Friday's BEST BETS: College Football Picks + NFL Props + MLB + UFC

0:00Good morning, everyone. Happy Friday and welcome to the early edge. My name is C&J and we are brought to you by Bet, MGM. I see the chat is already buzzing. I see Mike McClure in the chat as well. Let's see how we did yesterday before we bring in the stars of the show and give out some sports line picks. It's been a good couple of weeks, but we go for in seven yesterday. I hit my NFL prop. I've been doing really well there. Oh, by the way, the NFL prop show taking the points is at three o'clock today. Brad Thomas goes two out of three. David Beerman hits his play from Monday, but overall not a good recap screen. We go four and seven and ladies and gentlemen, we got to do better. We're going to start with sports line picks in college football. We've got the Hokies minus 18 and a half at minus 108. That one courtesy of the very sharp Tom Cassali and then speak of the sharp Eric Cohen likes the nationals money line at minus 149 over on the diamond. All right, ladies and gentlemen, it is Friday. So we got to raise the level just a little bit. If you missed your coffee, if you missed your espresso, no worries. We've got you on BPE Friday.

1:12We got We got We got Brasco, we got Amex for the early edge here and ladies and gentlemen, we've got chip batters in for your chip, chip, chip, chip me up. Come on and see a good money, Danny. Come on to Amex. Come on and back it's good money. Been good morning. Hello, hedge fam. Oh, boy, we've ripped on out of the cocoon. We're flappin' our wings like the most intense butterfly you've ever seen because that FL's off at Roland and college football's off at Roland and they're just hey, no stop at this train. See you all in February. Let's go. Wow buckets, your reaction. Can you follow that up, please? That got me so excited for college football. It got me so excited to be alive on this beautiful Friday that I'm actually going to start the show off with a live bet. See if that's okay with all of you. Now I'm going to tell everyone right now if you live in New York or wherever Danny's from, you're not going to be able to bet this because New York does not let you bet on the Latvian versus Liga, but buckets lets you bet on the Latvian versus Liga. We've got a matchup taking place right now. We're in the fifth minute between La Pazha taking on Ogre United. We're betting against Ogre United and we're going to La Pazha. First half money line plus 105.

2:26Get that in now while you can. I'll drop it in the chat. See you. Not a real team. Danny Brasco. First of all, what's up with New York? Also, what did you bring to the show today? Because I know we've always got UFC over on Paramount Plus, but there's something else that's really intriguing over on Paramount Plus. A pretty big boxing match, at least for me. I think an entertaining boxing match at the very least, which is also on Paramount Plus. Do you happen to have a play for that as well? I do. We got Conor Ben taken on Ryan Garcia huge boxing fight. I'm going to have a spicy take on that one. I'm going to be able to do it. I'm going to be able to do it. I'm going to be able to do it. I'm going to be able to do it. I'm going to be able to do it. I'm going to be able to do it. I'm going to be able to do it. I want to have, of course, we got UFC fight, no Che bangers of cards every time it's a no Che and yet buckets out here betting on Shrek FC. What do we do at don't I get against against Shrek FC against Shrek F.C. What do you mean not paying attention? A Mags I I understand that baseball is a bit of an undercard with college football and NFL back at least for right now when they MLB playoff startup maybe there'll be even more excitement, but what do you have for us today? Is it is it a play on the A's? Perhaps? It's you know, I don't bet too many totals, but it's a bet on that games total

3:29So I don't know if you want me to kick it off see I can but Yeah, it's a Play in the total and I brought a bonus play from that same game for us. I'll tell you what Why don't you go ahead and kick us off a max? All right Well, I did actually just see that EC was on the same play here I'm gonna go over 10 runs in this game out in Sacramento tonight You get the Mariners and the A's it's the same exact matchup we saw just about a week ago With Jeffrey Springs and George Kirby going against the same offense as in that game It ended six two even despite Jeffrey Springs just pitching out of his mind Seven shutout innings only two hits allowed I'll get back to those two hits with my bonus play in a moment But George Kirby's ERA almost five and a half on the road and when you look at Jeffrey Springs getting into this building into this ballpark He has absolutely hated it. It's been a house of horrors with an ERA over seven for him this year pitching in Sacramento And it's really just about the amount of fly balls He gives up and I've mentioned time and time again this ballpark turns those fly balls a lot of times into home runs

4:36So tonight over 10 runs really when you look at the projections here The best one I had was right around 12 and the worst one I had was right around 10 So we're at 10 anyways We need this game to end at nine runs or less to beat us And I just don't think that that is as likely as having a gangbusters offensive game here So the bonus play is that when Cal Raleigh faced Jeffrey Springs last time out he was those two hits He had two hits while the rest of lineup did not hit Jeffrey Springs at all So how about Cal Raleigh on the away team should be near the top of the order you're getting plus money for over two and a half hits runs RBI's I think that's a solid one as well a home run would get it done for us and would help the total out as well Hey, Max. I'm seeing a lot of MLB a lot of soccer in the chat buckets We're gonna go to you next but they look crews to hit a home run from Liddy any thoughts a Max man He's been red hot so I will not tell you not to bet him for a home run I think Ellie to hit a home run is not a bad play plus you're asking on a day when buckets is on the show

