saying that this is, this is like a game of chicken you play every year. No, this year's different though. I don't have to think about anything. We're just going to do it. Okay, where are we going to do it? Previous years we, we, we normally were going to the Westgate to post up to watch the games. So the logistics, that was kind of a nightmare. Now it seems like we're probably going to be watching the games at circa this year.

10:17So and we're staying at circa four NFL week one. Come by, say hi. I think Sean and I might be after the V. Good chance. We might be teethers this year. I'm sorry everybody. Stay tuned. Uh, we'll see, we'll see. I've never wanted this, the history of this show, Ben, more selfish than I plan on being this year. I think. Well, Saturday, we don't have to do anything. Right. Just watch college football. And honestly, the giants are, our night game. So it's a little less stressful, but I, yeah, I'm going to be selfish. A last thing. How did you come up with a number for the free roll football contest? What do you mean? I'll, I'll tell you what the weekly prize will be. Oh, okay. The weekly prize will be a $50 SGPN gift card plus a D. Gens jacket that is never going to be sold unless you don't fit into one of those in which case you get a hundred dollar merch. Great. Love the weekly prizes. Weekly prizes. Just that. If we, I mean, I'm going to, I'm going to, I'm going to say we're going to need, well, at least need to beat last year. We'll do the same. What was last year's? Great question. I'll look it up. Okay.

11:18But we're at a, I'd say a slow start right now. So there's an overlay in the free roll football contest. Check it in. What are you doing? We're giving away our cash and if you're in a weekly prizes, we got to activate it. Yeah. Let's go. Okay. Kramer, we're here breaking down the NFC South Atlanta Falcons. Six and a half was the wind total. I had them going seven and 10 just over which I don't know. White Nuclean it through this preseason. You had them going 10 and seven Ryan. You had the Falcons going way, way over on the NFC South and the team preview. And can I quickly just do a quick promo? Shout out to the anonymous beaver, the anonymous chinchilla and the anonymous grizzly. There might be more. Nope. That's it. Who are checking out the sheet live with us because they're a patron. Yeah. I mean, for me, the biggest news coming out of the Falcons training camp is that two has not been named the starter, which is insane to me and to a tag of all the quarter back.

12:27He has been so bad in both the preseason and training camp practices that they're refusing to name him starter. Even though Michael Pennix not healthy enough to even get in preseason reps, this is wild to me. I mean, Kramer, do you think two is going to be the starter week one? Who are they going to play Jack Strand? Jack Strand. Pretty good in in in preseason. I mean, I think do you not remember the fanski with the Browns? Do you not remember the shenanigans he played with his quarterback? I mean, he just didn't I'm going to our lad's our lad's list Pennix as the starter. Is he going to be well? I mean, no disrespect to our lad's they've had. There's been some delays in their updates this off, but I'd say that's the fanski has a history of not naming a starter. And yeah, I'd say it's pretty concerning. Now to it and look awful. If you read it like I you're accurate, you're you're global statement about the preseason's

13:28accurate. It does seem like if you read the beat, things have steady to little bit down the stretch and went from complete disaster to okay, he's he's starting to operate the office. This is the light is from Shepter. They want to take a look this week at Michael Pennix and see how he physically feels out there for a full week. They haven't made a decision yet on who's going to be the starter. Just to me, that's a red, red flag. Absolutely, but you're also dealing with foot, we're at the point of the season now where the football guys are like, oh, we can't give our opponent any information. So we're going to be coy about it. I insta fanski has done this in the past. I do think too is going to be the starter, but obviously on a incredibly, incredibly short leash, but I don't know probably. Well, we think it's the other thing. Well, but that's the crazy part. Then why not just say do is the starter. Cause the fanski's done this before. I think that's more about it. It's the fanski. Yeah. I mean, I don't have to give you information. I'm not going to give you information.

14:28It's the dumbest shit in the world, but that's how these these bird brain football coaches think. Some of the props I like, Beige on Robinson over eight and a half rushing touchdowns in 18 to one. Now there's been a report about Brian Robinson, maybe stealing some of the goal line stuff from the coach. Tyler Aljure, 2.0 in the report I saw. So yeah, he's kind of the same guy. No, just I mean, I, I find for me Tyler Aljure, better back than Brian Robinson, but I'm still optimistic. Beige on's going to get in the end zone rushing the ball. And obviously he had some receiving touchdowns, but that's not part of this. Two of the league and passing yards at a hundred to one. You talked me into that one, Ryan. Where are you at? How do you feel now? You have it in part. I'm glad I didn't bet that much on it. I'll put it that way. Well, you shouldn't. It's a hundred to one. Yeah. What do you think the price is right now? Two hundred to one. I'm going to look it up. It certainly caught up. The division price has has come down a bit.

