April 01-05 | Ledger Recap

It is April 6th, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

In this edition of Ledger Recap, the team grades 28 recent positions to understand the math behind a volatile +1.2 unit session. Marcus Webb explains why 9-cent and 7-cent contracts on the HORNETS and CELTICS provided massive alpha, while positions on the TIMBERWOLVES and DODGERS faltered. We explore how to interpret roster news and stylistic mismatches when trading contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket to ensure your portfolio stays in the green.

Key topics include the impact of Kon Knueppel's record-breaking performance, Wembanyama's dominance, and the importance of sizing bets according to conviction rather than just price. We dive into why the market often carries stale priors and how you can capitalize on those gaps.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

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"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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