5:38That's like one of his four players he can actually name Buckets is Ellie going to yard today. Yeah, he is I mean aren't technically the Reds buckets is team like if buckets had a team it'd be the red so my dad actually had Season tickets to the Reds growing up So one of my best memories as a kid was him taking me out of school and saying I was sick and then taking me to go Watch a Reds game and like ditching the day and that was I do have a little bit of love for the Reds in my heart That's all this this explains a lot buckets All right, you missed a lot What he didn't miss was catching up on soccer buckets You have a couple of soccer plays and I think it's notable that You're gonna be betting something in college. It's not gonna be an official play But you're gonna be betting something in college football you may as well put that out in the universe as well We can get chips reaction, but how about your two official soccer plays

6:39I'm gonna need chips reactions on a lot of things because we're starting with the bet in Syria as Venetia are hosting Fiora and Tina and this is a very tough one because Fiora and Tina are doing the exact same thing They did last season and that is loading their squad with his expensive impressive talent and then doing nothing with it They are dead last on the Syria table with one goal scored and nine Conceited over three games however if there was ever a chance to turn it around to find a bit of form and to get those goal scoring boots on those players Playing against Venetia as a team you want to do against because Venetia are terrible Defensively they are nonexistent. I believe for whatever reason and the stats don't back it But I believe that Fiora and Tina show up and I believe that Fiora and Tina today remind everyone hey We may not be the best team in Syria We may not even be the top half teams, but we're good enough to survive They're not getting relegated. They're gonna turn it around and just take some time, which is why I'm back in Fiora and Tina Over one and a half team totals. I think Fiora and Tina scores two or more today and we're getting at it plus 110 When you look at the games they've played so far this season. Yes, they're losing. Yes, they're not looking great

7:43But they're actually putting up an impressive shot volume when they lost a Tareno 1 2 They had 13 shots with six on target when they lost to Roma six shots on target when they lost to throw Sonone They had 20 shots in that game. They're getting the chances. They're just not finishing but against Venetia That's a team you can finish on let's see some of these players that we've shelled out for let's see gun call Ves Let's see Beto. Let's see these big names finally produce and I think it's gonna happen So it can be fewer and Tina plus money here and then match number two Sevilla taking on Valencia We're going to La Liga here where we have another match up between just bad teams Valencia I'm looking at you dead last in the table four games played zero wins one goal scored nine Conceited this is going to be a field day for Sevilla Sevilla and look impressive right now six on the table just one loss I think they might score three here But the fact that I can get them to score over one and a half team total same bet is fewer and Tina at plus 120 Does it make sense for me for a team that is incredible? Specifically when they're playing at home I've got fewer and Tina given Venetia beat down and I've got Sevilla doing the same thing to Valencia here plus money on both of my bets

8:45And then finally the first ever buckets exclusive college football play only for the early edge listeners You're not going to see this anywhere else, but Ohio State taking on Texas I will be I don't want to dox myself never mind. I'll be watching this game in Columbus I will be backing with my fellow Columbus sites Columbus Columbusians that didn't sound right whatever we are I'll be back in home Colombians Colombians my fellow Colombians we are going to back Ohio State on the money line here baby Even money plus 100 come on the last two times they played Texas Ohio State have doubled their score I don't care if it was 17 to four or seven to 14 chip it counts they doubled it I've got Ohio State maybe let's go Well, we may as well get you on flupy. Let's go We may as well get your reaction ship batters in 730 Saturday night Texas Not Texas Oklahoma Oklahoma's another game that I'm interested in but talking about Texas Ohio State No, see I will not because we're first gonna address for your antenna

9:46Because one thing the buckets forgot to mention is that what they're doing from last year's They are speedrunning the process They had the only as their manager last year and they fired him after it got really bad I want to say maybe even into November December and then Palo Vanoli came in and helped get them out of relegation like they almost got kicked down a series of bit Syria beh they stunk so bad and so he was able to help sell save the season this year They're only waiting three dagum matches before they decided to sack their new hire grosso and all they did is they brought back Vanoli so If Vanoli was able to help save the season with less months now you're bringing him back earlier So they are speedrunning probably a 15th place finish in the table sure But we've at least brought in somebody who's been able to avoid relegation before so I I think that there will definitely be a little bit of a fire Under the seats of the new squad when they when they're out there amongst the water in

10:48In Venice Okay, and now Ohio State Texas. Oh really should be a really fun game. Look for it to watch it So for Ohio State backers the one thing I'm gonna like absolutely Be walking with you all the way to the window is you're sitting there and telling me why you like Ohio State I'm gonna be like yes grandma like here's what yes, that's absolutely it It is that there's a coaching advantage for the buckhots that in big games Ryan Day over Steve Sarkisian and that this is among the biggest games that you're gonna get and so Do you trust in this massive game? Ryan Day who led that buckhots team on that national championship run? Do you trust them to be able to be in a better mindset than where Texas is playing at home? Where I don't know man, it might be that home field disadvantage these big big time games sometimes coming in from out of town Staying kind of away from everybody. It's a little bit different than when all the friends and all the family are all