15:31Even though the off season's been disaster. That is interesting. What's the current division price? When we did our team preview, you gave out them to in the NFC South at plus four 25. And do you remember the logic there? Similar to us being on the Steelers in the FC North. The idea that's going to be kind of a toss up. Yeah. Why not take the biggest dog? All right. Totally see the logic. Uh, it's gone back. All right. So Falcons had dipped under four to one for a little bit. I have them in a parlay out of the circle. It's back to four to one. Panthers plus three 50 Saints, two 55 bucks, one 64. Yeah. I mean, this, I get why you think it's the division's kind of a toss up. Why not ride with the Falcons? I understand that logic. So Fansky with the best offensive skill position group he's ever had. It's to Fansky with the best offensive line he's had in a while. Yeah. Fansky with the best running game. He's had some legit concerns, especially with the past rush. Sure. You know, losing guys, suspensions, all that.

16:32But I do think the Fansky is a good enough coach to keep them competitive. So I overall, I do feel good with the seven and 10. And the they do have a low floor, I would say. I give if it quarterback. Yes. I mean, so Fansky has done well-ish with horrible quarterbacks. And I think as much as I don't like Pennix or two, uh, two unpenix are kind of upgrades over what he's had over the last couple of years. Which is, we had more certainty on Pennix's health. I would maybe bump them up a little bit. I'm, I like Michael Pennix, but obviously the injuries have totally derailed his career. Uh, so two is actually down to 75 and one to lead the league and passing yards. See LV Pennix is a hunter to one. So I guess we can snag a little bit a little bit. So I mean, I honestly liked it. Oh, it does feel like we'll see Pennix at some point. Would you agree to that, Ryan? I mean, so what's the, how does, how do we not see Pennix? People to a place well the entire season, which I, I, I, I, I, I, I have that tail out

17:34come bet on and I would also say the probability of that probably not, not strong. Maybe 60 to one. If I'm the Falcons and we're not performing great, I definitely want to bring in the rookie. The problem is, is that Michael Pennix is also mostly looked like ass, like worse than a, you know, an injured Kirk cousins ass. And so, yeah, that being said, I still like the idea of this team to win more than six and a half games. Yeah, it does feel low in a, you know, in a division that scroll back up again. And that's kind of a wide open. So the haters will tell you they're only favorite twice. And and take ones in the chat. Declan was representing the Falcons. Declan had them go to 11 and six, but he also thinks to his dog, he has lost weight. He slimmed down a little bit. You can't tell me when you look at this schedule that this Falcons team, maybe they don't have a great start to the season, but they could easily rattle off four wins in their last five games. Yeah.

18:34And it's, they're interesting from their only favorite twice coming into the season, but you see a lot of small dollars. A coin flips. Now, also, we've kind of discussed this, but, you know, we also kind of like them to get beat week one, the Steelers at home. That's kind of a nice spot there, especially with the uncertainty. Is that going to close three? I think so. What is it right now? It's, I mean, last I saw it, it's circuit was three. I just think why would it move? I guess you just feels like there's going to be a lot of people on the Steelers. All right. So DK has three minus one 20. Yeah. So I guess on the verge of moving, maybe when the public comes in and realizes, but I don't think there's a ton of public, like love for the Steelers either. So it's not like a, well, sometimes you have it where it's like team that did really good in the preseason team that did really bad. You see the convergence and then the line moves. I don't think this is that. Should I be betting the Steelers this Friday when we go out to the circuit?

19:34Okay. Circa has minus one 10 still. So, all right. Feels like I'm going to want to get that because I could see this going to three and a half. Well, that's the other side of it. It becomes very, that's where I have, I don't know how much I feel strongly about this getting to three and a half and staying at three and a half because people will talk themselves into liking getting three and a half points against the Steelers. Yeah. I'm a favorite bet for me on the Falcons. Beigeon Robinson over eight and a half rushing TDs. I know I saw Kevin in the chat saying Brian Robinson's trash, even if he eats some of that production. Tyler L. Gier just had so many rushing touchdowns last year. I just can't imagine that's not going to go the way of Beigeon, at least to some degree. So I get it. They want to work in Brian Robinson. But I mean, Tyler L. Gier had eight rushing touchdowns. They also had a, let me pull up the Falcons rushing sets because they also had some quarterback

20:35rushing touchdowns, which I don't think an injured panics we're going to be seeing much to do is going to be on top of that. Two is not one to have a ton of rushing touchdowns. So last year, Beigeon only had seven. Tyler L. Gier led the team in eight. Kurt Cousins had one, panic said one. I thought in my mind, there was more in there. But yeah, I think of those seven or sorry, of those eight that Tyler L. Gier, even if, even if, you know, even if Beigeon gets four of those eight, that's 11 rushing touchdowns. So I'm optimistic he gets over this eight and a half. And I think it is a fun long shot as well. A team to one for him to lead the league. I can, I can pull up an updated price there. More fodder, more fodder to support that the market is higher on the Falcons than you may believe. The wind total, since we talked about it, moved from six and a half minus one 15 to six and a half minus one 40 or seven and a half minus one 40 to the under. Oh, okay.