11:53Around the team hotel and it just it feels like it's even bigger than then before I get it that's that is probably a coaching edge that I would give the buckhots and I think that that's the spot where Ohio State probably has the best advantage Okay, we want to get we have so many official picks by the way I did I mention this I have a college football pick today also I have an NFL prop our prop shows today at three o'clock Let's get to some questions and then we're gonna get to UFC and boxing and chip your official picks mine as well Some baseball questions from Lee Price AMAGS Cavali over six and a half K's versus the angels minus 120 any thoughts Yeah, I like the over me. He's been crushing as we've seen for like the better part of a month now The only real hiccups you've had he's had have been against teams like Toronto who just don't strike out a bunch So yeah, I don't mind going over on the strikeouts for him today I was actually just looking at that one a little while ago All right, and Kansas plus five and a half chip Patterson any thoughts on that game Uh, I've yes, see ya. I do would you like me to start unveiling all of them or just answer the question in the chip?

12:58Oh, okay Nice legway All right, thank you for the question from Cosmic Charlie. How about ship you give out your two picks? Yeah, I don't Can't Kansas plus five and a half certainly you're playing with in the rivalry game you're playing at home Lance Liebold backed into a corner This to me after back to back five and seven seasons is a kitchen sink game Andy Kodelnicki's a well-respected offensive coordinator. He's back at Kansas He got his rise really with the work that he did helping the Jay Hawks kind of become a top 25 team a couple years ago, but Since then the quality is really waned it seems like the the transfer portal NIL era as things have evolved over the last two three seasons Haven't necessarily benefited the Jay Hawks either their evaluations haven't hit or they haven't been able to win enough of those bidding wars along the way But I do think that there is still a really really good coaching staff and in a week two game Against arrival if you're like hey five and a half too many dag on points I want to get it that's fine, but

14:00My thought is about that kitchen sink and for those of you who don't know Everything but the kitchen sink means everything's out if it ain't connected to the wall If it ain't connected to the pipes we're pulling it out. We're using it your triple pass your double screen Your everybody's in motion then we're doing a cha cha and then we're scoring a touchdown all of your trick plays Everything you've got Kansas This is what you have because people around this program say that winning this home game against Missouri A hated rival a team that you will not see according to the current schedule for another five or six years That you winning this game in the 120 second playing of the board of war would mean more than any big 12 win There is not a single home game that would mean more to the Kansas boosters to the Kansas fans to the Kansas center administration Then winning this game. So yes, Charlie You want to take Kansas with that kind of motivational edge? I get it But I'm just gonna tackle the total right here because I think Kansas's defense is a little suspect

15:01And I don't care how motivated that you are if you are out there and you're trying to guard Donovan elubiday who is the stud softmore wide receiver from Missouri and you're like I'm motivated I'm motivated. I'm a cornerback. I'm motivated. We know motivation. Don't get you They don't get you faster It don't get you taller and it don't make your arms longer And I think that there's a real personal advantage from Missouri's passing attack against the Kansas secondary that is going to allow Missouri to score So they do their part and then you throw in that kitchen sink I was talking about then we're gonna see Kansas be able to hit some explosive plays their part This is a game last year that was decided up in the 70s um 51 and a half line too little So we're gonna go over on that Friday night lights with Missouri and Kansas Charlie I don't hate your call. I mean, I'm imagining one of these scores like a 35 31 31 28 31 20 set Yes, I see it But it could also be 31 24 so just heads up on that one. I like the total better then on the Saturday

16:02We're gonna be looking at the nooms late where it's gonna be a little early You know body clock alert. I know we're talking right here in the wake of that game in Australia Everybody's talking about the big brain on Sean McVay I don't know what Kenny Dilly-Himbs exact plan is in terms of the way that they're preparing But I do know that it's so hot out there in Tempe that sometimes they have to play football in the morning just as like a Like a human health issue So the fact that they're gonna be playing at 11 a.m. Central time in college station against Texas A&M I'm putting body clock to the side because I think Arizona State's gonna hit the ground running I think that in Arizona states In 2016 there might be some questions about defensive depth there might be some questions about defensive ceiling I don't know if this is gonna be the kind of squad that's gonna put teams in a show cold and go and win games 13 to 7 but I do think that cutter bowling and specifically Couple transfer portal additions that they got read here some policy college a morion Miller from Colorado Both those guys were just lighting it up and again I will take the opponent into consideration because I'm not looking at the stats as much as I'm looking at the target shares

17:06Much as I'm looking at the workload and I'm looking at players who were good elsewhere Showing up with a new quarterback and a new offensive system and looking like they're ready to thrive I think that that's a spot where Arizona State can be frisky if you want to take Arizona State plus 14 and a half As I've heard a lot of people say I think that one reason you do that is because Kenny Dillingham has shown at Arizona State He's gonna get that team ready for the biggest games in the toughest opponents They're gonna rise up and they're gonna throw some haymakers now He also might give me some head scratchers along the way, but that's for an Arizona State fan That's not for us. This is one of the biggest games on Arizona State schedule My expectation is that Arizona State is going to be plucky is gonna be a little bit of thorn in the side of the Aggies And if they're going to do that I think it's coming from the offensive end So I look 17 and a half everybody it's not a good number. Yeah, I get it I just 2021 points in a game where I think they're gonna be feisty is something they should be able to do Given the personnel for this passing attack. So I'll go Arizona State team total over 17 and a half it looks like big cheesy likes the over in that game of 50 and a half as we get a round of applause from buckets