21:36And so some places are dealing seven and a half now as well. So again, I think, I hate to give out a, a juice price on the Falcons wind total, but I kind of, I don't know if I have a more favorite bet for this team. I get, maybe the, I mean, even the division, I guess grabbing a stab at a team to, you know, put me down as the division NFC South at plus four 25 for Kramer. We're both on the over six and a half. I'm at seven and 10 Kramer at 10 and seven playing the optimistic outcome onto it and the boys. And shout out, we're also brought to you by our good buddies over at clutch par lays. Clutch par lays. Love clutch par lays. I'm betting MLB player props because of clutch par lays doing a pretty good job over there. Love the tool. Very easy, very simple to use. Live predictions in game, the hot props section, which I love. Who do they like today?

22:36The hot props. Charles McAdoo to get over a hit run and RBI and let's see. We go with August to get a hit. So those are two guys they like. If you're playing some MLB player props, but they also got college football, college football, alive and well. You can see some of the predictions already for the spreads here. We got who do they like? They got Akron plus 24 and a half is one of their favorite plays as well as UMass and plus 29 UMass. UMass a good watch move to 29. Yeah. No, no. Pop Watson. Check them out and good times over on clutch par lays. Get your free month. Use that code SGPN. We're also brought to you by the good buddy or good buddies over at underdog. Underdog. If you had the underdog app, fire it up. Football is back. 15% deposit match and the keep your million in bonus funds. Very fun.

23:37So they start you off with a million dollars in bonus funds and then you have to make 20 predictions and then obviously however you do, that's how much you get to keep. So there's a lot of game theory of well, do you bet all the, you know, do you trade all the million up front? Do you, you know, if you only do one dollar, then you end up kind of with nothing. So you got to find that sweet spot in between unless you think you can go 20 and 0 as far as like how much and they also have a sides and totals as well there in the keep your million. So very, very fun. I already started up my underdog, million in bonus funds. I put a couple hundred thousand on Colorado Buffalo plus six and a half against Georgia tech. So fun start there. Love underdog. Yeah. Why not? Oh, it's, it's a horrible pick, but carry on. You hate, but you hate Colorado, right? You love Georgia tech. I don't love George. I mean, they're, they're kind of a mini rival of Virginia tech, but I do like, you know,

24:39like, I like the spot. I think physicality will win. So get in. If you haven't signed up with underdog, great time to sign up now. Use that promo code S, GPN. That's underdog promo code S GPN. DNFL is right around the corner in the sports gambling podcast is back with our 32 NFL team previews. And of course, your chance to win $8,000 NFL future with praise. All right, Kramer. Let's talk a little more NFC South. Who do we got up? We got the Carolina Panthers win totals at seven and a half. I had them going under at seven and 10. You had them going under at seven and 10 barely. Yes. Okay. We got over. Yeah. He's a Panthers fan. He doesn't like when I play the small dog bark for Bryce Young, but and this was before

25:42unfortunately, some of the injuries for the offensive line. That to me has kind of been the big red flag. So another reason to kind of be out. I did like them to have more wins than the Cowboys. Bryce Young to get over the 20 and a half passing touchdowns. A Flanagan talked me into that one. Shuba Hubbard, eight 24 and a half rush yards on the under. I have an update here on that. Yeah. I was seeing some news about the while there. It's just basically coming out that there like Brooks and like once again, Chubb's someone is brought in to retake Chubba Hubbard job and they're not taking it. Matt rule Matt rules wife was on to something when when she said we got a draft Chubba Hubbard because he's just he can't he can't lose the job. It sounds like Brooks hasn't really separated. Yeah. As a Brooks guy, that's concerning. I do have him in a couple of fantasy leagues. I did do the only managed league. I have Sean a little Yahoo draft. Shout out to Matt. I'm going to manage it myself. I'm not going to ask Cody to do it for me. I did draft Brooks still.