18:12And probably a few people at home great stuff from chip I know we have a lot of college football questions So we're gonna get you on that later on the show but speaking of college football boost your college football bets today and Tomorrow but MJM players will receive a college football odds boost for Friday night and Saturday games Just make a college football bet use the boost token and add to your winnings only at bed MJM and a quick message are about paramount plus I mentioned this on the front end of the show. We have a massive fight tonight or I should say Saturday night On paramount plus after months of trash talk and bad blood Ryan Garcia and Connor Ben finally settled the score In a welterweight title showdown the action takes place at T-Mobile arena in Las Vegas with the main card getting underway at 8 p.m Eastern and you can catch it streaming live on paramount plus This is the biggest Zufa boxing event of the year so you won't want to miss A second of it again only on paramount plus all right Danny we got to get to your pick on that fight your UFC picks We're gonna cover that plus more college football baseball questions my NFL prop that I'm gonna have on the prop show later today at three o'clock On this sports line youtube channel a lot to cover including your soccer questions right after this message from our partners

19:16We're back on the early edge brought to by bed MJM and Danny brasco. I mentioned it. We've got paramount plus Just kind of locked and loaded this weekend with boxing and with UFC talking about some picks for this weekend I got it all see a UFC fight no Che and Ben burst garcia pick I'm excited to see what the chat thinks about my boxing pick because it's a big fight first off Let's kick it off with a pick that my guy O'Leary in the chat is gonna like he was already hinting at it We got a minus 800 favorite in you three Bell go rui finally getting his flowers because he was an underdog in his first two matchups To get some value. I'm taking middle win the fight by knockout And I think he's got the stylistic matchup to do it. He is a huge middleweight six foot six nearly 80 inch reach He's a snappy kickboxer who manages distance really well and he trains with Alex Pereira Glover to share over and Connecticut He's really just coming into his game now. They gave him Jordan Santos a decent pressure striker But a guy that's gonna have to close distance take risks and probably get caught with a nasty counter punch The guru is nice with his check hooks his straight punches I think he finds the mark knockout minus 120

20:18I like the way O'Leary's playing it too in the chat rounds one or two knockout plus one 15 I think it happens in the first 10 minutes like it very much next up I chickened out on this play a little bit because I wanted to go with the knockout at plus two 50 But I'm going with David Martinez Minus three and a half and minus one forty five little safer way to play it and it covers our bases If he does get the knockout or if he wins by a 3027 Dominant decision again these spreads have to do with the combined judges score cards So we're gonna need him to win better than 29 28 He has to win by more than around on those combined totals And I think he does that Martinez at Phantom Weight It's just a lot faster and better with this kicking game on the outside than his opponent the veteran Dan Ege who at 35 years old Is moving down to Phantom Weight and he's just coming off his first career KO loss You know 11 in 10 in the UFC He's a good veteran with dynamite in his hands You're gonna move down and wait at this stage of your career after getting knocked out for the first time I don't really rate his chance to hang at a faster and more explosive weight class Especially against the doctor David Martinez a guy who literally if you search him on google

21:19The byline will be mixed martial artist and doctor because he used to practice medicine He's very intelligent. He's now full-time fighter And he's beaten Rob Vaunt Marlin Vera in dominant decisions Those are really good rank Phantom Weight He's kind of been thrusted you know into the fire and taken on high level competition I don't see Ege as a step higher than them So I think Martinez gets this done either 3027 decision or he finds the knockout in a highlight fashion Chose he doesn't need to just go to the judges for cards with this movement and technical striking next up guys I just think this price is wrong and I think these fighters should be closer to even you're gonna give me Curtis Razor blades at plus 180. I'm forced to take a shot really. We're betting on his durability coming off an epic war with Josh Hockett Already rated one of the best heavyweight fights of all time. That was 29 28 The Hockett is a matchup nightmare and blades took him you know tooth and nail well fight was insane If his durability is still there He's got the experience in the style that could give Waldo Cortez a cost to some problems in this fight Waldo's a tricky boxer But the guys that blades is typically losing two are those one-hit or quitter type of power punchers

22:24Hockett wasn't that but you think of Francis and God who Derek Lewis You know Tom Aspenal. He's faced the top of the top in his division Yeah, I want to see blades wrestle more. He's known for his wrestling category But his boxing is very much improved if he puts that pressure style on Waldo Waldo's gotten into some close fights You know he's he's had his chance to go to the top of heavyweight and he's and he's been stopped in both of them or not Stopped I should say he's been thwarted. He lost a surgape Pavlovich then he went on a three-fight win streak And then lost Alex and her Volkov at this point. I don't really see Waldo as championship material I think he's sort of this top seven style gatekeeper blades in him are kind of even where they are in their careers And plus 180 doesn't make sense to me so I'm taking a shot on the veteran dog and guys It's time to boss. How are you going to make Ryan Garcia a minus 350 favorite? I don't get it mentally He's an erratic guy that cannot be a 75% implied favorite to win any given fight Especially against an intelligent Brady pressure fighter like Conor Ben the big question mark his counter Ben is typically fighting at 160 pounds right