26:44So, but so a little concerning about your underplates. It does sound like Chubba is going to get some work. Now the case against is to your point, the offensive line, especially the interior run blocking portion of that line was supposed to be a strength and they've they've already lost some some pieces. So yeah, I mean, that to me is I just think there's a number of ways this doesn't get home. One Chubba not as efficient as he was last year to the offensive line. Shargel's three. They're playing from behind for Jonathan Brooks eats some of his production. So it just feels like there's a lot of stuff going against his rush total for the yards. But yeah, I mean, you're right. Chubba Hubbard is a hard guy to keep off the field and he does run hard. I think my favorite bet is just more wins than the Cowboys, which Dallas sucks and you're getting plus to 65. I mean, I could take this for every team as my model shows that as incredible value, but I'll select the Panthers as a fun team to ride, even though I'm on the under seven and

27:44a half, I do think they're going to have more wins than the Cowboys. We circus not offering that market. Are they? She just get a paper ticket on every team. Kramer, we did. We did forget to mention about two who you talking about to a man P97, reminding us we did forget to talk about to commenting on his own Instagram posts clearly with a. Well, no, no, that's to a man. No to a man is to his handle. And then he commented twice on it. People are thinking that he was forgot to switch the burner separate people. No, the, the, the, he commented twice on his own Instagram posts. Yeah, no, it was a mistake, separate people. What do you mean? I'm just joking. Okay. That's the, that's how you get out of these kind of things. I was hacked for it. So his original post is for the A and he does a salute. And then he also comments probably thinking he was on his burner account.

28:47We're so proud of you. You got this heart, which is a pretty odd to comment to yourself. So he was probably trying to pretend to be a two of a. Do you want to do real journalism? Sure. Wife took credit for it. Oh, okay. Logged. He didn't realize she was logged in his hand. Okay, great. It's a good wife. This is up there with Lawrence Taylor's wife saying what's he supposed to do? What's he supposed to do? I need the bitch. To a tag ovalea, the quarterback. But yeah, that's what you got to make your burner. Yeah. Getting back to the Panthers. I don't know what. So I again, I don't, I'm very light on this division. I'll just, I, when I, I've been having it, I've been printing out. I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been, I've been having out kind of a report of our plays in my plays in general. NFC South, very light. The fast futures that I like, the bright, young, uh, Tett Mcmillan stack, kind of more of

29:51a schedule play. And I'll be honest, I, I don't, if I had gone back in time and, and undead, did these, I probably would have been just fine. So what's your, what's your favorite bet for the Carolina Panthers? Well, I'm just going to highlight the reason that you like the fast futures is it's Chicago, Atlanta, which that's always a shootout and then Cleveland. So there are, there are potentially some yards to be had here, maybe the run game with the offensive lines of problem. My favorite bet would just be the under on this team. I think I was fairly optimistic on them when I, when we went through the schedule, I had them finishing the season three and two and they still only got to seven. It feels like last year was like a ceiling outcome in a weird way. And I'm not buying Bryce Young. So your best bet that's not the win total. I guess I, I throw the tat Mcmillan dart coming off the rookie of the year, but yeah, the win total is the best bet. All right. So it's pretty lame, but the first time you want me to take an alt under? Yeah, that would be a good, a best bet.

30:51Okay. What's under six and a half? Let me see what the price is. What are you getting on under six and a half run? I got a lot of tabs hold on. All right. So if we go alt on the panthers, we can get six and a half under plus one 34. I don't even really love that. I don't know. I don't love it. I mean, you're, you kind of did a bailout by just saying they're going to have more wins in the Cowboys. That's a great point. And then you're putting the pressure on me. No, we, we, we remind people the win total and then our best bet that's right. No, panthers last place. Okay. What's that? I'm looking right now. Because I, I do think I would, I think they have a floor to be exactly the worst team. Right. So exact standings. Panthers to finish in third is plus or fourth is plus two 35. Perfect. I don't mind that at all.

31:52I almost like that better than the Cowboys, but yeah, I have them tied with the Falcons, but them being the fourth place at plus two 35 nice, nice price there. You could even take, I mean, third place is the same, but you could kind of, if you really wanted to be diabolical and boxing some EV plus two 35 on fourth plus two 45 on third, you're making a profit there. They're not finishing the top two spots here. Next up, we got the New Orleans Saints. 10 and seven was my prediction well over the over seven and a half wins. How are you feeling there? Great. Really? Yeah. I'm going to be under for the New Orleans Saints six and 11. Yeah, obviously Saints deal with some injuries. Don't like to see that, but not, I don't know, it's not throwing me off my prediction for the Saints. They've had a decent amount of injuries and the trenches, right? They've had some Tyson being out. Yeah. I like the over seven and a half wins over eight and a half wins is plus one 50.

32:55So I think my best bet would be the over eight and a half wins at plus one 50, although what's the, maybe I just add the division price. What do we see in the current division price? Really. All I looked at, I really regret not tailing the man in the box on the Tyler Schuck passing yards. I believe that numbers come down a little bit. Yeah. CJ gave out Tyler Schuck under 36, 49 passing yards. He also like Chris Olave over five and a half touchdowns. Now I, even as someone who's like Schuck and optimistic about year two for him, and that number is crazy. Like I think they're going to have success on the ground with my boy Travis Aachen who someone tried someone said, I think you're confusing Devon Aachen with Travis ETN. And I don't know. I'm honoring the way he wants to pronounce by calling him Travis Aachen. So Kramer, what's the current NFC South price for the Noreland Saints? Two 55 and so to articulate the move.

33:57I have, and probably my favorite bet under 3449 and a half for passing yards for Tyler Schuck. So it's dropped a whole 300 yard. So is that your best bet is the shot 100% okay? So you still like it even though it's moved. Yeah. I mean, when it was 3600 and changed, he's in literally next to like the top guys in the league. Now he's come down a little bit, but he's still at this price. He's still 300 yards north of Jalen Hertz. He's, you know, he's just in a realm where they clearly don't know what to do with it. Yeah. They think he's going to be in an offense that's going to pass a lot. And they think they're going to, he's going to be in an offense that plays a lot of plays. And they must think the defense is going to suck because and they must, you know, I don't know. I don't really understand this one. To me, he what, 3,200, 3,100 somewhere in that realm. There's a lot of good quarterbacks in that realm on similar structured teams. In sprinkling the fact that a lobby is dealing with some stuff, Tyson, who knows when he's going to come back, he's already on the IR, just strikes me as a passing offense that might

35:01not be as electric as people thought. And Tyler Schuck was a second round pick. People are giving him a pretty large and you yourself include, maybe not yourself included. There's a lot of blind like he's, he's obviously going to be better in year two. He's obviously going to take a huge step forward. And so no, I hit a couple of nice games last year. And I think he's, yeah, I mean, to me, I'm not even off of that. To me, he passed the eye test. And to me, this is the optimism for the saints is more centered on Kellin Moore as a head coach. I think he's a very good head coach. And it's more about Kellin Moore in year two, the optimism that I have than Tyler Schuck in year two. I see go beaves in the chat Tyler Schuck for MVP. That's the horrible take. That's in at 90 to one. I like Tyler Schuck. I'm optimistic about the Saints team. I don't think they have number one team in the NFC seal in our buddy, Mitch Moss. He said Tyler Schuck's as high as he can go MVP price, which I see the case.

36:01I mean, you compared to the other guys sitting at that price point, cam ward 61, Daniel Jones 90 to one Tyler Schuck 91, Bryce Young 100 to one, Malik Willis 100 to one. And then you get to like non quarterbacks. So in that sense, if you're, of those of that range, I would like Tyler Schuck the best. But yeah, I got enough. Daniel Jones has the highest ceiling in that group as much as I'm not looking to bet Daniel Jones to win the everything better, better in my mind, better coach. And we've seen him do it. We've seen him lead a dominant team and be in an MVP. He was in the MVP mix for the first half of the season last year. Yeah, not. Yeah. So I, but I, the injury scares me off Daniel Jones. So all of those guys, yeah, I would pick Schuck to be MVP, but I'm not playing that high and outcome for the Saints. I think the sweet spot is 10 and seven. That's why I like the overnight and half wins. But I will make NFC South at plus 255 my best bet.

37:03I think they're going to be neck and neck there with the buck. So I'll take the, I'll take the better price at plus 255. And then we did, we also discussed the Tyler Schuck rushing. Yeah. Which have we seen any numbers on that? Our dog has released a bunch of their season long stuff. So maybe, maybe we got a number there. I saw there, I saw some places released a top quarterback rushing yards. Oh, that's not seen a Tyler Schuck season rushing prop. Nor do I think we're going to get one. Underdog does have season rush TDs available. What do you think they for Schuck? Yeah. I mean, it has to be set to like one and a half really. I'm just comparing it to like guys like Jackson Dart where they're making it for and a half. They have Tyler Schuck at four and a half. Which I, I, okay. Talk your craft. We just talked about yesterday scoring four and a half touchdowns.