23:25He's fighting at 147 He's probably gonna this is probably the last time he's gonna fight at this weight class But he looks to be in damn good shape. He said he's gone through her hell and back. He's done the hard part I love how he sounds in interviews. He's composed. He's poised He's kind of the opposite of Ryan Garcia the flashy social media star Ben's not even on social media He's strictly business and let me poke a hole in some of the resume of Ryan Garcia because why is he the favorite people say He has got the experience and the level advantage. He's faced higher level opposition What's happened in those fights? Mario Barrios no disrespect to him, but that's probably the most beatable champion who could have taken on to win the WBC WBC belt then we look at the Devon Haney fight Yeah, he won. I was in attendance at Barclays Center for that fight He beat Haney up, but it gets reversed to a no-contest every pops for banned substances And then he lost to Jervante Davis on the highest stage lost to roly remera You know he can get put under pressure and if he doesn't land that flash left hook He can't control the range with the jab and manage the pressure of Ben And he's gonna make it a long night at the office So I just took these odds away out of whack if the classic will versus skillback

24:25Ryan's at the skill edge but Ben is a nasty fighter that does not mind an ugly one It makes ugly his style of fight. Maybe the dog enjoyed this fight night card. You guys have any questions? All right, we got some fight picks not just for UFC, but for boxing as well Let's go around the horn a little bit with some questions Buckets do you like lapal anytime goal score plus 115 or gory anytime goal score plus 190 Bit of a tricky one who's asking about the league matchup taking place between stoddren taking on marse I know that mna I can't say the last time sorry jeeruerie Gerari whatever it is doesn't matter four goals and three games. He's been really good I don't trust marse to score a lot against stoddren though This is a team that has undergone some pretty dramatic changes in the transfer window They picked up nine new players four of them which are starting so even though they've looked decent him specifically It's gonna take a bit to gel and playing edge stoddren is a pain in the ass to play it So I wouldn't want to take a goal score for marse quite yet I do like lapal a lot there you can get a score or assist close to even money as well if you want to give yourself a little bit of a back

25:28About the assist line, but if I had to pick one I'd go with lapal likes pect stoddren to score at least two today Aimaxe we got a lot of seven and a half in the chat here We've got chris sale over seven and a half k's at plus 118 lead prices over seven and a half runs in the reds brewers game I know by the way Jeff Stenberg likes road island minus seven and a half minus one ten which of course is college football chip can take care of that one You take it first. I don't know bro Hey, Max you take care of the first two seven and a half questions no six seven and a half, huh? Only the seven and a half The the over seven and a half on chris sale. I don't mind it feels kind of like a coin flip So I would take the over at the plus money just yet seven and six innings against this same exact team last week You know, he's just gonna run it back against same team gets him at home here So maybe he gets to eight maybe he ends at six. I think it's probably somewhere in that range though Okay, so that sounds like a no play. What about the reds brewers over seven and a front minus 120 Yeah, I mean like I said I would I would throw a little bit at chris sale at that price

26:29But I don't I'm not like loving it the the seven and a half on the brewers and the reds though I actually do like the over there and I mentioned led la Cruz over one and a half hits runs in arby eyes Plus 105 for a guy that's you know on the the away team and generally near the top of the order and has some success against main his career here Very small sample size, but I think that's a great price. So I just played that one chip What about the Rhode Island question from Jeff Stenberg? I listen Jeff Jeff's a real one, but I don't I didn't watch he long last week How about this I tried to detail there are 138 FPS football teams Neither of the teams that he mentioned there Rhode Island nor Elon or FPS football teams Well, how about hating on them? I'm just telling you I'm not gonna I'm not gonna be the Emory Hunt will have you Okay, I'm not gonna necessarily have them let me move on to Emory Hunt and Tom Cassali because I I did a show with them on Monday They both liked Rutgers plus three and a half chrispin likes it in the chat as well We a lot of us saw Rutgers last week. They look terrible

27:31But they also played terrible Boston College and they're at this point three point dogs any thoughts on that one It's red bandana game. I I don't bet against Boston College in the red bandana game for those who don't know Wells Crowther Was a Boston college graduate who on as the as the towers were crumbling on September 11th 2001 Did a lot of like heroic work to save a lot of people's lives and when they talked to the survivors He said, how'd you get at I don't know there was someone with a red bandana and he didn't survive But his memory is honored once a season by Boston College as they wear Like the red in their uniform is changed to a bandana like their helmet will have a red bandana kind of pays red Paisley stripe their jerseys will have a red bandana accent And this is on the 25th anniversary of September 11th. No thanks. I'm uh I'll watch that one. I won't be trying to profit off of it. Yeah, that that 25th anniversary is today in fact And it's the game is tonight. It's it's like they are playing the game