38:03This highlights the, the Tyler Schuck thing. That's crazy. Again, I like Tyler Schuck. I think he's, I think how many rushing touchdowns that he have last year? I had three. Now, one was a two touchdown game. Yes. And again, I was pretty locked in the Schuck. I had Schuck in that box game at two rushing touchdowns. I had them on the money line. Incredible cash. I don't think I'm optimistic on Tyler Schuck and I think this numbers. It's calm. Hi, it's comical. Well, I think I think part of their success is going to be him like less like those, those rushing touchdowns were like broken plays in him, bus and wide open. I think if you're, if you're down on the Saints in some way, you could make a case that he gets the, the rushing touchdowns. Maybe they use him in the QB sneak area. Camara, he's banged up. I don't think we're going to see him much in the goal line. And again, going back to why I'm optimistic. I think Travis, uh, Aachins going to give them a nice boost in the running game. Yeah.

39:03That, that just blew my mind. That's really hot. No, I mean, compared to Jackson, Tart, a guy who, compared to any mobile quarterback. I mean, I'm, I almost want to pull up all the mobile quarterbacks rushing numbers now to see how it did. I mean, it's the same thing we said about his passing yards. He's being put in a class that he is not in. Anyway, favorite bets. The under on Tyler Schuck's passing yards. Lamar Jackson, Russian TD is also for an ass. Come on. Well, Lamar also is an eye who gets a lot of rushing touch. Yeah, I know. But in what universe are you betting more? Josh Allen also for a half. Come on. Really? 10 and a half. Obviously. Okay. So what's hurts? Jalen hurts. I would guess eight and a half. If I had to set a number on Jalen hurts, eight and a half rushing touchdowns is the number. Okay. That's more reasonable. Well, yeah. I mean, they got the touch push. They're still going to be using that. Obviously, he's competing with Sequan. But the, uh, the hurts anytime touchdown has been a nice, uh, print fest over the years.

40:06All right. So officially, I got the Saints going 10 and seven going over the seven and a half. NFC South is the best bet. Kramer on the under at six and 11 for the Saints Tyler Schuck under 33 49 passing yards. Last team, we got your Tampa Bay Buccaneers win total is eight and a half. I got them going nine and eight. Kramer also nine and eight on the over. Where are you at here with the Tampa Bay Bucks? We had some potential hold out news with our boy Vita Vaya. They got that sorted out. Yeah. He's a guy you can't let go. Yeah. And my biggest takeaway is just say, I think the more that you look at this defense, the more that it's very easy to believe that this could be a, I understand why people want a Todd Bulls gone, but if Todd Bulls does the same thing as he's done in the past with this caliber of front seven, I think the defense is going to be pretty good. And I think you also have Baker in a contract year. You have a bunch of just circumstantial things that make me want the offensive line, probably

41:09not going to be as banged up as they were last year in that same categories, the chargers. And so to me, this is a team that I think. Yeah, I think there's a lot of reasons why I think they could have a better season than I gave him credit for when we went through the record. As far as the stuff I liked, is I a trotter defensive review of the year, a hundred to one. That's a fun long shot. Kate Otten over three and a half touchdown smash that Sean Tucker. First three weeks, the most Russian touchdowns, Hunter to one. It does seem like he, they took a pay cut. He took a pay cut, which is not against the team. So yeah, I would, I would again, Hunter to one, I would not be adding that to your queue. My biggest advice to myself would be, and I did a good job of this is these fast futures. Throw the first start as a small dart. And then if you still like it a week later, throw a bigger dart. I like the process of this one, but it does seem like gain well over Tucker. And as I look at how I had them finish the season, but gain well is not like a goal line guy.

42:11But I agree when we talked first touchdown, Kenny Gainwell, I'm definitely going to be I think we're wrong on that. Okay. I think there's a chance that he is used as a goal lineback. Well, it's going to be interesting to see and there certainly is a role up for grabs with no Mike Evans. So I think the bucks touchdown stuff, if you have a good read on that and I, and, and I will be playing some gain well first touchdown just because of the passing game. And maybe you're right. Maybe they do use him in the running game a little bit more. He's certainly going to be a fun first touchdown, a play there. The, our buddy, the receiver, a meek up and big boo. That has been a tough, he's dealing with the toe injury. And then it's like it's a toe sprain, but it's not turf toe, but it's kind of similar, but maybe he's going to be fine. I, I hope for some more clarity on that, you know, without an injury report, there being pretty keeping it close to the vest. There's reports that maybe he is going to be fine, but him not being out there.

43:11If he's not out there week one, um, that is, uh, that's a big deal because he's a huge part of the passing game. Well, there's, I mean, it sounds like, and I do have a quick update. Good. Uh, working with trainers on the side field Wednesday, he was running without any obvious problems with this toe. So good sign. I guess if it was turf toe, they wouldn't have him running full speed, but certainly not something you want to see going in because those turf toe things are very annoying because a lot of times guys try and play through. It's like the high ankle sprain where they're out there, but they're not quite a hundred percent. Their cuts aren't quite as good. The quote from Todd Bulls was that a book and McMillan are heading in the right direction. Okay. So vague heading in the right direction. So it means they started not in the right direction. I mean, opening the season. So I mean, it's the since he game. Yeah. It's a road game.

44:12It's a game I already kind of thought this is probably a loss. Even though the bangles tend to start slow. Yeah, we'll see how this one breaks out. I do think when the when the bucks play against teams that have offensive lines that aren't sturdy and you look at the after the since he game and even since he's not that sturdy, Cleveland, Minnesota, Green Bay, Dallas, who by the way is still trying to figure out who they're starting at left tackle. Yeah. Well, and I'm excited to do the week one prop show. It's going to be back with our buddy CJ. I'm going to be on the chase chase brown under rushing yards because Vita Vaya, like he just any any any rush yard. There was like that streak of no opponent having 50 or more rushing yards against the Patriots took the baton from them last year. Yeah. There's always those teams that just don't let you run the ball and the bucks are one of them. Also, it pairs nicely with the idea that chase brown is going to be lining up all over the formation and catching more passes.

45:13What do you think is rushing yards? I'm on on on underdog right now. I'm promo code issue. Chase Brown is one of the more optimistic projections on the season, but specifically his receiving yards are very attractive to people. And so I'd imagine his rushing yards aren't crazy. We'll go somewhere in the 60s. 61.5. So I'm going to have a feeling that prop show. We go on. I'm going to be on the under. Okay. Yeah. Why not? No, and and you make some good cases. Like I could see if I had a win to add to give away, I might toss it up on my way. I'm considering two wins. Really? I'm considering breaking the, even though you have Falcons winning the NFC South. Well, it's obviously easier for me to just bump them up one and sit on a tie situation that I can get cute with. But I also, and I do respect that third quadrant of the schedule where they have road games against Chicago to Troy. They have Carolina and the chargers at home.

46:14So definitely some loosable. You know what? I'll bump them up a win in the fourth quadrant. Okay. I mean, 10 and seven sounds very reasonable. It also, you know, it gives me a decision. Do I have the books actually winning the division, even though I like the price on the top? Do you hear you're going to be on Bucks week one on the road and Sancy? You like to lay the three and a half. Zack Taylor has a history of starting. Sorry, so this year's different last year. I mean, last year they seemingly got off to a better start. If it boogers out, it's going to be an easier situation for me. If I'm, I'm leaning towards the idea that, I mean, look, I'm, I'm tracking Malik neighbors obsessively close and he looks pretty good on the field. And he's saying, like, you know, I'm still not 100%. So the idea that a booka is going to be anywhere near 100% feels fugaz at this point. And so I don't, you know, and even in McMillan, I'd like to see him out there too. So yeah, I mean, if McMillan and a big boo are not 100%. That's a tough spot.

47:15It is. But the counter is you highlighted it like that. That bangles offensive line. I'm still pretty skeptical of and yes, but the back end, bangles have a pretty big advance. Again, going back to the schedule. The advance, yeah, I mean, Jermar Chase who also got banged up doesn't seem that serious. I just think you look at the rest of the schedule here and the bucks will face just, like I think things will normalize once they pass the bangles game, but the bangles game to me. Yeah, I think I think I am going to be a fool and run into another Zach Taylor early season collapse if I'm wrong, but yeah. And and Jermar Chase is dealing with the knee. T Higgins dealing with the heel will be good by the end of the week. Those injuries seem more like that's just managing training camp. Seem less serious than a big boo and McBillen, I would say 100% and you do have the weirdness of like it seemed like the team was quitting on Todd Bulls last year. So while I'm optimistic about what could be you do have that element,

48:15Baker going to be intentionally dangerous. I don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing. So I could argue this one both ways, but I am going to bump them up a win. And of course, so you bumped them up a win. So you got them officially now 10 and seven officially 10 and seven. And going back to my best bets is a K dot and over three and a half touchdowns. I want a season. You can get that on underdog right now. Just checked. I mean, Kramer. I might be playing K dot and two touchdowns the first game against the bangles. Who what's the number? I'll try and find that because I know the green book put out there touchdown pricing. We should probably get this before everyone puts out there like graphic about how bad the how bad bangles. Bangles bangles reminder last year let up 16 touchdowns to the tight end. I get it. Stuff doesn't necessarily carry over. Two touchdowns is 30 to one for K dot.