28:34This sometimes they do the red bandana like and they beat USC on a red bandana game I'm pretty sure like they've sprung some upsets. They get Behind this as one of their big motivational games of the season So look Boston College looked awful last season very very possible This is a competition between the two worst power conference teams in the country But uh, but yeah, I'll just be I'll be I'll be sitting back and watching that one I know this is this called early edge not like early lay flat in the middle, you know, like a fish But I just just figured I'd offer some context there. No, it's yeah, I definitely appreciate that We we still have three more official picks to get to because Ben has a producer pick Let me get mine out of the way real quick I'm going to talk about this first one on the prop show later today But I don't think it takes a lot of explanation to Von Valey is going to be bait the wide receiver two Unless you want to count Johan Johnson as tied in because he might get more targets than then a devon Valey But we got a negative game script for the norland saying so we got devon Valey and chrisolave Playing receiver that they'll be in those

29:3711 and 12 Personnel sets and then of course, Johan Johnson's gonna get some targets and negative games script seven point dog at Detroit premium conditions Devon Valey when he played last year after the Rashid Shaheed trade Let's see at seven eight five and six targets in four games before getting injured and that paid off to 37 93 40 and 69 yards again I think this is an ideal situation for any wide receiver to let alone Devon Valey who has stepped up Since being basically the guy after Rashid Shaheed left the guy after chrisolave and Johan Johnson So give me over 38 and a half receiving yards talk about that more on the three o'clock show on this sportsline YouTube channel my next Play is college football north Texas plus three and a half minus one eighteen third home against UNLV tough travel spot For you and LV coming off that win over who I but that's not why I'm betting it I just don't think this UNLV team is very good. They lost to Memphis and they beat they beat Hawaii 24 to six I believe was a score I watched both of those games the one against Memphis where they lost and the one against Hawaii Hawaii could have easily won that game the score doesn't indicate that but they were in the red zone time after time in the second half

30:38While it was a one-score game while they could have taken the lead They kept shooting themselves in the foot with bad bad mistakes bad decisions turnovers things of that nature So I think that's a little misleading what we saw last week from UNLV I like this north Texas team they actually outgained bends Indiana team when they lost to them kind of thoroughly that they got throttled in the fourth quarter But kind of hung pretty tough with them for three quarters. I love north Texas here I think they can win outright give me the plus three and a half. I played it plus three as well. All right Ben speaking of college football you got to jump on the show and tell us what your pick is for tonight or Saturday It is for Saturday and I when I did this pick and I talked to chip about it apparently this is the this is the pick that everyone's on and I Everyone's talking about this is a lock infinity right on uncovered for me. Yeah, and it's also the game My fellow producer striker and taft are betting on but I believe they're betting on the under Which was their producer pick recovery? I'm three to the under in the last 20 matches between Iowa and Iowa state Yeah, and I think that might be why this game has such a low spread and I'm just gonna go

31:41Iowa minus 13 and a half I'm laying the points Just lay them and don't look back I you listen to me this just I'm a little surprised it's this low and maybe because this game has historically gone under They're keeping the spread a little bit lower But to me this this Iowa state team this is just a fade to the cyclones This is a first-year head coach for Iowa state. This is a team full of transfers They have to go on the road to Kinnick at night to play a good Iowa team Not great, but a good Iowa team with a very good defense And it's an Iowa state team that could only muster about 300 yards against south-east Missouri state I just don't see how they keep pace with Iowa in this game with all those factors working against them Maybe Iowa fumbles maybe they struggle, but I just don't see it at home at night at Kinnick against a I was a team. Let's just trying to find themselves. So I'll lay Iowa under two touchdowns in this one I mean, all right, so let's let's keep rolling with this this is unique Because any model that is built has to take previous performance into consideration

32:46But all of those numbers are at Penn State right now Guys the Iowa state success that is baked into the power rating Matt Campbell picked them up Heee And dropped them off in Penn State I mean, it's just it like we need to adjust the how much we are willing to throw out old data For the way that we have these guys number the another popular Conversation round here been is just get it now because the number ain't right on Iowa state It's just gonna take about four weeks for them to be able to adjust Um, yeah, we also see this game and they think it's just gonna be close automatically Yeah, and like we see this also when teams quit right when a team quits and you're like oh god They're checked out and it takes about three to four weeks for the odds makers and the market to truly catch up I mean, we are gonna we're gonna we're testing the thresholds obviously because you can't have too big a spread and a low total But Iowa has not beaten Iowa state in Kinnick. I think in eight years

33:47I mean, there is gonna be no holding back. This is more than happy to win this thing 30 to three Joe Muso in the chat says the best part of Sihawk is when it's over Well, that is true actually moose that is true because the last two Sihawk trophy games have ended on 50 plus yard field goals And those have been fantastic Those would make it among the best parts of the game Watching a kicker get out there and boot a 54 yarder to win the game Uh catch Joe by the way all over CBS sports HQ and including the newly formatted uh Promtime pregame, which is just a great show between six and seven buckets Let's catch up before we get to the recap screen on some soccer questions any rapid fire for us Yeah, we've only got a couple questions in the chat so i'll make sure to handle them We got a question from cc backstreet saying buckets any thought on Brentford a Drawno bet minus 110 I'm very high on this Brentford squad. I think they're gonna be a lot of fun in the premier league this season They're coming off of back-to-back one-one draws though and born myth is a team that is very tricky to play against when they're at home So it's i think Brentford are the better side on paper. They should win

34:49I like that you're attacking it from the Drawno bet angle in case we get our third consecutive draw But i've got no problem playing that cc and then one more question we had here from Josh Davis 173 bucket starts on fc Copenhaegan plus Livingston on the money line at parlay at plus 102 Copenhaegan playing Horsons that should be Uh knock on wood easy win for them Copenhaegan by far the best team we have in Denmark right now seven matches played They've outscored their opponents 20 to eight and horse and defense just isn't ready for this It shouldn't be a close game then the second leg you got Livingston taking on green rock Morton Green Rock is terrible Livingston's not necessarily a good side I want it back them to win this Easily but when you're playing green rock Morton it's kind of a no-brainer to take him So i think it's a good shout here at plus money Danny brasco anything ufc or rindar cio fight related in the chat I saw gipper is asking about Brandon marano interesting crossroads fight there He's fighting joseph maral as a guy who's in his second stint with the ufc and just surgeon He's on a sick win streak. He's back and better than ever and marano back-to-back losses first time

35:53He ever got knocked out formal flyweight champ, but where is he it's sort of as marano can he can he kind of put together another's you know run in his career Or is it time for the new guard to take over marano's the slight dog If he's coming back healthy and refreshed the line is gonna look silly if he makes you know maral as work hard So i think half unit try on marano not being washed as warranted it plus a hundred and see it one more thing I should mention who cached on de marcus robinson last night revenge game you love a narrative And you know i love an erud in the hometown hero let's go talking about we had that tracked plus 9.50 anytime tv over one and a half receptions plus 175 if you looked at our app you would also see he has a high usage rate against the Rams in two games last season against them They targeted four seven times he went over his receiving yard So de marcus revenge game find these angles at home town hero fellas. That's great. Danny brasco By the way, I just love Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVey. I love that conversation I love what those two coaches are up against each other. I didn't forget you joker d

36:53I hope you're still watching. It's your 44th birthday today. So happy birthday to joker d Thanks for letting us know always want to know the birthdays in the chat whether it's you or our family member Whatever it is we love to give shout outs Let's see one other thing two other things because chip you're gonna you're gonna close on whether there's something Lingering with our college football a max anybody to go to the yard today You're on me tough tough That's a tough break a max it happens. Okay. Well my my keyboard died here So I'm trying to like feverishly type on my laptop on the side and get back logged in. It's I apologize. So Yes, I have some questions. I also need to answer and speak because I can't type But Cal Raleigh I mentioned it earlier. I think if you want to take a home run play there um Plus 270 on mgm everywhere else is about plus 200 so mgm given us you know 70 cents of value there. I like that um Otherwise maybe look for a boost but real quick Question about the Dodgers and Blake's snow in the chat. I have it as Blake's snow starting

37:56I believe he's supposed to be starting. I haven't seen anything different, but it hasn't been confirmed yet So uh Liddy I know a couple others are waiting on that one as well But I would not mind backing the Dodgers tonight and mookie bets was one of the hitters I like the best from their offense So chip closes before we get to the recap screen close this with anything you might have seen in the chat Maybe something from the cover three podcasts that was top of mind or is top of mind for you with uh this weekend's A slate of games, but before you say a word. I just want to remind everybody that splash sports contest That $10,000 to give out splash sports contest You can still register for it up until I think 12 o'clock or one o'clock on Sunday eastern time before the games kick off Obviously, so do not forget Ben's gonna put it in the youtube description podcast description And he's gonna put it in this chat right now. It's $10,000 up for grabs and it's absolutely free to enter a max go ahead So see I went and looked and just saw you know what the state of the standings were already because you can pick these games before it locks There was already a couple people that had that pads game as they're

38:56They're top their number one wherever you call it their best bet and they were two and oh so they were three You know Already there was a couple people already up there at the top doing really well So I already had to check and I think it's a very cool thing we're all a part of here You all know I loved San Francisco. I forgot to put that in I forgot to like actually fill out my picks. So I'll have to lean on Sunday That's that's too bad for me chip Patterson anything college football related before we get to the recap your Hawaii Observations are why new Mexico state has been getting a lot of love that line is dropped from 11 and a half to seven and a half And could be under a touchdown by the time we get there As new Mexico state was feisty against Florida state remember in week zero Maybe asking a lot, you know, but I do think Hawaii has looked like the like you were saying They got opportunities and they just couldn't catch them in I mean, they're just not playing good football right now So I definitely like that you got your eyes on that And Fort North Texas Jackson Arnold homecoming game Former North Texas guys expected to have a lot of a lot of family in town