49:16Okay. That's a little steep. I thought it would have been more in the 20s, but maybe we're just too high on him. Well, I think I think we play this now because what if a big blue or McMillan is not out there, that's then his price is going to crater because you know how the pricing works. Like if those guys aren't out there and adjust the anytime and then it adjust the first. What does anytime? Is anytime is plus three 10. No, just that's it. That's the best bet. Weak one K dot. I'm going to put this in now. Zero percent chance. I'm not on that. At least to get one. God damn, we're going to have touchdown plays in every game. TD. So cannot wait to check out the TD bar over on Vison, where we give out some of our favorite TD bets. Get that shit on the board show. Let's go, baby. All right, 10. Yeah. All right, Kramer. We're going to close out. He might be the number one target in the red zone. I know. Especially with no Mike Gavin's. All right, I'm playing both.

50:17Shout out to our buddy, Circa. We're going to be at the circa Friday. We've already signed up for circa million, Circa survivor. Got some entries in both and still time. Sign up for the contest. Come hang out at the circa. We're there every Friday night. Come say hi after the Vison show. Seven to 10 local time. You can catch it on a serious XM channel. 189 Vison.com YouTube TV. See us broadcast live from the beautiful circa. Shout out to our boy Derek, who we were hanging out with our crew. Kevin Big Cat, CJ, and he hooked us up with the free play over at Golden Gate, which is a great, they do a promotion. Every day, I think it's six o'clock to seven. Open bar. The night starts here, man. Open bar. So you get some free drinks and free slot play. Obviously, it's right next door to the circa. Fun little walk over there. Great hang. Highly record. Say I can bear about you. Get the free play line and then you get the drink line. Yeah, man. It's great. But again, still time to sign up for the contest.

51:18Sign up up until the Saturday before NFL week one goes full bore. Use our proxy, Mattie. He loves to hear from listeners, how you guys found the show. And of course, use our code at GPN. So you get $50 off your proxy fees. FootballContest.com. Tell Mattie. We're the best podcast in the land. He loves hearing that footballcantus.com promo code SGPN. And shout out to Kowshi. Also brought to you by our good buddies over on Kowshi. You can trade spreads, money lines, totals, futures, so much more. Great prices for college and pro football. Great. If you're in a state with limited options, Kowshi is a great solution. They're trade $25. Get up to $500. Using that code SGPN Kowshi promo code S. GPN. Okay. Kramer. Let's close things out with our favorite plays here for the NFC South. For me, I'm going to keep it simple.

52:21Lightest division on the board. Lightest as what? As far as your total wins, number of bets. Yeah, everything. Okay. Oh, not wins, but well, maybe wins actually. I'll have to look at that analysis. No, it's, it's in far as bets in my pocket. For me, giving the Noreland Saints over seven and a half wins. Really? Yes. I like them to get to eight wins. I think they're a competent team. Well coached. Good home crowd. And yeah, I like them to get to at least eight and not. So they could sell the losing record and cash this bet. Kramer, what is your favorite bet for the NFC South? I mean, I liked the Falcons win total. I like, I liked a lot of win totals in this one. I like the Panthers win total. I hate to be on the bucks again. You know, it lets us go Tyler Schuck under passing yards. I think that's just an egregious step of over excitement by some people.

53:21Okay. Kramer's best bet for the NFC South Tyler Schuck under 3349. Pass yards 34 49 34 and a half. Okay. Trying to screw me over a hundred yards. Come on. Jesus. I'm on the Saints over seven and a half wins. I got the Saints 10 and seven bucks nine and eight. Panther seven and 10 Falcon seven 10. Kramer's electric has the bucks and the Falcons tied at 10 and seven and then Panthers in third place at seven and 10 and the Saints at six and 11. Reminder. Get in while you can. This song is going away because we're going to be spinning the wheel. What lucky winner gets to take home a thousand dollar NFL future sportsgummpakets.com slash phrase and of course the free roll football contest pick every NFL game against the spread

54:25for a chance to win three thousand dollars four thousand if you're a patreon member sportsgummpakets.com slash pre roll. Good times as always a lot of fun and we're talking last division preview Ryan. Nope. We have looks like you have a tie to give out or take away and as you are somehow a half a win over budget and I am still two wins under budget and I'm looking at this. Do we forget to give out our best bets for the NFC West? I don't have those written down. Do you recall? I'll have we can we can we dig about best. Okay. I'm blanking on that. But NFC East preview tonight. Last division preview. Go back and check out the college football picks four week one. We got off to a nice start college football picks week zero. You and see on the money line. I was three and all on my locks and hoping to run it back here. College football picks week one episodes are available.

55:26We have part one covering all the Thursday and Friday games. Part two Saturday Sunday and Monday football really gets going tomorrow. We are back and looking forward to NFC East preview with Kramer. And of course, as always, I hear you for participating in the sports game in podcast. Full sports game in podcast. I'm Sean second the money greenie's Ryan sweet sweet sheets. Kramer let it ride.