39:57But I grew with your assertion on how they played against Indiana. There's a Navy minus four and a half against FAU I'm still in Track it mode. I'm actually got my eyes in the American athletic conference more on the South Florida at army game I think that one's going to be very interesting because South Florida looked so bad It'll win against FIU in the first game for Brian Hartline It's a former Ohio State offensive coordinator who's you know been there for a long time now first time as a head coach Maybe having some of those first time head coach woes, you know kind of like how Tosh Lupoi who's the new head coach at Cal I can buy into the overall like Tosh Lupoi Cal alum good recruiting Jiren Kiavei Saga Polateli like all those things But it was tied 21 21 in the fourth quarter and then your guy Bob Chesney who's been a head coach at multiple schools at multiple levels I think you just outcoached him over the final 15 minutes and that's Those are sometimes what with Brian Hartline looking at South Florida You might have been like at the very top of the sport Tosh Lupoi was competing for championships at Alabama competing for championships at Oregon

41:00But you're not the headset right and sometimes in tight fourth quarter games You got to understand about being the headset. I'll be watching army in South Florida probably more than that ECU minus six and a half from Crispin great game awesome game app state culture clash here in North Carolina Appstate coming down off the mountain coming down to Greenville We did very much see ECU's business put on front street as they got blown out by Alabama last week Main bears not really going to be a data point you're going to be able to pull a lot from in terms of app state as they're getting rolling I heard a lot of excitement about grabbing app state plus that seven and half Crispin is bringing me an ECU six and a half that might be a line has moved too much Trendy dog might have flees situation if you want to go with Errg the pirates and as I'm sitting here in purple and as Danny sitting here in purple Maybe you should say ECU's the play there, but that one Very very very fun game because it's the kind of game where all the players

42:01There's gonna be a lot of shared like we played against each other in the district playoffs You know we and in and where you decided to go to school is why I call it a culture clash right you won't be close to the beach You won't be close to the mountains, you know, what kind of extracurriculars do you like Hiking in the mountains man Well getting out there in fishing, you know like I mean it's just it's a culture clash right north Carolina has Multitudes y'all think it's all made buried down here, right? It's a lot more than that we got multitudes and so It's gonna be a lot on display if you want to get the seven and a half I like it ECU minus six and a half lines move too much Danny brasco that was like that That reminded me of how nauseous like come to Queens bridge like that was his like tag, you know like for north Carolina go hard Well, it's fennel apparently celebrating a birthday today as well if I missed anybody's birthday There might have been somebody who just had a recent a child because I saw some sort of pamper's parlay situation So if I missed that let us know on Monday that you or maybe in the prop show today at three o'clock We'll give you a shout out on this sports line youtube channel speaking the prop show I've hit 16 of my last 17 NFL player props dating till dating back to last year profitable and NFL player props three years in a row

43:07One the sports line contest last year. I'm kind of rolling here. So I don't know hopefully I keep it rolling For throughout this year, but I felt like compelled to point that out all right. Let's get to the recap screen What show is better than this? We covered so much on this show and this is evidence of it right here Devon Bailey over 38 and a half receiving yards minus one 15 Also like a college football play north Texas plus three and a half minus one 18 A max talked a lot of baseball answered a lot of questions. He likes the over in the Mariners a's game That over is 10 and it's minus 105 we go to chip Patterson I mean chip Patterson literally just covered maybe 25 games for you But Missouri Kansas over 51 and a half at minus 106 and there's on a state team total over 17 and a half at minus 102 And speaking of over go over to cover three and listen to all the picks from that crew because it's an unbelievable show All right Danny Brasco you know I'm gonna make you do this because yeah, I can pronounce to be out of the four But that first one you Sri belt Bell gauri that's pretty damn good He's like Dutch too. That's a tough one well done. All right. You sweet Bell gauri by KO minus 120 David Martina's minus three and a half minus

44:11Curtis blades plus 180 that's easy and boxing Zufa boxing over on paramount plus all of these fights are on paramount plus actually Conor Ben Moneyline plus 230 over Ryan Garcia Then we go to buckets beneath the obvious foreign V Fiorantina if you aren't Tina over one and a half team total plus 110 and Sevilla versus Valencia Valencia excuse me is it Sevilla it is Sevilla right buckets. Yeah You're you're doing wonderful because he got the aston Villa thing which should be aston via but then this is Sevilla You know, it's confusing over one and a half team total plus 120 Maybe it's not that confusing at all we go to our sports line picks Tom Cassali likes the Hokies That's Virginia Tech minus 18 and a half at minus 108 the nationals money line minus 149 from EC and oh yeah By the way in case you missed it Ben jumped on the show he likes iowa lay in the points minus 13 and a half at minus 115 I mean what a show this was an incredible show thank you to Danny brasco a thank you to a max thank you to buckets Thank you to chip Patterson of course Ben on the ones and twos and threes and fours and of course in front of the camera as well a lot more to come on the prop show today at three o'clock

45:15And in the sports line discord this is the time you want to be spending in the sports line discord over the weekend That's discord dot gg slash sports line and for some reason you're not a member go to sportsline.com slash join to join up and get that discord for free ladies and gentlemen enjoy the rest of your friday appreciate you spending some of it with us pockets do you mind closing the show oh wait oh We rest okay. I'll take a text this by the way. What's the horse? Oh that's not oh age that's not that's not great. Oh no oh All right bye everybody